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Brazil details
Brazil
Statistics:
- Games: 114
- Expected results: 82 (71.93%)
- Unexpected results: 32 (28.07%)
- Unknown games: 0
- Record: 79 Won, 21 Lost, 14 Drawn, 0 Unknown
- Last five games: LWLWW
- Expected wins: 74 (64.91%)
- Expected losses: 8 (7.02%)
- Unexpected wins: 5 (4.39%)
- Unexpected losses: 13 (11.40%)
- Unexpected draws: 14 (12.28%)
- Wins (+1pt for expected, +3 for unexpected): 89
- Losses (-1pt for expected, -3 for unexpected): -47
- Draws (-1pt if fav, +1pt if underdog): 14
- Total: 56
| Tournament | Game Time | Round | Group Name | Score | Odds Analysis | Location | Coach | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Qatar 2022 | 9-Dec-2022 18:00 | 2 | Quarter Finals |
Prob to win: 29.66%
Game ELO: 1995 -> 2065 (+70) |
1 - 1 (aet)
4 - 2 (pen) |
Prob to win: 70.34%
Game ELO: 2145 -> 2075 (-70) |
Brazil loss: upset (win expected)
|
Education City Stadium, Al Rayyan | |
| Qatar 2022 | 5-Dec-2022 22:00 | 2 | Top 16 |
Prob to win: 85.27%
Game ELO: 2116 -> 2145 (+29) |
4 - 1
|
Prob to win: 14.73%
Game ELO: 1811 -> 1782 (-29) |
Brazil win: expected
|
Stadium 974, Doha | |
| Qatar 2022 | 2-Dec-2022 22:00 | 1 | Group G |
Prob to win: 3.30%
Game ELO: 1628 -> 1725 (+97) |
1 - 0
|
Prob to win: 95.71%
Game ELO: 2213 -> 2116 (-97) |
Brazil loss: upset (win expected)
|
Lusail Iconic Stadium, Lusail | |
| Qatar 2022 | 28-Nov-2022 19:00 | 1 | Group G |
Prob to win: 76.54%
Game ELO: 2194 -> 2213 (+19) |
1 - 0
|
Prob to win: 18.05%
Game ELO: 1943 -> 1924 (-19) |
Brazil win: expected
|
Stadium 974, Doha | |
| Qatar 2022 | 24-Nov-2022 22:00 | 1 | Group G |
Prob to win: 79.12%
Game ELO: 2169 -> 2194 (+25) |
2 - 0
|
Prob to win: 16.06%
Game ELO: 1892 -> 1867 (-25) |
Brazil win: expected
|
Lusail Iconic Stadium, Lusail | |
| Russia 2018 | 6-Jul-2018 21:00 | 2 | Quarter Finals |
Prob to win: 64.14%
Game ELO: 2162 -> 2098 (-64) |
1 - 2
|
Prob to win: 35.86%
Game ELO: 2061 -> 2125 (+64) |
Brazil loss: upset (win expected)
|
Kazan Arena, Kazan | |
| Russia 2018 | 2-Jul-2018 18:00 | 2 | Top 16 |
Prob to win: 87.24%
Game ELO: 2143 -> 2162 (+19) |
2 - 0
|
Prob to win: 12.76%
Game ELO: 1809 -> 1790 (-19) |
Brazil win: expected
|
Cosmos Arena, Samara | |
| Russia 2018 | 27-Jun-2018 19:00 | 1 | Group E |
Prob to win: 12.05%
Game ELO: 1786 -> 1767 (-19) |
0 - 2
|
Prob to win: 84.33%
Game ELO: 2124 -> 2143 (+19) |
Brazil win: expected
|
Otkrytie Arena, Moscow | |
| Russia 2018 | 22-Jun-2018 13:00 | 1 | Group E |
Prob to win: 89.18%
Game ELO: 2111 -> 2124 (+13) |
2 - 0
|
Prob to win: 8.32%
Game ELO: 1699 -> 1686 (-13) |
Brazil win: expected
|
Krestovsky Stadium, Saint Petersburg | |
| Russia 2018 | 17-Jun-2018 19:00 | 1 | Group E |
Prob to win: 76.64%
Game ELO: 2142 -> 2111 (-31) |
1 - 1
|
Prob to win: 17.97%
Game ELO: 1890 -> 1921 (+31) |
Brazil draw: upset (win expected)
|
Rostov Arena, Rostov-on-Don | |
| Brazil 2014 | 12-Jul-2014 | 2 | 3rd Place |
Prob to win: 18.64%
Game ELO: 2023 -> 1986 (-37) |
0 - 3
|
Prob to win: 81.36%
Game ELO: 2279 -> 2316 (+37) |
Brazil loss: expected
|
||
| Brazil 2014 | 8-Jul-2014 | 2 | Semi Finals |
Prob to win: 50.29%
Game ELO: 2199 -> 2023 (-176) |
1 - 7
|
Prob to win: 49.71%
Game ELO: 2197 -> 2373 (+176) |
Brazil loss: upset (win expected)
|
||
| Brazil 2014 | 5-Jul-2014 | 2 | Quarter Finals |
Prob to win: 57.99%
Game ELO: 2157 -> 2199 (+42) |
2 - 1
|
Prob to win: 42.01%
Game ELO: 2101 -> 2059 (-42) |
Brazil win: expected
|
||
| Brazil 2014 | 28-Jun-2014 | 2 | Top 16 |
Prob to win: 71.99%
Game ELO: 2129 -> 2157 (+28) |
1 - 1 (aet)
3 - 2 (pen) |
Prob to win: 28.01%
Game ELO: 1965 -> 1937 (-28) |
Brazil win: expected
|
||
| Brazil 2014 | 23-Jun-2014 | 1 | Group A |
Prob to win: 2.76%
Game ELO: 1506 -> 1500 (-6) |
1 - 4
|
Prob to win: 96.41%
Game ELO: 2123 -> 2129 (+6) |
Brazil win: expected
|
Brasilia | |
| Brazil 2014 | 17-Jun-2014 | 1 | Group A |
Prob to win: 83.00%
Game ELO: 2159 -> 2123 (-36) |
0 - 0
|
Prob to win: 13.08%
Game ELO: 1838 -> 1874 (+36) |
Brazil draw: upset (win expected)
|
Fortaleza | |
| Brazil 2014 | 12-Jun-2014 | 1 | Group A |
Prob to win: 82.83%
Game ELO: 2138 -> 2159 (+21) |
3 - 1
|
Prob to win: 13.20%
Game ELO: 1819 -> 1798 (-21) |
Brazil win: expected
|
Sao Paulo | |
| South Africa 2010 | 2-Jul-2010 20:30 | 2 | Quarter Finals |
Prob to win: 42.15%
Game ELO: 2098 -> 2156 (+58) |
2 - 1
|
Prob to win: 57.85%
Game ELO: 2153 -> 2095 (-58) |
Brazil loss: upset (win expected)
|
Johannesburg |
Dunga |
| South Africa 2010 | 28-Jun-2010 20:30 | 2 | Top 16 |
Prob to win: 74.36%
Game ELO: 2102 -> 2153 (+51) |
3 - 0
|
Prob to win: 25.64%
Game ELO: 1917 -> 1866 (-51) |
Brazil win: expected
|
Johannesburg |
Dunga |
| South Africa 2010 | 25-Jun-2010 16:00 | 1 | Group G |
Prob to win: 20.02%
Game ELO: 1904 -> 1933 (+29) |
0 - 0
|
Prob to win: 73.97%
Game ELO: 2131 -> 2102 (-29) |
Brazil draw: upset (win expected)
|
Durban |
Dunga |
| South Africa 2010 | 20-Jun-2010 20:30 | 1 | Group G |
Prob to win: 85.58%
Game ELO: 2114 -> 2131 (+17) |
3 - 1
|
Prob to win: 11.09%
Game ELO: 1759 -> 1742 (-17) |
Brazil win: expected
|
Johannesburg - JSC |
Dunga |
| South Africa 2010 | 15-Jun-2010 20:30 | 1 | Group G |
Prob to win: 95.37%
Game ELO: 2110 -> 2114 (+4) |
2 - 1
|
Prob to win: 3.56%
Game ELO: 1539 -> 1535 (-4) |
Brazil win: expected
|
Johannesburg - JEP |
Dunga |
| Germany 2006 | 1-Jul-2006 | 2 | Quarter Finals |
Prob to win: 65.32%
Game ELO: 2147 -> 2082 (-65) |
0 - 1
|
Prob to win: 34.68%
Game ELO: 2037 -> 2102 (+65) |
Brazil loss: upset (win expected)
|
Frankfurt |
Carlos Alberto Parreira |
| Germany 2006 | 27-Jun-2006 | 2 | Top 16 |
Prob to win: 86.59%
Game ELO: 2120 -> 2147 (+27) |
3 - 0
|
Prob to win: 13.41%
Game ELO: 1796 -> 1769 (-27) |
Brazil win: expected
|
Dortmund |
Carlos Alberto Parreira |
| Germany 2006 | 22-Jun-2006 | 1 | Group F |
Prob to win: 10.45%
Game ELO: 1731 -> 1709 (-22) |
1 - 4
|
Prob to win: 86.42%
Game ELO: 2098 -> 2120 (+22) |
Brazil win: expected
|
Carlos Alberto Parreira |
|
| Germany 2006 | 18-Jun-2006 | 1 | Group F |
Prob to win: 69.18%
Game ELO: 2060 -> 2098 (+38) |
2 - 0
|
Prob to win: 23.71%
Game ELO: 1874 -> 1836 (-38) |
Brazil win: expected
|
Carlos Alberto Parreira |
|
| Germany 2006 | 13-Jun-2006 | 1 | Group F |
Prob to win: 70.63%
Game ELO: 2036 -> 2060 (+24) |
1 - 0
|
Prob to win: 22.59%
Game ELO: 1838 -> 1814 (-24) |
Brazil win: expected
|
Carlos Alberto Parreira |
|
| Korea/ Japan 2002 | 30-Jun-2002 | 2 | Final |
Prob to win: 42.15%
Game ELO: 2084 -> 2021 (-63) |
0 - 2
|
Prob to win: 57.85%
Game ELO: 2139 -> 2202 (+63) |
Brazil win: expected
|
Yokohama |
Luiz Felipe Scolari |
| Korea/ Japan 2002 | 26-Jun-2002 | 2 | Semi Finals |
Prob to win: 69.98%
Game ELO: 2060 -> 2139 (+79) |
1 - 0
|
Prob to win: 30.02%
Game ELO: 1913 -> 1889 (-24) |
Brazil win: expected
|
Saitama |
Luiz Felipe Scolari |
| Korea/ Japan 2002 | 21-Jun-2002 | 2 | Quarter Finals |
Prob to win: 49.86%
Game ELO: 2064 -> 2014 (-50) |
1 - 2
|
Prob to win: 50.14%
Game ELO: 2065 -> 2115 (+50) |
Brazil win: expected
|
Shizuoka |
Luiz Felipe Scolari |
| Korea/ Japan 2002 | 15-Jun-2002 | 2 | Top 16 |
Prob to win: 72.22%
Game ELO: 2023 -> 2065 (+42) |
2 - 0
|
Prob to win: 27.78%
Game ELO: 1857 -> 1815 (-42) |
Brazil win: expected
|
Niigata |
Luiz Felipe Scolari |
| Korea/ Japan 2002 | 13-Jun-2002 | 1 | Group C |
Prob to win: 26.13%
Game ELO: 1805 -> 1748 (-57) |
2 - 5
|
Prob to win: 66.03%
Game ELO: 1966 -> 2023 (+57) |
Brazil win: expected
|
Suwon World Cup Stadium, Suwon |
Luiz Felipe Scolari |
| Korea/ Japan 2002 | 8-Jun-2002 | 1 | Group C |
Prob to win: 77.96%
Game ELO: 1903 -> 1966 (+63) |
4 - 0
|
Prob to win: 16.96%
Game ELO: 1638 -> 1575 (-63) |
Brazil win: expected
|
Jeju World Cup Stadium, Seogwipo |
Luiz Felipe Scolari |
| Korea/ Japan 2002 | 3-Jun-2002 | 1 | Group C |
Prob to win: 59.31%
Game ELO: 1868 -> 1903 (+35) |
2 - 1
|
Prob to win: 31.30%
Game ELO: 1757 -> 1722 (-35) |
Brazil win: expected
|
Munsu Cup Stadium, Ulsan |
Luiz Felipe Scolari |
| France 1998 | 12-Jul-1998 | 2 | Final |
Prob to win: 48.13%
Game ELO: 2140 -> 2044 (-96) |
0 - 3
|
Prob to win: 51.87%
Game ELO: 2153 -> 2249 (+96) |
Brazil loss: expected
|
Saint-Denis |
Mário Zagallo |
| France 1998 | 7-Jul-1998 | 2 | Semi Finals |
Prob to win: 46.27%
Game ELO: 2086 -> 2140 (+54) |
1 - 1 (aet)
4 - 2 (pen) |
Prob to win: 53.73%
Game ELO: 2112 -> 2058 (-54) |
Brazil win: upset (loss expected)
|
Marseille |
Mário Zagallo |
| France 1998 | 3-Jul-1998 | 2 | Quarter Finals |
Prob to win: 67.88%
Game ELO: 2054 -> 2086 (+32) |
3 - 2
|
Prob to win: 32.12%
Game ELO: 1924 -> 1892 (-32) |
Brazil win: expected
|
Nantes |
Mário Zagallo |
| France 1998 | 27-Jun-1998 | 2 | Top 16 |
Prob to win: 82.39%
Game ELO: 2019 -> 2054 (+35) |
4 - 1
|
Prob to win: 17.61%
Game ELO: 1751 -> 1716 (-35) |
Brazil win: expected
|
Paris |
Mário Zagallo |
| France 1998 | 23-Jun-1998 | 1 | Group A |
Prob to win: 74.85%
Game ELO: 2098 -> 2019 (-79) |
1 - 2
|
Prob to win: 19.35%
Game ELO: 1863 -> 1942 (+79) |
Brazil loss: upset (win expected)
|
Stade Vélodrome, Marseille |
Mário Zagallo |
| France 1998 | 16-Jun-1998 | 1 | Group A |
Prob to win: 76.75%
Game ELO: 2060 -> 2098 (+38) |
3 - 0
|
Prob to win: 17.89%
Game ELO: 1807 -> 1769 (-38) |
Brazil win: expected
|
Stade de la Beaujoire, Nantes |
Mário Zagallo |
| France 1998 | 10-Jun-1998 | 1 | Group A |
Prob to win: 83.56%
Game ELO: 2047 -> 2060 (+13) |
2 - 1
|
Prob to win: 12.65%
Game ELO: 1719 -> 1706 (-13) |
Brazil win: expected
|
Stade de France, Saint-Denis |
Mário Zagallo |
| USA 1994 | 17-Jul-1994 | 2 | Final |
Prob to win: 55.73%
Game ELO: 2117 -> 2161 (+44) |
0 - 0 (aet)
3 - 2 (pen) |
Prob to win: 44.27%
Game ELO: 2077 -> 2033 (-44) |
Brazil win: expected
|
Pasadena |
Carlos Alberto Parreira |
| USA 1994 | 13-Jul-1994 | 2 | Semi Finals |
Prob to win: 28.47%
Game ELO: 1929 -> 1901 (-28) |
0 - 1
|
Prob to win: 71.53%
Game ELO: 2089 -> 2117 (+28) |
Brazil win: expected
|
Pasadena |
Carlos Alberto Parreira |
| USA 1994 | 9-Jul-1994 | 2 | Quarter Finals |
Prob to win: 55.45%
Game ELO: 2044 -> 2089 (+45) |
3 - 2
|
Prob to win: 44.55%
Game ELO: 2006 -> 1961 (-45) |
Brazil win: expected
|
Dallas |
Carlos Alberto Parreira |
| USA 1994 | 4-Jul-1994 | 2 | Top 16 |
Prob to win: 88.47%
Game ELO: 2032 -> 2044 (+12) |
1 - 0
|
Prob to win: 11.53%
Game ELO: 1678 -> 1666 (-12) |
Brazil win: expected
|
Stanford |
Carlos Alberto Parreira |
| USA 1994 | 28-Jun-1994 | 1 | Group B |
Prob to win: 58.75%
Game ELO: 2047 -> 2032 (-15) |
1 - 1
|
Prob to win: 31.73%
Game ELO: 1940 -> 1955 (+15) |
Brazil draw: upset (win expected)
|
Pontiac Silverdome, Pontiac |
Carlos Alberto Parreira |
| USA 1994 | 24-Jun-1994 | 1 | Group B |
Prob to win: 81.66%
Game ELO: 2018 -> 2047 (+29) |
3 - 0
|
Prob to win: 14.11%
Game ELO: 1713 -> 1684 (-29) |
Brazil win: expected
|
Stanford Stadium, Stanford |
Carlos Alberto Parreira |
| USA 1994 | 20-Jun-1994 | 1 | Group B |
Prob to win: 57.35%
Game ELO: 1963 -> 2018 (+55) |
2 - 0
|
Prob to win: 32.81%
Game ELO: 1866 -> 1811 (-55) |
Brazil win: expected
|
Stanford Stadium, Stanford |
Carlos Alberto Parreira |
| Italy 1990 | 24-Jun-1990 | 2 | Top 16 |
Prob to win: 78.60%
Game ELO: 2061 -> 1982 (-79) |
0 - 1
|
Prob to win: 21.40%
Game ELO: 1835 -> 1914 (+79) |
Brazil loss: upset (win expected)
|
Turin |
Sebastião Lazaroni |
| Italy 1990 | 20-Jun-1990 | 1 | Group C |
Prob to win: 80.78%
Game ELO: 2046 -> 2061 (+15) |
1 - 0
|
Prob to win: 14.78%
Game ELO: 1751 -> 1736 (-15) |
Brazil win: expected
|
Stadio Delle Alpi, Turin |
Sebastião Lazaroni |
| Italy 1990 | 16-Jun-1990 | 1 | Group C |
Prob to win: 85.66%
Game ELO: 2035 -> 2046 (+11) |
1 - 0
|
Prob to win: 11.03%
Game ELO: 1679 -> 1668 (-11) |
Brazil win: expected
|
Stadio Delle Alpi, Turin |
Sebastião Lazaroni |
| Italy 1990 | 10-Jun-1990 | 1 | Group C |
Prob to win: 48.62%
Game ELO: 1990 -> 2035 (+45) |
2 - 1
|
Prob to win: 39.52%
Game ELO: 1954 -> 1909 (-45) |
Brazil win: upset (loss expected)
|
Stadio Delle Alpi, Turin |
Sebastião Lazaroni |
| Mexico 1986 | 21-Jun-1986 | 2 | Quarter Finals |
Prob to win: 47.56%
Game ELO: 2086 -> 2138 (+52) |
1 - 1 (aet)
3 - 4 (pen) |
Prob to win: 52.44%
Game ELO: 2103 -> 2051 (-52) |
Brazil loss: expected
|
Guadalajara |
Telê Santana |
| Mexico 1986 | 16-Jun-1986 | 2 | Top 16 |
Prob to win: 82.13%
Game ELO: 2023 -> 2086 (+63) |
4 - 0
|
Prob to win: 17.87%
Game ELO: 1758 -> 1695 (-63) |
Brazil win: expected
|
Guadalajara |
Telê Santana |
| Mexico 1986 | 12-Jun-1986 | 1 | Group D |
Prob to win: 70.87%
Game ELO: 1975 -> 2023 (+48) |
3 - 0
|
Prob to win: 22.41%
Game ELO: 1775 -> 1727 (-48) |
Brazil win: expected
|
Estadio Jalisco, Guadalajara |
Telê Santana |
| Mexico 1986 | 6-Jun-1986 | 1 | Group D |
Prob to win: 82.59%
Game ELO: 1961 -> 1975 (+14) |
1 - 0
|
Prob to win: 13.39%
Game ELO: 1645 -> 1631 (-14) |
Brazil win: expected
|
Estadio Jalisco, Guadalajara |
Telê Santana |
| Mexico 1986 | 1-Jun-1986 | 1 | Group D |
Prob to win: 45.33%
Game ELO: 1913 -> 1961 (+48) |
1 - 0
|
Prob to win: 42.06%
Game ELO: 1900 -> 1852 (-48) |
Brazil win: upset (loss expected)
|
Estadio Jalisco, Guadalajara |
Telê Santana |
| Spain 1982 | 5-Jul-1982 | 2 | Group C |
Prob to win: 79.40%
Game ELO: 2210 -> 2127 (-83) |
2 - 3
|
Prob to win: 15.84%
Game ELO: 1930 -> 2013 (+83) |
Brazil loss: upset (win expected)
|
Estadio Sarriá, Barcelona |
Telê Santana |
| Spain 1982 | 2-Jul-1982 | 2 | Group C |
Prob to win: 20.89%
Game ELO: 1960 -> 1927 (-33) |
1 - 3
|
Prob to win: 72.85%
Game ELO: 2177 -> 2210 (+33) |
Brazil win: expected
|
Estadio Sarriá, Barcelona |
Telê Santana |
| Spain 1982 | 23-Jun-1982 | 1 | Group 6 |
Prob to win: 96.60%
Game ELO: 2168 -> 2177 (+9) |
4 - 0
|
Prob to win: 2.62%
Game ELO: 1541 -> 1532 (-9) |
Brazil win: expected
|
Estadio Benito Villamarín, Seville |
Telê Santana |
| Spain 1982 | 18-Jun-1982 | 1 | Group 6 |
Prob to win: 76.64%
Game ELO: 2130 -> 2168 (+38) |
4 - 1
|
Prob to win: 17.97%
Game ELO: 1878 -> 1840 (-38) |
Brazil win: expected
|
Estadio Benito Villamarín, Seville |
Telê Santana |
| Spain 1982 | 14-Jun-1982 | 1 | Group 6 |
Prob to win: 55.22%
Game ELO: 2092 -> 2130 (+38) |
2 - 1
|
Prob to win: 34.44%
Game ELO: 2010 -> 1972 (-38) |
Brazil win: expected
|
Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán, Seville |
Telê Santana |
| Argentina 1978 | 24-Jun-1978 | 3 | 3rd Place |
Prob to win: 66.36%
Game ELO: 2165 -> 2199 (+34) |
2 - 1
|
Prob to win: 33.64%
Game ELO: 2047 -> 2013 (-34) |
Brazil win: expected
|
Estadio Monumental, Buenos Aires |
Cláudio Coutinho |
| Argentina 1978 | 21-Jun-1978 | 2 | Group B |
Prob to win: 26.13%
Game ELO: 1961 -> 1918 (-43) |
1 - 3
|
Prob to win: 66.03%
Game ELO: 2122 -> 2165 (+43) |
Brazil win: expected
|
Estadio Ciudad de Mendoza, Mendoza |
Cláudio Coutinho |
| Argentina 1978 | 18-Jun-1978 | 2 | Group B |
Prob to win: 33.35%
Game ELO: 2043 -> 2056 (+13) |
0 - 0
|
Prob to win: 56.64%
Game ELO: 2135 -> 2122 (-13) |
Brazil draw: upset (win expected)
|
Estadio Gigante de Arroyito, Rosario |
Cláudio Coutinho |
| Argentina 1978 | 14-Jun-1978 | 2 | Group B |
Prob to win: 31.84%
Game ELO: 1959 -> 1889 (-70) |
0 - 3
|
Prob to win: 58.61%
Game ELO: 2065 -> 2135 (+70) |
Brazil win: expected
|
Estadio Ciudad de Mendoza, Mendoza |
Cláudio Coutinho |
| Argentina 1978 | 11-Jun-1978 | 1 | Group 3 |
Prob to win: 52.65%
Game ELO: 2024 -> 2065 (+41) |
1 - 0
|
Prob to win: 36.42%
Game ELO: 1960 -> 1919 (-41) |
Brazil win: expected
|
Estadio José Maria Minella, Mar del Plata |
Cláudio Coutinho |
| Argentina 1978 | 7-Jun-1978 | 1 | Group 3 |
Prob to win: 64.46%
Game ELO: 2044 -> 2024 (-20) |
0 - 0
|
Prob to win: 27.34%
Game ELO: 1895 -> 1915 (+20) |
Brazil draw: upset (win expected)
|
Estadio José Maria Minella, Mar del Plata |
Cláudio Coutinho |
| Argentina 1978 | 3-Jun-1978 | 1 | Group 3 |
Prob to win: 80.06%
Game ELO: 2078 -> 2044 (-34) |
1 - 1
|
Prob to win: 15.34%
Game ELO: 1791 -> 1825 (+34) |
Brazil draw: upset (win expected)
|
Estadio José Maria Minella, Mar del Plata |
Cláudio Coutinho |
| West Germany 1974 | 6-Jul-1974 | 3 | 3rd Place |
Prob to win: 46.55%
Game ELO: 2064 -> 2017 (-47) |
0 - 1
|
Prob to win: 53.45%
Game ELO: 2088 -> 2135 (+47) |
Brazil loss: expected
|
Olympiastadion, Munich |
Mário Zagallo |
| West Germany 1974 | 3-Jul-1974 | 2 | Group A |
Prob to win: 47.19%
Game ELO: 2159 -> 2228 (+69) |
2 - 0
|
Prob to win: 40.63%
Game ELO: 2133 -> 2064 (-69) |
Brazil loss: expected
|
Westfalenstadion, Dortmund |
Mário Zagallo |
| West Germany 1974 | 30-Jun-1974 | 2 | Group A |
Prob to win: 10.82%
Game ELO: 1762 -> 1751 (-11) |
1 - 2
|
Prob to win: 85.94%
Game ELO: 2122 -> 2133 (+11) |
Brazil win: expected
|
Niedersachsenstadion, Hanover |
Mário Zagallo |
| West Germany 1974 | 26-Jun-1974 | 2 | Group A |
Prob to win: 52.51%
Game ELO: 2081 -> 2122 (+41) |
1 - 0
|
Prob to win: 36.53%
Game ELO: 2018 -> 1977 (-41) |
Brazil win: expected
|
Niedersachsenstadion, Hanover |
Mário Zagallo |
| West Germany 1974 | 22-Jun-1974 | 1 | Group 2 |
Prob to win: 8.03%
Game ELO: 1646 -> 1630 (-16) |
0 - 3
|
Prob to win: 89.56%
Game ELO: 2065 -> 2081 (+16) |
Brazil win: expected
|
Parkstadion, Gelsenkirchen |
Mário Zagallo |
| West Germany 1974 | 18-Jun-1974 | 1 | Group 2 |
Prob to win: 22.05%
Game ELO: 1887 -> 1913 (+26) |
0 - 0
|
Prob to win: 71.34%
Game ELO: 2091 -> 2065 (-26) |
Brazil draw: upset (win expected)
|
Waldstadion, Frankfurt |
Mário Zagallo |
| West Germany 1974 | 13-Jun-1974 | 1 | Group 2 |
Prob to win: 68.56%
Game ELO: 2115 -> 2091 (-24) |
0 - 0
|
Prob to win: 24.19%
Game ELO: 1934 -> 1958 (+24) |
Brazil draw: upset (win expected)
|
Waldstadion, Frankfurt |
Mário Zagallo |
| Mexico 1970 | 21-Jun-1970 | 2 | Final |
Prob to win: 64.40%
Game ELO: 2204 -> 2275 (+71) |
4 - 1
|
Prob to win: 35.60%
Game ELO: 2101 -> 2030 (-71) |
Brazil win: expected
|
Mexico City |
Mário Zagallo |
| Mexico 1970 | 17-Jun-1970 | 2 | Semi Finals |
Prob to win: 18.12%
Game ELO: 1915 -> 1888 (-27) |
1 - 3
|
Prob to win: 81.88%
Game ELO: 2177 -> 2204 (+27) |
Brazil win: expected
|
Guadalajara |
Mário Zagallo |
| Mexico 1970 | 14-Jun-1970 | 2 | Quarter Finals |
Prob to win: 88.23%
Game ELO: 2159 -> 2177 (+18) |
4 - 2
|
Prob to win: 11.77%
Game ELO: 1809 -> 1791 (-18) |
Brazil win: expected
|
Guadalajara |
Mário Zagallo |
| Mexico 1970 | 10-Jun-1970 | 1 | Group 3 |
Prob to win: 81.66%
Game ELO: 2144 -> 2159 (+15) |
3 - 2
|
Prob to win: 14.11%
Game ELO: 1839 -> 1824 (-15) |
Brazil win: expected
|
Estadio Jalisco, Guadalajara |
Mário Zagallo |
| Mexico 1970 | 7-Jun-1970 | 1 | Group 3 |
Prob to win: 45.18%
Game ELO: 2096 -> 2144 (+48) |
1 - 0
|
Prob to win: 42.17%
Game ELO: 2084 -> 2036 (-48) |
Brazil win: upset (loss expected)
|
Estadio Jalisco, Guadalajara |
Mário Zagallo |
| Mexico 1970 | 3-Jun-1970 | 1 | Group 3 |
Prob to win: 51.21%
Game ELO: 2011 -> 2096 (+85) |
4 - 1
|
Prob to win: 37.53%
Game ELO: 1957 -> 1872 (-85) |
Brazil win: expected
|
Estadio Jalisco, Guadalajara |
Mário Zagallo |
| England 1966 | 19-Jul-1966 | 1 | Group 3 |
Prob to win: 51.21%
Game ELO: 1986 -> 2049 (+63) |
3 - 1
|
Prob to win: 37.53%
Game ELO: 1932 -> 1869 (-63) |
Brazil loss: expected
|
Goodison Park, Liverpool |
Vicente Feola |
| England 1966 | 15-Jul-1966 | 1 | Group 3 |
Prob to win: 23.62%
Game ELO: 1857 -> 1969 (+112) |
3 - 1
|
Prob to win: 69.30%
Game ELO: 2044 -> 1932 (-112) |
Brazil loss: upset (win expected)
|
Goodison Park, Liverpool |
Vicente Feola |
| England 1966 | 12-Jul-1966 | 1 | Group 3 |
Prob to win: 72.50%
Game ELO: 2010 -> 2044 (+34) |
2 - 0
|
Prob to win: 21.15%
Game ELO: 1796 -> 1762 (-34) |
Brazil win: expected
|
Goodison Park, Liverpool |
Vicente Feola |
| Chile 1962 | 17-Jun-1962 | 2 | Final |
Prob to win: 68.26%
Game ELO: 2203 -> 2251 (+48) |
3 - 1
|
Prob to win: 31.74%
Game ELO: 2070 -> 2022 (-48) |
Brazil win: expected
|
Santiago |
Aymoré Moreira |
| Chile 1962 | 13-Jun-1962 | 2 | Semi Finals |
Prob to win: 17.20%
Game ELO: 1904 -> 1878 (-26) |
2 - 4
|
Prob to win: 82.80%
Game ELO: 2177 -> 2203 (+26) |
Brazil win: expected
|
Santiago |
Aymoré Moreira |
| Chile 1962 | 10-Jun-1962 | 2 | Quarter Finals |
Prob to win: 74.80%
Game ELO: 2139 -> 2177 (+38) |
3 - 1
|
Prob to win: 25.20%
Game ELO: 1950 -> 1912 (-38) |
Brazil win: expected
|
Viña del Mar |
Aymoré Moreira |
| Chile 1962 | 6-Jun-1962 | 1 | Group 3 |
Prob to win: 66.67%
Game ELO: 2111 -> 2139 (+28) |
2 - 1
|
Prob to win: 25.64%
Game ELO: 1945 -> 1917 (-28) |
Brazil win: expected
|
Estadio Sausalito, Viña del Mar |
Aymoré Moreira |
| Chile 1962 | 2-Jun-1962 | 1 | Group 3 |
Prob to win: 58.05%
Game ELO: 2125 -> 2111 (-14) |
0 - 0
|
Prob to win: 32.27%
Game ELO: 2023 -> 2037 (+14) |
Brazil draw: upset (win expected)
|
Estadio Sausalito, Viña del Mar |
Aymoré Moreira |
| Chile 1962 | 30-May-1962 | 1 | Group 3 |
Prob to win: 80.60%
Game ELO: 2102 -> 2125 (+23) |
2 - 0
|
Prob to win: 14.92%
Game ELO: 1809 -> 1786 (-23) |
Brazil win: expected
|
Estadio Sausalito, Viña del Mar |
Aymoré Moreira |
| Sweden 1958 | 29-Jun-1958 | 2 | Final |
Prob to win: 33.51%
Game ELO: 2089 -> 2022 (-67) |
2 - 5
|
Prob to win: 66.49%
Game ELO: 2208 -> 2275 (+67) |
Brazil win: expected
|
Solna |
Vicente Feola |
| Sweden 1958 | 24-Jun-1958 | 2 | Semi Finals |
Prob to win: 43.98%
Game ELO: 2078 -> 1990 (-88) |
2 - 5
|
Prob to win: 56.02%
Game ELO: 2120 -> 2208 (+88) |
Brazil win: expected
|
Solna |
Vicente Feola |
| Sweden 1958 | 19-Jun-1958 | 2 | Quarter Finals |
Prob to win: 80.74%
Game ELO: 2101 -> 2120 (+19) |
1 - 0
|
Prob to win: 19.26%
Game ELO: 1852 -> 1833 (-19) |
Brazil win: expected
|
Gothenburg |
Vicente Feola |
| Sweden 1958 | 15-Jun-1958 | 1 | Group 4 |
Prob to win: 55.65%
Game ELO: 2044 -> 2101 (+57) |
2 - 0
|
Prob to win: 34.12%
Game ELO: 1959 -> 1902 (-57) |
Brazil win: expected
|
Ullevi, Gothenburg |
Vicente Feola |
| Sweden 1958 | 11-Jun-1958 | 1 | Group 4 |
Prob to win: 52.22%
Game ELO: 2053 -> 2044 (-9) |
0 - 0
|
Prob to win: 36.76%
Game ELO: 1992 -> 2001 (+9) |
Brazil draw: upset (win expected)
|
Ullevi, Gothenburg |
Vicente Feola |
| Sweden 1958 | 8-Jun-1958 | 1 | Group 4 |
Prob to win: 53.94%
Game ELO: 1974 -> 2053 (+79) |
3 - 0
|
Prob to win: 35.43%
Game ELO: 1901 -> 1822 (-79) |
Brazil win: expected
|
Rimnersvallen, Uddevalla |
Vicente Feola |
| Switzerland 1954 | 27-Jun-1954 | 2 | Quarter Finals |
Prob to win: 25.20%
Game ELO: 2059 -> 2021 (-38) |
2 - 4
|
Prob to win: 74.80%
Game ELO: 2248 -> 2286 (+38) |
Brazil loss: expected
|
Bern |
Zezé Moreira |
| Switzerland 1954 | 19-Jun-1954 | 1 | Group 1 |
Prob to win: 59.86%
Game ELO: 2075 -> 2059 (-16) |
1 - 1
|
Prob to win: 30.88%
Game ELO: 1960 -> 1976 (+16) |
Brazil draw: upset (win expected)
|
Stade Olympique de la Pontaise, Lausanne |
Zezé Moreira |
| Switzerland 1954 | 16-Jun-1954 | 1 | Group 1 |
Prob to win: 84.33%
Game ELO: 2031 -> 2075 (+44) |
5 - 0
|
Prob to win: 12.05%
Game ELO: 1693 -> 1649 (-44) |
Brazil win: expected
|
Charmilles Stadium, Geneva |
Zezé Moreira |
| Brazil 1950 | 16-Jul-1950 | 2 | Group A |
Prob to win: 8.28%
Game ELO: 1874 -> 1966 (+92) |
2 - 1
|
Prob to win: 89.24%
Game ELO: 2287 -> 2195 (-92) |
Brazil loss: upset (win expected)
|
Estádio do Maracanã, Rio de Janeiro |
Flávio Costa |
| Brazil 1950 | 13-Jul-1950 | 2 | Group A |
Prob to win: 76.64%
Game ELO: 2221 -> 2287 (+66) |
6 - 1
|
Prob to win: 17.97%
Game ELO: 1969 -> 1903 (-66) |
Brazil win: expected
|
Estádio do Maracanã, Rio de Janeiro |
Flávio Costa |
| Brazil 1950 | 9-Jul-1950 | 2 | Group A |
Prob to win: 56.07%
Game ELO: 2089 -> 2221 (+132) |
7 - 1
|
Prob to win: 33.79%
Game ELO: 2001 -> 1869 (-132) |
Brazil win: expected
|
Estádio do Maracanã, Rio de Janeiro |
Flávio Costa |
| Brazil 1950 | 1-Jul-1950 | 1 | Group 1 |
Prob to win: 56.36%
Game ELO: 2033 -> 2089 (+56) |
2 - 0
|
Prob to win: 33.57%
Game ELO: 1943 -> 1887 (-56) |
Brazil win: expected
|
Estádio do Maracanã, Rio de Janeiro |
Flávio Costa |
| Brazil 1950 | 28-Jun-1950 | 1 | Group 1 |
Prob to win: 90.49%
Game ELO: 2076 -> 2033 (-43) |
2 - 2
|
Prob to win: 7.31%
Game ELO: 1639 -> 1682 (+43) |
Brazil draw: upset (win expected)
|
Estádio do Pacaembu, São Paulo |
Flávio Costa |
| Brazil 1950 | 24-Jun-1950 | 1 | Group 1 |
Prob to win: 63.66%
Game ELO: 1969 -> 2076 (+107) |
4 - 0
|
Prob to win: 27.95%
Game ELO: 1826 -> 1719 (-107) |
Brazil win: expected
|
Estádio do Maracanã, Rio de Janeiro |
Flávio Costa |
| France 1938 | 19-Jun-1938 | 1 | 3rd Place |
Prob to win: 77.62%
Game ELO: 1929 -> 1963 (+34) |
4 - 2
|
Prob to win: 22.38%
Game ELO: 1713 -> 1679 (-34) |
Brazil win: expected
|
Bordeaux |
Adhemar Pimenta |
| France 1938 | 16-Jun-1938 | 1 | Semi Finals |
Prob to win: 66.23%
Game ELO: 2080 -> 2114 (+34) |
2 - 1
|
Prob to win: 33.77%
Game ELO: 1963 -> 1929 (-34) |
Brazil loss: expected
|
Marseille |
Adhemar Pimenta |
| France 1938 | 14-Jun-1938 | 1 | Quarter Finals Replay |
Prob to win: 48.48%
Game ELO: 1918 -> 1963 (+45) |
2 - 1
|
Prob to win: 39.63%
Game ELO: 1883 -> 1838 (-45) |
Brazil win: upset (loss expected)
|
Bordeaux |
Adhemar Pimenta |
| France 1938 | 12-Jun-1938 | 1 | Quarter Finals |
Prob to win: 57.01%
Game ELO: 1925 -> 1918 (-7) |
1 - 1
|
Prob to win: 42.99%
Game ELO: 1876 -> 1883 (+7) |
Brazil draw: upset (win expected)
|
Bordeaux |
Adhemar Pimenta |
| France 1938 | 5-Jun-1938 | 1 | Top 16 |
Prob to win: 82.96%
Game ELO: 1908 -> 1925 (+17) |
6 - 5 (aet)
|
Prob to win: 17.04%
Game ELO: 1633 -> 1616 (-17) |
Brazil win: expected
|
Strasbourg |
Adhemar Pimenta |
| Italy 1934 | 27-May-1934 | 1 | Top 16 |
Prob to win: 49.42%
Game ELO: 1935 -> 2011 (+76) |
3 - 1
|
Prob to win: 50.58%
Game ELO: 1939 -> 1863 (-76) |
Brazil loss: upset (win expected)
|
Genoa |
Luiz Vinhaes |
| Uruguay 1930 | 20-Jul-1930 | 1 | Group 2 |
Prob to win: 96.33%
Game ELO: 1841 -> 1851 (+10) |
4 - 0
|
Prob to win: 2.83%
Game ELO: 1228 -> 1218 (-10) |
Brazil win: expected
|
Estadio Centenario, Montevideo |
Píndaro de Carvalho Rodrigues |
| Uruguay 1930 | 14-Jul-1930 | 1 | Group 2 |
Prob to win: 11.09%
Game ELO: 1575 -> 1664 (+89) |
2 - 1
|
Prob to win: 85.58%
Game ELO: 1930 -> 1841 (-89) |
Brazil loss: upset (win expected)
|
Estadio Parque Central, Montevideo |
Píndaro de Carvalho Rodrigues |
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