Brazil details

Brazil

Statistics:
  • Games: 109
  • Expected results: 90 (82.57%)
  • Unexpected results: 19 (17.43%)
  • Unknown games: 0
  • Record: 76 Won, 19 Lost, 14 Drawn, 0 Unknown
  • Last five games: LWWWD
  • Expected wins: 74 (67.89%)
  • Expected losses: 16 (14.68%)
  • Unexpected wins: 2 (1.83%)
  • Unexpected losses: 3 (2.75%)
  • Unexpected draws: 14 (12.84%)
  • Wins (+1pt for expected, +3 for unexpected): 80
  • Losses (-1pt for expected, -3 for unexpected): -25
  • Draws (-1pt if fav, +1pt if underdog): 14
  • Total: 69

Tournament Game Time Round Group Name Score Odds Analysis Location Coach
Russia 2018 06-Jul-2018 21:00 2 Quarter Finals Brazil
Prob to win: 43.84%
Game ELO: 2142 -> 2099 ( -43)
1 - 2
Belgium
Prob to win: 56.16%
Game ELO: 1939 -> 2129 ( + 190)
Brazil loss: expected
Kazan Arena, Kazan
Russia 2018 02-Jul-2018 18:00 2 Top 16 Brazil
Prob to win: 85.55%
Game ELO: 2142 -> 2162 ( + 20)
2 - 0
Mexico
Prob to win: 14.45%
Game ELO: 1850 -> 1790 ( -60)
Brazil win: expected
Cosmos Arena, Samara
Russia 2018 27-Jun-2018 19:00 1 Group E Serbia
Prob to win: 12.89%
Game ELO: 1786 -> 1767 ( -19)
0 - 2
Brazil
Prob to win: 87.11%
Game ELO: 2124 -> 2143 ( + 19)
Brazil win: expected
Otkrytie Arena, Moscow
Russia 2018 22-Jun-2018 13:00 1 Group E Brazil
Prob to win: 89.91%
Game ELO: 2111 -> 2124 ( + 13)
2 - 0
Costa Rica
Prob to win: 10.09%
Game ELO: 1699 -> 1686 ( -13)
Brazil win: expected
Krestovsky Stadium, Saint Petersburg
Russia 2018 17-Jun-2018 19:00 1 Group E Brazil
Prob to win: 78.21%
Game ELO: 2142 -> 2111 ( -31)
1 - 1
Switzerland
Prob to win: 21.79%
Game ELO: 1890 -> 1921 ( + 31)
Brazil draw: upset (win expected)
Rostov Arena, Rostov-on-Don
Brazil 2014 12-Jul-2014 2 3rd Place Brazil
Prob to win: 18.73%
Game ELO: 1955 -> 1958 ( + 3)
0 - 3
Netherlands
Prob to win: 81.27%
Game ELO: 2148 -> 2213 ( + 65)
Brazil loss: expected
Brazil 2014 08-Jul-2014 2 Semi Finals Brazil
Prob to win: 7.16%
Game ELO: 2199 -> 2023 ( -176)
1 - 7
Germany
Prob to win: 92.84%
Game ELO: 2197 -> 2373 ( + 176)
Brazil loss: expected
Brazil 2014 05-Jul-2014 2 Quarter Finals Brazil
Prob to win: 35.86%
Game ELO: 2157 -> 2199 ( + 42)
2 - 1
Colombia
Prob to win: 64.14%
Game ELO: 2101 -> 2059 ( -42)
Brazil win: upset (loss expected)
Brazil 2014 28-Jun-2014 2 Top 16 Brazil
Prob to win: 53.02%
Game ELO: 2129 -> 2157 ( + 28)
1 - 1 (aet)
3 - 2 (pen)
Chile
Prob to win: 46.98%
Game ELO: 1965 -> 1937 ( -28)
Brazil win: expected
Brazil 2014 23-Jun-2014 1 Group A Cameroon
Prob to win: 6.68%
Game ELO: 1506 -> 1500 ( -6)
1 - 4
Brazil
Prob to win: 93.32%
Game ELO: 2123 -> 2129 ( + 6)
Brazil win: expected
Brasilia
Brazil 2014 17-Jun-2014 1 Group A Brazil
Prob to win: 53.73%
Game ELO: 2159 -> 2123 ( -36)
0 - 0
Mexico
Prob to win: 46.27%
Game ELO: 1838 -> 1874 ( + 36)
Brazil draw: upset (win expected)
Fortaleza
Brazil 2014 12-Jun-2014 1 Group A Brazil
Prob to win: 71.05%
Game ELO: 2138 -> 2159 ( + 21)
3 - 1
Croatia
Prob to win: 28.95%
Game ELO: 1819 -> 1798 ( -21)
Brazil win: expected
Sao Paulo
South Africa 2010 02-Jul-2010 20:30 2 Quarter Finals Netherlands
Prob to win: 56.16%
Game ELO: 2098 -> 2156 ( + 58)
2 - 1
Brazil
Prob to win: 43.84%
Game ELO: 2153 -> 2095 ( -58)
Brazil loss: expected
Johannesburg Dunga
South Africa 2010 28-Jun-2010 20:30 2 Top 16 Brazil
Prob to win: 78.89%
Game ELO: 2102 -> 2153 ( + 51)
3 - 0
Chile
Prob to win: 21.11%
Game ELO: 1917 -> 1866 ( -51)
Brazil win: expected
Johannesburg Dunga
South Africa 2010 25-Jun-2010 16:00 1 Group G Portugal
Prob to win: 24.88%
Game ELO: 1904 -> 1933 ( + 29)
0 - 0
Brazil
Prob to win: 75.12%
Game ELO: 2131 -> 2102 ( -29)
Brazil draw: upset (win expected)
Durban Dunga
South Africa 2010 20-Jun-2010 20:30 1 Group G Brazil
Prob to win: 85.98%
Game ELO: 2114 -> 2131 ( + 17)
3 - 1
Ivory Coast
Prob to win: 14.02%
Game ELO: 1759 -> 1742 ( -17)
Brazil win: expected
Johannesburg - JSC Dunga
South Africa 2010 15-Jun-2010 20:30 1 Group G Brazil
Prob to win: 97.62%
Game ELO: 2110 -> 2114 ( + 4)
2 - 1
North Korea
Prob to win: 2.38%
Game ELO: 1539 -> 1535 ( -4)
Brazil win: expected
Johannesburg - JEP Dunga
Germany 2006 01-Jul-2006 2 Quarter Finals Brazil
Prob to win: 48.99%
Game ELO: 2147 -> 2082 ( -65)
0 - 1
France
Prob to win: 51.01%
Game ELO: 2037 -> 2102 ( + 65)
Brazil loss: expected
Frankfurt Carlos Alberto Parreira
Germany 2006 27-Jun-2006 2 Top 16 Brazil
Prob to win: 85.84%
Game ELO: 2120 -> 2147 ( + 27)
3 - 0
Ghana
Prob to win: 14.16%
Game ELO: 1796 -> 1769 ( -27)
Brazil win: expected
Dortmund Carlos Alberto Parreira
Germany 2006 22-Jun-2006 1 Group F Japan
Prob to win: 10.46%
Game ELO: 1731 -> 1709 ( -22)
1 - 4
Brazil
Prob to win: 89.54%
Game ELO: 2098 -> 2120 ( + 22)
Brazil win: expected
Carlos Alberto Parreira
Germany 2006 18-Jun-2006 1 Group F Brazil
Prob to win: 83.21%
Game ELO: 2060 -> 2098 ( + 38)
2 - 0
Australia
Prob to win: 16.79%
Game ELO: 1874 -> 1836 ( -38)
Brazil win: expected
Carlos Alberto Parreira
Germany 2006 13-Jun-2006 1 Group F Brazil
Prob to win: 83.13%
Game ELO: 2036 -> 2060 ( + 24)
1 - 0
Croatia
Prob to win: 16.87%
Game ELO: 1838 -> 1814 ( -24)
Brazil win: expected
Carlos Alberto Parreira
Korea/ Japan 2002 30-Jun-2002 2 Final Germany
Prob to win: 27.20%
Game ELO: 2110 -> 2035 ( -75)
0 - 2
Brazil
Prob to win: 72.80%
Game ELO: 2115 -> 2206 ( + 91)
Brazil win: expected
Yokohama Luiz Felipe Scolari
Korea/ Japan 2002 26-Jun-2002 2 Semi Finals Brazil
Prob to win: 81.01%
Game ELO: 2060 -> 2139 ( + 79)
1 - 0
Turkey
Prob to win: 18.99%
Game ELO: 1913 -> 1889 ( -24)
Brazil win: expected
Saitama Luiz Felipe Scolari
Korea/ Japan 2002 21-Jun-2002 2 Quarter Finals England
Prob to win: 24.88%
Game ELO: 2064 -> 2014 ( -50)
1 - 2
Brazil
Prob to win: 75.12%
Game ELO: 2065 -> 2115 ( + 50)
Brazil win: expected
Shizuoka Luiz Felipe Scolari
Korea/ Japan 2002 15-Jun-2002 2 Top 16 Brazil
Prob to win: 90.47%
Game ELO: 2023 -> 2065 ( + 42)
2 - 0
Belgium
Prob to win: 9.53%
Game ELO: 1857 -> 1815 ( -42)
Brazil win: expected
Niigata Luiz Felipe Scolari
Korea/ Japan 2002 13-Jun-2002 1 Group C Costa Rica
Prob to win: 6.68%
Game ELO: 1805 -> 1748 ( -57)
2 - 5
Brazil
Prob to win: 93.32%
Game ELO: 1966 -> 2023 ( + 57)
Brazil win: expected
Suwon World Cup Stadium, Suwon Luiz Felipe Scolari
Korea/ Japan 2002 08-Jun-2002 1 Group C Brazil
Prob to win: 98.13%
Game ELO: 1903 -> 1966 ( + 63)
4 - 0
China PR
Prob to win: 1.87%
Game ELO: 1638 -> 1575 ( -63)
Brazil win: expected
Jeju World Cup Stadium, Seogwipo Luiz Felipe Scolari
Korea/ Japan 2002 03-Jun-2002 1 Group C Brazil
Prob to win: 81.01%
Game ELO: 1868 -> 1903 ( + 35)
2 - 1
Turkey
Prob to win: 18.99%
Game ELO: 1757 -> 1722 ( -35)
Brazil win: expected
Munsu Cup Stadium, Ulsan Luiz Felipe Scolari
France 1998 12-Jul-1998 2 Final Brazil
Prob to win: 20.83%
Game ELO: 2167 -> 2087 ( -80)
0 - 3
France
Prob to win: 79.17%
Game ELO: 2197 -> 2319 ( + 122)
Brazil loss: expected
Saint-Denis Mário Zagallo
France 1998 07-Jul-1998 2 Semi Finals Brazil
Prob to win: 63.61%
Game ELO: 2086 -> 2167 ( + 81)
1 - 1 (aet)
4 - 2 (pen)
Netherlands
Prob to win: 36.39%
Game ELO: 2112 -> 2031 ( -81)
Brazil win: expected
Marseille Mário Zagallo
France 1998 03-Jul-1998 2 Quarter Finals Brazil
Prob to win: 75.45%
Game ELO: 2054 -> 2086 ( + 32)
3 - 2
Denmark
Prob to win: 24.55%
Game ELO: 1924 -> 1892 ( -32)
Brazil win: expected
Nantes Mário Zagallo
France 1998 27-Jun-1998 2 Top 16 Brazil
Prob to win: 89.43%
Game ELO: 2019 -> 2054 ( + 35)
4 - 1
Chile
Prob to win: 10.57%
Game ELO: 1751 -> 1716 ( -35)
Brazil win: expected
Paris Mário Zagallo
France 1998 23-Jun-1998 1 Group A Brazil
Prob to win: 74.25%
Game ELO: 2098 -> 2019 ( -79)
1 - 2
Norway
Prob to win: 25.75%
Game ELO: 1863 -> 1942 ( + 79)
Brazil loss: upset (win expected)
Stade Vélodrome, Marseille Mário Zagallo
France 1998 16-Jun-1998 1 Group A Brazil
Prob to win: 78.89%
Game ELO: 2060 -> 2098 ( + 38)
3 - 0
Morocco
Prob to win: 21.11%
Game ELO: 1807 -> 1769 ( -38)
Brazil win: expected
Stade de la Beaujoire, Nantes Mário Zagallo
France 1998 10-Jun-1998 1 Group A Brazil
Prob to win: 92.87%
Game ELO: 2047 -> 2060 ( + 13)
2 - 1
Scotland
Prob to win: 7.13%
Game ELO: 1719 -> 1706 ( -13)
Brazil win: expected
Stade de France, Saint-Denis Mário Zagallo
USA 1994 17-Jul-1994 2 Final Brazil
Prob to win: 67.63%
Game ELO: 2130 -> 2175 ( + 45)
0 - 0 (aet)
3 - 2 (pen)
Italy
Prob to win: 32.37%
Game ELO: 2092 -> 2047 ( -45)
Brazil win: expected
Pasadena Carlos Alberto Parreira
USA 1994 13-Jul-1994 2 Semi Finals Sweden
Prob to win: 49.14%
Game ELO: 2029 -> 1988 ( -41)
0 - 1
Brazil
Prob to win: 50.86%
Game ELO: 2089 -> 2130 ( + 41)
Brazil win: expected
Pasadena Carlos Alberto Parreira
USA 1994 09-Jul-1994 2 Quarter Finals Brazil
Prob to win: 77.41%
Game ELO: 2044 -> 2089 ( + 45)
3 - 2
Netherlands
Prob to win: 22.59%
Game ELO: 2006 -> 1961 ( -45)
Brazil win: expected
Dallas Carlos Alberto Parreira
USA 1994 04-Jul-1994 2 Top 16 Brazil
Prob to win: 94.93%
Game ELO: 2032 -> 2044 ( + 12)
1 - 0
USA
Prob to win: 5.07%
Game ELO: 1678 -> 1666 ( -12)
Brazil win: expected
Stanford Carlos Alberto Parreira
USA 1994 28-Jun-1994 1 Group B Brazil
Prob to win: 50.86%
Game ELO: 2047 -> 2032 ( -15)
1 - 1
Sweden
Prob to win: 49.14%
Game ELO: 1940 -> 1955 ( + 15)
Brazil draw: upset (win expected)
Pontiac Silverdome, Pontiac Carlos Alberto Parreira
USA 1994 24-Jun-1994 1 Group B Brazil
Prob to win: 97.45%
Game ELO: 2018 -> 2047 ( + 29)
3 - 0
Cameroon
Prob to win: 2.55%
Game ELO: 1713 -> 1684 ( -29)
Brazil win: expected
Stanford Stadium, Stanford Carlos Alberto Parreira
USA 1994 20-Jun-1994 1 Group B Brazil
Prob to win: 83.60%
Game ELO: 1963 -> 2018 ( + 55)
2 - 0
Russia
Prob to win: 16.40%
Game ELO: 1866 -> 1811 ( -55)
Brazil win: expected
Stanford Stadium, Stanford Carlos Alberto Parreira
Italy 1990 24-Jun-1990 2 Top 16 Brazil
Prob to win: 46.55%
Game ELO: 2061 -> 1982 ( -79)
0 - 1
Argentina
Prob to win: 53.45%
Game ELO: 1835 -> 1914 ( + 79)
Brazil loss: expected
Turin Sebastião Lazaroni
Italy 1990 20-Jun-1990 1 Group C Brazil
Prob to win: 80.47%
Game ELO: 2046 -> 2061 ( + 15)
1 - 0
Scotland
Prob to win: 19.53%
Game ELO: 1751 -> 1736 ( -15)
Brazil win: expected
Stadio Delle Alpi, Turin Sebastião Lazaroni
Italy 1990 16-Jun-1990 1 Group C Brazil
Prob to win: 85.19%
Game ELO: 2035 -> 2046 ( + 11)
1 - 0
Costa Rica
Prob to win: 14.81%
Game ELO: 1679 -> 1668 ( -11)
Brazil win: expected
Stadio Delle Alpi, Turin Sebastião Lazaroni
Italy 1990 10-Jun-1990 1 Group C Brazil
Prob to win: 78.50%
Game ELO: 1990 -> 2035 ( + 45)
2 - 1
Sweden
Prob to win: 21.50%
Game ELO: 1954 -> 1909 ( -45)
Brazil win: expected
Stadio Delle Alpi, Turin Sebastião Lazaroni
Mexico 1986 21-Jun-1986 2 Quarter Finals Brazil
Prob to win: 41.31%
Game ELO: 2086 -> 2038 ( -48)
1 - 1 (aet)
3 - 4 (pen)
France
Prob to win: 58.69%
Game ELO: 2103 -> 2151 ( + 48)
Brazil loss: expected
Guadalajara Telê Santana
Mexico 1986 16-Jun-1986 2 Top 16 Brazil
Prob to win: 87.81%
Game ELO: 2023 -> 2086 ( + 63)
4 - 0
Poland
Prob to win: 12.19%
Game ELO: 1758 -> 1695 ( -63)
Brazil win: expected
Guadalajara Telê Santana
Mexico 1986 12-Jun-1986 1 Group D Brazil
Prob to win: 85.70%
Game ELO: 1975 -> 2023 ( + 48)
3 - 0
Northern Ireland
Prob to win: 14.30%
Game ELO: 1775 -> 1727 ( -48)
Brazil win: expected
Estadio Jalisco, Guadalajara Telê Santana
Mexico 1986 06-Jun-1986 1 Group D Brazil
Prob to win: 92.72%
Game ELO: 1961 -> 1975 ( + 14)
1 - 0
Algeria
Prob to win: 7.28%
Game ELO: 1645 -> 1631 ( -14)
Brazil win: expected
Estadio Jalisco, Guadalajara Telê Santana
Mexico 1986 01-Jun-1986 1 Group D Brazil
Prob to win: 39.92%
Game ELO: 1913 -> 1961 ( + 48)
1 - 0
Spain
Prob to win: 60.08%
Game ELO: 1900 -> 1852 ( -48)
Brazil win: upset (loss expected)
Estadio Jalisco, Guadalajara Telê Santana
Spain 1982 05-Jul-1982 2 Group C Brazil
Prob to win: 41.31%
Game ELO: 2210 -> 2127 ( -83)
2 - 3
Italy
Prob to win: 58.69%
Game ELO: 1930 -> 2013 ( + 83)
Brazil loss: expected
Estadio Sarriá, Barcelona Telê Santana
Spain 1982 02-Jul-1982 2 Group C Argentina
Prob to win: 24.03%
Game ELO: 1960 -> 1927 ( -33)
1 - 3
Brazil
Prob to win: 75.97%
Game ELO: 2177 -> 2210 ( + 33)
Brazil win: expected
Estadio Sarriá, Barcelona Telê Santana
Spain 1982 23-Jun-1982 1 Group 6 Brazil
Prob to win: 96.85%
Game ELO: 2168 -> 2177 ( + 9)
4 - 0
New Zealand
Prob to win: 3.15%
Game ELO: 1541 -> 1532 ( -9)
Brazil win: expected
Estadio Benito Villamarín, Seville Telê Santana
Spain 1982 18-Jun-1982 1 Group 6 Brazil
Prob to win: 82.30%
Game ELO: 2130 -> 2168 ( + 38)
4 - 1
Scotland
Prob to win: 17.70%
Game ELO: 1878 -> 1840 ( -38)
Brazil win: expected
Estadio Benito Villamarín, Seville Telê Santana
Spain 1982 14-Jun-1982 1 Group 6 Brazil
Prob to win: 64.93%
Game ELO: 2092 -> 2130 ( + 38)
2 - 1
Soviet Union
Prob to win: 35.07%
Game ELO: 2010 -> 1972 ( -38)
Brazil win: expected
Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán, Seville Telê Santana
Argentina 1978 24-Jun-1978 3 3rd Place Brazil
Prob to win: 74.47%
Game ELO: 2165 -> 2199 ( + 34)
2 - 1
Italy
Prob to win: 25.53%
Game ELO: 2047 -> 2013 ( -34)
Brazil win: expected
Estadio Monumental, Buenos Aires Cláudio Coutinho
Argentina 1978 21-Jun-1978 2 Group B Poland
Prob to win: 16.55%
Game ELO: 1961 -> 1918 ( -43)
1 - 3
Brazil
Prob to win: 83.45%
Game ELO: 2122 -> 2165 ( + 43)
Brazil win: expected
Estadio Ciudad de Mendoza, Mendoza Cláudio Coutinho
Argentina 1978 18-Jun-1978 2 Group B Argentina
Prob to win: 52.73%
Game ELO: 2043 -> 2056 ( + 13)
0 - 0
Brazil
Prob to win: 47.27%
Game ELO: 2135 -> 2122 ( -13)
Brazil draw: upset (loss expected)
Estadio Gigante de Arroyito, Rosario Cláudio Coutinho
Argentina 1978 14-Jun-1978 2 Group B Peru
Prob to win: 7.56%
Game ELO: 1959 -> 1889 ( -70)
0 - 3
Brazil
Prob to win: 92.44%
Game ELO: 2065 -> 2135 ( + 70)
Brazil win: expected
Estadio Ciudad de Mendoza, Mendoza Cláudio Coutinho
Argentina 1978 11-Jun-1978 1 Group 3 Brazil
Prob to win: 87.75%
Game ELO: 2024 -> 2065 ( + 41)
1 - 0
Austria
Prob to win: 12.25%
Game ELO: 1960 -> 1919 ( -41)
Brazil win: expected
Estadio José Maria Minella, Mar del Plata Cláudio Coutinho
Argentina 1978 07-Jun-1978 1 Group 3 Brazil
Prob to win: 80.92%
Game ELO: 2044 -> 2024 ( -20)
0 - 0
Spain
Prob to win: 19.08%
Game ELO: 1895 -> 1915 ( + 20)
Brazil draw: upset (win expected)
Estadio José Maria Minella, Mar del Plata Cláudio Coutinho
Argentina 1978 03-Jun-1978 1 Group 3 Brazil
Prob to win: 92.76%
Game ELO: 2078 -> 2044 ( -34)
1 - 1
Sweden
Prob to win: 7.24%
Game ELO: 1791 -> 1825 ( + 34)
Brazil draw: upset (win expected)
Estadio José Maria Minella, Mar del Plata Cláudio Coutinho
West Germany 1974 06-Jul-1974 3 3rd Place Brazil
Prob to win: 33.64%
Game ELO: 2064 -> 2017 ( -47)
0 - 1
Poland
Prob to win: 66.36%
Game ELO: 2088 -> 2135 ( + 47)
Brazil loss: expected
Olympiastadion, Munich Mário Zagallo
West Germany 1974 03-Jul-1974 2 Group A Netherlands
Prob to win: 71.29%
Game ELO: 2159 -> 2228 ( + 69)
2 - 0
Brazil
Prob to win: 28.71%
Game ELO: 2133 -> 2064 ( -69)
Brazil loss: expected
Westfalenstadion, Dortmund Mário Zagallo
West Germany 1974 30-Jun-1974 2 Group A Argentina
Prob to win: 19.89%
Game ELO: 1762 -> 1751 ( -11)
1 - 2
Brazil
Prob to win: 80.11%
Game ELO: 2122 -> 2133 ( + 11)
Brazil win: expected
Niedersachsenstadion, Hanover Mário Zagallo
West Germany 1974 26-Jun-1974 2 Group A Brazil
Prob to win: 65.45%
Game ELO: 2081 -> 2122 ( + 41)
1 - 0
East Germany
Prob to win: 34.55%
Game ELO: 2018 -> 1977 ( -41)
Brazil win: expected
Niedersachsenstadion, Hanover Mário Zagallo
West Germany 1974 22-Jun-1974 1 Group 2 Zaire
Prob to win: 9.73%
Game ELO: 1646 -> 1630 ( -16)
0 - 3
Brazil
Prob to win: 90.27%
Game ELO: 2065 -> 2081 ( + 16)
Brazil win: expected
Parkstadion, Gelsenkirchen Mário Zagallo
West Germany 1974 18-Jun-1974 1 Group 2 Scotland
Prob to win: 37.60%
Game ELO: 1887 -> 1913 ( + 26)
0 - 0
Brazil
Prob to win: 62.40%
Game ELO: 2091 -> 2065 ( -26)
Brazil draw: upset (win expected)
Waldstadion, Frankfurt Mário Zagallo
West Germany 1974 13-Jun-1974 1 Group 2 Brazil
Prob to win: 71.05%
Game ELO: 2115 -> 2091 ( -24)
0 - 0
Yugoslavia
Prob to win: 28.95%
Game ELO: 1934 -> 1958 ( + 24)
Brazil draw: upset (win expected)
Waldstadion, Frankfurt Mário Zagallo
Mexico 1970 21-Jun-1970 2 Final Brazil
Prob to win: 80.38%
Game ELO: 2204 -> 2275 ( + 71)
4 - 1
Italy
Prob to win: 19.62%
Game ELO: 2101 -> 2030 ( -71)
Brazil win: expected
Mexico City Mário Zagallo
Mexico 1970 17-Jun-1970 2 Semi Finals Uruguay
Prob to win: 8.45%
Game ELO: 1915 -> 1888 ( -27)
1 - 3
Brazil
Prob to win: 91.55%
Game ELO: 2177 -> 2204 ( + 27)
Brazil win: expected
Guadalajara Mário Zagallo
Mexico 1970 14-Jun-1970 2 Quarter Finals Brazil
Prob to win: 94.19%
Game ELO: 2159 -> 2177 ( + 18)
4 - 2
Peru
Prob to win: 5.81%
Game ELO: 1809 -> 1791 ( -18)
Brazil win: expected
Guadalajara Mário Zagallo
Mexico 1970 10-Jun-1970 1 Group 3 Brazil
Prob to win: 93.06%
Game ELO: 2144 -> 2159 ( + 15)
3 - 2
Romania
Prob to win: 6.94%
Game ELO: 1839 -> 1824 ( -15)
Brazil win: expected
Estadio Jalisco, Guadalajara Mário Zagallo
Mexico 1970 07-Jun-1970 1 Group 3 Brazil
Prob to win: 82.13%
Game ELO: 2096 -> 2144 ( + 48)
1 - 0
England
Prob to win: 17.87%
Game ELO: 2084 -> 2036 ( -48)
Brazil win: expected
Estadio Jalisco, Guadalajara Mário Zagallo
Mexico 1970 03-Jun-1970 1 Group 3 Brazil
Prob to win: 94.29%
Game ELO: 2011 -> 2096 ( + 85)
4 - 1
Czechoslovakia
Prob to win: 5.71%
Game ELO: 1957 -> 1872 ( -85)
Brazil win: expected
Estadio Jalisco, Guadalajara Mário Zagallo
England 1966 19-Jul-1966 1 Group 3 Portugal
Prob to win: 78.50%
Game ELO: 1986 -> 2049 ( + 63)
3 - 1
Brazil
Prob to win: 21.50%
Game ELO: 1932 -> 1869 ( -63)
Brazil loss: expected
Goodison Park, Liverpool Vicente Feola
England 1966 15-Jul-1966 1 Group 3 Hungary
Prob to win: 63.07%
Game ELO: 1857 -> 1969 ( + 112)
3 - 1
Brazil
Prob to win: 36.93%
Game ELO: 2044 -> 1932 ( -112)
Brazil loss: expected
Goodison Park, Liverpool Vicente Feola
England 1966 12-Jul-1966 1 Group 3 Brazil
Prob to win: 74.80%
Game ELO: 2010 -> 2044 ( + 34)
2 - 0
Bulgaria
Prob to win: 25.20%
Game ELO: 1796 -> 1762 ( -34)
Brazil win: expected
Goodison Park, Liverpool Vicente Feola
Chile 1962 17-Jun-1962 2 Final Brazil
Prob to win: 78.89%
Game ELO: 2203 -> 2251 ( + 48)
3 - 1
Czechoslovakia
Prob to win: 21.11%
Game ELO: 2070 -> 2022 ( -48)
Brazil win: expected
Santiago Aymoré Moreira
Chile 1962 13-Jun-1962 2 Semi Finals Chile
Prob to win: 14.30%
Game ELO: 1904 -> 1878 ( -26)
2 - 4
Brazil
Prob to win: 85.70%
Game ELO: 2177 -> 2203 ( + 26)
Brazil win: expected
Santiago Aymoré Moreira
Chile 1962 10-Jun-1962 2 Quarter Finals Brazil
Prob to win: 87.56%
Game ELO: 2139 -> 2177 ( + 38)
3 - 1
England
Prob to win: 12.44%
Game ELO: 1950 -> 1912 ( -38)
Brazil win: expected
Viña del Mar Aymoré Moreira
Chile 1962 06-Jun-1962 1 Group 3 Brazil
Prob to win: 87.24%
Game ELO: 2111 -> 2139 ( + 28)
2 - 1
Spain
Prob to win: 12.76%
Game ELO: 1945 -> 1917 ( -28)
Brazil win: expected
Estadio Sausalito, Viña del Mar Aymoré Moreira
Chile 1962 02-Jun-1962 1 Group 3 Brazil
Prob to win: 78.89%
Game ELO: 2125 -> 2111 ( -14)
0 - 0
Czechoslovakia
Prob to win: 21.11%
Game ELO: 2023 -> 2037 ( + 14)
Brazil draw: upset (win expected)
Estadio Sausalito, Viña del Mar Aymoré Moreira
Chile 1962 30-May-1962 1 Group 3 Brazil
Prob to win: 89.49%
Game ELO: 2102 -> 2125 ( + 23)
2 - 0
Mexico
Prob to win: 10.51%
Game ELO: 1809 -> 1786 ( -23)
Brazil win: expected
Estadio Sausalito, Viña del Mar Aymoré Moreira
Sweden 1958 29-Jun-1958 2 Final Sweden
Prob to win: 18.90%
Game ELO: 2089 -> 2022 ( -67)
2 - 5
Brazil
Prob to win: 81.10%
Game ELO: 2208 -> 2275 ( + 67)
Brazil win: expected
Solna Vicente Feola
Sweden 1958 24-Jun-1958 2 Semi Finals France
Prob to win: 23.82%
Game ELO: 2078 -> 1990 ( -88)
2 - 5
Brazil
Prob to win: 76.18%
Game ELO: 2120 -> 2208 ( + 88)
Brazil win: expected
Solna Vicente Feola
Sweden 1958 19-Jun-1958 2 Quarter Finals Brazil
Prob to win: 92.72%
Game ELO: 2101 -> 2120 ( + 19)
1 - 0
Wales
Prob to win: 7.28%
Game ELO: 1852 -> 1833 ( -19)
Brazil win: expected
Gothenburg Vicente Feola
Sweden 1958 15-Jun-1958 1 Group 4 Brazil
Prob to win: 90.62%
Game ELO: 2044 -> 2101 ( + 57)
2 - 0
Soviet Union
Prob to win: 9.38%
Game ELO: 1959 -> 1902 ( -57)
Brazil win: expected
Ullevi, Gothenburg Vicente Feola
Sweden 1958 11-Jun-1958 1 Group 4 Brazil
Prob to win: 89.05%
Game ELO: 2053 -> 2044 ( -9)
0 - 0
England
Prob to win: 10.95%
Game ELO: 1992 -> 2001 ( + 9)
Brazil draw: upset (win expected)
Ullevi, Gothenburg Vicente Feola
Sweden 1958 08-Jun-1958 1 Group 4 Brazil
Prob to win: 94.10%
Game ELO: 1974 -> 2053 ( + 79)
3 - 0
Austria
Prob to win: 5.90%
Game ELO: 1901 -> 1822 ( -79)
Brazil win: expected
Rimnersvallen, Uddevalla Vicente Feola
Switzerland 1954 27-Jun-1954 2 Quarter Finals Brazil
Prob to win: 19.71%
Game ELO: 2059 -> 2021 ( -38)
2 - 4
Hungary
Prob to win: 80.29%
Game ELO: 2248 -> 2286 ( + 38)
Brazil loss: expected
Bern Zezé Moreira
Switzerland 1954 19-Jun-1954 1 Group 1 Brazil
Prob to win: 65.58%
Game ELO: 2075 -> 2059 ( -16)
1 - 1
Yugoslavia
Prob to win: 34.42%
Game ELO: 1960 -> 1976 ( + 16)
Brazil draw: upset (win expected)
Stade Olympique de la Pontaise, Lausanne Zezé Moreira
Switzerland 1954 16-Jun-1954 1 Group 1 Brazil
Prob to win: 91.33%
Game ELO: 2031 -> 2075 ( + 44)
5 - 0
Mexico
Prob to win: 8.67%
Game ELO: 1693 -> 1649 ( -44)
Brazil win: expected
Charmilles Stadium, Geneva Zezé Moreira
Brazil 1950 16-Jul-1950 2 Group A Uruguay
Prob to win: 21.11%
Game ELO: 1874 -> 1966 ( + 92)
2 - 1
Brazil
Prob to win: 78.89%
Game ELO: 2287 -> 2195 ( -92)
Brazil loss: upset (win expected)
Estádio do Maracanã, Rio de Janeiro Flávio Costa
Brazil 1950 13-Jul-1950 2 Group A Brazil
Prob to win: 90.22%
Game ELO: 2221 -> 2287 ( + 66)
6 - 1
Spain
Prob to win: 9.78%
Game ELO: 1969 -> 1903 ( -66)
Brazil win: expected
Estádio do Maracanã, Rio de Janeiro Flávio Costa
Brazil 1950 09-Jul-1950 2 Group A Brazil
Prob to win: 84.07%
Game ELO: 2089 -> 2221 ( + 132)
7 - 1
Sweden
Prob to win: 15.93%
Game ELO: 2001 -> 1869 ( -132)
Brazil win: expected
Estádio do Maracanã, Rio de Janeiro Flávio Costa
Brazil 1950 01-Jul-1950 1 Group 1 Brazil
Prob to win: 85.48%
Game ELO: 2033 -> 2089 ( + 56)
2 - 0
Yugoslavia
Prob to win: 14.52%
Game ELO: 1943 -> 1887 ( -56)
Brazil win: expected
Estádio do Maracanã, Rio de Janeiro Flávio Costa
Brazil 1950 28-Jun-1950 1 Group 1 Brazil
Prob to win: 93.60%
Game ELO: 2076 -> 2033 ( -43)
2 - 2
Switzerland
Prob to win: 6.40%
Game ELO: 1639 -> 1682 ( + 43)
Brazil draw: upset (win expected)
Estádio do Pacaembu, São Paulo Flávio Costa
Brazil 1950 24-Jun-1950 1 Group 1 Brazil
Prob to win: 96.54%
Game ELO: 1969 -> 2076 ( + 107)
4 - 0
Mexico
Prob to win: 3.46%
Game ELO: 1826 -> 1719 ( -107)
Brazil win: expected
Estádio do Maracanã, Rio de Janeiro Flávio Costa
France 1938 19-Jun-1938 1 3rd Place Brazil
Prob to win: 83.60%
Game ELO: 1929 -> 1962 ( + 33)
4 - 2
Sweden
Prob to win: 16.40%
Game ELO: 1712 -> 1679 ( -33)
Brazil win: expected
Bordeaux Adhemar Pimenta
France 1938 16-Jun-1938 1 Semi Finals Italy
Prob to win: 77.91%
Game ELO: 2080 -> 2114 ( + 34)
2 - 1
Brazil
Prob to win: 22.09%
Game ELO: 1963 -> 1929 ( -34)
Brazil loss: expected
Marseille Adhemar Pimenta
France 1938 14-Jun-1938 1 Quarter Finals Replay Brazil
Prob to win: 67.12%
Game ELO: 1918 -> 1963 ( + 45)
2 - 1
Czechoslovakia
Prob to win: 32.88%
Game ELO: 1883 -> 1838 ( -45)
Brazil win: expected
Bordeaux Adhemar Pimenta
France 1938 12-Jun-1938 1 Quarter Finals Brazil
Prob to win: 67.12%
Game ELO: 1925 -> 1918 ( -7)
1 - 1
Czechoslovakia
Prob to win: 32.88%
Game ELO: 1876 -> 1883 ( + 7)
Brazil draw: upset (win expected)
Bordeaux Adhemar Pimenta
France 1938 05-Jun-1938 1 Top 16 Brazil
Prob to win: 87.99%
Game ELO: 1908 -> 1925 ( + 17)
6 - 5 (aet)
Poland
Prob to win: 12.01%
Game ELO: 1633 -> 1616 ( -17)
Brazil win: expected
Strasbourg Adhemar Pimenta
Italy 1934 27-May-1934 1 Top 16 Spain
Prob to win: 65.32%
Game ELO: 1935 -> 2011 ( + 76)
3 - 1
Brazil
Prob to win: 34.68%
Game ELO: 1939 -> 1863 ( -76)
Brazil loss: expected
Genoa Luiz Vinhaes
Uruguay 1930 20-Jul-1930 1 Group 2 Brazil
Prob to win: 97.45%
Game ELO: 1841 -> 1851 ( + 10)
4 - 0
Bolivia
Prob to win: 2.55%
Game ELO: 1228 -> 1218 ( -10)
Brazil win: expected
Estadio Centenario, Montevideo Píndaro de Carvalho Rodrigues
Uruguay 1930 14-Jul-1930 1 Group 2 Yugoslavia
Prob to win: 23.71%
Game ELO: 1575 -> 1664 ( + 89)
2 - 1
Brazil
Prob to win: 76.29%
Game ELO: 1930 -> 1841 ( -89)
Brazil loss: upset (win expected)
Estadio Parque Central, Montevideo Píndaro de Carvalho Rodrigues