Brazil details

Brazil

Statistics:
  • Games: 114
  • Expected results: 82 (71.93%)
  • Unexpected results: 32 (28.07%)
  • Unknown games: 0
  • Record: 79 Won, 21 Lost, 14 Drawn, 0 Unknown
  • Last five games: LWLWW
  • Expected wins: 74 (64.91%)
  • Expected losses: 8 (7.02%)
  • Unexpected wins: 5 (4.39%)
  • Unexpected losses: 13 (11.40%)
  • Unexpected draws: 14 (12.28%)
  • Wins (+1pt for expected, +3 for unexpected): 89
  • Losses (-1pt for expected, -3 for unexpected): -47
  • Draws (-1pt if fav, +1pt if underdog): 14
  • Total: 56

Tournament Game Time Round Group Name Score Odds Analysis Location Coach
Qatar 2022 9-Dec-2022 18:00 2 Quarter Finals
Prob to win: 29.66%
Game ELO: 1995
-> 2065 (+70)
1 - 1 (aet)
4 - 2 (pen)
Prob to win: 70.34%
Game ELO: 2145
-> 2075 (-70)
Brazil loss: upset (win expected)
Education City Stadium, Al Rayyan
Qatar 2022 5-Dec-2022 22:00 2 Top 16
Prob to win: 85.27%
Game ELO: 2116
-> 2145 (+29)
4 - 1
Prob to win: 14.73%
Game ELO: 1811
-> 1782 (-29)
Brazil win: expected
Stadium 974, Doha
Qatar 2022 2-Dec-2022 22:00 1 Group G
Prob to win: 3.30%
Game ELO: 1628
-> 1725 (+97)
1 - 0
Prob to win: 95.71%
Game ELO: 2213
-> 2116 (-97)
Brazil loss: upset (win expected)
Lusail Iconic Stadium, Lusail
Qatar 2022 28-Nov-2022 19:00 1 Group G
Prob to win: 76.54%
Game ELO: 2194
-> 2213 (+19)
1 - 0
Prob to win: 18.05%
Game ELO: 1943
-> 1924 (-19)
Brazil win: expected
Stadium 974, Doha
Qatar 2022 24-Nov-2022 22:00 1 Group G
Prob to win: 79.12%
Game ELO: 2169
-> 2194 (+25)
2 - 0
Prob to win: 16.06%
Game ELO: 1892
-> 1867 (-25)
Brazil win: expected
Lusail Iconic Stadium, Lusail
Russia 2018 6-Jul-2018 21:00 2 Quarter Finals
Prob to win: 64.14%
Game ELO: 2162
-> 2098 (-64)
1 - 2
Prob to win: 35.86%
Game ELO: 2061
-> 2125 (+64)
Brazil loss: upset (win expected)
Kazan Arena, Kazan
Russia 2018 2-Jul-2018 18:00 2 Top 16
Prob to win: 87.24%
Game ELO: 2143
-> 2162 (+19)
2 - 0
Prob to win: 12.76%
Game ELO: 1809
-> 1790 (-19)
Brazil win: expected
Cosmos Arena, Samara
Russia 2018 27-Jun-2018 19:00 1 Group E
Prob to win: 12.05%
Game ELO: 1786
-> 1767 (-19)
0 - 2
Prob to win: 84.33%
Game ELO: 2124
-> 2143 (+19)
Brazil win: expected
Otkrytie Arena, Moscow
Russia 2018 22-Jun-2018 13:00 1 Group E
Prob to win: 89.18%
Game ELO: 2111
-> 2124 (+13)
2 - 0
Prob to win: 8.32%
Game ELO: 1699
-> 1686 (-13)
Brazil win: expected
Krestovsky Stadium, Saint Petersburg
Russia 2018 17-Jun-2018 19:00 1 Group E
Prob to win: 76.64%
Game ELO: 2142
-> 2111 (-31)
1 - 1
Prob to win: 17.97%
Game ELO: 1890
-> 1921 (+31)
Brazil draw: upset (win expected)
Rostov Arena, Rostov-on-Don
Brazil 2014 12-Jul-2014 2 3rd Place
Prob to win: 18.64%
Game ELO: 2023
-> 1986 (-37)
0 - 3
Prob to win: 81.36%
Game ELO: 2279
-> 2316 (+37)
Brazil loss: expected
Brazil 2014 8-Jul-2014 2 Semi Finals
Prob to win: 50.29%
Game ELO: 2199
-> 2023 (-176)
1 - 7
Prob to win: 49.71%
Game ELO: 2197
-> 2373 (+176)
Brazil loss: upset (win expected)
Brazil 2014 5-Jul-2014 2 Quarter Finals
Prob to win: 57.99%
Game ELO: 2157
-> 2199 (+42)
2 - 1
Prob to win: 42.01%
Game ELO: 2101
-> 2059 (-42)
Brazil win: expected
Brazil 2014 28-Jun-2014 2 Top 16
Prob to win: 71.99%
Game ELO: 2129
-> 2157 (+28)
1 - 1 (aet)
3 - 2 (pen)
Prob to win: 28.01%
Game ELO: 1965
-> 1937 (-28)
Brazil win: expected
Brazil 2014 23-Jun-2014 1 Group A
Prob to win: 2.76%
Game ELO: 1506
-> 1500 (-6)
1 - 4
Prob to win: 96.41%
Game ELO: 2123
-> 2129 (+6)
Brazil win: expected
Brasilia
Brazil 2014 17-Jun-2014 1 Group A
Prob to win: 83.00%
Game ELO: 2159
-> 2123 (-36)
0 - 0
Prob to win: 13.08%
Game ELO: 1838
-> 1874 (+36)
Brazil draw: upset (win expected)
Fortaleza
Brazil 2014 12-Jun-2014 1 Group A
Prob to win: 82.83%
Game ELO: 2138
-> 2159 (+21)
3 - 1
Prob to win: 13.20%
Game ELO: 1819
-> 1798 (-21)
Brazil win: expected
Sao Paulo
South Africa 2010 2-Jul-2010 20:30 2 Quarter Finals
Prob to win: 42.15%
Game ELO: 2098
-> 2156 (+58)
2 - 1
Prob to win: 57.85%
Game ELO: 2153
-> 2095 (-58)
Brazil loss: upset (win expected)
Johannesburg Dunga
South Africa 2010 28-Jun-2010 20:30 2 Top 16
Prob to win: 74.36%
Game ELO: 2102
-> 2153 (+51)
3 - 0
Prob to win: 25.64%
Game ELO: 1917
-> 1866 (-51)
Brazil win: expected
Johannesburg Dunga
South Africa 2010 25-Jun-2010 16:00 1 Group G
Prob to win: 20.02%
Game ELO: 1904
-> 1933 (+29)
0 - 0
Prob to win: 73.97%
Game ELO: 2131
-> 2102 (-29)
Brazil draw: upset (win expected)
Durban Dunga
South Africa 2010 20-Jun-2010 20:30 1 Group G
Prob to win: 85.58%
Game ELO: 2114
-> 2131 (+17)
3 - 1
Prob to win: 11.09%
Game ELO: 1759
-> 1742 (-17)
Brazil win: expected
Johannesburg - JSC Dunga
South Africa 2010 15-Jun-2010 20:30 1 Group G
Prob to win: 95.37%
Game ELO: 2110
-> 2114 (+4)
2 - 1
Prob to win: 3.56%
Game ELO: 1539
-> 1535 (-4)
Brazil win: expected
Johannesburg - JEP Dunga
Germany 2006 1-Jul-2006 2 Quarter Finals
Prob to win: 65.32%
Game ELO: 2147
-> 2082 (-65)
0 - 1
Prob to win: 34.68%
Game ELO: 2037
-> 2102 (+65)
Brazil loss: upset (win expected)
Frankfurt Carlos Alberto Parreira
Germany 2006 27-Jun-2006 2 Top 16
Prob to win: 86.59%
Game ELO: 2120
-> 2147 (+27)
3 - 0
Prob to win: 13.41%
Game ELO: 1796
-> 1769 (-27)
Brazil win: expected
Dortmund Carlos Alberto Parreira
Germany 2006 22-Jun-2006 1 Group F
Prob to win: 10.45%
Game ELO: 1731
-> 1709 (-22)
1 - 4
Prob to win: 86.42%
Game ELO: 2098
-> 2120 (+22)
Brazil win: expected
Carlos Alberto Parreira
Germany 2006 18-Jun-2006 1 Group F
Prob to win: 69.18%
Game ELO: 2060
-> 2098 (+38)
2 - 0
Prob to win: 23.71%
Game ELO: 1874
-> 1836 (-38)
Brazil win: expected
Carlos Alberto Parreira
Germany 2006 13-Jun-2006 1 Group F
Prob to win: 70.63%
Game ELO: 2036
-> 2060 (+24)
1 - 0
Prob to win: 22.59%
Game ELO: 1838
-> 1814 (-24)
Brazil win: expected
Carlos Alberto Parreira
Korea/ Japan 2002 30-Jun-2002 2 Final
Prob to win: 42.15%
Game ELO: 2084
-> 2021 (-63)
0 - 2
Prob to win: 57.85%
Game ELO: 2139
-> 2202 (+63)
Brazil win: expected
Yokohama Luiz Felipe Scolari
Korea/ Japan 2002 26-Jun-2002 2 Semi Finals
Prob to win: 69.98%
Game ELO: 2060
-> 2139 (+79)
1 - 0
Prob to win: 30.02%
Game ELO: 1913
-> 1889 (-24)
Brazil win: expected
Saitama Luiz Felipe Scolari
Korea/ Japan 2002 21-Jun-2002 2 Quarter Finals
Prob to win: 49.86%
Game ELO: 2064
-> 2014 (-50)
1 - 2
Prob to win: 50.14%
Game ELO: 2065
-> 2115 (+50)
Brazil win: expected
Shizuoka Luiz Felipe Scolari
Korea/ Japan 2002 15-Jun-2002 2 Top 16
Prob to win: 72.22%
Game ELO: 2023
-> 2065 (+42)
2 - 0
Prob to win: 27.78%
Game ELO: 1857
-> 1815 (-42)
Brazil win: expected
Niigata Luiz Felipe Scolari
Korea/ Japan 2002 13-Jun-2002 1 Group C
Prob to win: 26.13%
Game ELO: 1805
-> 1748 (-57)
2 - 5
Prob to win: 66.03%
Game ELO: 1966
-> 2023 (+57)
Brazil win: expected
Suwon World Cup Stadium, Suwon Luiz Felipe Scolari
Korea/ Japan 2002 8-Jun-2002 1 Group C
Prob to win: 77.96%
Game ELO: 1903
-> 1966 (+63)
4 - 0
Prob to win: 16.96%
Game ELO: 1638
-> 1575 (-63)
Brazil win: expected
Jeju World Cup Stadium, Seogwipo Luiz Felipe Scolari
Korea/ Japan 2002 3-Jun-2002 1 Group C
Prob to win: 59.31%
Game ELO: 1868
-> 1903 (+35)
2 - 1
Prob to win: 31.30%
Game ELO: 1757
-> 1722 (-35)
Brazil win: expected
Munsu Cup Stadium, Ulsan Luiz Felipe Scolari
France 1998 12-Jul-1998 2 Final
Prob to win: 48.13%
Game ELO: 2140
-> 2044 (-96)
0 - 3
Prob to win: 51.87%
Game ELO: 2153
-> 2249 (+96)
Brazil loss: expected
Saint-Denis Mário Zagallo
France 1998 7-Jul-1998 2 Semi Finals
Prob to win: 46.27%
Game ELO: 2086
-> 2140 (+54)
1 - 1 (aet)
4 - 2 (pen)
Prob to win: 53.73%
Game ELO: 2112
-> 2058 (-54)
Brazil win: upset (loss expected)
Marseille Mário Zagallo
France 1998 3-Jul-1998 2 Quarter Finals
Prob to win: 67.88%
Game ELO: 2054
-> 2086 (+32)
3 - 2
Prob to win: 32.12%
Game ELO: 1924
-> 1892 (-32)
Brazil win: expected
Nantes Mário Zagallo
France 1998 27-Jun-1998 2 Top 16
Prob to win: 82.39%
Game ELO: 2019
-> 2054 (+35)
4 - 1
Prob to win: 17.61%
Game ELO: 1751
-> 1716 (-35)
Brazil win: expected
Paris Mário Zagallo
France 1998 23-Jun-1998 1 Group A
Prob to win: 74.85%
Game ELO: 2098
-> 2019 (-79)
1 - 2
Prob to win: 19.35%
Game ELO: 1863
-> 1942 (+79)
Brazil loss: upset (win expected)
Stade Vélodrome, Marseille Mário Zagallo
France 1998 16-Jun-1998 1 Group A
Prob to win: 76.75%
Game ELO: 2060
-> 2098 (+38)
3 - 0
Prob to win: 17.89%
Game ELO: 1807
-> 1769 (-38)
Brazil win: expected
Stade de la Beaujoire, Nantes Mário Zagallo
France 1998 10-Jun-1998 1 Group A
Prob to win: 83.56%
Game ELO: 2047
-> 2060 (+13)
2 - 1
Prob to win: 12.65%
Game ELO: 1719
-> 1706 (-13)
Brazil win: expected
Stade de France, Saint-Denis Mário Zagallo
USA 1994 17-Jul-1994 2 Final
Prob to win: 55.73%
Game ELO: 2117
-> 2161 (+44)
0 - 0 (aet)
3 - 2 (pen)
Prob to win: 44.27%
Game ELO: 2077
-> 2033 (-44)
Brazil win: expected
Pasadena Carlos Alberto Parreira
USA 1994 13-Jul-1994 2 Semi Finals
Prob to win: 28.47%
Game ELO: 1929
-> 1901 (-28)
0 - 1
Prob to win: 71.53%
Game ELO: 2089
-> 2117 (+28)
Brazil win: expected
Pasadena Carlos Alberto Parreira
USA 1994 9-Jul-1994 2 Quarter Finals
Prob to win: 55.45%
Game ELO: 2044
-> 2089 (+45)
3 - 2
Prob to win: 44.55%
Game ELO: 2006
-> 1961 (-45)
Brazil win: expected
Dallas Carlos Alberto Parreira
USA 1994 4-Jul-1994 2 Top 16
Prob to win: 88.47%
Game ELO: 2032
-> 2044 (+12)
1 - 0
USA
Prob to win: 11.53%
Game ELO: 1678
-> 1666 (-12)
Brazil win: expected
Stanford Carlos Alberto Parreira
USA 1994 28-Jun-1994 1 Group B
Prob to win: 58.75%
Game ELO: 2047
-> 2032 (-15)
1 - 1
Prob to win: 31.73%
Game ELO: 1940
-> 1955 (+15)
Brazil draw: upset (win expected)
Pontiac Silverdome, Pontiac Carlos Alberto Parreira
USA 1994 24-Jun-1994 1 Group B
Prob to win: 81.66%
Game ELO: 2018
-> 2047 (+29)
3 - 0
Prob to win: 14.11%
Game ELO: 1713
-> 1684 (-29)
Brazil win: expected
Stanford Stadium, Stanford Carlos Alberto Parreira
USA 1994 20-Jun-1994 1 Group B
Prob to win: 57.35%
Game ELO: 1963
-> 2018 (+55)
2 - 0
Prob to win: 32.81%
Game ELO: 1866
-> 1811 (-55)
Brazil win: expected
Stanford Stadium, Stanford Carlos Alberto Parreira
Italy 1990 24-Jun-1990 2 Top 16
Prob to win: 78.60%
Game ELO: 2061
-> 1982 (-79)
0 - 1
Prob to win: 21.40%
Game ELO: 1835
-> 1914 (+79)
Brazil loss: upset (win expected)
Turin Sebastião Lazaroni
Italy 1990 20-Jun-1990 1 Group C
Prob to win: 80.78%
Game ELO: 2046
-> 2061 (+15)
1 - 0
Prob to win: 14.78%
Game ELO: 1751
-> 1736 (-15)
Brazil win: expected
Stadio Delle Alpi, Turin Sebastião Lazaroni
Italy 1990 16-Jun-1990 1 Group C
Prob to win: 85.66%
Game ELO: 2035
-> 2046 (+11)
1 - 0
Prob to win: 11.03%
Game ELO: 1679
-> 1668 (-11)
Brazil win: expected
Stadio Delle Alpi, Turin Sebastião Lazaroni
Italy 1990 10-Jun-1990 1 Group C
Prob to win: 48.62%
Game ELO: 1990
-> 2035 (+45)
2 - 1
Prob to win: 39.52%
Game ELO: 1954
-> 1909 (-45)
Brazil win: upset (loss expected)
Stadio Delle Alpi, Turin Sebastião Lazaroni
Mexico 1986 21-Jun-1986 2 Quarter Finals
Prob to win: 47.56%
Game ELO: 2086
-> 2138 (+52)
1 - 1 (aet)
3 - 4 (pen)
Prob to win: 52.44%
Game ELO: 2103
-> 2051 (-52)
Brazil loss: expected
Guadalajara Telê Santana
Mexico 1986 16-Jun-1986 2 Top 16
Prob to win: 82.13%
Game ELO: 2023
-> 2086 (+63)
4 - 0
Prob to win: 17.87%
Game ELO: 1758
-> 1695 (-63)
Brazil win: expected
Guadalajara Telê Santana
Mexico 1986 12-Jun-1986 1 Group D
Prob to win: 70.87%
Game ELO: 1975
-> 2023 (+48)
3 - 0
Prob to win: 22.41%
Game ELO: 1775
-> 1727 (-48)
Brazil win: expected
Estadio Jalisco, Guadalajara Telê Santana
Mexico 1986 6-Jun-1986 1 Group D
Prob to win: 82.59%
Game ELO: 1961
-> 1975 (+14)
1 - 0
Prob to win: 13.39%
Game ELO: 1645
-> 1631 (-14)
Brazil win: expected
Estadio Jalisco, Guadalajara Telê Santana
Mexico 1986 1-Jun-1986 1 Group D
Prob to win: 45.33%
Game ELO: 1913
-> 1961 (+48)
1 - 0
Prob to win: 42.06%
Game ELO: 1900
-> 1852 (-48)
Brazil win: upset (loss expected)
Estadio Jalisco, Guadalajara Telê Santana
Spain 1982 5-Jul-1982 2 Group C
Prob to win: 79.40%
Game ELO: 2210
-> 2127 (-83)
2 - 3
Prob to win: 15.84%
Game ELO: 1930
-> 2013 (+83)
Brazil loss: upset (win expected)
Estadio Sarriá, Barcelona Telê Santana
Spain 1982 2-Jul-1982 2 Group C
Prob to win: 20.89%
Game ELO: 1960
-> 1927 (-33)
1 - 3
Prob to win: 72.85%
Game ELO: 2177
-> 2210 (+33)
Brazil win: expected
Estadio Sarriá, Barcelona Telê Santana
Spain 1982 23-Jun-1982 1 Group 6
Prob to win: 96.60%
Game ELO: 2168
-> 2177 (+9)
4 - 0
Prob to win: 2.62%
Game ELO: 1541
-> 1532 (-9)
Brazil win: expected
Estadio Benito Villamarín, Seville Telê Santana
Spain 1982 18-Jun-1982 1 Group 6
Prob to win: 76.64%
Game ELO: 2130
-> 2168 (+38)
4 - 1
Prob to win: 17.97%
Game ELO: 1878
-> 1840 (-38)
Brazil win: expected
Estadio Benito Villamarín, Seville Telê Santana
Spain 1982 14-Jun-1982 1 Group 6
Prob to win: 55.22%
Game ELO: 2092
-> 2130 (+38)
2 - 1
Prob to win: 34.44%
Game ELO: 2010
-> 1972 (-38)
Brazil win: expected
Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán, Seville Telê Santana
Argentina 1978 24-Jun-1978 3 3rd Place
Prob to win: 66.36%
Game ELO: 2165
-> 2199 (+34)
2 - 1
Prob to win: 33.64%
Game ELO: 2047
-> 2013 (-34)
Brazil win: expected
Estadio Monumental, Buenos Aires Cláudio Coutinho
Argentina 1978 21-Jun-1978 2 Group B
Prob to win: 26.13%
Game ELO: 1961
-> 1918 (-43)
1 - 3
Prob to win: 66.03%
Game ELO: 2122
-> 2165 (+43)
Brazil win: expected
Estadio Ciudad de Mendoza, Mendoza Cláudio Coutinho
Argentina 1978 18-Jun-1978 2 Group B
Prob to win: 33.35%
Game ELO: 2043
-> 2056 (+13)
0 - 0
Prob to win: 56.64%
Game ELO: 2135
-> 2122 (-13)
Brazil draw: upset (win expected)
Estadio Gigante de Arroyito, Rosario Cláudio Coutinho
Argentina 1978 14-Jun-1978 2 Group B
Prob to win: 31.84%
Game ELO: 1959
-> 1889 (-70)
0 - 3
Prob to win: 58.61%
Game ELO: 2065
-> 2135 (+70)
Brazil win: expected
Estadio Ciudad de Mendoza, Mendoza Cláudio Coutinho
Argentina 1978 11-Jun-1978 1 Group 3
Prob to win: 52.65%
Game ELO: 2024
-> 2065 (+41)
1 - 0
Prob to win: 36.42%
Game ELO: 1960
-> 1919 (-41)
Brazil win: expected
Estadio José Maria Minella, Mar del Plata Cláudio Coutinho
Argentina 1978 7-Jun-1978 1 Group 3
Prob to win: 64.46%
Game ELO: 2044
-> 2024 (-20)
0 - 0
Prob to win: 27.34%
Game ELO: 1895
-> 1915 (+20)
Brazil draw: upset (win expected)
Estadio José Maria Minella, Mar del Plata Cláudio Coutinho
Argentina 1978 3-Jun-1978 1 Group 3
Prob to win: 80.06%
Game ELO: 2078
-> 2044 (-34)
1 - 1
Prob to win: 15.34%
Game ELO: 1791
-> 1825 (+34)
Brazil draw: upset (win expected)
Estadio José Maria Minella, Mar del Plata Cláudio Coutinho
West Germany 1974 6-Jul-1974 3 3rd Place
Prob to win: 46.55%
Game ELO: 2064
-> 2017 (-47)
0 - 1
Prob to win: 53.45%
Game ELO: 2088
-> 2135 (+47)
Brazil loss: expected
Olympiastadion, Munich Mário Zagallo
West Germany 1974 3-Jul-1974 2 Group A
Prob to win: 47.19%
Game ELO: 2159
-> 2228 (+69)
2 - 0
Prob to win: 40.63%
Game ELO: 2133
-> 2064 (-69)
Brazil loss: expected
Westfalenstadion, Dortmund Mário Zagallo
West Germany 1974 30-Jun-1974 2 Group A
Prob to win: 10.82%
Game ELO: 1762
-> 1751 (-11)
1 - 2
Prob to win: 85.94%
Game ELO: 2122
-> 2133 (+11)
Brazil win: expected
Niedersachsenstadion, Hanover Mário Zagallo
West Germany 1974 26-Jun-1974 2 Group A
Prob to win: 52.51%
Game ELO: 2081
-> 2122 (+41)
1 - 0
Prob to win: 36.53%
Game ELO: 2018
-> 1977 (-41)
Brazil win: expected
Niedersachsenstadion, Hanover Mário Zagallo
West Germany 1974 22-Jun-1974 1 Group 2
Prob to win: 8.03%
Game ELO: 1646
-> 1630 (-16)
0 - 3
Prob to win: 89.56%
Game ELO: 2065
-> 2081 (+16)
Brazil win: expected
Parkstadion, Gelsenkirchen Mário Zagallo
West Germany 1974 18-Jun-1974 1 Group 2
Prob to win: 22.05%
Game ELO: 1887
-> 1913 (+26)
0 - 0
Prob to win: 71.34%
Game ELO: 2091
-> 2065 (-26)
Brazil draw: upset (win expected)
Waldstadion, Frankfurt Mário Zagallo
West Germany 1974 13-Jun-1974 1 Group 2
Prob to win: 68.56%
Game ELO: 2115
-> 2091 (-24)
0 - 0
Prob to win: 24.19%
Game ELO: 1934
-> 1958 (+24)
Brazil draw: upset (win expected)
Waldstadion, Frankfurt Mário Zagallo
Mexico 1970 21-Jun-1970 2 Final
Prob to win: 64.40%
Game ELO: 2204
-> 2275 (+71)
4 - 1
Prob to win: 35.60%
Game ELO: 2101
-> 2030 (-71)
Brazil win: expected
Mexico City Mário Zagallo
Mexico 1970 17-Jun-1970 2 Semi Finals
Prob to win: 18.12%
Game ELO: 1915
-> 1888 (-27)
1 - 3
Prob to win: 81.88%
Game ELO: 2177
-> 2204 (+27)
Brazil win: expected
Guadalajara Mário Zagallo
Mexico 1970 14-Jun-1970 2 Quarter Finals
Prob to win: 88.23%
Game ELO: 2159
-> 2177 (+18)
4 - 2
Prob to win: 11.77%
Game ELO: 1809
-> 1791 (-18)
Brazil win: expected
Guadalajara Mário Zagallo
Mexico 1970 10-Jun-1970 1 Group 3
Prob to win: 81.66%
Game ELO: 2144
-> 2159 (+15)
3 - 2
Prob to win: 14.11%
Game ELO: 1839
-> 1824 (-15)
Brazil win: expected
Estadio Jalisco, Guadalajara Mário Zagallo
Mexico 1970 7-Jun-1970 1 Group 3
Prob to win: 45.18%
Game ELO: 2096
-> 2144 (+48)
1 - 0
Prob to win: 42.17%
Game ELO: 2084
-> 2036 (-48)
Brazil win: upset (loss expected)
Estadio Jalisco, Guadalajara Mário Zagallo
Mexico 1970 3-Jun-1970 1 Group 3
Prob to win: 51.21%
Game ELO: 2011
-> 2096 (+85)
4 - 1
Prob to win: 37.53%
Game ELO: 1957
-> 1872 (-85)
Brazil win: expected
Estadio Jalisco, Guadalajara Mário Zagallo
England 1966 19-Jul-1966 1 Group 3
Prob to win: 51.21%
Game ELO: 1986
-> 2049 (+63)
3 - 1
Prob to win: 37.53%
Game ELO: 1932
-> 1869 (-63)
Brazil loss: expected
Goodison Park, Liverpool Vicente Feola
England 1966 15-Jul-1966 1 Group 3
Prob to win: 23.62%
Game ELO: 1857
-> 1969 (+112)
3 - 1
Prob to win: 69.30%
Game ELO: 2044
-> 1932 (-112)
Brazil loss: upset (win expected)
Goodison Park, Liverpool Vicente Feola
England 1966 12-Jul-1966 1 Group 3
Prob to win: 72.50%
Game ELO: 2010
-> 2044 (+34)
2 - 0
Prob to win: 21.15%
Game ELO: 1796
-> 1762 (-34)
Brazil win: expected
Goodison Park, Liverpool Vicente Feola
Chile 1962 17-Jun-1962 2 Final
Prob to win: 68.26%
Game ELO: 2203
-> 2251 (+48)
3 - 1
Prob to win: 31.74%
Game ELO: 2070
-> 2022 (-48)
Brazil win: expected
Santiago Aymoré Moreira
Chile 1962 13-Jun-1962 2 Semi Finals
Prob to win: 17.20%
Game ELO: 1904
-> 1878 (-26)
2 - 4
Prob to win: 82.80%
Game ELO: 2177
-> 2203 (+26)
Brazil win: expected
Santiago Aymoré Moreira
Chile 1962 10-Jun-1962 2 Quarter Finals
Prob to win: 74.80%
Game ELO: 2139
-> 2177 (+38)
3 - 1
Prob to win: 25.20%
Game ELO: 1950
-> 1912 (-38)
Brazil win: expected
Viña del Mar Aymoré Moreira
Chile 1962 6-Jun-1962 1 Group 3
Prob to win: 66.67%
Game ELO: 2111
-> 2139 (+28)
2 - 1
Prob to win: 25.64%
Game ELO: 1945
-> 1917 (-28)
Brazil win: expected
Estadio Sausalito, Viña del Mar Aymoré Moreira
Chile 1962 2-Jun-1962 1 Group 3
Prob to win: 58.05%
Game ELO: 2125
-> 2111 (-14)
0 - 0
Prob to win: 32.27%
Game ELO: 2023
-> 2037 (+14)
Brazil draw: upset (win expected)
Estadio Sausalito, Viña del Mar Aymoré Moreira
Chile 1962 30-May-1962 1 Group 3
Prob to win: 80.60%
Game ELO: 2102
-> 2125 (+23)
2 - 0
Prob to win: 14.92%
Game ELO: 1809
-> 1786 (-23)
Brazil win: expected
Estadio Sausalito, Viña del Mar Aymoré Moreira
Sweden 1958 29-Jun-1958 2 Final
Prob to win: 33.51%
Game ELO: 2089
-> 2022 (-67)
2 - 5
Prob to win: 66.49%
Game ELO: 2208
-> 2275 (+67)
Brazil win: expected
Solna Vicente Feola
Sweden 1958 24-Jun-1958 2 Semi Finals
Prob to win: 43.98%
Game ELO: 2078
-> 1990 (-88)
2 - 5
Prob to win: 56.02%
Game ELO: 2120
-> 2208 (+88)
Brazil win: expected
Solna Vicente Feola
Sweden 1958 19-Jun-1958 2 Quarter Finals
Prob to win: 80.74%
Game ELO: 2101
-> 2120 (+19)
1 - 0
Prob to win: 19.26%
Game ELO: 1852
-> 1833 (-19)
Brazil win: expected
Gothenburg Vicente Feola
Sweden 1958 15-Jun-1958 1 Group 4
Prob to win: 55.65%
Game ELO: 2044
-> 2101 (+57)
2 - 0
Prob to win: 34.12%
Game ELO: 1959
-> 1902 (-57)
Brazil win: expected
Ullevi, Gothenburg Vicente Feola
Sweden 1958 11-Jun-1958 1 Group 4
Prob to win: 52.22%
Game ELO: 2053
-> 2044 (-9)
0 - 0
Prob to win: 36.76%
Game ELO: 1992
-> 2001 (+9)
Brazil draw: upset (win expected)
Ullevi, Gothenburg Vicente Feola
Sweden 1958 8-Jun-1958 1 Group 4
Prob to win: 53.94%
Game ELO: 1974
-> 2053 (+79)
3 - 0
Prob to win: 35.43%
Game ELO: 1901
-> 1822 (-79)
Brazil win: expected
Rimnersvallen, Uddevalla Vicente Feola
Switzerland 1954 27-Jun-1954 2 Quarter Finals
Prob to win: 25.20%
Game ELO: 2059
-> 2021 (-38)
2 - 4
Prob to win: 74.80%
Game ELO: 2248
-> 2286 (+38)
Brazil loss: expected
Bern Zezé Moreira
Switzerland 1954 19-Jun-1954 1 Group 1
Prob to win: 59.86%
Game ELO: 2075
-> 2059 (-16)
1 - 1
Prob to win: 30.88%
Game ELO: 1960
-> 1976 (+16)
Brazil draw: upset (win expected)
Stade Olympique de la Pontaise, Lausanne Zezé Moreira
Switzerland 1954 16-Jun-1954 1 Group 1
Prob to win: 84.33%
Game ELO: 2031
-> 2075 (+44)
5 - 0
Prob to win: 12.05%
Game ELO: 1693
-> 1649 (-44)
Brazil win: expected
Charmilles Stadium, Geneva Zezé Moreira
Brazil 1950 16-Jul-1950 2 Group A
Prob to win: 8.28%
Game ELO: 1874
-> 1966 (+92)
2 - 1
Prob to win: 89.24%
Game ELO: 2287
-> 2195 (-92)
Brazil loss: upset (win expected)
Estádio do Maracanã, Rio de Janeiro Flávio Costa
Brazil 1950 13-Jul-1950 2 Group A
Prob to win: 76.64%
Game ELO: 2221
-> 2287 (+66)
6 - 1
Prob to win: 17.97%
Game ELO: 1969
-> 1903 (-66)
Brazil win: expected
Estádio do Maracanã, Rio de Janeiro Flávio Costa
Brazil 1950 9-Jul-1950 2 Group A
Prob to win: 56.07%
Game ELO: 2089
-> 2221 (+132)
7 - 1
Prob to win: 33.79%
Game ELO: 2001
-> 1869 (-132)
Brazil win: expected
Estádio do Maracanã, Rio de Janeiro Flávio Costa
Brazil 1950 1-Jul-1950 1 Group 1
Prob to win: 56.36%
Game ELO: 2033
-> 2089 (+56)
2 - 0
Prob to win: 33.57%
Game ELO: 1943
-> 1887 (-56)
Brazil win: expected
Estádio do Maracanã, Rio de Janeiro Flávio Costa
Brazil 1950 28-Jun-1950 1 Group 1
Prob to win: 90.49%
Game ELO: 2076
-> 2033 (-43)
2 - 2
Prob to win: 7.31%
Game ELO: 1639
-> 1682 (+43)
Brazil draw: upset (win expected)
Estádio do Pacaembu, São Paulo Flávio Costa
Brazil 1950 24-Jun-1950 1 Group 1
Prob to win: 63.66%
Game ELO: 1969
-> 2076 (+107)
4 - 0
Prob to win: 27.95%
Game ELO: 1826
-> 1719 (-107)
Brazil win: expected
Estádio do Maracanã, Rio de Janeiro Flávio Costa
France 1938 19-Jun-1938 1 3rd Place
Prob to win: 77.62%
Game ELO: 1929
-> 1963 (+34)
4 - 2
Prob to win: 22.38%
Game ELO: 1713
-> 1679 (-34)
Brazil win: expected
Bordeaux Adhemar Pimenta
France 1938 16-Jun-1938 1 Semi Finals
Prob to win: 66.23%
Game ELO: 2080
-> 2114 (+34)
2 - 1
Prob to win: 33.77%
Game ELO: 1963
-> 1929 (-34)
Brazil loss: expected
Marseille Adhemar Pimenta
France 1938 14-Jun-1938 1 Quarter Finals Replay
Prob to win: 48.48%
Game ELO: 1918
-> 1963 (+45)
2 - 1
Prob to win: 39.63%
Game ELO: 1883
-> 1838 (-45)
Brazil win: upset (loss expected)
Bordeaux Adhemar Pimenta
France 1938 12-Jun-1938 1 Quarter Finals
Prob to win: 57.01%
Game ELO: 1925
-> 1918 (-7)
1 - 1
Prob to win: 42.99%
Game ELO: 1876
-> 1883 (+7)
Brazil draw: upset (win expected)
Bordeaux Adhemar Pimenta
France 1938 5-Jun-1938 1 Top 16
Prob to win: 82.96%
Game ELO: 1908
-> 1925 (+17)
6 - 5 (aet)
Prob to win: 17.04%
Game ELO: 1633
-> 1616 (-17)
Brazil win: expected
Strasbourg Adhemar Pimenta
Italy 1934 27-May-1934 1 Top 16
Prob to win: 49.42%
Game ELO: 1935
-> 2011 (+76)
3 - 1
Prob to win: 50.58%
Game ELO: 1939
-> 1863 (-76)
Brazil loss: upset (win expected)
Genoa Luiz Vinhaes
Uruguay 1930 20-Jul-1930 1 Group 2
Prob to win: 96.33%
Game ELO: 1841
-> 1851 (+10)
4 - 0
Prob to win: 2.83%
Game ELO: 1228
-> 1218 (-10)
Brazil win: expected
Estadio Centenario, Montevideo Píndaro de Carvalho Rodrigues
Uruguay 1930 14-Jul-1930 1 Group 2
Prob to win: 11.09%
Game ELO: 1575
-> 1664 (+89)
2 - 1
Prob to win: 85.58%
Game ELO: 1930
-> 1841 (-89)
Brazil loss: upset (win expected)
Estadio Parque Central, Montevideo Píndaro de Carvalho Rodrigues