Argentina details

Argentina

Statistics:
  • Games: 81
  • Expected results: 61 (75.31%)
  • Unexpected results: 20 (24.69%)
  • Unknown games: 0
  • Record: 47 Won, 24 Lost, 10 Drawn, 0 Unknown
  • Last five games: LWLDL
  • Expected wins: 44 (54.32%)
  • Expected losses: 17 (20.99%)
  • Unexpected wins: 3 (3.70%)
  • Unexpected losses: 7 (8.64%)
  • Unexpected draws: 10 (12.35%)
  • Wins (+1pt for expected, +3 for unexpected): 53
  • Losses (-1pt for expected, -3 for unexpected): -38
  • Draws (-1pt if fav, +1pt if underdog): 10
  • Total: 25

Tournament Game Time Round Group Name Score Odds Analysis Location Coach
Russia 2018 30-Jun-2018 17:00 2 Top 16 France
Prob to win: 90.62%
Game ELO: 1987 -> 2048 ( + 61)
4 - 3
Argentina
Prob to win: 9.38%
Game ELO: 1986 -> 1846 ( -140)
Argentina loss: expected
Kazan Arena, Kazan
Russia 2018 26-Jun-2018 19:00 1 Group D Nigeria
Prob to win: 31.25%
Game ELO: 1746 -> 1709 ( -37)
1 - 2
Argentina
Prob to win: 68.75%
Game ELO: 1840 -> 1877 ( + 37)
Argentina win: expected
Krestovsky Stadium, Saint Petersburg
Russia 2018 21-Jun-2018 19:00 1 Group D Argentina
Prob to win: 21.99%
Game ELO: 1958 -> 1840 ( -118)
0 - 3
Croatia
Prob to win: 78.01%
Game ELO: 1894 -> 2012 ( + 118)
Argentina loss: expected
Nizhny Novgorod Stadium, Nizhny Novgorod
Russia 2018 16-Jun-2018 14:00 1 Group D Argentina
Prob to win: 73.02%
Game ELO: 1986 -> 1958 ( -28)
1 - 1
Iceland
Prob to win: 26.98%
Game ELO: 1764 -> 1792 ( + 28)
Argentina draw: upset (win expected)
Otkrytie Arena, Moscow
Brazil 2014 13-Jul-2014 2 Final Germany
Prob to win: 76.70%
Game ELO: 2304 -> 2403 ( + 99)
1 - 0 (aet)
Argentina
Prob to win: 23.30%
Game ELO: 2226 -> 2196 ( -30)
Argentina loss: expected
Brazil 2014 09-Jul-2014 2 Semi Finals Netherlands
Prob to win: 52.44%
Game ELO: 2248 -> 2148 ( -100)
0 - 0 (aet)
2 - 4 (pen)
Argentina
Prob to win: 47.56%
Game ELO: 2126 -> 2226 ( + 100)
Argentina win: upset (loss expected)
Brazil 2014 05-Jul-2014 2 Quarter Finals Argentina
Prob to win: 81.54%
Game ELO: 2093 -> 2126 ( + 33)
1 - 0
Belgium
Prob to win: 18.46%
Game ELO: 1971 -> 1938 ( -33)
Argentina win: expected
Brazil 2014 01-Jul-2014 2 Top 16 Argentina
Prob to win: 88.82%
Game ELO: 2070 -> 2093 ( + 23)
1 - 0 (aet)
Switzerland
Prob to win: 11.18%
Game ELO: 1859 -> 1836 ( -23)
Argentina win: expected
Brazil 2014 25-Jun-2014 1 Group F Nigeria
Prob to win: 6.44%
Game ELO: 1778 -> 1761 ( -17)
2 - 3
Argentina
Prob to win: 93.56%
Game ELO: 2053 -> 2070 ( + 17)
Argentina win: expected
Porto Alegre
Brazil 2014 21-Jun-2014 1 Group F Argentina
Prob to win: 96.32%
Game ELO: 2040 -> 2053 ( + 13)
1 - 0
Iran
Prob to win: 3.68%
Game ELO: 1715 -> 1702 ( -13)
Argentina win: expected
Belo Horizonte
Brazil 2014 15-Jun-2014 1 Group F Argentina
Prob to win: 91.51%
Game ELO: 2019 -> 2040 ( + 21)
2 - 1
Bosnia and Herzegovina
Prob to win: 8.49%
Game ELO: 1787 -> 1766 ( -21)
Argentina win: expected
Rio De Janeiro
South Africa 2010 03-Jul-2010 16:00 2 Quarter Finals Argentina
Prob to win: 14.59%
Game ELO: 2081 -> 1904 ( -177)
0 - 4
Germany
Prob to win: 85.41%
Game ELO: 2078 -> 2255 ( + 177)
Argentina loss: expected
Cape Town Diego Maradona
South Africa 2010 27-Jun-2010 16:00 2 Top 16 Argentina
Prob to win: 59.39%
Game ELO: 2037 -> 2081 ( + 44)
3 - 1
Mexico
Prob to win: 40.61%
Game ELO: 1882 -> 1838 ( -44)
Argentina win: expected
Bloemfontein Diego Maradona
South Africa 2010 22-Jun-2010 20:30 1 Group B Greece
Prob to win: 23.40%
Game ELO: 1721 -> 1698 ( -23)
0 - 2
Argentina
Prob to win: 76.60%
Game ELO: 2014 -> 2037 ( + 23)
Argentina win: expected
Polokwane Diego Maradona
South Africa 2010 17-Jun-2010 13:30 1 Group B Argentina
Prob to win: 73.81%
Game ELO: 1945 -> 2014 ( + 69)
4 - 1
South Korea
Prob to win: 26.19%
Game ELO: 1835 -> 1766 ( -69)
Argentina win: expected
Johannesburg - JSC Diego Maradona
South Africa 2010 12-Jun-2010 16:00 1 Group B Argentina
Prob to win: 80.56%
Game ELO: 1921 -> 1945 ( + 24)
1 - 0
Nigeria
Prob to win: 19.44%
Game ELO: 1716 -> 1692 ( -24)
Argentina win: expected
Johannesburg - JEP Diego Maradona
Germany 2006 30-Jun-2006 2 Quarter Finals Germany
Prob to win: 70.22%
Game ELO: 2078 -> 2151 ( + 73)
1 - 1 (aet)
4 - 2 (pen)
Argentina
Prob to win: 29.78%
Game ELO: 2067 -> 1994 ( -73)
Argentina loss: expected
Hamburg José Pekerman
Germany 2006 24-Jun-2006 2 Top 16 Argentina
Prob to win: 74.25%
Game ELO: 2044 -> 2067 ( + 23)
2 - 1 (aet)
Mexico
Prob to win: 25.75%
Game ELO: 1833 -> 1810 ( -23)
Argentina win: expected
Leipzig José Pekerman
Germany 2006 21-Jun-2006 1 Group C Netherlands
Prob to win: 48.27%
Game ELO: 2036 -> 2037 ( + 1)
0 - 0
Argentina
Prob to win: 51.73%
Game ELO: 2045 -> 2044 ( -1)
Argentina draw: upset (win expected)
José Pekerman
Germany 2006 16-Jun-2006 1 Group C Argentina
Prob to win: 88.53%
Game ELO: 1953 -> 2045 ( + 92)
6 - 0
Serbia and Montenegro
Prob to win: 11.47%
Game ELO: 1775 -> 1683 ( -92)
Argentina win: expected
José Pekerman
Germany 2006 10-Jun-2006 1 Group C Argentina
Prob to win: 78.79%
Game ELO: 1924 -> 1953 ( + 29)
2 - 1
Ivory Coast
Prob to win: 21.21%
Game ELO: 1768 -> 1739 ( -29)
Argentina win: expected
José Pekerman
Korea/ Japan 2002 12-Jun-2002 1 Group F Sweden
Prob to win: 34.55%
Game ELO: 1906 -> 1915 ( + 9)
1 - 1
Argentina
Prob to win: 65.45%
Game ELO: 1970 -> 1961 ( -9)
Argentina draw: upset (win expected)
Miyagi Stadium, Miyagi Marcelo Bielsa
Korea/ Japan 2002 07-Jun-2002 1 Group F Argentina
Prob to win: 42.43%
Game ELO: 2037 -> 1970 ( -67)
0 - 1
England
Prob to win: 57.57%
Game ELO: 1916 -> 1983 ( + 67)
Argentina loss: expected
Sapporo Dome, Sapporo Marcelo Bielsa
Korea/ Japan 2002 02-Jun-2002 1 Group F Argentina
Prob to win: 77.21%
Game ELO: 2018 -> 2037 ( + 19)
1 - 0
Nigeria
Prob to win: 22.79%
Game ELO: 1769 -> 1750 ( -19)
Argentina win: expected
Kashima Stadium, Ibaraki Marcelo Bielsa
France 1998 04-Jul-1998 2 Quarter Finals Netherlands
Prob to win: 43.70%
Game ELO: 2057 -> 2112 ( + 55)
2 - 1
Argentina
Prob to win: 56.30%
Game ELO: 2089 -> 2034 ( -55)
Argentina loss: upset (win expected)
Marseille Daniel Passarella
France 1998 28-Jun-1998 2 Top 16 Argentina
Prob to win: 64.80%
Game ELO: 2051 -> 2089 ( + 38)
2 - 2 (aet)
4 - 3 (pen)
England
Prob to win: 35.20%
Game ELO: 1966 -> 1928 ( -38)
Argentina win: expected
Lens Daniel Passarella
France 1998 26-Jun-1998 1 Group H Argentina
Prob to win: 35.60%
Game ELO: 1996 -> 2051 ( + 55)
1 - 0
Croatia
Prob to win: 64.40%
Game ELO: 2033 -> 1978 ( -55)
Argentina win: upset (loss expected)
Parc Lescure, Bordeaux Daniel Passarella
France 1998 21-Jun-1998 1 Group H Argentina
Prob to win: 90.62%
Game ELO: 1948 -> 1996 ( + 48)
5 - 0
Jamaica
Prob to win: 9.38%
Game ELO: 1630 -> 1582 ( -48)
Argentina win: expected
Parc des Princes, Paris Daniel Passarella
France 1998 14-Jun-1998 1 Group H Argentina
Prob to win: 93.21%
Game ELO: 1930 -> 1948 ( + 18)
1 - 0
Japan
Prob to win: 6.79%
Game ELO: 1665 -> 1647 ( -18)
Argentina win: expected
Stade de Toulouse, Toulouse Daniel Passarella
USA 1994 03-Jul-1994 2 Top 16 Romania
Prob to win: 52.73%
Game ELO: 1844 -> 1903 ( + 59)
3 - 2
Argentina
Prob to win: 47.27%
Game ELO: 1906 -> 1847 ( -59)
Argentina loss: expected
Pasadena Alfio Basile
USA 1994 30-Jun-1994 1 Group D Argentina
Prob to win: 54.16%
Game ELO: 2021 -> 1906 ( -115)
0 - 2
Bulgaria
Prob to win: 45.84%
Game ELO: 1812 -> 1927 ( + 115)
Argentina loss: upset (win expected)
Cotton Bowl, Dallas Alfio Basile
USA 1994 25-Jun-1994 1 Group D Argentina
Prob to win: 56.44%
Game ELO: 1990 -> 2021 ( + 31)
2 - 1
Nigeria
Prob to win: 43.56%
Game ELO: 1850 -> 1819 ( -31)
Argentina win: expected
Foxboro Stadium, Foxborough Alfio Basile
USA 1994 21-Jun-1994 1 Group D Argentina
Prob to win: 90.96%
Game ELO: 1915 -> 1990 ( + 75)
4 - 0
Greece
Prob to win: 9.04%
Game ELO: 1688 -> 1613 ( -75)
Argentina win: expected
Foxboro Stadium, Foxborough Alfio Basile
Italy 1990 08-Jul-1990 2 Final Argentina
Prob to win: 26.52%
Game ELO: 2041 -> 2006 ( -35)
0 - 1
West Germany
Prob to win: 73.48%
Game ELO: 2148 -> 2183 ( + 35)
Argentina loss: expected
Rome Carlos Bilardo
Italy 1990 03-Jul-1990 2 Semi Finals Italy
Prob to win: 62.13%
Game ELO: 2122 -> 2051 ( -71)
1 - 1 (aet)
3 - 4 (pen)
Argentina
Prob to win: 37.87%
Game ELO: 1970 -> 2041 ( + 71)
Argentina win: upset (loss expected)
Naples Carlos Bilardo
Italy 1990 30-Jun-1990 2 Quarter Finals Yugoslavia
Prob to win: 34.81%
Game ELO: 1953 -> 1897 ( -56)
0 - 0 (aet)
2 - 3 (pen)
Argentina
Prob to win: 65.19%
Game ELO: 1914 -> 1970 ( + 56)
Argentina win: expected
Florence Carlos Bilardo
Italy 1990 24-Jun-1990 2 Top 16 Brazil
Prob to win: 46.55%
Game ELO: 2061 -> 1982 ( -79)
0 - 1
Argentina
Prob to win: 53.45%
Game ELO: 1835 -> 1914 ( + 79)
Argentina win: expected
Turin Carlos Bilardo
Italy 1990 18-Jun-1990 1 Group B Argentina
Prob to win: 72.57%
Game ELO: 1825 -> 1835 ( + 10)
1 - 1
Romania
Prob to win: 27.43%
Game ELO: 1897 -> 1887 ( -10)
Argentina draw: upset (win expected)
Stadio San Paolo, Naples Carlos Bilardo
Italy 1990 13-Jun-1990 1 Group B Argentina
Prob to win: 58.41%
Game ELO: 1722 -> 1825 ( + 103)
2 - 0
Soviet Union
Prob to win: 41.59%
Game ELO: 1858 -> 1755 ( -103)
Argentina win: expected
Stadio San Paolo, Naples Carlos Bilardo
Italy 1990 08-Jun-1990 1 Group B Argentina
Prob to win: 87.99%
Game ELO: 1794 -> 1722 ( -72)
0 - 1
Cameroon
Prob to win: 12.01%
Game ELO: 1633 -> 1705 ( + 72)
Argentina loss: upset (win expected)
San Siro, Milan Carlos Bilardo
Mexico 1986 29-Jun-1986 2 Final West Germany
Prob to win: 40.20%
Game ELO: 2141 -> 2085 ( -56)
2 - 3
Argentina
Prob to win: 59.80%
Game ELO: 2098 -> 2154 ( + 56)
Argentina win: expected
Mexico City Carlos Bilardo
Mexico 1986 25-Jun-1986 2 Semi Finals Argentina
Prob to win: 83.84%
Game ELO: 2036 -> 2098 ( + 62)
2 - 0
Belgium
Prob to win: 16.16%
Game ELO: 1976 -> 1914 ( -62)
Argentina win: expected
Mexico City Carlos Bilardo
Mexico 1986 22-Jun-1986 2 Quarter Finals Argentina
Prob to win: 73.36%
Game ELO: 1977 -> 2036 ( + 59)
2 - 1
England
Prob to win: 26.64%
Game ELO: 2037 -> 1978 ( -59)
Argentina win: expected
Mexico City Carlos Bilardo
Mexico 1986 16-Jun-1986 2 Top 16 Argentina
Prob to win: 92.95%
Game ELO: 1956 -> 1977 ( + 21)
1 - 0
Uruguay
Prob to win: 7.05%
Game ELO: 1727 -> 1706 ( -21)
Argentina win: expected
Puebla Carlos Bilardo
Mexico 1986 10-Jun-1986 1 Group A Argentina
Prob to win: 92.76%
Game ELO: 1898 -> 1956 ( + 58)
2 - 0
Bulgaria
Prob to win: 7.24%
Game ELO: 1816 -> 1758 ( -58)
Argentina win: expected
Estadio Olímpico Universitario, Mexico City Carlos Bilardo
Mexico 1986 05-Jun-1986 1 Group A Italy
Prob to win: 15.32%
Game ELO: 1877 -> 1880 ( + 3)
1 - 1
Argentina
Prob to win: 84.68%
Game ELO: 1901 -> 1898 ( -3)
Argentina draw: upset (win expected)
Estadio Cuauhtémoc, Puebla Carlos Bilardo
Mexico 1986 02-Jun-1986 1 Group A Argentina
Prob to win: 95.89%
Game ELO: 1872 -> 1901 ( + 29)
3 - 1
South Korea
Prob to win: 4.11%
Game ELO: 1624 -> 1595 ( -29)
Argentina win: expected
Estadio Olímpico Universitario, Mexico City Carlos Bilardo
Spain 1982 02-Jul-1982 2 Group C Argentina
Prob to win: 24.03%
Game ELO: 1960 -> 1927 ( -33)
1 - 3
Brazil
Prob to win: 75.97%
Game ELO: 2177 -> 2210 ( + 33)
Argentina loss: expected
Estadio Sarriá, Barcelona César Luis Menotti
Spain 1982 29-Jun-1982 2 Group C Argentina
Prob to win: 18.21%
Game ELO: 2033 -> 1960 ( -73)
1 - 2
Italy
Prob to win: 81.79%
Game ELO: 1857 -> 1930 ( + 73)
Argentina loss: expected
Estadio Sarriá, Barcelona César Luis Menotti
Spain 1982 23-Jun-1982 1 Group 3 Argentina
Prob to win: 91.82%
Game ELO: 2025 -> 2033 ( + 8)
2 - 0
El Salvador
Prob to win: 8.18%
Game ELO: 1515 -> 1507 ( -8)
Argentina win: expected
Estadio José Rico Pérez, Alicante César Luis Menotti
Spain 1982 18-Jun-1982 1 Group 3 Argentina
Prob to win: 64.14%
Game ELO: 1940 -> 2025 ( + 85)
4 - 1
Hungary
Prob to win: 35.86%
Game ELO: 1887 -> 1802 ( -85)
Argentina win: expected
Estadio José Rico Pérez, Alicante César Luis Menotti
Spain 1982 13-Jun-1982 1 Group 3 Argentina
Prob to win: 62.13%
Game ELO: 2003 -> 1940 ( -63)
0 - 1
Belgium
Prob to win: 37.87%
Game ELO: 1914 -> 1977 ( + 63)
Argentina loss: upset (win expected)
Camp Nou, Barcelona César Luis Menotti
Argentina 1978 25-Jun-1978 3 Final Netherlands
Prob to win: 32.37%
Game ELO: 2173 -> 2090 ( -83)
1 - 3 (aet)
Argentina
Prob to win: 67.63%
Game ELO: 2135 -> 2218 ( + 83)
Argentina win: expected
Estadio Monumental, Buenos Aires César Luis Menotti
Argentina 1978 21-Jun-1978 2 Group B Argentina
Prob to win: 93.17%
Game ELO: 2056 -> 2135 ( + 79)
6 - 0
Peru
Prob to win: 6.83%
Game ELO: 1843 -> 1764 ( -79)
Argentina win: expected
Estadio Gigante de Arroyito, Rosario César Luis Menotti
Argentina 1978 18-Jun-1978 2 Group B Argentina
Prob to win: 52.73%
Game ELO: 2043 -> 2056 ( + 13)
0 - 0
Brazil
Prob to win: 47.27%
Game ELO: 2135 -> 2122 ( -13)
Argentina draw: upset (win expected)
Estadio Gigante de Arroyito, Rosario César Luis Menotti
Argentina 1978 14-Jun-1978 2 Group B Argentina
Prob to win: 84.90%
Game ELO: 1959 -> 2043 ( + 84)
2 - 0
Poland
Prob to win: 15.10%
Game ELO: 1999 -> 1915 ( -84)
Argentina win: expected
Estadio Gigante de Arroyito, Rosario César Luis Menotti
Argentina 1978 10-Jun-1978 1 Group 1 Argentina
Prob to win: 76.50%
Game ELO: 2006 -> 1959 ( -47)
0 - 1
Italy
Prob to win: 23.50%
Game ELO: 2030 -> 2077 ( + 47)
Argentina loss: upset (win expected)
Estadio Monumental, Buenos Aires César Luis Menotti
Argentina 1978 06-Jun-1978 1 Group 1 Argentina
Prob to win: 87.18%
Game ELO: 1975 -> 2006 ( + 31)
2 - 1
France
Prob to win: 12.82%
Game ELO: 1839 -> 1808 ( -31)
Argentina win: expected
Estadio Monumental, Buenos Aires César Luis Menotti
Argentina 1978 02-Jun-1978 1 Group 1 Argentina
Prob to win: 93.97%
Game ELO: 1926 -> 1975 ( + 49)
2 - 1
Hungary
Prob to win: 6.03%
Game ELO: 1920 -> 1871 ( -49)
Argentina win: expected
Estadio Monumental, Buenos Aires César Luis Menotti
West Germany 1974 03-Jul-1974 2 Group A Argentina
Prob to win: 31.99%
Game ELO: 1751 -> 1775 ( + 24)
1 - 1
East Germany
Prob to win: 68.01%
Game ELO: 1930 -> 1906 ( -24)
Argentina draw: upset (loss expected)
Parkstadion, Gelsenkirchen Vladislao Cap
West Germany 1974 30-Jun-1974 2 Group A Argentina
Prob to win: 19.89%
Game ELO: 1762 -> 1751 ( -11)
1 - 2
Brazil
Prob to win: 80.11%
Game ELO: 2122 -> 2133 ( + 11)
Argentina loss: expected
Niedersachsenstadion, Hanover Vladislao Cap
West Germany 1974 26-Jun-1974 2 Group A Netherlands
Prob to win: 90.91%
Game ELO: 1970 -> 2112 ( + 142)
4 - 0
Argentina
Prob to win: 9.09%
Game ELO: 1904 -> 1762 ( -142)
Argentina loss: expected
Parkstadion, Gelsenkirchen Vladislao Cap
West Germany 1974 23-Jun-1974 1 Group 4 Argentina
Prob to win: 79.92%
Game ELO: 1875 -> 1904 ( + 29)
4 - 1
Haiti
Prob to win: 20.08%
Game ELO: 1564 -> 1535 ( -29)
Argentina win: expected
Olympiastadion, Munich Vladislao Cap
West Germany 1974 19-Jun-1974 1 Group 4 Argentina
Prob to win: 26.98%
Game ELO: 1853 -> 1875 ( + 22)
1 - 1
Italy
Prob to win: 73.02%
Game ELO: 2014 -> 1992 ( -22)
Argentina draw: upset (loss expected)
Neckarstadion, Stuttgart Vladislao Cap
West Germany 1974 15-Jun-1974 1 Group 4 Poland
Prob to win: 88.82%
Game ELO: 1959 -> 2000 ( + 41)
3 - 2
Argentina
Prob to win: 11.18%
Game ELO: 1894 -> 1853 ( -41)
Argentina loss: expected
Neckarstadion, Stuttgart Vladislao Cap
England 1966 23-Jul-1966 2 Quarter Finals England
Prob to win: 81.01%
Game ELO: 2045 -> 2091 ( + 46)
1 - 0
Argentina
Prob to win: 18.99%
Game ELO: 2020 -> 1974 ( -46)
Argentina loss: expected
London Juan Carlos Lorenzo
England 1966 19-Jul-1966 1 Group 2 Argentina
Prob to win: 91.51%
Game ELO: 2009 -> 2020 ( + 11)
2 - 0
Switzerland
Prob to win: 8.49%
Game ELO: 1572 -> 1561 ( -11)
Argentina win: expected
Hillsborough Stadium, Sheffield Juan Carlos Lorenzo
England 1966 16-Jul-1966 1 Group 2 Argentina
Prob to win: 32.12%
Game ELO: 2011 -> 2009 ( -2)
0 - 0
West Germany
Prob to win: 67.88%
Game ELO: 1998 -> 2000 ( + 2)
Argentina draw: upset (loss expected)
Villa Park, Birmingham Juan Carlos Lorenzo
England 1966 13-Jul-1966 1 Group 2 Argentina
Prob to win: 68.63%
Game ELO: 1972 -> 2011 ( + 39)
2 - 1
Spain
Prob to win: 31.37%
Game ELO: 1891 -> 1852 ( -39)
Argentina win: expected
Villa Park, Birmingham Juan Carlos Lorenzo
Chile 1962 06-Jun-1962 1 Group 4 Hungary
Prob to win: 57.15%
Game ELO: 2064 -> 2042 ( -22)
0 - 0
Argentina
Prob to win: 42.85%
Game ELO: 1902 -> 1924 ( + 22)
Argentina draw: upset (loss expected)
Estadio El Teniente, Rancagua Juan Carlos Lorenzo
Chile 1962 02-Jun-1962 1 Group 4 England
Prob to win: 48.27%
Game ELO: 1887 -> 1986 ( + 99)
3 - 1
Argentina
Prob to win: 51.73%
Game ELO: 2001 -> 1902 ( -99)
Argentina loss: upset (win expected)
Estadio El Teniente, Rancagua Juan Carlos Lorenzo
Chile 1962 30-May-1962 1 Group 4 Argentina
Prob to win: 77.21%
Game ELO: 1979 -> 2001 ( + 22)
1 - 0
Bulgaria
Prob to win: 22.79%
Game ELO: 1763 -> 1741 ( -22)
Argentina win: expected
Estadio El Teniente, Rancagua Juan Carlos Lorenzo
Sweden 1958 15-Jun-1958 19:00 1 Group 1 Czechoslovakia
Prob to win: 81.54%
Game ELO: 1842 -> 2086 ( + 244)
6 - 1
Argentina
Prob to win: 18.46%
Game ELO: 1987 -> 1743 ( -244)
Argentina loss: expected
Olympiastadion, Helsingborg Guillermo Stábile
Sweden 1958 11-Jun-1958 19:00 1 Group 1 Argentina
Prob to win: 52.16%
Game ELO: 1941 -> 1987 ( + 46)
3 - 1
Northern Ireland
Prob to win: 47.84%
Game ELO: 1802 -> 1756 ( -46)
Argentina win: expected
Örjans Vall, Halmstad Guillermo Stábile
Sweden 1958 08-Jun-1958 19:00 1 Group 1 West Germany
Prob to win: 64.80%
Game ELO: 1913 -> 2015 ( + 102)
3 - 1
Argentina
Prob to win: 35.20%
Game ELO: 2043 -> 1941 ( -102)
Argentina loss: expected
Malmö Stadion, Malmö Guillermo Stábile
Italy 1934 27-May-1934 1 Top 16 Sweden
Prob to win: 23.30%
Game ELO: 1731 -> 1818 ( + 87)
3 - 2
Argentina
Prob to win: 76.70%
Game ELO: 2065 -> 1978 ( -87)
Argentina loss: upset (win expected)
Bologna Felipe Pascucci
Uruguay 1930 30-Jul-1930 2 Final Argentina
Prob to win: 38.01%
Game ELO: 2178 -> 2080 ( -98)
2 - 4
Uruguay
Prob to win: 61.99%
Game ELO: 2067 -> 2165 ( + 98)
Argentina loss: expected
Montevideo Francisco Olazar and Juan José Tramutola
Uruguay 1930 26-Jul-1930 2 Semi Finals Argentina
Prob to win: 83.37%
Game ELO: 2104 -> 2178 ( + 74)
6 - 1
USA
Prob to win: 16.63%
Game ELO: 1874 -> 1800 ( -74)
Argentina win: expected
Montevideo Francisco Olazar and Juan José Tramutola
Uruguay 1930 22-Jul-1930 1 Group 1 Argentina
Prob to win: 90.62%
Game ELO: 2089 -> 2104 ( + 15)
3 - 1
Chile
Prob to win: 9.38%
Game ELO: 1701 -> 1686 ( -15)
Argentina win: expected
Estadio Centenario, Montevideo Francisco Olazar and Juan José Tramutola
Uruguay 1930 19-Jul-1930 1 Group 1 Argentina
Prob to win: 97.94%
Game ELO: 2085 -> 2089 ( + 4)
6 - 3
Mexico
Prob to win: 2.06%
Game ELO: 1413 -> 1409 ( -4)
Argentina win: expected
Estadio Centenario, Montevideo Francisco Olazar and Juan José Tramutola
Uruguay 1930 15-Jul-1930 1 Group 1 Argentina
Prob to win: 94.32%
Game ELO: 2077 -> 2085 ( + 8)
1 - 0
France
Prob to win: 5.68%
Game ELO: 1648 -> 1640 ( -8)
Argentina win: expected
Estadio Parque Central, Montevideo Francisco Olazar and Juan José Tramutola