Argentina details

Argentina

Statistics:
  • Games: 84
  • Expected results: 62 (74.70%)
  • Unexpected results: 21 (25.30%)
  • Unknown games: 0
  • Record: 48 Won, 25 Lost, 10 Drawn, 0 Unknown
  • Last five games: WLLWL
  • Expected wins: 45 (54.22%)
  • Expected losses: 17 (20.48%)
  • Unexpected wins: 3 (3.61%)
  • Unexpected losses: 8 (9.64%)
  • Unexpected draws: 10 (12.05%)
  • Wins (+1pt for expected, +3 for unexpected): 54
  • Losses (-1pt for expected, -3 for unexpected): -41
  • Draws (-1pt if fav, +1pt if underdog): 10
  • Total: 23

Tournament Game Time Round Group Name Score Odds Analysis Location Coach
Qatar 2022 30-Nov-2022 22:00 1 Group C Poland
Prob to win: 23.19%
Pregame ELO: 1814
Argentina
Prob to win: 76.81%
Pregame ELO: 2143
Stadium 974, Doha
Qatar 2022 26-Nov-2022 22:00 1 Group C Argentina
Prob to win: 84.75%
Game ELO: 2048 -> 2078 (+30)
2 - 0
Mexico
Prob to win: 15.25%
Game ELO: 1810 -> 1780 (-30)
Argentina win: expected
Lusail Iconic Stadium, Lusail
Qatar 2022 22-Nov-2022 13:00 1 Group C Argentina
Prob to win: 91.14%
Game ELO: 2143 -> 2048 (-95)
1 - 2
Saudi Arabia
Prob to win: 8.86%
Game ELO: 1635 -> 1730 (+95)
Argentina loss: upset (win expected)
Lusail Iconic Stadium, Lusail
Russia 2018 30-Jun-2018 17:00 2 Top 16 France
Prob to win: 90.57%
Game ELO: 2017 -> 2048 (+31)
4 - 3
Argentina
Prob to win: 9.43%
Game ELO: 1877 -> 1846 (-31)
Argentina loss: expected
Kazan Arena, Kazan
Russia 2018 26-Jun-2018 19:00 1 Group D Nigeria
Prob to win: 31.25%
Game ELO: 1746 -> 1709 (-37)
1 - 2
Argentina
Prob to win: 68.75%
Game ELO: 1840 -> 1877 (+37)
Argentina win: expected
Krestovsky Stadium, Saint Petersburg
Russia 2018 21-Jun-2018 19:00 1 Group D Argentina
Prob to win: 21.99%
Game ELO: 1958 -> 1840 (-118)
0 - 3
Croatia
Prob to win: 78.01%
Game ELO: 1894 -> 2012 (+118)
Argentina loss: expected
Nizhny Novgorod Stadium, Nizhny Novgorod
Russia 2018 16-Jun-2018 14:00 1 Group D Argentina
Prob to win: 73.02%
Game ELO: 1986 -> 1958 (-28)
1 - 1
Iceland
Prob to win: 26.98%
Game ELO: 1764 -> 1792 (+28)
Argentina draw: upset (win expected)
Otkrytie Arena, Moscow
Brazil 2014 13-Jul-2014 2 Final Germany
Prob to win: 76.70%
Game ELO: 2304 -> 2403 (+99)
1 - 0 (aet)
Argentina
Prob to win: 23.30%
Game ELO: 2226 -> 2196 (-30)
Argentina loss: expected
Brazil 2014 09-Jul-2014 2 Semi Finals Netherlands
Prob to win: 52.44%
Game ELO: 2248 -> 2148 (-100)
0 - 0 (aet)
2 - 4 (pen)
Argentina
Prob to win: 47.56%
Game ELO: 2126 -> 2226 (+100)
Argentina win: upset (loss expected)
Brazil 2014 05-Jul-2014 2 Quarter Finals Argentina
Prob to win: 81.54%
Game ELO: 2093 -> 2126 (+33)
1 - 0
Belgium
Prob to win: 18.46%
Game ELO: 1971 -> 1938 (-33)
Argentina win: expected
Brazil 2014 01-Jul-2014 2 Top 16 Argentina
Prob to win: 88.82%
Game ELO: 2070 -> 2093 (+23)
1 - 0 (aet)
Switzerland
Prob to win: 11.18%
Game ELO: 1859 -> 1836 (-23)
Argentina win: expected
Brazil 2014 25-Jun-2014 1 Group F Nigeria
Prob to win: 6.44%
Game ELO: 1778 -> 1761 (-17)
2 - 3
Argentina
Prob to win: 93.56%
Game ELO: 2053 -> 2070 (+17)
Argentina win: expected
Porto Alegre
Brazil 2014 21-Jun-2014 1 Group F Argentina
Prob to win: 96.32%
Game ELO: 2040 -> 2053 (+13)
1 - 0
Iran
Prob to win: 3.68%
Game ELO: 1715 -> 1702 (-13)
Argentina win: expected
Belo Horizonte
Brazil 2014 15-Jun-2014 1 Group F Argentina
Prob to win: 91.51%
Game ELO: 2019 -> 2040 (+21)
2 - 1
Bosnia and Herzegovina
Prob to win: 8.49%
Game ELO: 1787 -> 1766 (-21)
Argentina win: expected
Rio De Janeiro
South Africa 2010 03-Jul-2010 16:00 2 Quarter Finals Argentina
Prob to win: 14.59%
Game ELO: 2081 -> 1904 (-177)
0 - 4
Germany
Prob to win: 85.41%
Game ELO: 2078 -> 2255 (+177)
Argentina loss: expected
Cape Town Diego Maradona
South Africa 2010 27-Jun-2010 16:00 2 Top 16 Argentina
Prob to win: 59.39%
Game ELO: 2037 -> 2081 (+44)
3 - 1
Mexico
Prob to win: 40.61%
Game ELO: 1882 -> 1838 (-44)
Argentina win: expected
Bloemfontein Diego Maradona
South Africa 2010 22-Jun-2010 20:30 1 Group B Greece
Prob to win: 23.40%
Game ELO: 1721 -> 1698 (-23)
0 - 2
Argentina
Prob to win: 76.60%
Game ELO: 2014 -> 2037 (+23)
Argentina win: expected
Polokwane Diego Maradona
South Africa 2010 17-Jun-2010 13:30 1 Group B Argentina
Prob to win: 73.81%
Game ELO: 1945 -> 2014 (+69)
4 - 1
South Korea
Prob to win: 26.19%
Game ELO: 1835 -> 1766 (-69)
Argentina win: expected
Johannesburg - JSC Diego Maradona
South Africa 2010 12-Jun-2010 16:00 1 Group B Argentina
Prob to win: 80.56%
Game ELO: 1921 -> 1945 (+24)
1 - 0
Nigeria
Prob to win: 19.44%
Game ELO: 1716 -> 1692 (-24)
Argentina win: expected
Johannesburg - JEP Diego Maradona
Germany 2006 30-Jun-2006 2 Quarter Finals Germany
Prob to win: 70.22%
Game ELO: 2078 -> 2151 (+73)
1 - 1 (aet)
4 - 2 (pen)
Argentina
Prob to win: 29.78%
Game ELO: 2067 -> 1994 (-73)
Argentina loss: expected
Hamburg José Pekerman
Germany 2006 24-Jun-2006 2 Top 16 Argentina
Prob to win: 74.25%
Game ELO: 2044 -> 2067 (+23)
2 - 1 (aet)
Mexico
Prob to win: 25.75%
Game ELO: 1833 -> 1810 (-23)
Argentina win: expected
Leipzig José Pekerman
Germany 2006 21-Jun-2006 1 Group C Netherlands
Prob to win: 48.27%
Game ELO: 2036 -> 2037 (+1)
0 - 0
Argentina
Prob to win: 51.73%
Game ELO: 2045 -> 2044 (-1)
Argentina draw: upset (win expected)
José Pekerman
Germany 2006 16-Jun-2006 1 Group C Argentina
Prob to win: 88.53%
Game ELO: 1953 -> 2045 (+92)
6 - 0
Serbia and Montenegro
Prob to win: 11.47%
Game ELO: 1775 -> 1683 (-92)
Argentina win: expected
José Pekerman
Germany 2006 10-Jun-2006 1 Group C Argentina
Prob to win: 78.79%
Game ELO: 1924 -> 1953 (+29)
2 - 1
Ivory Coast
Prob to win: 21.21%
Game ELO: 1768 -> 1739 (-29)
Argentina win: expected
José Pekerman
Korea/ Japan 2002 12-Jun-2002 1 Group F Sweden
Prob to win: 34.55%
Game ELO: 1906 -> 1915 (+9)
1 - 1
Argentina
Prob to win: 65.45%
Game ELO: 1970 -> 1961 (-9)
Argentina draw: upset (win expected)
Miyagi Stadium, Miyagi Marcelo Bielsa
Korea/ Japan 2002 07-Jun-2002 1 Group F Argentina
Prob to win: 42.43%
Game ELO: 2037 -> 1970 (-67)
0 - 1
England
Prob to win: 57.57%
Game ELO: 1916 -> 1983 (+67)
Argentina loss: expected
Sapporo Dome, Sapporo Marcelo Bielsa
Korea/ Japan 2002 02-Jun-2002 1 Group F Argentina
Prob to win: 77.21%
Game ELO: 2018 -> 2037 (+19)
1 - 0
Nigeria
Prob to win: 22.79%
Game ELO: 1769 -> 1750 (-19)
Argentina win: expected
Kashima Stadium, Ibaraki Marcelo Bielsa
France 1998 04-Jul-1998 2 Quarter Finals Netherlands
Prob to win: 43.70%
Game ELO: 2057 -> 2112 (+55)
2 - 1
Argentina
Prob to win: 56.30%
Game ELO: 2089 -> 2034 (-55)
Argentina loss: upset (win expected)
Marseille Daniel Passarella
France 1998 28-Jun-1998 2 Top 16 Argentina
Prob to win: 64.80%
Game ELO: 2051 -> 2089 (+38)
2 - 2 (aet)
4 - 3 (pen)
England
Prob to win: 35.20%
Game ELO: 1966 -> 1928 (-38)
Argentina win: expected
Lens Daniel Passarella
France 1998 26-Jun-1998 1 Group H Argentina
Prob to win: 35.60%
Game ELO: 1996 -> 2051 (+55)
1 - 0
Croatia
Prob to win: 64.40%
Game ELO: 2033 -> 1978 (-55)
Argentina win: upset (loss expected)
Parc Lescure, Bordeaux Daniel Passarella
France 1998 21-Jun-1998 1 Group H Argentina
Prob to win: 90.62%
Game ELO: 1948 -> 1996 (+48)
5 - 0
Jamaica
Prob to win: 9.38%
Game ELO: 1630 -> 1582 (-48)
Argentina win: expected
Parc des Princes, Paris Daniel Passarella
France 1998 14-Jun-1998 1 Group H Argentina
Prob to win: 93.21%
Game ELO: 1930 -> 1948 (+18)
1 - 0
Japan
Prob to win: 6.79%
Game ELO: 1665 -> 1647 (-18)
Argentina win: expected
Stade de Toulouse, Toulouse Daniel Passarella
USA 1994 03-Jul-1994 2 Top 16 Romania
Prob to win: 52.73%
Game ELO: 1844 -> 1903 (+59)
3 - 2
Argentina
Prob to win: 47.27%
Game ELO: 1906 -> 1847 (-59)
Argentina loss: expected
Pasadena Alfio Basile
USA 1994 30-Jun-1994 1 Group D Argentina
Prob to win: 54.16%
Game ELO: 2021 -> 1906 (-115)
0 - 2
Bulgaria
Prob to win: 45.84%
Game ELO: 1812 -> 1927 (+115)
Argentina loss: upset (win expected)
Cotton Bowl, Dallas Alfio Basile
USA 1994 25-Jun-1994 1 Group D Argentina
Prob to win: 56.44%
Game ELO: 1990 -> 2021 (+31)
2 - 1
Nigeria
Prob to win: 43.56%
Game ELO: 1850 -> 1819 (-31)
Argentina win: expected
Foxboro Stadium, Foxborough Alfio Basile
USA 1994 21-Jun-1994 1 Group D Argentina
Prob to win: 90.96%
Game ELO: 1915 -> 1990 (+75)
4 - 0
Greece
Prob to win: 9.04%
Game ELO: 1688 -> 1613 (-75)
Argentina win: expected
Foxboro Stadium, Foxborough Alfio Basile
Italy 1990 08-Jul-1990 2 Final Argentina
Prob to win: 26.52%
Game ELO: 2041 -> 2006 (-35)
0 - 1
West Germany
Prob to win: 73.48%
Game ELO: 2148 -> 2183 (+35)
Argentina loss: expected
Rome Carlos Bilardo
Italy 1990 03-Jul-1990 2 Semi Finals Italy
Prob to win: 62.13%
Game ELO: 2122 -> 2051 (-71)
1 - 1 (aet)
3 - 4 (pen)
Argentina
Prob to win: 37.87%
Game ELO: 1970 -> 2041 (+71)
Argentina win: upset (loss expected)
Naples Carlos Bilardo
Italy 1990 30-Jun-1990 2 Quarter Finals Yugoslavia
Prob to win: 34.81%
Game ELO: 1953 -> 1897 (-56)
0 - 0 (aet)
2 - 3 (pen)
Argentina
Prob to win: 65.19%
Game ELO: 1914 -> 1970 (+56)
Argentina win: expected
Florence Carlos Bilardo
Italy 1990 24-Jun-1990 2 Top 16 Brazil
Prob to win: 46.55%
Game ELO: 2061 -> 1982 (-79)
0 - 1
Argentina
Prob to win: 53.45%
Game ELO: 1835 -> 1914 (+79)
Argentina win: expected
Turin Carlos Bilardo
Italy 1990 18-Jun-1990 1 Group B Argentina
Prob to win: 72.57%
Game ELO: 1825 -> 1835 (+10)
1 - 1
Romania
Prob to win: 27.43%
Game ELO: 1897 -> 1887 (-10)
Argentina draw: upset (win expected)
Stadio San Paolo, Naples Carlos Bilardo
Italy 1990 13-Jun-1990 1 Group B Argentina
Prob to win: 58.41%
Game ELO: 1722 -> 1825 (+103)
2 - 0
Soviet Union
Prob to win: 41.59%
Game ELO: 1858 -> 1755 (-103)
Argentina win: expected
Stadio San Paolo, Naples Carlos Bilardo
Italy 1990 08-Jun-1990 1 Group B Argentina
Prob to win: 87.99%
Game ELO: 1794 -> 1722 (-72)
0 - 1
Cameroon
Prob to win: 12.01%
Game ELO: 1633 -> 1705 (+72)
Argentina loss: upset (win expected)
San Siro, Milan Carlos Bilardo
Mexico 1986 29-Jun-1986 2 Final West Germany
Prob to win: 40.20%
Game ELO: 2141 -> 2085 (-56)
2 - 3
Argentina
Prob to win: 59.80%
Game ELO: 2098 -> 2154 (+56)
Argentina win: expected
Mexico City Carlos Bilardo
Mexico 1986 25-Jun-1986 2 Semi Finals Argentina
Prob to win: 83.84%
Game ELO: 2036 -> 2098 (+62)
2 - 0
Belgium
Prob to win: 16.16%
Game ELO: 1976 -> 1914 (-62)
Argentina win: expected
Mexico City Carlos Bilardo
Mexico 1986 22-Jun-1986 2 Quarter Finals Argentina
Prob to win: 73.36%
Game ELO: 1977 -> 2036 (+59)
2 - 1
England
Prob to win: 26.64%
Game ELO: 2037 -> 1978 (-59)
Argentina win: expected
Mexico City Carlos Bilardo
Mexico 1986 16-Jun-1986 2 Top 16 Argentina
Prob to win: 92.95%
Game ELO: 1956 -> 1977 (+21)
1 - 0
Uruguay
Prob to win: 7.05%
Game ELO: 1727 -> 1706 (-21)
Argentina win: expected
Puebla Carlos Bilardo
Mexico 1986 10-Jun-1986 1 Group A Argentina
Prob to win: 92.76%
Game ELO: 1898 -> 1956 (+58)
2 - 0
Bulgaria
Prob to win: 7.24%
Game ELO: 1816 -> 1758 (-58)
Argentina win: expected
Estadio Olímpico Universitario, Mexico City Carlos Bilardo
Mexico 1986 05-Jun-1986 1 Group A Italy
Prob to win: 15.32%
Game ELO: 1877 -> 1880 (+3)
1 - 1
Argentina
Prob to win: 84.68%
Game ELO: 1901 -> 1898 (-3)
Argentina draw: upset (win expected)
Estadio Cuauhtémoc, Puebla Carlos Bilardo
Mexico 1986 02-Jun-1986 1 Group A Argentina
Prob to win: 95.89%
Game ELO: 1872 -> 1901 (+29)
3 - 1
South Korea
Prob to win: 4.11%
Game ELO: 1624 -> 1595 (-29)
Argentina win: expected
Estadio Olímpico Universitario, Mexico City Carlos Bilardo
Spain 1982 02-Jul-1982 2 Group C Argentina
Prob to win: 24.03%
Game ELO: 1960 -> 1927 (-33)
1 - 3
Brazil
Prob to win: 75.97%
Game ELO: 2177 -> 2210 (+33)
Argentina loss: expected
Estadio Sarriá, Barcelona César Luis Menotti
Spain 1982 29-Jun-1982 2 Group C Argentina
Prob to win: 18.21%
Game ELO: 2033 -> 1960 (-73)
1 - 2
Italy
Prob to win: 81.79%
Game ELO: 1857 -> 1930 (+73)
Argentina loss: expected
Estadio Sarriá, Barcelona César Luis Menotti
Spain 1982 23-Jun-1982 1 Group 3 Argentina
Prob to win: 91.82%
Game ELO: 2025 -> 2033 (+8)
2 - 0
El Salvador
Prob to win: 8.18%
Game ELO: 1515 -> 1507 (-8)
Argentina win: expected
Estadio José Rico Pérez, Alicante César Luis Menotti
Spain 1982 18-Jun-1982 1 Group 3 Argentina
Prob to win: 64.14%
Game ELO: 1940 -> 2025 (+85)
4 - 1
Hungary
Prob to win: 35.86%
Game ELO: 1887 -> 1802 (-85)
Argentina win: expected
Estadio José Rico Pérez, Alicante César Luis Menotti
Spain 1982 13-Jun-1982 1 Group 3 Argentina
Prob to win: 62.13%
Game ELO: 2003 -> 1940 (-63)
0 - 1
Belgium
Prob to win: 37.87%
Game ELO: 1914 -> 1977 (+63)
Argentina loss: upset (win expected)
Camp Nou, Barcelona César Luis Menotti
Argentina 1978 25-Jun-1978 3 Final Netherlands
Prob to win: 32.37%
Game ELO: 2173 -> 2090 (-83)
1 - 3 (aet)
Argentina
Prob to win: 67.63%
Game ELO: 2135 -> 2218 (+83)
Argentina win: expected
Estadio Monumental, Buenos Aires César Luis Menotti
Argentina 1978 21-Jun-1978 2 Group B Argentina
Prob to win: 93.17%
Game ELO: 2056 -> 2135 (+79)
6 - 0
Peru
Prob to win: 6.83%
Game ELO: 1843 -> 1764 (-79)
Argentina win: expected
Estadio Gigante de Arroyito, Rosario César Luis Menotti
Argentina 1978 18-Jun-1978 2 Group B Argentina
Prob to win: 52.73%
Game ELO: 2043 -> 2056 (+13)
0 - 0
Brazil
Prob to win: 47.27%
Game ELO: 2135 -> 2122 (-13)
Argentina draw: upset (win expected)
Estadio Gigante de Arroyito, Rosario César Luis Menotti
Argentina 1978 14-Jun-1978 2 Group B Argentina
Prob to win: 84.90%
Game ELO: 1959 -> 2043 (+84)
2 - 0
Poland
Prob to win: 15.10%
Game ELO: 1999 -> 1915 (-84)
Argentina win: expected
Estadio Gigante de Arroyito, Rosario César Luis Menotti
Argentina 1978 10-Jun-1978 1 Group 1 Argentina
Prob to win: 76.50%
Game ELO: 2006 -> 1959 (-47)
0 - 1
Italy
Prob to win: 23.50%
Game ELO: 2030 -> 2077 (+47)
Argentina loss: upset (win expected)
Estadio Monumental, Buenos Aires César Luis Menotti
Argentina 1978 06-Jun-1978 1 Group 1 Argentina
Prob to win: 87.18%
Game ELO: 1975 -> 2006 (+31)
2 - 1
France
Prob to win: 12.82%
Game ELO: 1839 -> 1808 (-31)
Argentina win: expected
Estadio Monumental, Buenos Aires César Luis Menotti
Argentina 1978 02-Jun-1978 1 Group 1 Argentina
Prob to win: 93.97%
Game ELO: 1926 -> 1975 (+49)
2 - 1
Hungary
Prob to win: 6.03%
Game ELO: 1920 -> 1871 (-49)
Argentina win: expected
Estadio Monumental, Buenos Aires César Luis Menotti
West Germany 1974 03-Jul-1974 2 Group A Argentina
Prob to win: 31.99%
Game ELO: 1751 -> 1775 (+24)
1 - 1
East Germany
Prob to win: 68.01%
Game ELO: 1930 -> 1906 (-24)
Argentina draw: upset (loss expected)
Parkstadion, Gelsenkirchen Vladislao Cap
West Germany 1974 30-Jun-1974 2 Group A Argentina
Prob to win: 19.89%
Game ELO: 1762 -> 1751 (-11)
1 - 2
Brazil
Prob to win: 80.11%
Game ELO: 2122 -> 2133 (+11)
Argentina loss: expected
Niedersachsenstadion, Hanover Vladislao Cap
West Germany 1974 26-Jun-1974 2 Group A Netherlands
Prob to win: 90.91%
Game ELO: 1970 -> 2112 (+142)
4 - 0
Argentina
Prob to win: 9.09%
Game ELO: 1904 -> 1762 (-142)
Argentina loss: expected
Parkstadion, Gelsenkirchen Vladislao Cap
West Germany 1974 23-Jun-1974 1 Group 4 Argentina
Prob to win: 79.92%
Game ELO: 1875 -> 1904 (+29)
4 - 1
Haiti
Prob to win: 20.08%
Game ELO: 1564 -> 1535 (-29)
Argentina win: expected
Olympiastadion, Munich Vladislao Cap
West Germany 1974 19-Jun-1974 1 Group 4 Argentina
Prob to win: 26.98%
Game ELO: 1853 -> 1875 (+22)
1 - 1
Italy
Prob to win: 73.02%
Game ELO: 2014 -> 1992 (-22)
Argentina draw: upset (loss expected)
Neckarstadion, Stuttgart Vladislao Cap
West Germany 1974 15-Jun-1974 1 Group 4 Poland
Prob to win: 88.82%
Game ELO: 1959 -> 2000 (+41)
3 - 2
Argentina
Prob to win: 11.18%
Game ELO: 1894 -> 1853 (-41)
Argentina loss: expected
Neckarstadion, Stuttgart Vladislao Cap
England 1966 23-Jul-1966 2 Quarter Finals England
Prob to win: 81.01%
Game ELO: 2045 -> 2091 (+46)
1 - 0
Argentina
Prob to win: 18.99%
Game ELO: 2020 -> 1974 (-46)
Argentina loss: expected
London Juan Carlos Lorenzo
England 1966 19-Jul-1966 1 Group 2 Argentina
Prob to win: 91.51%
Game ELO: 2009 -> 2020 (+11)
2 - 0
Switzerland
Prob to win: 8.49%
Game ELO: 1572 -> 1561 (-11)
Argentina win: expected
Hillsborough Stadium, Sheffield Juan Carlos Lorenzo
England 1966 16-Jul-1966 1 Group 2 Argentina
Prob to win: 32.12%
Game ELO: 2011 -> 2009 (-2)
0 - 0
West Germany
Prob to win: 67.88%
Game ELO: 1998 -> 2000 (+2)
Argentina draw: upset (loss expected)
Villa Park, Birmingham Juan Carlos Lorenzo
England 1966 13-Jul-1966 1 Group 2 Argentina
Prob to win: 68.63%
Game ELO: 1972 -> 2011 (+39)
2 - 1
Spain
Prob to win: 31.37%
Game ELO: 1891 -> 1852 (-39)
Argentina win: expected
Villa Park, Birmingham Juan Carlos Lorenzo
Chile 1962 06-Jun-1962 1 Group 4 Hungary
Prob to win: 57.15%
Game ELO: 2064 -> 2042 (-22)
0 - 0
Argentina
Prob to win: 42.85%
Game ELO: 1902 -> 1924 (+22)
Argentina draw: upset (loss expected)
Estadio El Teniente, Rancagua Juan Carlos Lorenzo
Chile 1962 02-Jun-1962 1 Group 4 England
Prob to win: 48.27%
Game ELO: 1887 -> 1986 (+99)
3 - 1
Argentina
Prob to win: 51.73%
Game ELO: 2001 -> 1902 (-99)
Argentina loss: upset (win expected)
Estadio El Teniente, Rancagua Juan Carlos Lorenzo
Chile 1962 30-May-1962 1 Group 4 Argentina
Prob to win: 77.21%
Game ELO: 1979 -> 2001 (+22)
1 - 0
Bulgaria
Prob to win: 22.79%
Game ELO: 1763 -> 1741 (-22)
Argentina win: expected
Estadio El Teniente, Rancagua Juan Carlos Lorenzo
Sweden 1958 15-Jun-1958 19:00 1 Group 1 Czechoslovakia
Prob to win: 81.54%
Game ELO: 1842 -> 2086 (+244)
6 - 1
Argentina
Prob to win: 18.46%
Game ELO: 1987 -> 1743 (-244)
Argentina loss: expected
Olympiastadion, Helsingborg Guillermo Stábile
Sweden 1958 11-Jun-1958 19:00 1 Group 1 Argentina
Prob to win: 52.16%
Game ELO: 1941 -> 1987 (+46)
3 - 1
Northern Ireland
Prob to win: 47.84%
Game ELO: 1802 -> 1756 (-46)
Argentina win: expected
Örjans Vall, Halmstad Guillermo Stábile
Sweden 1958 08-Jun-1958 19:00 1 Group 1 West Germany
Prob to win: 64.80%
Game ELO: 1913 -> 2015 (+102)
3 - 1
Argentina
Prob to win: 35.20%
Game ELO: 2043 -> 1941 (-102)
Argentina loss: expected
Malmö Stadion, Malmö Guillermo Stábile
Italy 1934 27-May-1934 1 Top 16 Sweden
Prob to win: 23.30%
Game ELO: 1731 -> 1818 (+87)
3 - 2
Argentina
Prob to win: 76.70%
Game ELO: 2065 -> 1978 (-87)
Argentina loss: upset (win expected)
Bologna Felipe Pascucci
Uruguay 1930 30-Jul-1930 2 Final Argentina
Prob to win: 38.01%
Game ELO: 2178 -> 2080 (-98)
2 - 4
Uruguay
Prob to win: 61.99%
Game ELO: 2067 -> 2165 (+98)
Argentina loss: expected
Montevideo Francisco Olazar and Juan José Tramutola
Uruguay 1930 26-Jul-1930 2 Semi Finals Argentina
Prob to win: 83.37%
Game ELO: 2104 -> 2178 (+74)
6 - 1
USA
Prob to win: 16.63%
Game ELO: 1874 -> 1800 (-74)
Argentina win: expected
Montevideo Francisco Olazar and Juan José Tramutola
Uruguay 1930 22-Jul-1930 1 Group 1 Argentina
Prob to win: 90.62%
Game ELO: 2089 -> 2104 (+15)
3 - 1
Chile
Prob to win: 9.38%
Game ELO: 1701 -> 1686 (-15)
Argentina win: expected
Estadio Centenario, Montevideo Francisco Olazar and Juan José Tramutola
Uruguay 1930 19-Jul-1930 1 Group 1 Argentina
Prob to win: 97.94%
Game ELO: 2085 -> 2089 (+4)
6 - 3
Mexico
Prob to win: 2.06%
Game ELO: 1413 -> 1409 (-4)
Argentina win: expected
Estadio Centenario, Montevideo Francisco Olazar and Juan José Tramutola
Uruguay 1930 15-Jul-1930 1 Group 1 Argentina
Prob to win: 94.32%
Game ELO: 2077 -> 2085 (+8)
1 - 0
France
Prob to win: 5.68%
Game ELO: 1648 -> 1640 (-8)
Argentina win: expected
Estadio Parque Central, Montevideo Francisco Olazar and Juan José Tramutola