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Croatia details
Croatia
Statistics:
- Games: 58
- Expected results: 27 (49.09%)
- Unexpected results: 28 (50.91%)
- Unknown games: 3
- Record: 26 Won, 18 Lost, 11 Drawn, 3 Unknown
- Last five games: DDLWL
- Expected wins: 16 (29.09%)
- Expected losses: 11 (20.00%)
- Unexpected wins: 10 (18.18%)
- Unexpected losses: 7 (12.73%)
- Unexpected draws: 11 (20.00%)
- Wins (+1pt for expected, +3 for unexpected): 46
- Losses (-1pt for expected, -3 for unexpected): -32
- Draws (-1pt if fav, +1pt if underdog): 11
- Total: 25
| Tournament | Game Time | Round | Group Name | Score | Odds Analysis | Location | Coach | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Canada/ Mexico/ United States 2026 | 27-Jun-2026 17:00 | 1 | Group L |
Prob to win: 88.61%
Pregame ELO: 1912 |
Prob to win: 8.76%
Pregame ELO: 1510 |
|
Lincoln Financial Field, Philadelphia | ||
| Canada/ Mexico/ United States 2026 | 23-Jun-2026 19:00 | 1 | Group L |
Prob to win: 24.09%
Pregame ELO: 1730 |
Prob to win: 68.68%
Pregame ELO: 1912 |
|
BMO Field, Toronto | ||
| Canada/ Mexico/ United States 2026 | 17-Jun-2026 19:00 | 1 | Group L |
Prob to win: 59.44%
Pregame ELO: 2024 |
Prob to win: 31.20%
Pregame ELO: 1912 |
|
AT&T Stadium, Arlington | ||
| Euro 2024 | 24-Jun-2024 21:00 | 1 | Group B |
Prob to win: 41.29%
Game ELO: 1912 -> 1862 (-50) |
1 - 1
|
Prob to win: 46.33%
Game ELO: 1932 -> 1921 (-11) |
Croatia draw: upset (loss expected)
|
Leipzig Stadium, Leipzig | |
| Euro 2024 | 19-Jun-2024 15:00 | 1 | Group B |
Prob to win: 81.31%
Game ELO: 1912 -> 1851 (-61) |
2 - 2
|
Prob to win: 14.38%
Game ELO: 1611 -> 1644 (+33) |
Croatia draw: upset (win expected)
|
Volksparkstadion, Hamburg | |
| Euro 2024 | 15-Jun-2024 18:00 | 1 | Group B |
Prob to win: 69.42%
Game ELO: 2157 -> 2105 (-52) |
3 - 0
|
Prob to win: 23.52%
Game ELO: 1969 -> 1884 (-85) |
Croatia loss: expected
|
Olympiastadion, Berlin | |
| Qatar 2022 | 17-Dec-2022 18:00 | 2 | 3rd Place |
Prob to win: 39.65%
Game ELO: 1912 -> 2044 (+132) |
2 - 1
|
Prob to win: 60.35%
Game ELO: 1985 -> 1936 (-49) |
Croatia win: upset (loss expected)
|
Khalifa International Stadium, Al Rayyan | |
| Qatar 2022 | 13-Dec-2022 22:00 | 2 | Semi Finals |
Prob to win: 57.15%
Game ELO: 2115 -> 2242 (+127) |
3 - 0
|
Prob to win: 42.85%
Game ELO: 2065 -> 1995 (-70) |
Croatia loss: expected
|
Lusail Iconic Stadium, Lusail | |
| Qatar 2022 | 9-Dec-2022 18:00 | 2 | Quarter Finals |
Prob to win: 20.73%
Game ELO: 1912 -> 2065 (+153) |
1 - 1 (aet)
4 - 2 (pen) |
Prob to win: 79.27%
Game ELO: 2145 -> 2075 (-70) |
Croatia win: upset (loss expected)
|
Education City Stadium, Al Rayyan | |
| Qatar 2022 | 5-Dec-2022 18:00 | 2 | Top 16 |
Prob to win: 42.85%
Game ELO: 1906 -> 1840 (-66) |
1 - 1 (aet)
1 - 3 (pen) |
Prob to win: 57.15%
Game ELO: 1956 -> 1995 (+39) |
Croatia win: expected
|
Al Janoub Stadium, Al Wakrah | |
| Qatar 2022 | 1-Dec-2022 18:00 | 1 | Group F |
Prob to win: 42.61%
Game ELO: 1912 -> 1956 (+44) |
0 - 0
|
Prob to win: 44.61%
Game ELO: 1920 -> 1926 (+6) |
Croatia draw: upset (loss expected)
|
Ahmad bin Ali Stadium, Al Rayyan | |
| Qatar 2022 | 27-Nov-2022 19:00 | 1 | Group F |
Prob to win: 66.54%
Game ELO: 1912 -> 1962 (+50) |
4 - 1
|
Prob to win: 25.74%
Game ELO: 1747 -> 1689 (-58) |
Croatia win: expected
|
Khalifa International Stadium, Al Rayyan | |
| Qatar 2022 | 23-Nov-2022 13:00 | 1 | Group F |
Prob to win: 32.49%
Game ELO: 1827 -> 1776 (-51) |
0 - 0
|
Prob to win: 57.77%
Game ELO: 1927 -> 1904 (-23) |
Croatia draw: upset (win expected)
|
Al Bayt Stadium, Al Khor | |
| Euro 2020 | 28-Jun-2021 18:00 | 2 | Top 16 |
Prob to win: 33.26%
Game ELO: 1912 -> 1809 (-103) |
3 - 5 (aet)
|
Prob to win: 66.74%
Game ELO: 2033 -> 2071 (+38) |
Croatia loss: expected
|
Parken Stadium, Copenhagen | |
| Euro 2020 | 22-Jun-2021 21:00 | 1 | Group D |
Prob to win: 76.44%
Game ELO: 1912 -> 1847 (-65) |
3 - 1
|
Prob to win: 18.13%
Game ELO: 1662 -> 1615 (-47) |
Croatia win: expected
|
Hampden Park, Glasgow | |
| Euro 2020 | 18-Jun-2021 18:00 | 1 | Group D |
Prob to win: 56.07%
Game ELO: 1912 -> 1800 (-112) |
1 - 1
|
Prob to win: 33.79%
Game ELO: 1824 -> 1820 (-4) |
Croatia draw: upset (win expected)
|
Hampden Park, Glasgow | |
| Euro 2020 | 13-Jun-2021 15:00 | 1 | Group D |
Prob to win: 70.75%
Game ELO: 2024 -> 2011 (-13) |
1 - 0
|
Prob to win: 22.50%
Game ELO: 1825 -> 1796 (-29) |
Croatia loss: expected
|
Wembley Stadium, London | |
| Russia 2018 | 15-Jul-2018 18:00 | 2 | Final |
Prob to win: 55.16%
Game ELO: 2063 -> 2218 (+155) |
4 - 2
|
Prob to win: 44.84%
Game ELO: 2027 -> 1982 (-45) |
Croatia loss: expected
|
Luzhniki Stadium, Moscow | |
| Russia 2018 | 11-Jul-2018 21:00 | 2 | Semi Finals |
Prob to win: 37.60%
Game ELO: 1912 -> 2027 (+115) |
2 - 1 (aet)
|
Prob to win: 62.40%
Game ELO: 2000 -> 1946 (-54) |
Croatia win: upset (loss expected)
|
Luzhniki Stadium, Moscow | |
| Russia 2018 | 7-Jul-2018 21:00 | 2 | Quarter Finals |
Prob to win: 14.45%
Game ELO: 1750 -> 1836 (+86) |
2 - 2 (aet)
3 - 4 (pen) |
Prob to win: 85.55%
Game ELO: 2059 -> 1973 (-86) |
Croatia win: expected
|
Fisht Olympic Stadium, Sochi | |
| Russia 2018 | 1-Jul-2018 21:00 | 2 | Top 16 |
Prob to win: 50.43%
Game ELO: 1912 -> 2059 (+147) |
1 - 1 (aet)
3 - 2 (pen) |
Prob to win: 49.57%
Game ELO: 1909 -> 1875 (-34) |
Croatia win: expected
|
Nizhny Novgorod Stadium, Nizhny Novgorod | |
| Russia 2018 | 26-Jun-2018 19:00 | 1 | Group D |
Prob to win: 12.77%
Game ELO: 1686 -> 1673 (-13) |
1 - 2
|
Prob to win: 83.40%
Game ELO: 2012 -> 2025 (+13) |
Croatia win: expected
|
Rostov Arena, Rostov-on-Don | |
| Russia 2018 | 21-Jun-2018 19:00 | 1 | Group D |
Prob to win: 73.30%
Game ELO: 2115 -> 1840 (-275) |
0 - 3
|
Prob to win: 20.54%
Game ELO: 1894 -> 2012 (+118) |
Croatia win: upset (loss expected)
|
Nizhny Novgorod Stadium, Nizhny Novgorod | |
| Russia 2018 | 16-Jun-2018 20:00 | 1 | Group D |
Prob to win: 74.41%
Game ELO: 1912 -> 1894 (-18) |
2 - 0
|
Prob to win: 19.68%
Game ELO: 1681 -> 1640 (-41) |
Croatia win: expected
|
Kaliningrad Stadium, Kaliningrad | |
| Euro 2016 | 25-Jun-2016 21:00 | 2 | Top 16 |
Prob to win: 58.55%
Game ELO: 1912 -> 1866 (-46) |
0 - 1 (aet)
|
Prob to win: 41.45%
Game ELO: 1852 -> 1913 (+61) |
Croatia loss: upset (win expected)
|
Stade Bollaert-Delelis, Lens | |
| Euro 2016 | 21-Jun-2016 21:00 | 1 | Group D |
Prob to win: 28.05%
Game ELO: 1912 -> 1927 (+15) |
2 - 1
|
Prob to win: 63.53%
Game ELO: 2054 -> 1978 (-76) |
Croatia win: upset (loss expected)
|
Nouveau Stade de Bordeaux, Bordeaux | |
| Euro 2016 | 17-Jun-2016 18:00 | 1 | Group D |
Prob to win: 29.30%
Game ELO: 1740 -> 1754 (+14) |
2 - 2
|
Prob to win: 61.92%
Game ELO: 1870 -> 1851 (-19) |
Croatia draw: upset (win expected)
|
Stade Geoffroy-Guichard, Saint-Étienne | |
| Euro 2016 | 12-Jun-2016 15:00 | 1 | Group D |
Prob to win: 56.78%
Game ELO: 1911 -> 1777 (-134) |
0 - 1
|
Prob to win: 33.24%
Game ELO: 1818 -> 1870 (+52) |
Croatia win: upset (loss expected)
|
Parc des Princes, Paris | |
| Brazil 2014 | 23-Jun-2014 | 1 | Group A |
Prob to win: 48.91%
Game ELO: 1912 -> 1802 (-110) |
1 - 3
|
Prob to win: 39.30%
Game ELO: 1874 -> 1950 (+76) |
Croatia loss: expected
|
Recife | |
| Brazil 2014 | 18-Jun-2014 | 1 | Group A |
Prob to win: 21.33%
Game ELO: 1586 -> 1506 (-80) |
0 - 4
|
Prob to win: 72.27%
Game ELO: 1798 -> 1878 (+80) |
Croatia win: expected
|
Manaus | |
| Brazil 2014 | 12-Jun-2014 | 1 | Group A |
Prob to win: 100.00%
Game ELO: 2110 -> 2110 (+0) |
3 - 1
|
Prob to win: 0.00%
Game ELO: 0 -> 0 (+0) |
Croatia loss: expected
|
Sao Paulo | |
| Euro 2012 | 18-Jun-2012 20:45 | 1 | Group C |
Prob to win: 98.51%
Game ELO: 1912 -> 1024 (-888) |
0 - 1
|
Prob to win: 1.14%
Game ELO: 1138 -> 1178 (+40) |
Croatia loss: upset (win expected)
|
PGE Arena, Gdansk | |
| Euro 2012 | 14-Jun-2012 18:00 | 1 | Group C |
Prob to win: 35.21%
Game ELO: 1000 -> 1011 (+11) |
1 - 1
|
Prob to win: 54.22%
Game ELO: 1075 -> 1064 (-11) |
Croatia draw: upset (win expected)
|
Stadion Miejski, Poznan | |
| Euro 2012 | 10-Jun-2012 20:45 | 1 | Group C |
Prob to win: 43.48%
Game ELO: 0 -> 925 (+925) |
1 - 3
|
Prob to win: 43.48%
Game ELO: 0 -> 1075 (+1075) |
Croatia win: upset (loss expected)
|
Stadion Miejski, Poznan | |
| Euro 2008 | 20-Jun-2008 20:45 | 2 | Quarter Finals |
Prob to win: 100.00%
Game ELO: 1912 -> 1035 (-877) |
1 - 1 (aet)
1 - 3 (pen) |
Prob to win: 0.00%
Game ELO: 0 -> 1125 (+1125) |
Croatia loss: upset (win expected)
|
Ernst-Happel-Stadion, Vienna | |
| Euro 2008 | 16-Jun-2008 20:45 | 1 | Group B |
Prob to win: 24.76%
Game ELO: 929 -> 902 (-27) |
0 - 1
|
Prob to win: 67.81%
Game ELO: 1104 -> 1131 (+27) |
Croatia win: expected
|
Wörthersee Stadion, Klagenfurt | |
| Euro 2008 | 12-Jun-2008 18:00 | 1 | Group B |
Prob to win: 98.96%
Game ELO: 1912 -> 1104 (-808) |
2 - 1
|
Prob to win: 0.80%
Game ELO: 1075 -> 1021 (-54) |
Croatia win: expected
|
Wörthersee Stadion, Klagenfurt | |
| Euro 2008 | 8-Jun-2008 18:00 | 1 | Group B |
Prob to win: 100.00%
Game ELO: 1830 -> 950 (-880) |
0 - 1
|
Prob to win: 0.00%
Game ELO: 0 -> 1050 (+1050) |
Croatia win: upset (loss expected)
|
Ernst-Happel-Stadion, Vienna | |
| Germany 2006 | 22-Jun-2006 | 1 | Group F |
Prob to win: 54.37%
Game ELO: 1912 -> 1805 (-107) |
2 - 2
|
Prob to win: 35.10%
Game ELO: 1836 -> 1831 (-5) |
Croatia draw: upset (win expected)
|
Zlatko Kranjcar |
|
| Germany 2006 | 18-Jun-2006 | 1 | Group F |
Prob to win: 56.64%
Game ELO: 1906 -> 1731 (-175) |
0 - 0
|
Prob to win: 33.35%
Game ELO: 1814 -> 1800 (-14) |
Croatia draw: upset (loss expected)
|
Zlatko Kranjcar |
|
| Germany 2006 | 13-Jun-2006 | 1 | Group F |
Prob to win: 64.98%
Game ELO: 1991 -> 2060 (+69) |
1 - 0
|
Prob to win: 26.93%
Game ELO: 1838 -> 1814 (-24) |
Croatia loss: expected
|
Zlatko Kranjcar |
|
| Euro 2004 | 21-Jun-2004 19:45 | 1 | Group B |
Prob to win: 99.02%
Game ELO: 1912 -> 944 (-968) |
2 - 4
|
Prob to win: 0.75%
Game ELO: 1064 -> 1127 (+63) |
Croatia loss: upset (win expected)
|
Estádio da Luz, Lisbon | |
| Euro 2004 | 17-Jun-2004 19:45 | 1 | Group B |
Prob to win: 99.10%
Game ELO: 1912 -> 1007 (-905) |
2 - 2
|
Prob to win: 0.69%
Game ELO: 1050 -> 1043 (-7) |
Croatia draw: upset (win expected)
|
Estádio Dr. Magalhães Pessoa, Leiria | |
| Euro 2004 | 13-Jun-2004 17:00 | 1 | Group B |
Prob to win: 100.00%
Game ELO: 1891 -> 1000 (-891) |
0 - 0
|
Prob to win: 0.00%
Game ELO: 0 -> 1000 (+1000) |
Croatia draw: upset (loss expected)
|
Estádio Dr. Magalhães Pessoa, Leiria | |
| Korea/ Japan 2002 | 13-Jun-2002 | 1 | Group G |
Prob to win: 48.77%
Game ELO: 1938 -> 1755 (-183) |
1 - 0
|
Prob to win: 39.41%
Game ELO: 1901 -> 1822 (-79) |
Croatia loss: expected
|
International Stadium Yokohama, Yokohama |
Mirko Jozic |
| Korea/ Japan 2002 | 8-Jun-2002 | 1 | Group G |
Prob to win: 72.04%
Game ELO: 2034 -> 1957 (-77) |
1 - 2
|
Prob to win: 21.51%
Game ELO: 1824 -> 1901 (+77) |
Croatia win: upset (loss expected)
|
Kashima Stadium, Ibaraki |
Mirko Jozic |
| Korea/ Japan 2002 | 3-Jun-2002 | 1 | Group G |
Prob to win: 55.08%
Game ELO: 1912 -> 1824 (-88) |
0 - 1
|
Prob to win: 34.55%
Game ELO: 1831 -> 1888 (+57) |
Croatia loss: upset (win expected)
|
Niigata Stadium, Niigata |
Mirko Jozic |
| France 1998 | 11-Jul-1998 | 2 | 3rd Place |
Prob to win: 31.62%
Game ELO: 1948 -> 2011 (+63) |
1 - 2
|
Prob to win: 68.38%
Game ELO: 2082 -> 2129 (+47) |
Croatia win: expected
|
Paris |
Miroslav Blaževic |
| France 1998 | 8-Jul-1998 | 2 | Semi Finals |
Prob to win: 39.37%
Game ELO: 2063 -> 2153 (+90) |
2 - 1
|
Prob to win: 60.63%
Game ELO: 2138 -> 2082 (-56) |
Croatia loss: upset (win expected)
|
Saint-Denis |
Miroslav Blaževic |
| France 1998 | 4-Jul-1998 | 2 | Quarter Finals |
Prob to win: 37.46%
Game ELO: 1932 -> 1963 (+31) |
0 - 3
|
Prob to win: 62.54%
Game ELO: 2021 -> 2138 (+117) |
Croatia win: expected
|
Lyon |
Miroslav Blaževic |
| France 1998 | 30-Jun-1998 | 2 | Top 16 |
Prob to win: 42.99%
Game ELO: 1929 -> 1886 (-43) |
0 - 1
|
Prob to win: 57.01%
Game ELO: 1978 -> 2021 (+43) |
Croatia win: expected
|
Bordeaux |
Miroslav Blaževic |
| France 1998 | 26-Jun-1998 | 1 | Group H |
Prob to win: 55.22%
Game ELO: 2115 -> 2051 (-64) |
1 - 0
|
Prob to win: 34.44%
Game ELO: 2033 -> 1978 (-55) |
Croatia loss: expected
|
Parc Lescure, Bordeaux |
Miroslav Blaževic |
| France 1998 | 20-Jun-1998 | 1 | Group H |
Prob to win: 30.66%
Game ELO: 1906 -> 1637 (-269) |
0 - 1
|
Prob to win: 60.14%
Game ELO: 2023 -> 2033 (+10) |
Croatia win: expected
|
Stade de la Beaujoire, Nantes |
Miroslav Blaževic |
| France 1998 | 14-Jun-1998 | 1 | Group H |
Prob to win: 10.87%
Game ELO: 1647 -> 1630 (-17) |
1 - 3
|
Prob to win: 85.87%
Game ELO: 2006 -> 2023 (+17) |
Croatia win: expected
|
Stade Félix Bollaert, Lens |
Miroslav Blaževic |
| Euro 1996 | 23-Jun-1996 15:00 | 2 | Quarter Finals |
Prob to win: 100.00%
Game ELO: 1932 -> 1154 (-778) |
2 - 1
|
Prob to win: 0.00%
Game ELO: 0 -> 975 (+975) |
Croatia loss: expected
|
Old Trafford, Manchester | |
| Euro 1996 | 19-Jun-1996 16:30 | 1 | Group D |
Prob to win: 99.13%
Game ELO: 1912 -> 1010 (-902) |
0 - 3
|
Prob to win: 0.67%
Game ELO: 1043 -> 1169 (+126) |
Croatia loss: upset (win expected)
|
City Ground, Nottingham | |
| Euro 1996 | 16-Jun-1996 18:00 | 1 | Group D |
Prob to win: 99.32%
Game ELO: 1912 -> 1136 (-776) |
3 - 0
|
Prob to win: 0.52%
Game ELO: 1000 -> 914 (-86) |
Croatia win: expected
|
Hillsborough, Sheffield | |
| Euro 1996 | 11-Jun-1996 19:30 | 1 | Group D |
Prob to win: 100.00%
Game ELO: 1911 -> 950 (-961) |
0 - 1
|
Prob to win: 0.00%
Game ELO: 0 -> 1050 (+1050) |
Croatia win: upset (loss expected)
|
City Ground, Nottingham |
