Croatia details

Croatia

Statistics:
  • Games: 45
  • Expected results: 31 (68.89%)
  • Unexpected results: 14 (31.11%)
  • Unknown games: 0
  • Record: 22 Won, 16 Lost, 7 Drawn, 0 Unknown
  • Last five games: LWDLL
  • Expected wins: 18 (40.00%)
  • Expected losses: 13 (28.89%)
  • Unexpected wins: 4 (8.89%)
  • Unexpected losses: 3 (6.67%)
  • Unexpected draws: 7 (15.56%)
  • Wins (+1pt for expected, +3 for unexpected): 30
  • Losses (-1pt for expected, -3 for unexpected): -22
  • Draws (-1pt if fav, +1pt if underdog): 7
  • Total: 15

Tournament Game Time Round Group Name Score Odds Analysis Location Coach
Euro 2020 28-Jun-2021 18:00 2 Top 16 Croatia
Prob to win: 18.81%
Game ELO: 1825 -> 1809 ( -16)
3 - 5 (aet)
Spain
Prob to win: 81.19%
Game ELO: 2033 -> 2071 ( + 38)
Croatia loss: expected
Parken Stadium, Copenhagen
Euro 2020 22-Jun-2021 21:00 1 Group D Croatia
Prob to win: 75.34%
Game ELO: 1800 -> 1847 ( + 47)
3 - 1
Scotland
Prob to win: 24.66%
Game ELO: 1662 -> 1615 ( -47)
Croatia win: expected
Hampden Park, Glasgow
Euro 2020 18-Jun-2021 18:00 1 Group D Croatia
Prob to win: 39.51%
Game ELO: 1796 -> 1800 ( + 4)
1 - 1
Czech Republic
Prob to win: 60.49%
Game ELO: 1824 -> 1820 ( -4)
Croatia draw: upset (loss expected)
Hampden Park, Glasgow
Euro 2020 13-Jun-2021 15:00 1 Group D England
Prob to win: 87.43%
Game ELO: 1982 -> 2011 ( + 29)
1 - 0
Croatia
Prob to win: 12.57%
Game ELO: 1825 -> 1796 ( -29)
Croatia loss: expected
Wembley Stadium, London
Russia 2018 15-Jul-2018 18:00 2 Final France
Prob to win: 73.14%
Game ELO: 1987 -> 2240 ( + 253)
4 - 2
Croatia
Prob to win: 26.86%
Game ELO: 1853 -> 2066 ( + 213)
Croatia loss: expected
Luzhniki Stadium, Moscow
Russia 2018 11-Jul-2018 21:00 2 Semi Finals Croatia
Prob to win: 64.14%
Game ELO: 1853 -> 2132 ( + 279)
2 - 1 (aet)
England
Prob to win: 35.86%
Game ELO: 1948 -> 2029 ( + 81)
Croatia win: expected
Luzhniki Stadium, Moscow
Russia 2018 07-Jul-2018 21:00 2 Quarter Finals Russia
Prob to win: 20.17%
Game ELO: 1678 -> 1827 ( + 149)
2 - 2 (aet)
3 - 4 (pen)
Croatia
Prob to win: 79.83%
Game ELO: 1853 -> 2082 ( + 229)
Croatia win: expected
Fisht Olympic Stadium, Sochi
Russia 2018 01-Jul-2018 21:00 2 Top 16 Croatia
Prob to win: 75.02%
Game ELO: 1853 -> 2059 ( + 206)
1 - 1 (aet)
3 - 2 (pen)
Denmark
Prob to win: 24.98%
Game ELO: 1856 -> 1875 ( + 19)
Croatia win: expected
Nizhny Novgorod Stadium, Nizhny Novgorod
Russia 2018 26-Jun-2018 19:00 1 Group D Iceland
Prob to win: 9.43%
Game ELO: 1686 -> 1673 ( -13)
1 - 2
Croatia
Prob to win: 90.57%
Game ELO: 2012 -> 2025 ( + 13)
Croatia win: expected
Rostov Arena, Rostov-on-Don
Russia 2018 21-Jun-2018 19:00 1 Group D Argentina
Prob to win: 21.99%
Game ELO: 1958 -> 1840 ( -118)
0 - 3
Croatia
Prob to win: 78.01%
Game ELO: 1894 -> 2012 ( + 118)
Croatia win: expected
Nizhny Novgorod Stadium, Nizhny Novgorod
Russia 2018 16-Jun-2018 20:00 1 Group D Croatia
Prob to win: 88.65%
Game ELO: 1853 -> 1894 ( + 41)
2 - 0
Nigeria
Prob to win: 11.35%
Game ELO: 1681 -> 1640 ( -41)
Croatia win: expected
Kaliningrad Stadium, Kaliningrad
Euro 2016 25-Jun-2016 21:00 2 Top 16 Croatia
Prob to win: 18.90%
Game ELO: 1927 -> 1866 ( -61)
0 - 1 (aet)
Portugal
Prob to win: 81.10%
Game ELO: 1852 -> 1913 ( + 61)
Croatia loss: expected
Stade Bollaert-Delelis, Lens
Euro 2016 21-Jun-2016 21:00 1 Group D Croatia
Prob to win: 47.12%
Game ELO: 1851 -> 1927 ( + 76)
2 - 1
Spain
Prob to win: 52.88%
Game ELO: 2054 -> 1978 ( -76)
Croatia win: upset (loss expected)
Nouveau Stade de Bordeaux, Bordeaux
Euro 2016 17-Jun-2016 18:00 1 Group D Czech Republic
Prob to win: 24.98%
Game ELO: 1735 -> 1754 ( + 19)
2 - 2
Croatia
Prob to win: 75.02%
Game ELO: 1870 -> 1851 ( -19)
Croatia draw: upset (win expected)
Stade Geoffroy-Guichard, Saint-Étienne
Euro 2016 12-Jun-2016 15:00 1 Group D Turkey
Prob to win: 42.71%
Game ELO: 1829 -> 1777 ( -52)
0 - 1
Croatia
Prob to win: 57.29%
Game ELO: 1818 -> 1870 ( + 52)
Croatia win: expected
Parc des Princes, Paris
Brazil 2014 23-Jun-2014 1 Group A Croatia
Prob to win: 32.12%
Game ELO: 1878 -> 1802 ( -76)
1 - 3
Mexico
Prob to win: 67.88%
Game ELO: 1874 -> 1950 ( + 76)
Croatia loss: expected
Recife
Brazil 2014 18-Jun-2014 1 Group A Cameroon
Prob to win: 14.95%
Game ELO: 1586 -> 1506 ( -80)
0 - 4
Croatia
Prob to win: 85.05%
Game ELO: 1798 -> 1878 ( + 80)
Croatia win: expected
Manaus
Brazil 2014 12-Jun-2014 1 Group A Brazil
Prob to win: 71.05%
Game ELO: 2138 -> 2159 ( + 21)
3 - 1
Croatia
Prob to win: 28.95%
Game ELO: 1819 -> 1798 ( -21)
Croatia loss: expected
Sao Paulo
Euro 2012 18-Jun-2012 20:45 1 Group C Croatia
Prob to win: 10.35%
Game ELO: 1064 -> 1024 ( -40)
0 - 1
Spain
Prob to win: 89.65%
Game ELO: 1138 -> 1178 ( + 40)
Croatia loss: expected
PGE Arena, Gdansk
Euro 2012 14-Jun-2012 18:00 1 Group C Italy
Prob to win: 53.45%
Game ELO: 1000 -> 1011 ( + 11)
1 - 1
Croatia
Prob to win: 46.55%
Game ELO: 1075 -> 1064 ( -11)
Croatia draw: upset (loss expected)
Stadion Miejski, Poznan
Euro 2012 10-Jun-2012 20:45 1 Group C Republic of Ireland
Prob to win: 17.53%
Game ELO: 0 -> 925 ( + 925)
1 - 3
Croatia
Prob to win: 82.47%
Game ELO: 0 -> 1075 ( + 1075)
Croatia win: expected
Stadion Miejski, Poznan
Euro 2008 20-Jun-2008 20:45 2 Quarter Finals Croatia
Prob to win: 44.70%
Game ELO: 0 -> 1035 ( + 1035)
1 - 1 (aet)
1 - 3 (pen)
Turkey
Prob to win: 55.30%
Game ELO: 0 -> 1125 ( + 1125)
Croatia loss: expected
Ernst-Happel-Stadion, Vienna
Euro 2008 16-Jun-2008 20:45 1 Group B Poland
Prob to win: 31.74%
Game ELO: 929 -> 902 ( -27)
0 - 1
Croatia
Prob to win: 68.26%
Game ELO: 1104 -> 1131 ( + 27)
Croatia win: expected
Wörthersee Stadion, Klagenfurt
Euro 2008 12-Jun-2008 18:00 1 Group B Croatia
Prob to win: 37.20%
Game ELO: 1050 -> 1104 ( + 54)
2 - 1
Germany
Prob to win: 62.80%
Game ELO: 1075 -> 1021 ( -54)
Croatia win: upset (loss expected)
Wörthersee Stadion, Klagenfurt
Euro 2008 08-Jun-2008 18:00 1 Group B Austria
Prob to win: 32.37%
Game ELO: 0 -> 950 ( + 950)
0 - 1
Croatia
Prob to win: 67.63%
Game ELO: 0 -> 1050 ( + 1050)
Croatia win: expected
Ernst-Happel-Stadion, Vienna
Germany 2006 22-Jun-2006 1 Group F Croatia
Prob to win: 50.14%
Game ELO: 1800 -> 1805 ( + 5)
2 - 2
Australia
Prob to win: 49.86%
Game ELO: 1836 -> 1831 ( -5)
Croatia draw: upset (win expected)
Zlatko Kranjcar
Germany 2006 18-Jun-2006 1 Group F Japan
Prob to win: 36.53%
Game ELO: 1717 -> 1731 ( + 14)
0 - 0
Croatia
Prob to win: 63.47%
Game ELO: 1814 -> 1800 ( -14)
Croatia draw: upset (win expected)
Zlatko Kranjcar
Germany 2006 13-Jun-2006 1 Group F Brazil
Prob to win: 83.13%
Game ELO: 2036 -> 2060 ( + 24)
1 - 0
Croatia
Prob to win: 16.87%
Game ELO: 1838 -> 1814 ( -24)
Croatia loss: expected
Zlatko Kranjcar
Euro 2004 21-Jun-2004 19:45 1 Group B Croatia
Prob to win: 32.62%
Game ELO: 0 -> 944 ( + 944)
2 - 4
England
Prob to win: 67.38%
Game ELO: 1064 -> 1127 ( + 63)
Croatia loss: expected
Estádio da Luz, Lisbon
Euro 2004 17-Jun-2004 19:45 1 Group B Croatia
Prob to win: 39.10%
Game ELO: 0 -> 1007 ( + 1007)
2 - 2
France
Prob to win: 60.90%
Game ELO: 1050 -> 1043 ( -7)
Croatia draw: upset (loss expected)
Estádio Dr. Magalhães Pessoa, Leiria
Euro 2004 13-Jun-2004 17:00 1 Group B Switzerland
Prob to win: 35.86%
Game ELO: 0 -> 1000 ( + 1000)
0 - 0
Croatia
Prob to win: 64.14%
Game ELO: 0 -> 1000 ( + 1000)
Croatia draw: upset (win expected)
Estádio Dr. Magalhães Pessoa, Leiria
Korea/ Japan 2002 13-Jun-2002 1 Group G Ecuador
Prob to win: 40.48%
Game ELO: 1676 -> 1755 ( + 79)
1 - 0
Croatia
Prob to win: 59.52%
Game ELO: 1901 -> 1822 ( -79)
Croatia loss: upset (win expected)
International Stadium Yokohama, Yokohama Mirko Jozic
Korea/ Japan 2002 08-Jun-2002 1 Group G Italy
Prob to win: 59.94%
Game ELO: 2034 -> 1957 ( -77)
1 - 2
Croatia
Prob to win: 40.06%
Game ELO: 1824 -> 1901 ( + 77)
Croatia win: upset (loss expected)
Kashima Stadium, Ibaraki Mirko Jozic
Korea/ Japan 2002 03-Jun-2002 1 Group G Croatia
Prob to win: 51.73%
Game ELO: 1881 -> 1824 ( -57)
0 - 1
Mexico
Prob to win: 48.27%
Game ELO: 1831 -> 1888 ( + 57)
Croatia loss: upset (win expected)
Niigata Stadium, Niigata Mirko Jozic
France 1998 11-Jul-1998 2 3rd Place Netherlands
Prob to win: 30.02%
Game ELO: 2031 -> 1990 ( -41)
1 - 2
Croatia
Prob to win: 69.98%
Game ELO: 2138 -> 2137 ( -1)
Croatia win: expected
Paris Miroslav Blaževic
France 1998 08-Jul-1998 2 Semi Finals France
Prob to win: 74.03%
Game ELO: 2206 -> 2239 ( + 33)
2 - 1
Croatia
Prob to win: 25.97%
Game ELO: 2138 -> 2096 ( -42)
Croatia loss: expected
Saint-Denis Miroslav Blaževic
France 1998 04-Jul-1998 2 Quarter Finals Germany
Prob to win: 26.86%
Game ELO: 2080 -> 1963 ( -117)
0 - 3
Croatia
Prob to win: 73.14%
Game ELO: 2021 -> 2138 ( + 117)
Croatia win: expected
Lyon Miroslav Blaževic
France 1998 30-Jun-1998 2 Top 16 Romania
Prob to win: 19.08%
Game ELO: 1929 -> 1886 ( -43)
0 - 1
Croatia
Prob to win: 80.92%
Game ELO: 1978 -> 2021 ( + 43)
Croatia win: expected
Bordeaux Miroslav Blaževic
France 1998 26-Jun-1998 1 Group H Argentina
Prob to win: 35.60%
Game ELO: 1996 -> 2051 ( + 55)
1 - 0
Croatia
Prob to win: 64.40%
Game ELO: 2033 -> 1978 ( -55)
Croatia loss: upset (win expected)
Parc Lescure, Bordeaux Miroslav Blaževic
France 1998 20-Jun-1998 1 Group H Japan
Prob to win: 3.87%
Game ELO: 1647 -> 1637 ( -10)
0 - 1
Croatia
Prob to win: 96.13%
Game ELO: 2023 -> 2033 ( + 10)
Croatia win: expected
Stade de la Beaujoire, Nantes Miroslav Blaževic
France 1998 14-Jun-1998 1 Group H Jamaica
Prob to win: 5.41%
Game ELO: 1647 -> 1630 ( -17)
1 - 3
Croatia
Prob to win: 94.59%
Game ELO: 2006 -> 2023 ( + 17)
Croatia win: expected
Stade Félix Bollaert, Lens Miroslav Blaževic
Euro 1996 23-Jun-1996 15:00 2 Quarter Finals Germany
Prob to win: 82.96%
Game ELO: 0 -> 1154 ( + 1154)
2 - 1
Croatia
Prob to win: 17.04%
Game ELO: 0 -> 975 ( + 975)
Croatia loss: expected
Old Trafford, Manchester
Euro 1996 19-Jun-1996 16:30 1 Group D Croatia
Prob to win: 33.51%
Game ELO: 1136 -> 1010 ( -126)
0 - 3
Portugal
Prob to win: 66.49%
Game ELO: 1043 -> 1169 ( + 126)
Croatia loss: expected
City Ground, Nottingham
Euro 1996 16-Jun-1996 18:00 1 Group D Croatia
Prob to win: 44.70%
Game ELO: 1050 -> 1136 ( + 86)
3 - 0
Denmark
Prob to win: 55.30%
Game ELO: 1000 -> 914 ( -86)
Croatia win: upset (loss expected)
Hillsborough, Sheffield
Euro 1996 11-Jun-1996 19:30 1 Group D Turkey
Prob to win: 27.78%
Game ELO: 0 -> 950 ( + 950)
0 - 1
Croatia
Prob to win: 72.22%
Game ELO: 0 -> 1050 ( + 1050)
Croatia win: expected
City Ground, Nottingham