Mexico details

Mexico

Statistics:
  • Games: 60
  • Expected results: 33 (55.00%)
  • Unexpected results: 27 (45.00%)
  • Unknown games: 0
  • Record: 17 Won, 30 Lost, 13 Drawn, 0 Unknown
  • Last five games: WLDLL
  • Expected wins: 9 (15.00%)
  • Expected losses: 24 (40.00%)
  • Unexpected wins: 8 (13.33%)
  • Unexpected losses: 6 (10.00%)
  • Unexpected draws: 13 (21.67%)
  • Wins (+1pt for expected, +3 for unexpected): 33
  • Losses (-1pt for expected, -3 for unexpected): -42
  • Draws (-1pt if fav, +1pt if underdog): 13
  • Total: 4

Tournament Game Time Round Group Name Score Odds Analysis Location Coach
Qatar 2022 30-Nov-2022 22:00 1 Group C
Prob to win: 31.73%
Game ELO: 1673
-> 1638 (-35)
1 - 2
Prob to win: 58.75%
Game ELO: 1780
-> 1815 (+35)
Mexico win: expected
Lusail Iconic Stadium, Lusail
Qatar 2022 26-Nov-2022 22:00 1 Group C
Prob to win: 75.17%
Game ELO: 2048
-> 2078 (+30)
2 - 0
Prob to win: 19.10%
Game ELO: 1810
-> 1780 (-30)
Mexico loss: expected
Lusail Iconic Stadium, Lusail
Qatar 2022 22-Nov-2022 19:00 1 Group C
Prob to win: 42.93%
Game ELO: 1809
-> 1810 (+1)
0 - 0
Prob to win: 44.19%
Game ELO: 1814
-> 1813 (-1)
Mexico draw: upset (loss expected)
Stadium 974, Doha
Russia 2018 2-Jul-2018 18:00 2 Top 16
Prob to win: 87.24%
Game ELO: 2143
-> 2162 (+19)
2 - 0
Prob to win: 12.76%
Game ELO: 1809
-> 1790 (-19)
Mexico loss: expected
Cosmos Arena, Samara
Russia 2018 27-Jun-2018 15:00 1 Group F
Prob to win: 63.53%
Game ELO: 1948
-> 1809 (-139)
0 - 3
Prob to win: 28.05%
Game ELO: 1806
-> 1945 (+139)
Mexico loss: upset (win expected)
Central Stadium, Yekaterinburg
Russia 2018 23-Jun-2018 19:00 1 Group F
Prob to win: 17.81%
Game ELO: 1675
-> 1656 (-19)
1 - 2
Prob to win: 76.85%
Game ELO: 1929
-> 1948 (+19)
Mexico win: expected
Rostov Arena, Rostov-on-Don
Russia 2018 17-Jun-2018 16:00 1 Group F
Prob to win: 73.97%
Game ELO: 2077
-> 1998 (-79)
0 - 1
Prob to win: 20.02%
Game ELO: 1850
-> 1929 (+79)
Mexico win: upset (loss expected)
Luzhniki Stadium, Moscow
Brazil 2014 29-Jun-2014 2 Top 16
Prob to win: 82.05%
Game ELO: 2214
-> 2232 (+18)
2 - 1
Prob to win: 17.95%
Game ELO: 1950
-> 1932 (-18)
Mexico loss: expected
Brazil 2014 23-Jun-2014 1 Group A
Prob to win: 44.04%
Game ELO: 1878
-> 1802 (-76)
1 - 3
Prob to win: 43.04%
Game ELO: 1874
-> 1950 (+76)
Mexico win: upset (loss expected)
Recife
Brazil 2014 17-Jun-2014 1 Group A
Prob to win: 83.00%
Game ELO: 2159
-> 2123 (-36)
0 - 0
Prob to win: 13.08%
Game ELO: 1838
-> 1874 (+36)
Mexico draw: upset (loss expected)
Fortaleza
Brazil 2014 13-Jun-2014 1 Group A
Prob to win: 71.34%
Game ELO: 1814
-> 1838 (+24)
1 - 0
Prob to win: 22.05%
Game ELO: 1610
-> 1586 (-24)
Mexico win: expected
Natal
South Africa 2010 27-Jun-2010 16:00 2 Top 16
Prob to win: 70.94%
Game ELO: 2037
-> 2081 (+44)
3 - 1
Prob to win: 29.06%
Game ELO: 1882
-> 1838 (-44)
Mexico loss: expected
Bloemfontein Javier Aguirre
South Africa 2010 22-Jun-2010 16:00 1 Group A
Prob to win: 50.20%
Game ELO: 1939
-> 1882 (-57)
0 - 1
Prob to win: 38.30%
Game ELO: 1892
-> 1949 (+57)
Mexico loss: upset (win expected)
Rustenburg Javier Aguirre
South Africa 2010 17-Jun-2010 20:30 1 Group A
Prob to win: 42.82%
Game ELO: 1859
-> 1785 (-74)
0 - 2
Prob to win: 44.33%
Game ELO: 1865
-> 1939 (+74)
Mexico win: upset (loss expected)
Polokwane Javier Aguirre
South Africa 2010 11-Jun-2010 16:00 1 Group A
Prob to win: 14.11%
Game ELO: 1595
-> 1630 (+35)
1 - 1
Prob to win: 81.66%
Game ELO: 1900
-> 1865 (-35)
Mexico draw: upset (win expected)
Johannesburg - JSC Javier Aguirre
Germany 2006 24-Jun-2006 2 Top 16
Prob to win: 77.11%
Game ELO: 2044
-> 2067 (+23)
2 - 1 (aet)
Prob to win: 22.89%
Game ELO: 1833
-> 1810 (-23)
Mexico loss: expected
Leipzig Ricardo Lavolpe
Germany 2006 21-Jun-2006 1 Group D
Prob to win: 57.35%
Game ELO: 1966
-> 2002 (+36)
2 - 1
Prob to win: 32.81%
Game ELO: 1869
-> 1833 (-36)
Mexico loss: expected
Ricardo Lavolpe
Germany 2006 16-Jun-2006 1 Group D
Prob to win: 85.58%
Game ELO: 1908
-> 1869 (-39)
0 - 0
Prob to win: 11.09%
Game ELO: 1553
-> 1592 (+39)
Mexico draw: upset (win expected)
Ricardo Lavolpe
Germany 2006 11-Jun-2006 1 Group D
Prob to win: 47.04%
Game ELO: 1838
-> 1908 (+70)
3 - 1
Prob to win: 40.74%
Game ELO: 1813
-> 1743 (-70)
Mexico win: upset (loss expected)
Ricardo Lavolpe
Korea/ Japan 2002 17-Jun-2002 2 Top 16
Prob to win: 73.02%
Game ELO: 1920
-> 1810 (-110)
0 - 2
USA
Prob to win: 26.98%
Game ELO: 1747
-> 1857 (+110)
Mexico loss: upset (win expected)
Jeonju Javier Aguirre
Korea/ Japan 2002 13-Jun-2002 1 Group G
Prob to win: 38.75%
Game ELO: 1914
-> 1920 (+6)
1 - 1
Prob to win: 49.63%
Game ELO: 1957
-> 1951 (-6)
Mexico draw: upset (loss expected)
Oita Stadium, Oita Javier Aguirre
Korea/ Japan 2002 9-Jun-2002 1 Group G
Prob to win: 69.18%
Game ELO: 1888
-> 1914 (+26)
2 - 1
Prob to win: 23.71%
Game ELO: 1702
-> 1676 (-26)
Mexico win: expected
Miyagi Stadium, Miyagi Javier Aguirre
Korea/ Japan 2002 3-Jun-2002 1 Group G
Prob to win: 50.64%
Game ELO: 1881
-> 1824 (-57)
0 - 1
Prob to win: 37.97%
Game ELO: 1831
-> 1888 (+57)
Mexico win: upset (loss expected)
Niigata Stadium, Niigata Javier Aguirre
France 1998 29-Jun-1998 2 Top 16
Prob to win: 67.25%
Game ELO: 2047
-> 2080 (+33)
2 - 1
Prob to win: 32.75%
Game ELO: 1922
-> 1889 (-33)
Mexico loss: expected
Montpellier Manuel Lapuente
France 1998 25-Jun-1998 1 Group E
Prob to win: 60.69%
Game ELO: 2026
-> 2009 (-17)
2 - 2
Prob to win: 30.24%
Game ELO: 1905
-> 1922 (+17)
Mexico draw: upset (loss expected)
Stade Geoffroy-Guichard, Saint-Étienne Manuel Lapuente
France 1998 20-Jun-1998 1 Group E
Prob to win: 36.20%
Game ELO: 1848
-> 1857 (+9)
2 - 2
Prob to win: 52.94%
Game ELO: 1914
-> 1905 (-9)
Mexico draw: upset (win expected)
Parc Lescure, Bordeaux Manuel Lapuente
France 1998 13-Jun-1998 1 Group E
Prob to win: 26.73%
Game ELO: 1715
-> 1671 (-44)
1 - 3
Prob to win: 65.25%
Game ELO: 1870
-> 1914 (+44)
Mexico win: expected
Stade Gerland, Lyon Manuel Lapuente
USA 1994 5-Jul-1994 2 Top 16
Prob to win: 43.98%
Game ELO: 1885
-> 1941 (+56)
1 - 1 (aet)
1 - 3 (pen)
Prob to win: 56.02%
Game ELO: 1927
-> 1871 (-56)
Mexico loss: expected
East Rutherford Miguel Mejía Barón
USA 1994 28-Jun-1994 1 Group E
Prob to win: 57.21%
Game ELO: 1968
-> 1955 (-13)
1 - 1
Prob to win: 32.92%
Game ELO: 1872
-> 1885 (+13)
Mexico draw: upset (loss expected)
RFK Stadium, Washington Miguel Mejía Barón
USA 1994 24-Jun-1994 1 Group E
Prob to win: 27.95%
Game ELO: 1803
-> 1872 (+69)
2 - 1
Prob to win: 63.66%
Game ELO: 1946
-> 1877 (-69)
Mexico win: upset (loss expected)
Citrus Bowl, Orlando Miguel Mejía Barón
USA 1994 19-Jun-1994 1 Group E
Prob to win: 43.37%
Game ELO: 1852
-> 1902 (+50)
1 - 0
Prob to win: 43.62%
Game ELO: 1853
-> 1803 (-50)
Mexico loss: expected
RFK Stadium, Washington Miguel Mejía Barón
Mexico 1986 21-Jun-1986 2 Quarter Finals
Prob to win: 50.00%
Game ELO: 1943
-> 1993 (+50)
0 - 0 (aet)
4 - 1 (pen)
Prob to win: 50.00%
Game ELO: 1943
-> 1893 (-50)
Mexico loss: upset (win expected)
Monterrey
Mexico 1986 15-Jun-1986 2 Top 16
Prob to win: 68.88%
Game ELO: 1896
-> 1943 (+47)
2 - 0
Prob to win: 31.12%
Game ELO: 1758
-> 1711 (-47)
Mexico win: expected
Mexico City
Mexico 1986 11-Jun-1986 1 Group B
Prob to win: 82.59%
Game ELO: 1882
-> 1896 (+14)
1 - 0
Prob to win: 13.39%
Game ELO: 1566
-> 1552 (-14)
Mexico win: expected
Estadio Azteca, Mexico City
Mexico 1986 7-Jun-1986 1 Group B
Prob to win: 51.21%
Game ELO: 1890
-> 1882 (-8)
1 - 1
Prob to win: 37.53%
Game ELO: 1836
-> 1844 (+8)
Mexico draw: upset (win expected)
Estadio Azteca, Mexico City
Mexico 1986 3-Jun-1986 1 Group B
Prob to win: 46.33%
Game ELO: 1843
-> 1890 (+47)
2 - 1
Prob to win: 41.29%
Game ELO: 1823
-> 1776 (-47)
Mexico win: upset (loss expected)
Estadio Azteca, Mexico City
Argentina 1978 10-Jun-1978 1 Group 2
Prob to win: 82.83%
Game ELO: 1978
-> 1999 (+21)
3 - 1
Prob to win: 13.20%
Game ELO: 1659
-> 1638 (-21)
Mexico loss: expected
Estadio Gigante de Arroyito, Rosario José Antonio Roca
Argentina 1978 6-Jun-1978 1 Group 2
Prob to win: 87.27%
Game ELO: 2074
-> 2109 (+35)
6 - 0
Prob to win: 9.79%
Game ELO: 1694
-> 1659 (-35)
Mexico loss: expected
Estadio Chateau Carreras, Córdoba José Antonio Roca
Argentina 1978 2-Jun-1978 1 Group 2
Prob to win: 31.09%
Game ELO: 1680
-> 1779 (+99)
3 - 1
Prob to win: 59.58%
Game ELO: 1793
-> 1694 (-99)
Mexico loss: upset (win expected)
Estadio Gigante de Arroyito, Rosario José Antonio Roca
Mexico 1970 14-Jun-1970 2 Quarter Finals
Prob to win: 68.01%
Game ELO: 1975
-> 2039 (+64)
4 - 1
Prob to win: 31.99%
Game ELO: 1844
-> 1780 (-64)
Mexico loss: expected
Toluca Raúl Cárdenas
Mexico 1970 11-Jun-1970 1 Group 1
Prob to win: 50.92%
Game ELO: 1801
-> 1844 (+43)
1 - 0
Prob to win: 37.75%
Game ELO: 1749
-> 1706 (-43)
Mexico win: expected
Estadio Azteca, Mexico City Raúl Cárdenas
Mexico 1970 7-Jun-1970 1 Group 1
Prob to win: 74.85%
Game ELO: 1729
-> 1801 (+72)
4 - 0
Prob to win: 19.35%
Game ELO: 1494
-> 1422 (-72)
Mexico win: expected
Estadio Azteca, Mexico City Raúl Cárdenas
Mexico 1970 31-May-1970 1 Group 1
Prob to win: 15.77%
Game ELO: 1696
-> 1729 (+33)
0 - 0
Prob to win: 79.50%
Game ELO: 1977
-> 1944 (-33)
Mexico draw: upset (loss expected)
Estadio Azteca, Mexico City Raúl Cárdenas
England 1966 19-Jul-1966 1 Group 1
Prob to win: 32.16%
Game ELO: 1800
-> 1814 (+14)
0 - 0
Prob to win: 58.19%
Game ELO: 1903
-> 1889 (-14)
Mexico draw: upset (loss expected)
Wembley Stadium, London Ignacio Tréllez
England 1966 16-Jul-1966 1 Group 1
Prob to win: 60.69%
Game ELO: 1971
-> 2021 (+50)
2 - 0
Prob to win: 30.24%
Game ELO: 1850
-> 1800 (-50)
Mexico loss: expected
Wembley Stadium, London Ignacio Tréllez
England 1966 13-Jul-1966 1 Group 1
Prob to win: 31.20%
Game ELO: 1754
-> 1770 (+16)
1 - 1
Prob to win: 59.44%
Game ELO: 1866
-> 1850 (-16)
Mexico draw: upset (win expected)
Wembley Stadium, London Ignacio Tréllez
Chile 1962 7-Jun-1962 1 Group 3
Prob to win: 15.63%
Game ELO: 1754
-> 1879 (+125)
3 - 1
Prob to win: 79.68%
Game ELO: 2037
-> 1912 (-125)
Mexico win: upset (loss expected)
Estadio Sausalito, Viña del Mar Ignacio Tréllez
Chile 1962 3-Jun-1962 1 Group 3
Prob to win: 61.51%
Game ELO: 1913
-> 1945 (+32)
1 - 0
Prob to win: 29.61%
Game ELO: 1786
-> 1754 (-32)
Mexico loss: expected
Estadio Sausalito, Viña del Mar Ignacio Tréllez
Chile 1962 30-May-1962 1 Group 3
Prob to win: 80.60%
Game ELO: 2102
-> 2125 (+23)
2 - 0
Prob to win: 14.92%
Game ELO: 1809
-> 1786 (-23)
Mexico loss: expected
Estadio Sausalito, Viña del Mar Ignacio Tréllez
Sweden 1958 15-Jun-1958 1 Group 3
Prob to win: 78.83%
Game ELO: 1968
-> 2028 (+60)
4 - 0
Prob to win: 16.28%
Game ELO: 1694
-> 1634 (-60)
Mexico loss: expected
Jernvallen, Sandviken  Antonio López Herranz
Sweden 1958 11-Jun-1958 1 Group 3
Prob to win: 35.98%
Game ELO: 1684
-> 1694 (+10)
1 - 1
Prob to win: 53.22%
Game ELO: 1752
-> 1742 (-10)
Mexico draw: upset (loss expected)
Råsunda Stadium, Solna  Antonio López Herranz
Sweden 1958 8-Jun-1958 1 Group 3
Prob to win: 46.61%
Game ELO: 1800
-> 1894 (+94)
3 - 0
Prob to win: 41.07%
Game ELO: 1778
-> 1684 (-94)
Mexico loss: expected
Råsunda Stadium, Solna  Antonio López Herranz
Switzerland 1954 19-Jun-1954 1 Group 1
Prob to win: 56.22%
Game ELO: 1738
-> 1775 (+37)
3 - 2
Prob to win: 33.68%
Game ELO: 1649
-> 1612 (-37)
Mexico loss: expected
Charmilles Stadium, Geneva  Antonio López Herranz
Switzerland 1954 16-Jun-1954 1 Group 1
Prob to win: 84.33%
Game ELO: 2031
-> 2075 (+44)
5 - 0
Prob to win: 12.05%
Game ELO: 1693
-> 1649 (-44)
Mexico loss: expected
Charmilles Stadium, Geneva  Antonio López Herranz
Brazil 1950 2-Jul-1950 1 Group 1
Prob to win: 41.51%
Game ELO: 1664
-> 1617 (-47)
1 - 2
Prob to win: 46.04%
Game ELO: 1682
-> 1729 (+47)
Mexico loss: expected
Estádio dos Eucaliptos, Porto Alegre Octavio Vial
Brazil 1950 28-Jun-1950 1 Group 1
Prob to win: 25.35%
Game ELO: 1719
-> 1664 (-55)
1 - 4
Prob to win: 67.05%
Game ELO: 1888
-> 1943 (+55)
Mexico loss: expected
Estádio dos Eucaliptos, Porto Alegre Octavio Vial
Brazil 1950 24-Jun-1950 1 Group 1
Prob to win: 63.66%
Game ELO: 1969
-> 2076 (+107)
4 - 0
Prob to win: 27.95%
Game ELO: 1826
-> 1719 (-107)
Mexico loss: expected
Estádio do Maracanã, Rio de Janeiro Octavio Vial
Uruguay 1930 19-Jul-1930 1 Group 1
Prob to win: 97.36%
Game ELO: 2085
-> 2089 (+4)
6 - 3
Prob to win: 2.03%
Game ELO: 1413
-> 1409 (-4)
Mexico loss: expected
Estadio Centenario, Montevideo Juan Luque de Serrallonga
Uruguay 1930 16-Jul-1930 1 Group 1
Prob to win: 56.36%
Game ELO: 1578
-> 1653 (+75)
3 - 0
Prob to win: 33.57%
Game ELO: 1488
-> 1413 (-75)
Mexico loss: expected
Estadio Parque Central, Montevideo Juan Luque de Serrallonga
Uruguay 1930 13-Jul-1930 1 Group 1
Prob to win: 29.40%
Game ELO: 1709
-> 1648 (-61)
4 - 1
Prob to win: 61.78%
Game ELO: 1838
-> 1488 (-350)
Mexico loss: upset (win expected)
Estadio Pocitos, Montevideo Juan Luque de Serrallonga