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Mexico details
Mexico
Statistics:
- Games: 60
- Expected results: 33 (55.00%)
- Unexpected results: 27 (45.00%)
- Unknown games: 0
- Record: 17 Won, 30 Lost, 13 Drawn, 0 Unknown
- Last five games: WLDLL
- Expected wins: 9 (15.00%)
- Expected losses: 24 (40.00%)
- Unexpected wins: 8 (13.33%)
- Unexpected losses: 6 (10.00%)
- Unexpected draws: 13 (21.67%)
- Wins (+1pt for expected, +3 for unexpected): 33
- Losses (-1pt for expected, -3 for unexpected): -42
- Draws (-1pt if fav, +1pt if underdog): 13
- Total: 4
| Tournament | Game Time | Round | Group Name | Score | Odds Analysis | Location | Coach | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Qatar 2022 | 30-Nov-2022 22:00 | 1 | Group C |
Prob to win: 31.73%
Game ELO: 1673 -> 1638 (-35) |
1 - 2
|
Prob to win: 58.75%
Game ELO: 1780 -> 1815 (+35) |
Mexico win: expected
|
Lusail Iconic Stadium, Lusail | |
| Qatar 2022 | 26-Nov-2022 22:00 | 1 | Group C |
Prob to win: 75.17%
Game ELO: 2048 -> 2078 (+30) |
2 - 0
|
Prob to win: 19.10%
Game ELO: 1810 -> 1780 (-30) |
Mexico loss: expected
|
Lusail Iconic Stadium, Lusail | |
| Qatar 2022 | 22-Nov-2022 19:00 | 1 | Group C |
Prob to win: 42.93%
Game ELO: 1809 -> 1810 (+1) |
0 - 0
|
Prob to win: 44.19%
Game ELO: 1814 -> 1813 (-1) |
Mexico draw: upset (loss expected)
|
Stadium 974, Doha | |
| Russia 2018 | 2-Jul-2018 18:00 | 2 | Top 16 |
Prob to win: 87.24%
Game ELO: 2143 -> 2162 (+19) |
2 - 0
|
Prob to win: 12.76%
Game ELO: 1809 -> 1790 (-19) |
Mexico loss: expected
|
Cosmos Arena, Samara | |
| Russia 2018 | 27-Jun-2018 15:00 | 1 | Group F |
Prob to win: 63.53%
Game ELO: 1948 -> 1809 (-139) |
0 - 3
|
Prob to win: 28.05%
Game ELO: 1806 -> 1945 (+139) |
Mexico loss: upset (win expected)
|
Central Stadium, Yekaterinburg | |
| Russia 2018 | 23-Jun-2018 19:00 | 1 | Group F |
Prob to win: 17.81%
Game ELO: 1675 -> 1656 (-19) |
1 - 2
|
Prob to win: 76.85%
Game ELO: 1929 -> 1948 (+19) |
Mexico win: expected
|
Rostov Arena, Rostov-on-Don | |
| Russia 2018 | 17-Jun-2018 16:00 | 1 | Group F |
Prob to win: 73.97%
Game ELO: 2077 -> 1998 (-79) |
0 - 1
|
Prob to win: 20.02%
Game ELO: 1850 -> 1929 (+79) |
Mexico win: upset (loss expected)
|
Luzhniki Stadium, Moscow | |
| Brazil 2014 | 29-Jun-2014 | 2 | Top 16 |
Prob to win: 82.05%
Game ELO: 2214 -> 2232 (+18) |
2 - 1
|
Prob to win: 17.95%
Game ELO: 1950 -> 1932 (-18) |
Mexico loss: expected
|
||
| Brazil 2014 | 23-Jun-2014 | 1 | Group A |
Prob to win: 44.04%
Game ELO: 1878 -> 1802 (-76) |
1 - 3
|
Prob to win: 43.04%
Game ELO: 1874 -> 1950 (+76) |
Mexico win: upset (loss expected)
|
Recife | |
| Brazil 2014 | 17-Jun-2014 | 1 | Group A |
Prob to win: 83.00%
Game ELO: 2159 -> 2123 (-36) |
0 - 0
|
Prob to win: 13.08%
Game ELO: 1838 -> 1874 (+36) |
Mexico draw: upset (loss expected)
|
Fortaleza | |
| Brazil 2014 | 13-Jun-2014 | 1 | Group A |
Prob to win: 71.34%
Game ELO: 1814 -> 1838 (+24) |
1 - 0
|
Prob to win: 22.05%
Game ELO: 1610 -> 1586 (-24) |
Mexico win: expected
|
Natal | |
| South Africa 2010 | 27-Jun-2010 16:00 | 2 | Top 16 |
Prob to win: 70.94%
Game ELO: 2037 -> 2081 (+44) |
3 - 1
|
Prob to win: 29.06%
Game ELO: 1882 -> 1838 (-44) |
Mexico loss: expected
|
Bloemfontein |
Javier Aguirre |
| South Africa 2010 | 22-Jun-2010 16:00 | 1 | Group A |
Prob to win: 50.20%
Game ELO: 1939 -> 1882 (-57) |
0 - 1
|
Prob to win: 38.30%
Game ELO: 1892 -> 1949 (+57) |
Mexico loss: upset (win expected)
|
Rustenburg |
Javier Aguirre |
| South Africa 2010 | 17-Jun-2010 20:30 | 1 | Group A |
Prob to win: 42.82%
Game ELO: 1859 -> 1785 (-74) |
0 - 2
|
Prob to win: 44.33%
Game ELO: 1865 -> 1939 (+74) |
Mexico win: upset (loss expected)
|
Polokwane |
Javier Aguirre |
| South Africa 2010 | 11-Jun-2010 16:00 | 1 | Group A |
Prob to win: 14.11%
Game ELO: 1595 -> 1630 (+35) |
1 - 1
|
Prob to win: 81.66%
Game ELO: 1900 -> 1865 (-35) |
Mexico draw: upset (win expected)
|
Johannesburg - JSC |
Javier Aguirre |
| Germany 2006 | 24-Jun-2006 | 2 | Top 16 |
Prob to win: 77.11%
Game ELO: 2044 -> 2067 (+23) |
2 - 1 (aet)
|
Prob to win: 22.89%
Game ELO: 1833 -> 1810 (-23) |
Mexico loss: expected
|
Leipzig |
 Ricardo Lavolpe |
| Germany 2006 | 21-Jun-2006 | 1 | Group D |
Prob to win: 57.35%
Game ELO: 1966 -> 2002 (+36) |
2 - 1
|
Prob to win: 32.81%
Game ELO: 1869 -> 1833 (-36) |
Mexico loss: expected
|
Ricardo Lavolpe |
|
| Germany 2006 | 16-Jun-2006 | 1 | Group D |
Prob to win: 85.58%
Game ELO: 1908 -> 1869 (-39) |
0 - 0
|
Prob to win: 11.09%
Game ELO: 1553 -> 1592 (+39) |
Mexico draw: upset (win expected)
|
Ricardo Lavolpe |
|
| Germany 2006 | 11-Jun-2006 | 1 | Group D |
Prob to win: 47.04%
Game ELO: 1838 -> 1908 (+70) |
3 - 1
|
Prob to win: 40.74%
Game ELO: 1813 -> 1743 (-70) |
Mexico win: upset (loss expected)
|
Ricardo Lavolpe |
|
| Korea/ Japan 2002 | 17-Jun-2002 | 2 | Top 16 |
Prob to win: 73.02%
Game ELO: 1920 -> 1810 (-110) |
0 - 2
|
Prob to win: 26.98%
Game ELO: 1747 -> 1857 (+110) |
Mexico loss: upset (win expected)
|
Jeonju |
Javier Aguirre |
| Korea/ Japan 2002 | 13-Jun-2002 | 1 | Group G |
Prob to win: 38.75%
Game ELO: 1914 -> 1920 (+6) |
1 - 1
|
Prob to win: 49.63%
Game ELO: 1957 -> 1951 (-6) |
Mexico draw: upset (loss expected)
|
Oita Stadium, Oita |
Javier Aguirre |
| Korea/ Japan 2002 | 9-Jun-2002 | 1 | Group G |
Prob to win: 69.18%
Game ELO: 1888 -> 1914 (+26) |
2 - 1
|
Prob to win: 23.71%
Game ELO: 1702 -> 1676 (-26) |
Mexico win: expected
|
Miyagi Stadium, Miyagi |
Javier Aguirre |
| Korea/ Japan 2002 | 3-Jun-2002 | 1 | Group G |
Prob to win: 50.64%
Game ELO: 1881 -> 1824 (-57) |
0 - 1
|
Prob to win: 37.97%
Game ELO: 1831 -> 1888 (+57) |
Mexico win: upset (loss expected)
|
Niigata Stadium, Niigata |
Javier Aguirre |
| France 1998 | 29-Jun-1998 | 2 | Top 16 |
Prob to win: 67.25%
Game ELO: 2047 -> 2080 (+33) |
2 - 1
|
Prob to win: 32.75%
Game ELO: 1922 -> 1889 (-33) |
Mexico loss: expected
|
Montpellier |
Manuel Lapuente |
| France 1998 | 25-Jun-1998 | 1 | Group E |
Prob to win: 60.69%
Game ELO: 2026 -> 2009 (-17) |
2 - 2
|
Prob to win: 30.24%
Game ELO: 1905 -> 1922 (+17) |
Mexico draw: upset (loss expected)
|
Stade Geoffroy-Guichard, Saint-Étienne |
Manuel Lapuente |
| France 1998 | 20-Jun-1998 | 1 | Group E |
Prob to win: 36.20%
Game ELO: 1848 -> 1857 (+9) |
2 - 2
|
Prob to win: 52.94%
Game ELO: 1914 -> 1905 (-9) |
Mexico draw: upset (win expected)
|
Parc Lescure, Bordeaux |
Manuel Lapuente |
| France 1998 | 13-Jun-1998 | 1 | Group E |
Prob to win: 26.73%
Game ELO: 1715 -> 1671 (-44) |
1 - 3
|
Prob to win: 65.25%
Game ELO: 1870 -> 1914 (+44) |
Mexico win: expected
|
Stade Gerland, Lyon |
Manuel Lapuente |
| USA 1994 | 5-Jul-1994 | 2 | Top 16 |
Prob to win: 43.98%
Game ELO: 1885 -> 1941 (+56) |
1 - 1 (aet)
1 - 3 (pen) |
Prob to win: 56.02%
Game ELO: 1927 -> 1871 (-56) |
Mexico loss: expected
|
East Rutherford |
Miguel Mejía Barón |
| USA 1994 | 28-Jun-1994 | 1 | Group E |
Prob to win: 57.21%
Game ELO: 1968 -> 1955 (-13) |
1 - 1
|
Prob to win: 32.92%
Game ELO: 1872 -> 1885 (+13) |
Mexico draw: upset (loss expected)
|
RFK Stadium, Washington |
Miguel Mejía Barón |
| USA 1994 | 24-Jun-1994 | 1 | Group E |
Prob to win: 27.95%
Game ELO: 1803 -> 1872 (+69) |
2 - 1
|
Prob to win: 63.66%
Game ELO: 1946 -> 1877 (-69) |
Mexico win: upset (loss expected)
|
Citrus Bowl, Orlando |
Miguel Mejía Barón |
| USA 1994 | 19-Jun-1994 | 1 | Group E |
Prob to win: 43.37%
Game ELO: 1852 -> 1902 (+50) |
1 - 0
|
Prob to win: 43.62%
Game ELO: 1853 -> 1803 (-50) |
Mexico loss: expected
|
RFK Stadium, Washington |
Miguel Mejía Barón |
| Mexico 1986 | 21-Jun-1986 | 2 | Quarter Finals |
Prob to win: 50.00%
Game ELO: 1943 -> 1993 (+50) |
0 - 0 (aet)
4 - 1 (pen) |
Prob to win: 50.00%
Game ELO: 1943 -> 1893 (-50) |
Mexico loss: upset (win expected)
|
Monterrey | |
| Mexico 1986 | 15-Jun-1986 | 2 | Top 16 |
Prob to win: 68.88%
Game ELO: 1896 -> 1943 (+47) |
2 - 0
|
Prob to win: 31.12%
Game ELO: 1758 -> 1711 (-47) |
Mexico win: expected
|
Mexico City | |
| Mexico 1986 | 11-Jun-1986 | 1 | Group B |
Prob to win: 82.59%
Game ELO: 1882 -> 1896 (+14) |
1 - 0
|
Prob to win: 13.39%
Game ELO: 1566 -> 1552 (-14) |
Mexico win: expected
|
Estadio Azteca, Mexico City | |
| Mexico 1986 | 7-Jun-1986 | 1 | Group B |
Prob to win: 51.21%
Game ELO: 1890 -> 1882 (-8) |
1 - 1
|
Prob to win: 37.53%
Game ELO: 1836 -> 1844 (+8) |
Mexico draw: upset (win expected)
|
Estadio Azteca, Mexico City | |
| Mexico 1986 | 3-Jun-1986 | 1 | Group B |
Prob to win: 46.33%
Game ELO: 1843 -> 1890 (+47) |
2 - 1
|
Prob to win: 41.29%
Game ELO: 1823 -> 1776 (-47) |
Mexico win: upset (loss expected)
|
Estadio Azteca, Mexico City | |
| Argentina 1978 | 10-Jun-1978 | 1 | Group 2 |
Prob to win: 82.83%
Game ELO: 1978 -> 1999 (+21) |
3 - 1
|
Prob to win: 13.20%
Game ELO: 1659 -> 1638 (-21) |
Mexico loss: expected
|
Estadio Gigante de Arroyito, Rosario |
José Antonio Roca |
| Argentina 1978 | 6-Jun-1978 | 1 | Group 2 |
Prob to win: 87.27%
Game ELO: 2074 -> 2109 (+35) |
6 - 0
|
Prob to win: 9.79%
Game ELO: 1694 -> 1659 (-35) |
Mexico loss: expected
|
Estadio Chateau Carreras, Córdoba |
José Antonio Roca |
| Argentina 1978 | 2-Jun-1978 | 1 | Group 2 |
Prob to win: 31.09%
Game ELO: 1680 -> 1779 (+99) |
3 - 1
|
Prob to win: 59.58%
Game ELO: 1793 -> 1694 (-99) |
Mexico loss: upset (win expected)
|
Estadio Gigante de Arroyito, Rosario |
José Antonio Roca |
| Mexico 1970 | 14-Jun-1970 | 2 | Quarter Finals |
Prob to win: 68.01%
Game ELO: 1975 -> 2039 (+64) |
4 - 1
|
Prob to win: 31.99%
Game ELO: 1844 -> 1780 (-64) |
Mexico loss: expected
|
Toluca |
Raúl Cárdenas |
| Mexico 1970 | 11-Jun-1970 | 1 | Group 1 |
Prob to win: 50.92%
Game ELO: 1801 -> 1844 (+43) |
1 - 0
|
Prob to win: 37.75%
Game ELO: 1749 -> 1706 (-43) |
Mexico win: expected
|
Estadio Azteca, Mexico City |
Raúl Cárdenas |
| Mexico 1970 | 7-Jun-1970 | 1 | Group 1 |
Prob to win: 74.85%
Game ELO: 1729 -> 1801 (+72) |
4 - 0
|
Prob to win: 19.35%
Game ELO: 1494 -> 1422 (-72) |
Mexico win: expected
|
Estadio Azteca, Mexico City |
Raúl Cárdenas |
| Mexico 1970 | 31-May-1970 | 1 | Group 1 |
Prob to win: 15.77%
Game ELO: 1696 -> 1729 (+33) |
0 - 0
|
Prob to win: 79.50%
Game ELO: 1977 -> 1944 (-33) |
Mexico draw: upset (loss expected)
|
Estadio Azteca, Mexico City |
Raúl Cárdenas |
| England 1966 | 19-Jul-1966 | 1 | Group 1 |
Prob to win: 32.16%
Game ELO: 1800 -> 1814 (+14) |
0 - 0
|
Prob to win: 58.19%
Game ELO: 1903 -> 1889 (-14) |
Mexico draw: upset (loss expected)
|
Wembley Stadium, London |
Ignacio Tréllez |
| England 1966 | 16-Jul-1966 | 1 | Group 1 |
Prob to win: 60.69%
Game ELO: 1971 -> 2021 (+50) |
2 - 0
|
Prob to win: 30.24%
Game ELO: 1850 -> 1800 (-50) |
Mexico loss: expected
|
Wembley Stadium, London |
Ignacio Tréllez |
| England 1966 | 13-Jul-1966 | 1 | Group 1 |
Prob to win: 31.20%
Game ELO: 1754 -> 1770 (+16) |
1 - 1
|
Prob to win: 59.44%
Game ELO: 1866 -> 1850 (-16) |
Mexico draw: upset (win expected)
|
Wembley Stadium, London |
Ignacio Tréllez |
| Chile 1962 | 7-Jun-1962 | 1 | Group 3 |
Prob to win: 15.63%
Game ELO: 1754 -> 1879 (+125) |
3 - 1
|
Prob to win: 79.68%
Game ELO: 2037 -> 1912 (-125) |
Mexico win: upset (loss expected)
|
Estadio Sausalito, Viña del Mar |
Ignacio Tréllez |
| Chile 1962 | 3-Jun-1962 | 1 | Group 3 |
Prob to win: 61.51%
Game ELO: 1913 -> 1945 (+32) |
1 - 0
|
Prob to win: 29.61%
Game ELO: 1786 -> 1754 (-32) |
Mexico loss: expected
|
Estadio Sausalito, Viña del Mar |
Ignacio Tréllez |
| Chile 1962 | 30-May-1962 | 1 | Group 3 |
Prob to win: 80.60%
Game ELO: 2102 -> 2125 (+23) |
2 - 0
|
Prob to win: 14.92%
Game ELO: 1809 -> 1786 (-23) |
Mexico loss: expected
|
Estadio Sausalito, Viña del Mar |
Ignacio Tréllez |
| Sweden 1958 | 15-Jun-1958 | 1 | Group 3 |
Prob to win: 78.83%
Game ELO: 1968 -> 2028 (+60) |
4 - 0
|
Prob to win: 16.28%
Game ELO: 1694 -> 1634 (-60) |
Mexico loss: expected
|
Jernvallen, Sandviken |
 Antonio López Herranz |
| Sweden 1958 | 11-Jun-1958 | 1 | Group 3 |
Prob to win: 35.98%
Game ELO: 1684 -> 1694 (+10) |
1 - 1
|
Prob to win: 53.22%
Game ELO: 1752 -> 1742 (-10) |
Mexico draw: upset (loss expected)
|
Råsunda Stadium, Solna |
Antonio López Herranz |
| Sweden 1958 | 8-Jun-1958 | 1 | Group 3 |
Prob to win: 46.61%
Game ELO: 1800 -> 1894 (+94) |
3 - 0
|
Prob to win: 41.07%
Game ELO: 1778 -> 1684 (-94) |
Mexico loss: expected
|
Råsunda Stadium, Solna |
Antonio López Herranz |
| Switzerland 1954 | 19-Jun-1954 | 1 | Group 1 |
Prob to win: 56.22%
Game ELO: 1738 -> 1775 (+37) |
3 - 2
|
Prob to win: 33.68%
Game ELO: 1649 -> 1612 (-37) |
Mexico loss: expected
|
Charmilles Stadium, Geneva |
Antonio López Herranz |
| Switzerland 1954 | 16-Jun-1954 | 1 | Group 1 |
Prob to win: 84.33%
Game ELO: 2031 -> 2075 (+44) |
5 - 0
|
Prob to win: 12.05%
Game ELO: 1693 -> 1649 (-44) |
Mexico loss: expected
|
Charmilles Stadium, Geneva |
Antonio López Herranz |
| Brazil 1950 | 2-Jul-1950 | 1 | Group 1 |
Prob to win: 41.51%
Game ELO: 1664 -> 1617 (-47) |
1 - 2
|
Prob to win: 46.04%
Game ELO: 1682 -> 1729 (+47) |
Mexico loss: expected
|
Estádio dos Eucaliptos, Porto Alegre |
Octavio Vial |
| Brazil 1950 | 28-Jun-1950 | 1 | Group 1 |
Prob to win: 25.35%
Game ELO: 1719 -> 1664 (-55) |
1 - 4
|
Prob to win: 67.05%
Game ELO: 1888 -> 1943 (+55) |
Mexico loss: expected
|
Estádio dos Eucaliptos, Porto Alegre |
Octavio Vial |
| Brazil 1950 | 24-Jun-1950 | 1 | Group 1 |
Prob to win: 63.66%
Game ELO: 1969 -> 2076 (+107) |
4 - 0
|
Prob to win: 27.95%
Game ELO: 1826 -> 1719 (-107) |
Mexico loss: expected
|
Estádio do Maracanã, Rio de Janeiro |
Octavio Vial |
| Uruguay 1930 | 19-Jul-1930 | 1 | Group 1 |
Prob to win: 97.36%
Game ELO: 2085 -> 2089 (+4) |
6 - 3
|
Prob to win: 2.03%
Game ELO: 1413 -> 1409 (-4) |
Mexico loss: expected
|
Estadio Centenario, Montevideo |
Juan Luque de Serrallonga |
| Uruguay 1930 | 16-Jul-1930 | 1 | Group 1 |
Prob to win: 56.36%
Game ELO: 1578 -> 1653 (+75) |
3 - 0
|
Prob to win: 33.57%
Game ELO: 1488 -> 1413 (-75) |
Mexico loss: expected
|
Estadio Parque Central, Montevideo |
Juan Luque de Serrallonga |
| Uruguay 1930 | 13-Jul-1930 | 1 | Group 1 |
Prob to win: 29.40%
Game ELO: 1709 -> 1648 (-61) |
4 - 1
|
Prob to win: 61.78%
Game ELO: 1838 -> 1488 (-350) |
Mexico loss: upset (win expected)
|
Estadio Pocitos, Montevideo |
Juan Luque de Serrallonga |
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