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Italy details
Italy
Statistics:
- Games: 128
- Expected results: 59 (54.13%)
- Unexpected results: 50 (45.87%)
- Unknown games: 19
- Record: 63 Won, 23 Lost, 23 Drawn, 19 Unknown
- Last five games: WWWWW
- Expected wins: 49 (44.95%)
- Expected losses: 10 (9.17%)
- Unexpected wins: 14 (12.84%)
- Unexpected losses: 13 (11.93%)
- Unexpected draws: 23 (21.10%)
- Wins (+1pt for expected, +3 for unexpected): 91
- Losses (-1pt for expected, -3 for unexpected): -49
- Draws (-1pt if fav, +1pt if underdog): 23
- Total: 65
| Tournament | Game Time | Round | Group Name | Score | Odds Analysis | Location | Coach | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Euro 2020 | 11-Jul-2021 21:00 | 2 | Final |
Prob to win: 54.45%
Game ELO: 2013 -> 2300 (+287) |
1 - 1 (aet)
3 - 2 (pen) |
Prob to win: 45.55%
Game ELO: 1982 -> 2146 (+164) |
Italy win: expected
|
Wembley Stadium, London | |
| Euro 2020 | 6-Jul-2021 21:00 | 2 | Semi Finals |
Prob to win: 47.12%
Game ELO: 2013 -> 2261 (+248) |
1 - 1 (aet)
4 - 2 (pen) |
Prob to win: 52.88%
Game ELO: 2033 -> 2063 (+30) |
Italy win: upset (loss expected)
|
Wembley Stadium, London | |
| Euro 2020 | 2-Jul-2021 18:00 | 2 | Quarter Finals |
Prob to win: 62.27%
Game ELO: 2100 -> 2127 (+27) |
1 - 2
|
Prob to win: 37.73%
Game ELO: 2013 -> 2203 (+190) |
Italy win: upset (loss expected)
|
Allianz Arena, Munich | |
| Euro 2020 | 26-Jun-2021 21:00 | 2 | Top 16 |
Prob to win: 82.22%
Game ELO: 2013 -> 2148 (+135) |
2 - 1 (aet)
|
Prob to win: 17.78%
Game ELO: 1747 -> 1799 (+52) |
Italy win: expected
|
Wembley Stadium, London | |
| Euro 2020 | 20-Jun-2021 18:00 | 1 | Group A |
Prob to win: 77.41%
Game ELO: 2112 -> 2135 (+23) |
1 - 0
|
Prob to win: 22.59%
Game ELO: 1898 -> 1875 (-23) |
Italy win: expected
|
Stadio Olimpico, Rome | |
| Euro 2020 | 16-Jun-2021 21:00 | 1 | Group A |
Prob to win: 73.48%
Game ELO: 2059 -> 2112 (+53) |
3 - 0
|
Prob to win: 26.52%
Game ELO: 1882 -> 1829 (-53) |
Italy win: expected
|
Stadio Olimpico, Rome | |
| Euro 2020 | 11-Jun-2021 21:00 | 1 | Group A |
Prob to win: 22.79%
Game ELO: 1801 -> 1755 (-46) |
0 - 3
|
Prob to win: 77.21%
Game ELO: 2013 -> 2059 (+46) |
Italy win: expected
|
Stadio Olimpico, Rome | |
| Euro 2016 | 2-Jul-2016 21:00 | 2 | Quarter Finals |
Prob to win: 63.47%
Game ELO: 2087 -> 2124 (+37) |
1 - 1 (aet)
6 - 5 (pen) |
Prob to win: 36.53%
Game ELO: 1991 -> 1954 (-37) |
Italy loss: expected
|
Nouveau Stade de Bordeaux, Bordeaux | |
| Euro 2016 | 27-Jun-2016 18:00 | 2 | Top 16 |
Prob to win: 38.82%
Game ELO: 1899 -> 1991 (+92) |
2 - 0
|
Prob to win: 61.18%
Game ELO: 1978 -> 1886 (-92) |
Italy win: upset (loss expected)
|
Stade de France, Saint-Denis | |
| Euro 2016 | 22-Jun-2016 21:00 | 1 | Group E |
Prob to win: 85.12%
Game ELO: 1984 -> 1899 (-85) |
0 - 1
|
Prob to win: 14.88%
Game ELO: 1681 -> 1766 (+85) |
Italy loss: upset (win expected)
|
Stade Pierre-Mauroy, Villeneuve-d'Ascq | |
| Euro 2016 | 17-Jun-2016 15:00 | 1 | Group E |
Prob to win: 75.66%
Game ELO: 1960 -> 1984 (+24) |
1 - 0
|
Prob to win: 24.34%
Game ELO: 1763 -> 1739 (-24) |
Italy win: expected
|
Stadium Municipal, Toulouse | |
| Euro 2016 | 13-Jun-2016 21:00 | 1 | Group E |
Prob to win: 56.86%
Game ELO: 1923 -> 1838 (-85) |
0 - 2
|
Prob to win: 43.14%
Game ELO: 1875 -> 1960 (+85) |
Italy win: upset (loss expected)
|
Parc Olympique Lyonnais, Décines-Charpieu | |
| Brazil 2014 | 24-Jun-2014 | 1 | Group D |
Prob to win: 52.01%
Game ELO: 1878 -> 1826 (-52) |
0 - 1
|
Prob to win: 47.99%
Game ELO: 1864 -> 1916 (+52) |
Italy loss: upset (win expected)
|
Natal | |
| Brazil 2014 | 20-Jun-2014 | 1 | Group D |
Prob to win: 66.36%
Game ELO: 1944 -> 1878 (-66) |
0 - 1
|
Prob to win: 33.64%
Game ELO: 1826 -> 1892 (+66) |
Italy loss: upset (win expected)
|
Recife | |
| Brazil 2014 | 14-Jun-2014 | 1 | Group D |
Prob to win: 56.30%
Game ELO: 1932 -> 1876 (-56) |
1 - 2
|
Prob to win: 43.70%
Game ELO: 1888 -> 1944 (+56) |
Italy win: upset (loss expected)
|
Manaus | |
| Euro 2012 | 1-Jul-2012 21:45 | 2 | Final |
Game ELO:
-> 1399 () |
4 - 0
|
Game ELO:
-> 1048 () |
Olympic Stadium, Kyiv | ||
| Euro 2012 | 28-Jun-2012 20:45 | 2 | Semi Finals |
Game ELO:
-> 1116 () |
1 - 2
|
Game ELO:
-> 1183 () |
National Stadium, Warsaw | ||
| Euro 2012 | 24-Jun-2012 21:45 | 2 | Quarter Finals |
Game ELO:
-> 999 () |
0 - 0 (aet)
2 - 4 (pen) |
Game ELO:
-> 1126 () |
Olympic Stadium, Kyiv | ||
| Euro 2012 | 18-Jun-2012 20:45 | 1 | Group C |
Prob to win: 78.41%
Game ELO: 1011 -> 1043 (+32) |
2 - 0
|
Prob to win: 21.59%
Game ELO: 787 -> 755 (-32) |
Italy win: expected
|
Stadion Miejski, Poznan | |
| Euro 2012 | 14-Jun-2012 18:00 | 1 | Group C |
Prob to win: 39.37%
Game ELO: 1000 -> 1011 (+11) |
1 - 1
|
Prob to win: 60.63%
Game ELO: 1075 -> 1064 (-11) |
Italy draw: upset (loss expected)
|
Stadion Miejski, Poznan | |
| Euro 2012 | 10-Jun-2012 18:00 | 1 | Group C |
Game ELO:
-> 1000 () |
1 - 1
|
Game ELO:
-> 1000 () |
PGE Arena, Gdansk | ||
| South Africa 2010 | 24-Jun-2010 16:00 | 1 | Group F |
Prob to win: 17.36%
Game ELO: 1605 -> 1688 (+83) |
3 - 2
|
Prob to win: 82.64%
Game ELO: 1876 -> 1793 (-83) |
Italy loss: upset (win expected)
|
Johannesburg - JEP |
Marcello Lippi |
| South Africa 2010 | 20-Jun-2010 16:00 | 1 | Group F |
Prob to win: 89.10%
Game ELO: 1915 -> 1876 (-39) |
1 - 1
|
Prob to win: 10.90%
Game ELO: 1550 -> 1589 (+39) |
Italy draw: upset (win expected)
|
Nelspruit |
Marcello Lippi |
| South Africa 2010 | 14-Jun-2010 20:30 | 1 | Group F |
Prob to win: 73.02%
Game ELO: 1938 -> 1915 (-23) |
1 - 1
|
Prob to win: 26.98%
Game ELO: 1765 -> 1788 (+23) |
Italy draw: upset (win expected)
|
Cape Town |
Marcello Lippi |
| Euro 2008 | 22-Jun-2008 20:45 | 2 | Quarter Finals |
Game ELO:
-> 1204 () |
0 - 0 (aet)
4 - 2 (pen) |
Game ELO:
-> 951 () |
Ernst-Happel-Stadion, Vienna | ||
| Euro 2008 | 17-Jun-2008 20:45 | 1 | Group C |
Prob to win: 52.01%
Game ELO: 928 -> 850 (-78) |
0 - 2
|
Prob to win: 47.99%
Game ELO: 914 -> 992 (+78) |
Italy win: upset (loss expected)
|
Letzigrund, Zürich | |
| Euro 2008 | 13-Jun-2008 18:00 | 1 | Group C |
Prob to win: 35.99%
Game ELO: 900 -> 914 (+14) |
1 - 1
|
Prob to win: 64.01%
Game ELO: 1000 -> 986 (-14) |
Italy draw: upset (loss expected)
|
Letzigrund, Zürich | |
| Euro 2008 | 9-Jun-2008 20:45 | 1 | Group C |
Game ELO:
-> 1100 () |
3 - 0
|
Game ELO:
-> 900 () |
Stade de Suisse, Bern | ||
| Germany 2006 | 9-Jul-2006 | 2 | Final |
Prob to win: 53.45%
Game ELO: 2162 -> 2209 (+47) |
1 - 1 (aet)
5 - 3 (pen) |
Prob to win: 46.55%
Game ELO: 2138 -> 2091 (-47) |
Italy win: expected
|
Berlin |
Marcello Lippi |
| Germany 2006 | 4-Jul-2006 | 2 | Semi Finals |
Prob to win: 57.15%
Game ELO: 2126 -> 2040 (-86) |
0 - 2 (aet)
|
Prob to win: 42.85%
Game ELO: 2076 -> 2162 (+86) |
Italy win: upset (loss expected)
|
Dortmund |
Marcello Lippi |
| Germany 2006 | 30-Jun-2006 | 2 | Quarter Finals |
Prob to win: 78.11%
Game ELO: 2032 -> 2076 (+44) |
3 - 0
|
Prob to win: 21.89%
Game ELO: 1811 -> 1767 (-44) |
Italy win: expected
|
Berlin |
Marcello Lippi |
| Germany 2006 | 26-Jun-2006 | 2 | Top 16 |
Prob to win: 73.14%
Game ELO: 2005 -> 2032 (+27) |
1 - 0
|
Prob to win: 26.86%
Game ELO: 1831 -> 1804 (-27) |
Italy win: expected
|
Kaiserslautern |
Marcello Lippi |
| Germany 2006 | 22-Jun-2006 | 1 | Group E |
Prob to win: 43.84%
Game ELO: 1896 -> 1830 (-66) |
0 - 2
|
Prob to win: 56.16%
Game ELO: 1939 -> 2005 (+66) |
Italy win: expected
|
Marcello Lippi |
|
| Germany 2006 | 17-Jun-2006 | 1 | Group E |
Prob to win: 74.80%
Game ELO: 1964 -> 1939 (-25) |
1 - 1
|
Prob to win: 25.20%
Game ELO: 1775 -> 1800 (+25) |
Italy draw: upset (win expected)
|
Marcello Lippi |
|
| Germany 2006 | 12-Jun-2006 | 1 | Group E |
Prob to win: 86.72%
Game ELO: 1944 -> 1964 (+20) |
2 - 0
|
Prob to win: 13.28%
Game ELO: 1618 -> 1598 (-20) |
Italy win: expected
|
Marcello Lippi |
|
| Euro 2004 | 22-Jun-2004 19:45 | 1 | Group C |
Prob to win: 75.76%
Game ELO: 1023 -> 1043 (+20) |
2 - 1
|
Prob to win: 24.24%
Game ELO: 825 -> 765 (-60) |
Italy win: expected
|
Estádio D. Afonso Henriques, Guimarães | |
| Euro 2004 | 18-Jun-2004 19:45 | 1 | Group C |
Prob to win: 26.75%
Game ELO: 1000 -> 1023 (+23) |
1 - 1
|
Prob to win: 73.25%
Game ELO: 1175 -> 1152 (-23) |
Italy draw: upset (loss expected)
|
Estádio do Dragão, Porto | |
| Euro 2004 | 14-Jun-2004 17:00 | 1 | Group C |
Game ELO:
-> 1000 () |
0 - 0
|
Game ELO:
-> 1000 () |
Estádio D. Afonso Henriques, Guimarães | ||
| Korea/ Japan 2002 | 18-Jun-2002 | 2 | Top 16 |
Prob to win: 41.31%
Game ELO: 1890 -> 1949 (+59) |
2 - 1 (aet)
|
Prob to win: 58.69%
Game ELO: 1951 -> 1892 (-59) |
Italy loss: upset (win expected)
|
Daejeon |
Giovanni Trapattoni |
| Korea/ Japan 2002 | 13-Jun-2002 | 1 | Group G |
Prob to win: 43.84%
Game ELO: 1914 -> 1920 (+6) |
1 - 1
|
Prob to win: 56.16%
Game ELO: 1957 -> 1951 (-6) |
Italy draw: upset (win expected)
|
Oita Stadium, Oita |
Giovanni Trapattoni |
| Korea/ Japan 2002 | 8-Jun-2002 | 1 | Group G |
Prob to win: 77.01%
Game ELO: 2034 -> 1957 (-77) |
1 - 2
|
Prob to win: 22.99%
Game ELO: 1824 -> 1901 (+77) |
Italy loss: upset (win expected)
|
Kashima Stadium, Ibaraki |
Giovanni Trapattoni |
| Korea/ Japan 2002 | 3-Jun-2002 | 1 | Group G |
Prob to win: 83.53%
Game ELO: 2009 -> 2034 (+25) |
2 - 0
|
Prob to win: 16.47%
Game ELO: 1727 -> 1702 (-25) |
Italy win: expected
|
Sapporo Dome, Sapporo |
Giovanni Trapattoni |
| Euro 2000 | 2-Jul-2000 20:00 | 2 | Final |
Game ELO:
-> 1250 () |
2 - 1 (aet)
|
Game ELO:
-> 1223 () |
De Kuip, Rotterdam | ||
| Euro 2000 | 29-Jun-2000 18:00 | 2 | Semi Finals |
Game ELO:
-> 1287 () |
0 - 0 (aet)
3 - 1 (pen) |
Game ELO:
-> 1173 () |
Amsterdam Arena, Amsterdam | ||
| Euro 2000 | 24-Jun-2000 20:45 | 2 | Quarter Finals |
Game ELO:
-> 1199 () |
2 - 0
|
Game ELO:
-> 967 () |
King Baudouin Stadium, Brussels | ||
| Euro 2000 | 19-Jun-2000 20:45 | 1 | Group B |
Prob to win: 73.25%
Game ELO: 1125 -> 1152 (+27) |
2 - 1
|
Prob to win: 26.75%
Game ELO: 950 -> 923 (-27) |
Italy win: expected
|
Philips Stadion, Eindhoven | |
| Euro 2000 | 14-Jun-2000 20:45 | 1 | Group B |
Prob to win: 50.00%
Game ELO: 1050 -> 1125 (+75) |
2 - 0
|
Prob to win: 50.00%
Game ELO: 1050 -> 975 (-75) |
Italy win: expected
|
King Baudouin Stadium, Brussels | |
| Euro 2000 | 11-Jun-2000 14:30 | 1 | Group B |
Game ELO:
-> 950 () |
1 - 2
|
Game ELO:
-> 1050 () |
GelreDome, Arnhem | ||
| France 1998 | 3-Jul-1998 | 2 | Quarter Finals |
Prob to win: 35.86%
Game ELO: 2060 -> 2124 (+64) |
0 - 0 (aet)
3 - 4 (pen) |
Prob to win: 64.14%
Game ELO: 2161 -> 2097 (-64) |
Italy loss: expected
|
Saint-Denis |
Cesare Maldini |
| France 1998 | 29-Jun-1998 | 2 | Top 16 |
Prob to win: 61.18%
Game ELO: 2021 -> 2060 (+39) |
1 - 0
|
Prob to win: 38.82%
Game ELO: 1942 -> 1903 (-39) |
Italy win: expected
|
Toulouse |
Cesare Maldini |
| France 1998 | 23-Jun-1998 | 1 | Group B |
Prob to win: 85.05%
Game ELO: 2006 -> 2021 (+15) |
2 - 1
|
Prob to win: 14.95%
Game ELO: 1704 -> 1689 (-15) |
Italy win: expected
|
Stade de France, Saint-Denis |
Cesare Maldini |
| France 1998 | 17-Jun-1998 | 1 | Group B |
Prob to win: 88.88%
Game ELO: 1984 -> 2006 (+22) |
3 - 0
|
Prob to win: 11.12%
Game ELO: 1623 -> 1601 (-22) |
Italy win: expected
|
Stade de la Mosson, Montpellier |
Cesare Maldini |
| France 1998 | 11-Jun-1998 | 1 | Group B |
Prob to win: 81.71%
Game ELO: 2016 -> 1984 (-32) |
2 - 2
|
Prob to win: 18.29%
Game ELO: 1756 -> 1788 (+32) |
Italy draw: upset (win expected)
|
Parc Lescure, Bordeaux |
Cesare Maldini |
| Euro 1996 | 19-Jun-1996 19:30 | 1 | Group C |
Prob to win: 28.83%
Game ELO: 983 -> 1004 (+21) |
0 - 0
|
Prob to win: 71.17%
Game ELO: 1140 -> 1119 (-21) |
Italy draw: upset (loss expected)
|
Old Trafford, Manchester | |
| Euro 1996 | 14-Jun-1996 19:30 | 1 | Group C |
Prob to win: 32.75%
Game ELO: 925 -> 992 (+67) |
2 - 1
|
Prob to win: 67.25%
Game ELO: 1050 -> 983 (-67) |
Italy loss: upset (win expected)
|
Anfield, Liverpool | |
| Euro 1996 | 11-Jun-1996 16:30 | 1 | Group C |
Game ELO:
-> 1050 () |
2 - 1
|
Game ELO:
-> 950 () |
Anfield, Liverpool | ||
| USA 1994 | 17-Jul-1994 | 2 | Final |
Prob to win: 55.73%
Game ELO: 2117 -> 2161 (+44) |
0 - 0 (aet)
3 - 2 (pen) |
Prob to win: 44.27%
Game ELO: 2077 -> 2033 (-44) |
Italy loss: expected
|
Pasadena |
Arrigo Sacchi |
| USA 1994 | 13-Jul-1994 | 2 | Semi Finals |
Prob to win: 36.39%
Game ELO: 1944 -> 1908 (-36) |
1 - 2
|
Prob to win: 63.61%
Game ELO: 2041 -> 2077 (+36) |
Italy win: expected
|
East Rutherford |
Arrigo Sacchi |
| USA 1994 | 9-Jul-1994 | 2 | Quarter Finals |
Prob to win: 48.13%
Game ELO: 1989 -> 2041 (+52) |
2 - 1
|
Prob to win: 51.87%
Game ELO: 2002 -> 1950 (-52) |
Italy win: upset (loss expected)
|
Foxborough |
Arrigo Sacchi |
| USA 1994 | 5-Jul-1994 | 2 | Top 16 |
Prob to win: 33.51%
Game ELO: 1836 -> 1802 (-34) |
1 - 2 (aet)
|
Prob to win: 66.49%
Game ELO: 1955 -> 1989 (+34) |
Italy win: expected
|
Foxborough |
Arrigo Sacchi |
| USA 1994 | 28-Jun-1994 | 1 | Group E |
Prob to win: 63.47%
Game ELO: 1968 -> 1955 (-13) |
1 - 1
|
Prob to win: 36.53%
Game ELO: 1872 -> 1885 (+13) |
Italy draw: upset (win expected)
|
RFK Stadium, Washington |
Arrigo Sacchi |
| USA 1994 | 23-Jun-1994 | 1 | Group E |
Prob to win: 52.73%
Game ELO: 1921 -> 1968 (+47) |
1 - 0
|
Prob to win: 47.27%
Game ELO: 1902 -> 1855 (-47) |
Italy win: expected
|
Giants Stadium, East Rutherford |
Arrigo Sacchi |
| USA 1994 | 18-Jun-1994 | 1 | Group E |
Prob to win: 64.67%
Game ELO: 1986 -> 1921 (-65) |
0 - 1
|
Prob to win: 35.33%
Game ELO: 1881 -> 1946 (+65) |
Italy loss: upset (win expected)
|
Giants Stadium, East Rutherford |
Arrigo Sacchi |
| Italy 1990 | 7-Jul-1990 | 2 | 3rd Place |
Prob to win: 69.98%
Game ELO: 2132 -> 2162 (+30) |
2 - 1
|
Prob to win: 30.02%
Game ELO: 1985 -> 1955 (-30) |
Italy win: expected
|
Bari |
Azeglio Vicini |
| Italy 1990 | 3-Jul-1990 | 2 | Semi Finals |
Prob to win: 80.11%
Game ELO: 2112 -> 2132 (+20) |
1 - 1 (aet)
3 - 4 (pen) |
Prob to win: 19.89%
Game ELO: 1870 -> 1850 (-20) |
Italy loss: upset (win expected)
|
Naples |
Azeglio Vicini |
| Italy 1990 | 30-Jun-1990 | 2 | Quarter Finals |
Prob to win: 81.36%
Game ELO: 2093 -> 2112 (+19) |
1 - 0
|
Prob to win: 18.64%
Game ELO: 1837 -> 1818 (-19) |
Italy win: expected
|
Rome |
Azeglio Vicini |
| Italy 1990 | 25-Jun-1990 | 2 | Top 16 |
Prob to win: 76.91%
Game ELO: 2058 -> 2093 (+35) |
2 - 0
|
Prob to win: 23.09%
Game ELO: 1849 -> 1814 (-35) |
Italy win: expected
|
Rome |
Azeglio Vicini |
| Italy 1990 | 19-Jun-1990 | 1 | Group A |
Prob to win: 57.29%
Game ELO: 1994 -> 2058 (+64) |
2 - 0
|
Prob to win: 42.71%
Game ELO: 1943 -> 1879 (-64) |
Italy win: expected
|
Stadio Olimpico, Rome |
Azeglio Vicini |
| Italy 1990 | 14-Jun-1990 | 1 | Group A |
Prob to win: 93.53%
Game ELO: 1988 -> 1994 (+6) |
1 - 0
|
Prob to win: 6.47%
Game ELO: 1524 -> 1518 (-6) |
Italy win: expected
|
Stadio Olimpico, Rome |
Azeglio Vicini |
| Italy 1990 | 9-Jun-1990 | 1 | Group A |
Prob to win: 75.87%
Game ELO: 1964 -> 1988 (+24) |
1 - 0
|
Prob to win: 24.13%
Game ELO: 1765 -> 1741 (-24) |
Italy win: expected
|
Stadio Olimpico, Rome |
Azeglio Vicini |
| Euro 1988 | 22-Jun-1988 20:15 | 2 | Semi Finals |
Game ELO:
-> 0 () |
2 - 0
|
Game ELO:
-> 0 () |
Neckarstadion, Stuttgart | ||
| Euro 1988 | 17-Jun-1988 20:15 | 1 | Group A |
Game ELO:
-> 0 () |
2 - 0
|
Game ELO:
-> 0 () |
Müngersdorfer Stadion, Cologne | ||
| Euro 1988 | 14-Jun-1988 20:15 | 1 | Group A |
Game ELO:
-> 0 () |
1 - 0
|
Game ELO:
-> 0 () |
Waldstadion, Frankfurt | ||
| Euro 1988 | 10-Jun-1988 20:15 | 1 | Group A |
Game ELO:
-> 0 () |
1 - 1
|
Game ELO:
-> 0 () |
Rheinstadion, Düsseldorf | ||
| Mexico 1986 | 17-Jun-1986 | 2 | Top 16 |
Prob to win: 71.76%
Game ELO: 2061 -> 2103 (+42) |
2 - 0
|
Prob to win: 28.24%
Game ELO: 1899 -> 1857 (-42) |
Italy loss: expected
|
Mexico City |
Enzo Bearzot |
| Mexico 1986 | 10-Jun-1986 | 1 | Group A |
Prob to win: 81.19%
Game ELO: 1880 -> 1899 (+19) |
3 - 2
|
Prob to win: 18.81%
Game ELO: 1626 -> 1607 (-19) |
Italy win: expected
|
Estadio Cuauhtémoc, Puebla |
Enzo Bearzot |
| Mexico 1986 | 5-Jun-1986 | 1 | Group A |
Prob to win: 46.55%
Game ELO: 1877 -> 1880 (+3) |
1 - 1
|
Prob to win: 53.45%
Game ELO: 1901 -> 1898 (-3) |
Italy draw: upset (loss expected)
|
Estadio Cuauhtémoc, Puebla |
Enzo Bearzot |
| Mexico 1986 | 31-May-1986 | 1 | Group A |
Prob to win: 56.02%
Game ELO: 1883 -> 1877 (-6) |
1 - 1
|
Prob to win: 43.98%
Game ELO: 1841 -> 1847 (+6) |
Italy draw: upset (win expected)
|
Estadio Azteca, Mexico City |
Enzo Bearzot |
| Spain 1982 | 11-Jul-1982 | 3 | Final |
Prob to win: 44.98%
Game ELO: 2105 -> 2188 (+83) |
3 - 1
|
Prob to win: 55.02%
Game ELO: 2140 -> 2057 (-83) |
Italy win: upset (loss expected)
|
Madrid |
Enzo Bearzot |
| Spain 1982 | 8-Jul-1982 | 3 | Semi Finals |
Prob to win: 61.04%
Game ELO: 2091 -> 1999 (-92) |
0 - 2
|
Prob to win: 38.96%
Game ELO: 2013 -> 2105 (+92) |
Italy win: upset (loss expected)
|
Barcelona |
Enzo Bearzot |
| Spain 1982 | 5-Jul-1982 | 2 | Group C |
Prob to win: 83.37%
Game ELO: 2210 -> 2127 (-83) |
2 - 3
|
Prob to win: 16.63%
Game ELO: 1930 -> 2013 (+83) |
Italy win: upset (loss expected)
|
Estadio Sarriá, Barcelona |
Enzo Bearzot |
| Spain 1982 | 29-Jun-1982 | 2 | Group C |
Prob to win: 73.36%
Game ELO: 2033 -> 1960 (-73) |
1 - 2
|
Prob to win: 26.64%
Game ELO: 1857 -> 1930 (+73) |
Italy win: upset (loss expected)
|
Estadio Sarriá, Barcelona |
Enzo Bearzot |
| Spain 1982 | 23-Jun-1982 | 1 | Group 1 |
Prob to win: 75.23%
Game ELO: 1882 -> 1857 (-25) |
1 - 1
|
Prob to win: 24.77%
Game ELO: 1689 -> 1714 (+25) |
Italy draw: upset (win expected)
|
Estadio de Balaídos, Vigo |
Enzo Bearzot |
| Spain 1982 | 18-Jun-1982 | 1 | Group 1 |
Prob to win: 69.98%
Game ELO: 1902 -> 1882 (-20) |
1 - 1
|
Prob to win: 30.02%
Game ELO: 1755 -> 1775 (+20) |
Italy draw: upset (win expected)
|
Estadio de Balaídos, Vigo |
Enzo Bearzot |
| Spain 1982 | 14-Jun-1982 | 1 | Group 1 |
Prob to win: 40.48%
Game ELO: 1892 -> 1902 (+10) |
0 - 0
|
Prob to win: 59.52%
Game ELO: 1959 -> 1949 (-10) |
Italy draw: upset (loss expected)
|
Estadio de Balaídos, Vigo |
Enzo Bearzot |
| Euro 1980 | 21-Jun-1980 20:30 | 2 | 3rd Place |
Game ELO:
-> 1075 () |
1 - 1 (aet)
9 - 8 (pen) |
Game ELO:
-> 996 () |
Stadio San Paolo, Naples | ||
| Euro 1980 | 18-Jun-1980 20:30 | 1 | Group B |
Prob to win: 50.00%
Game ELO: 1050 -> 1050 (+0) |
0 - 0
|
Prob to win: 50.00%
Game ELO: 1050 -> 1050 (+0) |
Italy draw: upset (win expected)
|
Stadio Olimpico, Rome | |
| Euro 1980 | 15-Jun-1980 20:30 | 1 | Group B |
Prob to win: 50.00%
Game ELO: 1000 -> 950 (-50) |
0 - 1
|
Prob to win: 50.00%
Game ELO: 1000 -> 1050 (+50) |
Italy win: expected
|
Stadio Comunale, Turin | |
| Euro 1980 | 12-Jun-1980 20:30 | 1 | Group B |
Game ELO:
-> 1000 () |
0 - 0
|
Game ELO:
-> 1000 () |
San Siro, Milan | ||
| Argentina 1978 | 24-Jun-1978 | 3 | 3rd Place |
Prob to win: 66.36%
Game ELO: 2165 -> 2199 (+34) |
2 - 1
|
Prob to win: 33.64%
Game ELO: 2047 -> 2013 (-34) |
Italy loss: expected
|
Estadio Monumental, Buenos Aires |
Enzo Bearzot |
| Argentina 1978 | 21-Jun-1978 | 2 | Group A |
Prob to win: 44.84%
Game ELO: 2092 -> 2047 (-45) |
1 - 2
|
Prob to win: 55.16%
Game ELO: 2128 -> 2173 (+45) |
Italy loss: expected
|
Estadio Monumental, Buenos Aires |
Enzo Bearzot |
| Argentina 1978 | 18-Jun-1978 | 2 | Group A |
Prob to win: 84.07%
Game ELO: 2076 -> 2092 (+16) |
1 - 0
|
Prob to win: 15.93%
Game ELO: 1787 -> 1771 (-16) |
Italy win: expected
|
Estadio Monumental, Buenos Aires |
Enzo Bearzot |
| Argentina 1978 | 14-Jun-1978 | 2 | Group A |
Prob to win: 51.01%
Game ELO: 2077 -> 2076 (-1) |
0 - 0
|
Prob to win: 48.99%
Game ELO: 2070 -> 2071 (+1) |
Italy draw: upset (win expected)
|
Estadio Monumental, Buenos Aires |
Enzo Bearzot |
| Argentina 1978 | 10-Jun-1978 | 1 | Group 1 |
Prob to win: 46.55%
Game ELO: 2006 -> 1959 (-47) |
0 - 1
|
Prob to win: 53.45%
Game ELO: 2030 -> 2077 (+47) |
Italy win: expected
|
Estadio Monumental, Buenos Aires |
Enzo Bearzot |
| Argentina 1978 | 6-Jun-1978 | 1 | Group 1 |
Prob to win: 64.80%
Game ELO: 1977 -> 2030 (+53) |
3 - 1
|
Prob to win: 35.20%
Game ELO: 1871 -> 1818 (-53) |
Italy win: expected
|
Estadio José María Minella, Mar del Plata |
Enzo Bearzot |
| Argentina 1978 | 2-Jun-1978 | 1 | Group 1 |
Prob to win: 57.71%
Game ELO: 1935 -> 1977 (+42) |
2 - 1
|
Prob to win: 42.29%
Game ELO: 1881 -> 1839 (-42) |
Italy win: expected
|
Estadio José María Minella, Mar del Plata |
Enzo Bearzot |
| West Germany 1974 | 23-Jun-1974 | 1 | Group 4 |
Prob to win: 55.59%
Game ELO: 2031 -> 2075 (+44) |
2 - 1
|
Prob to win: 44.41%
Game ELO: 1992 -> 1948 (-44) |
Italy loss: expected
|
Neckarstadion, Stuttgart |
Ferruccio Valcareggi |
| West Germany 1974 | 19-Jun-1974 | 1 | Group 4 |
Prob to win: 28.36%
Game ELO: 1853 -> 1875 (+22) |
1 - 1
|
Prob to win: 71.64%
Game ELO: 2014 -> 1992 (-22) |
Italy draw: upset (win expected)
|
Neckarstadion, Stuttgart |
Ferruccio Valcareggi |
| West Germany 1974 | 15-Jun-1974 | 1 | Group 4 |
Prob to win: 90.47%
Game ELO: 2000 -> 2014 (+14) |
3 - 1
|
Prob to win: 9.53%
Game ELO: 1609 -> 1595 (-14) |
Italy win: expected
|
Olympiastadion, Munich |
Ferruccio Valcareggi |
| Mexico 1970 | 21-Jun-1970 | 2 | Final |
Prob to win: 64.40%
Game ELO: 2204 -> 2275 (+71) |
4 - 1
|
Prob to win: 35.60%
Game ELO: 2101 -> 2030 (-71) |
Italy loss: expected
|
Mexico City |
Ferruccio Valcareggi |
| Mexico 1970 | 17-Jun-1970 | 2 | Semi Finals |
Prob to win: 37.60%
Game ELO: 2039 -> 2101 (+62) |
4 - 3 (aet)
|
Prob to win: 62.40%
Game ELO: 2127 -> 2065 (-62) |
Italy win: upset (loss expected)
|
Mexico City |
Ferruccio Valcareggi |
| Mexico 1970 | 14-Jun-1970 | 2 | Quarter Finals |
Prob to win: 68.01%
Game ELO: 1975 -> 2039 (+64) |
4 - 1
|
Prob to win: 31.99%
Game ELO: 1844 -> 1780 (-64) |
Italy win: expected
|
Toluca |
Ferruccio Valcareggi |
| Mexico 1970 | 11-Jun-1970 | 1 | Group 2 |
Prob to win: 88.76%
Game ELO: 2014 -> 1975 (-39) |
0 - 0
|
Prob to win: 11.24%
Game ELO: 1655 -> 1694 (+39) |
Italy draw: upset (win expected)
|
Estadio Luis Dosal, Toluca |
Ferruccio Valcareggi |
| Mexico 1970 | 6-Jun-1970 | 1 | Group 2 |
Prob to win: 30.14%
Game ELO: 1888 -> 1908 (+20) |
0 - 0
|
Prob to win: 69.86%
Game ELO: 2034 -> 2014 (-20) |
Italy draw: upset (win expected)
|
Estadio Cuauhtémoc, Puebla |
Ferruccio Valcareggi |
| Mexico 1970 | 3-Jun-1970 | 1 | Group 2 |
Prob to win: 71.99%
Game ELO: 2006 -> 2034 (+28) |
1 - 0
|
Prob to win: 28.01%
Game ELO: 1842 -> 1814 (-28) |
Italy win: expected
|
Estadio Luis Dosal, Toluca |
Ferruccio Valcareggi |
| Euro 1968 | 10-Jun-1968 21:15 | 1 | Final |
Prob to win: 44.84%
Game ELO: 1007 -> 1090 (+83) |
2 - 0
|
Prob to win: 55.16%
Game ELO: 1043 -> 960 (-83) |
Italy win: upset (loss expected)
|
Stadio Olimpico, Rome | |
| Euro 1968 | 8-Jun-1968 21:15 | 1 | Final |
Prob to win: 42.85%
Game ELO: 1000 -> 1007 (+7) |
1 - 1
|
Prob to win: 57.15%
Game ELO: 1050 -> 1043 (-7) |
Italy draw: upset (loss expected)
|
Stadio Olimpico, Rome | |
| Euro 1968 | 5-Jun-1968 18:00 | 1 | Semi Finals |
Game ELO:
-> 1000 () |
0 - 0
|
Game ELO:
-> 1000 () |
Stadio San Paolo, Naples | ||
| England 1966 | 19-Jul-1966 | 1 | Group 4 |
Prob to win: 25.42%
Game ELO: 1772 -> 1847 (+75) |
1 - 0
|
Prob to win: 74.58%
Game ELO: 1959 -> 1884 (-75) |
Italy loss: upset (win expected)
|
Ayresome Park, Middlesbrough |
Edmondo Fabbri |
| England 1966 | 16-Jul-1966 | 1 | Group 4 |
Prob to win: 57.99%
Game ELO: 2057 -> 2099 (+42) |
1 - 0
|
Prob to win: 42.01%
Game ELO: 2001 -> 1959 (-42) |
Italy loss: expected
|
Roker Park, Sunderland |
Edmondo Fabbri |
| England 1966 | 13-Jul-1966 | 1 | Group 4 |
Prob to win: 78.01%
Game ELO: 1968 -> 2001 (+33) |
2 - 0
|
Prob to win: 21.99%
Game ELO: 1748 -> 1715 (-33) |
Italy win: expected
|
Roker Park, Sunderland |
Edmondo Fabbri |
| Chile 1962 | 7-Jun-1962 | 1 | Group 2 |
Prob to win: 70.10%
Game ELO: 1773 -> 1833 (+60) |
3 - 0
|
Prob to win: 29.90%
Game ELO: 1625 -> 1565 (-60) |
Italy win: expected
|
Estadio Nacional, Santiago |
Paolo Mazza and Giovanni Ferrari |
| Chile 1962 | 2-Jun-1962 | 1 | Group 2 |
Prob to win: 42.85%
Game ELO: 1809 -> 1895 (+86) |
2 - 0
|
Prob to win: 57.15%
Game ELO: 1859 -> 1773 (-86) |
Italy loss: upset (win expected)
|
Estadio Nacional, Santiago |
Paolo Mazza and Giovanni Ferrari |
| Chile 1962 | 31-May-1962 | 1 | Group 2 |
Prob to win: 55.87%
Game ELO: 1894 -> 1888 (-6) |
0 - 0
|
Prob to win: 44.13%
Game ELO: 1853 -> 1859 (+6) |
Italy draw: upset (loss expected)
|
Estadio Nacional, Santiago |
Paolo Mazza and Giovanni Ferrari |
| Switzerland 1954 | 23-Jun-1954 | 1 | Group 4 Playoff |
Prob to win: 25.31%
Game ELO: 1722 -> 1871 (+149) |
4 - 1
|
Prob to win: 74.69%
Game ELO: 1910 -> 1761 (-149) |
Italy loss: upset (win expected)
|
St. Jakob Stadium, Basel |
_svg.png) Lajos Czeizler |
| Switzerland 1954 | 20-Jun-1954 | 1 | Group 4 |
Prob to win: 51.29%
Game ELO: 1813 -> 1910 (+97) |
4 - 1
|
Prob to win: 48.71%
Game ELO: 1804 -> 1707 (-97) |
Italy win: expected
|
Cornaredo Stadium, Lugano |
Lajos Czeizler |
| Switzerland 1954 | 17-Jun-1954 | 1 | Group 4 |
Prob to win: 22.59%
Game ELO: 1676 -> 1753 (+77) |
2 - 1
|
Prob to win: 77.41%
Game ELO: 1890 -> 1813 (-77) |
Italy loss: upset (win expected)
|
Stade Olympique de la Pontaise, Lausanne |
Lajos Czeizler |
| Brazil 1950 | 2-Jul-1950 | 1 | Group 3 |
Prob to win: 52.88%
Game ELO: 1917 -> 1988 (+71) |
2 - 0
|
Prob to win: 47.12%
Game ELO: 1897 -> 1826 (-71) |
Italy win: expected
|
Estádio do Pacaembu, São Paulo |
Ferruccio Novo |
| Brazil 1950 | 25-Jun-1950 | 1 | Group 3 |
Prob to win: 50.86%
Game ELO: 1972 -> 2021 (+49) |
3 - 2
|
Prob to win: 49.14%
Game ELO: 1966 -> 1917 (-49) |
Italy loss: expected
|
Estádio do Pacaembu, São Paulo |
Ferruccio Novo |
| France 1938 | 19-Jun-1938 | 1 | Final |
Prob to win: 55.16%
Game ELO: 2114 -> 2181 (+67) |
4 - 2
|
Prob to win: 44.84%
Game ELO: 2078 -> 2011 (-67) |
Italy win: expected
|
Paris |
Vittorio Pozzo |
| France 1938 | 16-Jun-1938 | 1 | Semi Finals |
Prob to win: 66.23%
Game ELO: 2080 -> 2114 (+34) |
2 - 1
|
Prob to win: 33.77%
Game ELO: 1963 -> 1929 (-34) |
Italy win: expected
|
Marseille |
Vittorio Pozzo |
| France 1938 | 12-Jun-1938 | 1 | Quarter Finals |
Prob to win: 89.86%
Game ELO: 2065 -> 2080 (+15) |
3 - 1
|
Prob to win: 10.14%
Game ELO: 1686 -> 1671 (-15) |
Italy win: expected
|
Paris |
Vittorio Pozzo |
| France 1938 | 5-Jun-1938 | 1 | Top 16 |
Prob to win: 86.39%
Game ELO: 2051 -> 2065 (+14) |
2 - 1 (aet)
|
Prob to win: 13.61%
Game ELO: 1730 -> 1716 (-14) |
Italy win: expected
|
Marseille |
Vittorio Pozzo |
| Italy 1934 | 10-Jun-1934 | 1 | Final |
Prob to win: 73.70%
Game ELO: 2147 -> 2173 (+26) |
2 - 1 (aet)
|
Prob to win: 26.30%
Game ELO: 1968 -> 1942 (-26) |
Italy win: expected
|
Rome |
Vittorio Pozzo |
| Italy 1934 | 3-Jun-1934 | 1 | Semi Finals |
Prob to win: 52.30%
Game ELO: 2099 -> 2147 (+48) |
1 - 0
|
Prob to win: 47.70%
Game ELO: 2083 -> 2035 (-48) |
Italy win: expected
|
Milan |
Vittorio Pozzo |
| Italy 1934 | 1-Jun-1934 | 1 | Quarter Finals Replay |
Prob to win: 55.16%
Game ELO: 2054 -> 2099 (+45) |
1 - 0
|
Prob to win: 44.84%
Game ELO: 2018 -> 1973 (-45) |
Italy win: expected
|
Florence |
Vittorio Pozzo |
| Italy 1934 | 31-May-1934 | 1 | Quarter Finals |
Prob to win: 57.15%
Game ELO: 2061 -> 2054 (-7) |
1 - 1
|
Prob to win: 42.85%
Game ELO: 2011 -> 2018 (+7) |
Italy draw: upset (win expected)
|
Florence |
Vittorio Pozzo |
| Italy 1934 | 27-May-1934 | 1 | Top 16 |
Prob to win: 74.80%
Game ELO: 1973 -> 2061 (+88) |
7 - 1
|
Prob to win: 25.20%
Game ELO: 1784 -> 1696 (-88) |
Italy win: expected
|
Rome |
Vittorio Pozzo |
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