Spain details

Spain

Statistics:
  • Games: 109
  • Expected results: 74 (67.89%)
  • Unexpected results: 35 (32.11%)
  • Unknown games: 0
  • Record: 56 Won, 33 Lost, 20 Drawn, 0 Unknown
  • Last five games: LWWWD
  • Expected wins: 54 (49.54%)
  • Expected losses: 20 (18.35%)
  • Unexpected wins: 2 (1.83%)
  • Unexpected losses: 13 (11.93%)
  • Unexpected draws: 20 (18.35%)
  • Wins (+1pt for expected, +3 for unexpected): 60
  • Losses (-1pt for expected, -3 for unexpected): -59
  • Draws (-1pt if fav, +1pt if underdog): 20
  • Total: 21

Tournament Game Time Round Group Name Score Odds Analysis Location Coach
Euro 2020 06-Jul-2021 21:00 2 Semi Finals Italy
Prob to win: 79.65%
Game ELO: 2013 -> 2261 ( + 248)
1 - 1 (aet)
4 - 2 (pen)
Spain
Prob to win: 20.35%
Game ELO: 2033 -> 2063 ( + 30)
Spain loss: expected
Wembley Stadium, London
Euro 2020 02-Jul-2021 21:00 2 Quarter Finals Switzerland
Prob to win: 28.24%
Game ELO: 1890 -> 1901 ( + 11)
1 - 1 (aet)
1 - 3 (pen)
Spain
Prob to win: 71.76%
Game ELO: 2033 -> 2121 ( + 88)
Spain win: expected
Krestovsky Stadium, Saint Petersburg
Euro 2020 28-Jun-2021 18:00 2 Top 16 Croatia
Prob to win: 18.81%
Game ELO: 1825 -> 1809 ( -16)
3 - 5 (aet)
Spain
Prob to win: 81.19%
Game ELO: 2033 -> 2071 ( + 38)
Spain win: expected
Parken Stadium, Copenhagen
Euro 2020 23-Jun-2021 18:00 1 Group E Slovakia
Prob to win: 7.93%
Game ELO: 1695 -> 1637 ( -58)
0 - 5
Spain
Prob to win: 92.07%
Game ELO: 1975 -> 2033 ( + 58)
Spain win: expected
La Cartuja, Seville
Euro 2020 19-Jun-2021 21:00 1 Group E Spain
Prob to win: 87.18%
Game ELO: 2009 -> 1975 ( -34)
1 - 1
Poland
Prob to win: 12.82%
Game ELO: 1727 -> 1761 ( + 34)
Spain draw: upset (win expected)
La Cartuja, Seville
Euro 2020 14-Jun-2021 21:00 1 Group E Spain
Prob to win: 76.39%
Game ELO: 2033 -> 2009 ( -24)
0 - 0
Sweden
Prob to win: 23.61%
Game ELO: 1849 -> 1873 ( + 24)
Spain draw: upset (win expected)
La Cartuja, Seville
Russia 2018 01-Jul-2018 17:00 2 Top 16 Spain
Prob to win: 65.32%
Game ELO: 2044 -> 1937 ( -107)
1 - 1 (aet)
3 - 4 (pen)
Russia
Prob to win: 34.68%
Game ELO: 1678 -> 1850 ( + 172)
Spain loss: upset (win expected)
Luzhniki Stadium, Moscow
Russia 2018 25-Jun-2018 19:00 1 Group B Spain
Prob to win: 78.21%
Game ELO: 2058 -> 2018 ( -40)
2 - 2
Morocco
Prob to win: 21.79%
Game ELO: 1675 -> 1715 ( + 40)
Spain draw: upset (win expected)
Kaliningrad Stadium, Kaliningrad
Russia 2018 20-Jun-2018 19:00 1 Group B Iran
Prob to win: 35.33%
Game ELO: 1831 -> 1807 ( -24)
0 - 1
Spain
Prob to win: 64.67%
Game ELO: 2034 -> 2058 ( + 24)
Spain win: expected
Kazan Arena, Kazan
Russia 2018 15-Jun-2018 19:00 1 Group B Portugal
Prob to win: 48.27%
Game ELO: 1970 -> 1980 ( + 10)
3 - 3
Spain
Prob to win: 51.73%
Game ELO: 2044 -> 2034 ( -10)
Spain draw: upset (win expected)
Fisht Olympic Stadium, Sochi
Euro 2016 27-Jun-2016 18:00 2 Top 16 Italy
Prob to win: 59.66%
Game ELO: 1899 -> 1991 ( + 92)
2 - 0
Spain
Prob to win: 40.34%
Game ELO: 1978 -> 1886 ( -92)
Spain loss: expected
Stade de France, Saint-Denis
Euro 2016 21-Jun-2016 21:00 1 Group D Croatia
Prob to win: 47.12%
Game ELO: 1851 -> 1927 ( + 76)
2 - 1
Spain
Prob to win: 52.88%
Game ELO: 2054 -> 1978 ( -76)
Spain loss: upset (win expected)
Nouveau Stade de Bordeaux, Bordeaux
Euro 2016 17-Jun-2016 21:00 1 Group D Spain
Prob to win: 60.08%
Game ELO: 2013 -> 2054 ( + 41)
3 - 0
Turkey
Prob to win: 39.92%
Game ELO: 1777 -> 1736 ( -41)
Spain win: expected
Stade de Nice, Nice
Euro 2016 13-Jun-2016 15:00 1 Group D Spain
Prob to win: 77.11%
Game ELO: 1993 -> 2013 ( + 20)
1 - 0
Czech Republic
Prob to win: 22.89%
Game ELO: 1755 -> 1735 ( -20)
Spain win: expected
Stadium Municipal, Toulouse
Brazil 2014 23-Jun-2014 1 Group B Australia
Prob to win: 18.90%
Game ELO: 1670 -> 1602 ( -68)
0 - 3
Spain
Prob to win: 81.10%
Game ELO: 1787 -> 1855 ( + 68)
Spain win: expected
Curitiba
Brazil 2014 18-Jun-2014 1 Group B Spain
Prob to win: 38.41%
Game ELO: 1838 -> 1787 ( -51)
0 - 2
Chile
Prob to win: 61.59%
Game ELO: 1955 -> 2006 ( + 51)
Spain loss: expected
Rio De Janeiro
Brazil 2014 13-Jun-2014 1 Group B Spain
Prob to win: 11.30%
Game ELO: 2109 -> 1838 ( -271)
1 - 5
Netherlands
Prob to win: 88.70%
Game ELO: 1896 -> 2167 ( + 271)
Spain loss: expected
Salvador
Euro 2012 01-Jul-2012 21:45 2 Final Spain
Prob to win: 88.29%
Game ELO: 0 -> 1399 ( + 1399)
4 - 0
Italy
Prob to win: 11.71%
Game ELO: 0 -> 1048 ( + 1048)
Spain win: expected
Olympic Stadium, Kyiv
Euro 2012 27-Jun-2012 21:45 2 Semi Finals Portugal
Prob to win: 11.59%
Game ELO: 0 -> 1046 ( + 1046)
0 - 0 (aet)
2 - 4 (pen)
Spain
Prob to win: 88.41%
Game ELO: 0 -> 1264 ( + 1264)
Spain win: expected
Donbass Arena, Donetsk
Euro 2012 23-Jun-2012 21:45 2 Quarter Finals Spain
Prob to win: 93.39%
Game ELO: 0 -> 1214 ( + 1214)
2 - 0
France
Prob to win: 6.61%
Game ELO: 0 -> 939 ( + 939)
Spain win: expected
Donbass Arena, Donetsk
Euro 2012 18-Jun-2012 20:45 1 Group C Croatia
Prob to win: 10.35%
Game ELO: 1064 -> 1024 ( -40)
0 - 1
Spain
Prob to win: 89.65%
Game ELO: 1138 -> 1178 ( + 40)
Spain win: expected
PGE Arena, Gdansk
Euro 2012 14-Jun-2012 20:45 1 Group C Spain
Prob to win: 97.60%
Game ELO: 1000 -> 1138 ( + 138)
4 - 0
Republic of Ireland
Prob to win: 2.40%
Game ELO: 925 -> 787 ( -138)
Spain win: expected
PGE Arena, Gdansk
Euro 2012 10-Jun-2012 18:00 1 Group C Spain
Prob to win: 88.29%
Game ELO: 0 -> 1000 ( + 1000)
1 - 1
Italy
Prob to win: 11.71%
Game ELO: 0 -> 1000 ( + 1000)
Spain draw: upset (win expected)
PGE Arena, Gdansk
South Africa 2010 11-Jul-2010 20:30 2 Final Netherlands
Prob to win: 34.81%
Game ELO: 2211 -> 2138 ( -73)
0 - 1 (aet)
Spain
Prob to win: 65.19%
Game ELO: 2199 -> 2247 ( + 48)
Spain win: expected
Johannesburg Vicente del Bosque
South Africa 2010 07-Jul-2010 20:30 2 Semi Finals Germany
Prob to win: 44.84%
Game ELO: 2255 -> 2188 ( -67)
0 - 1
Spain
Prob to win: 55.16%
Game ELO: 2132 -> 2199 ( + 67)
Spain win: expected
Durban Vicente del Bosque
South Africa 2010 03-Jul-2010 20:30 2 Quarter Finals Paraguay
Prob to win: 9.73%
Game ELO: 1881 -> 1860 ( -21)
0 - 1
Spain
Prob to win: 90.27%
Game ELO: 2111 -> 2132 ( + 21)
Spain win: expected
Johannesburg Vicente del Bosque
South Africa 2010 29-Jun-2010 20:30 2 Top 16 Spain
Prob to win: 87.87%
Game ELO: 2081 -> 2111 ( + 30)
1 - 0
Portugal
Prob to win: 12.13%
Game ELO: 1933 -> 1903 ( -30)
Spain win: expected
Cape Town Vicente del Bosque
South Africa 2010 25-Jun-2010 20:30 1 Group H Chile
Prob to win: 10.04%
Game ELO: 1955 -> 1917 ( -38)
1 - 2
Spain
Prob to win: 89.96%
Game ELO: 2043 -> 2081 ( + 38)
Spain win: expected
Tshwane/Pretoria Vicente del Bosque
South Africa 2010 21-Jun-2010 20:30 1 Group H Spain
Prob to win: 96.13%
Game ELO: 2024 -> 2043 ( + 19)
2 - 0
Honduras
Prob to win: 3.87%
Game ELO: 1689 -> 1670 ( -19)
Spain win: expected
Johannesburg - JEP Vicente del Bosque
South Africa 2010 16-Jun-2010 16:00 1 Group H Spain
Prob to win: 93.28%
Game ELO: 2112 -> 2024 ( -88)
0 - 1
Switzerland
Prob to win: 6.72%
Game ELO: 1762 -> 1850 ( + 88)
Spain loss: upset (win expected)
Durban Vicente del Bosque
Euro 2008 29-Jun-2008 20:45 2 Final Germany
Prob to win: 24.55%
Game ELO: 0 -> 1126 ( + 1126)
0 - 1
Spain
Prob to win: 75.45%
Game ELO: 0 -> 1321 ( + 1321)
Spain win: expected
Ernst-Happel-Stadion, Vienna
Euro 2008 26-Jun-2008 20:45 2 Semi Finals Russia
Prob to win: 18.90%
Game ELO: 0 -> 1068 ( + 1068)
0 - 3
Spain
Prob to win: 81.10%
Game ELO: 0 -> 1289 ( + 1289)
Spain win: expected
Ernst-Happel-Stadion, Vienna
Euro 2008 22-Jun-2008 20:45 2 Quarter Finals Spain
Prob to win: 89.38%
Game ELO: 0 -> 1204 ( + 1204)
0 - 0 (aet)
4 - 2 (pen)
Italy
Prob to win: 10.62%
Game ELO: 0 -> 951 ( + 951)
Spain win: expected
Ernst-Happel-Stadion, Vienna
Euro 2008 18-Jun-2008 20:45 1 Group D Greece
Prob to win: 6.37%
Game ELO: 871 -> 854 ( -17)
1 - 2
Spain
Prob to win: 93.63%
Game ELO: 1146 -> 1163 ( + 17)
Spain win: expected
Stadion Wals-Siezenheim, Salzburg
Euro 2008 14-Jun-2008 18:00 1 Group D Sweden
Prob to win: 9.93%
Game ELO: 1075 -> 1029 ( -46)
1 - 2
Spain
Prob to win: 90.07%
Game ELO: 1100 -> 1146 ( + 46)
Spain win: expected
Tivoli-Neu, Innsbruck
Euro 2008 10-Jun-2008 18:00 1 Group D Spain
Prob to win: 81.10%
Game ELO: 0 -> 1100 ( + 1100)
4 - 1
Russia
Prob to win: 18.90%
Game ELO: 0 -> 900 ( + 900)
Spain win: expected
Tivoli-Neu, Innsbruck
Germany 2006 27-Jun-2006 2 Top 16 Spain
Prob to win: 33.77%
Game ELO: 2077 -> 1972 ( -105)
1 - 3
France
Prob to win: 66.23%
Game ELO: 1932 -> 2037 ( + 105)
Spain loss: expected
Hanover Luis Aragonés
Germany 2006 23-Jun-2006 1 Group H Saudi Arabia
Prob to win: 5.27%
Game ELO: 1473 -> 1470 ( -3)
0 - 1
Spain
Prob to win: 94.73%
Game ELO: 2074 -> 2077 ( + 3)
Spain win: expected
Luis Aragonés
Germany 2006 19-Jun-2006 1 Group H Spain
Prob to win: 86.79%
Game ELO: 2058 -> 2074 ( + 16)
3 - 1
Tunisia
Prob to win: 13.21%
Game ELO: 1691 -> 1675 ( -16)
Spain win: expected
Luis Aragonés
Germany 2006 14-Jun-2006 1 Group H Spain
Prob to win: 62.27%
Game ELO: 1964 -> 2058 ( + 94)
4 - 0
Ukraine
Prob to win: 37.73%
Game ELO: 1790 -> 1696 ( -94)
Spain win: expected
Luis Aragonés
Euro 2004 20-Jun-2004 19:45 1 Group A Spain
Prob to win: 32.50%
Game ELO: 1050 -> 996 ( -54)
0 - 1
Portugal
Prob to win: 67.50%
Game ELO: 1025 -> 1079 ( + 54)
Spain loss: expected
Estádio José Alvalade, Lisbon
Euro 2004 16-Jun-2004 17:00 1 Group A Greece
Prob to win: 73.59%
Game ELO: 0 -> 1050 ( + 1050)
1 - 1
Spain
Prob to win: 26.41%
Game ELO: 1050 -> 1050 ( + 0)
Spain draw: upset (loss expected)
Estádio do Bessa, Porto
Euro 2004 12-Jun-2004 19:45 1 Group A Spain
Prob to win: 56.86%
Game ELO: 0 -> 1050 ( + 1050)
1 - 0
Russia
Prob to win: 43.14%
Game ELO: 0 -> 950 ( + 950)
Spain win: expected
Estádio Algarve, Faro/Loulé
Korea/ Japan 2002 21-Jun-2002 2 Quarter Finals Spain
Prob to win: 54.88%
Game ELO: 2069 -> 1969 ( -100)
0 - 0 (aet)
3 - 5 (pen)
South Korea
Prob to win: 45.12%
Game ELO: 1949 -> 2049 ( + 100)
Spain loss: upset (win expected)
Ulsan José Antonio Camacho
Korea/ Japan 2002 16-Jun-2002 2 Top 16 Spain
Prob to win: 62.94%
Game ELO: 2036 -> 2069 ( + 33)
1 - 1 (aet)
3 - 2 (pen)
Republic of Ireland
Prob to win: 37.06%
Game ELO: 1910 -> 1877 ( -33)
Spain win: expected
Suwon José Antonio Camacho
Korea/ Japan 2002 12-Jun-2002 1 Group B South Africa
Prob to win: 17.53%
Game ELO: 1715 -> 1700 ( -15)
2 - 3
Spain
Prob to win: 82.47%
Game ELO: 2021 -> 2036 ( + 15)
Spain win: expected
Daejeon World Cup Stadium, Daejeon José Antonio Camacho
Korea/ Japan 2002 07-Jun-2002 1 Group B Spain
Prob to win: 78.98%
Game ELO: 1996 -> 2021 ( + 25)
3 - 1
Paraguay
Prob to win: 21.02%
Game ELO: 1718 -> 1693 ( -25)
Spain win: expected
Jeonju World Cup Stadium, Jeonju José Antonio Camacho
Korea/ Japan 2002 02-Jun-2002 1 Group B Spain
Prob to win: 90.07%
Game ELO: 1963 -> 1996 ( + 33)
3 - 1
Slovenia
Prob to win: 9.93%
Game ELO: 1742 -> 1709 ( -33)
Spain win: expected
Gwangju World Cup Stadium, Gwangju José Antonio Camacho
Euro 2000 25-Jun-2000 20:45 2 Quarter Finals Spain
Prob to win: 20.64%
Game ELO: 0 -> 1016 ( + 1016)
1 - 2
France
Prob to win: 79.36%
Game ELO: 0 -> 1125 ( + 1125)
Spain loss: expected
Jan Breydel Stadium, Bruges
Euro 2000 21-Jun-2000 18:00 1 Group C FR Yugoslavia
Prob to win: 34.03%
Game ELO: 1057 -> 1000 ( -57)
3 - 4
Spain
Prob to win: 65.97%
Game ELO: 1007 -> 1064 ( + 57)
Spain win: expected
Jan Breydel Stadium, Bruges
Euro 2000 18-Jun-2000 18:00 1 Group C Slovenia
Prob to win: 40.61%
Game ELO: 1000 -> 943 ( -57)
1 - 2
Spain
Prob to win: 59.39%
Game ELO: 950 -> 1007 ( + 57)
Spain win: expected
Amsterdam Arena, Amsterdam
Euro 2000 13-Jun-2000 18:00 1 Group C Spain
Prob to win: 54.31%
Game ELO: 0 -> 950 ( + 950)
0 - 1
Norway
Prob to win: 45.69%
Game ELO: 0 -> 1050 ( + 1050)
Spain loss: upset (win expected)
Feijenoord Stadion, Rotterdam
France 1998 24-Jun-1998 1 Group D Spain
Prob to win: 89.21%
Game ELO: 1897 -> 1984 ( + 87)
6 - 1
Bulgaria
Prob to win: 10.79%
Game ELO: 1704 -> 1617 ( -87)
Spain win: expected
Stade Félix Bollaert, Lens Javier Clemente
France 1998 19-Jun-1998 1 Group D Spain
Prob to win: 65.58%
Game ELO: 1914 -> 1897 ( -17)
0 - 0
Paraguay
Prob to win: 34.42%
Game ELO: 1794 -> 1811 ( + 17)
Spain draw: upset (win expected)
Stade Geoffroy-Guichard, Saint-Étienne Javier Clemente
France 1998 13-Jun-1998 1 Group D Spain
Prob to win: 85.05%
Game ELO: 1998 -> 1914 ( -84)
2 - 3
Nigeria
Prob to win: 14.95%
Game ELO: 1709 -> 1793 ( + 84)
Spain loss: upset (win expected)
Stade de la Beaujoire, Nantes Javier Clemente
Euro 1996 22-Jun-1996 15:00 2 Quarter Finals Spain
Prob to win: 27.55%
Game ELO: 0 -> 995 ( + 995)
0 - 0 (aet)
2 - 4 (pen)
England
Prob to win: 72.45%
Game ELO: 0 -> 1223 ( + 1223)
Spain loss: expected
Wembley Stadium, London
Euro 1996 18-Jun-1996 16:30 1 Group B Romania
Prob to win: 32.88%
Game ELO: 907 -> 871 ( -36)
1 - 2
Spain
Prob to win: 67.12%
Game ELO: 1007 -> 1043 ( + 36)
Spain win: expected
Elland Road, Leeds
Euro 1996 15-Jun-1996 18:00 1 Group B France
Prob to win: 62.67%
Game ELO: 1050 -> 1043 ( -7)
1 - 1
Spain
Prob to win: 37.33%
Game ELO: 1000 -> 1007 ( + 7)
Spain draw: upset (loss expected)
Elland Road, Leeds
Euro 1996 09-Jun-1996 14:30 1 Group B Spain
Prob to win: 53.88%
Game ELO: 0 -> 1000 ( + 1000)
1 - 1
Bulgaria
Prob to win: 46.12%
Game ELO: 0 -> 1000 ( + 1000)
Spain draw: upset (win expected)
Elland Road, Leeds
USA 1994 09-Jul-1994 2 Quarter Finals Italy
Prob to win: 63.61%
Game ELO: 1989 -> 2041 ( + 52)
2 - 1
Spain
Prob to win: 36.39%
Game ELO: 2002 -> 1950 ( -52)
Spain loss: expected
Foxborough Javier Clemente
USA 1994 02-Jul-1994 2 Top 16 Spain
Prob to win: 73.48%
Game ELO: 1922 -> 2002 ( + 80)
3 - 0
Switzerland
Prob to win: 26.52%
Game ELO: 1853 -> 1773 ( -80)
Spain win: expected
Washington Javier Clemente
USA 1994 27-Jun-1994 1 Group C Bolivia
Prob to win: 15.17%
Game ELO: 1687 -> 1651 ( -36)
1 - 3
Spain
Prob to win: 84.83%
Game ELO: 1886 -> 1922 ( + 36)
Spain win: expected
Soldier Field, Chicago Javier Clemente
USA 1994 21-Jun-1994 1 Group C Germany
Prob to win: 55.16%
Game ELO: 2024 -> 2002 ( -22)
1 - 1
Spain
Prob to win: 44.84%
Game ELO: 1864 -> 1886 ( + 22)
Spain draw: upset (loss expected)
Soldier Field, Chicago Javier Clemente
USA 1994 17-Jun-1994 1 Group C Spain
Prob to win: 82.64%
Game ELO: 1893 -> 1864 ( -29)
2 - 2
South Korea
Prob to win: 17.36%
Game ELO: 1665 -> 1694 ( + 29)
Spain draw: upset (win expected)
Cotton Bowl, Dallas Javier Clemente
Italy 1990 26-Jun-1990 2 Top 16 Spain
Prob to win: 56.02%
Game ELO: 2006 -> 1939 ( -67)
1 - 2 (aet)
Yugoslavia
Prob to win: 43.98%
Game ELO: 1886 -> 1953 ( + 67)
Spain loss: upset (win expected)
Verona Luis Suárez
Italy 1990 21-Jun-1990 1 Group E Belgium
Prob to win: 41.03%
Game ELO: 1973 -> 1920 ( -53)
1 - 2
Spain
Prob to win: 58.97%
Game ELO: 1953 -> 2006 ( + 53)
Spain win: expected
Stadio Marc'Antonio Bentegodi, Verona Luis Suárez
Italy 1990 17-Jun-1990 1 Group E South Korea
Prob to win: 14.73%
Game ELO: 1695 -> 1663 ( -32)
1 - 3
Spain
Prob to win: 85.27%
Game ELO: 1921 -> 1953 ( + 32)
Spain win: expected
Stadio Friuli, Udine Luis Suárez
Italy 1990 13-Jun-1990 1 Group E Uruguay
Prob to win: 32.75%
Game ELO: 1889 -> 1894 ( + 5)
0 - 0
Spain
Prob to win: 67.25%
Game ELO: 1926 -> 1921 ( -5)
Spain draw: upset (win expected)
Stadio Friuli, Udine Luis Suárez
Euro 1988 17-Jun-1988 20:15 1 Group A West Germany
Prob to win: 50.00%
Game ELO: 0 -> 0 ( + 0)
2 - 0
Spain
Prob to win: 50.00%
Game ELO: 0 -> 0 ( + 0)
Spain loss: upset (win expected)
Olympiastadion, Munich
Euro 1988 14-Jun-1988 20:15 1 Group A Italy
Prob to win: 50.00%
Game ELO: 0 -> 0 ( + 0)
1 - 0
Spain
Prob to win: 50.00%
Game ELO: 0 -> 0 ( + 0)
Spain loss: upset (win expected)
Waldstadion, Frankfurt
Euro 1988 11-Jun-1988 15:30 1 Group A Denmark
Prob to win: 50.00%
Game ELO: 0 -> 0 ( + 0)
2 - 3
Spain
Prob to win: 50.00%
Game ELO: 0 -> 0 ( + 0)
Spain win: expected
Niedersachsenstadion, Hanover
Mexico 1986 22-Jun-1986 2 Quarter Finals Belgium
Prob to win: 19.98%
Game ELO: 1891 -> 1976 ( + 85)
1 - 1 (aet)
5 - 4 (pen)
Spain
Prob to win: 80.02%
Game ELO: 2194 -> 2109 ( -85)
Spain loss: upset (win expected)
Puebla Miguel Muñoz
Mexico 1986 18-Jun-1986 2 Top 16 Denmark
Prob to win: 19.17%
Game ELO: 2120 -> 1859 ( -261)
1 - 5
Spain
Prob to win: 80.83%
Game ELO: 1933 -> 2194 ( + 261)
Spain win: expected
Querétaro Miguel Muñoz
Mexico 1986 12-Jun-1986 1 Group D Spain
Prob to win: 95.04%
Game ELO: 1898 -> 1933 ( + 35)
3 - 0
Algeria
Prob to win: 4.96%
Game ELO: 1631 -> 1596 ( -35)
Spain win: expected
Estadio Tecnológico, Monterrey Miguel Muñoz
Mexico 1986 07-Jun-1986 1 Group D Spain
Prob to win: 90.02%
Game ELO: 1852 -> 1898 ( + 46)
2 - 1
Northern Ireland
Prob to win: 9.98%
Game ELO: 1821 -> 1775 ( -46)
Spain win: expected
Estadio Tres de Marzo, Guadalajara Miguel Muñoz
Mexico 1986 01-Jun-1986 1 Group D Brazil
Prob to win: 39.92%
Game ELO: 1913 -> 1961 ( + 48)
1 - 0
Spain
Prob to win: 60.08%
Game ELO: 1900 -> 1852 ( -48)
Spain loss: upset (win expected)
Estadio Jalisco, Guadalajara Miguel Muñoz
Euro 1984 27-Jun-1984 20:00 2 Final France
Prob to win: 79.74%
Game ELO: 0 -> 1312 ( + 1312)
2 - 0
Spain
Prob to win: 20.26%
Game ELO: 0 -> 1074 ( + 1074)
Spain loss: expected
Parc des Princes, Paris
Euro 1984 24-Jun-1984 20:00 2 Semi Finals Denmark
Prob to win: 49.71%
Game ELO: 0 -> 1072 ( + 1072)
1 - 1 (aet)
4 - 5 (pen)
Spain
Prob to win: 50.29%
Game ELO: 0 -> 1118 ( + 1118)
Spain win: expected
Stade de Gerland, Lyon
Euro 1984 20-Jun-1984 20:30 1 Group B West Germany
Prob to win: 38.55%
Game ELO: 1050 -> 993 ( -57)
0 - 1
Spain
Prob to win: 61.45%
Game ELO: 1000 -> 1057 ( + 57)
Spain win: expected
Parc des Princes, Paris
Euro 1984 17-Jun-1984 20:30 1 Group B Portugal
Prob to win: 42.15%
Game ELO: 1000 -> 1000 ( + 0)
1 - 1
Spain
Prob to win: 57.85%
Game ELO: 1000 -> 1000 ( + 0)
Spain draw: upset (win expected)
Stade Vélodrome, Marseille
Euro 1984 14-Jun-1984 20:30 1 Group B Romania
Prob to win: 27.66%
Game ELO: 0 -> 1000 ( + 1000)
1 - 1
Spain
Prob to win: 72.34%
Game ELO: 0 -> 1000 ( + 1000)
Spain draw: upset (win expected)
Stade Geoffroy-Guichard, Saint-Étienne
Spain 1982 05-Jul-1982 2 Group B Spain
Prob to win: 24.77%
Game ELO: 1819 -> 1850 ( + 31)
0 - 0
England
Prob to win: 75.23%
Game ELO: 2074 -> 2043 ( -31)
Spain draw: upset (loss expected)
Estadio Santiago Bernabéu, Madrid José Santamaría
Spain 1982 02-Jul-1982 2 Group B West Germany
Prob to win: 76.70%
Game ELO: 2086 -> 2105 ( + 19)
2 - 1
Spain
Prob to win: 23.30%
Game ELO: 1838 -> 1819 ( -19)
Spain loss: expected
Estadio Santiago Bernabéu, Madrid José Santamaría
Spain 1982 25-Jun-1982 1 Group 5 Spain
Prob to win: 63.34%
Game ELO: 1910 -> 1838 ( -72)
0 - 1
Northern Ireland
Prob to win: 36.66%
Game ELO: 1744 -> 1816 ( + 72)
Spain loss: upset (win expected)
Estadio Luis Casanova, Valencia José Santamaría
Spain 1982 20-Jun-1982 1 Group 5 Spain
Prob to win: 48.13%
Game ELO: 1854 -> 1910 ( + 56)
2 - 1
Yugoslavia
Prob to win: 51.87%
Game ELO: 1893 -> 1837 ( -56)
Spain win: upset (loss expected)
Estadio Luis Casanova, Valencia José Santamaría
Spain 1982 16-Jun-1982 1 Group 5 Spain
Prob to win: 78.41%
Game ELO: 1888 -> 1854 ( -34)
1 - 1
Honduras
Prob to win: 21.59%
Game ELO: 1600 -> 1634 ( + 34)
Spain draw: upset (win expected)
Estadio Luís Casanova, Valencia José Santamaría
Euro 1980 18-Jun-1980 17:45 1 Group B Spain
Prob to win: 35.99%
Game ELO: 950 -> 900 ( -50)
1 - 2
England
Prob to win: 64.01%
Game ELO: 950 -> 1000 ( + 50)
Spain loss: expected
Stadio San Paolo, Naples
Euro 1980 15-Jun-1980 17:45 1 Group B Belgium
Prob to win: 64.40%
Game ELO: 1000 -> 1050 ( + 50)
2 - 1
Spain
Prob to win: 35.60%
Game ELO: 1000 -> 950 ( -50)
Spain loss: expected
San Siro, Milan
Euro 1980 12-Jun-1980 20:30 1 Group B Spain
Prob to win: 36.53%
Game ELO: 0 -> 1000 ( + 1000)
0 - 0
Italy
Prob to win: 63.47%
Game ELO: 0 -> 1000 ( + 1000)
Spain draw: upset (loss expected)
San Siro, Milan
Argentina 1978 11-Jun-1978 1 Group 3 Spain
Prob to win: 75.12%
Game ELO: 1915 -> 1948 ( + 33)
1 - 0
Sweden
Prob to win: 24.88%
Game ELO: 1789 -> 1756 ( -33)
Spain win: expected
Estadio José Amalfitani, Buenos Aires Ladislao Kubala
Argentina 1978 07-Jun-1978 1 Group 3 Brazil
Prob to win: 80.92%
Game ELO: 2044 -> 2024 ( -20)
0 - 0
Spain
Prob to win: 19.08%
Game ELO: 1895 -> 1915 ( + 20)
Spain draw: upset (loss expected)
Estadio José Maria Minella, Mar del Plata Ladislao Kubala
Argentina 1978 03-Jun-1978 1 Group 3 Austria
Prob to win: 37.20%
Game ELO: 1860 -> 1924 ( + 64)
2 - 1
Spain
Prob to win: 62.80%
Game ELO: 1959 -> 1895 ( -64)
Spain loss: upset (win expected)
Estadio José Amalfitani, Buenos Aires Ladislao Kubala
England 1966 20-Jul-1966 1 Group 2 West Germany
Prob to win: 82.22%
Game ELO: 2000 -> 2032 ( + 32)
2 - 1
Spain
Prob to win: 17.78%
Game ELO: 1870 -> 1838 ( -32)
Spain loss: expected
Villa Park, Birmingham José Villalonga
England 1966 15-Jul-1966 1 Group 2 Spain
Prob to win: 83.13%
Game ELO: 1852 -> 1870 ( + 18)
2 - 1
Switzerland
Prob to win: 16.87%
Game ELO: 1590 -> 1572 ( -18)
Spain win: expected
Hillsborough Stadium, Sheffield José Villalonga
England 1966 13-Jul-1966 1 Group 2 Argentina
Prob to win: 68.63%
Game ELO: 1972 -> 2011 ( + 39)
2 - 1
Spain
Prob to win: 31.37%
Game ELO: 1891 -> 1852 ( -39)
Spain loss: expected
Villa Park, Birmingham José Villalonga
Euro 1964 21-Jun-1964 18:30 1 Final Spain
Prob to win: 59.11%
Game ELO: 1050 -> 1107 ( + 57)
2 - 1
Soviet Union
Prob to win: 40.89%
Game ELO: 1100 -> 1043 ( -57)
Spain win: expected
Santiago Bernabéu, Madrid
Euro 1964 17-Jun-1964 20:00 1 Semi Finals Spain
Prob to win: 63.07%
Game ELO: 0 -> 1050 ( + 1050)
2 - 1 (aet)
Hungary
Prob to win: 36.93%
Game ELO: 0 -> 950 ( + 950)
Spain win: expected
Santiago Bernabéu, Madrid
Chile 1962 06-Jun-1962 1 Group 3 Brazil
Prob to win: 87.24%
Game ELO: 2111 -> 2139 ( + 28)
2 - 1
Spain
Prob to win: 12.76%
Game ELO: 1945 -> 1917 ( -28)
Spain loss: expected
Estadio Sausalito, Viña del Mar  Helenio Herrera
Chile 1962 03-Jun-1962 1 Group 3 Spain
Prob to win: 55.45%
Game ELO: 1913 -> 1945 ( + 32)
1 - 0
Mexico
Prob to win: 44.55%
Game ELO: 1786 -> 1754 ( -32)
Spain win: expected
Estadio Sausalito, Viña del Mar  Helenio Herrera
Chile 1962 31-May-1962 1 Group 3 Czechoslovakia
Prob to win: 64.67%
Game ELO: 1975 -> 2023 ( + 48)
1 - 0
Spain
Prob to win: 35.33%
Game ELO: 1961 -> 1913 ( -48)
Spain loss: expected
Estadio Sausalito, Viña del Mar  Helenio Herrera
Brazil 1950 16-Jul-1950 2 Group A Sweden
Prob to win: 63.61%
Game ELO: 1812 -> 1906 ( + 94)
3 - 1
Spain
Prob to win: 36.39%
Game ELO: 1903 -> 1809 ( -94)
Spain loss: expected
Estádio do Pacaembu, São Paulo Guillermo Eizaguirre
Brazil 1950 13-Jul-1950 2 Group A Brazil
Prob to win: 90.22%
Game ELO: 2221 -> 2287 ( + 66)
6 - 1
Spain
Prob to win: 9.78%
Game ELO: 1969 -> 1903 ( -66)
Spain loss: expected
Estádio do Maracanã, Rio de Janeiro Guillermo Eizaguirre
Brazil 1950 09-Jul-1950 2 Group A Uruguay
Prob to win: 71.17%
Game ELO: 1791 -> 1817 ( + 26)
2 - 2
Spain
Prob to win: 28.83%
Game ELO: 1995 -> 1969 ( -26)
Spain draw: upset (loss expected)
Estádio do Pacaembu, São Paulo Guillermo Eizaguirre
Brazil 1950 02-Jul-1950 1 Group 2 Spain
Prob to win: 32.88%
Game ELO: 1938 -> 1995 ( + 57)
1 - 0
England
Prob to win: 67.12%
Game ELO: 1990 -> 1933 ( -57)
Spain win: upset (loss expected)
Estádio do Maracanã, Rio de Janeiro Guillermo Eizaguirre
Brazil 1950 29-Jun-1950 1 Group 2 Spain
Prob to win: 65.97%
Game ELO: 1918 -> 1938 ( + 20)
2 - 0
Chile
Prob to win: 34.03%
Game ELO: 1590 -> 1570 ( -20)
Spain win: expected
Estádio do Maracanã, Rio de Janeiro Guillermo Eizaguirre
Brazil 1950 25-Jun-1950 1 Group 2 Spain
Prob to win: 83.29%
Game ELO: 1897 -> 1918 ( + 21)
3 - 1
USA
Prob to win: 16.71%
Game ELO: 1580 -> 1559 ( -21)
Spain win: expected
Estádio Durival de Britto, Curitiba Guillermo Eizaguirre
Italy 1934 01-Jun-1934 1 Quarter Finals Replay Italy
Prob to win: 75.97%
Game ELO: 2054 -> 2099 ( + 45)
1 - 0
Spain
Prob to win: 24.03%
Game ELO: 2018 -> 1973 ( -45)
Spain loss: expected
Florence Amadeo García
Italy 1934 31-May-1934 1 Quarter Finals Italy
Prob to win: 75.97%
Game ELO: 2061 -> 2054 ( -7)
1 - 1
Spain
Prob to win: 24.03%
Game ELO: 2011 -> 2018 ( + 7)
Spain draw: upset (loss expected)
Florence Amadeo García
Italy 1934 27-May-1934 1 Top 16 Spain
Prob to win: 65.32%
Game ELO: 1935 -> 2011 ( + 76)
3 - 1
Brazil
Prob to win: 34.68%
Game ELO: 1939 -> 1863 ( -76)
Spain win: expected
Genoa Amadeo García