Poland details

Poland

Statistics:
  • Games: 48
  • Expected results: 35 (72.92%)
  • Unexpected results: 13 (27.08%)
  • Unknown games: 0
  • Record: 19 Won, 19 Lost, 10 Drawn, 0 Unknown
  • Last five games: LDLWL
  • Expected wins: 17 (35.42%)
  • Expected losses: 18 (37.50%)
  • Unexpected wins: 2 (4.17%)
  • Unexpected losses: 1 (2.08%)
  • Unexpected draws: 10 (20.83%)
  • Wins (+1pt for expected, +3 for unexpected): 23
  • Losses (-1pt for expected, -3 for unexpected): -21
  • Draws (-1pt if fav, +1pt if underdog): 10
  • Total: 12

Tournament Game Time Round Group Name Score Odds Analysis Location Coach
Euro 2020 23-Jun-2021 18:00 1 Group E Sweden
Prob to win: 67.76%
Game ELO: 1903 -> 1934 ( + 31)
3 - 2
Poland
Prob to win: 32.24%
Game ELO: 1761 -> 1730 ( -31)
Poland loss: expected
Krestovsky Stadium, Saint Petersburg
Euro 2020 19-Jun-2021 21:00 1 Group E Spain
Prob to win: 87.18%
Game ELO: 2009 -> 1975 ( -34)
1 - 1
Poland
Prob to win: 12.82%
Game ELO: 1727 -> 1761 ( + 34)
Poland draw: upset (loss expected)
La Cartuja, Seville
Euro 2020 14-Jun-2021 18:00 1 Group E Poland
Prob to win: 63.07%
Game ELO: 1796 -> 1727 ( -69)
1 - 2
Slovakia
Prob to win: 36.93%
Game ELO: 1656 -> 1725 ( + 69)
Poland loss: upset (win expected)
Krestovsky Stadium, Saint Petersburg
Russia 2018 28-Jun-2018 15:00 1 Group H Japan
Prob to win: 43.84%
Game ELO: 1771 -> 1710 ( -61)
0 - 1
Poland
Prob to win: 56.16%
Game ELO: 1692 -> 1753 ( + 61)
Poland win: expected
Volgograd Arena, Volgograd
Russia 2018 24-Jun-2018 19:00 1 Group H Poland
Prob to win: 28.95%
Game ELO: 1770 -> 1692 ( -78)
0 - 3
Colombia
Prob to win: 71.05%
Game ELO: 1848 -> 1926 ( + 78)
Poland loss: expected
Kazan Arena, Kazan
Russia 2018 19-Jun-2018 13:00 1 Group H Poland
Prob to win: 49.86%
Game ELO: 1831 -> 1770 ( -61)
1 - 2
Senegal
Prob to win: 50.14%
Game ELO: 1750 -> 1811 ( + 61)
Poland loss: expected
Otkrytie Arena, Moscow
Euro 2016 30-Jun-2016 21:00 2 Quarter Finals Poland
Prob to win: 16.00%
Game ELO: 1904 -> 1831 ( -73)
1 - 1 (aet)
3 - 5 (pen)
Portugal
Prob to win: 84.00%
Game ELO: 1913 -> 1986 ( + 73)
Poland loss: expected
Stade Vélodrome, Marseille
Euro 2016 25-Jun-2016 15:00 2 Top 16 Switzerland
Prob to win: 42.15%
Game ELO: 1820 -> 1776 ( -44)
1 - 1 (aet)
4 - 5 (pen)
Poland
Prob to win: 57.85%
Game ELO: 1860 -> 1904 ( + 44)
Poland win: expected
Stade Geoffroy-Guichard, Saint-Étienne
Euro 2016 21-Jun-2016 18:00 1 Group C Ukraine
Prob to win: 26.75%
Game ELO: 1686 -> 1656 ( -30)
0 - 1
Poland
Prob to win: 73.25%
Game ELO: 1830 -> 1860 ( + 30)
Poland win: expected
Stade Vélodrome, Marseille
Euro 2016 16-Jun-2016 21:00 1 Group C Germany
Prob to win: 76.70%
Game ELO: 2071 -> 2038 ( -33)
0 - 0
Poland
Prob to win: 23.30%
Game ELO: 1797 -> 1830 ( + 33)
Poland draw: upset (loss expected)
Stade de France, Saint-Denis
Euro 2016 12-Jun-2016 18:00 1 Group C Poland
Prob to win: 72.80%
Game ELO: 1766 -> 1797 ( + 31)
1 - 0
Northern Ireland
Prob to win: 27.20%
Game ELO: 1624 -> 1593 ( -31)
Poland win: expected
Stade de Nice, Nice
Euro 2012 16-Jun-2012 20:45 1 Group A Czech Republic
Prob to win: 52.59%
Game ELO: 964 -> 1021 ( + 57)
1 - 0
Poland
Prob to win: 47.41%
Game ELO: 1014 -> 957 ( -57)
Poland loss: expected
Stadion Miejski, Wroclaw
Euro 2012 12-Jun-2012 20:45 1 Group A Poland
Prob to win: 41.59%
Game ELO: 1000 -> 1014 ( + 14)
1 - 1
Russia
Prob to win: 58.41%
Game ELO: 1100 -> 1086 ( -14)
Poland draw: upset (loss expected)
National Stadium, Warsaw
Euro 2012 08-Jun-2012 18:00 1 Group A Poland
Prob to win: 50.29%
Game ELO: 0 -> 1000 ( + 1000)
1 - 1
Greece
Prob to win: 49.71%
Game ELO: 0 -> 1000 ( + 1000)
Poland draw: upset (win expected)
National Stadium, Warsaw
Euro 2008 16-Jun-2008 20:45 1 Group B Poland
Prob to win: 31.74%
Game ELO: 929 -> 902 ( -27)
0 - 1
Croatia
Prob to win: 68.26%
Game ELO: 1104 -> 1131 ( + 27)
Poland loss: expected
Wörthersee Stadion, Klagenfurt
Euro 2008 12-Jun-2008 20:45 1 Group B Austria
Prob to win: 50.72%
Game ELO: 950 -> 946 ( -4)
1 - 1
Poland
Prob to win: 49.28%
Game ELO: 925 -> 929 ( + 4)
Poland draw: upset (loss expected)
Ernst-Happel-Stadion, Vienna
Euro 2008 08-Jun-2008 20:45 1 Group B Germany
Prob to win: 78.41%
Game ELO: 0 -> 1075 ( + 1075)
2 - 0
Poland
Prob to win: 21.59%
Game ELO: 0 -> 925 ( + 925)
Poland loss: expected
Wörthersee Stadion, Klagenfurt
Germany 2006 20-Jun-2006 1 Group A Costa Rica
Prob to win: 28.36%
Game ELO: 1615 -> 1577 ( -38)
1 - 2
Poland
Prob to win: 71.64%
Game ELO: 1700 -> 1738 ( + 38)
Poland win: expected
Pawel Janas
Germany 2006 14-Jun-2006 1 Group A Germany
Prob to win: 91.14%
Game ELO: 1937 -> 1959 ( + 22)
1 - 0
Poland
Prob to win: 8.86%
Game ELO: 1722 -> 1700 ( -22)
Poland loss: expected
Pawel Janas
Germany 2006 09-Jun-2006 1 Group A Poland
Prob to win: 45.55%
Game ELO: 1822 -> 1722 ( -100)
0 - 2
Ecuador
Prob to win: 54.45%
Game ELO: 1699 -> 1799 ( + 100)
Poland loss: expected
Pawel Janas
Korea/ Japan 2002 14-Jun-2002 1 Group D Poland
Prob to win: 34.29%
Game ELO: 1591 -> 1716 ( + 125)
3 - 1
USA
Prob to win: 65.71%
Game ELO: 1872 -> 1747 ( -125)
Poland win: upset (loss expected)
Daejeon World Cup Stadium, Daejeon Jerzy Engel
Korea/ Japan 2002 10-Jun-2002 1 Group D Portugal
Prob to win: 74.58%
Game ELO: 1907 -> 1974 ( + 67)
4 - 0
Poland
Prob to win: 25.42%
Game ELO: 1658 -> 1591 ( -67)
Poland loss: expected
Jeonju World Cup Stadium, Jeonju Jerzy Engel
Korea/ Japan 2002 04-Jun-2002 1 Group D South Korea
Prob to win: 77.91%
Game ELO: 1734 -> 1809 ( + 75)
2 - 0
Poland
Prob to win: 22.09%
Game ELO: 1733 -> 1658 ( -75)
Poland loss: expected
Asiad Main Stadium, Busan Jerzy Engel
Mexico 1986 16-Jun-1986 2 Top 16 Brazil
Prob to win: 87.81%
Game ELO: 2023 -> 2086 ( + 63)
4 - 0
Poland
Prob to win: 12.19%
Game ELO: 1758 -> 1695 ( -63)
Poland loss: expected
Guadalajara Antoni Piechniczek
Mexico 1986 11-Jun-1986 1 Group F Poland
Prob to win: 16.40%
Game ELO: 1847 -> 1758 ( -89)
0 - 3
England
Prob to win: 83.60%
Game ELO: 1885 -> 1974 ( + 89)
Poland loss: expected
Estadio Universitario, Monterrey Antoni Piechniczek
Mexico 1986 07-Jun-1986 1 Group F Poland
Prob to win: 46.98%
Game ELO: 1783 -> 1847 ( + 64)
1 - 0
Portugal
Prob to win: 53.02%
Game ELO: 1880 -> 1816 ( -64)
Poland win: upset (loss expected)
Estadio Universitario, Monterrey Antoni Piechniczek
Mexico 1986 02-Jun-1986 1 Group F Poland
Prob to win: 40.48%
Game ELO: 1804 -> 1783 ( -21)
0 - 0
Morocco
Prob to win: 59.52%
Game ELO: 1645 -> 1666 ( + 21)
Poland draw: upset (loss expected)
Estadio Universitario, Monterrey Antoni Piechniczek
Spain 1982 10-Jul-1982 3 3rd Place Poland
Prob to win: 67.00%
Game ELO: 1999 -> 2044 ( + 45)
3 - 2
France
Prob to win: 33.00%
Game ELO: 1966 -> 1921 ( -45)
Poland win: expected
Alicante Antoni Piechniczek
Spain 1982 08-Jul-1982 3 Semi Finals Poland
Prob to win: 30.39%
Game ELO: 2091 -> 1999 ( -92)
0 - 2
Italy
Prob to win: 69.61%
Game ELO: 2013 -> 2105 ( + 92)
Poland loss: expected
Barcelona Antoni Piechniczek
Spain 1982 04-Jul-1982 2 Group A Soviet Union
Prob to win: 46.55%
Game ELO: 2006 -> 2020 ( + 14)
0 - 0
Poland
Prob to win: 53.45%
Game ELO: 2105 -> 2091 ( -14)
Poland draw: upset (win expected)
Camp Nou, Barcelona Antoni Piechniczek
Spain 1982 28-Jun-1982 2 Group A Belgium
Prob to win: 23.71%
Game ELO: 1960 -> 1878 ( -82)
0 - 3
Poland
Prob to win: 76.29%
Game ELO: 2023 -> 2105 ( + 82)
Poland win: expected
Camp Nou, Barcelona Antoni Piechniczek
Spain 1982 22-Jun-1982 1 Group 1 Poland
Prob to win: 89.75%
Game ELO: 1915 -> 2023 ( + 108)
5 - 1
Peru
Prob to win: 10.25%
Game ELO: 1775 -> 1667 ( -108)
Poland win: expected
Estadio de Riazor, A Coruña Antoni Piechniczek
Spain 1982 19-Jun-1982 1 Group 1 Poland
Prob to win: 86.98%
Game ELO: 1949 -> 1915 ( -34)
0 - 0
Cameroon
Prob to win: 13.02%
Game ELO: 1655 -> 1689 ( + 34)
Poland draw: upset (win expected)
Estadio de Riazor, A Coruña Antoni Piechniczek
Spain 1982 14-Jun-1982 1 Group 1 Italy
Prob to win: 69.61%
Game ELO: 1892 -> 1902 ( + 10)
0 - 0
Poland
Prob to win: 30.39%
Game ELO: 1959 -> 1949 ( -10)
Poland draw: upset (loss expected)
Estadio de Balaídos, Vigo Antoni Piechniczek
Argentina 1978 21-Jun-1978 2 Group B Poland
Prob to win: 16.55%
Game ELO: 1961 -> 1918 ( -43)
1 - 3
Brazil
Prob to win: 83.45%
Game ELO: 2122 -> 2165 ( + 43)
Poland loss: expected
Estadio Ciudad de Mendoza, Mendoza Jacek Gmoch
Argentina 1978 18-Jun-1978 2 Group B Peru
Prob to win: 29.18%
Game ELO: 1889 -> 1843 ( -46)
0 - 1
Poland
Prob to win: 70.82%
Game ELO: 1915 -> 1961 ( + 46)
Poland win: expected
Estadio Ciudad de Mendoza, Mendoza Jacek Gmoch
Argentina 1978 14-Jun-1978 2 Group B Argentina
Prob to win: 84.90%
Game ELO: 1959 -> 2043 ( + 84)
2 - 0
Poland
Prob to win: 15.10%
Game ELO: 1999 -> 1915 ( -84)
Poland loss: expected
Estadio Gigante de Arroyito, Rosario Jacek Gmoch
Argentina 1978 10-Jun-1978 1 Group 2 Poland
Prob to win: 83.37%
Game ELO: 1978 -> 1999 ( + 21)
3 - 1
Mexico
Prob to win: 16.63%
Game ELO: 1659 -> 1638 ( -21)
Poland win: expected
Estadio Gigante de Arroyito, Rosario Jacek Gmoch
Argentina 1978 06-Jun-1978 1 Group 2 Poland
Prob to win: 67.50%
Game ELO: 1951 -> 1978 ( + 27)
1 - 0
Tunisia
Prob to win: 32.50%
Game ELO: 1779 -> 1752 ( -27)
Poland win: expected
Estadio Gigante de Arroyito, Rosario Jacek Gmoch
Argentina 1978 01-Jun-1978 1 Group 2 West Germany
Prob to win: 60.90%
Game ELO: 2096 -> 2074 ( -22)
0 - 0
Poland
Prob to win: 39.10%
Game ELO: 1929 -> 1951 ( + 22)
Poland draw: upset (loss expected)
Estadio Monumental, Buenos Aires Jacek Gmoch
West Germany 1974 06-Jul-1974 3 3rd Place Brazil
Prob to win: 33.64%
Game ELO: 2064 -> 2017 ( -47)
0 - 1
Poland
Prob to win: 66.36%
Game ELO: 2088 -> 2135 ( + 47)
Poland win: expected
Olympiastadion, Munich Kazimierz Górski
West Germany 1974 03-Jul-1974 2 Group B Poland
Prob to win: 33.13%
Game ELO: 2135 -> 2088 ( -47)
0 - 1
West Germany
Prob to win: 66.87%
Game ELO: 2157 -> 2204 ( + 47)
Poland loss: expected
Waldstadion, Frankfurt Kazimierz Górski
West Germany 1974 30-Jun-1974 2 Group B Poland
Prob to win: 82.88%
Game ELO: 2106 -> 2135 ( + 29)
2 - 1
Yugoslavia
Prob to win: 17.12%
Game ELO: 1947 -> 1918 ( -29)
Poland win: expected
Waldstadion, Frankfurt Kazimierz Górski
West Germany 1974 26-Jun-1974 2 Group B Sweden
Prob to win: 23.19%
Game ELO: 1934 -> 1903 ( -31)
0 - 1
Poland
Prob to win: 76.81%
Game ELO: 2075 -> 2106 ( + 31)
Poland win: expected
Neckarstadion, Stuttgart Kazimierz Górski
West Germany 1974 23-Jun-1974 1 Group 4 Poland
Prob to win: 74.58%
Game ELO: 2031 -> 2075 ( + 44)
2 - 1
Italy
Prob to win: 25.42%
Game ELO: 1992 -> 1948 ( -44)
Poland win: expected
Neckarstadion, Stuttgart Kazimierz Górski
West Germany 1974 19-Jun-1974 1 Group 4 Haiti
Prob to win: 3.07%
Game ELO: 1595 -> 1564 ( -31)
0 - 7
Poland
Prob to win: 96.93%
Game ELO: 2000 -> 2031 ( + 31)
Poland win: expected
Olympiastadion, Munich Kazimierz Górski
West Germany 1974 15-Jun-1974 1 Group 4 Poland
Prob to win: 88.82%
Game ELO: 1959 -> 2000 ( + 41)
3 - 2
Argentina
Prob to win: 11.18%
Game ELO: 1894 -> 1853 ( -41)
Poland win: expected
Neckarstadion, Stuttgart Kazimierz Górski
France 1938 05-Jun-1938 1 Top 16 Brazil
Prob to win: 87.99%
Game ELO: 1908 -> 1925 ( + 17)
6 - 5 (aet)
Poland
Prob to win: 12.01%
Game ELO: 1633 -> 1616 ( -17)
Poland loss: expected
Strasbourg Józef Kaluza