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Poland details
Poland
Statistics:
- Games: 51
- Expected results: 35 (72.92%)
- Unexpected results: 13 (27.08%)
- Unknown games: 3
- Record: 19 Won, 19 Lost, 10 Drawn, 3 Unknown
- Last five games: LDLWL
- Expected wins: 17 (35.42%)
- Expected losses: 18 (37.50%)
- Unexpected wins: 2 (4.17%)
- Unexpected losses: 1 (2.08%)
- Unexpected draws: 10 (20.83%)
- Wins (+1pt for expected, +3 for unexpected): 23
- Losses (-1pt for expected, -3 for unexpected): -21
- Draws (-1pt if fav, +1pt if underdog): 10
- Total: 12
Tournament | Game Time | Round | Group Name | Score | Odds Analysis | Location | Coach | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Qatar 2022 | 30-Nov-2022 22:00 | 1 | Group C |
Poland
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Stadium 974, Doha | |||
Qatar 2022 | 26-Nov-2022 16:00 | 1 | Group C |
Poland
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Education City Stadium, Al Rayyan | |||
Qatar 2022 | 22-Nov-2022 19:00 | 1 | Group C |
Mexico
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Stadium 974, Doha | |||
Euro 2020 | 23-Jun-2021 18:00 | 1 | Group E |
Sweden
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Prob to win: 67.76%
Game ELO: 1903 -> 1934 ( + 31) |
3 - 2
|
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Prob to win: 32.24%
Game ELO: 1761 -> 1730 ( -31) |
Poland loss: expected
|
Krestovsky Stadium, Saint Petersburg | |
Euro 2020 | 19-Jun-2021 21:00 | 1 | Group E |
Spain
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Prob to win: 87.18%
Game ELO: 2009 -> 1975 ( -34) |
1 - 1
|
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Prob to win: 12.82%
Game ELO: 1727 -> 1761 ( + 34) |
Poland draw: upset (loss expected)
|
La Cartuja, Seville | |
Euro 2020 | 14-Jun-2021 18:00 | 1 | Group E |
Poland
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Prob to win: 63.07%
Game ELO: 1796 -> 1727 ( -69) |
1 - 2
|
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Prob to win: 36.93%
Game ELO: 1656 -> 1725 ( + 69) |
Poland loss: upset (win expected)
|
Krestovsky Stadium, Saint Petersburg | |
Russia 2018 | 28-Jun-2018 15:00 | 1 | Group H |
Japan
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Prob to win: 42.15%
Game ELO: 1771 -> 1710 ( -61) |
0 - 1
|
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Prob to win: 57.85%
Game ELO: 1692 -> 1753 ( + 61) |
Poland win: expected
|
Volgograd Arena, Volgograd | |
Russia 2018 | 24-Jun-2018 19:00 | 1 | Group H |
Poland
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Prob to win: 28.95%
Game ELO: 1770 -> 1692 ( -78) |
0 - 3
|
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Prob to win: 71.05%
Game ELO: 1848 -> 1926 ( + 78) |
Poland loss: expected
|
Kazan Arena, Kazan | |
Russia 2018 | 19-Jun-2018 13:00 | 1 | Group H |
Poland
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Prob to win: 47.41%
Game ELO: 1831 -> 1770 ( -61) |
1 - 2
|
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Prob to win: 52.59%
Game ELO: 1750 -> 1811 ( + 61) |
Poland loss: expected
|
Otkrytie Arena, Moscow | |
Euro 2016 | 30-Jun-2016 21:00 | 2 | Quarter Finals |
Poland
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Prob to win: 16.00%
Game ELO: 1904 -> 1831 ( -73) |
1 - 1 (aet)
3 - 5 (pen) |
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Prob to win: 84.00%
Game ELO: 1913 -> 1986 ( + 73) |
Poland loss: expected
|
Stade Vélodrome, Marseille | |
Euro 2016 | 25-Jun-2016 15:00 | 2 | Top 16 |
Switzerland
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Prob to win: 42.15%
Game ELO: 1820 -> 1776 ( -44) |
1 - 1 (aet)
4 - 5 (pen) |
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Prob to win: 57.85%
Game ELO: 1860 -> 1904 ( + 44) |
Poland win: expected
|
Stade Geoffroy-Guichard, Saint-Étienne | |
Euro 2016 | 21-Jun-2016 18:00 | 1 | Group C |
Ukraine
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Prob to win: 26.75%
Game ELO: 1686 -> 1656 ( -30) |
0 - 1
|
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Prob to win: 73.25%
Game ELO: 1830 -> 1860 ( + 30) |
Poland win: expected
|
Stade Vélodrome, Marseille | |
Euro 2016 | 16-Jun-2016 21:00 | 1 | Group C |
Germany
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Prob to win: 76.70%
Game ELO: 2071 -> 2038 ( -33) |
0 - 0
|
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Prob to win: 23.30%
Game ELO: 1797 -> 1830 ( + 33) |
Poland draw: upset (loss expected)
|
Stade de France, Saint-Denis | |
Euro 2016 | 12-Jun-2016 18:00 | 1 | Group C |
Poland
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Prob to win: 72.80%
Game ELO: 1766 -> 1797 ( + 31) |
1 - 0
|
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Prob to win: 27.20%
Game ELO: 1624 -> 1593 ( -31) |
Poland win: expected
|
Stade de Nice, Nice | |
Euro 2012 | 16-Jun-2012 20:45 | 1 | Group A |
Czech Republic
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Prob to win: 52.59%
Game ELO: 964 -> 1021 ( + 57) |
1 - 0
|
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Prob to win: 47.41%
Game ELO: 1014 -> 957 ( -57) |
Poland loss: expected
|
Stadion Miejski, Wroclaw | |
Euro 2012 | 12-Jun-2012 20:45 | 1 | Group A |
Poland
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Prob to win: 41.59%
Game ELO: 1000 -> 1014 ( + 14) |
1 - 1
|
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Prob to win: 58.41%
Game ELO: 1100 -> 1086 ( -14) |
Poland draw: upset (loss expected)
|
National Stadium, Warsaw | |
Euro 2012 | 08-Jun-2012 18:00 | 1 | Group A |
Poland
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Prob to win: 50.29%
Game ELO: 0 -> 1000 ( + 1000) |
1 - 1
|
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Prob to win: 49.71%
Game ELO: 0 -> 1000 ( + 1000) |
Poland draw: upset (win expected)
|
National Stadium, Warsaw | |
Euro 2008 | 16-Jun-2008 20:45 | 1 | Group B |
Poland
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Prob to win: 31.74%
Game ELO: 929 -> 902 ( -27) |
0 - 1
|
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Prob to win: 68.26%
Game ELO: 1104 -> 1131 ( + 27) |
Poland loss: expected
|
Wörthersee Stadion, Klagenfurt | |
Euro 2008 | 12-Jun-2008 20:45 | 1 | Group B |
Austria
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Prob to win: 50.72%
Game ELO: 950 -> 946 ( -4) |
1 - 1
|
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Prob to win: 49.28%
Game ELO: 925 -> 929 ( + 4) |
Poland draw: upset (loss expected)
|
Ernst-Happel-Stadion, Vienna | |
Euro 2008 | 08-Jun-2008 20:45 | 1 | Group B |
Germany
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Prob to win: 78.41%
Game ELO: 0 -> 1075 ( + 1075) |
2 - 0
|
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Prob to win: 21.59%
Game ELO: 0 -> 925 ( + 925) |
Poland loss: expected
|
Wörthersee Stadion, Klagenfurt | |
Germany 2006 | 20-Jun-2006 | 1 | Group A |
Costa Rica
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Prob to win: 28.36%
Game ELO: 1615 -> 1577 ( -38) |
1 - 2
|
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Prob to win: 71.64%
Game ELO: 1700 -> 1738 ( + 38) |
Poland win: expected
|
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|
Germany 2006 | 14-Jun-2006 | 1 | Group A |
Germany
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Prob to win: 91.14%
Game ELO: 1937 -> 1959 ( + 22) |
1 - 0
|
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Prob to win: 8.86%
Game ELO: 1722 -> 1700 ( -22) |
Poland loss: expected
|
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|
Germany 2006 | 09-Jun-2006 | 1 | Group A |
Poland
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Prob to win: 45.55%
Game ELO: 1822 -> 1722 ( -100) |
0 - 2
|
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Prob to win: 54.45%
Game ELO: 1699 -> 1799 ( + 100) |
Poland loss: expected
|
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|
Korea/ Japan 2002 | 14-Jun-2002 | 1 | Group D |
Poland
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Prob to win: 34.29%
Game ELO: 1591 -> 1716 ( + 125) |
3 - 1
|
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Prob to win: 65.71%
Game ELO: 1872 -> 1747 ( -125) |
Poland win: upset (loss expected)
|
Daejeon World Cup Stadium, Daejeon |
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Korea/ Japan 2002 | 10-Jun-2002 | 1 | Group D |
Portugal
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Prob to win: 74.58%
Game ELO: 1907 -> 1974 ( + 67) |
4 - 0
|
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Prob to win: 25.42%
Game ELO: 1658 -> 1591 ( -67) |
Poland loss: expected
|
Jeonju World Cup Stadium, Jeonju |
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Korea/ Japan 2002 | 04-Jun-2002 | 1 | Group D |
South Korea
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Prob to win: 77.91%
Game ELO: 1734 -> 1809 ( + 75) |
2 - 0
|
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Prob to win: 22.09%
Game ELO: 1733 -> 1658 ( -75) |
Poland loss: expected
|
Asiad Main Stadium, Busan |
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Mexico 1986 | 16-Jun-1986 | 2 | Top 16 |
Brazil
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Prob to win: 87.81%
Game ELO: 2023 -> 2086 ( + 63) |
4 - 0
|
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Prob to win: 12.19%
Game ELO: 1758 -> 1695 ( -63) |
Poland loss: expected
|
Guadalajara |
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Mexico 1986 | 11-Jun-1986 | 1 | Group F |
Poland
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Prob to win: 16.40%
Game ELO: 1847 -> 1758 ( -89) |
0 - 3
|
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Prob to win: 83.60%
Game ELO: 1885 -> 1974 ( + 89) |
Poland loss: expected
|
Estadio Universitario, Monterrey |
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Mexico 1986 | 07-Jun-1986 | 1 | Group F |
Poland
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Prob to win: 46.98%
Game ELO: 1783 -> 1847 ( + 64) |
1 - 0
|
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Prob to win: 53.02%
Game ELO: 1880 -> 1816 ( -64) |
Poland win: upset (loss expected)
|
Estadio Universitario, Monterrey |
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Mexico 1986 | 02-Jun-1986 | 1 | Group F |
Poland
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Prob to win: 40.48%
Game ELO: 1804 -> 1783 ( -21) |
0 - 0
|
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Prob to win: 59.52%
Game ELO: 1645 -> 1666 ( + 21) |
Poland draw: upset (loss expected)
|
Estadio Universitario, Monterrey |
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Spain 1982 | 10-Jul-1982 | 3 | 3rd Place |
Poland
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Prob to win: 67.00%
Game ELO: 1999 -> 2044 ( + 45) |
3 - 2
|
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Prob to win: 33.00%
Game ELO: 1966 -> 1921 ( -45) |
Poland win: expected
|
Alicante |
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Spain 1982 | 08-Jul-1982 | 3 | Semi Finals |
Poland
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Prob to win: 30.39%
Game ELO: 2091 -> 1999 ( -92) |
0 - 2
|
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Prob to win: 69.61%
Game ELO: 2013 -> 2105 ( + 92) |
Poland loss: expected
|
Barcelona |
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Spain 1982 | 04-Jul-1982 | 2 | Group A |
Soviet Union
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Prob to win: 46.55%
Game ELO: 2006 -> 2020 ( + 14) |
0 - 0
|
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Prob to win: 53.45%
Game ELO: 2105 -> 2091 ( -14) |
Poland draw: upset (win expected)
|
Camp Nou, Barcelona |
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Spain 1982 | 28-Jun-1982 | 2 | Group A |
Belgium
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Prob to win: 23.71%
Game ELO: 1960 -> 1878 ( -82) |
0 - 3
|
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Prob to win: 76.29%
Game ELO: 2023 -> 2105 ( + 82) |
Poland win: expected
|
Camp Nou, Barcelona |
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Spain 1982 | 22-Jun-1982 | 1 | Group 1 |
Poland
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Prob to win: 89.75%
Game ELO: 1915 -> 2023 ( + 108) |
5 - 1
|
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Prob to win: 10.25%
Game ELO: 1775 -> 1667 ( -108) |
Poland win: expected
|
Estadio de Riazor, A Coruña |
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Spain 1982 | 19-Jun-1982 | 1 | Group 1 |
Poland
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Prob to win: 86.98%
Game ELO: 1949 -> 1915 ( -34) |
0 - 0
|
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Prob to win: 13.02%
Game ELO: 1655 -> 1689 ( + 34) |
Poland draw: upset (win expected)
|
Estadio de Riazor, A Coruña |
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Spain 1982 | 14-Jun-1982 | 1 | Group 1 |
Italy
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Prob to win: 69.61%
Game ELO: 1892 -> 1902 ( + 10) |
0 - 0
|
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Prob to win: 30.39%
Game ELO: 1959 -> 1949 ( -10) |
Poland draw: upset (loss expected)
|
Estadio de Balaídos, Vigo |
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Argentina 1978 | 21-Jun-1978 | 2 | Group B |
Poland
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Prob to win: 16.55%
Game ELO: 1961 -> 1918 ( -43) |
1 - 3
|
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Prob to win: 83.45%
Game ELO: 2122 -> 2165 ( + 43) |
Poland loss: expected
|
Estadio Ciudad de Mendoza, Mendoza |
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Argentina 1978 | 18-Jun-1978 | 2 | Group B |
Peru
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Prob to win: 29.18%
Game ELO: 1889 -> 1843 ( -46) |
0 - 1
|
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Prob to win: 70.82%
Game ELO: 1915 -> 1961 ( + 46) |
Poland win: expected
|
Estadio Ciudad de Mendoza, Mendoza |
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Argentina 1978 | 14-Jun-1978 | 2 | Group B |
Argentina
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Prob to win: 84.90%
Game ELO: 1959 -> 2043 ( + 84) |
2 - 0
|
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Prob to win: 15.10%
Game ELO: 1999 -> 1915 ( -84) |
Poland loss: expected
|
Estadio Gigante de Arroyito, Rosario |
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Argentina 1978 | 10-Jun-1978 | 1 | Group 2 |
Poland
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Prob to win: 83.37%
Game ELO: 1978 -> 1999 ( + 21) |
3 - 1
|
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Prob to win: 16.63%
Game ELO: 1659 -> 1638 ( -21) |
Poland win: expected
|
Estadio Gigante de Arroyito, Rosario |
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Argentina 1978 | 06-Jun-1978 | 1 | Group 2 |
Poland
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Prob to win: 67.50%
Game ELO: 1951 -> 1978 ( + 27) |
1 - 0
|
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Prob to win: 32.50%
Game ELO: 1779 -> 1752 ( -27) |
Poland win: expected
|
Estadio Gigante de Arroyito, Rosario |
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Argentina 1978 | 01-Jun-1978 | 1 | Group 2 |
West Germany
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Prob to win: 60.90%
Game ELO: 2096 -> 2074 ( -22) |
0 - 0
|
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Prob to win: 39.10%
Game ELO: 1929 -> 1951 ( + 22) |
Poland draw: upset (loss expected)
|
Estadio Monumental, Buenos Aires |
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West Germany 1974 | 06-Jul-1974 | 3 | 3rd Place |
Brazil
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Prob to win: 33.64%
Game ELO: 2064 -> 2017 ( -47) |
0 - 1
|
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Prob to win: 66.36%
Game ELO: 2088 -> 2135 ( + 47) |
Poland win: expected
|
Olympiastadion, Munich |
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West Germany 1974 | 03-Jul-1974 | 2 | Group B |
Poland
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Prob to win: 33.13%
Game ELO: 2135 -> 2088 ( -47) |
0 - 1
|
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Prob to win: 66.87%
Game ELO: 2157 -> 2204 ( + 47) |
Poland loss: expected
|
Waldstadion, Frankfurt |
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West Germany 1974 | 30-Jun-1974 | 2 | Group B |
Poland
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Prob to win: 82.88%
Game ELO: 2106 -> 2135 ( + 29) |
2 - 1
|
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Prob to win: 17.12%
Game ELO: 1947 -> 1918 ( -29) |
Poland win: expected
|
Waldstadion, Frankfurt |
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West Germany 1974 | 26-Jun-1974 | 2 | Group B |
Sweden
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Prob to win: 23.19%
Game ELO: 1934 -> 1903 ( -31) |
0 - 1
|
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Prob to win: 76.81%
Game ELO: 2075 -> 2106 ( + 31) |
Poland win: expected
|
Neckarstadion, Stuttgart |
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West Germany 1974 | 23-Jun-1974 | 1 | Group 4 |
Poland
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Prob to win: 74.58%
Game ELO: 2031 -> 2075 ( + 44) |
2 - 1
|
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Prob to win: 25.42%
Game ELO: 1992 -> 1948 ( -44) |
Poland win: expected
|
Neckarstadion, Stuttgart |
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West Germany 1974 | 19-Jun-1974 | 1 | Group 4 |
Haiti
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Prob to win: 3.07%
Game ELO: 1595 -> 1564 ( -31) |
0 - 7
|
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Prob to win: 96.93%
Game ELO: 2000 -> 2031 ( + 31) |
Poland win: expected
|
Olympiastadion, Munich |
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West Germany 1974 | 15-Jun-1974 | 1 | Group 4 |
Poland
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Prob to win: 88.82%
Game ELO: 1959 -> 2000 ( + 41) |
3 - 2
|
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Prob to win: 11.18%
Game ELO: 1894 -> 1853 ( -41) |
Poland win: expected
|
Neckarstadion, Stuttgart |
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France 1938 | 05-Jun-1938 | 1 | Top 16 |
Brazil
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Prob to win: 87.99%
Game ELO: 1908 -> 1925 ( + 17) |
6 - 5 (aet)
|
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Prob to win: 12.01%
Game ELO: 1633 -> 1616 ( -17) |
Poland loss: expected
|
Strasbourg |
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