Sweden details

Sweden

Statistics:
  • Games: 76
  • Expected results: 43 (57.33%)
  • Unexpected results: 32 (42.67%)
  • Unknown games: 1
  • Record: 27 Won, 30 Lost, 18 Drawn, 1 Unknown
  • Last five games: LWWDL
  • Expected wins: 23 (30.67%)
  • Expected losses: 20 (26.67%)
  • Unexpected wins: 4 (5.33%)
  • Unexpected losses: 10 (13.33%)
  • Unexpected draws: 18 (24.00%)
  • Wins (+1pt for expected, +3 for unexpected): 35
  • Losses (-1pt for expected, -3 for unexpected): -50
  • Draws (-1pt if fav, +1pt if underdog): 18
  • Total: 3

Tournament Game Time Round Group Name Score Odds Analysis Location Coach
Euro 2020 29-Jun-2021 21:00 2 Top 16 Sweden
Prob to win: 64.54%
Game ELO: 1849 -> 1859 ( + 10)
1 - 2 (aet)
Ukraine
Prob to win: 35.46%
Game ELO: 1814 -> 1822 ( + 8)
Sweden loss: upset (win expected)
Hampden Park, Glasgow
Euro 2020 23-Jun-2021 18:00 1 Group E Sweden
Prob to win: 67.76%
Game ELO: 1903 -> 1934 ( + 31)
3 - 2
Poland
Prob to win: 32.24%
Game ELO: 1761 -> 1730 ( -31)
Sweden win: expected
Krestovsky Stadium, Saint Petersburg
Euro 2020 18-Jun-2021 15:00 1 Group E Sweden
Prob to win: 78.21%
Game ELO: 1873 -> 1903 ( + 30)
1 - 0
Slovakia
Prob to win: 21.79%
Game ELO: 1725 -> 1695 ( -30)
Sweden win: expected
Krestovsky Stadium, Saint Petersburg
Euro 2020 14-Jun-2021 21:00 1 Group E Spain
Prob to win: 76.39%
Game ELO: 2033 -> 2009 ( -24)
0 - 0
Sweden
Prob to win: 23.61%
Game ELO: 1849 -> 1873 ( + 24)
Sweden draw: upset (loss expected)
La Cartuja, Seville
Russia 2018 07-Jul-2018 18:00 2 Quarter Finals Sweden
Prob to win: 43.56%
Game ELO: 1795 -> 1920 ( + 125)
0 - 2
England
Prob to win: 56.44%
Game ELO: 1948 -> 2079 ( + 131)
Sweden loss: expected
Cosmos Arena, Samara
Russia 2018 03-Jul-2018 17:00 2 Top 16 Sweden
Prob to win: 56.16%
Game ELO: 1795 -> 1992 ( + 197)
1 - 0
Switzerland
Prob to win: 43.84%
Game ELO: 1890 -> 1877 ( -13)
Sweden win: expected
Krestovsky Stadium, Saint Petersburg
Russia 2018 27-Jun-2018 15:00 1 Group F Mexico
Prob to win: 32.12%
Game ELO: 1948 -> 1809 ( -139)
0 - 3
Sweden
Prob to win: 67.88%
Game ELO: 1806 -> 1945 ( + 139)
Sweden win: expected
Central Stadium, Yekaterinburg
Russia 2018 23-Jun-2018 16:00 1 Group F Germany
Prob to win: 45.98%
Game ELO: 1998 -> 2026 ( + 28)
2 - 1
Sweden
Prob to win: 54.02%
Game ELO: 1834 -> 1806 ( -28)
Sweden loss: upset (win expected)
Fisht Olympic Stadium, Sochi
Russia 2018 18-Jun-2018 13:00 1 Group F Sweden
Prob to win: 67.88%
Game ELO: 1795 -> 1834 ( + 39)
1 - 0
South Korea
Prob to win: 32.12%
Game ELO: 1714 -> 1675 ( -39)
Sweden win: expected
Nizhny Novgorod Stadium, Nizhny Novgorod
Euro 2016 22-Jun-2016 21:00 1 Group E Sweden
Prob to win: 21.79%
Game ELO: 1739 -> 1712 ( -27)
0 - 1
Belgium
Prob to win: 78.21%
Game ELO: 1916 -> 1943 ( + 27)
Sweden loss: expected
Stade de Nice, Nice
Euro 2016 17-Jun-2016 15:00 1 Group E Italy
Prob to win: 80.11%
Game ELO: 1960 -> 1984 ( + 24)
1 - 0
Sweden
Prob to win: 19.89%
Game ELO: 1763 -> 1739 ( -24)
Sweden loss: expected
Stadium Municipal, Toulouse
Euro 2016 13-Jun-2016 18:00 1 Group E Republic of Ireland
Prob to win: 54.59%
Game ELO: 1758 -> 1759 ( + 1)
1 - 1
Sweden
Prob to win: 45.41%
Game ELO: 1764 -> 1763 ( -1)
Sweden draw: upset (loss expected)
Stade de France, Saint-Denis
Euro 2012 19-Jun-2012 21:45 1 Group D Sweden
Prob to win: 61.18%
Game ELO: 907 -> 1018 ( + 111)
2 - 0
France
Prob to win: 38.82%
Game ELO: 1086 -> 975 ( -111)
Sweden win: expected
Olympic Stadium, Kyiv
Euro 2012 15-Jun-2012 22:00 1 Group D Sweden
Prob to win: 52.73%
Game ELO: 950 -> 907 ( -43)
2 - 3
England
Prob to win: 47.27%
Game ELO: 1000 -> 1043 ( + 43)
Sweden loss: upset (win expected)
Olympic Stadium, Kyiv
Euro 2012 11-Jun-2012 21:45 1 Group D Ukraine
Prob to win: 36.93%
Game ELO: 0 -> 1050 ( + 1050)
2 - 1
Sweden
Prob to win: 63.07%
Game ELO: 0 -> 950 ( + 950)
Sweden loss: upset (win expected)
Olympic Stadium, Kyiv
Euro 2008 18-Jun-2008 20:45 1 Group D Russia
Prob to win: 67.88%
Game ELO: 954 -> 1045 ( + 91)
2 - 0
Sweden
Prob to win: 32.12%
Game ELO: 1029 -> 938 ( -91)
Sweden loss: expected
Tivoli-Neu, Innsbruck
Euro 2008 14-Jun-2008 18:00 1 Group D Sweden
Prob to win: 9.93%
Game ELO: 1075 -> 1029 ( -46)
1 - 2
Spain
Prob to win: 90.07%
Game ELO: 1100 -> 1146 ( + 46)
Sweden loss: expected
Tivoli-Neu, Innsbruck
Euro 2008 10-Jun-2008 20:45 1 Group D Greece
Prob to win: 38.14%
Game ELO: 0 -> 925 ( + 925)
0 - 2
Sweden
Prob to win: 61.86%
Game ELO: 0 -> 1075 ( + 1075)
Sweden win: expected
Stadion Wals-Siezenheim, Salzburg
Germany 2006 24-Jun-2006 2 Top 16 Germany
Prob to win: 84.98%
Game ELO: 2033 -> 2078 ( + 45)
2 - 0
Sweden
Prob to win: 15.02%
Game ELO: 1887 -> 1842 ( -45)
Sweden loss: expected
Munich Lars Lagerbäck
Germany 2006 20-Jun-2006 1 Group B Sweden
Prob to win: 34.94%
Game ELO: 1867 -> 1887 ( + 20)
2 - 2
England
Prob to win: 65.06%
Game ELO: 2012 -> 1992 ( -20)
Sweden draw: upset (loss expected)
Lars Lagerbäck
Germany 2006 15-Jun-2006 1 Group B Sweden
Prob to win: 61.18%
Game ELO: 1827 -> 1867 ( + 40)
1 - 0
Paraguay
Prob to win: 38.82%
Game ELO: 1754 -> 1714 ( -40)
Sweden win: expected
Lars Lagerbäck
Germany 2006 10-Jun-2006 1 Group B Trinidad and Tobago
Prob to win: 14.81%
Game ELO: 1567 -> 1601 ( + 34)
0 - 0
Sweden
Prob to win: 85.19%
Game ELO: 1861 -> 1827 ( -34)
Sweden draw: upset (win expected)
Lars Lagerbäck
Euro 2004 26-Jun-2004 19:45 2 Quarter Finals Sweden
Prob to win: 50.58%
Game ELO: 0 -> 1075 ( + 1075)
0 - 0 (aet)
4 - 5 (pen)
Netherlands
Prob to win: 49.42%
Game ELO: 0 -> 1118 ( + 1118)
Sweden loss: upset (win expected)
Estádio Algarve, Faro/Loulé
Euro 2004 22-Jun-2004 19:45 1 Group C Denmark
Prob to win: 36.26%
Game ELO: 1040 -> 1056 ( + 16)
2 - 2
Sweden
Prob to win: 63.74%
Game ELO: 1152 -> 1136 ( -16)
Sweden draw: upset (win expected)
Estádio do Bessa, Porto
Euro 2004 18-Jun-2004 19:45 1 Group C Italy
Prob to win: 45.41%
Game ELO: 1000 -> 1023 ( + 23)
1 - 1
Sweden
Prob to win: 54.59%
Game ELO: 1175 -> 1152 ( -23)
Sweden draw: upset (win expected)
Estádio do Dragão, Porto
Euro 2004 14-Jun-2004 19:45 1 Group C Sweden
Prob to win: 85.63%
Game ELO: 0 -> 1175 ( + 1175)
5 - 0
Bulgaria
Prob to win: 14.37%
Game ELO: 0 -> 825 ( + 825)
Sweden win: expected
Estádio José Alvalade, Lisbon
Korea/ Japan 2002 16-Jun-2002 2 Top 16 Sweden
Prob to win: 53.88%
Game ELO: 1915 -> 1850 ( -65)
1 - 2 (aet)
Senegal
Prob to win: 46.12%
Game ELO: 1810 -> 1875 ( + 65)
Sweden loss: upset (win expected)
Oita Lars Lagerbäck and Tommy Söderberg
Korea/ Japan 2002 12-Jun-2002 1 Group F Sweden
Prob to win: 34.55%
Game ELO: 1906 -> 1915 ( + 9)
1 - 1
Argentina
Prob to win: 65.45%
Game ELO: 1970 -> 1961 ( -9)
Sweden draw: upset (loss expected)
Miyagi Stadium, Miyagi Lars Lagerbäck and Tommy Söderberg
Korea/ Japan 2002 07-Jun-2002 1 Group F Sweden
Prob to win: 64.14%
Game ELO: 1873 -> 1906 ( + 33)
2 - 1
Nigeria
Prob to win: 35.86%
Game ELO: 1750 -> 1717 ( -33)
Sweden win: expected
Kobe Wing Stadium, Kobe Lars Lagerbäck and Tommy Söderberg
Korea/ Japan 2002 02-Jun-2002 1 Group F England
Prob to win: 71.99%
Game ELO: 1925 -> 1916 ( -9)
1 - 1
Sweden
Prob to win: 28.01%
Game ELO: 1864 -> 1873 ( + 9)
Sweden draw: upset (loss expected)
Saitama Stadium, Saitama Lars Lagerbäck and Tommy Söderberg
Euro 2000 19-Jun-2000 20:45 1 Group B Italy
Prob to win: 84.90%
Game ELO: 1125 -> 1152 ( + 27)
2 - 1
Sweden
Prob to win: 15.10%
Game ELO: 950 -> 923 ( -27)
Sweden loss: expected
Philips Stadion, Eindhoven
Euro 2000 15-Jun-2000 20:45 1 Group B Sweden
Prob to win: 41.87%
Game ELO: 950 -> 950 ( + 0)
0 - 0
Turkey
Prob to win: 58.13%
Game ELO: 950 -> 950 ( + 0)
Sweden draw: upset (loss expected)
Philips Stadion, Eindhoven
Euro 2000 10-Jun-2000 20:45 1 Group B Belgium
Prob to win: 45.98%
Game ELO: 0 -> 1050 ( + 1050)
2 - 1
Sweden
Prob to win: 54.02%
Game ELO: 0 -> 950 ( + 950)
Sweden loss: upset (win expected)
King Baudouin Stadium, Brussels
USA 1994 16-Jul-1994 2 3rd Place Sweden
Prob to win: 88.29%
Game ELO: 1988 -> 2169 ( + 181)
4 - 0
Bulgaria
Prob to win: 11.71%
Game ELO: 1999 -> 1818 ( -181)
Sweden win: expected
Pasadena Tommy Svensson
USA 1994 13-Jul-1994 2 Semi Finals Sweden
Prob to win: 49.14%
Game ELO: 2029 -> 1988 ( -41)
0 - 1
Brazil
Prob to win: 50.86%
Game ELO: 2089 -> 2130 ( + 41)
Sweden loss: expected
Pasadena Tommy Svensson
USA 1994 10-Jul-1994 2 Quarter Finals Romania
Prob to win: 14.88%
Game ELO: 1903 -> 1866 ( -37)
2 - 2 (aet)
4 - 5 (pen)
Sweden
Prob to win: 85.12%
Game ELO: 1992 -> 2029 ( + 37)
Sweden win: expected
Stanford Tommy Svensson
USA 1994 03-Jul-1994 2 Top 16 Saudi Arabia
Prob to win: 7.09%
Game ELO: 1759 -> 1722 ( -37)
1 - 3
Sweden
Prob to win: 92.91%
Game ELO: 1955 -> 1992 ( + 37)
Sweden win: expected
Dallas Tommy Svensson
USA 1994 28-Jun-1994 1 Group B Brazil
Prob to win: 50.86%
Game ELO: 2047 -> 2032 ( -15)
1 - 1
Sweden
Prob to win: 49.14%
Game ELO: 1940 -> 1955 ( + 15)
Sweden draw: upset (loss expected)
Pontiac Silverdome, Pontiac Tommy Svensson
USA 1994 24-Jun-1994 1 Group B Sweden
Prob to win: 83.13%
Game ELO: 1879 -> 1940 ( + 61)
3 - 1
Russia
Prob to win: 16.87%
Game ELO: 1811 -> 1750 ( -61)
Sweden win: expected
Pontiac Silverdome, Pontiac Tommy Svensson
USA 1994 19-Jun-1994 1 Group B Cameroon
Prob to win: 2.64%
Game ELO: 1685 -> 1713 ( + 28)
2 - 2
Sweden
Prob to win: 97.36%
Game ELO: 1907 -> 1879 ( -28)
Sweden draw: upset (win expected)
Rose Bowl, Pasadena Tommy Svensson
Euro 1992 21-Jun-1992 20:15 2 Semi Finals Sweden
Prob to win: 57.01%
Game ELO: 0 -> 1028 ( + 1028)
2 - 3
Germany
Prob to win: 42.99%
Game ELO: 0 -> 1049 ( + 1049)
Sweden loss: upset (win expected)
Råsunda Stadium, Solna
Euro 1992 17-Jun-1992 20:15 1 Group A Sweden
Prob to win: 60.08%
Game ELO: 1050 -> 1093 ( + 43)
2 - 1
England
Prob to win: 39.92%
Game ELO: 1000 -> 957 ( -43)
Sweden win: expected
Råsunda Stadium, Solna
Euro 1992 14-Jun-1992 20:15 1 Group A Sweden
Prob to win: 34.03%
Game ELO: 1000 -> 1050 ( + 50)
1 - 0
Denmark
Prob to win: 65.97%
Game ELO: 1000 -> 950 ( -50)
Sweden win: upset (loss expected)
Råsunda Stadium, Solna
Euro 1992 10-Jun-1992 20:15 1 Group A Sweden
Prob to win: 61.99%
Game ELO: 0 -> 1000 ( + 1000)
1 - 1
France
Prob to win: 38.01%
Game ELO: 0 -> 1000 ( + 1000)
Sweden draw: upset (win expected)
Råsunda Stadium, Solna
Italy 1990 20-Jun-1990 1 Group C Sweden
Prob to win: 61.18%
Game ELO: 1829 -> 1757 ( -72)
1 - 2
Costa Rica
Prob to win: 38.82%
Game ELO: 1668 -> 1740 ( + 72)
Sweden loss: upset (win expected)
Stadio Luigi Ferraris, Genoa Olle Nordin
Italy 1990 16-Jun-1990 1 Group C Sweden
Prob to win: 53.02%
Game ELO: 1909 -> 1829 ( -80)
1 - 2
Scotland
Prob to win: 46.98%
Game ELO: 1671 -> 1751 ( + 80)
Sweden loss: upset (win expected)
Stadio Luigi Ferraris, Genoa Olle Nordin
Italy 1990 10-Jun-1990 1 Group C Brazil
Prob to win: 78.50%
Game ELO: 1990 -> 2035 ( + 45)
2 - 1
Sweden
Prob to win: 21.50%
Game ELO: 1954 -> 1909 ( -45)
Sweden loss: expected
Stadio Delle Alpi, Turin Olle Nordin
Argentina 1978 11-Jun-1978 1 Group 3 Spain
Prob to win: 75.12%
Game ELO: 1915 -> 1948 ( + 33)
1 - 0
Sweden
Prob to win: 24.88%
Game ELO: 1789 -> 1756 ( -33)
Sweden loss: expected
Estadio José Amalfitani, Buenos Aires Georg Ericson
Argentina 1978 07-Jun-1978 1 Group 3 Austria
Prob to win: 64.14%
Game ELO: 1924 -> 1960 ( + 36)
1 - 0
Sweden
Prob to win: 35.86%
Game ELO: 1825 -> 1789 ( -36)
Sweden loss: expected
Estadio José Amalfitani, Buenos Aires Georg Ericson
Argentina 1978 03-Jun-1978 1 Group 3 Brazil
Prob to win: 92.76%
Game ELO: 2078 -> 2044 ( -34)
1 - 1
Sweden
Prob to win: 7.24%
Game ELO: 1791 -> 1825 ( + 34)
Sweden draw: upset (loss expected)
Estadio José Maria Minella, Mar del Plata Georg Ericson
West Germany 1974 03-Jul-1974 2 Group B Sweden
Prob to win: 59.39%
Game ELO: 1870 -> 1927 ( + 57)
2 - 1
Yugoslavia
Prob to win: 40.61%
Game ELO: 1918 -> 1861 ( -57)
Sweden win: expected
Rheinstadion, Düsseldorf Georg Ericson
West Germany 1974 30-Jun-1974 2 Group B West Germany
Prob to win: 86.98%
Game ELO: 2124 -> 2157 ( + 33)
4 - 2
Sweden
Prob to win: 13.02%
Game ELO: 1903 -> 1870 ( -33)
Sweden loss: expected
Rheinstadion, Düsseldorf Georg Ericson
West Germany 1974 26-Jun-1974 2 Group B Sweden
Prob to win: 23.19%
Game ELO: 1934 -> 1903 ( -31)
0 - 1
Poland
Prob to win: 76.81%
Game ELO: 2075 -> 2106 ( + 31)
Sweden loss: expected
Neckarstadion, Stuttgart Georg Ericson
West Germany 1974 23-Jun-1974 1 Group 3 Sweden
Prob to win: 82.39%
Game ELO: 1877 -> 1934 ( + 57)
3 - 0
Uruguay
Prob to win: 17.61%
Game ELO: 1716 -> 1659 ( -57)
Sweden win: expected
Rheinstadion, Düsseldorf Georg Ericson
West Germany 1974 19-Jun-1974 1 Group 3 Netherlands
Prob to win: 80.65%
Game ELO: 1896 -> 1893 ( -3)
0 - 0
Sweden
Prob to win: 19.35%
Game ELO: 1874 -> 1877 ( + 3)
Sweden draw: upset (loss expected)
Westfalenstadion, Dortmund Georg Ericson
West Germany 1974 15-Jun-1974 1 Group 3 Sweden
Prob to win: 75.34%
Game ELO: 1883 -> 1874 ( -9)
0 - 0
Bulgaria
Prob to win: 24.66%
Game ELO: 1819 -> 1828 ( + 9)
Sweden draw: upset (win expected)
Rheinstadion, Düsseldorf Georg Ericson
Mexico 1970 10-Jun-1970 1 Group 2 Sweden
Prob to win: 49.28%
Game ELO: 1790 -> 1856 ( + 66)
1 - 0
Uruguay
Prob to win: 50.72%
Game ELO: 1908 -> 1842 ( -66)
Sweden win: upset (loss expected)
Estadio Cuauhtémoc, Puebla Orvar Bergmark
Mexico 1970 07-Jun-1970 1 Group 2 Israel
Prob to win: 28.24%
Game ELO: 1631 -> 1655 ( + 24)
1 - 1
Sweden
Prob to win: 71.76%
Game ELO: 1814 -> 1790 ( -24)
Sweden draw: upset (win expected)
Estadio Luis Dosal, Toluca Orvar Bergmark
Mexico 1970 03-Jun-1970 1 Group 2 Italy
Prob to win: 73.14%
Game ELO: 2006 -> 2034 ( + 28)
1 - 0
Sweden
Prob to win: 26.86%
Game ELO: 1842 -> 1814 ( -28)
Sweden loss: expected
Estadio Luis Dosal, Toluca Orvar Bergmark
Sweden 1958 29-Jun-1958 2 Final Sweden
Prob to win: 18.90%
Game ELO: 2089 -> 2022 ( -67)
2 - 5
Brazil
Prob to win: 81.10%
Game ELO: 2208 -> 2275 ( + 67)
Sweden loss: expected
Solna  George Raynor
Sweden 1958 24-Jun-1958 2 Semi Finals West Germany
Prob to win: 26.98%
Game ELO: 2004 -> 1932 ( -72)
1 - 3
Sweden
Prob to win: 73.02%
Game ELO: 2017 -> 2089 ( + 72)
Sweden win: expected
Gothenburg  George Raynor
Sweden 1958 19-Jun-1958 2 Quarter Finals Sweden
Prob to win: 69.25%
Game ELO: 1936 -> 2017 ( + 81)
2 - 0
Soviet Union
Prob to win: 30.75%
Game ELO: 1962 -> 1881 ( -81)
Sweden win: expected
Solna  George Raynor
Sweden 1958 15-Jun-1958 1 Group 3 Sweden
Prob to win: 74.80%
Game ELO: 1964 -> 1936 ( -28)
0 - 0
Wales
Prob to win: 25.20%
Game ELO: 1742 -> 1770 ( + 28)
Sweden draw: upset (win expected)
Råsunda Stadium, Solna  George Raynor
Sweden 1958 12-Jun-1958 1 Group 3 Sweden
Prob to win: 60.77%
Game ELO: 1894 -> 1964 ( + 70)
2 - 1
Hungary
Prob to win: 39.23%
Game ELO: 2038 -> 1968 ( -70)
Sweden win: expected
Råsunda Stadium, Solna  George Raynor
Sweden 1958 08-Jun-1958 1 Group 3 Sweden
Prob to win: 90.32%
Game ELO: 1800 -> 1894 ( + 94)
3 - 0
Mexico
Prob to win: 9.68%
Game ELO: 1778 -> 1684 ( -94)
Sweden win: expected
Råsunda Stadium, Solna  George Raynor
Brazil 1950 16-Jul-1950 2 Group A Sweden
Prob to win: 63.61%
Game ELO: 1812 -> 1906 ( + 94)
3 - 1
Spain
Prob to win: 36.39%
Game ELO: 1903 -> 1809 ( -94)
Sweden win: expected
Estádio do Pacaembu, São Paulo  George Raynor
Brazil 1950 13-Jul-1950 2 Group A Uruguay
Prob to win: 58.55%
Game ELO: 1817 -> 1874 ( + 57)
3 - 2
Sweden
Prob to win: 41.45%
Game ELO: 1869 -> 1812 ( -57)
Sweden loss: expected
Estádio do Pacaembu, São Paulo  George Raynor
Brazil 1950 09-Jul-1950 2 Group A Brazil
Prob to win: 84.07%
Game ELO: 2089 -> 2221 ( + 132)
7 - 1
Sweden
Prob to win: 15.93%
Game ELO: 2001 -> 1869 ( -132)
Sweden loss: expected
Estádio do Maracanã, Rio de Janeiro  George Raynor
Brazil 1950 29-Jun-1950 1 Group 3 Sweden
Prob to win: 61.31%
Game ELO: 2021 -> 2001 ( -20)
2 - 2
Paraguay
Prob to win: 38.69%
Game ELO: 1877 -> 1897 ( + 20)
Sweden draw: upset (win expected)
Estádio Durival Britto, Curitiba  George Raynor
Brazil 1950 25-Jun-1950 1 Group 3 Sweden
Prob to win: 38.41%
Game ELO: 1972 -> 2021 ( + 49)
3 - 2
Italy
Prob to win: 61.59%
Game ELO: 1966 -> 1917 ( -49)
Sweden win: upset (loss expected)
Estádio do Pacaembu, São Paulo  George Raynor
France 1938 19-Jun-1938 1 3rd Place Brazil
Prob to win: 83.60%
Game ELO: 1929 -> 1962 ( + 33)
4 - 2
Sweden
Prob to win: 16.40%
Game ELO: 1712 -> 1679 ( -33)
Sweden loss: expected
Bordeaux  József Nagy
France 1938 16-Jun-1938 1 Semi Finals Hungary
Prob to win: 87.11%
Game ELO: 1989 -> 2078 ( + 89)
5 - 1
Sweden
Prob to win: 12.89%
Game ELO: 1801 -> 1712 ( -89)
Sweden loss: expected
Paris  József Nagy
France 1938 12-Jun-1938 1 Quarter Finals Sweden
Prob to win: 78.89%
Game ELO: 1652 -> 1801 ( + 149)
8 - 0
Cuba
Prob to win: 21.11%
Game ELO: 1599 -> 1450 ( -149)
Sweden win: expected
Antibes  József Nagy
France 1938 05-Jun-1938 1 Top 16 Sweden
0 -
Austria
Lyon  József Nagy
Italy 1934 31-May-1934 1 Quarter Finals Germany
Prob to win: 66.36%
Game ELO: 1837 -> 1884 ( + 47)
2 - 1
Sweden
Prob to win: 33.64%
Game ELO: 1818 -> 1771 ( -47)
Sweden loss: expected
Milan  József Nagy
Italy 1934 27-May-1934 1 Top 16 Sweden
Prob to win: 23.30%
Game ELO: 1731 -> 1818 ( + 87)
3 - 2
Argentina
Prob to win: 76.70%
Game ELO: 2065 -> 1978 ( -87)
Sweden win: upset (loss expected)
Bologna  József Nagy