Portugal details

Portugal

Statistics:
  • Games: 79
  • Expected results: 33 (52.38%)
  • Unexpected results: 30 (47.62%)
  • Unknown games: 16
  • Record: 36 Won, 17 Lost, 10 Drawn, 16 Unknown
  • Last five games: LWLWW
  • Expected wins: 25 (39.68%)
  • Expected losses: 8 (12.70%)
  • Unexpected wins: 11 (17.46%)
  • Unexpected losses: 9 (14.29%)
  • Unexpected draws: 10 (15.87%)
  • Wins (+1pt for expected, +3 for unexpected): 58
  • Losses (-1pt for expected, -3 for unexpected): -35
  • Draws (-1pt if fav, +1pt if underdog): 10
  • Total: 33

Tournament Game Time Round Group Name Score Odds Analysis Location Coach
Euro 2024 5-Jul-2024 21:00 2 Quarter Finals
Prob to win: 33.51%
Game ELO: 1959
-> 1925 (-34)
0 - 0 (aet)
3 - 5 (pen)
Prob to win: 66.49%
Game ELO: 2078
-> 2112 (+34)
Portugal loss: expected
Volksparkstadion, Hamburg
Euro 2024 1-Jul-2024 18:00 2 Top 16
Prob to win: 70.22%
Game ELO: 1929
-> 1959 (+30)
0 - 0 (aet)
3 - 0 (pen)
Prob to win: 29.78%
Game ELO: 1780
-> 1750 (-30)
Portugal win: expected
Düsseldorf Arena, Düsseldorf
Euro 2024 26-Jun-2024 21:00 1 Group F
Prob to win: 7.24%
Game ELO: 1629
-> 1768 (+139)
2 - 0
Prob to win: 90.59%
Game ELO: 2068
-> 1929 (-139)
Portugal loss: upset (win expected)
Arena AufSchalke, Gelsenkirchen
Euro 2024 22-Jun-2024 18:00 1 Group F
Prob to win: 20.80%
Game ELO: 1806
-> 1762 (-44)
0 - 3
Prob to win: 72.96%
Game ELO: 2024
-> 2068 (+44)
Portugal win: expected
BVB Stadion Dortmund, Dortmund
Euro 2024 18-Jun-2024 21:00 1 Group F
Prob to win: 73.86%
Game ELO: 2003
-> 2024 (+21)
2 - 1
Prob to win: 20.11%
Game ELO: 1777
-> 1756 (-21)
Portugal win: expected
Leipzig Stadium, Leipzig
Qatar 2022 10-Dec-2022 18:00 2 Quarter Finals
Prob to win: 28.12%
Game ELO: 1981
-> 2053 (+72)
1 - 0
Prob to win: 71.88%
Game ELO: 2144
-> 2072 (-72)
Portugal loss: upset (win expected)
Al Thumama Stadium, Doha
Qatar 2022 6-Dec-2022 22:00 2 Top 16
Prob to win: 52.30%
Game ELO: 1977
-> 2144 (+167)
6 - 1
Prob to win: 47.70%
Game ELO: 1961
-> 1794 (-167)
Portugal win: expected
Lusail Iconic Stadium, Lusail
Qatar 2022 2-Dec-2022 18:00 1 Group H
Prob to win: 11.82%
Game ELO: 1723
-> 1811 (+88)
2 - 1
Prob to win: 84.64%
Game ELO: 2065
-> 1977 (-88)
Portugal loss: upset (win expected)
Education City Stadium, Al Rayyan
Qatar 2022 28-Nov-2022 22:00 1 Group H
Prob to win: 56.92%
Game ELO: 2010
-> 2065 (+55)
2 - 0
Prob to win: 33.14%
Game ELO: 1916
-> 1861 (-55)
Portugal win: expected
Lusail Iconic Stadium, Lusail
Qatar 2022 24-Nov-2022 19:00 1 Group H
Prob to win: 91.75%
Game ELO: 2004
-> 2010 (+6)
3 - 2
Prob to win: 6.35%
Game ELO: 1540
-> 1534 (-6)
Portugal win: expected
Stadium 974, Doha
Euro 2020 27-Jun-2021 21:00 2 Top 16
Prob to win: 58.69%
Game ELO: 2100
-> 2182 (+82)
1 - 0
Prob to win: 41.31%
Game ELO: 2039
-> 1951 (-88)
Portugal loss: expected
La Cartuja, Seville
Euro 2020 23-Jun-2021 21:00 1 Group F
Prob to win: 30.88%
Game ELO: 1961
-> 1977 (+16)
2 - 2
Prob to win: 59.86%
Game ELO: 2076
-> 2060 (-16)
Portugal draw: upset (loss expected)
Puskás Aréna, Budapest
Euro 2020 19-Jun-2021 18:00 1 Group F
Prob to win: 66.15%
Game ELO: 2069
-> 1961 (-108)
2 - 4
Prob to win: 26.04%
Game ELO: 1907
-> 2015 (+108)
Portugal loss: upset (win expected)
Allianz Arena, Munich
Euro 2020 15-Jun-2021 18:00 1 Group F
Prob to win: 14.58%
Game ELO: 1741
-> 1711 (-30)
0 - 3
Prob to win: 81.05%
Game ELO: 2039
-> 2069 (+30)
Portugal win: expected
Puskás Aréna, Budapest
Russia 2018 30-Jun-2018 21:00 2 Top 16
Prob to win: 54.16%
Game ELO: 2000
-> 2046 (+46)
2 - 1
Prob to win: 45.84%
Game ELO: 1971
-> 1925 (-46)
Portugal loss: expected
Fisht Olympic Stadium, Sochi
Russia 2018 25-Jun-2018 19:00 1 Group B
Prob to win: 23.43%
Game ELO: 1807
-> 1832 (+25)
1 - 1
Prob to win: 69.54%
Game ELO: 1996
-> 1971 (-25)
Portugal draw: upset (win expected)
Mordovia Arena, Saransk
Russia 2018 20-Jun-2018 13:00 1 Group B
Prob to win: 80.24%
Game ELO: 1980
-> 1996 (+16)
1 - 0
Prob to win: 15.20%
Game ELO: 1691
-> 1675 (-16)
Portugal win: expected
Luzhniki Stadium, Moscow
Russia 2018 15-Jun-2018 19:00 1 Group B
Prob to win: 35.32%
Game ELO: 1970
-> 1980 (+10)
3 - 3
Prob to win: 54.08%
Game ELO: 2044
-> 2034 (-10)
Portugal draw: upset (loss expected)
Fisht Olympic Stadium, Sochi
Euro 2016 10-Jul-2016 21:00 2 Final
Prob to win: 35.73%
Game ELO: 2055
-> 2119 (+64)
1 - 0 (aet)
Prob to win: 64.27%
Game ELO: 2157
-> 2093 (-64)
Portugal win: upset (loss expected)
Stade de France, Saint-Denis
Euro 2016 6-Jul-2016 21:00 2 Semi Finals
Prob to win: 54.31%
Game ELO: 1986
-> 2055 (+69)
2 - 0
Prob to win: 45.69%
Game ELO: 1956
-> 1887 (-69)
Portugal win: expected
Parc Olympique Lyonnais, Décines-Charpieu
Euro 2016 30-Jun-2016 21:00 2 Quarter Finals
Prob to win: 48.71%
Game ELO: 1904
-> 1831 (-73)
1 - 1 (aet)
3 - 5 (pen)
Prob to win: 51.29%
Game ELO: 1913
-> 1986 (+73)
Portugal win: expected
Stade Vélodrome, Marseille
Euro 2016 25-Jun-2016 21:00 2 Top 16
Prob to win: 60.63%
Game ELO: 1927
-> 1866 (-61)
0 - 1 (aet)
Prob to win: 39.37%
Game ELO: 1852
-> 1913 (+61)
Portugal win: upset (loss expected)
Stade Bollaert-Delelis, Lens
Euro 2016 22-Jun-2016 18:00 1 Group F
Prob to win: 35.10%
Game ELO: 1787
-> 1798 (+11)
3 - 3
Prob to win: 54.37%
Game ELO: 1863
-> 1852 (-11)
Portugal draw: upset (win expected)
Parc Olympique Lyonnais, Décines-Charpieu
Euro 2016 18-Jun-2016 21:00 1 Group F
Prob to win: 71.34%
Game ELO: 1889
-> 1863 (-26)
0 - 0
Prob to win: 22.05%
Game ELO: 1685
-> 1711 (+26)
Portugal draw: upset (win expected)
Parc des Princes, Paris
Euro 2016 14-Jun-2016 21:00 1 Group F
Prob to win: 64.72%
Game ELO: 1909
-> 1889 (-20)
1 - 1
Prob to win: 27.14%
Game ELO: 1758
-> 1778 (+20)
Portugal draw: upset (win expected)
Stade Geoffroy-Guichard, Saint-Étienne
Brazil 2014 26-Jun-2014 1 Group G
Prob to win: 59.72%
Game ELO: 1839
-> 1873 (+34)
2 - 1
Prob to win: 30.98%
Game ELO: 1725
-> 1691 (-34)
Portugal win: expected
Brasilia
Brazil 2014 22-Jun-2014 1 Group G
USA
Prob to win: 51.64%
Game ELO: 1888
-> 1880 (-8)
2 - 2
Prob to win: 37.20%
Game ELO: 1831
-> 1839 (+8)
Portugal draw: upset (loss expected)
Manaus
Brazil 2014 16-Jun-2014 1 Group G
Prob to win: 61.92%
Game ELO: 2073
-> 2185 (+112)
4 - 0
Prob to win: 29.30%
Game ELO: 1943
-> 1831 (-112)
Portugal loss: expected
Salvador
Euro 2012 27-Jun-2012 21:45 2 Semi Finals
Game ELO:
-> 1046 ()
0 - 0 (aet)
2 - 4 (pen)
Game ELO:
-> 1264 ()
Donbass Arena, Donetsk
Euro 2012 21-Jun-2012 20:45 2 Quarter Finals
Game ELO:
-> 975 ()
0 - 1
Game ELO:
-> 1096 ()
National Stadium, Warsaw
Euro 2012 17-Jun-2012 21:45 1 Group B
Prob to win: 57.77%
Game ELO: 1014
-> 1050 (+36)
2 - 1
Prob to win: 32.49%
Game ELO: 914
-> 878 (-36)
Portugal win: expected
Metalist Stadium, Kharkiv
Euro 2012 13-Jun-2012 19:00 1 Group B
Prob to win: 57.77%
Game ELO: 1050
-> 986 (-64)
2 - 3
Prob to win: 32.49%
Game ELO: 950
-> 1014 (+64)
Portugal win: upset (loss expected)
Arena Lviv, Lviv
Euro 2012 9-Jun-2012 21:45 1 Group B
Game ELO:
-> 1050 ()
1 - 0
Game ELO:
-> 950 ()
Arena Lviv, Lviv
South Africa 2010 29-Jun-2010 20:30 2 Top 16
Prob to win: 70.10%
Game ELO: 2081
-> 2111 (+30)
1 - 0
Prob to win: 29.90%
Game ELO: 1933
-> 1903 (-30)
Portugal loss: expected
Cape Town Carlos Queiroz
South Africa 2010 25-Jun-2010 16:00 1 Group G
Prob to win: 20.02%
Game ELO: 1904
-> 1933 (+29)
0 - 0
Prob to win: 73.97%
Game ELO: 2131
-> 2102 (-29)
Portugal draw: upset (loss expected)
Durban Carlos Queiroz
South Africa 2010 21-Jun-2010 13:30 1 Group G
Prob to win: 83.08%
Game ELO: 1857
-> 1904 (+47)
7 - 0
Prob to win: 13.02%
Game ELO: 1535
-> 1488 (-47)
Portugal win: expected
Cape Town Carlos Queiroz
South Africa 2010 15-Jun-2010 16:00 1 Group G
Prob to win: 28.67%
Game ELO: 1740
-> 1759 (+19)
0 - 0
Prob to win: 62.73%
Game ELO: 1876
-> 1857 (-19)
Portugal draw: upset (win expected)
Nelson Mandela Bay Carlos Queiroz
Euro 2008 19-Jun-2008 20:45 2 Quarter Finals
Game ELO:
-> 979 ()
2 - 3
Game ELO:
-> 1105 ()
St. Jakob-Park, Basel
Euro 2008 15-Jun-2008 20:45 1 Group A
Prob to win: 18.21%
Game ELO: 896
-> 1017 (+121)
2 - 0
Prob to win: 76.33%
Game ELO: 1145
-> 1024 (-121)
Portugal loss: upset (win expected)
St. Jakob-Park, Basel
Euro 2008 11-Jun-2008 18:00 1 Group A
Prob to win: 40.74%
Game ELO: 1050
-> 980 (-70)
1 - 3
Prob to win: 47.04%
Game ELO: 1075
-> 1145 (+70)
Portugal win: upset (loss expected)
Stade de Genève, Geneva
Euro 2008 7-Jun-2008 20:45 1 Group A
Game ELO:
-> 1075 ()
2 - 0
Game ELO:
-> 925 ()
Stade de Genève, Geneva
Germany 2006 8-Jul-2006 2 3rd Place
Prob to win: 60.63%
Game ELO: 2040
-> 2099 (+59)
3 - 1
Prob to win: 39.37%
Game ELO: 1965
-> 1906 (-59)
Portugal loss: expected
Stuttgart Luiz Felipe Scolari
Germany 2006 5-Jul-2006 2 Semi Finals
Prob to win: 35.86%
Game ELO: 2001
-> 1965 (-36)
0 - 1
Prob to win: 64.14%
Game ELO: 2102
-> 2138 (+36)
Portugal loss: expected
Munich Luiz Felipe Scolari
Germany 2006 1-Jul-2006 2 Quarter Finals
Prob to win: 44.13%
Game ELO: 2016
-> 2072 (+56)
0 - 0 (aet)
1 - 3 (pen)
Prob to win: 55.87%
Game ELO: 2057
-> 2001 (-56)
Portugal win: expected
Gelsenkirchen Luiz Felipe Scolari
Germany 2006 25-Jun-2006 2 Top 16
Prob to win: 44.98%
Game ELO: 2002
-> 2057 (+55)
1 - 0
Prob to win: 55.02%
Game ELO: 2037
-> 1982 (-55)
Portugal win: upset (loss expected)
Stuttgart Luiz Felipe Scolari
Germany 2006 21-Jun-2006 1 Group D
Prob to win: 57.35%
Game ELO: 1966
-> 2002 (+36)
2 - 1
Prob to win: 32.81%
Game ELO: 1869
-> 1833 (-36)
Portugal win: expected
Luiz Felipe Scolari
Germany 2006 17-Jun-2006 1 Group D
Prob to win: 68.93%
Game ELO: 1927
-> 1966 (+39)
2 - 0
Prob to win: 23.90%
Game ELO: 1743
-> 1704 (-39)
Portugal win: expected
Luiz Felipe Scolari
Germany 2006 11-Jun-2006 1 Group D
Prob to win: 11.37%
Game ELO: 1565
-> 1553 (-12)
0 - 1
Prob to win: 85.23%
Game ELO: 1915
-> 1927 (+12)
Portugal win: expected
Luiz Felipe Scolari
Euro 2004 4-Jul-2004 19:45 2 Final
Game ELO:
-> 1123 ()
0 - 1
Game ELO:
-> 1174 ()
Estádio da Luz, Lisbon
Euro 2004 30-Jun-2004 19:45 2 Semi Finals
Game ELO:
-> 1183 ()
2 - 1
Game ELO:
-> 1071 ()
Estádio José Alvalade, Lisbon
Euro 2004 24-Jun-2004 19:45 2 Quarter Finals
Game ELO:
-> 1136 ()
2 - 2 (aet)
6 - 5 (pen)
Game ELO:
-> 1070 ()
Estádio da Luz, Lisbon
Euro 2004 20-Jun-2004 19:45 1 Group A
Prob to win: 47.04%
Game ELO: 1050
-> 996 (-54)
0 - 1
Prob to win: 40.74%
Game ELO: 1025
-> 1079 (+54)
Portugal win: upset (loss expected)
Estádio José Alvalade, Lisbon
Euro 2004 16-Jun-2004 19:45 1 Group A
Prob to win: 43.48%
Game ELO: 950
-> 875 (-75)
0 - 2
Prob to win: 43.48%
Game ELO: 950
-> 1025 (+75)
Portugal win: upset (loss expected)
Estádio da Luz, Lisbon
Euro 2004 12-Jun-2004 17:00 1 Group A
Game ELO:
-> 950 ()
1 - 2
Game ELO:
-> 1050 ()
Estádio do Dragão, Porto
Korea/ Japan 2002 14-Jun-2002 1 Group D
Prob to win: 65.25%
Game ELO: 1974
-> 1903 (-71)
0 - 1
Prob to win: 26.73%
Game ELO: 1819
-> 1890 (+71)
Portugal loss: upset (win expected)
Munhak Stadium, Incheon António Oliveira
Korea/ Japan 2002 10-Jun-2002 1 Group D
Prob to win: 76.33%
Game ELO: 1907
-> 1974 (+67)
4 - 0
Prob to win: 18.21%
Game ELO: 1658
-> 1591 (-67)
Portugal win: expected
Jeonju World Cup Stadium, Jeonju António Oliveira
Korea/ Japan 2002 5-Jun-2002 1 Group D
USA
Prob to win: 25.15%
Game ELO: 1809
-> 1882 (+73)
3 - 2
Prob to win: 67.30%
Game ELO: 1980
-> 1907 (-73)
Portugal loss: upset (win expected)
Suwon World Cup Stadium, Suwon António Oliveira
Euro 2000 28-Jun-2000 20:45 2 Semi Finals
Game ELO:
-> 1186 ()
2 - 1 (aet)
Game ELO:
-> 1141 ()
King Baudouin Stadium, Brussels
Euro 2000 24-Jun-2000 18:00 2 Quarter Finals
Game ELO:
-> 980 ()
0 - 2
Game ELO:
-> 1202 ()
Amsterdam Arena, Amsterdam
Euro 2000 20-Jun-2000 20:45 1 Group A
Prob to win: 64.59%
Game ELO: 1093
-> 1152 (+59)
3 - 0
Prob to win: 27.24%
Game ELO: 943
-> 884 (-59)
Portugal win: expected
Feijenoord Stadion, Rotterdam
Euro 2000 17-Jun-2000 18:00 1 Group A
Prob to win: 37.97%
Game ELO: 1000
-> 957 (-43)
0 - 1
Prob to win: 50.64%
Game ELO: 1050
-> 1093 (+43)
Portugal win: expected
GelreDome, Arnhem
Euro 2000 12-Jun-2000 20:45 1 Group A
Game ELO:
-> 1050 ()
3 - 2
Game ELO:
-> 950 ()
Philips Stadion, Eindhoven
Euro 1996 23-Jun-1996 18:30 2 Quarter Finals
Game ELO:
-> 1052 ()
1 - 0
Game ELO:
-> 1094 ()
Villa Park, Birmingham
Euro 1996 19-Jun-1996 16:30 1 Group D
Prob to win: 56.78%
Game ELO: 1136
-> 1010 (-126)
0 - 3
Prob to win: 33.24%
Game ELO: 1043
-> 1169 (+126)
Portugal win: upset (loss expected)
City Ground, Nottingham
Euro 1996 14-Jun-1996 16:30 1 Group D
Prob to win: 50.64%
Game ELO: 1000
-> 1043 (+43)
1 - 0
Prob to win: 37.97%
Game ELO: 950
-> 907 (-43)
Portugal win: expected
City Ground, Nottingham
Euro 1996 9-Jun-1996 19:30 1 Group D
Game ELO:
-> 1000 ()
1 - 1
Game ELO:
-> 1000 ()
Hillsborough, Sheffield
Mexico 1986 11-Jun-1986 1 Group F
Prob to win: 30.45%
Game ELO: 1697
-> 1797 (+100)
3 - 1
Prob to win: 60.41%
Game ELO: 1816
-> 1716 (-100)
Portugal loss: upset (win expected)
Estadio Tres de Marzo, Guadalajara José Torres
Mexico 1986 7-Jun-1986 1 Group F
Prob to win: 32.81%
Game ELO: 1783
-> 1847 (+64)
1 - 0
Prob to win: 57.35%
Game ELO: 1880
-> 1816 (-64)
Portugal loss: upset (win expected)
Estadio Universitario, Monterrey José Torres
Mexico 1986 3-Jun-1986 1 Group F
Prob to win: 23.90%
Game ELO: 1806
-> 1880 (+74)
1 - 0
Prob to win: 68.93%
Game ELO: 1990
-> 1916 (-74)
Portugal win: upset (loss expected)
Estadio Tecnológico, Monterrey José Torres
Euro 1984 23-Jun-1984 20:00 2 Semi Finals
Game ELO:
-> 1268 ()
3 - 2 (aet)
Game ELO:
-> 1019 ()
Stade Vélodrome, Marseille
Euro 1984 20-Jun-1984 20:30 1 Group B
Prob to win: 50.64%
Game ELO: 1000
-> 1043 (+43)
1 - 0
Prob to win: 37.97%
Game ELO: 950
-> 907 (-43)
Portugal win: expected
Stade de la Beaujoire, Nantes
Euro 1984 17-Jun-1984 20:30 1 Group B
Prob to win: 43.48%
Game ELO: 1000
-> 1000 (+0)
1 - 1
Prob to win: 43.48%
Game ELO: 1000
-> 1000 (+0)
Portugal draw: upset (loss expected)
Stade Vélodrome, Marseille
Euro 1984 14-Jun-1984 17:15 1 Group B
Game ELO:
-> 1000 ()
0 - 0
Game ELO:
-> 1000 ()
Stade de la Meinau, Strasbourg
England 1966 28-Jul-1966 2 3rd Place
Prob to win: 42.01%
Game ELO: 2036
-> 2094 (+58)
2 - 1
Prob to win: 57.99%
Game ELO: 2092
-> 2034 (-58)
Portugal win: upset (loss expected)
London Otto Glória
England 1966 26-Jul-1966 2 Semi Finals
Prob to win: 50.86%
Game ELO: 2091
-> 2140 (+49)
2 - 1
Prob to win: 49.14%
Game ELO: 2085
-> 2036 (-49)
Portugal loss: expected
London Otto Glória
England 1966 23-Jul-1966 2 Quarter Finals
Prob to win: 76.18%
Game ELO: 2049
-> 2085 (+36)
5 - 3
Prob to win: 23.82%
Game ELO: 1847
-> 1811 (-36)
Portugal win: expected
Liverpool Otto Glória
England 1966 19-Jul-1966 1 Group 3
Prob to win: 51.21%
Game ELO: 1986
-> 2049 (+63)
3 - 1
Prob to win: 37.53%
Game ELO: 1932
-> 1869 (-63)
Portugal win: expected
Goodison Park, Liverpool Otto Glória
England 1966 16-Jul-1966 1 Group 3
Prob to win: 67.05%
Game ELO: 1931
-> 1986 (+55)
3 - 0
Prob to win: 25.35%
Game ELO: 1762
-> 1707 (-55)
Portugal win: expected
Old Trafford, Manchester Otto Glória
England 1966 13-Jul-1966 1 Group 3
Prob to win: 29.30%
Game ELO: 1829
-> 1931 (+102)
3 - 1
Prob to win: 61.92%
Game ELO: 1959
-> 1857 (-102)
Portugal win: upset (loss expected)
Old Trafford, Manchester Otto Glória