Scotland details

Scotland

Statistics:
  • Games: 32
  • Expected results: 17 (53.13%)
  • Unexpected results: 15 (46.88%)
  • Unknown games: 0
  • Record: 6 Won, 17 Lost, 9 Drawn, 0 Unknown
  • Last five games: LDLLD
  • Expected wins: 4 (12.50%)
  • Expected losses: 13 (40.63%)
  • Unexpected wins: 2 (6.25%)
  • Unexpected losses: 4 (12.50%)
  • Unexpected draws: 9 (28.13%)
  • Wins (+1pt for expected, +3 for unexpected): 10
  • Losses (-1pt for expected, -3 for unexpected): -25
  • Draws (-1pt if fav, +1pt if underdog): 9
  • Total: -6

Tournament Game Time Round Group Name Score Odds Analysis Location Coach
Euro 2020 22-Jun-2021 21:00 1 Group D Croatia
Prob to win: 75.34%
Game ELO: 1800 -> 1847 ( + 47)
3 - 1
Scotland
Prob to win: 24.66%
Game ELO: 1662 -> 1615 ( -47)
Scotland loss: expected
Hampden Park, Glasgow
Euro 2020 18-Jun-2021 21:00 1 Group D England
Prob to win: 95.51%
Game ELO: 2011 -> 1971 ( -40)
0 - 0
Scotland
Prob to win: 4.49%
Game ELO: 1622 -> 1662 ( + 40)
Scotland draw: upset (loss expected)
Wembley Stadium, London
Euro 2020 14-Jun-2021 15:00 1 Group D Scotland
Prob to win: 17.61%
Game ELO: 1678 -> 1622 ( -56)
0 - 2
Czech Republic
Prob to win: 82.39%
Game ELO: 1768 -> 1824 ( + 56)
Scotland loss: expected
Hampden Park, Glasgow
France 1998 23-Jun-1998 1 Group A Scotland
Prob to win: 22.28%
Game ELO: 1730 -> 1641 ( -89)
0 - 3
Morocco
Prob to win: 77.72%
Game ELO: 1769 -> 1858 ( + 89)
Scotland loss: expected
Stade Geoffroy-Guichard, Saint-Étienne Craig Brown
France 1998 16-Jun-1998 1 Group A Scotland
Prob to win: 18.12%
Game ELO: 1706 -> 1730 ( + 24)
1 - 1
Norway
Prob to win: 81.88%
Game ELO: 1887 -> 1863 ( -24)
Scotland draw: upset (loss expected)
Parc Lescure, Bordeaux Craig Brown
France 1998 10-Jun-1998 1 Group A Brazil
Prob to win: 92.87%
Game ELO: 2047 -> 2060 ( + 13)
2 - 1
Scotland
Prob to win: 7.13%
Game ELO: 1719 -> 1706 ( -13)
Scotland loss: expected
Stade de France, Saint-Denis Craig Brown
Euro 1996 18-Jun-1996 19:30 1 Group A Scotland
Prob to win: 64.01%
Game ELO: 925 -> 975 ( + 50)
1 - 0
Switzerland
Prob to win: 35.99%
Game ELO: 925 -> 875 ( -50)
Scotland win: expected
Villa Park, Birmingham
Euro 1996 15-Jun-1996 15:00 1 Group A Scotland
Prob to win: 25.31%
Game ELO: 1000 -> 925 ( -75)
0 - 2
England
Prob to win: 74.69%
Game ELO: 1000 -> 1075 ( + 75)
Scotland loss: expected
Wembley Stadium, London
Euro 1996 10-Jun-1996 16:30 1 Group A Netherlands
Prob to win: 45.55%
Game ELO: 0 -> 1000 ( + 1000)
0 - 0
Scotland
Prob to win: 54.45%
Game ELO: 0 -> 1000 ( + 1000)
Scotland draw: upset (win expected)
Villa Park, Birmingham
Euro 1992 18-Jun-1992 20:15 1 Group B Scotland
Prob to win: 69.73%
Game ELO: 886 -> 1019 ( + 133)
3 - 0
CIS
Prob to win: 30.27%
Game ELO: 1007 -> 874 ( -133)
Scotland win: expected
Idrottsparken, Norrköping
Euro 1992 15-Jun-1992 17:15 1 Group B Scotland
Prob to win: 55.73%
Game ELO: 950 -> 886 ( -64)
0 - 2
Germany
Prob to win: 44.27%
Game ELO: 1000 -> 1064 ( + 64)
Scotland loss: upset (win expected)
Idrottsparken, Norrköping
Euro 1992 12-Jun-1992 17:15 1 Group B Netherlands
Prob to win: 55.45%
Game ELO: 0 -> 1050 ( + 1050)
1 - 0
Scotland
Prob to win: 44.55%
Game ELO: 0 -> 950 ( + 950)
Scotland loss: expected
Ullevi, Gothenburg
Italy 1990 20-Jun-1990 1 Group C Brazil
Prob to win: 80.47%
Game ELO: 2046 -> 2061 ( + 15)
1 - 0
Scotland
Prob to win: 19.53%
Game ELO: 1751 -> 1736 ( -15)
Scotland loss: expected
Stadio Delle Alpi, Turin Andy Roxburgh
Italy 1990 16-Jun-1990 1 Group C Sweden
Prob to win: 53.02%
Game ELO: 1909 -> 1829 ( -80)
1 - 2
Scotland
Prob to win: 46.98%
Game ELO: 1671 -> 1751 ( + 80)
Scotland win: upset (loss expected)
Stadio Luigi Ferraris, Genoa Andy Roxburgh
Italy 1990 11-Jun-1990 1 Group C Costa Rica
Prob to win: 41.73%
Game ELO: 1611 -> 1679 ( + 68)
1 - 0
Scotland
Prob to win: 58.27%
Game ELO: 1739 -> 1671 ( -68)
Scotland loss: upset (win expected)
Stadio Luigi Ferraris, Genoa Andy Roxburgh
Mexico 1986 13-Jun-1986 1 Group E Uruguay
Prob to win: 39.51%
Game ELO: 1717 -> 1727 ( + 10)
0 - 0
Scotland
Prob to win: 60.49%
Game ELO: 1790 -> 1780 ( -10)
Scotland draw: upset (win expected)
Estadio Neza 86, Nezahualcóyotl Alex Ferguson
Mexico 1986 08-Jun-1986 1 Group E West Germany
Prob to win: 85.27%
Game ELO: 1924 -> 1960 ( + 36)
2 - 1
Scotland
Prob to win: 14.73%
Game ELO: 1826 -> 1790 ( -36)
Scotland loss: expected
Estadio La Corregidora, Querétaro Alex Ferguson
Mexico 1986 04-Jun-1986 1 Group E Scotland
Prob to win: 38.82%
Game ELO: 1874 -> 1826 ( -48)
0 - 1
Denmark
Prob to win: 61.18%
Game ELO: 1891 -> 1939 ( + 48)
Scotland loss: expected
Estadio Neza 86, Nezahualcóyotl Alex Ferguson
Spain 1982 22-Jun-1982 1 Group 6 Soviet Union
Prob to win: 71.53%
Game ELO: 1989 -> 1969 ( -20)
2 - 2
Scotland
Prob to win: 28.47%
Game ELO: 1840 -> 1860 ( + 20)
Scotland draw: upset (loss expected)
Estadio La Rosaleda, Málaga Jock Stein
Spain 1982 18-Jun-1982 1 Group 6 Brazil
Prob to win: 82.30%
Game ELO: 2130 -> 2168 ( + 38)
4 - 1
Scotland
Prob to win: 17.70%
Game ELO: 1878 -> 1840 ( -38)
Scotland loss: expected
Estadio Benito Villamarín, Seville Jock Stein
Spain 1982 15-Jun-1982 1 Group 6 Scotland
Prob to win: 86.85%
Game ELO: 1837 -> 1878 ( + 41)
5 - 2
New Zealand
Prob to win: 13.15%
Game ELO: 1599 -> 1558 ( -41)
Scotland win: expected
Estadio La Rosaleda, Málaga Jock Stein
Argentina 1978 11-Jun-1978 1 Group 4 Scotland
Prob to win: 25.20%
Game ELO: 1819 -> 1901 ( + 82)
3 - 2
Netherlands
Prob to win: 74.80%
Game ELO: 2088 -> 2006 ( -82)
Scotland win: upset (loss expected)
Estadio Ciudad de Mendoza, Mendoza Ally MacLeod
Argentina 1978 07-Jun-1978 1 Group 4 Scotland
Prob to win: 76.60%
Game ELO: 1831 -> 1819 ( -12)
1 - 1
Iran
Prob to win: 23.40%
Game ELO: 1744 -> 1756 ( + 12)
Scotland draw: upset (win expected)
Estadio Chateau Carreras, Córdoba Ally MacLeod
Argentina 1978 03-Jun-1978 1 Group 4 Peru
Prob to win: 31.25%
Game ELO: 1755 -> 1867 ( + 112)
3 - 1
Scotland
Prob to win: 68.75%
Game ELO: 1943 -> 1831 ( -112)
Scotland loss: upset (win expected)
Estadio Chateau Carreras, Córdoba Ally MacLeod
West Germany 1974 22-Jun-1974 1 Group 2 Scotland
Prob to win: 59.66%
Game ELO: 1913 -> 1929 ( + 16)
1 - 1
Yugoslavia
Prob to win: 40.34%
Game ELO: 2027 -> 2011 ( -16)
Scotland draw: upset (win expected)
Waldstadion, Frankfurt Willie Ormond
West Germany 1974 18-Jun-1974 1 Group 2 Scotland
Prob to win: 37.60%
Game ELO: 1887 -> 1913 ( + 26)
0 - 0
Brazil
Prob to win: 62.40%
Game ELO: 2091 -> 2065 ( -26)
Scotland draw: upset (loss expected)
Waldstadion, Frankfurt Willie Ormond
West Germany 1974 14-Jun-1974 1 Group 2 Zaire
Prob to win: 15.17%
Game ELO: 1782 -> 1715 ( -67)
0 - 2
Scotland
Prob to win: 84.83%
Game ELO: 1820 -> 1887 ( + 67)
Scotland win: expected
Westfalenstadion, Dortmund Willie Ormond
Sweden 1958 15-Jun-1958 1 Group 2 France
Prob to win: 88.05%
Game ELO: 1906 -> 1936 ( + 30)
2 - 1
Scotland
Prob to win: 11.95%
Game ELO: 1756 -> 1726 ( -30)
Scotland loss: expected
Eyravallen, Örebro Dawson Walker
Sweden 1958 11-Jun-1958 1 Group 2 Paraguay
Prob to win: 50.00%
Game ELO: 1617 -> 1695 ( + 78)
3 - 2
Scotland
Prob to win: 50.00%
Game ELO: 1834 -> 1756 ( -78)
Scotland loss: upset (win expected)
Idrottsparken, Norrköping Dawson Walker
Sweden 1958 08-Jun-1958 1 Group 2 Yugoslavia
Prob to win: 69.98%
Game ELO: 1896 -> 1886 ( -10)
1 - 1
Scotland
Prob to win: 30.02%
Game ELO: 1824 -> 1834 ( + 10)
Scotland draw: upset (loss expected)
Arosvallen, Västerås Dawson Walker
Switzerland 1954 19-Jun-1954 1 Group 3 Uruguay
Prob to win: 82.05%
Game ELO: 1925 -> 2057 ( + 132)
7 - 0
Scotland
Prob to win: 17.95%
Game ELO: 1837 -> 1705 ( -132)
Scotland loss: expected
St. Jakob Stadium, Basel Andy Beattie (quit after first match; remaining match was managed by a selection committee)
Switzerland 1954 16-Jun-1954 1 Group 3 Austria
Prob to win: 84.60%
Game ELO: 1864 -> 1918 ( + 54)
1 - 0
Scotland
Prob to win: 15.40%
Game ELO: 1891 -> 1837 ( -54)
Scotland loss: expected
Hardturm Stadium, Zürich Andy Beattie (quit after first match; remaining match was managed by a selection committee)