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Wales details

Wales

Statistics:
  • Games: 18
  • Expected results: 7 (38.89%)
  • Unexpected results: 11 (61.11%)
  • Unknown games: 0
  • Record: 6 Won, 7 Lost, 5 Drawn, 0 Unknown
  • Last five games: LLDLL
  • Expected wins: 1 (5.56%)
  • Expected losses: 6 (33.33%)
  • Unexpected wins: 5 (27.78%)
  • Unexpected losses: 1 (5.56%)
  • Unexpected draws: 5 (27.78%)
  • Wins (+1pt for expected, +3 for unexpected): 16
  • Losses (-1pt for expected, -3 for unexpected): -9
  • Draws (-1pt if fav, +1pt if underdog): 5
  • Total: 12

Tournament Game Time Round Group Name Score Odds Analysis Location Coach
Qatar 2022 29-Nov-2022 22:00 1 Group B
Prob to win: 13.59%
Game ELO: 1693
-> 1665 (-28)
0 - 3
Prob to win: 82.34%
Game ELO: 2006
-> 2034 (+28)
Wales loss: expected
Ahmad bin Ali Stadium, Al Rayyan
Qatar 2022 25-Nov-2022 13:00 1 Group B
Prob to win: 59.17%
Game ELO: 1791
-> 1693 (-98)
0 - 2
Prob to win: 31.41%
Game ELO: 1681
-> 1779 (+98)
Wales loss: upset (win expected)
Ahmad bin Ali Stadium, Al Rayyan
Qatar 2022 21-Nov-2022 22:00 1 Group B
USA
Prob to win: 36.42%
Game ELO: 1726
-> 1797 (+71)
1 - 1
Prob to win: 52.65%
Game ELO: 1790
-> 1791 (+1)
Wales draw: upset (win expected)
Ahmad bin Ali Stadium, Al Rayyan
Euro 2020 26-Jun-2021 18:00 2 Top 16
Prob to win: 30.88%
Game ELO: 1833
-> 1734 (-99)
0 - 4
Prob to win: 69.12%
Game ELO: 1973
-> 2084 (+111)
Wales loss: expected
Johan Cruyff Arena, Amsterdam
Euro 2020 20-Jun-2021 18:00 1 Group A
Prob to win: 72.50%
Game ELO: 2112
-> 2135 (+23)
1 - 0
Prob to win: 21.15%
Game ELO: 1898
-> 1875 (-23)
Wales loss: expected
Stadio Olimpico, Rome
Euro 2020 16-Jun-2021 18:00 1 Group A
Prob to win: 53.51%
Game ELO: 1911
-> 1698 (-213)
0 - 2
Prob to win: 35.76%
Game ELO: 1841
-> 1898 (+57)
Wales win: upset (loss expected)
Olympic Stadium, Baku
Euro 2020 12-Jun-2021 15:00 1 Group A
Prob to win: 37.20%
Game ELO: 1833
-> 1841 (+8)
1 - 1
Prob to win: 51.64%
Game ELO: 1890
-> 1882 (-8)
Wales draw: upset (loss expected)
Olympic Stadium, Baku
Euro 2016 6-Jul-2016 21:00 2 Semi Finals
Prob to win: 54.73%
Game ELO: 1989
-> 2055 (+66)
2 - 0
Prob to win: 45.27%
Game ELO: 1956
-> 1887 (-69)
Wales loss: expected
Parc Olympique Lyonnais, Décines-Charpieu
Euro 2016 1-Jul-2016 21:00 2 Quarter Finals
Prob to win: 23.19%
Game ELO: 1841
-> 1956 (+115)
3 - 1
Prob to win: 76.81%
Game ELO: 2049
-> 1934 (-115)
Wales win: upset (loss expected)
Stade Pierre-Mauroy, Villeneuve-d'Ascq
Euro 2016 25-Jun-2016 18:00 2 Top 16
Prob to win: 65.45%
Game ELO: 1806
-> 1841 (+35)
1 - 0
Prob to win: 34.55%
Game ELO: 1695
-> 1660 (-35)
Wales win: expected
Parc des Princes, Paris
Euro 2016 20-Jun-2016 21:00 1 Group B
Prob to win: 47.33%
Game ELO: 1725
-> 1617 (-108)
0 - 3
Prob to win: 40.52%
Game ELO: 1698
-> 1806 (+108)
Wales win: upset (loss expected)
Stadium Municipal, Toulouse
Euro 2016 16-Jun-2016 15:00 1 Group B
Prob to win: 81.57%
Game ELO: 2024
-> 1966 (-58)
2 - 1
Prob to win: 14.18%
Game ELO: 1720
-> 1698 (-22)
Wales loss: expected
Stade Bollaert-Delelis, Lens
Euro 2016 11-Jun-2016 18:00 1 Group B
Prob to win: 31.30%
Game ELO: 1655
-> 1720 (+65)
2 - 1
Prob to win: 59.31%
Game ELO: 1766
-> 1701 (-65)
Wales win: upset (loss expected)
Nouveau Stade de Bordeaux, Bordeaux
Sweden 1958 19-Jun-1958 2 Quarter Finals
Prob to win: 69.00%
Game ELO: 1991
-> 2120 (+129)
1 - 0
Prob to win: 31.00%
Game ELO: 1852
-> 1833 (-19)
Wales loss: expected
Gothenburg Note: Swansea Town (now Swansea City) and Cardiff City are Welsh clubs that play in the English football league system.
Sweden 1958 17-Jun-1958 1 Group 3 Playoff
Prob to win: 17.50%
Game ELO: 1770
-> 1852 (+82)
2 - 1
Prob to win: 77.26%
Game ELO: 2028
-> 1946 (-82)
Wales win: upset (loss expected)
Råsunda Stadium, Solna Note: Swansea Town (now Swansea City) and Cardiff City are Welsh clubs that play in the English football league system.
Sweden 1958 15-Jun-1958 1 Group 3
Prob to win: 40.18%
Game ELO: 1712
-> 1936 (+224)
0 - 0
Prob to win: 47.76%
Game ELO: 1742
-> 1770 (+28)
Wales draw: upset (loss expected)
Råsunda Stadium, Solna Note: Swansea Town (now Swansea City) and Cardiff City are Welsh clubs that play in the English football league system.
Sweden 1958 11-Jun-1958 1 Group 3
Prob to win: 60.96%
Game ELO: 1875
-> 1694 (-181)
1 - 1
Prob to win: 30.03%
Game ELO: 1752
-> 1742 (-10)
Wales draw: upset (loss expected)
Råsunda Stadium, Solna Note: Swansea Town (now Swansea City) and Cardiff City are Welsh clubs that play in the English football league system.
Sweden 1958 8-Jun-1958 1 Group 3
Prob to win: 86.21%
Game ELO: 2077
-> 2038 (-39)
1 - 1
Prob to win: 10.61%
Game ELO: 1713
-> 1752 (+39)
Wales draw: upset (loss expected)
Jernvallen, Sandviken Note: Swansea Town (now Swansea City) and Cardiff City are Welsh clubs that play in the English football league system.