Northern Ireland details

Northern Ireland

Statistics:
  • Games: 17
  • Expected results: 9 (52.94%)
  • Unexpected results: 8 (47.06%)
  • Unknown games: 0
  • Record: 4 Won, 8 Lost, 5 Drawn, 0 Unknown
  • Last five games: LLWLL
  • Expected wins: 1 (5.88%)
  • Expected losses: 8 (47.06%)
  • Unexpected wins: 3 (17.65%)
  • Unexpected losses: 0 (0.00%)
  • Unexpected draws: 5 (29.41%)
  • Wins (+1pt for expected, +3 for unexpected): 10
  • Losses (-1pt for expected, -3 for unexpected): -8
  • Draws (-1pt if fav, +1pt if underdog): 5
  • Total: 7

Tournament Game Time Round Group Name Score Odds Analysis Location Coach
Euro 2016 25-Jun-2016 18:00 2 Top 16 Wales
Prob to win: 78.70%
Game ELO: 1806 -> 1841 ( + 35)
1 - 0
Northern Ireland
Prob to win: 21.30%
Game ELO: 1695 -> 1660 ( -35)
Northern Ireland loss: expected
Parc des Princes, Paris
Euro 2016 21-Jun-2016 18:00 1 Group C Northern Ireland
Prob to win: 10.19%
Game ELO: 1708 -> 1695 ( -13)
0 - 1
Germany
Prob to win: 89.81%
Game ELO: 2038 -> 2051 ( + 13)
Northern Ireland loss: expected
Parc des Princes, Paris
Euro 2016 16-Jun-2016 18:00 1 Group C Ukraine
Prob to win: 49.42%
Game ELO: 1801 -> 1686 ( -115)
0 - 2
Northern Ireland
Prob to win: 50.58%
Game ELO: 1593 -> 1708 ( + 115)
Northern Ireland win: expected
Parc Olympique Lyonnais, Décines-Charpieu
Euro 2016 12-Jun-2016 18:00 1 Group C Poland
Prob to win: 72.80%
Game ELO: 1766 -> 1797 ( + 31)
1 - 0
Northern Ireland
Prob to win: 27.20%
Game ELO: 1624 -> 1593 ( -31)
Northern Ireland loss: expected
Stade de Nice, Nice
Mexico 1986 12-Jun-1986 1 Group D Brazil
Prob to win: 85.70%
Game ELO: 1975 -> 2023 ( + 48)
3 - 0
Northern Ireland
Prob to win: 14.30%
Game ELO: 1775 -> 1727 ( -48)
Northern Ireland loss: expected
Estadio Jalisco, Guadalajara Billy Bingham
Mexico 1986 07-Jun-1986 1 Group D Spain
Prob to win: 90.02%
Game ELO: 1852 -> 1898 ( + 46)
2 - 1
Northern Ireland
Prob to win: 9.98%
Game ELO: 1821 -> 1775 ( -46)
Northern Ireland loss: expected
Estadio Tres de Marzo, Guadalajara Billy Bingham
Mexico 1986 03-Jun-1986 1 Group D Algeria
Prob to win: 31.99%
Game ELO: 1616 -> 1645 ( + 29)
1 - 1
Northern Ireland
Prob to win: 68.01%
Game ELO: 1850 -> 1821 ( -29)
Northern Ireland draw: upset (win expected)
Estadio Tres de Marzo, Guadalajara Billy Bingham
Spain 1982 04-Jul-1982 2 Group D Northern Ireland
Prob to win: 27.78%
Game ELO: 1825 -> 1755 ( -70)
1 - 4
France
Prob to win: 72.22%
Game ELO: 1931 -> 2001 ( + 70)
Northern Ireland loss: expected
Estadio Vicente Calderón, Madrid Billy Bingham
Spain 1982 01-Jul-1982 2 Group D Austria
Prob to win: 66.36%
Game ELO: 1882 -> 1873 ( -9)
2 - 2
Northern Ireland
Prob to win: 33.64%
Game ELO: 1816 -> 1825 ( + 9)
Northern Ireland draw: upset (loss expected)
Estadio Vicente Calderón, Madrid Billy Bingham
Spain 1982 25-Jun-1982 1 Group 5 Spain
Prob to win: 63.34%
Game ELO: 1910 -> 1838 ( -72)
0 - 1
Northern Ireland
Prob to win: 36.66%
Game ELO: 1744 -> 1816 ( + 72)
Northern Ireland win: upset (loss expected)
Estadio Luis Casanova, Valencia Billy Bingham
Spain 1982 21-Jun-1982 1 Group 5 Honduras
Prob to win: 32.24%
Game ELO: 1634 -> 1652 ( + 18)
1 - 1
Northern Ireland
Prob to win: 67.76%
Game ELO: 1762 -> 1744 ( -18)
Northern Ireland draw: upset (win expected)
La Romareda, Zaragoza Billy Bingham
Spain 1982 17-Jun-1982 1 Group 5 Yugoslavia
Prob to win: 65.06%
Game ELO: 1916 -> 1893 ( -23)
0 - 0
Northern Ireland
Prob to win: 34.94%
Game ELO: 1739 -> 1762 ( + 23)
Northern Ireland draw: upset (loss expected)
La Romareda, Zaragoza Billy Bingham
Sweden 1958 19-Jun-1958 2 Quarter Finals France
Prob to win: 87.93%
Game ELO: 1936 -> 2078 ( + 142)
4 - 0
Northern Ireland
Prob to win: 12.07%
Game ELO: 1870 -> 1728 ( -142)
Northern Ireland loss: expected
Norrköping Peter Doherty
Sweden 1958 17-Jun-1958 1 Group 1 Playoff Northern Ireland
Prob to win: 17.20%
Game ELO: 1785 -> 1870 ( + 85)
2 - 1 (aet)
Czechoslovakia
Prob to win: 82.80%
Game ELO: 2086 -> 2001 ( -85)
Northern Ireland win: upset (loss expected)
Malmö Stadion, Malmö Peter Doherty
Sweden 1958 15-Jun-1958 19:00 1 Group 1 West Germany
Prob to win: 66.74%
Game ELO: 1989 -> 1960 ( -29)
2 - 2
Northern Ireland
Prob to win: 33.26%
Game ELO: 1756 -> 1785 ( + 29)
Northern Ireland draw: upset (loss expected)
Malmö Stadion, Malmö Peter Doherty
Sweden 1958 11-Jun-1958 19:00 1 Group 1 Argentina
Prob to win: 52.16%
Game ELO: 1941 -> 1987 ( + 46)
3 - 1
Northern Ireland
Prob to win: 47.84%
Game ELO: 1802 -> 1756 ( -46)
Northern Ireland loss: expected
Örjans Vall, Halmstad Peter Doherty
Sweden 1958 08-Jun-1958 19:00 1 Group 1 Northern Ireland
Prob to win: 17.20%
Game ELO: 1731 -> 1802 ( + 71)
1 - 0
Czechoslovakia
Prob to win: 82.80%
Game ELO: 1887 -> 1816 ( -71)
Northern Ireland win: upset (loss expected)
Örjans Vall, Halmstad Peter Doherty