Northern Ireland details

Northern Ireland

Statistics:
  • Games: 17
  • Expected results: 8 (47.06%)
  • Unexpected results: 9 (52.94%)
  • Unknown games: 0
  • Record: 4 Won, 8 Lost, 5 Drawn, 0 Unknown
  • Last five games: LLWLL
  • Expected wins: 0 (0.00%)
  • Expected losses: 8 (47.06%)
  • Unexpected wins: 4 (23.53%)
  • Unexpected losses: 0 (0.00%)
  • Unexpected draws: 5 (29.41%)
  • Wins (+1pt for expected, +3 for unexpected): 12
  • Losses (-1pt for expected, -3 for unexpected): -8
  • Draws (-1pt if fav, +1pt if underdog): 5
  • Total: 9

Tournament Game Time Round Group Name Score Odds Analysis Location Coach
Euro 2016 25-Jun-2016 18:00 2 Top 16
Prob to win: 61.22%
Game ELO: 1806
-> 1841 (+35)
1 - 0
Prob to win: 32.32%
Game ELO: 1695
-> 1660 (-35)
Northern Ireland loss: expected
Parc des Princes, Paris
Euro 2016 21-Jun-2016 18:00 1 Group C
Prob to win: 12.68%
Game ELO: 1708
-> 1695 (-13)
0 - 1
Prob to win: 84.78%
Game ELO: 2038
-> 2051 (+13)
Northern Ireland loss: expected
Parc des Princes, Paris
Euro 2016 16-Jun-2016 18:00 1 Group C
Prob to win: 73.40%
Game ELO: 1801
-> 1686 (-115)
0 - 2
Prob to win: 22.17%
Game ELO: 1593
-> 1708 (+115)
Northern Ireland win: upset (loss expected)
Parc Olympique Lyonnais, Décines-Charpieu
Euro 2016 12-Jun-2016 18:00 1 Group C
Prob to win: 65.36%
Game ELO: 1766
-> 1797 (+31)
1 - 0
Prob to win: 28.86%
Game ELO: 1624
-> 1593 (-31)
Northern Ireland loss: expected
Stade de Nice, Nice
Mexico 1986 12-Jun-1986 1 Group D
Prob to win: 72.49%
Game ELO: 1975
-> 2023 (+48)
3 - 0
Prob to win: 22.92%
Game ELO: 1775
-> 1727 (-48)
Northern Ireland loss: expected
Estadio Jalisco, Guadalajara Billy Bingham
Mexico 1986 7-Jun-1986 1 Group D
Prob to win: 49.90%
Game ELO: 1852
-> 1898 (+46)
2 - 1
Prob to win: 41.75%
Game ELO: 1821
-> 1775 (-46)
Northern Ireland loss: expected
Estadio Tres de Marzo, Guadalajara Billy Bingham
Mexico 1986 3-Jun-1986 1 Group D
Prob to win: 19.82%
Game ELO: 1616
-> 1645 (+29)
1 - 1
Prob to win: 76.22%
Game ELO: 1850
-> 1821 (-29)
Northern Ireland draw: upset (win expected)
Estadio Tres de Marzo, Guadalajara Billy Bingham
Spain 1982 4-Jul-1982 2 Group D
Prob to win: 32.89%
Game ELO: 1825
-> 1755 (-70)
1 - 4
Prob to win: 60.54%
Game ELO: 1931
-> 2001 (+70)
Northern Ireland loss: expected
Estadio Vicente Calderón, Madrid Billy Bingham
Spain 1982 1-Jul-1982 2 Group D
Prob to win: 54.92%
Game ELO: 1882
-> 1873 (-9)
2 - 2
Prob to win: 37.56%
Game ELO: 1816
-> 1825 (+9)
Northern Ireland draw: upset (loss expected)
Estadio Vicente Calderón, Madrid Billy Bingham
Spain 1982 25-Jun-1982 1 Group 5
Prob to win: 68.42%
Game ELO: 1910
-> 1838 (-72)
0 - 1
Prob to win: 26.31%
Game ELO: 1744
-> 1816 (+72)
Northern Ireland win: upset (loss expected)
Estadio Luis Casanova, Valencia Billy Bingham
Spain 1982 21-Jun-1982 1 Group 5
Prob to win: 30.40%
Game ELO: 1634
-> 1652 (+18)
1 - 1
Prob to win: 63.52%
Game ELO: 1762
-> 1744 (-18)
Northern Ireland draw: upset (win expected)
La Romareda, Zaragoza Billy Bingham
Spain 1982 17-Jun-1982 1 Group 5
Prob to win: 69.77%
Game ELO: 1916
-> 1893 (-23)
0 - 0
Prob to win: 25.19%
Game ELO: 1739
-> 1762 (+23)
Northern Ireland draw: upset (loss expected)
La Romareda, Zaragoza Billy Bingham
Sweden 1958 19-Jun-1958 2 Quarter Finals
Prob to win: 54.92%
Game ELO: 1936
-> 2078 (+142)
4 - 0
Prob to win: 37.56%
Game ELO: 1870
-> 1728 (-142)
Northern Ireland loss: expected
Norrköping Peter Doherty
Sweden 1958 17-Jun-1958 1 Group 1 Playoff
Prob to win: 14.59%
Game ELO: 1785
-> 1870 (+85)
2 - 1 (aet)
Prob to win: 82.50%
Game ELO: 2086
-> 2001 (-85)
Northern Ireland win: upset (loss expected)
Malmö Stadion, Malmö Peter Doherty
Sweden 1958 15-Jun-1958 19:00 1 Group 1
Prob to win: 76.11%
Game ELO: 1989
-> 1960 (-29)
2 - 2
Prob to win: 19.91%
Game ELO: 1756
-> 1785 (+29)
Northern Ireland draw: upset (loss expected)
Malmö Stadion, Malmö Peter Doherty
Sweden 1958 11-Jun-1958 19:00 1 Group 1
Prob to win: 64.97%
Game ELO: 1941
-> 1987 (+46)
3 - 1
Prob to win: 29.19%
Game ELO: 1802
-> 1756 (-46)
Northern Ireland loss: expected
Örjans Vall, Halmstad Peter Doherty
Sweden 1958 8-Jun-1958 19:00 1 Group 1
Prob to win: 27.36%
Game ELO: 1731
-> 1802 (+71)
1 - 0
Prob to win: 67.17%
Game ELO: 1887
-> 1816 (-71)
Northern Ireland win: upset (loss expected)
Örjans Vall, Halmstad Peter Doherty