Germany details

Germany

Statistics:
  • Games: 168
  • Expected results: 62 (72.94%)
  • Unexpected results: 23 (27.06%)
  • Unknown games: 0
  • Record: 52 Won, 21 Lost, 12 Drawn, 0 Unknown
  • Last five games: LDWLL
  • Expected wins: 47 (55.29%)
  • Expected losses: 15 (17.65%)
  • Unexpected wins: 5 (5.88%)
  • Unexpected losses: 6 (7.06%)
  • Unexpected draws: 12 (14.12%)
  • Wins (+1pt for expected, +3 for unexpected): 62
  • Losses (-1pt for expected, -3 for unexpected): -33
  • Draws (-1pt if fav, +1pt if underdog): 12
  • Total: 41

Tournament Game Time Round Group Name Score Odds Analysis Location Coach
Euro 2020 29-Jun-2021 18:00 2 Top 16 England
Prob to win: 79.36%
Game ELO: 1982 -> 2072 ( + 90)
2 - 0
Germany
Prob to win: 20.64%
Game ELO: 1936 -> 1912 ( -24)
Germany loss: expected
Wembley Stadium, London
Euro 2020 23-Jun-2021 21:00 1 Group F Germany
Prob to win: 67.63%
Game ELO: 2015 -> 1983 ( -32)
2 - 2
Hungary
Prob to win: 32.37%
Game ELO: 1752 -> 1784 ( + 32)
Germany draw: upset (win expected)
Allianz Arena, Munich
Euro 2020 19-Jun-2021 18:00 1 Group F Portugal
Prob to win: 55.59%
Game ELO: 2069 -> 1961 ( -108)
2 - 4
Germany
Prob to win: 44.41%
Game ELO: 1907 -> 2015 ( + 108)
Germany win: upset (loss expected)
Allianz Arena, Munich
Euro 2020 15-Jun-2021 21:00 1 Group F France
Prob to win: 60.49%
Game ELO: 2088 -> 2117 ( + 29)
1 - 0
Germany
Prob to win: 39.51%
Game ELO: 1936 -> 1907 ( -29)
Germany loss: expected
Allianz Arena, Munich
Russia 2018 27-Jun-2018 15:00 1 Group F South Korea
Prob to win: 35.73%
Game ELO: 1656 -> 1790 ( + 134)
2 - 0
Germany
Prob to win: 64.27%
Game ELO: 2026 -> 1892 ( -134)
Germany loss: upset (win expected)
Kazan Arena, Kazan
Russia 2018 23-Jun-2018 16:00 1 Group F Germany
Prob to win: 45.98%
Game ELO: 1998 -> 2026 ( + 28)
2 - 1
Sweden
Prob to win: 54.02%
Game ELO: 1834 -> 1806 ( -28)
Germany win: upset (loss expected)
Fisht Olympic Stadium, Sochi
Russia 2018 17-Jun-2018 16:00 1 Group F Germany
Prob to win: 64.27%
Game ELO: 2077 -> 1998 ( -79)
0 - 1
Mexico
Prob to win: 35.73%
Game ELO: 1850 -> 1929 ( + 79)
Germany loss: upset (win expected)
Luzhniki Stadium, Moscow
Euro 2016 07-Jul-2016 21:00 2 Semi Finals Germany
Prob to win: 42.15%
Game ELO: 2124 -> 2038 ( -86)
0 - 2
France
Prob to win: 57.85%
Game ELO: 2071 -> 2157 ( + 86)
Germany loss: expected
Stade Vélodrome, Marseille
Euro 2016 02-Jul-2016 21:00 2 Quarter Finals Germany
Prob to win: 61.86%
Game ELO: 2087 -> 2124 ( + 37)
1 - 1 (aet)
6 - 5 (pen)
Italy
Prob to win: 38.14%
Game ELO: 1991 -> 1954 ( -37)
Germany win: expected
Nouveau Stade de Bordeaux, Bordeaux
Euro 2016 26-Jun-2016 18:00 2 Top 16 Germany
Prob to win: 83.76%
Game ELO: 2051 -> 2087 ( + 36)
3 - 0
Slovakia
Prob to win: 16.24%
Game ELO: 1789 -> 1753 ( -36)
Germany win: expected
Stade Pierre-Mauroy, Villeneuve-d'Ascq
Euro 2016 21-Jun-2016 18:00 1 Group C Northern Ireland
Prob to win: 10.19%
Game ELO: 1708 -> 1695 ( -13)
0 - 1
Germany
Prob to win: 89.81%
Game ELO: 2038 -> 2051 ( + 13)
Germany win: expected
Parc des Princes, Paris
Euro 2016 16-Jun-2016 21:00 1 Group C Germany
Prob to win: 76.70%
Game ELO: 2071 -> 2038 ( -33)
0 - 0
Poland
Prob to win: 23.30%
Game ELO: 1797 -> 1830 ( + 33)
Germany draw: upset (win expected)
Stade de France, Saint-Denis
Euro 2016 12-Jun-2016 21:00 1 Group C Germany
Prob to win: 90.02%
Game ELO: 2035 -> 2071 ( + 36)
2 - 0
Ukraine
Prob to win: 9.98%
Game ELO: 1837 -> 1801 ( -36)
Germany win: expected
Stade Pierre-Mauroy, Villeneuve-d'Ascq
Brazil 2014 13-Jul-2014 2 Final Germany
Prob to win: 76.70%
Game ELO: 2304 -> 2403 ( + 99)
1 - 0 (aet)
Argentina
Prob to win: 23.30%
Game ELO: 2226 -> 2196 ( -30)
Germany win: expected
Brazil 2014 08-Jul-2014 2 Semi Finals Brazil
Prob to win: 7.16%
Game ELO: 2199 -> 2023 ( -176)
1 - 7
Germany
Prob to win: 92.84%
Game ELO: 2197 -> 2373 ( + 176)
Germany win: expected
Brazil 2014 04-Jul-2014 2 Quarter Finals France
Prob to win: 8.95%
Game ELO: 2032 -> 2000 ( -32)
0 - 1
Germany
Prob to win: 91.05%
Game ELO: 2165 -> 2197 ( + 32)
Germany win: expected
Brazil 2014 30-Jun-2014 2 Top 16 Germany
Prob to win: 98.23%
Game ELO: 2158 -> 2165 ( + 7)
2 - 1 (aet)
Algeria
Prob to win: 1.77%
Game ELO: 1712 -> 1705 ( -7)
Germany win: expected
Brazil 2014 26-Jun-2014 1 Group G USA
Prob to win: 3.41%
Game ELO: 1880 -> 1862 ( -18)
0 - 1
Germany
Prob to win: 96.59%
Game ELO: 2140 -> 2158 ( + 18)
Germany win: expected
Recife
Brazil 2014 21-Jun-2014 1 Group G Germany
Prob to win: 98.37%
Game ELO: 2185 -> 2140 ( -45)
2 - 2
Ghana
Prob to win: 1.63%
Game ELO: 1680 -> 1725 ( + 45)
Germany draw: upset (win expected)
Fortaleza
Brazil 2014 16-Jun-2014 1 Group G Germany
Prob to win: 95.48%
Game ELO: 2073 -> 2185 ( + 112)
4 - 0
Portugal
Prob to win: 4.52%
Game ELO: 1943 -> 1831 ( -112)
Germany win: expected
Salvador
Euro 2012 28-Jun-2012 20:45 2 Semi Finals Germany
Prob to win: 59.66%
Game ELO: 0 -> 1116 ( + 1116)
1 - 2
Italy
Prob to win: 40.34%
Game ELO: 0 -> 1183 ( + 1183)
Germany loss: upset (win expected)
National Stadium, Warsaw
Euro 2012 22-Jun-2012 20:45 2 Quarter Finals Germany
Prob to win: 71.64%
Game ELO: 0 -> 1173 ( + 1173)
4 - 2
Greece
Prob to win: 28.36%
Game ELO: 0 -> 955 ( + 955)
Germany win: expected
PGE Arena, Gdansk
Euro 2012 17-Jun-2012 21:45 1 Group B Denmark
Prob to win: 27.78%
Game ELO: 986 -> 950 ( -36)
1 - 2
Germany
Prob to win: 72.22%
Game ELO: 1086 -> 1122 ( + 36)
Germany win: expected
Arena Lviv, Lviv
Euro 2012 13-Jun-2012 21:45 1 Group B Netherlands
Prob to win: 20.26%
Game ELO: 950 -> 914 ( -36)
1 - 2
Germany
Prob to win: 79.74%
Game ELO: 1050 -> 1086 ( + 36)
Germany win: expected
Metalist Stadium, Kharkiv
Euro 2012 09-Jun-2012 21:45 1 Group B Germany
Prob to win: 59.94%
Game ELO: 0 -> 1050 ( + 1050)
1 - 0
Portugal
Prob to win: 40.06%
Game ELO: 0 -> 950 ( + 950)
Germany win: expected
Arena Lviv, Lviv
South Africa 2010 10-Jul-2010 20:30 2 3rd Place Uruguay
Prob to win: 18.99%
Game ELO: 1973 -> 1959 ( -14)
2 - 3
Germany
Prob to win: 81.01%
Game ELO: 2188 -> 2211 ( + 23)
Germany win: expected
Port Elizabeth Joachim Löw
South Africa 2010 07-Jul-2010 20:30 2 Semi Finals Germany
Prob to win: 44.84%
Game ELO: 2255 -> 2188 ( -67)
0 - 1
Spain
Prob to win: 55.16%
Game ELO: 2132 -> 2199 ( + 67)
Germany loss: expected
Durban Joachim Löw
South Africa 2010 03-Jul-2010 16:00 2 Quarter Finals Argentina
Prob to win: 14.59%
Game ELO: 2081 -> 1904 ( -177)
0 - 4
Germany
Prob to win: 85.41%
Game ELO: 2078 -> 2255 ( + 177)
Germany win: expected
Cape Town Joachim Löw
South Africa 2010 27-Jun-2010 20:30 2 Top 16 Germany
Prob to win: 88.05%
Game ELO: 1988 -> 2078 ( + 90)
4 - 1
England
Prob to win: 11.95%
Game ELO: 1954 -> 1864 ( -90)
Germany win: expected
Johannesburg Joachim Löw
South Africa 2010 23-Jun-2010 20:30 1 Group D Ghana
Prob to win: 6.61%
Game ELO: 1749 -> 1727 ( -22)
0 - 1
Germany
Prob to win: 93.39%
Game ELO: 1966 -> 1988 ( + 22)
Germany win: expected
Johannesburg - JSC Joachim Löw
South Africa 2010 18-Jun-2010 13:30 1 Group D Germany
Prob to win: 92.16%
Game ELO: 2049 -> 1966 ( -83)
0 - 1
Serbia
Prob to win: 7.84%
Game ELO: 1771 -> 1854 ( + 83)
Germany loss: upset (win expected)
Nelson Mandela Bay Joachim Löw
South Africa 2010 13-Jun-2010 20:30 1 Group D Germany
Prob to win: 92.80%
Game ELO: 1958 -> 2049 ( + 91)
4 - 0
Australia
Prob to win: 7.20%
Game ELO: 1777 -> 1686 ( -91)
Germany win: expected
Durban Joachim Löw
Euro 2008 29-Jun-2008 20:45 2 Final Germany
Prob to win: 24.55%
Game ELO: 0 -> 1126 ( + 1126)
0 - 1
Spain
Prob to win: 75.45%
Game ELO: 0 -> 1321 ( + 1321)
Germany loss: expected
Ernst-Happel-Stadion, Vienna
Euro 2008 25-Jun-2008 20:45 2 Semi Finals Germany
Prob to win: 57.71%
Game ELO: 0 -> 1158 ( + 1158)
3 - 2
Turkey
Prob to win: 42.29%
Game ELO: 0 -> 1072 ( + 1072)
Germany win: expected
St. Jakob-Park, Basel
Euro 2008 19-Jun-2008 20:45 2 Quarter Finals Portugal
Prob to win: 30.02%
Game ELO: 0 -> 979 ( + 979)
2 - 3
Germany
Prob to win: 69.98%
Game ELO: 0 -> 1105 ( + 1105)
Germany win: expected
St. Jakob-Park, Basel
Euro 2008 16-Jun-2008 20:45 1 Group B Austria
Prob to win: 22.09%
Game ELO: 946 -> 907 ( -39)
0 - 1
Germany
Prob to win: 77.91%
Game ELO: 1021 -> 1060 ( + 39)
Germany win: expected
Ernst-Happel-Stadion, Vienna
Euro 2008 12-Jun-2008 18:00 1 Group B Croatia
Prob to win: 37.20%
Game ELO: 1050 -> 1104 ( + 54)
2 - 1
Germany
Prob to win: 62.80%
Game ELO: 1075 -> 1021 ( -54)
Germany loss: upset (win expected)
Wörthersee Stadion, Klagenfurt
Euro 2008 08-Jun-2008 20:45 1 Group B Germany
Prob to win: 78.41%
Game ELO: 0 -> 1075 ( + 1075)
2 - 0
Poland
Prob to win: 21.59%
Game ELO: 0 -> 925 ( + 925)
Germany win: expected
Wörthersee Stadion, Klagenfurt
Germany 2006 08-Jul-2006 2 3rd Place Germany
Prob to win: 70.10%
Game ELO: 2083 -> 2143 ( + 60)
3 - 1
Portugal
Prob to win: 29.90%
Game ELO: 2070 -> 1995 ( -75)
Germany win: expected
Stuttgart Jürgen Klinsmann
Germany 2006 04-Jul-2006 2 Semi Finals Germany
Prob to win: 33.39%
Game ELO: 2175 -> 2068 ( -107)
0 - 2 (aet)
Italy
Prob to win: 66.61%
Game ELO: 2114 -> 2197 ( + 83)
Germany loss: expected
Dortmund Jürgen Klinsmann
Germany 2006 30-Jun-2006 2 Quarter Finals Germany
Prob to win: 70.22%
Game ELO: 2078 -> 2151 ( + 73)
1 - 1 (aet)
4 - 2 (pen)
Argentina
Prob to win: 29.78%
Game ELO: 2067 -> 1994 ( -73)
Germany win: expected
Hamburg Jürgen Klinsmann
Germany 2006 24-Jun-2006 2 Top 16 Germany
Prob to win: 84.98%
Game ELO: 2033 -> 2078 ( + 45)
2 - 0
Sweden
Prob to win: 15.02%
Game ELO: 1887 -> 1842 ( -45)
Germany win: expected
Munich Jürgen Klinsmann
Germany 2006 20-Jun-2006 1 Group A Ecuador
Prob to win: 10.41%
Game ELO: 1867 -> 1793 ( -74)
0 - 3
Germany
Prob to win: 89.59%
Game ELO: 1959 -> 2033 ( + 74)
Germany win: expected
Jürgen Klinsmann
Germany 2006 14-Jun-2006 1 Group A Germany
Prob to win: 91.14%
Game ELO: 1937 -> 1959 ( + 22)
1 - 0
Poland
Prob to win: 8.86%
Game ELO: 1722 -> 1700 ( -22)
Germany win: expected
Jürgen Klinsmann
Germany 2006 09-Jun-2006 1 Group A Germany
Prob to win: 96.30%
Game ELO: 1897 -> 1937 ( + 40)
4 - 2
Costa Rica
Prob to win: 3.70%
Game ELO: 1723 -> 1683 ( -40)
Germany win: expected
Jürgen Klinsmann
Euro 2004 23-Jun-2004 19:45 1 Group D Germany
Prob to win: 26.30%
Game ELO: 993 -> 957 ( -36)
1 - 2
Czech Republic
Prob to win: 73.70%
Game ELO: 1093 -> 1129 ( + 36)
Germany loss: expected
Estádio José Alvalade, Lisbon
Euro 2004 19-Jun-2004 17:00 1 Group D Latvia
Prob to win: 35.99%
Game ELO: 950 -> 957 ( + 7)
0 - 0
Germany
Prob to win: 64.01%
Game ELO: 1000 -> 993 ( -7)
Germany draw: upset (win expected)
Estádio do Bessa, Porto
Euro 2004 15-Jun-2004 19:45 1 Group D Germany
Prob to win: 34.16%
Game ELO: 0 -> 1000 ( + 1000)
1 - 1
Netherlands
Prob to win: 65.84%
Game ELO: 0 -> 1000 ( + 1000)
Germany draw: upset (loss expected)
Estádio do Dragão, Porto
Korea/ Japan 2002 30-Jun-2002 2 Final Germany
Prob to win: 27.20%
Game ELO: 2110 -> 2035 ( -75)
0 - 2
Brazil
Prob to win: 72.80%
Game ELO: 2115 -> 2206 ( + 91)
Germany loss: expected
Yokohama Rudi Völler
Korea/ Japan 2002 25-Jun-2002 2 Semi Finals Germany
Prob to win: 64.01%
Game ELO: 2053 -> 2102 ( + 49)
1 - 0
South Korea
Prob to win: 35.99%
Game ELO: 2049 -> 2000 ( -49)
Germany win: expected
Seoul Rudi Völler
Korea/ Japan 2002 22-Jun-2002 2 Quarter Finals Germany
Prob to win: 76.60%
Game ELO: 2025 -> 2053 ( + 28)
1 - 0 (aet)
USA
Prob to win: 23.40%
Game ELO: 1857 -> 1829 ( -28)
Germany win: expected
Gwangju Rudi Völler
Korea/ Japan 2002 15-Jun-2002 2 Top 16 Germany
Prob to win: 84.60%
Game ELO: 2005 -> 2025 ( + 20)
1 - 0
Paraguay
Prob to win: 15.40%
Game ELO: 1759 -> 1739 ( -20)
Germany win: expected
Seogwipo Rudi Völler
Korea/ Japan 2002 11-Jun-2002 1 Group E Cameroon
Prob to win: 19.53%
Game ELO: 1841 -> 1789 ( -52)
0 - 2
Germany
Prob to win: 80.47%
Game ELO: 1953 -> 2005 ( + 52)
Germany win: expected
Shizuoka Stadium, Shizuoka Rudi Völler
Korea/ Japan 2002 05-Jun-2002 1 Group E Germany
Prob to win: 71.29%
Game ELO: 1968 -> 1953 ( -15)
1 - 1
Republic of Ireland
Prob to win: 28.71%
Game ELO: 1864 -> 1879 ( + 15)
Germany draw: upset (win expected)
Kashima Stadium, Ibaraki Rudi Völler
Korea/ Japan 2002 01-Jun-2002 1 Group E Germany
Prob to win: 94.10%
Game ELO: 1870 -> 1968 ( + 98)
8 - 0
Saudi Arabia
Prob to win: 5.90%
Game ELO: 1706 -> 1608 ( -98)
Germany win: expected
Sapporo Dome, Sapporo Rudi Völler
Euro 2000 20-Jun-2000 20:45 1 Group A Portugal
Prob to win: 81.45%
Game ELO: 1093 -> 1152 ( + 59)
3 - 0
Germany
Prob to win: 18.55%
Game ELO: 943 -> 884 ( -59)
Germany loss: expected
Feijenoord Stadion, Rotterdam
Euro 2000 17-Jun-2000 20:45 1 Group A England
Prob to win: 59.39%
Game ELO: 950 -> 1007 ( + 57)
1 - 0
Germany
Prob to win: 40.61%
Game ELO: 1000 -> 943 ( -57)
Germany loss: expected
Stade du Pays de Charleroi, Charleroi
Euro 2000 12-Jun-2000 18:00 1 Group A Germany
Prob to win: 38.28%
Game ELO: 0 -> 1000 ( + 1000)
1 - 1
Romania
Prob to win: 61.72%
Game ELO: 0 -> 1000 ( + 1000)
Germany draw: upset (loss expected)
Stade Maurice Dufrasne, Liège
France 1998 04-Jul-1998 2 Quarter Finals Germany
Prob to win: 26.86%
Game ELO: 2080 -> 1963 ( -117)
0 - 3
Croatia
Prob to win: 73.14%
Game ELO: 2021 -> 2138 ( + 117)
Germany loss: expected
Lyon Berti Vogts
France 1998 29-Jun-1998 2 Top 16 Germany
Prob to win: 60.49%
Game ELO: 2047 -> 2080 ( + 33)
2 - 1
Mexico
Prob to win: 39.51%
Game ELO: 1922 -> 1889 ( -33)
Germany win: expected
Montpellier Berti Vogts
France 1998 25-Jun-1998 1 Group F Germany
Prob to win: 83.13%
Game ELO: 2026 -> 2047 ( + 21)
2 - 0
Iran
Prob to win: 16.87%
Game ELO: 1707 -> 1686 ( -21)
Germany win: expected
Stade de la Mosson, Montpellier Berti Vogts
France 1998 21-Jun-1998 1 Group F Germany
Prob to win: 51.87%
Game ELO: 2034 -> 2026 ( -8)
2 - 2
Yugoslavia
Prob to win: 48.13%
Game ELO: 1979 -> 1987 ( + 8)
Germany draw: upset (win expected)
Stade Félix Bollaert, Lens Berti Vogts
France 1998 15-Jun-1998 1 Group F Germany
Prob to win: 88.23%
Game ELO: 2013 -> 2034 ( + 21)
2 - 0
USA
Prob to win: 11.77%
Game ELO: 1698 -> 1677 ( -21)
Germany win: expected
Parc des Princes, Paris Berti Vogts
Euro 1996 30-Jun-1996 19:00 2 Final Czech Republic
Prob to win: 27.32%
Game ELO: 0 -> 1080 ( + 1080)
1 - 2 (aet)
Germany
Prob to win: 72.68%
Game ELO: 0 -> 1250 ( + 1250)
Germany win: expected
Wembley Stadium, London
Euro 1996 26-Jun-1996 19:30 2 Semi Finals Germany
Prob to win: 62.27%
Game ELO: 0 -> 1214 ( + 1214)
1 - 1 (aet)
6 - 5 (pen)
England
Prob to win: 37.73%
Game ELO: 0 -> 1163 ( + 1163)
Germany win: expected
Wembley Stadium, London
Euro 1996 23-Jun-1996 15:00 2 Quarter Finals Germany
Prob to win: 82.96%
Game ELO: 0 -> 1154 ( + 1154)
2 - 1
Croatia
Prob to win: 17.04%
Game ELO: 0 -> 975 ( + 975)
Germany win: expected
Old Trafford, Manchester
Euro 1996 19-Jun-1996 19:30 1 Group C Italy
Prob to win: 19.53%
Game ELO: 983 -> 1004 ( + 21)
0 - 0
Germany
Prob to win: 80.47%
Game ELO: 1140 -> 1119 ( -21)
Germany draw: upset (win expected)
Old Trafford, Manchester
Euro 1996 16-Jun-1996 15:00 1 Group C Russia
Prob to win: 11.77%
Game ELO: 950 -> 885 ( -65)
0 - 3
Germany
Prob to win: 88.23%
Game ELO: 1075 -> 1140 ( + 65)
Germany win: expected
Old Trafford, Manchester
Euro 1996 09-Jun-1996 17:00 1 Group C Germany
Prob to win: 72.68%
Game ELO: 0 -> 1075 ( + 1075)
2 - 0
Czech Republic
Prob to win: 27.32%
Game ELO: 0 -> 925 ( + 925)
Germany win: expected
Old Trafford, Manchester
USA 1994 10-Jul-1994 2 Quarter Finals Germany
Prob to win: 72.45%
Game ELO: 2043 -> 1986 ( -57)
1 - 2
Bulgaria
Prob to win: 27.55%
Game ELO: 1993 -> 2050 ( + 57)
Germany loss: upset (win expected)
East Rutherford Berti Vogts
USA 1994 02-Jul-1994 2 Top 16 Germany
Prob to win: 72.68%
Game ELO: 2016 -> 2043 ( + 27)
3 - 2
Belgium
Prob to win: 27.32%
Game ELO: 1843 -> 1816 ( -27)
Germany win: expected
Chicago Berti Vogts
USA 1994 27-Jun-1994 1 Group C Germany
Prob to win: 85.41%
Game ELO: 2002 -> 2016 ( + 14)
3 - 2
South Korea
Prob to win: 14.59%
Game ELO: 1693 -> 1679 ( -14)
Germany win: expected
Cotton Bowl, Dallas Berti Vogts
USA 1994 21-Jun-1994 1 Group C Germany
Prob to win: 55.16%
Game ELO: 2024 -> 2002 ( -22)
1 - 1
Spain
Prob to win: 44.84%
Game ELO: 1864 -> 1886 ( + 22)
Germany draw: upset (win expected)
Soldier Field, Chicago Berti Vogts
USA 1994 17-Jun-1994 1 Group C Germany
Prob to win: 87.31%
Game ELO: 2009 -> 2024 ( + 15)
1 - 0
Bolivia
Prob to win: 12.69%
Game ELO: 1701 -> 1686 ( -15)
Germany win: expected
Soldier Field, Chicago Berti Vogts
Euro 1992 26-Jun-1992 20:15 2 Final Denmark
Prob to win: 71.99%
Game ELO: 0 -> 1143 ( + 1143)
2 - 0
Germany
Prob to win: 28.01%
Game ELO: 0 -> 979 ( + 979)
Germany loss: expected
Ullevi, Gothenburg
Euro 1992 21-Jun-1992 20:15 2 Semi Finals Sweden
Prob to win: 57.01%
Game ELO: 0 -> 1028 ( + 1028)
2 - 3
Germany
Prob to win: 42.99%
Game ELO: 0 -> 1049 ( + 1049)
Germany win: upset (loss expected)
Råsunda Stadium, Solna
Euro 1992 18-Jun-1992 20:15 1 Group B Netherlands
Prob to win: 61.04%
Game ELO: 1043 -> 1123 ( + 80)
3 - 1
Germany
Prob to win: 38.96%
Game ELO: 1064 -> 984 ( -80)
Germany loss: expected
Ullevi, Gothenburg
Euro 1992 15-Jun-1992 17:15 1 Group B Scotland
Prob to win: 55.73%
Game ELO: 950 -> 886 ( -64)
0 - 2
Germany
Prob to win: 44.27%
Game ELO: 1000 -> 1064 ( + 64)
Germany win: upset (loss expected)
Idrottsparken, Norrköping
Euro 1992 12-Jun-1992 20:15 1 Group B CIS
Prob to win: 35.33%
Game ELO: 0 -> 1000 ( + 1000)
1 - 1
Germany
Prob to win: 64.67%
Game ELO: 0 -> 1000 ( + 1000)
Germany draw: upset (win expected)
Idrottsparken, Norrköping
Italy 1990 08-Jul-1990 2 Final Argentina
Prob to win: 26.52%
Game ELO: 2041 -> 2006 ( -35)
0 - 1
West Germany
Prob to win: 73.48%
Game ELO: 2148 -> 2183 ( + 35)
Rome Franz Beckenbauer
Italy 1990 04-Jul-1990 2 Semi Finals West Germany
Prob to win: 79.83%
Game ELO: 2111 -> 2148 ( + 37)
1 - 1 (aet)
4 - 3 (pen)
England
Prob to win: 20.17%
Game ELO: 2022 -> 1985 ( -37)
Turin Franz Beckenbauer
Italy 1990 01-Jul-1990 2 Quarter Finals West Germany
Prob to win: 82.80%
Game ELO: 2080 -> 2111 ( + 31)
1 - 0
Czechoslovakia
Prob to win: 17.20%
Game ELO: 1941 -> 1910 ( -31)
Milan Franz Beckenbauer
Italy 1990 24-Jun-1990 2 Top 16 West Germany
Prob to win: 81.27%
Game ELO: 2040 -> 2080 ( + 40)
2 - 1
Netherlands
Prob to win: 18.73%
Game ELO: 1968 -> 1928 ( -40)
Milan Franz Beckenbauer
Italy 1990 19-Jun-1990 1 Group D West Germany
Prob to win: 93.28%
Game ELO: 2075 -> 2040 ( -35)
1 - 1
Colombia
Prob to win: 6.72%
Game ELO: 1768 -> 1803 ( + 35)
San Siro, Milan Franz Beckenbauer
Italy 1990 15-Jun-1990 1 Group D West Germany
Prob to win: 98.80%
Game ELO: 2066 -> 2075 ( + 9)
5 - 1
United Arab Emirates
Prob to win: 1.20%
Game ELO: 1441 -> 1432 ( -9)
San Siro, Milan Franz Beckenbauer
Italy 1990 10-Jun-1990 1 Group D West Germany
Prob to win: 83.84%
Game ELO: 1994 -> 2066 ( + 72)
4 - 1
Yugoslavia
Prob to win: 16.16%
Game ELO: 1893 -> 1821 ( -72)
San Siro, Milan Franz Beckenbauer
Euro 1988 21-Jun-1988 20:15 2 Semi Finals West Germany
Prob to win: 50.00%
Game ELO: 0 -> 0 ( + 0)
1 - 2
Netherlands
Prob to win: 50.00%
Game ELO: 0 -> 0 ( + 0)
Volksparkstadion, Hamburg
Euro 1988 17-Jun-1988 20:15 1 Group A West Germany
Prob to win: 50.00%
Game ELO: 0 -> 0 ( + 0)
2 - 0
Spain
Prob to win: 50.00%
Game ELO: 0 -> 0 ( + 0)
Olympiastadion, Munich
Euro 1988 14-Jun-1988 17:15 1 Group A West Germany
Prob to win: 50.00%
Game ELO: 0 -> 0 ( + 0)
2 - 0
Denmark
Prob to win: 50.00%
Game ELO: 0 -> 0 ( + 0)
Parkstadion, Gelsenkirchen
Euro 1988 10-Jun-1988 20:15 1 Group A West Germany
Prob to win: 50.00%
Game ELO: 0 -> 0 ( + 0)
1 - 1
Italy
Prob to win: 50.00%
Game ELO: 0 -> 0 ( + 0)
Rheinstadion, Düsseldorf
Mexico 1986 29-Jun-1986 2 Final West Germany
Prob to win: 40.20%
Game ELO: 2141 -> 2085 ( -56)
2 - 3
Argentina
Prob to win: 59.80%
Game ELO: 2098 -> 2154 ( + 56)
Mexico City Franz Beckenbauer
Mexico 1986 25-Jun-1986 2 Semi Finals France
Prob to win: 52.01%
Game ELO: 2151 -> 2053 ( -98)
0 - 2
West Germany
Prob to win: 47.99%
Game ELO: 2043 -> 2141 ( + 98)
Guadalajara Franz Beckenbauer
Mexico 1986 21-Jun-1986 2 Quarter Finals West Germany
Prob to win: 80.11%
Game ELO: 1943 -> 2043 ( + 100)
0 - 0 (aet)
4 - 1 (pen)
Mexico
Prob to win: 19.89%
Game ELO: 1943 -> 1843 ( -100)
Monterrey Franz Beckenbauer
Mexico 1986 17-Jun-1986 2 Top 16 Morocco
Prob to win: 13.48%
Game ELO: 1797 -> 1762 ( -35)
0 - 1
West Germany
Prob to win: 86.52%
Game ELO: 1908 -> 1943 ( + 35)
Monterrey Franz Beckenbauer
Mexico 1986 13-Jun-1986 1 Group E West Germany
Prob to win: 78.60%
Game ELO: 1960 -> 1908 ( -52)
0 - 2
Denmark
Prob to win: 21.40%
Game ELO: 2068 -> 2120 ( + 52)
Estadio La Corregidora, Querétaro Franz Beckenbauer
Mexico 1986 08-Jun-1986 1 Group E West Germany
Prob to win: 85.27%
Game ELO: 1924 -> 1960 ( + 36)
2 - 1
Scotland
Prob to win: 14.73%
Game ELO: 1826 -> 1790 ( -36)
Estadio La Corregidora, Querétaro Franz Beckenbauer
Mexico 1986 04-Jun-1986 1 Group E West Germany
Prob to win: 89.86%
Game ELO: 1939 -> 1924 ( -15)
1 - 1
Uruguay
Prob to win: 10.14%
Game ELO: 1831 -> 1846 ( + 15)
Estadio La Corregidora, Querétaro Franz Beckenbauer
Euro 1984 20-Jun-1984 20:30 1 Group B West Germany
Prob to win: 38.55%
Game ELO: 1050 -> 993 ( -57)
0 - 1
Spain
Prob to win: 61.45%
Game ELO: 1000 -> 1057 ( + 57)
Parc des Princes, Paris
Euro 1984 17-Jun-1984 17:15 1 Group B West Germany
Prob to win: 62.13%
Game ELO: 1000 -> 1050 ( + 50)
2 - 1
Romania
Prob to win: 37.87%
Game ELO: 1000 -> 950 ( -50)
Stade Félix-Bollaert, Lens
Euro 1984 14-Jun-1984 17:15 1 Group B West Germany
Prob to win: 46.27%
Game ELO: 0 -> 1000 ( + 1000)
0 - 0
Portugal
Prob to win: 53.73%
Game ELO: 0 -> 1000 ( + 1000)
Stade de la Meinau, Strasbourg
Spain 1982 11-Jul-1982 3 Final Italy
Prob to win: 68.01%
Game ELO: 2105 -> 2188 ( + 83)
3 - 1
West Germany
Prob to win: 31.99%
Game ELO: 2140 -> 2057 ( -83)
Madrid Jupp Derwall
Spain 1982 08-Jul-1982 3 Semi Finals West Germany
Prob to win: 68.63%
Game ELO: 2105 -> 2140 ( + 35)
3 - 3 (aet)
5 - 4 (pen)
France
Prob to win: 31.37%
Game ELO: 2001 -> 1966 ( -35)
Seville Jupp Derwall
Spain 1982 02-Jul-1982 2 Group B West Germany
Prob to win: 76.70%
Game ELO: 2086 -> 2105 ( + 19)
2 - 1
Spain
Prob to win: 23.30%
Game ELO: 1838 -> 1819 ( -19)
Estadio Santiago Bernabéu, Madrid Jupp Derwall
Spain 1982 29-Jun-1982 2 Group B West Germany
Prob to win: 52.01%
Game ELO: 2089 -> 2086 ( -3)
0 - 0
England
Prob to win: 47.99%
Game ELO: 2071 -> 2074 ( + 3)
Estadio Santiago Bernabéu, Madrid Jupp Derwall
Spain 1982 25-Jun-1982 1 Group 2 West Germany
Prob to win: 74.25%
Game ELO: 2049 -> 2089 ( + 40)
1 - 0
Austria
Prob to win: 25.75%
Game ELO: 1982 -> 1942 ( -40)
El Molinón, Gijón Jupp Derwall
Spain 1982 20-Jun-1982 1 Group 2 West Germany
Prob to win: 90.91%
Game ELO: 2015 -> 2049 ( + 34)
4 - 1
Chile
Prob to win: 9.09%
Game ELO: 1741 -> 1707 ( -34)
El Molinón, Gijón Jupp Derwall
Spain 1982 16-Jun-1982 1 Group 2 West Germany
Prob to win: 85.05%
Game ELO: 2108 -> 2015 ( -93)
1 - 2
Algeria
Prob to win: 14.95%
Game ELO: 1647 -> 1740 ( + 93)
El Molinón, Gijón Jupp Derwall
Euro 1980 22-Jun-1980 20:30 2 Final Belgium
Prob to win: 34.03%
Game ELO: 0 -> 1003 ( + 1003)
1 - 2
West Germany
Prob to win: 65.97%
Game ELO: 0 -> 1118 ( + 1118)
Stadio Olimpico, Rome
Euro 1980 17-Jun-1980 20:30 1 Group A Greece
Prob to win: 22.59%
Game ELO: 875 -> 904 ( + 29)
0 - 0
West Germany
Prob to win: 77.41%
Game ELO: 1100 -> 1071 ( -29)
Stadio Comunale, Turin
Euro 1980 14-Jun-1980 17:45 1 Group A West Germany
Prob to win: 65.84%
Game ELO: 1050 -> 1100 ( + 50)
3 - 2
Netherlands
Prob to win: 34.16%
Game ELO: 1050 -> 1000 ( -50)
Stadio San Paolo, Naples
Euro 1980 11-Jun-1980 17:45 1 Group A Czechoslovakia
Prob to win: 43.84%
Game ELO: 0 -> 950 ( + 950)
0 - 1
West Germany
Prob to win: 56.16%
Game ELO: 0 -> 1050 ( + 1050)
Stadio Olimpico, Rome
Argentina 1978 21-Jun-1978 2 Group A Austria
Prob to win: 31.12%
Game ELO: 1771 -> 1857 ( + 86)
3 - 2
West Germany
Prob to win: 68.88%
Game ELO: 2081 -> 1995 ( -86)
Estadio Chateau Carreras, Córdoba Helmut Schön
Argentina 1978 18-Jun-1978 2 Group A Netherlands
Prob to win: 63.34%
Game ELO: 2138 -> 2128 ( -10)
2 - 2
West Germany
Prob to win: 36.66%
Game ELO: 2071 -> 2081 ( + 10)
Estadio Chateau Carreras, Córdoba Helmut Schön
Argentina 1978 14-Jun-1978 2 Group A Italy
Prob to win: 52.59%
Game ELO: 2077 -> 2076 ( -1)
0 - 0
West Germany
Prob to win: 47.41%
Game ELO: 2070 -> 2071 ( + 1)
Estadio Monumental, Buenos Aires Helmut Schön
Argentina 1978 10-Jun-1978 1 Group 2 West Germany
Prob to win: 76.39%
Game ELO: 2109 -> 2070 ( -39)
0 - 0
Tunisia
Prob to win: 23.61%
Game ELO: 1752 -> 1791 ( + 39)
Estadio Olímpico Chateau Carreras, Córdoba Helmut Schön
Argentina 1978 06-Jun-1978 1 Group 2 West Germany
Prob to win: 88.65%
Game ELO: 2074 -> 2109 ( + 35)
6 - 0
Mexico
Prob to win: 11.35%
Game ELO: 1694 -> 1659 ( -35)
Estadio Chateau Carreras, Córdoba Helmut Schön
Argentina 1978 01-Jun-1978 1 Group 2 West Germany
Prob to win: 60.90%
Game ELO: 2096 -> 2074 ( -22)
0 - 0
Poland
Prob to win: 39.10%
Game ELO: 1929 -> 1951 ( + 22)
Estadio Monumental, Buenos Aires Helmut Schön
Euro 1976 20-Jun-1976 20:15 1 Final Czechoslovakia
Prob to win: 70.34%
Game ELO: 1075 -> 1150 ( + 75)
2 - 2 (aet)
5 - 3 (pen)
West Germany
Prob to win: 29.66%
Game ELO: 1075 -> 1000 ( -75)
Red Star Stadium, Belgrade
Euro 1976 17-Jun-1976 20:15 1 Semi Finals Yugoslavia
Prob to win: 32.75%
Game ELO: 0 -> 925 ( + 925)
2 - 4 (aet)
West Germany
Prob to win: 67.25%
Game ELO: 0 -> 1075 ( + 1075)
Red Star Stadium, Belgrade
West Germany 1974 07-Jul-1974 3 Final Netherlands
Prob to win: 38.41%
Game ELO: 2228 -> 2175 ( -53)
1 - 2
West Germany
Prob to win: 61.59%
Game ELO: 2204 -> 2257 ( + 53)
Olympiastadion, Munich Helmut Schön
West Germany 1974 03-Jul-1974 2 Group A Argentina
Prob to win: 31.99%
Game ELO: 1751 -> 1775 ( + 24)
1 - 1
East Germany
Prob to win: 68.01%
Game ELO: 1930 -> 1906 ( -24)
Parkstadion, Gelsenkirchen Georg Buschner
West Germany 1974 03-Jul-1974 2 Group B Poland
Prob to win: 33.13%
Game ELO: 2135 -> 2088 ( -47)
0 - 1
West Germany
Prob to win: 66.87%
Game ELO: 2157 -> 2204 ( + 47)
Waldstadion, Frankfurt Helmut Schön
West Germany 1974 30-Jun-1974 2 Group A East Germany
Prob to win: 17.53%
Game ELO: 1977 -> 1930 ( -47)
0 - 2
Netherlands
Prob to win: 82.47%
Game ELO: 2112 -> 2159 ( + 47)
Parkstadion, Gelsenkirchen Georg Buschner
West Germany 1974 30-Jun-1974 2 Group B West Germany
Prob to win: 86.98%
Game ELO: 2124 -> 2157 ( + 33)
4 - 2
Sweden
Prob to win: 13.02%
Game ELO: 1903 -> 1870 ( -33)
Rheinstadion, Düsseldorf Helmut Schön
West Germany 1974 26-Jun-1974 2 Group A Brazil
Prob to win: 65.45%
Game ELO: 2081 -> 2122 ( + 41)
1 - 0
East Germany
Prob to win: 34.55%
Game ELO: 2018 -> 1977 ( -41)
Niedersachsenstadion, Hanover Georg Buschner
West Germany 1974 26-Jun-1974 2 Group B Yugoslavia
Prob to win: 9.28%
Game ELO: 2011 -> 1947 ( -64)
0 - 2
West Germany
Prob to win: 90.72%
Game ELO: 2060 -> 2124 ( + 64)
Rheinstadion, Düsseldorf Helmut Schön
West Germany 1974 22-Jun-1974 1 Group 1 East Germany
Prob to win: 11.71%
Game ELO: 1943 -> 2018 ( + 75)
1 - 0
West Germany
Prob to win: 88.29%
Game ELO: 2135 -> 2060 ( -75)
Volksparkstadion, Hamburg Georg Buschner
West Germany 1974 22-Jun-1974 1 Group 1 East Germany
Prob to win: 11.71%
Game ELO: 1943 -> 2018 ( + 75)
1 - 0
West Germany
Prob to win: 88.29%
Game ELO: 2135 -> 2060 ( -75)
Volksparkstadion, Hamburg Helmut Schön
West Germany 1974 18-Jun-1974 1 Group 1 Australia
Prob to win: 3.28%
Game ELO: 1663 -> 1650 ( -13)
0 - 3
West Germany
Prob to win: 96.72%
Game ELO: 2122 -> 2135 ( + 13)
Volksparkstadion, Hamburg Helmut Schön
West Germany 1974 18-Jun-1974 1 Group 1 Chile
Prob to win: 31.87%
Game ELO: 1767 -> 1793 ( + 26)
1 - 1
East Germany
Prob to win: 68.13%
Game ELO: 1969 -> 1943 ( -26)
Olympiastadion, West Berlin Georg Buschner
West Germany 1974 14-Jun-1974 1 Group 1 West Germany
Prob to win: 94.16%
Game ELO: 2109 -> 2122 ( + 13)
1 - 0
Chile
Prob to win: 5.84%
Game ELO: 1780 -> 1767 ( -13)
Olympiastadion, West Berlin Helmut Schön
West Germany 1974 14-Jun-1974 1 Group 1 East Germany
Prob to win: 79.65%
Game ELO: 1940 -> 1969 ( + 29)
2 - 0
Australia
Prob to win: 20.35%
Game ELO: 1692 -> 1663 ( -29)
Volksparkstadion, Hamburg Georg Buschner
Euro 1972 18-Jun-1972 16:00 1 3rd Place West Germany
Prob to win: 50.00%
Game ELO: 0 -> 0 ( + 0)
3 - 0
Soviet Union
Prob to win: 50.00%
Game ELO: 0 -> 0 ( + 0)
Heysel Stadium, Brussels
Euro 1972 14-Jun-1972 20:00 1 Semi Finals Belgium
Prob to win: 50.00%
Game ELO: 0 -> 0 ( + 0)
1 - 2
West Germany
Prob to win: 50.00%
Game ELO: 0 -> 0 ( + 0)
Bosuilstadion, Antwerp
Mexico 1970 20-Jun-1970 2 3rd Place Uruguay
Prob to win: 20.92%
Game ELO: 1888 -> 1861 ( -27)
0 - 1
West Germany
Prob to win: 79.08%
Game ELO: 2065 -> 2092 ( + 27)
Mexico City Helmut Schön
Mexico 1970 17-Jun-1970 2 Semi Finals Italy
Prob to win: 41.17%
Game ELO: 2039 -> 2101 ( + 62)
4 - 3 (aet)
West Germany
Prob to win: 58.83%
Game ELO: 2127 -> 2065 ( -62)
Mexico City Helmut Schön
Mexico 1970 14-Jun-1970 2 Quarter Finals West Germany
Prob to win: 61.59%
Game ELO: 2080 -> 2127 ( + 47)
3 - 2 (aet)
England
Prob to win: 38.41%
Game ELO: 2057 -> 2010 ( -47)
León Helmut Schön
Mexico 1970 10-Jun-1970 1 Group 4 West Germany
Prob to win: 84.98%
Game ELO: 2043 -> 2080 ( + 37)
3 - 1
Peru
Prob to win: 15.02%
Game ELO: 1846 -> 1809 ( -37)
Estadio Nou Camp, León Helmut Schön
Mexico 1970 07-Jun-1970 1 Group 4 West Germany
Prob to win: 90.81%
Game ELO: 2006 -> 2043 ( + 37)
5 - 2
Bulgaria
Prob to win: 9.19%
Game ELO: 1746 -> 1709 ( -37)
Estadio Nou Camp, León Helmut Schön
Mexico 1970 03-Jun-1970 1 Group 4 West Germany
Prob to win: 93.94%
Game ELO: 1991 -> 2006 ( + 15)
2 - 1
Morocco
Prob to win: 6.06%
Game ELO: 1687 -> 1672 ( -15)
Estadio Nou Camp, León Helmut Schön
England 1966 30-Jul-1966 2 Final England
Prob to win: 66.87%
Game ELO: 2140 -> 2226 ( + 86)
4 - 2 (aet)
West Germany
Prob to win: 33.13%
Game ELO: 2190 -> 2104 ( -86)
London Helmut Schön
England 1966 25-Jul-1966 2 Semi Finals West Germany
Prob to win: 59.94%
Game ELO: 2139 -> 2190 ( + 51)
2 - 1
Soviet Union
Prob to win: 40.06%
Game ELO: 2143 -> 2092 ( -51)
Liverpool Helmut Schön
England 1966 23-Jul-1966 2 Quarter Finals West Germany
Prob to win: 86.45%
Game ELO: 2032 -> 2139 ( + 107)
4 - 0
Uruguay
Prob to win: 13.55%
Game ELO: 1889 -> 1782 ( -107)
Sheffield Helmut Schön
England 1966 20-Jul-1966 1 Group 2 West Germany
Prob to win: 82.22%
Game ELO: 2000 -> 2032 ( + 32)
2 - 1
Spain
Prob to win: 17.78%
Game ELO: 1870 -> 1838 ( -32)
Villa Park, Birmingham Helmut Schön
England 1966 16-Jul-1966 1 Group 2 Argentina
Prob to win: 32.12%
Game ELO: 2011 -> 2009 ( -2)
0 - 0
West Germany
Prob to win: 67.88%
Game ELO: 1998 -> 2000 ( + 2)
Villa Park, Birmingham Helmut Schön
England 1966 12-Jul-1966 1 Group 2 West Germany
Prob to win: 95.79%
Game ELO: 1946 -> 1998 ( + 52)
5 - 0
Switzerland
Prob to win: 4.21%
Game ELO: 1642 -> 1590 ( -52)
Hillsborough Stadium, Sheffield Helmut Schön
Chile 1962 10-Jun-1962 2 Quarter Finals West Germany
Prob to win: 55.02%
Game ELO: 1980 -> 1933 ( -47)
0 - 1
Yugoslavia
Prob to win: 44.98%
Game ELO: 2003 -> 2050 ( + 47)
Santiago Sepp Herberger
Chile 1962 06-Jun-1962 1 Group 2 West Germany
Prob to win: 48.99%
Game ELO: 1908 -> 1980 ( + 72)
2 - 0
Chile
Prob to win: 51.01%
Game ELO: 1895 -> 1823 ( -72)
Estadio Nacional, Santiago Sepp Herberger
Chile 1962 03-Jun-1962 1 Group 2 West Germany
Prob to win: 89.27%
Game ELO: 1888 -> 1908 ( + 20)
2 - 1
Switzerland
Prob to win: 10.73%
Game ELO: 1645 -> 1625 ( -20)
Estadio Nacional, Santiago Sepp Herberger
Chile 1962 31-May-1962 1 Group 2 West Germany
Prob to win: 64.01%
Game ELO: 1894 -> 1888 ( -6)
0 - 0
Italy
Prob to win: 35.99%
Game ELO: 1853 -> 1859 ( + 6)
Estadio Nacional, Santiago Sepp Herberger
Sweden 1958 28-Jun-1958 2 3rd Place West Germany
Prob to win: 21.59%
Game ELO: 1932 -> 1849 ( -83)
3 - 6
France
Prob to win: 78.41%
Game ELO: 1990 -> 2073 ( + 83)
Gothenburg Sepp Herberger
Sweden 1958 24-Jun-1958 2 Semi Finals West Germany
Prob to win: 26.98%
Game ELO: 2004 -> 1932 ( -72)
1 - 3
Sweden
Prob to win: 73.02%
Game ELO: 2017 -> 2089 ( + 72)
Gothenburg Sepp Herberger
Sweden 1958 19-Jun-1958 2 Quarter Finals West Germany
Prob to win: 46.55%
Game ELO: 1960 -> 2004 ( + 44)
1 - 0
Yugoslavia
Prob to win: 53.45%
Game ELO: 1917 -> 1873 ( -44)
Malmö Sepp Herberger
Sweden 1958 15-Jun-1958 19:00 1 Group 1 West Germany
Prob to win: 66.74%
Game ELO: 1989 -> 1960 ( -29)
2 - 2
Northern Ireland
Prob to win: 33.26%
Game ELO: 1756 -> 1785 ( + 29)
Malmö Stadion, Malmö Sepp Herberger
Sweden 1958 11-Jun-1958 19:00 1 Group 1 West Germany
Prob to win: 29.42%
Game ELO: 2015 -> 1989 ( -26)
2 - 2
Czechoslovakia
Prob to win: 70.58%
Game ELO: 1816 -> 1842 ( + 26)
Olympiastadion, Helsingborg Sepp Herberger
Sweden 1958 08-Jun-1958 19:00 1 Group 1 West Germany
Prob to win: 64.80%
Game ELO: 1913 -> 2015 ( + 102)
3 - 1
Argentina
Prob to win: 35.20%
Game ELO: 2043 -> 1941 ( -102)
Malmö Stadion, Malmö Sepp Herberger
Switzerland 1954 04-Jul-1954 2 Final Hungary
Prob to win: 44.84%
Game ELO: 2328 -> 2265 ( -63)
2 - 3
West Germany
Prob to win: 55.16%
Game ELO: 2238 -> 2301 ( + 63)
Bern Sepp Herberger
Switzerland 1954 30-Jun-1954 2 Semi Finals West Germany
Prob to win: 84.90%
Game ELO: 2082 -> 2238 ( + 156)
6 - 1
Austria
Prob to win: 15.10%
Game ELO: 2044 -> 1888 ( -156)
Basel Sepp Herberger
Switzerland 1954 27-Jun-1954 2 Quarter Finals Yugoslavia
Prob to win: 9.48%
Game ELO: 1976 -> 1909 ( -67)
0 - 2
West Germany
Prob to win: 90.52%
Game ELO: 2015 -> 2082 ( + 67)
Geneva Sepp Herberger
Switzerland 1954 23-Jun-1954 1 Group 2 Playoff West Germany
Prob to win: 97.51%
Game ELO: 1881 -> 2015 ( + 134)
7 - 2
Turkey
Prob to win: 2.49%
Game ELO: 1798 -> 1664 ( -134)
Hardturm Stadium, Zürich Sepp Herberger
Switzerland 1954 20-Jun-1954 1 Group 2 Hungary
Prob to win: 44.84%
Game ELO: 2164 -> 2248 ( + 84)
8 - 3
West Germany
Prob to win: 55.16%
Game ELO: 1965 -> 1881 ( -84)
St. Jakob Stadium, Basel Sepp Herberger
Switzerland 1954 17-Jun-1954 1 Group 2 West Germany
Prob to win: 97.51%
Game ELO: 1938 -> 1965 ( + 27)
4 - 1
Turkey
Prob to win: 2.49%
Game ELO: 1618 -> 1591 ( -27)
Wankdorf Stadium, Bern Sepp Herberger
France 1938 09-Jun-1938 1 Top 16 Replay Switzerland
Prob to win: 54.88%
Game ELO: 1690 -> 1791 ( + 101)
4 - 2
Germany
Prob to win: 45.12%
Game ELO: 1814 -> 1713 ( -101)
Germany loss: expected
Paris Sepp Herberger
France 1938 04-Jun-1938 1 Top 16 Switzerland
Prob to win: 54.88%
Game ELO: 1668 -> 1690 ( + 22)
1 - 1
Germany
Prob to win: 45.12%
Game ELO: 1836 -> 1814 ( -22)
Germany draw: upset (loss expected)
Paris Sepp Herberger
Italy 1934 07-Jun-1934 1 3rd Place Germany
Prob to win: 40.34%
Game ELO: 1811 -> 1889 ( + 78)
3 - 2
Austria
Prob to win: 59.66%
Game ELO: 2035 -> 1957 ( -78)
Germany win: upset (loss expected)
Naples
Italy 1934 03-Jun-1934 1 Semi Finals Czechoslovakia
Prob to win: 57.57%
Game ELO: 1895 -> 1968 ( + 73)
3 - 1
Germany
Prob to win: 42.43%
Game ELO: 1884 -> 1811 ( -73)
Germany loss: expected
Rome
Italy 1934 31-May-1934 1 Quarter Finals Germany
Prob to win: 66.36%
Game ELO: 1837 -> 1884 ( + 47)
2 - 1
Sweden
Prob to win: 33.64%
Game ELO: 1818 -> 1771 ( -47)
Germany win: expected
Milan
Italy 1934 27-May-1934 1 Top 16 Germany
Prob to win: 90.02%
Game ELO: 1800 -> 1837 ( + 37)
5 - 2
Belgium
Prob to win: 9.98%
Game ELO: 1544 -> 1507 ( -37)
Germany win: expected
Florence