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England details
England
Statistics:
- Games: 119
- Expected results: 59 (51.30%)
- Unexpected results: 56 (48.70%)
- Unknown games: 4
- Record: 52 Won, 37 Lost, 26 Drawn, 4 Unknown
- Last five games: LWWWD
- Expected wins: 38 (33.04%)
- Expected losses: 21 (18.26%)
- Unexpected wins: 14 (12.17%)
- Unexpected losses: 16 (13.91%)
- Unexpected draws: 26 (22.61%)
- Wins (+1pt for expected, +3 for unexpected): 80
- Losses (-1pt for expected, -3 for unexpected): -69
- Draws (-1pt if fav, +1pt if underdog): 26
- Total: 37
| Tournament | Game Time | Round | Group Name | Score | Odds Analysis | Location | Coach | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Canada/ Mexico/ United States 2026 | 1-Jul-2026 12:00 | 2 | Top 32 |
|
|
Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta | |||
| Canada/ Mexico/ United States 2026 | 27-Jun-2026 17:00 | 1 | Group L |
Prob to win: 14.85%
Pregame ELO: 1730 |
Prob to win: 80.69%
Pregame ELO: 2024 |
|
MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford | ||
| Canada/ Mexico/ United States 2026 | 23-Jun-2026 16:00 | 1 | Group L |
Prob to win: 93.68%
Pregame ELO: 2024 |
Prob to win: 4.86%
Pregame ELO: 1510 |
|
Gillette Stadium, Foxborough | ||
| Canada/ Mexico/ United States 2026 | 17-Jun-2026 19:00 | 1 | Group L |
Prob to win: 59.44%
Pregame ELO: 2024 |
Prob to win: 31.20%
Pregame ELO: 1912 |
|
AT&T Stadium, Arlington | ||
| Euro 2024 | 14-Jul-2024 21:00 | 2 | Final |
Prob to win: 61.99%
Game ELO: 2157 -> 2265 (+108) |
2 - 1
|
Prob to win: 38.01%
Game ELO: 2072 -> 2044 (-28) |
England loss: expected
|
Olympiastadion, Berlin | |
| Euro 2024 | 10-Jul-2024 21:00 | 2 | Semi Finals |
Prob to win: 39.65%
Game ELO: 1948 -> 1974 (+26) |
1 - 2
|
Prob to win: 60.35%
Game ELO: 2021 -> 2072 (+51) |
England win: expected
|
BVB Stadion Dortmund, Dortmund | |
| Euro 2024 | 6-Jul-2024 21:00 | 2 | Quarter Finals |
Prob to win: 58.27%
Game ELO: 2024 -> 2021 (-3) |
1 - 1 (aet)
5 - 3 (pen) |
Prob to win: 41.73%
Game ELO: 1966 -> 1917 (-49) |
England win: expected
|
Olympiastadion, Berlin | |
| Euro 2024 | 30-Jun-2024 21:00 | 2 | Top 16 |
Prob to win: 86.18%
Game ELO: 2024 -> 1972 (-52) |
2 - 1 (aet)
|
Prob to win: 13.82%
Game ELO: 1706 -> 1687 (-19) |
England win: expected
|
Cologne Stadium, Cologne | |
| Euro 2024 | 25-Jun-2024 21:00 | 1 | Group C |
Prob to win: 78.74%
Game ELO: 2024 -> 1953 (-71) |
0 - 0
|
Prob to win: 16.36%
Game ELO: 1751 -> 1780 (+29) |
England draw: upset (win expected)
|
Cologne Stadium, Cologne | |
| Euro 2024 | 20-Jun-2024 18:00 | 1 | Group C |
Prob to win: 23.62%
Game ELO: 1820 -> 1845 (+25) |
1 - 1
|
Prob to win: 69.30%
Game ELO: 2007 -> 1982 (-25) |
England draw: upset (win expected)
|
Frankfurt Arena, Frankfurt | |
| Euro 2024 | 16-Jun-2024 21:00 | 1 | Group C |
Prob to win: 24.28%
Game ELO: 1801 -> 1775 (-26) |
0 - 1
|
Prob to win: 68.43%
Game ELO: 1981 -> 2007 (+26) |
England win: expected
|
Arena AufSchalke, Gelsenkirchen | |
| Qatar 2022 | 10-Dec-2022 22:00 | 2 | Quarter Finals |
Prob to win: 49.42%
Game ELO: 2024 -> 2020 (-4) |
1 - 2
|
Prob to win: 50.58%
Game ELO: 2028 -> 2085 (+57) |
England loss: expected
|
Al Bayt Stadium, Al Khor | |
| Qatar 2022 | 4-Dec-2022 22:00 | 2 | Top 16 |
Prob to win: 77.41%
Game ELO: 2024 -> 2077 (+53) |
3 - 0
|
Prob to win: 22.59%
Game ELO: 1810 -> 1767 (-43) |
England win: expected
|
Al Bayt Stadium, Al Khor | |
| Qatar 2022 | 29-Nov-2022 22:00 | 1 | Group B |
Prob to win: 13.59%
Game ELO: 1693 -> 1665 (-28) |
0 - 3
|
Prob to win: 82.34%
Game ELO: 2006 -> 2034 (+28) |
England win: expected
|
Ahmad bin Ali Stadium, Al Rayyan | |
| Qatar 2022 | 25-Nov-2022 22:00 | 1 | Group B |
Prob to win: 73.97%
Game ELO: 2024 -> 2006 (-18) |
0 - 0
|
Prob to win: 20.02%
Game ELO: 1797 -> 1827 (+30) |
England draw: upset (win expected)
|
Al Bayt Stadium, Al Khor | |
| Qatar 2022 | 21-Nov-2022 16:00 | 1 | Group B |
Prob to win: 73.97%
Game ELO: 2024 -> 2036 (+12) |
6 - 2
|
Prob to win: 20.02%
Game ELO: 1797 -> 1681 (-116) |
England win: expected
|
Khalifa International Stadium, Al Rayyan | |
| Euro 2020 | 11-Jul-2021 21:00 | 2 | Final |
Prob to win: 54.45%
Game ELO: 2013 -> 2300 (+287) |
1 - 1 (aet)
3 - 2 (pen) |
Prob to win: 45.55%
Game ELO: 1982 -> 2146 (+164) |
England loss: expected
|
Wembley Stadium, London | |
| Euro 2020 | 7-Jul-2021 21:00 | 2 | Semi Finals |
Prob to win: 57.29%
Game ELO: 2024 -> 2185 (+161) |
2 - 1 (aet)
|
Prob to win: 42.71%
Game ELO: 1973 -> 2065 (+92) |
England win: expected
|
Wembley Stadium, London | |
| Euro 2020 | 3-Jul-2021 21:00 | 2 | Quarter Finals |
Prob to win: 27.55%
Game ELO: 1814 -> 1755 (-59) |
0 - 4
|
Prob to win: 72.45%
Game ELO: 1982 -> 2139 (+157) |
England win: expected
|
Stadio Olimpico, Rome | |
| Euro 2020 | 29-Jun-2021 18:00 | 2 | Top 16 |
Prob to win: 62.40%
Game ELO: 2024 -> 2072 (+48) |
2 - 0
|
Prob to win: 37.60%
Game ELO: 1936 -> 1912 (-24) |
England win: expected
|
Wembley Stadium, London | |
| Euro 2020 | 22-Jun-2021 21:00 | 1 | Group D |
Prob to win: 19.68%
Game ELO: 1740 -> 1790 (+50) |
0 - 1
|
Prob to win: 74.41%
Game ELO: 1971 -> 2001 (+30) |
England win: expected
|
Wembley Stadium, London | |
| Euro 2020 | 18-Jun-2021 21:00 | 1 | Group D |
Prob to win: 88.61%
Game ELO: 2024 -> 1971 (-53) |
0 - 0
|
Prob to win: 8.76%
Game ELO: 1622 -> 1662 (+40) |
England draw: upset (win expected)
|
Wembley Stadium, London | |
| Euro 2020 | 13-Jun-2021 15:00 | 1 | Group D |
Prob to win: 70.75%
Game ELO: 2024 -> 2011 (-13) |
1 - 0
|
Prob to win: 22.50%
Game ELO: 1825 -> 1796 (-29) |
England win: expected
|
Wembley Stadium, London | |
| Russia 2018 | 14-Jul-2018 17:00 | 2 | 3rd Place |
Prob to win: 42.57%
Game ELO: 1894 -> 2123 (+229) |
2 - 0
|
Prob to win: 57.43%
Game ELO: 1946 -> 1898 (-48) |
England loss: upset (win expected)
|
Krestovsky Stadium, Saint Petersburg | |
| Russia 2018 | 11-Jul-2018 21:00 | 2 | Semi Finals |
Prob to win: 37.60%
Game ELO: 1912 -> 2027 (+115) |
2 - 1 (aet)
|
Prob to win: 62.40%
Game ELO: 2000 -> 1946 (-54) |
England loss: upset (win expected)
|
Luzhniki Stadium, Moscow | |
| Russia 2018 | 7-Jul-2018 18:00 | 2 | Quarter Finals |
Prob to win: 24.55%
Game ELO: 1712 -> 1899 (+187) |
0 - 2
|
Prob to win: 75.45%
Game ELO: 1907 -> 2000 (+93) |
England win: expected
|
Cosmos Arena, Samara | |
| Russia 2018 | 3-Jul-2018 21:00 | 2 | Top 16 |
Prob to win: 53.59%
Game ELO: 1982 -> 2009 (+27) |
1 - 1 (aet)
3 - 4 (pen) |
Prob to win: 46.41%
Game ELO: 1957 -> 1907 (-50) |
England win: upset (loss expected)
|
Otkritie Arena, Moscow | |
| Russia 2018 | 28-Jun-2018 19:00 | 1 | Group G |
Prob to win: 47.19%
Game ELO: 2024 -> 1957 (-67) |
0 - 1
|
Prob to win: 40.63%
Game ELO: 1998 -> 2049 (+51) |
England loss: expected
|
Kaliningrad Stadium, Kaliningrad | |
| Russia 2018 | 24-Jun-2018 13:00 | 1 | Group G |
Prob to win: 88.38%
Game ELO: 2024 -> 2008 (-16) |
6 - 1
|
Prob to win: 8.94%
Game ELO: 1626 -> 1582 (-44) |
England win: expected
|
Nizhny Novgorod Stadium, Nizhny Novgorod | |
| Russia 2018 | 18-Jun-2018 19:00 | 1 | Group G |
Prob to win: 13.14%
Game ELO: 1628 -> 1641 (+13) |
1 - 2
|
Prob to win: 82.92%
Game ELO: 1948 -> 1964 (+16) |
England win: expected
|
Volgograd Arena, Volgograd | |
| Euro 2016 | 27-Jun-2016 21:00 | 2 | Top 16 |
Prob to win: 76.50%
Game ELO: 2024 -> 1873 (-151) |
1 - 2
|
Prob to win: 23.50%
Game ELO: 1819 -> 1886 (+67) |
England loss: upset (win expected)
|
Stade de Nice, Nice | |
| Euro 2016 | 20-Jun-2016 21:00 | 1 | Group B |
Prob to win: 22.14%
Game ELO: 1763 -> 1789 (+26) |
0 - 0
|
Prob to win: 71.22%
Game ELO: 1966 -> 1940 (-26) |
England draw: upset (win expected)
|
Stade Geoffroy-Guichard, Saint-Étienne | |
| Euro 2016 | 16-Jun-2016 15:00 | 1 | Group B |
Prob to win: 81.57%
Game ELO: 2024 -> 1966 (-58) |
2 - 1
|
Prob to win: 14.18%
Game ELO: 1720 -> 1698 (-22) |
England win: expected
|
Stade Bollaert-Delelis, Lens | |
| Euro 2016 | 11-Jun-2016 21:00 | 1 | Group B |
Prob to win: 77.86%
Game ELO: 2024 -> 1944 (-80) |
1 - 1
|
Prob to win: 17.03%
Game ELO: 1760 -> 1787 (+27) |
England draw: upset (win expected)
|
Stade Vélodrome, Marseille | |
| Brazil 2014 | 24-Jun-2014 | 1 | Group D |
Prob to win: 54.37%
Game ELO: 1892 -> 1881 (-11) |
0 - 0
|
Prob to win: 35.10%
Game ELO: 1816 -> 1827 (+11) |
England draw: upset (loss expected)
|
Belo Horizonte | |
| Brazil 2014 | 19-Jun-2014 | 1 | Group D |
Prob to win: 45.75%
Game ELO: 1892 -> 1864 (-28) |
2 - 1
|
Prob to win: 41.73%
Game ELO: 1876 -> 1816 (-60) |
England loss: expected
|
Sao Paulo | |
| Brazil 2014 | 14-Jun-2014 | 1 | Group D |
Prob to win: 62.73%
Game ELO: 2024 -> 1876 (-148) |
1 - 2
|
Prob to win: 28.67%
Game ELO: 1888 -> 1944 (+56) |
England loss: upset (win expected)
|
Manaus | |
| Euro 2012 | 24-Jun-2012 21:45 | 2 | Quarter Finals |
Prob to win: 100.00%
Game ELO: 2024 -> 999 (-1025) |
0 - 0 (aet)
2 - 4 (pen) |
Prob to win: 0.00%
Game ELO: 0 -> 1126 (+1126) |
England loss: upset (win expected)
|
Olympic Stadium, Kyiv | |
| Euro 2012 | 19-Jun-2012 21:45 | 1 | Group D |
Prob to win: 99.71%
Game ELO: 2024 -> 1082 (-942) |
1 - 0
|
Prob to win: 0.22%
Game ELO: 964 -> 925 (-39) |
England win: expected
|
Donbass Arena, Donetsk | |
| Euro 2012 | 15-Jun-2012 22:00 | 1 | Group D |
Prob to win: 97.89%
Game ELO: 1712 -> 907 (-805) |
2 - 3
|
Prob to win: 1.62%
Game ELO: 1000 -> 1043 (+43) |
England win: upset (loss expected)
|
Olympic Stadium, Kyiv | |
| Euro 2012 | 11-Jun-2012 19:00 | 1 | Group D |
Prob to win: 100.00%
Game ELO: 2063 -> 1000 (-1063) |
1 - 1
|
Prob to win: 0.00%
Game ELO: 0 -> 1000 (+1000) |
England draw: upset (loss expected)
|
Donbass Arena, Donetsk | |
| Germany 2006 | 1-Jul-2006 | 2 | Quarter Finals |
Prob to win: 45.27%
Game ELO: 2024 -> 2072 (+48) |
0 - 0 (aet)
1 - 3 (pen) |
Prob to win: 54.73%
Game ELO: 2057 -> 2001 (-56) |
England loss: expected
|
Gelsenkirchen |
 Sven-Göran Eriksson |
| Germany 2006 | 25-Jun-2006 | 2 | Top 16 |
Prob to win: 79.08%
Game ELO: 2024 -> 2016 (-8) |
1 - 0
|
Prob to win: 20.92%
Game ELO: 1793 -> 1769 (-24) |
England win: expected
|
Nuremberg |
Sven-Göran Eriksson |
| Germany 2006 | 20-Jun-2006 | 1 | Group B |
Prob to win: 14.44%
Game ELO: 1712 -> 1887 (+175) |
2 - 2
|
Prob to win: 81.22%
Game ELO: 2012 -> 1992 (-20) |
England draw: upset (win expected)
|
Sven-Göran Eriksson |
|
| Germany 2006 | 15-Jun-2006 | 1 | Group B |
Prob to win: 89.78%
Game ELO: 2024 -> 2012 (-12) |
2 - 0
|
Prob to win: 7.86%
Game ELO: 1601 -> 1587 (-14) |
England win: expected
|
Sven-Göran Eriksson |
|
| Germany 2006 | 10-Jun-2006 | 1 | Group B |
Prob to win: 75.91%
Game ELO: 2024 -> 1998 (-26) |
1 - 0
|
Prob to win: 18.53%
Game ELO: 1779 -> 1754 (-25) |
England win: expected
|
Sven-Göran Eriksson |
|
| Euro 2004 | 24-Jun-2004 19:45 | 2 | Quarter Finals |
Prob to win: 100.00%
Game ELO: 1989 -> 1136 (-853) |
2 - 2 (aet)
6 - 5 (pen) |
Prob to win: 0.00%
Game ELO: 0 -> 1070 (+1070) |
England loss: expected
|
Estádio da Luz, Lisbon | |
| Euro 2004 | 21-Jun-2004 19:45 | 1 | Group B |
Prob to win: 99.02%
Game ELO: 1912 -> 944 (-968) |
2 - 4
|
Prob to win: 0.75%
Game ELO: 1064 -> 1127 (+63) |
England win: upset (loss expected)
|
Estádio da Luz, Lisbon | |
| Euro 2004 | 17-Jun-2004 17:00 | 1 | Group B |
Prob to win: 99.64%
Game ELO: 2024 -> 1064 (-960) |
3 - 0
|
Prob to win: 0.27%
Game ELO: 1000 -> 886 (-114) |
England win: expected
|
Estádio Cidade de Coimbra, Coimbra | |
| Euro 2004 | 13-Jun-2004 19:45 | 1 | Group B |
Prob to win: 100.00%
Game ELO: 2063 -> 1050 (-1013) |
2 - 1
|
Prob to win: 0.00%
Game ELO: 0 -> 950 (+950) |
England loss: expected
|
Estádio da Luz, Lisbon | |
| Korea/ Japan 2002 | 21-Jun-2002 | 2 | Quarter Finals |
Prob to win: 44.13%
Game ELO: 2024 -> 2014 (-10) |
1 - 2
|
Prob to win: 55.87%
Game ELO: 2065 -> 2115 (+50) |
England loss: expected
|
Shizuoka |
Sven-Göran Eriksson |
| Korea/ Japan 2002 | 17-Jun-2002 | 2 | Top 16 |
Prob to win: 56.58%
Game ELO: 1997 -> 1884 (-113) |
0 - 3
|
Prob to win: 43.42%
Game ELO: 1951 -> 2064 (+113) |
England win: upset (loss expected)
|
Kobe |
Sven-Göran Eriksson |
| Korea/ Japan 2002 | 12-Jun-2002 | 1 | Group F |
Prob to win: 16.88%
Game ELO: 1717 -> 1749 (+32) |
0 - 0
|
Prob to win: 78.05%
Game ELO: 1983 -> 1951 (-32) |
England draw: upset (win expected)
|
Nagai Stadium, Osaka |
Sven-Göran Eriksson |
| Korea/ Japan 2002 | 7-Jun-2002 | 1 | Group F |
Prob to win: 70.75%
Game ELO: 2115 -> 1970 (-145) |
0 - 1
|
Prob to win: 22.50%
Game ELO: 1916 -> 1983 (+67) |
England win: upset (loss expected)
|
Sapporo Dome, Sapporo |
Sven-Göran Eriksson |
| Korea/ Japan 2002 | 2-Jun-2002 | 1 | Group F |
Prob to win: 65.90%
Game ELO: 2024 -> 1916 (-108) |
1 - 1
|
Prob to win: 26.23%
Game ELO: 1864 -> 1873 (+9) |
England draw: upset (win expected)
|
Saitama Stadium, Saitama |
Sven-Göran Eriksson |
| Euro 2000 | 20-Jun-2000 20:45 | 1 | Group A |
Prob to win: 99.72%
Game ELO: 2024 -> 950 (-1074) |
2 - 3
|
Prob to win: 0.21%
Game ELO: 957 -> 1014 (+57) |
England loss: upset (win expected)
|
Stade du Pays de Charleroi, Charleroi | |
| Euro 2000 | 17-Jun-2000 20:45 | 1 | Group A |
Prob to win: 99.64%
Game ELO: 2024 -> 1007 (-1017) |
1 - 0
|
Prob to win: 0.27%
Game ELO: 1000 -> 943 (-57) |
England win: expected
|
Stade du Pays de Charleroi, Charleroi | |
| Euro 2000 | 12-Jun-2000 20:45 | 1 | Group A |
Prob to win: 100.00%
Game ELO: 1989 -> 1050 (-939) |
3 - 2
|
Prob to win: 0.00%
Game ELO: 0 -> 950 (+950) |
England loss: expected
|
Philips Stadion, Eindhoven | |
| France 1998 | 28-Jun-1998 | 2 | Top 16 |
Prob to win: 70.22%
Game ELO: 2115 -> 2089 (-26) |
2 - 2 (aet)
4 - 3 (pen) |
Prob to win: 29.78%
Game ELO: 1966 -> 1928 (-38) |
England loss: expected
|
Lens |
Glenn Hoddle |
| France 1998 | 26-Jun-1998 | 1 | Group G |
Prob to win: 51.36%
Game ELO: 1982 -> 1705 (-277) |
0 - 2
|
Prob to win: 37.42%
Game ELO: 1927 -> 1966 (+39) |
England win: upset (loss expected)
|
Stade Félix Bollaert, Lens |
Glenn Hoddle |
| France 1998 | 22-Jun-1998 | 1 | Group G |
Prob to win: 34.77%
Game ELO: 1909 -> 1970 (+61) |
2 - 1
|
Prob to win: 54.80%
Game ELO: 1988 -> 1927 (-61) |
England loss: upset (win expected)
|
Stade de Toulouse, Toulouse |
Glenn Hoddle |
| France 1998 | 15-Jun-1998 | 1 | Group G |
Prob to win: 88.14%
Game ELO: 2024 -> 1988 (-36) |
2 - 0
|
Prob to win: 9.12%
Game ELO: 1630 -> 1611 (-19) |
England win: expected
|
Stade Vélodrome, Marseille |
Glenn Hoddle |
| Euro 1996 | 26-Jun-1996 19:30 | 2 | Semi Finals |
Prob to win: 100.00%
Game ELO: 1932 -> 1214 (-718) |
1 - 1 (aet)
6 - 5 (pen) |
Prob to win: 0.00%
Game ELO: 0 -> 1163 (+1163) |
England loss: expected
|
Wembley Stadium, London | |
| Euro 1996 | 22-Jun-1996 15:00 | 2 | Quarter Finals |
Prob to win: 100.00%
Game ELO: 2157 -> 995 (-1162) |
0 - 0 (aet)
2 - 4 (pen) |
Prob to win: 0.00%
Game ELO: 0 -> 1223 (+1223) |
England win: upset (loss expected)
|
Wembley Stadium, London | |
| Euro 1996 | 18-Jun-1996 19:30 | 1 | Group A |
Prob to win: 99.15%
Game ELO: 1948 -> 975 (-973) |
1 - 4
|
Prob to win: 0.65%
Game ELO: 1075 -> 1175 (+100) |
England win: upset (loss expected)
|
Wembley Stadium, London | |
| Euro 1996 | 15-Jun-1996 15:00 | 1 | Group A |
Prob to win: 98.58%
Game ELO: 1782 -> 925 (-857) |
0 - 2
|
Prob to win: 1.09%
Game ELO: 1000 -> 1075 (+75) |
England win: upset (loss expected)
|
Wembley Stadium, London | |
| Euro 1996 | 8-Jun-1996 15:00 | 1 | Group A |
Prob to win: 100.00%
Game ELO: 2024 -> 1000 (-1024) |
1 - 1
|
Prob to win: 0.00%
Game ELO: 0 -> 1000 (+1000) |
England draw: upset (win expected)
|
Wembley Stadium, London | |
| Euro 1992 | 17-Jun-1992 20:15 | 1 | Group A |
Prob to win: 97.89%
Game ELO: 1712 -> 1093 (-619) |
2 - 1
|
Prob to win: 1.62%
Game ELO: 1000 -> 957 (-43) |
England loss: expected
|
Råsunda Stadium, Solna | |
| Euro 1992 | 14-Jun-1992 17:15 | 1 | Group A |
Prob to win: 99.71%
Game ELO: 2063 -> 1000 (-1063) |
0 - 0
|
Prob to win: 0.22%
Game ELO: 1000 -> 1000 (+0) |
England draw: upset (loss expected)
|
Malmö Stadion, Malmö | |
| Euro 1992 | 11-Jun-1992 20:15 | 1 | Group A |
Prob to win: 43.48%
Game ELO: 0 -> 1000 (+1000) |
0 - 0
|
Prob to win: 43.48%
Game ELO: 0 -> 1000 (+1000) |
England draw: upset (loss expected)
|
Malmö Stadion, Malmö | |
| Italy 1990 | 7-Jul-1990 | 2 | 3rd Place |
Prob to win: 69.98%
Game ELO: 2132 -> 2162 (+30) |
2 - 1
|
Prob to win: 30.02%
Game ELO: 1985 -> 1955 (-30) |
England loss: expected
|
Bari |
Bobby Robson |
| Italy 1990 | 4-Jul-1990 | 2 | Semi Finals |
Prob to win: 62.54%
Game ELO: 2111 -> 2148 (+37) |
1 - 1 (aet)
4 - 3 (pen) |
Prob to win: 37.46%
Game ELO: 2022 -> 1985 (-37) |
England loss: expected
|
Turin |
Bobby Robson |
| Italy 1990 | 1-Jul-1990 | 2 | Quarter Finals |
Prob to win: 88.29%
Game ELO: 2024 -> 2022 (-2) |
3 - 2 (aet)
|
Prob to win: 11.71%
Game ELO: 1673 -> 1660 (-13) |
England win: expected
|
Naples |
Bobby Robson |
| Italy 1990 | 26-Jun-1990 | 2 | Top 16 |
Prob to win: 64.54%
Game ELO: 2024 -> 2009 (-15) |
1 - 0 (aet)
|
Prob to win: 35.46%
Game ELO: 1920 -> 1876 (-44) |
England win: expected
|
Bologna |
Bobby Robson |
| Italy 1990 | 21-Jun-1990 | 1 | Group F |
Prob to win: 82.42%
Game ELO: 2024 -> 1965 (-59) |
1 - 0
|
Prob to win: 13.52%
Game ELO: 1710 -> 1689 (-21) |
England win: expected
|
Stadio Sant'Elia, Cagliari |
Bobby Robson |
| Italy 1990 | 16-Jun-1990 | 1 | Group F |
Prob to win: 48.05%
Game ELO: 2024 -> 1944 (-80) |
0 - 0
|
Prob to win: 39.96%
Game ELO: 1992 -> 1984 (-8) |
England draw: upset (loss expected)
|
Stadio Sant'Elia, Cagliari |
Bobby Robson |
| Italy 1990 | 11-Jun-1990 | 1 | Group F |
Prob to win: 62.32%
Game ELO: 2024 -> 1936 (-88) |
1 - 1
|
Prob to win: 28.98%
Game ELO: 1891 -> 1899 (+8) |
England draw: upset (win expected)
|
Stadio Sant'Elia, Cagliari |
Bobby Robson |
| Euro 1988 | 18-Jun-1988 15:30 | 1 | Group B |
Prob to win: 100.00%
Game ELO: 2024 -> 0 (-2024) |
1 - 3
|
Prob to win: 0.00%
Game ELO: 0 -> 0 (+0) |
England loss: upset (win expected)
|
Waldstadion, Frankfurt | |
| Euro 1988 | 15-Jun-1988 17:15 | 1 | Group B |
Prob to win: 100.00%
Game ELO: 2024 -> 0 (-2024) |
1 - 3
|
Prob to win: 0.00%
Game ELO: 0 -> 0 (+0) |
England loss: upset (win expected)
|
Rheinstadion, Düsseldorf | |
| Euro 1988 | 12-Jun-1988 15:30 | 1 | Group B |
Prob to win: 100.00%
Game ELO: 2024 -> 0 (-2024) |
0 - 1
|
Prob to win: 0.00%
Game ELO: 0 -> 0 (+0) |
England loss: upset (win expected)
|
Neckarstadion, Stuttgart | |
| Mexico 1986 | 22-Jun-1986 | 2 | Quarter Finals |
Prob to win: 61.04%
Game ELO: 2115 -> 2036 (-79) |
2 - 1
|
Prob to win: 38.96%
Game ELO: 2037 -> 1978 (-59) |
England loss: expected
|
Mexico City |
Bobby Robson |
| Mexico 1986 | 18-Jun-1986 | 2 | Top 16 |
Prob to win: 74.47%
Game ELO: 2024 -> 2037 (+13) |
3 - 0
|
Prob to win: 25.53%
Game ELO: 1838 -> 1775 (-63) |
England win: expected
|
Mexico City |
Bobby Robson |
| Mexico 1986 | 11-Jun-1986 | 1 | Group F |
Prob to win: 39.30%
Game ELO: 1847 -> 1758 (-89) |
0 - 3
|
Prob to win: 48.91%
Game ELO: 1885 -> 1974 (+89) |
England win: upset (loss expected)
|
Estadio Universitario, Monterrey |
Bobby Robson |
| Mexico 1986 | 6-Jun-1986 | 1 | Group F |
Prob to win: 33.68%
Game ELO: 1827 -> 1697 (-130) |
0 - 0
|
Prob to win: 56.22%
Game ELO: 1916 -> 1885 (-31) |
England draw: upset (win expected)
|
Estadio Tecnológico, Monterrey |
Bobby Robson |
| Mexico 1986 | 3-Jun-1986 | 1 | Group F |
Prob to win: 43.37%
Game ELO: 1989 -> 1880 (-109) |
1 - 0
|
Prob to win: 43.62%
Game ELO: 1990 -> 1916 (-74) |
England loss: expected
|
Estadio Tecnológico, Monterrey |
Bobby Robson |
| Spain 1982 | 5-Jul-1982 | 2 | Group B |
Prob to win: 55.36%
Game ELO: 2157 -> 1850 (-307) |
0 - 0
|
Prob to win: 34.33%
Game ELO: 2074 -> 2043 (-31) |
England draw: upset (loss expected)
|
Estadio Santiago Bernabéu, Madrid |
Ron Greenwood |
| Spain 1982 | 29-Jun-1982 | 2 | Group B |
Prob to win: 46.04%
Game ELO: 2089 -> 2086 (-3) |
0 - 0
|
Prob to win: 41.51%
Game ELO: 2071 -> 2074 (+3) |
England draw: upset (loss expected)
|
Estadio Santiago Bernabéu, Madrid |
Ron Greenwood |
| Spain 1982 | 25-Jun-1982 | 1 | Group 4 |
Prob to win: 89.51%
Game ELO: 2024 -> 2071 (+47) |
1 - 0
|
Prob to win: 8.07%
Game ELO: 1606 -> 1599 (-7) |
England win: expected
|
Estadio San Mamés, Bilbao |
Ron Greenwood |
| Spain 1982 | 20-Jun-1982 | 1 | Group 4 |
Prob to win: 65.64%
Game ELO: 2024 -> 2064 (+40) |
2 - 0
|
Prob to win: 26.43%
Game ELO: 1866 -> 1822 (-44) |
England win: expected
|
Estadio San Mamés, Bilbao |
Ron Greenwood |
| Spain 1982 | 16-Jun-1982 | 1 | Group 4 |
Prob to win: 64.06%
Game ELO: 2024 -> 2020 (-4) |
3 - 1
|
Prob to win: 27.64%
Game ELO: 1878 -> 1821 (-57) |
England win: expected
|
Estadio San Mamés, Bilbao |
Ron Greenwood |
| Euro 1980 | 18-Jun-1980 17:45 | 1 | Group B |
Prob to win: 99.88%
Game ELO: 2157 -> 900 (-1257) |
1 - 2
|
Prob to win: 0.10%
Game ELO: 950 -> 1000 (+50) |
England win: upset (loss expected)
|
Stadio San Paolo, Naples | |
| Euro 1980 | 15-Jun-1980 20:30 | 1 | Group B |
Prob to win: 99.64%
Game ELO: 2024 -> 950 (-1074) |
0 - 1
|
Prob to win: 0.27%
Game ELO: 1000 -> 1050 (+50) |
England loss: upset (win expected)
|
Stadio Comunale, Turin | |
| Euro 1980 | 12-Jun-1980 17:45 | 1 | Group B |
Prob to win: 100.00%
Game ELO: 1894 -> 1000 (-894) |
1 - 1
|
Prob to win: 0.00%
Game ELO: 0 -> 1000 (+1000) |
England draw: upset (loss expected)
|
Stadio Comunale, Turin | |
| Mexico 1970 | 14-Jun-1970 | 2 | Quarter Finals |
Prob to win: 53.31%
Game ELO: 2080 -> 2127 (+47) |
3 - 2 (aet)
|
Prob to win: 46.69%
Game ELO: 2057 -> 2010 (-47) |
England loss: expected
|
León |
Alf Ramsey |
| Mexico 1970 | 11-Jun-1970 | 1 | Group 3 |
Prob to win: 72.62%
Game ELO: 2024 -> 2057 (+33) |
1 - 0
|
Prob to win: 21.06%
Game ELO: 1809 -> 1788 (-21) |
England win: expected
|
Estadio Jalisco, Guadalajara |
Alf Ramsey |
| Mexico 1970 | 7-Jun-1970 | 1 | Group 3 |
Prob to win: 33.24%
Game ELO: 1991 -> 2144 (+153) |
1 - 0
|
Prob to win: 56.78%
Game ELO: 2084 -> 2036 (-48) |
England loss: upset (win expected)
|
Estadio Jalisco, Guadalajara |
Alf Ramsey |
| Mexico 1970 | 2-Jun-1970 | 1 | Group 3 |
Prob to win: 74.41%
Game ELO: 2024 -> 2084 (+60) |
1 - 0
|
Prob to win: 19.68%
Game ELO: 1793 -> 1776 (-17) |
England win: expected
|
Estadio Jalisco, Guadalajara |
Alf Ramsey |
| Euro 1968 | 8-Jun-1968 15:00 | 1 | 3rd Place |
Prob to win: 99.73%
Game ELO: 2024 -> 1036 (-988) |
2 - 0
|
Prob to win: 0.27%
Game ELO: 1000 -> 914 (-86) |
England win: expected
|
Stadio Olimpico, Rome | |
| Euro 1968 | 5-Jun-1968 21:15 | 1 | Semi Finals |
Prob to win: 50.00%
Game ELO: 0 -> 1050 (+1050) |
1 - 0
|
Prob to win: 50.00%
Game ELO: 0 -> 950 (+950) |
England loss: upset (win expected)
|
Stadio Comunale, Florence | |
| England 1966 | 30-Jul-1966 | 2 | Final |
Prob to win: 27.78%
Game ELO: 2024 -> 2226 (+202) |
4 - 2 (aet)
|
Prob to win: 72.22%
Game ELO: 2190 -> 2104 (-86) |
England win: upset (loss expected)
|
London |
Alf Ramsey |
| England 1966 | 26-Jul-1966 | 2 | Semi Finals |
Prob to win: 41.31%
Game ELO: 2024 -> 2140 (+116) |
2 - 1
|
Prob to win: 58.69%
Game ELO: 2085 -> 2036 (-49) |
England win: upset (loss expected)
|
London |
Alf Ramsey |
| England 1966 | 23-Jul-1966 | 2 | Quarter Finals |
Prob to win: 50.58%
Game ELO: 2024 -> 2091 (+67) |
1 - 0
|
Prob to win: 49.42%
Game ELO: 2020 -> 1974 (-46) |
England win: expected
|
London |
Alf Ramsey |
| England 1966 | 20-Jul-1966 | 1 | Group 1 |
Prob to win: 80.33%
Game ELO: 2024 -> 2045 (+21) |
2 - 0
|
Prob to win: 15.13%
Game ELO: 1734 -> 1710 (-24) |
England win: expected
|
Wembley Stadium, London |
Alf Ramsey |
| England 1966 | 16-Jul-1966 | 1 | Group 1 |
Prob to win: 67.68%
Game ELO: 2024 -> 2021 (-3) |
2 - 0
|
Prob to win: 24.86%
Game ELO: 1850 -> 1800 (-50) |
England win: expected
|
Wembley Stadium, London |
Alf Ramsey |
| England 1966 | 11-Jul-1966 | 1 | Group 1 |
Prob to win: 68.06%
Game ELO: 2024 -> 1971 (-53) |
0 - 0
|
Prob to win: 24.57%
Game ELO: 1847 -> 1867 (+20) |
England draw: upset (win expected)
|
Wembley Stadium, London |
Alf Ramsey |
| Chile 1962 | 10-Jun-1962 | 2 | Quarter Finals |
Prob to win: 55.87%
Game ELO: 1991 -> 2177 (+186) |
3 - 1
|
Prob to win: 44.13%
Game ELO: 1950 -> 1912 (-38) |
England loss: expected
|
Viña del Mar |
Walter Winterbottom |
| Chile 1962 | 7-Jun-1962 | 1 | Group 4 |
Prob to win: 85.08%
Game ELO: 2024 -> 1950 (-74) |
0 - 0
|
Prob to win: 11.48%
Game ELO: 1676 -> 1712 (+36) |
England draw: upset (win expected)
|
Estadio El Teniente, Rancagua |
Walter Winterbottom |
| Chile 1962 | 2-Jun-1962 | 1 | Group 4 |
Prob to win: 46.76%
Game ELO: 2024 -> 1986 (-38) |
3 - 1
|
Prob to win: 40.96%
Game ELO: 2001 -> 1902 (-99) |
England win: upset (loss expected)
|
Estadio El Teniente, Rancagua |
Walter Winterbottom |
| Chile 1962 | 31-May-1962 | 1 | Group 4 |
Prob to win: 45.75%
Game ELO: 1951 -> 1999 (+48) |
2 - 1
|
Prob to win: 41.73%
Game ELO: 1935 -> 1887 (-48) |
England loss: expected
|
Estadio El Teniente, Rancagua |
Walter Winterbottom |
| Sweden 1958 | 17-Jun-1958 | 1 | Group 4 Playoff |
Prob to win: 35.87%
Game ELO: 1902 -> 1962 (+60) |
1 - 0
|
Prob to win: 53.37%
Game ELO: 1971 -> 1911 (-60) |
England loss: upset (win expected)
|
Ullevi, Gothenburg |
Walter Winterbottom |
| Sweden 1958 | 15-Jun-1958 | 1 | Group 4 |
Prob to win: 77.46%
Game ELO: 2024 -> 1971 (-53) |
2 - 2
|
Prob to win: 17.34%
Game ELO: 1764 -> 1794 (+30) |
England draw: upset (win expected)
|
Ryavallen, Borås |
Walter Winterbottom |
| Sweden 1958 | 11-Jun-1958 | 1 | Group 4 |
Prob to win: 43.37%
Game ELO: 1991 -> 2044 (+53) |
0 - 0
|
Prob to win: 43.62%
Game ELO: 1992 -> 2001 (+9) |
England draw: upset (loss expected)
|
Ullevi, Gothenburg |
Walter Winterbottom |
| Sweden 1958 | 8-Jun-1958 | 1 | Group 4 |
Prob to win: 29.61%
Game ELO: 1883 -> 1901 (+18) |
2 - 2
|
Prob to win: 61.51%
Game ELO: 2010 -> 1992 (-18) |
England draw: upset (win expected)
|
Ullevi, Gothenburg |
Walter Winterbottom |
| Switzerland 1954 | 26-Jun-1954 | 2 | Quarter Finals |
Prob to win: 32.62%
Game ELO: 1892 -> 2124 (+232) |
4 - 2
|
Prob to win: 67.38%
Game ELO: 2018 -> 1951 (-67) |
England loss: upset (win expected)
|
Basel |
Walter Winterbottom |
| Switzerland 1954 | 20-Jun-1954 | 1 | Group 4 |
Prob to win: 78.54%
Game ELO: 2024 -> 2018 (-6) |
2 - 0
|
Prob to win: 16.50%
Game ELO: 1753 -> 1722 (-31) |
England win: expected
|
Wankdorf Stadium, Bern |
Walter Winterbottom |
| Switzerland 1954 | 17-Jun-1954 | 1 | Group 4 |
Prob to win: 76.44%
Game ELO: 2024 -> 1987 (-37) |
4 - 4
|
Prob to win: 18.13%
Game ELO: 1774 -> 1804 (+30) |
England draw: upset (win expected)
|
St. Jakob Stadium, Basel |
Walter Winterbottom |
| Brazil 1950 | 2-Jul-1950 | 1 | Group 2 |
Prob to win: 66.80%
Game ELO: 2157 -> 1995 (-162) |
1 - 0
|
Prob to win: 25.54%
Game ELO: 1990 -> 1933 (-57) |
England loss: expected
|
Estádio do Maracanã, Rio de Janeiro |
Walter Winterbottom |
| Brazil 1950 | 29-Jun-1950 | 1 | Group 2 |
Prob to win: 10.87%
Game ELO: 1726 -> 1654 (-72) |
1 - 0
|
Prob to win: 85.87%
Game ELO: 2085 -> 1990 (-95) |
England loss: upset (win expected)
|
Estádio Independência, Belo Horizonte |
Walter Winterbottom |
| Brazil 1950 | 25-Jun-1950 | 1 | Group 2 |
Prob to win: 89.88%
Game ELO: 2024 -> 2085 (+61) |
2 - 0
|
Prob to win: 7.78%
Game ELO: 1599 -> 1590 (-9) |
England win: expected
|
Estádio do Maracanã, Rio de Janeiro |
Walter Winterbottom |
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