England details

England

Statistics:
  • Games: 119
  • Expected results: 55 (52.88%)
  • Unexpected results: 49 (47.12%)
  • Unknown games: 15
  • Record: 51 Won, 29 Lost, 24 Drawn, 15 Unknown
  • Last five games: LWWWD
  • Expected wins: 37 (35.58%)
  • Expected losses: 18 (17.31%)
  • Unexpected wins: 14 (13.46%)
  • Unexpected losses: 11 (10.58%)
  • Unexpected draws: 24 (23.08%)
  • Wins (+1pt for expected, +3 for unexpected): 79
  • Losses (-1pt for expected, -3 for unexpected): -51
  • Draws (-1pt if fav, +1pt if underdog): 24
  • Total: 52

Tournament Game Time Round Group Name Score Odds Analysis Location Coach
Euro 2024 14-Jul-2024 21:00 2 Final
Prob to win: 72.11%
Game ELO: 2237
-> 2265 (+28)
2 - 1
Prob to win: 27.89%
Game ELO: 2072
-> 2044 (-28)
England loss: expected
Olympiastadion, Berlin
Euro 2024 10-Jul-2024 21:00 2 Semi Finals
Prob to win: 50.58%
Game ELO: 2025
-> 1974 (-51)
1 - 2
Prob to win: 49.42%
Game ELO: 2021
-> 2072 (+51)
England win: upset (loss expected)
BVB Stadion Dortmund, Dortmund
Euro 2024 6-Jul-2024 21:00 2 Quarter Finals
Prob to win: 50.86%
Game ELO: 1972
-> 2021 (+49)
1 - 1 (aet)
5 - 3 (pen)
Prob to win: 49.14%
Game ELO: 1966
-> 1917 (-49)
England win: expected
Olympiastadion, Berlin
Euro 2024 30-Jun-2024 21:00 2 Top 16
Prob to win: 80.56%
Game ELO: 1953
-> 1972 (+19)
2 - 1 (aet)
Prob to win: 19.44%
Game ELO: 1706
-> 1687 (-19)
England win: expected
Cologne Stadium, Cologne
Euro 2024 25-Jun-2024 21:00 1 Group C
Prob to win: 74.41%
Game ELO: 1982
-> 1953 (-29)
0 - 0
Prob to win: 19.68%
Game ELO: 1751
-> 1780 (+29)
England draw: upset (win expected)
Cologne Stadium, Cologne
Euro 2024 20-Jun-2024 18:00 1 Group C
Prob to win: 23.62%
Game ELO: 1820
-> 1845 (+25)
1 - 1
Prob to win: 69.30%
Game ELO: 2007
-> 1982 (-25)
England draw: upset (win expected)
Frankfurt Arena, Frankfurt
Euro 2024 16-Jun-2024 21:00 1 Group C
Prob to win: 24.28%
Game ELO: 1801
-> 1775 (-26)
0 - 1
Prob to win: 68.43%
Game ELO: 1981
-> 2007 (+26)
England win: expected
Arena AufSchalke, Gelsenkirchen
Qatar 2022 10-Dec-2022 22:00 2 Quarter Finals
Prob to win: 57.01%
Game ELO: 2077
-> 2020 (-57)
1 - 2
Prob to win: 42.99%
Game ELO: 2028
-> 2085 (+57)
England loss: upset (win expected)
Al Bayt Stadium, Al Khor
Qatar 2022 4-Dec-2022 22:00 2 Top 16
Prob to win: 78.41%
Game ELO: 2034
-> 2077 (+43)
3 - 0
Prob to win: 21.59%
Game ELO: 1810
-> 1767 (-43)
England win: expected
Al Bayt Stadium, Al Khor
Qatar 2022 29-Nov-2022 22:00 1 Group B
Prob to win: 13.59%
Game ELO: 1693
-> 1665 (-28)
0 - 3
Prob to win: 82.34%
Game ELO: 2006
-> 2034 (+28)
England win: expected
Ahmad bin Ali Stadium, Al Rayyan
Qatar 2022 25-Nov-2022 22:00 1 Group B
Prob to win: 75.28%
Game ELO: 2036
-> 2006 (-30)
0 - 0
USA
Prob to win: 19.02%
Game ELO: 1797
-> 1827 (+30)
England draw: upset (win expected)
Al Bayt Stadium, Al Khor
Qatar 2022 21-Nov-2022 16:00 1 Group B
Prob to win: 60.96%
Game ELO: 1920
-> 2036 (+116)
6 - 2
Prob to win: 30.03%
Game ELO: 1797
-> 1681 (-116)
England win: expected
Khalifa International Stadium, Al Rayyan
Euro 2020 11-Jul-2021 21:00 2 Final
Prob to win: 54.45%
Game ELO: 2013
-> 2300 (+287)
1 - 1 (aet)
3 - 2 (pen)
Prob to win: 45.55%
Game ELO: 1982
-> 2146 (+164)
England loss: expected
Wembley Stadium, London
Euro 2020 7-Jul-2021 21:00 2 Semi Finals
Prob to win: 51.29%
Game ELO: 1982
-> 2185 (+203)
2 - 1 (aet)
Prob to win: 48.71%
Game ELO: 1973
-> 2065 (+92)
England win: expected
Wembley Stadium, London
Euro 2020 3-Jul-2021 21:00 2 Quarter Finals
Prob to win: 27.55%
Game ELO: 1814
-> 1755 (-59)
0 - 4
Prob to win: 72.45%
Game ELO: 1982
-> 2139 (+157)
England win: expected
Stadio Olimpico, Rome
Euro 2020 29-Jun-2021 18:00 2 Top 16
Prob to win: 56.58%
Game ELO: 1982
-> 2072 (+90)
2 - 0
Prob to win: 43.42%
Game ELO: 1936
-> 1912 (-24)
England win: expected
Wembley Stadium, London
Euro 2020 22-Jun-2021 21:00 1 Group D
Prob to win: 27.14%
Game ELO: 1820
-> 1790 (-30)
0 - 1
Prob to win: 64.72%
Game ELO: 1971
-> 2001 (+30)
England win: expected
Wembley Stadium, London
Euro 2020 18-Jun-2021 21:00 1 Group D
Prob to win: 87.84%
Game ELO: 2011
-> 1971 (-40)
0 - 0
Prob to win: 9.36%
Game ELO: 1622
-> 1662 (+40)
England draw: upset (win expected)
Wembley Stadium, London
Euro 2020 13-Jun-2021 15:00 1 Group D
Prob to win: 65.51%
Game ELO: 1982
-> 2011 (+29)
1 - 0
Prob to win: 26.53%
Game ELO: 1825
-> 1796 (-29)
England win: expected
Wembley Stadium, London
Russia 2018 14-Jul-2018 17:00 2 3rd Place
Prob to win: 67.76%
Game ELO: 2075
-> 2123 (+48)
2 - 0
Prob to win: 32.24%
Game ELO: 1946
-> 1898 (-48)
England loss: expected
Krestovsky Stadium, Saint Petersburg
Russia 2018 11-Jul-2018 21:00 2 Semi Finals
Prob to win: 46.12%
Game ELO: 1973
-> 2027 (+54)
2 - 1 (aet)
Prob to win: 53.88%
Game ELO: 2000
-> 1946 (-54)
England loss: upset (win expected)
Luzhniki Stadium, Moscow
Russia 2018 7-Jul-2018 18:00 2 Quarter Finals
Prob to win: 61.99%
Game ELO: 1992
-> 1899 (-93)
0 - 2
Prob to win: 38.01%
Game ELO: 1907
-> 2000 (+93)
England win: upset (loss expected)
Cosmos Arena, Samara
Russia 2018 3-Jul-2018 21:00 2 Top 16
Prob to win: 50.29%
Game ELO: 1959
-> 2009 (+50)
1 - 1 (aet)
3 - 4 (pen)
Prob to win: 49.71%
Game ELO: 1957
-> 1907 (-50)
England win: upset (loss expected)
Otkritie Arena, Moscow
Russia 2018 28-Jun-2018 19:00 1 Group G
Prob to win: 44.90%
Game ELO: 2008
-> 1957 (-51)
0 - 1
Prob to win: 42.39%
Game ELO: 1998
-> 2049 (+51)
England loss: expected
Kaliningrad Stadium, Kaliningrad
Russia 2018 24-Jun-2018 13:00 1 Group G
Prob to win: 84.33%
Game ELO: 1964
-> 2008 (+44)
6 - 1
Prob to win: 12.05%
Game ELO: 1626
-> 1582 (-44)
England win: expected
Nizhny Novgorod Stadium, Nizhny Novgorod
Russia 2018 18-Jun-2018 19:00 1 Group G
Prob to win: 15.06%
Game ELO: 1657
-> 1641 (-16)
1 - 2
Prob to win: 80.42%
Game ELO: 1948
-> 1964 (+16)
England win: expected
Volgograd Arena, Volgograd
Euro 2016 27-Jun-2016 21:00 2 Top 16
Prob to win: 66.74%
Game ELO: 1940
-> 1873 (-67)
1 - 2
Prob to win: 33.26%
Game ELO: 1819
-> 1886 (+67)
England loss: upset (win expected)
Stade de Nice, Nice
Euro 2016 20-Jun-2016 21:00 1 Group B
Prob to win: 22.14%
Game ELO: 1763
-> 1789 (+26)
0 - 0
Prob to win: 71.22%
Game ELO: 1966
-> 1940 (-26)
England draw: upset (win expected)
Stade Geoffroy-Guichard, Saint-Étienne
Euro 2016 16-Jun-2016 15:00 1 Group B
Prob to win: 73.64%
Game ELO: 1944
-> 1966 (+22)
2 - 1
Prob to win: 20.28%
Game ELO: 1720
-> 1698 (-22)
England win: expected
Stade Bollaert-Delelis, Lens
Euro 2016 11-Jun-2016 21:00 1 Group B
Prob to win: 72.16%
Game ELO: 1971
-> 1944 (-27)
1 - 1
Prob to win: 21.42%
Game ELO: 1760
-> 1787 (+27)
England draw: upset (win expected)
Stade Vélodrome, Marseille
Brazil 2014 24-Jun-2014 1 Group D
Prob to win: 54.37%
Game ELO: 1892
-> 1881 (-11)
0 - 0
Prob to win: 35.10%
Game ELO: 1816
-> 1827 (+11)
England draw: upset (loss expected)
Belo Horizonte
Brazil 2014 19-Jun-2014 1 Group D
Prob to win: 35.54%
Game ELO: 1804
-> 1864 (+60)
2 - 1
Prob to win: 53.80%
Game ELO: 1876
-> 1816 (-60)
England loss: upset (win expected)
Sao Paulo
Brazil 2014 14-Jun-2014 1 Group D
Prob to win: 49.77%
Game ELO: 1932
-> 1876 (-56)
1 - 2
Prob to win: 38.64%
Game ELO: 1888
-> 1944 (+56)
England loss: expected
Manaus
Euro 2012 24-Jun-2012 21:45 2 Quarter Finals
Game ELO:
-> 999 ()
0 - 0 (aet)
2 - 4 (pen)
Game ELO:
-> 1126 ()
Olympic Stadium, Kyiv
Euro 2012 19-Jun-2012 21:45 1 Group D
Prob to win: 54.80%
Game ELO: 1043
-> 1082 (+39)
1 - 0
Prob to win: 34.77%
Game ELO: 964
-> 925 (-39)
England win: expected
Donbass Arena, Donetsk
Euro 2012 15-Jun-2012 22:00 1 Group D
Prob to win: 37.97%
Game ELO: 950
-> 907 (-43)
2 - 3
Prob to win: 50.64%
Game ELO: 1000
-> 1043 (+43)
England win: expected
Olympic Stadium, Kyiv
Euro 2012 11-Jun-2012 19:00 1 Group D
Game ELO:
-> 1000 ()
1 - 1
Game ELO:
-> 1000 ()
Donbass Arena, Donetsk
South Africa 2010 27-Jun-2010 20:30 2 Top 16
Prob to win: 54.88%
Game ELO: 1988
-> 2078 (+90)
4 - 1
Prob to win: 45.12%
Game ELO: 1954
-> 1864 (-90)
England loss: expected
Johannesburg Fabio Capello
South Africa 2010 23-Jun-2010 16:00 1 Group C
Prob to win: 22.41%
Game ELO: 1730
-> 1706 (-24)
0 - 1
Prob to win: 70.87%
Game ELO: 1930
-> 1954 (+24)
England win: expected
Nelson Mandela Bay Fabio Capello
South Africa 2010 18-Jun-2010 20:30 1 Group C
Prob to win: 91.62%
Game ELO: 1973
-> 1930 (-43)
0 - 0
Prob to win: 6.45%
Game ELO: 1512
-> 1555 (+43)
England draw: upset (win expected)
Cape Town Fabio Capello
South Africa 2010 12-Jun-2010 20:30 1 Group C
Prob to win: 72.62%
Game ELO: 2001
-> 1973 (-28)
1 - 1
USA
Prob to win: 21.06%
Game ELO: 1786
-> 1814 (+28)
England draw: upset (win expected)
Rustenburg Fabio Capello
Germany 2006 1-Jul-2006 2 Quarter Finals
Prob to win: 44.13%
Game ELO: 2016
-> 2072 (+56)
0 - 0 (aet)
1 - 3 (pen)
Prob to win: 55.87%
Game ELO: 2057
-> 2001 (-56)
England loss: expected
Gelsenkirchen Sven-Göran Eriksson
Germany 2006 25-Jun-2006 2 Top 16
Prob to win: 75.87%
Game ELO: 1992
-> 2016 (+24)
1 - 0
Prob to win: 24.13%
Game ELO: 1793
-> 1769 (-24)
England win: expected
Nuremberg Sven-Göran Eriksson
Germany 2006 20-Jun-2006 1 Group B
Prob to win: 27.75%
Game ELO: 1867
-> 1887 (+20)
2 - 2
Prob to win: 63.93%
Game ELO: 2012
-> 1992 (-20)
England draw: upset (win expected)
Sven-Göran Eriksson
Germany 2006 15-Jun-2006 1 Group B
Prob to win: 88.32%
Game ELO: 1998
-> 2012 (+14)
2 - 0
Prob to win: 8.99%
Game ELO: 1601
-> 1587 (-14)
England win: expected
Sven-Göran Eriksson
Germany 2006 10-Jun-2006 1 Group B
Prob to win: 70.15%
Game ELO: 1973
-> 1998 (+25)
1 - 0
Prob to win: 22.96%
Game ELO: 1779
-> 1754 (-25)
England win: expected
Sven-Göran Eriksson
Euro 2004 24-Jun-2004 19:45 2 Quarter Finals
Game ELO:
-> 1136 ()
2 - 2 (aet)
6 - 5 (pen)
Game ELO:
-> 1070 ()
Estádio da Luz, Lisbon
Euro 2004 21-Jun-2004 19:45 1 Group B
Game ELO:
-> 944 ()
2 - 4
Game ELO: 1064
-> 1127 (+63)
Estádio da Luz, Lisbon
Euro 2004 17-Jun-2004 17:00 1 Group B
Prob to win: 37.97%
Game ELO: 950
-> 1064 (+114)
3 - 0
Prob to win: 50.64%
Game ELO: 1000
-> 886 (-114)
England win: upset (loss expected)
Estádio Cidade de Coimbra, Coimbra
Euro 2004 13-Jun-2004 19:45 1 Group B
Game ELO:
-> 1050 ()
2 - 1
Game ELO:
-> 950 ()
Estádio da Luz, Lisbon
Korea/ Japan 2002 21-Jun-2002 2 Quarter Finals
Prob to win: 49.86%
Game ELO: 2064
-> 2014 (-50)
1 - 2
Prob to win: 50.14%
Game ELO: 2065
-> 2115 (+50)
England loss: expected
Shizuoka Sven-Göran Eriksson
Korea/ Japan 2002 17-Jun-2002 2 Top 16
Prob to win: 56.58%
Game ELO: 1997
-> 1884 (-113)
0 - 3
Prob to win: 43.42%
Game ELO: 1951
-> 2064 (+113)
England win: upset (loss expected)
Kobe Sven-Göran Eriksson
Korea/ Japan 2002 12-Jun-2002 1 Group F
Prob to win: 16.88%
Game ELO: 1717
-> 1749 (+32)
0 - 0
Prob to win: 78.05%
Game ELO: 1983
-> 1951 (-32)
England draw: upset (win expected)
Nagai Stadium, Osaka Sven-Göran Eriksson
Korea/ Japan 2002 7-Jun-2002 1 Group F
Prob to win: 60.69%
Game ELO: 2037
-> 1970 (-67)
0 - 1
Prob to win: 30.24%
Game ELO: 1916
-> 1983 (+67)
England win: upset (loss expected)
Sapporo Dome, Sapporo Sven-Göran Eriksson
Korea/ Japan 2002 2-Jun-2002 1 Group F
Prob to win: 52.22%
Game ELO: 1925
-> 1916 (-9)
1 - 1
Prob to win: 36.76%
Game ELO: 1864
-> 1873 (+9)
England draw: upset (win expected)
Saitama Stadium, Saitama Sven-Göran Eriksson
Euro 2000 20-Jun-2000 20:45 1 Group A
Prob to win: 50.64%
Game ELO: 1007
-> 950 (-57)
2 - 3
Prob to win: 37.97%
Game ELO: 957
-> 1014 (+57)
England loss: upset (win expected)
Stade du Pays de Charleroi, Charleroi
Euro 2000 17-Jun-2000 20:45 1 Group A
Prob to win: 37.97%
Game ELO: 950
-> 1007 (+57)
1 - 0
Prob to win: 50.64%
Game ELO: 1000
-> 943 (-57)
England win: upset (loss expected)
Stade du Pays de Charleroi, Charleroi
Euro 2000 12-Jun-2000 20:45 1 Group A
Game ELO:
-> 1050 ()
3 - 2
Game ELO:
-> 950 ()
Philips Stadion, Eindhoven
France 1998 28-Jun-1998 2 Top 16
Prob to win: 61.99%
Game ELO: 2051
-> 2089 (+38)
2 - 2 (aet)
4 - 3 (pen)
Prob to win: 38.01%
Game ELO: 1966
-> 1928 (-38)
England loss: expected
Lens Glenn Hoddle
France 1998 26-Jun-1998 1 Group G
Prob to win: 24.00%
Game ELO: 1744
-> 1705 (-39)
0 - 2
Prob to win: 68.81%
Game ELO: 1927
-> 1966 (+39)
England win: expected
Stade Félix Bollaert, Lens Glenn Hoddle
France 1998 22-Jun-1998 1 Group G
Prob to win: 34.77%
Game ELO: 1909
-> 1970 (+61)
2 - 1
Prob to win: 54.80%
Game ELO: 1988
-> 1927 (-61)
England loss: upset (win expected)
Stade de Toulouse, Toulouse Glenn Hoddle
France 1998 15-Jun-1998 1 Group G
Prob to win: 84.41%
Game ELO: 1969
-> 1988 (+19)
2 - 0
Prob to win: 11.99%
Game ELO: 1630
-> 1611 (-19)
England win: expected
Stade Vélodrome, Marseille Glenn Hoddle
Euro 1996 26-Jun-1996 19:30 2 Semi Finals
Game ELO:
-> 1214 ()
1 - 1 (aet)
6 - 5 (pen)
Game ELO:
-> 1163 ()
Wembley Stadium, London
Euro 1996 22-Jun-1996 15:00 2 Quarter Finals
Game ELO:
-> 995 ()
0 - 0 (aet)
2 - 4 (pen)
Game ELO:
-> 1223 ()
Wembley Stadium, London
Euro 1996 18-Jun-1996 19:30 1 Group A
Prob to win: 43.48%
Game ELO: 1075
-> 975 (-100)
1 - 4
Prob to win: 43.48%
Game ELO: 1075
-> 1175 (+100)
England win: upset (loss expected)
Wembley Stadium, London
Euro 1996 15-Jun-1996 15:00 1 Group A
Prob to win: 43.48%
Game ELO: 1000
-> 925 (-75)
0 - 2
Prob to win: 43.48%
Game ELO: 1000
-> 1075 (+75)
England win: upset (loss expected)
Wembley Stadium, London
Euro 1996 8-Jun-1996 15:00 1 Group A
Game ELO:
-> 1000 ()
1 - 1
Game ELO:
-> 1000 ()
Wembley Stadium, London
Euro 1992 17-Jun-1992 20:15 1 Group A
Prob to win: 50.64%
Game ELO: 1050
-> 1093 (+43)
2 - 1
Prob to win: 37.97%
Game ELO: 1000
-> 957 (-43)
England loss: expected
Råsunda Stadium, Solna
Euro 1992 14-Jun-1992 17:15 1 Group A
Prob to win: 43.48%
Game ELO: 1000
-> 1000 (+0)
0 - 0
Prob to win: 43.48%
Game ELO: 1000
-> 1000 (+0)
England draw: upset (loss expected)
Malmö Stadion, Malmö
Euro 1992 11-Jun-1992 20:15 1 Group A
Game ELO:
-> 1000 ()
0 - 0
Game ELO:
-> 1000 ()
Malmö Stadion, Malmö
Italy 1990 7-Jul-1990 2 3rd Place
Prob to win: 69.98%
Game ELO: 2132
-> 2162 (+30)
2 - 1
Prob to win: 30.02%
Game ELO: 1985
-> 1955 (-30)
England loss: expected
Bari Bobby Robson
Italy 1990 4-Jul-1990 2 Semi Finals
Prob to win: 62.54%
Game ELO: 2111
-> 2148 (+37)
1 - 1 (aet)
4 - 3 (pen)
Prob to win: 37.46%
Game ELO: 2022
-> 1985 (-37)
England loss: expected
Turin Bobby Robson
Italy 1990 1-Jul-1990 2 Quarter Finals
Prob to win: 87.37%
Game ELO: 2009
-> 2022 (+13)
3 - 2 (aet)
Prob to win: 12.63%
Game ELO: 1673
-> 1660 (-13)
England win: expected
Naples Bobby Robson
Italy 1990 26-Jun-1990 2 Top 16
Prob to win: 56.44%
Game ELO: 1965
-> 2009 (+44)
1 - 0 (aet)
Prob to win: 43.56%
Game ELO: 1920
-> 1876 (-44)
England win: expected
Bologna Bobby Robson
Italy 1990 21-Jun-1990 1 Group F
Prob to win: 74.74%
Game ELO: 1944
-> 1965 (+21)
1 - 0
Prob to win: 19.43%
Game ELO: 1710
-> 1689 (-21)
England win: expected
Stadio Sant'Elia, Cagliari Bobby Robson
Italy 1990 16-Jun-1990 1 Group F
Prob to win: 37.31%
Game ELO: 1936
-> 1944 (+8)
0 - 0
Prob to win: 51.50%
Game ELO: 1992
-> 1984 (-8)
England draw: upset (loss expected)
Stadio Sant'Elia, Cagliari Bobby Robson
Italy 1990 11-Jun-1990 1 Group F
Prob to win: 51.07%
Game ELO: 1944
-> 1936 (-8)
1 - 1
Prob to win: 37.64%
Game ELO: 1891
-> 1899 (+8)
England draw: upset (win expected)
Stadio Sant'Elia, Cagliari Bobby Robson
Euro 1988 18-Jun-1988 15:30 1 Group B
Game ELO:
-> 0 ()
1 - 3
Game ELO:
-> 0 ()
Waldstadion, Frankfurt
Euro 1988 15-Jun-1988 17:15 1 Group B
Game ELO:
-> 0 ()
1 - 3
Game ELO:
-> 0 ()
Rheinstadion, Düsseldorf
Euro 1988 12-Jun-1988 15:30 1 Group B
Game ELO:
-> 0 ()
0 - 1
Game ELO:
-> 0 ()
Neckarstadion, Stuttgart
Mexico 1986 22-Jun-1986 2 Quarter Finals
Prob to win: 41.45%
Game ELO: 1977
-> 2036 (+59)
2 - 1
Prob to win: 58.55%
Game ELO: 2037
-> 1978 (-59)
England loss: upset (win expected)
Mexico City Bobby Robson
Mexico 1986 18-Jun-1986 2 Top 16
Prob to win: 68.63%
Game ELO: 1974
-> 2037 (+63)
3 - 0
Prob to win: 31.37%
Game ELO: 1838
-> 1775 (-63)
England win: expected
Mexico City Bobby Robson
Mexico 1986 11-Jun-1986 1 Group F
Prob to win: 39.30%
Game ELO: 1847
-> 1758 (-89)
0 - 3
Prob to win: 48.91%
Game ELO: 1885
-> 1974 (+89)
England win: upset (loss expected)
Estadio Universitario, Monterrey Bobby Robson
Mexico 1986 6-Jun-1986 1 Group F
Prob to win: 18.13%
Game ELO: 1666
-> 1697 (+31)
0 - 0
Prob to win: 76.44%
Game ELO: 1916
-> 1885 (-31)
England draw: upset (win expected)
Estadio Tecnológico, Monterrey Bobby Robson
Mexico 1986 3-Jun-1986 1 Group F
Prob to win: 23.90%
Game ELO: 1806
-> 1880 (+74)
1 - 0
Prob to win: 68.93%
Game ELO: 1990
-> 1916 (-74)
England loss: upset (win expected)
Estadio Tecnológico, Monterrey Bobby Robson
Spain 1982 5-Jul-1982 2 Group B
Prob to win: 17.73%
Game ELO: 1819
-> 1850 (+31)
0 - 0
Prob to win: 76.95%
Game ELO: 2074
-> 2043 (-31)
England draw: upset (win expected)
Estadio Santiago Bernabéu, Madrid Ron Greenwood
Spain 1982 29-Jun-1982 2 Group B
Prob to win: 46.04%
Game ELO: 2089
-> 2086 (-3)
0 - 0
Prob to win: 41.51%
Game ELO: 2071
-> 2074 (+3)
England draw: upset (loss expected)
Estadio Santiago Bernabéu, Madrid Ron Greenwood
Spain 1982 25-Jun-1982 1 Group 4
Prob to win: 91.48%
Game ELO: 2064
-> 2071 (+7)
1 - 0
Prob to win: 6.55%
Game ELO: 1606
-> 1599 (-7)
England win: expected
Estadio San Mamés, Bilbao Ron Greenwood
Spain 1982 20-Jun-1982 1 Group 4
Prob to win: 65.12%
Game ELO: 2020
-> 2064 (+44)
2 - 0
Prob to win: 26.83%
Game ELO: 1866
-> 1822 (-44)
England win: expected
Estadio San Mamés, Bilbao Ron Greenwood
Spain 1982 16-Jun-1982 1 Group 4
Prob to win: 55.65%
Game ELO: 1963
-> 2020 (+57)
3 - 1
Prob to win: 34.12%
Game ELO: 1878
-> 1821 (-57)
England win: expected
Estadio San Mamés, Bilbao Ron Greenwood
Euro 1980 18-Jun-1980 17:45 1 Group B
Prob to win: 43.48%
Game ELO: 950
-> 900 (-50)
1 - 2
Prob to win: 43.48%
Game ELO: 950
-> 1000 (+50)
England win: upset (loss expected)
Stadio San Paolo, Naples
Euro 1980 15-Jun-1980 20:30 1 Group B
Prob to win: 43.48%
Game ELO: 1000
-> 950 (-50)
0 - 1
Prob to win: 43.48%
Game ELO: 1000
-> 1050 (+50)
England loss: expected
Stadio Comunale, Turin
Euro 1980 12-Jun-1980 17:45 1 Group B
Game ELO:
-> 1000 ()
1 - 1
Game ELO:
-> 1000 ()
Stadio Comunale, Turin
Mexico 1970 14-Jun-1970 2 Quarter Finals
Prob to win: 53.31%
Game ELO: 2080
-> 2127 (+47)
3 - 2 (aet)
Prob to win: 46.69%
Game ELO: 2057
-> 2010 (-47)
England loss: expected
León Alf Ramsey
Mexico 1970 11-Jun-1970 1 Group 3
Prob to win: 73.97%
Game ELO: 2036
-> 2057 (+21)
1 - 0
Prob to win: 20.02%
Game ELO: 1809
-> 1788 (-21)
England win: expected
Estadio Jalisco, Guadalajara Alf Ramsey
Mexico 1970 7-Jun-1970 1 Group 3
Prob to win: 45.18%
Game ELO: 2096
-> 2144 (+48)
1 - 0
Prob to win: 42.17%
Game ELO: 2084
-> 2036 (-48)
England loss: expected
Estadio Jalisco, Guadalajara Alf Ramsey
Mexico 1970 2-Jun-1970 1 Group 3
Prob to win: 78.83%
Game ELO: 2067
-> 2084 (+17)
1 - 0
Prob to win: 16.28%
Game ELO: 1793
-> 1776 (-17)
England win: expected
Estadio Jalisco, Guadalajara Alf Ramsey
Euro 1968 8-Jun-1968 15:00 1 3rd Place
Prob to win: 42.85%
Game ELO: 950
-> 1036 (+86)
2 - 0
Prob to win: 57.15%
Game ELO: 1000
-> 914 (-86)
England win: upset (loss expected)
Stadio Olimpico, Rome
Euro 1968 5-Jun-1968 21:15 1 Semi Finals
Game ELO:
-> 1050 ()
1 - 0
Game ELO:
-> 950 ()
Stadio Comunale, Florence
England 1966 30-Jul-1966 2 Final
Prob to win: 42.85%
Game ELO: 2140
-> 2226 (+86)
4 - 2 (aet)
Prob to win: 57.15%
Game ELO: 2190
-> 2104 (-86)
England win: upset (loss expected)
London Alf Ramsey
England 1966 26-Jul-1966 2 Semi Finals
Prob to win: 50.86%
Game ELO: 2091
-> 2140 (+49)
2 - 1
Prob to win: 49.14%
Game ELO: 2085
-> 2036 (-49)
England win: expected
London Alf Ramsey
England 1966 23-Jul-1966 2 Quarter Finals
Prob to win: 53.59%
Game ELO: 2045
-> 2091 (+46)
1 - 0
Prob to win: 46.41%
Game ELO: 2020
-> 1974 (-46)
England win: expected
London Alf Ramsey
England 1966 20-Jul-1966 1 Group 1
Prob to win: 80.06%
Game ELO: 2021
-> 2045 (+24)
2 - 0
Prob to win: 15.34%
Game ELO: 1734
-> 1710 (-24)
England win: expected
Wembley Stadium, London Alf Ramsey
England 1966 16-Jul-1966 1 Group 1
Prob to win: 60.69%
Game ELO: 1971
-> 2021 (+50)
2 - 0
Prob to win: 30.24%
Game ELO: 1850
-> 1800 (-50)
England win: expected
Wembley Stadium, London Alf Ramsey
England 1966 11-Jul-1966 1 Group 1
Prob to win: 63.80%
Game ELO: 1991
-> 1971 (-20)
0 - 0
Prob to win: 27.85%
Game ELO: 1847
-> 1867 (+20)
England draw: upset (win expected)
Wembley Stadium, London Alf Ramsey
Chile 1962 10-Jun-1962 2 Quarter Finals
Prob to win: 74.80%
Game ELO: 2139
-> 2177 (+38)
3 - 1
Prob to win: 25.20%
Game ELO: 1950
-> 1912 (-38)
England loss: expected
Viña del Mar Walter Winterbottom
Chile 1962 7-Jun-1962 1 Group 4
Prob to win: 82.09%
Game ELO: 1986
-> 1950 (-36)
0 - 0
Prob to win: 13.78%
Game ELO: 1676
-> 1712 (+36)
England draw: upset (win expected)
Estadio El Teniente, Rancagua Walter Winterbottom
Chile 1962 2-Jun-1962 1 Group 4
Prob to win: 30.98%
Game ELO: 1887
-> 1986 (+99)
3 - 1
Prob to win: 59.72%
Game ELO: 2001
-> 1902 (-99)
England win: upset (loss expected)
Estadio El Teniente, Rancagua Walter Winterbottom
Chile 1962 31-May-1962 1 Group 4
Prob to win: 45.75%
Game ELO: 1951
-> 1999 (+48)
2 - 1
Prob to win: 41.73%
Game ELO: 1935
-> 1887 (-48)
England loss: expected
Estadio El Teniente, Rancagua Walter Winterbottom
Sweden 1958 17-Jun-1958 1 Group 4 Playoff
Prob to win: 35.87%
Game ELO: 1902
-> 1962 (+60)
1 - 0
Prob to win: 53.37%
Game ELO: 1971
-> 1911 (-60)
England loss: upset (win expected)
Ullevi, Gothenburg Walter Winterbottom
Sweden 1958 15-Jun-1958 1 Group 4
Prob to win: 75.06%
Game ELO: 2001
-> 1971 (-30)
2 - 2
Prob to win: 19.18%
Game ELO: 1764
-> 1794 (+30)
England draw: upset (win expected)
Ryavallen, Borås Walter Winterbottom
Sweden 1958 11-Jun-1958 1 Group 4
Prob to win: 52.22%
Game ELO: 2053
-> 2044 (-9)
0 - 0
Prob to win: 36.76%
Game ELO: 1992
-> 2001 (+9)
England draw: upset (loss expected)
Ullevi, Gothenburg Walter Winterbottom
Sweden 1958 8-Jun-1958 1 Group 4
Prob to win: 29.61%
Game ELO: 1883
-> 1901 (+18)
2 - 2
Prob to win: 61.51%
Game ELO: 2010
-> 1992 (-18)
England draw: upset (win expected)
Ullevi, Gothenburg Walter Winterbottom
Switzerland 1954 26-Jun-1954 2 Quarter Finals
Prob to win: 55.59%
Game ELO: 2057
-> 2124 (+67)
4 - 2
Prob to win: 44.41%
Game ELO: 2018
-> 1951 (-67)
England loss: expected
Basel Walter Winterbottom
Switzerland 1954 20-Jun-1954 1 Group 4
Prob to win: 74.74%
Game ELO: 1987
-> 2018 (+31)
2 - 0
Prob to win: 19.43%
Game ELO: 1753
-> 1722 (-31)
England win: expected
Wankdorf Stadium, Bern Walter Winterbottom
Switzerland 1954 17-Jun-1954 1 Group 4
Prob to win: 75.70%
Game ELO: 2017
-> 1987 (-30)
4 - 4
Prob to win: 18.69%
Game ELO: 1774
-> 1804 (+30)
England draw: upset (win expected)
St. Jakob Stadium, Basel Walter Winterbottom
Brazil 1950 2-Jul-1950 1 Group 2
Prob to win: 37.75%
Game ELO: 1938
-> 1995 (+57)
1 - 0
Prob to win: 50.92%
Game ELO: 1990
-> 1933 (-57)
England loss: upset (win expected)
Estádio do Maracanã, Rio de Janeiro Walter Winterbottom
Brazil 1950 29-Jun-1950 1 Group 2
USA
Prob to win: 4.56%
Game ELO: 1559
-> 1654 (+95)
1 - 0
Prob to win: 94.08%
Game ELO: 2085
-> 1990 (-95)
England loss: upset (win expected)
Estádio Independência, Belo Horizonte Walter Winterbottom
Brazil 1950 25-Jun-1950 1 Group 2
Prob to win: 92.30%
Game ELO: 2076
-> 2085 (+9)
2 - 0
Prob to win: 5.93%
Game ELO: 1599
-> 1590 (-9)
England win: expected
Estádio do Maracanã, Rio de Janeiro Walter Winterbottom