England details

England

Statistics:
  • Games: 107
  • Expected results: 66 (61.68%)
  • Unexpected results: 41 (38.32%)
  • Unknown games: 0
  • Record: 46 Won, 36 Lost, 25 Drawn, 0 Unknown
  • Last five games: LWWWW
  • Expected wins: 43 (40.19%)
  • Expected losses: 23 (21.50%)
  • Unexpected wins: 3 (2.80%)
  • Unexpected losses: 13 (12.15%)
  • Unexpected draws: 25 (23.36%)
  • Wins (+1pt for expected, +3 for unexpected): 52
  • Losses (-1pt for expected, -3 for unexpected): -62
  • Draws (-1pt if fav, +1pt if underdog): 25
  • Total: 15

Tournament Game Time Round Group Name Score Odds Analysis Location Coach
Euro 2020 11-Jul-2021 21:00 2 Final Italy
Prob to win: 70.82%
Game ELO: 2013 -> 2300 ( + 287)
1 - 1 (aet)
3 - 2 (pen)
England
Prob to win: 29.18%
Game ELO: 1982 -> 2146 ( + 164)
England loss: expected
Wembley Stadium, London
Euro 2020 07-Jul-2021 21:00 2 Semi Finals England
Prob to win: 61.45%
Game ELO: 1982 -> 2185 ( + 203)
2 - 1 (aet)
Denmark
Prob to win: 38.55%
Game ELO: 1973 -> 2065 ( + 92)
England win: expected
Wembley Stadium, London
Euro 2020 03-Jul-2021 21:00 2 Quarter Finals Ukraine
Prob to win: 9.53%
Game ELO: 1814 -> 1755 ( -59)
0 - 4
England
Prob to win: 90.47%
Game ELO: 1982 -> 2139 ( + 157)
England win: expected
Stadio Olimpico, Rome
Euro 2020 29-Jun-2021 18:00 2 Top 16 England
Prob to win: 79.36%
Game ELO: 1982 -> 2072 ( + 90)
2 - 0
Germany
Prob to win: 20.64%
Game ELO: 1936 -> 1912 ( -24)
England win: expected
Wembley Stadium, London
Euro 2020 22-Jun-2021 21:00 1 Group D Czech Republic
Prob to win: 18.04%
Game ELO: 1820 -> 1790 ( -30)
0 - 1
England
Prob to win: 81.96%
Game ELO: 1971 -> 2001 ( + 30)
England win: expected
Wembley Stadium, London
Euro 2020 18-Jun-2021 21:00 1 Group D England
Prob to win: 95.51%
Game ELO: 2011 -> 1971 ( -40)
0 - 0
Scotland
Prob to win: 4.49%
Game ELO: 1622 -> 1662 ( + 40)
England draw: upset (win expected)
Wembley Stadium, London
Euro 2020 13-Jun-2021 15:00 1 Group D England
Prob to win: 87.43%
Game ELO: 1982 -> 2011 ( + 29)
1 - 0
Croatia
Prob to win: 12.57%
Game ELO: 1825 -> 1796 ( -29)
England win: expected
Wembley Stadium, London
Russia 2018 14-Jul-2018 17:00 2 3rd Place Belgium
Prob to win: 73.48%
Game ELO: 1939 -> 2142 ( + 203)
2 - 0
England
Prob to win: 26.52%
Game ELO: 1948 -> 1965 ( + 17)
England loss: expected
Krestovsky Stadium, Saint Petersburg
Russia 2018 11-Jul-2018 21:00 2 Semi Finals Croatia
Prob to win: 64.14%
Game ELO: 1853 -> 2132 ( + 279)
2 - 1 (aet)
England
Prob to win: 35.86%
Game ELO: 1948 -> 2029 ( + 81)
England loss: expected
Luzhniki Stadium, Moscow
Russia 2018 07-Jul-2018 18:00 2 Quarter Finals Sweden
Prob to win: 43.56%
Game ELO: 1795 -> 1920 ( + 125)
0 - 2
England
Prob to win: 56.44%
Game ELO: 1948 -> 2079 ( + 131)
England win: expected
Cosmos Arena, Samara
Russia 2018 03-Jul-2018 21:00 2 Top 16 Colombia
Prob to win: 42.01%
Game ELO: 1928 -> 1909 ( -19)
1 - 1 (aet)
3 - 4 (pen)
England
Prob to win: 57.99%
Game ELO: 1948 -> 2007 ( + 59)
England win: expected
Otkritie Arena, Moscow
Russia 2018 28-Jun-2018 19:00 1 Group G England
Prob to win: 26.52%
Game ELO: 2008 -> 1957 ( -51)
0 - 1
Belgium
Prob to win: 73.48%
Game ELO: 1998 -> 2049 ( + 51)
England loss: expected
Kaliningrad Stadium, Kaliningrad
Russia 2018 24-Jun-2018 13:00 1 Group G England
Prob to win: 92.16%
Game ELO: 1964 -> 2008 ( + 44)
6 - 1
Panama
Prob to win: 7.84%
Game ELO: 1626 -> 1582 ( -44)
England win: expected
Nizhny Novgorod Stadium, Nizhny Novgorod
Russia 2018 18-Jun-2018 19:00 1 Group G Tunisia
Prob to win: 14.73%
Game ELO: 1657 -> 1641 ( -16)
1 - 2
England
Prob to win: 85.27%
Game ELO: 1948 -> 1964 ( + 16)
England win: expected
Volgograd Arena, Volgograd
Euro 2016 27-Jun-2016 21:00 2 Top 16 England
Prob to win: 57.71%
Game ELO: 1940 -> 1873 ( -67)
1 - 2
Iceland
Prob to win: 42.29%
Game ELO: 1819 -> 1886 ( + 67)
England loss: upset (win expected)
Stade de Nice, Nice
Euro 2016 20-Jun-2016 21:00 1 Group B Slovakia
Prob to win: 33.39%
Game ELO: 1763 -> 1789 ( + 26)
0 - 0
England
Prob to win: 66.61%
Game ELO: 1966 -> 1940 ( -26)
England draw: upset (win expected)
Stade Geoffroy-Guichard, Saint-Étienne
Euro 2016 16-Jun-2016 15:00 1 Group B England
Prob to win: 47.99%
Game ELO: 1944 -> 1966 ( + 22)
2 - 1
Wales
Prob to win: 52.01%
Game ELO: 1720 -> 1698 ( -22)
England win: upset (loss expected)
Stade Bollaert-Delelis, Lens
Euro 2016 11-Jun-2016 21:00 1 Group B England
Prob to win: 81.36%
Game ELO: 1971 -> 1944 ( -27)
1 - 1
Russia
Prob to win: 18.64%
Game ELO: 1760 -> 1787 ( + 27)
England draw: upset (win expected)
Stade Vélodrome, Marseille
Brazil 2014 24-Jun-2014 1 Group D Costa Rica
Prob to win: 63.61%
Game ELO: 1892 -> 1881 ( -11)
0 - 0
England
Prob to win: 36.39%
Game ELO: 1816 -> 1827 ( + 11)
England draw: upset (loss expected)
Belo Horizonte
Brazil 2014 19-Jun-2014 1 Group D Uruguay
Prob to win: 56.16%
Game ELO: 1804 -> 1864 ( + 60)
2 - 1
England
Prob to win: 43.84%
Game ELO: 1876 -> 1816 ( -60)
England loss: expected
Sao Paulo
Brazil 2014 14-Jun-2014 1 Group D England
Prob to win: 50.14%
Game ELO: 1932 -> 1876 ( -56)
1 - 2
Italy
Prob to win: 49.86%
Game ELO: 1888 -> 1944 ( + 56)
England loss: upset (win expected)
Manaus
Euro 2012 24-Jun-2012 21:45 2 Quarter Finals England
Prob to win: 42.99%
Game ELO: 0 -> 999 ( + 999)
0 - 0 (aet)
2 - 4 (pen)
Italy
Prob to win: 57.01%
Game ELO: 0 -> 1126 ( + 1126)
England loss: expected
Olympic Stadium, Kyiv
Euro 2012 19-Jun-2012 21:45 1 Group D England
Prob to win: 60.49%
Game ELO: 1043 -> 1082 ( + 39)
1 - 0
Ukraine
Prob to win: 39.51%
Game ELO: 964 -> 925 ( -39)
England win: expected
Donbass Arena, Donetsk
Euro 2012 15-Jun-2012 22:00 1 Group D Sweden
Prob to win: 52.73%
Game ELO: 950 -> 907 ( -43)
2 - 3
England
Prob to win: 47.27%
Game ELO: 1000 -> 1043 ( + 43)
England win: upset (loss expected)
Olympic Stadium, Kyiv
Euro 2012 11-Jun-2012 19:00 1 Group D France
Prob to win: 41.45%
Game ELO: 0 -> 1000 ( + 1000)
1 - 1
England
Prob to win: 58.55%
Game ELO: 0 -> 1000 ( + 1000)
England draw: upset (win expected)
Donbass Arena, Donetsk
South Africa 2010 27-Jun-2010 20:30 2 Top 16 Germany
Prob to win: 88.05%
Game ELO: 1988 -> 2078 ( + 90)
4 - 1
England
Prob to win: 11.95%
Game ELO: 1954 -> 1864 ( -90)
England loss: expected
Johannesburg Fabio Capello
South Africa 2010 23-Jun-2010 16:00 1 Group C Slovenia
Prob to win: 28.71%
Game ELO: 1730 -> 1706 ( -24)
0 - 1
England
Prob to win: 71.29%
Game ELO: 1930 -> 1954 ( + 24)
England win: expected
Nelson Mandela Bay Fabio Capello
South Africa 2010 18-Jun-2010 20:30 1 Group C England
Prob to win: 86.92%
Game ELO: 1973 -> 1930 ( -43)
0 - 0
Algeria
Prob to win: 13.08%
Game ELO: 1512 -> 1555 ( + 43)
England draw: upset (win expected)
Cape Town Fabio Capello
South Africa 2010 12-Jun-2010 20:30 1 Group C England
Prob to win: 64.93%
Game ELO: 2001 -> 1973 ( -28)
1 - 1
USA
Prob to win: 35.07%
Game ELO: 1786 -> 1814 ( + 28)
England draw: upset (win expected)
Rustenburg Fabio Capello
Germany 2006 01-Jul-2006 2 Quarter Finals England
Prob to win: 43.56%
Game ELO: 2016 -> 1950 ( -66)
0 - 0 (aet)
1 - 3 (pen)
Portugal
Prob to win: 56.44%
Game ELO: 2057 -> 2123 ( + 66)
England loss: expected
Gelsenkirchen Sven-Göran Eriksson
Germany 2006 25-Jun-2006 2 Top 16 England
Prob to win: 73.92%
Game ELO: 1992 -> 2016 ( + 24)
1 - 0
Ecuador
Prob to win: 26.08%
Game ELO: 1793 -> 1769 ( -24)
England win: expected
Nuremberg Sven-Göran Eriksson
Germany 2006 20-Jun-2006 1 Group B Sweden
Prob to win: 34.94%
Game ELO: 1867 -> 1887 ( + 20)
2 - 2
England
Prob to win: 65.06%
Game ELO: 2012 -> 1992 ( -20)
England draw: upset (win expected)
Sven-Göran Eriksson
Germany 2006 15-Jun-2006 1 Group B England
Prob to win: 91.46%
Game ELO: 1998 -> 2012 ( + 14)
2 - 0
Trinidad and Tobago
Prob to win: 8.54%
Game ELO: 1601 -> 1587 ( -14)
England win: expected
Sven-Göran Eriksson
Germany 2006 10-Jun-2006 1 Group B England
Prob to win: 74.58%
Game ELO: 1973 -> 1998 ( + 25)
1 - 0
Paraguay
Prob to win: 25.42%
Game ELO: 1779 -> 1754 ( -25)
England win: expected
Sven-Göran Eriksson
Euro 2004 24-Jun-2004 19:45 2 Quarter Finals Portugal
Prob to win: 57.57%
Game ELO: 0 -> 1136 ( + 1136)
2 - 2 (aet)
6 - 5 (pen)
England
Prob to win: 42.43%
Game ELO: 0 -> 1070 ( + 1070)
England loss: expected
Estádio da Luz, Lisbon
Euro 2004 21-Jun-2004 19:45 1 Group B Croatia
Prob to win: 32.62%
Game ELO: 0 -> 944 ( + 944)
2 - 4
England
Prob to win: 67.38%
Game ELO: 1064 -> 1127 ( + 63)
England win: expected
Estádio da Luz, Lisbon
Euro 2004 17-Jun-2004 17:00 1 Group B England
Prob to win: 78.70%
Game ELO: 950 -> 1064 ( + 114)
3 - 0
Switzerland
Prob to win: 21.30%
Game ELO: 1000 -> 886 ( -114)
England win: expected
Estádio Cidade de Coimbra, Coimbra
Euro 2004 13-Jun-2004 19:45 1 Group B France
Prob to win: 42.99%
Game ELO: 0 -> 1050 ( + 1050)
2 - 1
England
Prob to win: 57.01%
Game ELO: 0 -> 950 ( + 950)
England loss: upset (win expected)
Estádio da Luz, Lisbon
Korea/ Japan 2002 21-Jun-2002 2 Quarter Finals England
Prob to win: 24.88%
Game ELO: 2064 -> 2014 ( -50)
1 - 2
Brazil
Prob to win: 75.12%
Game ELO: 2065 -> 2115 ( + 50)
England loss: expected
Shizuoka Sven-Göran Eriksson
Korea/ Japan 2002 17-Jun-2002 2 Top 16 Denmark
Prob to win: 32.12%
Game ELO: 1997 -> 1884 ( -113)
0 - 3
England
Prob to win: 67.88%
Game ELO: 1951 -> 2064 ( + 113)
England win: expected
Kobe Sven-Göran Eriksson
Korea/ Japan 2002 12-Jun-2002 1 Group F Nigeria
Prob to win: 17.87%
Game ELO: 1717 -> 1749 ( + 32)
0 - 0
England
Prob to win: 82.13%
Game ELO: 1983 -> 1951 ( -32)
England draw: upset (win expected)
Nagai Stadium, Osaka Sven-Göran Eriksson
Korea/ Japan 2002 07-Jun-2002 1 Group F Argentina
Prob to win: 42.43%
Game ELO: 2037 -> 1970 ( -67)
0 - 1
England
Prob to win: 57.57%
Game ELO: 1916 -> 1983 ( + 67)
England win: expected
Sapporo Dome, Sapporo Sven-Göran Eriksson
Korea/ Japan 2002 02-Jun-2002 1 Group F England
Prob to win: 71.99%
Game ELO: 1925 -> 1916 ( -9)
1 - 1
Sweden
Prob to win: 28.01%
Game ELO: 1864 -> 1873 ( + 9)
England draw: upset (win expected)
Saitama Stadium, Saitama Sven-Göran Eriksson
Euro 2000 20-Jun-2000 20:45 1 Group A England
Prob to win: 47.56%
Game ELO: 1007 -> 950 ( -57)
2 - 3
Romania
Prob to win: 52.44%
Game ELO: 957 -> 1014 ( + 57)
England loss: expected
Stade du Pays de Charleroi, Charleroi
Euro 2000 17-Jun-2000 20:45 1 Group A England
Prob to win: 59.39%
Game ELO: 950 -> 1007 ( + 57)
1 - 0
Germany
Prob to win: 40.61%
Game ELO: 1000 -> 943 ( -57)
England win: expected
Stade du Pays de Charleroi, Charleroi
Euro 2000 12-Jun-2000 20:45 1 Group A Portugal
Prob to win: 75.02%
Game ELO: 0 -> 1050 ( + 1050)
3 - 2
England
Prob to win: 24.98%
Game ELO: 0 -> 950 ( + 950)
England loss: expected
Philips Stadion, Eindhoven
France 1998 28-Jun-1998 2 Top 16 Argentina
Prob to win: 64.80%
Game ELO: 2051 -> 2089 ( + 38)
2 - 2 (aet)
4 - 3 (pen)
England
Prob to win: 35.20%
Game ELO: 1966 -> 1928 ( -38)
England loss: expected
Lens Glenn Hoddle
France 1998 26-Jun-1998 1 Group G Colombia
Prob to win: 21.69%
Game ELO: 1744 -> 1705 ( -39)
0 - 2
England
Prob to win: 78.31%
Game ELO: 1927 -> 1966 ( + 39)
England win: expected
Stade Félix Bollaert, Lens Glenn Hoddle
France 1998 22-Jun-1998 1 Group G Romania
Prob to win: 43.98%
Game ELO: 1909 -> 1970 ( + 61)
2 - 1
England
Prob to win: 56.02%
Game ELO: 1988 -> 1927 ( -61)
England loss: upset (win expected)
Stade de Toulouse, Toulouse Glenn Hoddle
France 1998 15-Jun-1998 1 Group G England
Prob to win: 85.77%
Game ELO: 1969 -> 1988 ( + 19)
2 - 0
Tunisia
Prob to win: 14.23%
Game ELO: 1630 -> 1611 ( -19)
England win: expected
Stade Vélodrome, Marseille Glenn Hoddle
Euro 1996 26-Jun-1996 19:30 2 Semi Finals Germany
Prob to win: 62.27%
Game ELO: 0 -> 1214 ( + 1214)
1 - 1 (aet)
6 - 5 (pen)
England
Prob to win: 37.73%
Game ELO: 0 -> 1163 ( + 1163)
England loss: expected
Wembley Stadium, London
Euro 1996 22-Jun-1996 15:00 2 Quarter Finals Spain
Prob to win: 27.55%
Game ELO: 0 -> 995 ( + 995)
0 - 0 (aet)
2 - 4 (pen)
England
Prob to win: 72.45%
Game ELO: 0 -> 1223 ( + 1223)
England win: expected
Wembley Stadium, London
Euro 1996 18-Jun-1996 19:30 1 Group A Netherlands
Prob to win: 22.09%
Game ELO: 1075 -> 975 ( -100)
1 - 4
England
Prob to win: 77.91%
Game ELO: 1075 -> 1175 ( + 100)
England win: expected
Wembley Stadium, London
Euro 1996 15-Jun-1996 15:00 1 Group A Scotland
Prob to win: 25.31%
Game ELO: 1000 -> 925 ( -75)
0 - 2
England
Prob to win: 74.69%
Game ELO: 1000 -> 1075 ( + 75)
England win: expected
Wembley Stadium, London
Euro 1996 08-Jun-1996 15:00 1 Group A England
Prob to win: 84.00%
Game ELO: 0 -> 1000 ( + 1000)
1 - 1
Switzerland
Prob to win: 16.00%
Game ELO: 0 -> 1000 ( + 1000)
England draw: upset (win expected)
Wembley Stadium, London
Euro 1992 17-Jun-1992 20:15 1 Group A Sweden
Prob to win: 60.08%
Game ELO: 1050 -> 1093 ( + 43)
2 - 1
England
Prob to win: 39.92%
Game ELO: 1000 -> 957 ( -43)
England loss: expected
Råsunda Stadium, Solna
Euro 1992 14-Jun-1992 17:15 1 Group A France
Prob to win: 47.99%
Game ELO: 1000 -> 1000 ( + 0)
0 - 0
England
Prob to win: 52.01%
Game ELO: 1000 -> 1000 ( + 0)
England draw: upset (win expected)
Malmö Stadion, Malmö
Euro 1992 11-Jun-1992 20:15 1 Group A Denmark
Prob to win: 74.47%
Game ELO: 0 -> 1000 ( + 1000)
0 - 0
England
Prob to win: 25.53%
Game ELO: 0 -> 1000 ( + 1000)
England draw: upset (loss expected)
Malmö Stadion, Malmö
Italy 1990 07-Jul-1990 2 3rd Place Italy
Prob to win: 70.10%
Game ELO: 2051 -> 2092 ( + 41)
2 - 1
England
Prob to win: 29.90%
Game ELO: 1985 -> 1944 ( -41)
England loss: expected
Bari Bobby Robson
Italy 1990 04-Jul-1990 2 Semi Finals West Germany
Prob to win: 79.83%
Game ELO: 2111 -> 2148 ( + 37)
1 - 1 (aet)
4 - 3 (pen)
England
Prob to win: 20.17%
Game ELO: 2022 -> 1985 ( -37)
England loss: expected
Turin Bobby Robson
Italy 1990 01-Jul-1990 2 Quarter Finals England
Prob to win: 83.68%
Game ELO: 2009 -> 2022 ( + 13)
3 - 2 (aet)
Cameroon
Prob to win: 16.32%
Game ELO: 1673 -> 1660 ( -13)
England win: expected
Naples Bobby Robson
Italy 1990 26-Jun-1990 2 Top 16 England
Prob to win: 59.66%
Game ELO: 1965 -> 2009 ( + 44)
1 - 0 (aet)
Belgium
Prob to win: 40.34%
Game ELO: 1920 -> 1876 ( -44)
England win: expected
Bologna Bobby Robson
Italy 1990 21-Jun-1990 1 Group F England
Prob to win: 81.27%
Game ELO: 1944 -> 1965 ( + 21)
1 - 0
Egypt
Prob to win: 18.73%
Game ELO: 1710 -> 1689 ( -21)
England win: expected
Stadio Sant'Elia, Cagliari Bobby Robson
Italy 1990 16-Jun-1990 1 Group F England
Prob to win: 52.30%
Game ELO: 1936 -> 1944 ( + 8)
0 - 0
Netherlands
Prob to win: 47.70%
Game ELO: 1992 -> 1984 ( -8)
England draw: upset (win expected)
Stadio Sant'Elia, Cagliari Bobby Robson
Italy 1990 11-Jun-1990 1 Group F England
Prob to win: 55.16%
Game ELO: 1944 -> 1936 ( -8)
1 - 1
Republic of Ireland
Prob to win: 44.84%
Game ELO: 1891 -> 1899 ( + 8)
England draw: upset (win expected)
Stadio Sant'Elia, Cagliari Bobby Robson
Euro 1988 18-Jun-1988 15:30 1 Group B England
Prob to win: 50.00%
Game ELO: 0 -> 0 ( + 0)
1 - 3
Soviet Union
Prob to win: 50.00%
Game ELO: 0 -> 0 ( + 0)
England loss: upset (win expected)
Waldstadion, Frankfurt
Euro 1988 15-Jun-1988 17:15 1 Group B England
Prob to win: 50.00%
Game ELO: 0 -> 0 ( + 0)
1 - 3
Netherlands
Prob to win: 50.00%
Game ELO: 0 -> 0 ( + 0)
England loss: upset (win expected)
Rheinstadion, Düsseldorf
Euro 1988 12-Jun-1988 15:30 1 Group B England
Prob to win: 50.00%
Game ELO: 0 -> 0 ( + 0)
0 - 1
Republic of Ireland
Prob to win: 50.00%
Game ELO: 0 -> 0 ( + 0)
England loss: upset (win expected)
Neckarstadion, Stuttgart
Mexico 1986 22-Jun-1986 2 Quarter Finals Argentina
Prob to win: 73.36%
Game ELO: 1977 -> 2036 ( + 59)
2 - 1
England
Prob to win: 26.64%
Game ELO: 2037 -> 1978 ( -59)
England loss: expected
Mexico City Bobby Robson
Mexico 1986 18-Jun-1986 2 Top 16 England
Prob to win: 76.29%
Game ELO: 1974 -> 2037 ( + 63)
3 - 0
Paraguay
Prob to win: 23.71%
Game ELO: 1838 -> 1775 ( -63)
England win: expected
Mexico City Bobby Robson
Mexico 1986 11-Jun-1986 1 Group F Poland
Prob to win: 16.40%
Game ELO: 1847 -> 1758 ( -89)
0 - 3
England
Prob to win: 83.60%
Game ELO: 1885 -> 1974 ( + 89)
England win: expected
Estadio Universitario, Monterrey Bobby Robson
Mexico 1986 06-Jun-1986 1 Group F Morocco
Prob to win: 22.38%
Game ELO: 1666 -> 1697 ( + 31)
0 - 0
England
Prob to win: 77.62%
Game ELO: 1916 -> 1885 ( -31)
England draw: upset (win expected)
Estadio Tecnológico, Monterrey Bobby Robson
Mexico 1986 03-Jun-1986 1 Group F Portugal
Prob to win: 18.12%
Game ELO: 1806 -> 1880 ( + 74)
1 - 0
England
Prob to win: 81.88%
Game ELO: 1990 -> 1916 ( -74)
England loss: upset (win expected)
Estadio Tecnológico, Monterrey Bobby Robson
Spain 1982 05-Jul-1982 2 Group B Spain
Prob to win: 24.77%
Game ELO: 1819 -> 1850 ( + 31)
0 - 0
England
Prob to win: 75.23%
Game ELO: 2074 -> 2043 ( -31)
England draw: upset (win expected)
Estadio Santiago Bernabéu, Madrid Ron Greenwood
Spain 1982 29-Jun-1982 2 Group B West Germany
Prob to win: 52.01%
Game ELO: 2089 -> 2086 ( -3)
0 - 0
England
Prob to win: 47.99%
Game ELO: 2071 -> 2074 ( + 3)
England draw: upset (loss expected)
Estadio Santiago Bernabéu, Madrid Ron Greenwood
Spain 1982 25-Jun-1982 1 Group 4 England
Prob to win: 92.80%
Game ELO: 2064 -> 2071 ( + 7)
1 - 0
Kuwait
Prob to win: 7.20%
Game ELO: 1606 -> 1599 ( -7)
England win: expected
Estadio San Mamés, Bilbao Ron Greenwood
Spain 1982 20-Jun-1982 1 Group 4 England
Prob to win: 77.31%
Game ELO: 2020 -> 2064 ( + 44)
2 - 0
Czechoslovakia
Prob to win: 22.69%
Game ELO: 1866 -> 1822 ( -44)
England win: expected
Estadio San Mamés, Bilbao Ron Greenwood
Spain 1982 16-Jun-1982 1 Group 4 England
Prob to win: 66.87%
Game ELO: 1963 -> 2020 ( + 57)
3 - 1
France
Prob to win: 33.13%
Game ELO: 1878 -> 1821 ( -57)
England win: expected
Estadio San Mamés, Bilbao Ron Greenwood
Euro 1980 18-Jun-1980 17:45 1 Group B Spain
Prob to win: 35.99%
Game ELO: 950 -> 900 ( -50)
1 - 2
England
Prob to win: 64.01%
Game ELO: 950 -> 1000 ( + 50)
England win: expected
Stadio San Paolo, Naples
Euro 1980 15-Jun-1980 20:30 1 Group B England
Prob to win: 50.58%
Game ELO: 1000 -> 950 ( -50)
0 - 1
Italy
Prob to win: 49.42%
Game ELO: 1000 -> 1050 ( + 50)
England loss: upset (win expected)
Stadio Comunale, Turin
Euro 1980 12-Jun-1980 17:45 1 Group B Belgium
Prob to win: 50.43%
Game ELO: 0 -> 1000 ( + 1000)
1 - 1
England
Prob to win: 49.57%
Game ELO: 0 -> 1000 ( + 1000)
England draw: upset (loss expected)
Stadio Comunale, Turin
Mexico 1970 14-Jun-1970 2 Quarter Finals West Germany
Prob to win: 61.59%
Game ELO: 2080 -> 2127 ( + 47)
3 - 2 (aet)
England
Prob to win: 38.41%
Game ELO: 2057 -> 2010 ( -47)
England loss: expected
León Alf Ramsey
Mexico 1970 11-Jun-1970 1 Group 3 England
Prob to win: 78.21%
Game ELO: 2036 -> 2057 ( + 21)
1 - 0
Czechoslovakia
Prob to win: 21.79%
Game ELO: 1809 -> 1788 ( -21)
England win: expected
Estadio Jalisco, Guadalajara Alf Ramsey
Mexico 1970 07-Jun-1970 1 Group 3 Brazil
Prob to win: 82.13%
Game ELO: 2096 -> 2144 ( + 48)
1 - 0
England
Prob to win: 17.87%
Game ELO: 2084 -> 2036 ( -48)
England loss: expected
Estadio Jalisco, Guadalajara Alf Ramsey
Mexico 1970 02-Jun-1970 1 Group 3 England
Prob to win: 74.47%
Game ELO: 2067 -> 2084 ( + 17)
1 - 0
Romania
Prob to win: 25.53%
Game ELO: 1793 -> 1776 ( -17)
England win: expected
Estadio Jalisco, Guadalajara Alf Ramsey
Euro 1968 08-Jun-1968 15:00 1 3rd Place England
Prob to win: 66.87%
Game ELO: 950 -> 1036 ( + 86)
2 - 0
Soviet Union
Prob to win: 33.13%
Game ELO: 1000 -> 914 ( -86)
England win: expected
Stadio Olimpico, Rome
Euro 1968 05-Jun-1968 21:15 1 Semi Finals Yugoslavia
Prob to win: 39.23%
Game ELO: 0 -> 1050 ( + 1050)
1 - 0
England
Prob to win: 60.77%
Game ELO: 0 -> 950 ( + 950)
England loss: upset (win expected)
Stadio Comunale, Florence
England 1966 30-Jul-1966 2 Final England
Prob to win: 66.87%
Game ELO: 2140 -> 2226 ( + 86)
4 - 2 (aet)
West Germany
Prob to win: 33.13%
Game ELO: 2190 -> 2104 ( -86)
England win: expected
London Alf Ramsey
England 1966 26-Jul-1966 2 Semi Finals England
Prob to win: 68.13%
Game ELO: 2091 -> 2140 ( + 49)
2 - 1
Portugal
Prob to win: 31.87%
Game ELO: 2085 -> 2036 ( -49)
England win: expected
London Alf Ramsey
England 1966 23-Jul-1966 2 Quarter Finals England
Prob to win: 81.01%
Game ELO: 2045 -> 2091 ( + 46)
1 - 0
Argentina
Prob to win: 18.99%
Game ELO: 2020 -> 1974 ( -46)
England win: expected
London Alf Ramsey
England 1966 20-Jul-1966 1 Group 1 England
Prob to win: 95.12%
Game ELO: 2021 -> 2045 ( + 24)
2 - 0
France
Prob to win: 4.88%
Game ELO: 1734 -> 1710 ( -24)
England win: expected
Wembley Stadium, London Alf Ramsey
England 1966 16-Jul-1966 1 Group 1 England
Prob to win: 91.46%
Game ELO: 1971 -> 2021 ( + 50)
2 - 0
Mexico
Prob to win: 8.54%
Game ELO: 1850 -> 1800 ( -50)
England win: expected
Wembley Stadium, London Alf Ramsey
England 1966 11-Jul-1966 1 Group 1 England
Prob to win: 92.80%
Game ELO: 1991 -> 1971 ( -20)
0 - 0
Uruguay
Prob to win: 7.20%
Game ELO: 1847 -> 1867 ( + 20)
England draw: upset (win expected)
Wembley Stadium, London Alf Ramsey
Chile 1962 10-Jun-1962 2 Quarter Finals Brazil
Prob to win: 87.56%
Game ELO: 2139 -> 2177 ( + 38)
3 - 1
England
Prob to win: 12.44%
Game ELO: 1950 -> 1912 ( -38)
England loss: expected
Viña del Mar Walter Winterbottom
Chile 1962 07-Jun-1962 1 Group 4 England
Prob to win: 75.97%
Game ELO: 1986 -> 1950 ( -36)
0 - 0
Bulgaria
Prob to win: 24.03%
Game ELO: 1676 -> 1712 ( + 36)
England draw: upset (win expected)
Estadio El Teniente, Rancagua Walter Winterbottom
Chile 1962 02-Jun-1962 1 Group 4 England
Prob to win: 48.27%
Game ELO: 1887 -> 1986 ( + 99)
3 - 1
Argentina
Prob to win: 51.73%
Game ELO: 2001 -> 1902 ( -99)
England win: upset (loss expected)
Estadio El Teniente, Rancagua Walter Winterbottom
Chile 1962 31-May-1962 1 Group 4 Hungary
Prob to win: 58.83%
Game ELO: 1951 -> 1999 ( + 48)
2 - 1
England
Prob to win: 41.17%
Game ELO: 1935 -> 1887 ( -48)
England loss: expected
Estadio El Teniente, Rancagua Walter Winterbottom
Sweden 1958 17-Jun-1958 1 Group 4 Playoff Soviet Union
Prob to win: 45.69%
Game ELO: 1902 -> 1962 ( + 60)
1 - 0
England
Prob to win: 54.31%
Game ELO: 1971 -> 1911 ( -60)
England loss: upset (win expected)
Ullevi, Gothenburg Walter Winterbottom
Sweden 1958 15-Jun-1958 1 Group 4 England
Prob to win: 66.23%
Game ELO: 2001 -> 1971 ( -30)
2 - 2
Austria
Prob to win: 33.77%
Game ELO: 1764 -> 1794 ( + 30)
England draw: upset (win expected)
Ryavallen, Borås Walter Winterbottom
Sweden 1958 11-Jun-1958 1 Group 4 Brazil
Prob to win: 89.05%
Game ELO: 2053 -> 2044 ( -9)
0 - 0
England
Prob to win: 10.95%
Game ELO: 1992 -> 2001 ( + 9)
England draw: upset (loss expected)
Ullevi, Gothenburg Walter Winterbottom
Sweden 1958 08-Jun-1958 1 Group 4 Soviet Union
Prob to win: 45.69%
Game ELO: 1883 -> 1901 ( + 18)
2 - 2
England
Prob to win: 54.31%
Game ELO: 2010 -> 1992 ( -18)
England draw: upset (win expected)
Ullevi, Gothenburg Walter Winterbottom
Switzerland 1954 26-Jun-1954 2 Quarter Finals Uruguay
Prob to win: 52.59%
Game ELO: 2057 -> 2124 ( + 67)
4 - 2
England
Prob to win: 47.41%
Game ELO: 2018 -> 1951 ( -67)
England loss: expected
Basel Walter Winterbottom
Switzerland 1954 20-Jun-1954 1 Group 4 England
Prob to win: 67.76%
Game ELO: 1987 -> 2018 ( + 31)
2 - 0
Switzerland
Prob to win: 32.24%
Game ELO: 1753 -> 1722 ( -31)
England win: expected
Wankdorf Stadium, Bern Walter Winterbottom
Switzerland 1954 17-Jun-1954 1 Group 4 England
Prob to win: 80.29%
Game ELO: 2017 -> 1987 ( -30)
4 - 4
Belgium
Prob to win: 19.71%
Game ELO: 1774 -> 1804 ( + 30)
England draw: upset (win expected)
St. Jakob Stadium, Basel Walter Winterbottom
Brazil 1950 02-Jul-1950 1 Group 2 Spain
Prob to win: 32.88%
Game ELO: 1938 -> 1995 ( + 57)
1 - 0
England
Prob to win: 67.12%
Game ELO: 1990 -> 1933 ( -57)
England loss: upset (win expected)
Estádio do Maracanã, Rio de Janeiro Walter Winterbottom
Brazil 1950 29-Jun-1950 1 Group 2 USA
Prob to win: 8.95%
Game ELO: 1559 -> 1654 ( + 95)
1 - 0
England
Prob to win: 91.05%
Game ELO: 2085 -> 1990 ( -95)
England loss: upset (win expected)
Estádio Independência, Belo Horizonte Walter Winterbottom
Brazil 1950 25-Jun-1950 1 Group 2 England
Prob to win: 79.83%
Game ELO: 2076 -> 2085 ( + 9)
2 - 0
Chile
Prob to win: 20.17%
Game ELO: 1599 -> 1590 ( -9)
England win: expected
Estádio do Maracanã, Rio de Janeiro Walter Winterbottom