Poland details

Poland

Statistics:
  • Games: 55
  • Expected results: 32 (60.38%)
  • Unexpected results: 21 (39.62%)
  • Unknown games: 2
  • Record: 20 Won, 22 Lost, 11 Drawn, 2 Unknown
  • Last five games: DLLLL
  • Expected wins: 15 (28.30%)
  • Expected losses: 17 (32.08%)
  • Unexpected wins: 5 (9.43%)
  • Unexpected losses: 5 (9.43%)
  • Unexpected draws: 11 (20.75%)
  • Wins (+1pt for expected, +3 for unexpected): 30
  • Losses (-1pt for expected, -3 for unexpected): -32
  • Draws (-1pt if fav, +1pt if underdog): 11
  • Total: 9

Tournament Game Time Round Group Name Score Odds Analysis Location Coach
Euro 2024 25-Jun-2024 18:00 1 Group D
Prob to win: 89.12%
Game ELO: 2085
-> 2044 (-41)
1 - 1
Prob to win: 8.37%
Game ELO: 1674
-> 1715 (+41)
Poland draw: upset (loss expected)
BVB Stadion Dortmund, Dortmund
Euro 2024 21-Jun-2024 18:00 1 Group D
Prob to win: 30.88%
Game ELO: 1725
-> 1674 (-51)
1 - 3
Prob to win: 59.86%
Game ELO: 1840
-> 1891 (+51)
Poland loss: expected
Olympiastadion, Berlin
Euro 2024 16-Jun-2024 15:00 1 Group D
Prob to win: 19.94%
Game ELO: 1746
-> 1725 (-21)
1 - 2
Prob to win: 74.08%
Game ELO: 1974
-> 1995 (+21)
Poland loss: expected
Volksparkstadion, Hamburg
Qatar 2022 4-Dec-2022 18:00 2 Top 16
Prob to win: 70.10%
Game ELO: 1983
-> 2028 (+45)
3 - 1
Prob to win: 29.90%
Game ELO: 1835
-> 1790 (-45)
Poland loss: expected
Al Thumama Stadium, Doha
Qatar 2022 30-Nov-2022 22:00 1 Group C
Prob to win: 21.69%
Game ELO: 1870
-> 1835 (-35)
0 - 2
Prob to win: 71.81%
Game ELO: 2078
-> 2113 (+35)
Poland loss: expected
Stadium 974, Doha
Qatar 2022 26-Nov-2022 16:00 1 Group C
Prob to win: 55.36%
Game ELO: 1813
-> 1870 (+57)
2 - 0
Prob to win: 34.33%
Game ELO: 1730
-> 1673 (-57)
Poland win: expected
Education City Stadium, Al Rayyan
Qatar 2022 22-Nov-2022 19:00 1 Group C
Prob to win: 42.93%
Game ELO: 1809
-> 1810 (+1)
0 - 0
Prob to win: 44.19%
Game ELO: 1814
-> 1813 (-1)
Poland draw: upset (loss expected)
Stadium 974, Doha
Euro 2020 23-Jun-2021 18:00 1 Group E
Prob to win: 63.53%
Game ELO: 1903
-> 1934 (+31)
3 - 2
Prob to win: 28.05%
Game ELO: 1761
-> 1730 (-31)
Poland loss: expected
Krestovsky Stadium, Saint Petersburg
Euro 2020 19-Jun-2021 21:00 1 Group E
Prob to win: 79.59%
Game ELO: 2009
-> 1975 (-34)
1 - 1
Prob to win: 15.70%
Game ELO: 1727
-> 1761 (+34)
Poland draw: upset (loss expected)
La Cartuja, Seville
Euro 2020 14-Jun-2021 18:00 1 Group E
Prob to win: 63.26%
Game ELO: 1796
-> 1727 (-69)
1 - 2
Prob to win: 28.26%
Game ELO: 1656
-> 1725 (+69)
Poland loss: upset (win expected)
Krestovsky Stadium, Saint Petersburg
Russia 2018 28-Jun-2018 15:00 1 Group H
Prob to win: 54.80%
Game ELO: 1771
-> 1710 (-61)
0 - 1
Prob to win: 34.77%
Game ELO: 1692
-> 1753 (+61)
Poland win: upset (loss expected)
Volgograd Arena, Volgograd
Russia 2018 24-Jun-2018 19:00 1 Group H
Prob to win: 34.88%
Game ELO: 1770
-> 1692 (-78)
0 - 3
Prob to win: 54.65%
Game ELO: 1848
-> 1926 (+78)
Poland loss: expected
Kazan Arena, Kazan
Russia 2018 19-Jun-2018 13:00 1 Group H
Prob to win: 55.08%
Game ELO: 1831
-> 1770 (-61)
1 - 2
Prob to win: 34.55%
Game ELO: 1750
-> 1811 (+61)
Poland loss: upset (win expected)
Otkrytie Arena, Moscow
Euro 2016 30-Jun-2016 21:00 2 Quarter Finals
Prob to win: 48.71%
Game ELO: 1904
-> 1831 (-73)
1 - 1 (aet)
3 - 5 (pen)
Prob to win: 51.29%
Game ELO: 1913
-> 1986 (+73)
Poland loss: expected
Stade Vélodrome, Marseille
Euro 2016 25-Jun-2016 15:00 2 Top 16
Prob to win: 44.27%
Game ELO: 1820
-> 1776 (-44)
1 - 1 (aet)
4 - 5 (pen)
Prob to win: 55.73%
Game ELO: 1860
-> 1904 (+44)
Poland win: expected
Stade Geoffroy-Guichard, Saint-Étienne
Euro 2016 21-Jun-2016 18:00 1 Group C
Prob to win: 27.85%
Game ELO: 1686
-> 1656 (-30)
0 - 1
Prob to win: 63.80%
Game ELO: 1830
-> 1860 (+30)
Poland win: expected
Stade Vélodrome, Marseille
Euro 2016 16-Jun-2016 21:00 1 Group C
Prob to win: 78.83%
Game ELO: 2071
-> 2038 (-33)
0 - 0
Prob to win: 16.28%
Game ELO: 1797
-> 1830 (+33)
Poland draw: upset (loss expected)
Stade de France, Saint-Denis
Euro 2016 12-Jun-2016 18:00 1 Group C
Prob to win: 63.53%
Game ELO: 1766
-> 1797 (+31)
1 - 0
Prob to win: 28.05%
Game ELO: 1624
-> 1593 (-31)
Poland win: expected
Stade de Nice, Nice
Euro 2012 16-Jun-2012 20:45 1 Group A
Prob to win: 37.97%
Game ELO: 964
-> 1021 (+57)
1 - 0
Prob to win: 50.64%
Game ELO: 1014
-> 957 (-57)
Poland loss: upset (win expected)
Stadion Miejski, Wroclaw
Euro 2012 12-Jun-2012 20:45 1 Group A
Prob to win: 32.49%
Game ELO: 1000
-> 1014 (+14)
1 - 1
Prob to win: 57.77%
Game ELO: 1100
-> 1086 (-14)
Poland draw: upset (loss expected)
National Stadium, Warsaw
Euro 2012 8-Jun-2012 18:00 1 Group A
Game ELO:
-> 1000 ()
1 - 1
Game ELO:
-> 1000 ()
National Stadium, Warsaw
Euro 2008 16-Jun-2008 20:45 1 Group B
Prob to win: 24.76%
Game ELO: 929
-> 902 (-27)
0 - 1
Prob to win: 67.81%
Game ELO: 1104
-> 1131 (+27)
Poland loss: expected
Wörthersee Stadion, Klagenfurt
Euro 2008 12-Jun-2008 20:45 1 Group B
Prob to win: 47.04%
Game ELO: 950
-> 946 (-4)
1 - 1
Prob to win: 40.74%
Game ELO: 925
-> 929 (+4)
Poland draw: upset (loss expected)
Ernst-Happel-Stadion, Vienna
Euro 2008 8-Jun-2008 20:45 1 Group B
Game ELO:
-> 1075 ()
2 - 0
Game ELO:
-> 925 ()
Wörthersee Stadion, Klagenfurt
Germany 2006 20-Jun-2006 1 Group A
Prob to win: 34.12%
Game ELO: 1615
-> 1577 (-38)
1 - 2
Prob to win: 55.65%
Game ELO: 1700
-> 1738 (+38)
Poland win: expected
Pawel Janas
Germany 2006 14-Jun-2006 1 Group A
Prob to win: 72.62%
Game ELO: 1937
-> 1959 (+22)
1 - 0
Prob to win: 21.06%
Game ELO: 1722
-> 1700 (-22)
Poland loss: expected
Pawel Janas
Germany 2006 9-Jun-2006 1 Group A
Prob to win: 60.96%
Game ELO: 1822
-> 1722 (-100)
0 - 2
Prob to win: 30.03%
Game ELO: 1699
-> 1799 (+100)
Poland loss: upset (win expected)
Pawel Janas
Korea/ Japan 2002 14-Jun-2002 1 Group D
Prob to win: 15.77%
Game ELO: 1591
-> 1716 (+125)
3 - 1
USA
Prob to win: 79.50%
Game ELO: 1872
-> 1747 (-125)
Poland win: upset (loss expected)
Daejeon World Cup Stadium, Daejeon Jerzy Engel
Korea/ Japan 2002 10-Jun-2002 1 Group D
Prob to win: 76.33%
Game ELO: 1907
-> 1974 (+67)
4 - 0
Prob to win: 18.21%
Game ELO: 1658
-> 1591 (-67)
Poland loss: expected
Jeonju World Cup Stadium, Jeonju Jerzy Engel
Korea/ Japan 2002 4-Jun-2002 1 Group D
Prob to win: 43.62%
Game ELO: 1734
-> 1809 (+75)
2 - 0
Prob to win: 43.37%
Game ELO: 1733
-> 1658 (-75)
Poland loss: expected
Asiad Main Stadium, Busan Jerzy Engel
Mexico 1986 16-Jun-1986 2 Top 16
Prob to win: 82.13%
Game ELO: 2023
-> 2086 (+63)
4 - 0
Prob to win: 17.87%
Game ELO: 1758
-> 1695 (-63)
Poland loss: expected
Guadalajara Antoni Piechniczek
Mexico 1986 11-Jun-1986 1 Group F
Prob to win: 39.30%
Game ELO: 1847
-> 1758 (-89)
0 - 3
Prob to win: 48.91%
Game ELO: 1885
-> 1974 (+89)
Poland loss: expected
Estadio Universitario, Monterrey Antoni Piechniczek
Mexico 1986 7-Jun-1986 1 Group F
Prob to win: 32.81%
Game ELO: 1783
-> 1847 (+64)
1 - 0
Prob to win: 57.35%
Game ELO: 1880
-> 1816 (-64)
Poland win: upset (loss expected)
Estadio Universitario, Monterrey Antoni Piechniczek
Mexico 1986 2-Jun-1986 1 Group F
Prob to win: 65.77%
Game ELO: 1804
-> 1783 (-21)
0 - 0
Prob to win: 26.33%
Game ELO: 1645
-> 1666 (+21)
Poland draw: upset (win expected)
Estadio Universitario, Monterrey Antoni Piechniczek
Spain 1982 10-Jul-1982 3 3rd Place
Prob to win: 54.73%
Game ELO: 1999
-> 2044 (+45)
3 - 2
Prob to win: 45.27%
Game ELO: 1966
-> 1921 (-45)
Poland win: expected
Alicante Antoni Piechniczek
Spain 1982 8-Jul-1982 3 Semi Finals
Prob to win: 61.04%
Game ELO: 2091
-> 1999 (-92)
0 - 2
Prob to win: 38.96%
Game ELO: 2013
-> 2105 (+92)
Poland loss: upset (win expected)
Barcelona Antoni Piechniczek
Spain 1982 4-Jul-1982 2 Group A
Prob to win: 32.59%
Game ELO: 2006
-> 2020 (+14)
0 - 0
Prob to win: 57.63%
Game ELO: 2105
-> 2091 (-14)
Poland draw: upset (win expected)
Camp Nou, Barcelona Antoni Piechniczek
Spain 1982 28-Jun-1982 2 Group A
Prob to win: 36.53%
Game ELO: 1960
-> 1878 (-82)
0 - 3
Prob to win: 52.51%
Game ELO: 2023
-> 2105 (+82)
Poland win: expected
Camp Nou, Barcelona Antoni Piechniczek
Spain 1982 22-Jun-1982 1 Group 1
Prob to win: 63.26%
Game ELO: 1915
-> 2023 (+108)
5 - 1
Prob to win: 28.26%
Game ELO: 1775
-> 1667 (-108)
Poland win: expected
Estadio de Riazor, A Coruña Antoni Piechniczek
Spain 1982 19-Jun-1982 1 Group 1
Prob to win: 80.69%
Game ELO: 1949
-> 1915 (-34)
0 - 0
Prob to win: 14.85%
Game ELO: 1655
-> 1689 (+34)
Poland draw: upset (win expected)
Estadio de Riazor, A Coruña Antoni Piechniczek
Spain 1982 14-Jun-1982 1 Group 1
Prob to win: 36.09%
Game ELO: 1892
-> 1902 (+10)
0 - 0
Prob to win: 53.08%
Game ELO: 1959
-> 1949 (-10)
Poland draw: upset (win expected)
Estadio de Balaídos, Vigo Antoni Piechniczek
Argentina 1978 21-Jun-1978 2 Group B
Prob to win: 26.13%
Game ELO: 1961
-> 1918 (-43)
1 - 3
Prob to win: 66.03%
Game ELO: 2122
-> 2165 (+43)
Poland loss: expected
Estadio Ciudad de Mendoza, Mendoza Jacek Gmoch
Argentina 1978 18-Jun-1978 2 Group B
Prob to win: 40.63%
Game ELO: 1889
-> 1843 (-46)
0 - 1
Prob to win: 47.19%
Game ELO: 1915
-> 1961 (+46)
Poland win: upset (loss expected)
Estadio Ciudad de Mendoza, Mendoza Jacek Gmoch
Argentina 1978 14-Jun-1978 2 Group B
Prob to win: 39.08%
Game ELO: 1959
-> 2043 (+84)
2 - 0
Prob to win: 49.20%
Game ELO: 1999
-> 1915 (-84)
Poland loss: expected
Estadio Gigante de Arroyito, Rosario Jacek Gmoch
Argentina 1978 10-Jun-1978 1 Group 2
Prob to win: 82.83%
Game ELO: 1978
-> 1999 (+21)
3 - 1
Prob to win: 13.20%
Game ELO: 1659
-> 1638 (-21)
Poland win: expected
Estadio Gigante de Arroyito, Rosario Jacek Gmoch
Argentina 1978 6-Jun-1978 1 Group 2
Prob to win: 67.43%
Game ELO: 1951
-> 1978 (+27)
1 - 0
Prob to win: 25.05%
Game ELO: 1779
-> 1752 (-27)
Poland win: expected
Estadio Gigante de Arroyito, Rosario Jacek Gmoch
Argentina 1978 1-Jun-1978 1 Group 2
Prob to win: 66.80%
Game ELO: 2096
-> 2074 (-22)
0 - 0
Prob to win: 25.54%
Game ELO: 1929
-> 1951 (+22)
Poland draw: upset (loss expected)
Estadio Monumental, Buenos Aires Jacek Gmoch
West Germany 1974 6-Jul-1974 3 3rd Place
Prob to win: 46.55%
Game ELO: 2064
-> 2017 (-47)
0 - 1
Prob to win: 53.45%
Game ELO: 2088
-> 2135 (+47)
Poland win: expected
Olympiastadion, Munich Kazimierz Górski
West Germany 1974 3-Jul-1974 2 Group B
Prob to win: 41.07%
Game ELO: 2135
-> 2088 (-47)
0 - 1
Prob to win: 46.61%
Game ELO: 2157
-> 2204 (+47)
Poland loss: expected
Waldstadion, Frankfurt Kazimierz Górski
West Germany 1974 30-Jun-1974 2 Group B
Prob to win: 65.77%
Game ELO: 2106
-> 2135 (+29)
2 - 1
Prob to win: 26.33%
Game ELO: 1947
-> 1918 (-29)
Poland win: expected
Waldstadion, Frankfurt Kazimierz Górski
West Germany 1974 26-Jun-1974 2 Group B
Prob to win: 28.16%
Game ELO: 1934
-> 1903 (-31)
0 - 1
Prob to win: 63.40%
Game ELO: 2075
-> 2106 (+31)
Poland win: expected
Neckarstadion, Stuttgart Kazimierz Górski
West Germany 1974 23-Jun-1974 1 Group 4
Prob to win: 49.05%
Game ELO: 2031
-> 2075 (+44)
2 - 1
Prob to win: 39.19%
Game ELO: 1992
-> 1948 (-44)
Poland win: upset (loss expected)
Neckarstadion, Stuttgart Kazimierz Górski
West Germany 1974 19-Jun-1974 1 Group 4
Prob to win: 8.63%
Game ELO: 1595
-> 1564 (-31)
0 - 7
Prob to win: 88.79%
Game ELO: 2000
-> 2031 (+31)
Poland win: expected
Olympiastadion, Munich Kazimierz Górski
West Germany 1974 15-Jun-1974 1 Group 4
Prob to win: 52.79%
Game ELO: 1959
-> 2000 (+41)
3 - 2
Prob to win: 36.31%
Game ELO: 1894
-> 1853 (-41)
Poland win: expected
Neckarstadion, Stuttgart Kazimierz Górski
France 1938 5-Jun-1938 1 Top 16
Prob to win: 82.96%
Game ELO: 1908
-> 1925 (+17)
6 - 5 (aet)
Prob to win: 17.04%
Game ELO: 1633
-> 1616 (-17)
Poland loss: expected
Strasbourg Józef Kaluza