Netherlands details

Netherlands

Statistics:
  • Games: 100
  • Expected results: 47 (59.49%)
  • Unexpected results: 32 (40.51%)
  • Unknown games: 21
  • Record: 44 Won, 22 Lost, 13 Drawn, 21 Unknown
  • Last five games: LWWLD
  • Expected wins: 36 (45.57%)
  • Expected losses: 11 (13.92%)
  • Unexpected wins: 8 (10.13%)
  • Unexpected losses: 11 (13.92%)
  • Unexpected draws: 13 (16.46%)
  • Wins (+1pt for expected, +3 for unexpected): 60
  • Losses (-1pt for expected, -3 for unexpected): -44
  • Draws (-1pt if fav, +1pt if underdog): 13
  • Total: 29

Tournament Game Time Round Group Name Score Odds Analysis Location Coach
Euro 2024 10-Jul-2024 21:00 2 Semi Finals
Prob to win: 50.58%
Game ELO: 2025
-> 1974 (-51)
1 - 2
Prob to win: 49.42%
Game ELO: 2021
-> 2072 (+51)
Netherlands loss: upset (win expected)
BVB Stadion Dortmund, Dortmund
Euro 2024 6-Jul-2024 18:00 2 Quarter Finals
Prob to win: 65.71%
Game ELO: 1991
-> 2025 (+34)
2 - 1
Prob to win: 34.29%
Game ELO: 1878
-> 1844 (-34)
Netherlands win: expected
Düsseldorf Arena, Düsseldorf
Euro 2024 2-Jul-2024 18:00 2 Top 16
Prob to win: 23.50%
Game ELO: 1739
-> 1692 (-47)
0 - 3
Prob to win: 76.50%
Game ELO: 1944
-> 1991 (+47)
Netherlands win: expected
Fußball Arena München, Munich
Euro 2024 25-Jun-2024 18:00 1 Group D
Prob to win: 60.41%
Game ELO: 2010
-> 1944 (-66)
2 - 3
Prob to win: 30.45%
Game ELO: 1891
-> 1957 (+66)
Netherlands loss: upset (win expected)
Olympiastadion, Berlin
Euro 2024 21-Jun-2024 21:00 1 Group D
Prob to win: 31.95%
Game ELO: 1995
-> 2010 (+15)
0 - 0
Prob to win: 58.47%
Game ELO: 2100
-> 2085 (-15)
Netherlands draw: upset (loss expected)
Leipzig Stadium, Leipzig
Euro 2024 16-Jun-2024 15:00 1 Group D
Prob to win: 19.94%
Game ELO: 1746
-> 1725 (-21)
1 - 2
Prob to win: 74.08%
Game ELO: 1974
-> 1995 (+21)
Netherlands win: expected
Volksparkstadion, Hamburg
Qatar 2022 9-Dec-2022 22:00 2 Quarter Finals
Prob to win: 43.56%
Game ELO: 2083
-> 2039 (-44)
2 - 2 (aet)
3 - 4 (pen)
Prob to win: 56.44%
Game ELO: 2128
-> 2172 (+44)
Netherlands loss: expected
Lusail Iconic Stadium, Lusail
Qatar 2022 3-Dec-2022 18:00 2 Top 16
Prob to win: 73.02%
Game ELO: 2043
-> 2083 (+40)
3 - 1
USA
Prob to win: 26.98%
Game ELO: 1870
-> 1830 (-40)
Netherlands win: expected
Khalifa International Stadium, Al Rayyan
Qatar 2022 29-Nov-2022 18:00 1 Group A
Prob to win: 91.79%
Game ELO: 2033
-> 2043 (+10)
2 - 0
Prob to win: 6.31%
Game ELO: 1568
-> 1558 (-10)
Netherlands win: expected
Al Bayt Stadium, Al Khor
Qatar 2022 25-Nov-2022 19:00 1 Group A
Prob to win: 68.43%
Game ELO: 2057
-> 2033 (-24)
1 - 1
Prob to win: 24.28%
Game ELO: 1877
-> 1901 (+24)
Netherlands draw: upset (win expected)
Khalifa International Stadium, Al Rayyan
Qatar 2022 21-Nov-2022 13:00 1 Group A
Prob to win: 11.20%
Game ELO: 1687
-> 1670 (-17)
0 - 2
Prob to win: 85.44%
Game ELO: 2040
-> 2057 (+17)
Netherlands win: expected
Al Thumama Stadium, Doha
Euro 2020 27-Jun-2021 18:00 2 Top 16
Prob to win: 74.03%
Game ELO: 1950
-> 1911 (-39)
0 - 2
Prob to win: 25.97%
Game ELO: 1768
-> 1910 (+142)
Netherlands loss: upset (win expected)
Puskás Aréna, Budapest
Euro 2020 21-Jun-2021 18:00 1 Group C
Prob to win: 5.74%
Game ELO: 1536
-> 1524 (-12)
0 - 3
Prob to win: 92.54%
Game ELO: 2019
-> 2031 (+12)
Netherlands win: expected
Johan Cruyff Arena, Amsterdam
Euro 2020 17-Jun-2021 21:00 1 Group C
Prob to win: 69.42%
Game ELO: 1981
-> 2019 (+38)
2 - 0
Prob to win: 23.52%
Game ELO: 1793
-> 1755 (-38)
Netherlands win: expected
Johan Cruyff Arena, Amsterdam
Euro 2020 13-Jun-2021 21:00 1 Group C
Prob to win: 62.73%
Game ELO: 1950
-> 1981 (+31)
3 - 2
Prob to win: 28.67%
Game ELO: 1814
-> 1783 (-31)
Netherlands win: expected
Johan Cruyff Arena, Amsterdam
Brazil 2014 12-Jul-2014 2 3rd Place
Prob to win: 18.64%
Game ELO: 2023
-> 1986 (-37)
0 - 3
Prob to win: 81.36%
Game ELO: 2279
-> 2316 (+37)
Netherlands win: expected
Brazil 2014 9-Jul-2014 2 Semi Finals
Prob to win: 66.61%
Game ELO: 2246
-> 2279 (+33)
0 - 0 (aet)
2 - 4 (pen)
Prob to win: 33.39%
Game ELO: 2126
-> 2093 (-33)
Netherlands loss: upset (win expected)
Brazil 2014 4-Jul-2014 2 Quarter Finals
Prob to win: 85.70%
Game ELO: 2232
-> 2246 (+14)
0 - 0 (aet)
4 - 3 (pen)
Prob to win: 14.30%
Game ELO: 1921
-> 1907 (-14)
Netherlands win: expected
Brazil 2014 29-Jun-2014 2 Top 16
Prob to win: 82.05%
Game ELO: 2214
-> 2232 (+18)
2 - 1
Prob to win: 17.95%
Game ELO: 1950
-> 1932 (-18)
Netherlands win: expected
Brazil 2014 23-Jun-2014 1 Group B
Prob to win: 66.80%
Game ELO: 2173
-> 2214 (+41)
2 - 0
Prob to win: 25.54%
Game ELO: 2006
-> 1965 (-41)
Netherlands win: expected
Sao Paulo
Brazil 2014 18-Jun-2014 1 Group B
Prob to win: 5.50%
Game ELO: 1676
-> 1670 (-6)
2 - 3
Prob to win: 92.85%
Game ELO: 2167
-> 2173 (+6)
Netherlands win: expected
Porto Alegre
Brazil 2014 13-Jun-2014 1 Group B
Prob to win: 72.39%
Game ELO: 2109
-> 1838 (-271)
1 - 5
Prob to win: 21.24%
Game ELO: 1896
-> 2167 (+271)
Netherlands win: upset (loss expected)
Salvador
Euro 2012 17-Jun-2012 21:45 1 Group B
Prob to win: 57.77%
Game ELO: 1014
-> 1050 (+36)
2 - 1
Prob to win: 32.49%
Game ELO: 914
-> 878 (-36)
Netherlands loss: expected
Metalist Stadium, Kharkiv
Euro 2012 13-Jun-2012 21:45 1 Group B
Prob to win: 32.49%
Game ELO: 950
-> 914 (-36)
1 - 2
Prob to win: 57.77%
Game ELO: 1050
-> 1086 (+36)
Netherlands loss: expected
Metalist Stadium, Kharkiv
Euro 2012 9-Jun-2012 19:00 1 Group B
Game ELO:
-> 950 ()
0 - 1
Game ELO:
-> 1050 ()
Metalist Stadium, Kharkiv
South Africa 2010 11-Jul-2010 20:30 2 Final
Prob to win: 48.27%
Game ELO: 2185
-> 2137 (-48)
0 - 1 (aet)
Prob to win: 51.73%
Game ELO: 2197
-> 2245 (+48)
Netherlands loss: expected
Johannesburg Bert van Marwijk
South Africa 2010 6-Jul-2010 20:30 2 Semi Finals
Prob to win: 28.83%
Game ELO: 1999
-> 1970 (-29)
2 - 3
Prob to win: 71.17%
Game ELO: 2156
-> 2185 (+29)
Netherlands win: expected
Cape Town Bert van Marwijk
South Africa 2010 2-Jul-2010 20:30 2 Quarter Finals
Prob to win: 42.15%
Game ELO: 2098
-> 2156 (+58)
2 - 1
Prob to win: 57.85%
Game ELO: 2153
-> 2095 (-58)
Netherlands win: upset (loss expected)
Johannesburg Bert van Marwijk
South Africa 2010 28-Jun-2010 16:00 2 Top 16
Prob to win: 90.96%
Game ELO: 2089
-> 2098 (+9)
2 - 1
Prob to win: 9.04%
Game ELO: 1688
-> 1679 (-9)
Netherlands win: expected
Durban Bert van Marwijk
South Africa 2010 24-Jun-2010 20:30 1 Group E
Prob to win: 6.05%
Game ELO: 1610
-> 1604 (-6)
1 - 2
Prob to win: 92.13%
Game ELO: 2083
-> 2089 (+6)
Netherlands win: expected
Cape Town Bert van Marwijk
South Africa 2010 19-Jun-2010 13:30 1 Group E
Prob to win: 84.26%
Game ELO: 2070
-> 2083 (+13)
1 - 0
Prob to win: 12.11%
Game ELO: 1733
-> 1720 (-13)
Netherlands win: expected
Durban Bert van Marwijk
South Africa 2010 14-Jun-2010 13:30 1 Group E
Prob to win: 77.86%
Game ELO: 2043
-> 2070 (+27)
2 - 0
Prob to win: 17.03%
Game ELO: 1779
-> 1752 (-27)
Netherlands win: expected
Johannesburg - JSC Bert van Marwijk
Euro 2008 21-Jun-2008 20:45 2 Quarter Finals
Game ELO:
-> 1102 ()
1 - 3 (aet)
Game ELO:
-> 1153 ()
St. Jakob-Park, Basel
Euro 2008 17-Jun-2008 20:45 1 Group C
Prob to win: 69.18%
Game ELO: 1172
-> 1210 (+38)
2 - 0
Prob to win: 23.71%
Game ELO: 986
-> 948 (-38)
Netherlands win: expected
Stade de Suisse, Bern
Euro 2008 13-Jun-2008 20:45 1 Group C
Prob to win: 57.77%
Game ELO: 1100
-> 1172 (+72)
4 - 1
Prob to win: 32.49%
Game ELO: 1000
-> 928 (-72)
Netherlands win: expected
Stade de Suisse, Bern
Euro 2008 9-Jun-2008 20:45 1 Group C
Game ELO:
-> 1100 ()
3 - 0
Game ELO:
-> 900 ()
Stade de Suisse, Bern
Germany 2006 25-Jun-2006 2 Top 16
Prob to win: 44.98%
Game ELO: 2002
-> 2057 (+55)
1 - 0
Prob to win: 55.02%
Game ELO: 2037
-> 1982 (-55)
Netherlands loss: upset (win expected)
Stuttgart Marco van Basten
Germany 2006 21-Jun-2006 1 Group C
Prob to win: 42.50%
Game ELO: 2036
-> 2037 (+1)
0 - 0
Prob to win: 44.76%
Game ELO: 2045
-> 2044 (-1)
Netherlands draw: upset (loss expected)
Marco van Basten
Germany 2006 16-Jun-2006 1 Group C
Prob to win: 79.40%
Game ELO: 2019
-> 2036 (+17)
2 - 1
Prob to win: 15.84%
Game ELO: 1739
-> 1722 (-17)
Netherlands win: expected
Marco van Basten
Germany 2006 11-Jun-2006 1 Group C
Prob to win: 22.78%
Game ELO: 1799
-> 1775 (-24)
0 - 1
Prob to win: 70.39%
Game ELO: 1995
-> 2019 (+24)
Netherlands win: expected
Marco van Basten
Euro 2004 30-Jun-2004 19:45 2 Semi Finals
Game ELO:
-> 1183 ()
2 - 1
Game ELO:
-> 1071 ()
Estádio José Alvalade, Lisbon
Euro 2004 26-Jun-2004 19:45 2 Quarter Finals
Game ELO:
-> 1075 ()
0 - 0 (aet)
4 - 5 (pen)
Game ELO:
-> 1118 ()
Estádio Algarve, Faro/Loulé
Euro 2004 23-Jun-2004 19:45 1 Group D
Game ELO:
-> 1057 ()
3 - 0
Game ELO: 957
-> 857 (-100)
Estádio Municipal de Braga, Braga
Euro 2004 19-Jun-2004 19:45 1 Group D
Prob to win: 37.97%
Game ELO: 1000
-> 957 (-43)
2 - 3
Prob to win: 50.64%
Game ELO: 1050
-> 1093 (+43)
Netherlands loss: expected
Estádio Municipal de Aveiro, Aveiro
Euro 2004 15-Jun-2004 19:45 1 Group D
Game ELO:
-> 1000 ()
1 - 1
Game ELO:
-> 1000 ()
Estádio do Dragão, Porto
Euro 2000 29-Jun-2000 18:00 2 Semi Finals
Game ELO:
-> 1287 ()
0 - 0 (aet)
3 - 1 (pen)
Game ELO:
-> 1173 ()
Amsterdam Arena, Amsterdam
Euro 2000 25-Jun-2000 18:00 2 Quarter Finals
Game ELO:
-> 1261 ()
6 - 1
Game ELO:
-> 901 ()
Feijenoord Stadion, Rotterdam
Euro 2000 21-Jun-2000 20:45 1 Group D
Prob to win: 46.47%
Game ELO: 1130
-> 1077 (-53)
2 - 3
Prob to win: 41.18%
Game ELO: 1109
-> 1162 (+53)
Netherlands win: upset (loss expected)
Amsterdam Arena, Amsterdam
Euro 2000 16-Jun-2000 20:45 1 Group D
Prob to win: 27.24%
Game ELO: 900
-> 841 (-59)
0 - 3
Prob to win: 64.59%
Game ELO: 1050
-> 1109 (+59)
Netherlands win: expected
Feijenoord Stadion, Rotterdam
Euro 2000 11-Jun-2000 20:45 1 Group D
Game ELO:
-> 1050 ()
1 - 0
Game ELO:
-> 950 ()
Amsterdam Arena, Amsterdam
France 1998 11-Jul-1998 2 3rd Place
Prob to win: 46.55%
Game ELO: 2058
-> 2011 (-47)
1 - 2
Prob to win: 53.45%
Game ELO: 2082
-> 2129 (+47)
Netherlands loss: expected
Paris Guus Hiddink
France 1998 7-Jul-1998 2 Semi Finals
Prob to win: 46.27%
Game ELO: 2086
-> 2140 (+54)
1 - 1 (aet)
4 - 2 (pen)
Prob to win: 53.73%
Game ELO: 2112
-> 2058 (-54)
Netherlands loss: upset (win expected)
Marseille Guus Hiddink
France 1998 4-Jul-1998 2 Quarter Finals
Prob to win: 45.41%
Game ELO: 2057
-> 2112 (+55)
2 - 1
Prob to win: 54.59%
Game ELO: 2089
-> 2034 (-55)
Netherlands win: upset (loss expected)
Marseille Guus Hiddink
France 1998 27-Jun-1998 2 Top 16
Prob to win: 51.58%
Game ELO: 2009
-> 2057 (+48)
2 - 1
Prob to win: 48.42%
Game ELO: 1998
-> 1950 (-48)
Netherlands win: expected
Marseille Guus Hiddink
France 1998 25-Jun-1998 1 Group E
Prob to win: 60.69%
Game ELO: 2026
-> 2009 (-17)
2 - 2
Prob to win: 30.24%
Game ELO: 1905
-> 1922 (+17)
Netherlands draw: upset (win expected)
Stade Geoffroy-Guichard, Saint-Étienne Guus Hiddink
France 1998 20-Jun-1998 1 Group E
Prob to win: 81.49%
Game ELO: 1974
-> 2026 (+52)
5 - 0
Prob to win: 14.24%
Game ELO: 1671
-> 1619 (-52)
Netherlands win: expected
Stade Vélodrome, Marseille Guus Hiddink
France 1998 13-Jun-1998 1 Group E
Prob to win: 67.43%
Game ELO: 1997
-> 1974 (-23)
0 - 0
Prob to win: 25.05%
Game ELO: 1825
-> 1848 (+23)
Netherlands draw: upset (win expected)
Stade de France, Saint-Denis Guus Hiddink
Euro 1996 22-Jun-1996 18:30 2 Quarter Finals
Game ELO:
-> 1149 ()
0 - 0 (aet)
5 - 4 (pen)
Game ELO:
-> 944 ()
Anfield, Liverpool
Euro 1996 18-Jun-1996 19:30 1 Group A
Prob to win: 43.48%
Game ELO: 1075
-> 975 (-100)
1 - 4
Prob to win: 43.48%
Game ELO: 1075
-> 1175 (+100)
Netherlands loss: expected
Wembley Stadium, London
Euro 1996 13-Jun-1996 19:30 1 Group A
Prob to win: 43.48%
Game ELO: 1000
-> 925 (-75)
0 - 2
Prob to win: 43.48%
Game ELO: 1000
-> 1075 (+75)
Netherlands win: upset (loss expected)
Villa Park, Birmingham
Euro 1996 10-Jun-1996 16:30 1 Group A
Game ELO:
-> 1000 ()
0 - 0
Game ELO:
-> 1000 ()
Villa Park, Birmingham
USA 1994 9-Jul-1994 2 Quarter Finals
Prob to win: 55.45%
Game ELO: 2044
-> 2089 (+45)
3 - 2
Prob to win: 44.55%
Game ELO: 2006
-> 1961 (-45)
Netherlands loss: expected
Dallas Dick Advocaat
USA 1994 4-Jul-1994 2 Top 16
Prob to win: 60.22%
Game ELO: 1946
-> 2006 (+60)
2 - 0
Prob to win: 39.78%
Game ELO: 1874
-> 1814 (-60)
Netherlands win: expected
Orlando Dick Advocaat
USA 1994 29-Jun-1994 1 Group F
Prob to win: 11.70%
Game ELO: 1590
-> 1578 (-12)
1 - 2
Prob to win: 84.79%
Game ELO: 1934
-> 1946 (+12)
Netherlands win: expected
Citrus Bowl, Orlando Dick Advocaat
USA 1994 25-Jun-1994 1 Group F
Prob to win: 27.14%
Game ELO: 1853
-> 1923 (+70)
1 - 0
Prob to win: 64.72%
Game ELO: 2004
-> 1934 (-70)
Netherlands loss: upset (win expected)
Citrus Bowl, Orlando Dick Advocaat
USA 1994 20-Jun-1994 1 Group F
Prob to win: 85.44%
Game ELO: 1992
-> 2004 (+12)
2 - 1
Prob to win: 11.20%
Game ELO: 1639
-> 1627 (-12)
Netherlands win: expected
RFK Stadium, Washington Dick Advocaat
Euro 1992 22-Jun-1992 20:15 2 Semi Finals
Game ELO:
-> 1057 ()
2 - 2 (aet)
4 - 5 (pen)
Game ELO:
-> 1073 ()
Ullevi, Gothenburg
Euro 1992 18-Jun-1992 20:15 1 Group B
Prob to win: 41.18%
Game ELO: 1043
-> 1123 (+80)
3 - 1
Prob to win: 46.47%
Game ELO: 1064
-> 984 (-80)
Netherlands win: upset (loss expected)
Ullevi, Gothenburg
Euro 1992 15-Jun-1992 20:15 1 Group B
Prob to win: 50.64%
Game ELO: 1050
-> 1043 (-7)
0 - 0
CIS
Prob to win: 37.97%
Game ELO: 1000
-> 1007 (+7)
Netherlands draw: upset (win expected)
Ullevi, Gothenburg
Euro 1992 12-Jun-1992 17:15 1 Group B
Game ELO:
-> 1050 ()
1 - 0
Game ELO:
-> 950 ()
Ullevi, Gothenburg
Italy 1990 24-Jun-1990 2 Top 16
Prob to win: 60.22%
Game ELO: 2040
-> 2080 (+40)
2 - 1
Prob to win: 39.78%
Game ELO: 1968
-> 1928 (-40)
Netherlands loss: expected
Milan Leo Beenhakker
Italy 1990 21-Jun-1990 1 Group F
Prob to win: 31.09%
Game ELO: 1871
-> 1887 (+16)
1 - 1
Prob to win: 59.58%
Game ELO: 1984
-> 1968 (-16)
Netherlands draw: upset (win expected)
Stadio La Favorita, Palermo Leo Beenhakker
Italy 1990 16-Jun-1990 1 Group F
Prob to win: 37.31%
Game ELO: 1936
-> 1944 (+8)
0 - 0
Prob to win: 51.50%
Game ELO: 1992
-> 1984 (-8)
Netherlands draw: upset (win expected)
Stadio Sant'Elia, Cagliari Leo Beenhakker
Italy 1990 12-Jun-1990 1 Group F
Prob to win: 87.90%
Game ELO: 2032
-> 1992 (-40)
1 - 1
Prob to win: 9.31%
Game ELO: 1642
-> 1682 (+40)
Netherlands draw: upset (win expected)
Stadio La Favorita, Palermo Leo Beenhakker
Euro 1988 25-Jun-1988 15:30 2 Final
Game ELO:
-> 0 ()
0 - 2
Game ELO:
-> 0 ()
Olympiastadion, Munich
Euro 1988 21-Jun-1988 20:15 2 Semi Finals
Game ELO:
-> 0 ()
1 - 2
Game ELO:
-> 0 ()
Volksparkstadion, Hamburg
Euro 1988 18-Jun-1988 15:30 1 Group B
Game ELO:
-> 0 ()
0 - 1
Game ELO:
-> 0 ()
Parkstadion, Gelsenkirchen
Euro 1988 15-Jun-1988 17:15 1 Group B
Game ELO:
-> 0 ()
1 - 3
Game ELO:
-> 0 ()
Rheinstadion, Düsseldorf
Euro 1988 12-Jun-1988 20:15 1 Group B
Game ELO:
-> 0 ()
0 - 1
Game ELO:
-> 0 ()
Müngersdorfer Stadion, Cologne
Euro 1980 17-Jun-1980 17:45 1 Group A
Prob to win: 40.74%
Game ELO: 1000
-> 1004 (+4)
1 - 1
Prob to win: 47.04%
Game ELO: 1025
-> 1021 (-4)
Netherlands draw: upset (loss expected)
San Siro, Milan
Euro 1980 14-Jun-1980 17:45 1 Group A
Prob to win: 43.48%
Game ELO: 1050
-> 1100 (+50)
3 - 2
Prob to win: 43.48%
Game ELO: 1050
-> 1000 (-50)
Netherlands loss: expected
Stadio San Paolo, Naples
Euro 1980 11-Jun-1980 20:30 1 Group A
Game ELO:
-> 1050 ()
1 - 0
Game ELO:
-> 950 ()
Stadio San Paolo, Naples
Argentina 1978 25-Jun-1978 3 Final
Prob to win: 55.45%
Game ELO: 2173
-> 2090 (-83)
1 - 3 (aet)
Prob to win: 44.55%
Game ELO: 2135
-> 2218 (+83)
Netherlands loss: upset (win expected)
Estadio Monumental, Buenos Aires Ernst Happel
Argentina 1978 21-Jun-1978 2 Group A
Prob to win: 39.52%
Game ELO: 2092
-> 2047 (-45)
1 - 2
Prob to win: 48.62%
Game ELO: 2128
-> 2173 (+45)
Netherlands win: upset (loss expected)
Estadio Monumental, Buenos Aires Ernst Happel
Argentina 1978 18-Jun-1978 2 Group A
Prob to win: 53.08%
Game ELO: 2138
-> 2128 (-10)
2 - 2
Prob to win: 36.09%
Game ELO: 2071
-> 2081 (+10)
Netherlands draw: upset (win expected)
Estadio Chateau Carreras, Córdoba Ernst Happel
Argentina 1978 14-Jun-1978 2 Group A
Prob to win: 33.90%
Game ELO: 1919
-> 1787 (-132)
1 - 5
Prob to win: 55.93%
Game ELO: 2006
-> 2138 (+132)
Netherlands win: expected
Estadio Chateau Carreras, Córdoba Ernst Happel
Argentina 1978 11-Jun-1978 1 Group 4
Prob to win: 16.65%
Game ELO: 1819
-> 1901 (+82)
3 - 2
Prob to win: 78.35%
Game ELO: 2088
-> 2006 (-82)
Netherlands loss: upset (win expected)
Estadio Ciudad de Mendoza, Mendoza Ernst Happel
Argentina 1978 7-Jun-1978 1 Group 4
Prob to win: 76.64%
Game ELO: 2119
-> 2088 (-31)
0 - 0
Prob to win: 17.97%
Game ELO: 1867
-> 1898 (+31)
Netherlands draw: upset (win expected)
Estadio Ciudad de Mendoza, Mendoza Ernst Happel
Argentina 1978 3-Jun-1978 1 Group 4
Prob to win: 83.00%
Game ELO: 2092
-> 2119 (+27)
3 - 0
Prob to win: 13.08%
Game ELO: 1771
-> 1744 (-27)
Netherlands win: expected
Estadio Ciudad de Mendoza, Mendoza Ernst Happel
Euro 1976 19-Jun-1976 20:15 1 3rd Place
Prob to win: 50.00%
Game ELO: 925
-> 975 (+50)
3 - 2 (aet)
Prob to win: 50.00%
Game ELO: 925
-> 875 (-50)
Netherlands win: expected
Stadion Maksimir, Zagreb
Euro 1976 16-Jun-1976 20:15 1 Semi Finals
Game ELO:
-> 1075 ()
3 - 1 (aet)
Game ELO:
-> 925 ()
Stadion Maksimir, Zagreb
West Germany 1974 7-Jul-1974 3 Final
Prob to win: 53.45%
Game ELO: 2228
-> 2175 (-53)
1 - 2
Prob to win: 46.55%
Game ELO: 2204
-> 2257 (+53)
Netherlands loss: upset (win expected)
Olympiastadion, Munich Rinus Michels
West Germany 1974 3-Jul-1974 2 Group A
Prob to win: 47.19%
Game ELO: 2159
-> 2228 (+69)
2 - 0
Prob to win: 40.63%
Game ELO: 2133
-> 2064 (-69)
Netherlands win: upset (loss expected)
Westfalenstadion, Dortmund Rinus Michels
West Germany 1974 30-Jun-1974 2 Group A
Prob to win: 28.78%
Game ELO: 1977
-> 1930 (-47)
0 - 2
Prob to win: 62.59%
Game ELO: 2112
-> 2159 (+47)
Netherlands win: expected
Parkstadion, Gelsenkirchen Rinus Michels
West Germany 1974 26-Jun-1974 2 Group A
Prob to win: 52.94%
Game ELO: 1970
-> 2112 (+142)
4 - 0
Prob to win: 36.20%
Game ELO: 1904
-> 1762 (-142)
Netherlands win: expected
Parkstadion, Gelsenkirchen Rinus Michels
West Germany 1974 23-Jun-1974 1 Group 3
Prob to win: 55.36%
Game ELO: 1893
-> 1970 (+77)
4 - 1
Prob to win: 34.33%
Game ELO: 1810
-> 1733 (-77)
Netherlands win: expected
Westfalenstadion, Dortmund Rinus Michels
West Germany 1974 19-Jun-1974 1 Group 3
Prob to win: 46.61%
Game ELO: 1896
-> 1893 (-3)
0 - 0
Prob to win: 41.07%
Game ELO: 1874
-> 1877 (+3)
Netherlands draw: upset (loss expected)
Westfalenstadion, Dortmund Rinus Michels
West Germany 1974 15-Jun-1974 1 Group 3
Prob to win: 34.23%
Game ELO: 1755
-> 1698 (-57)
0 - 2
Prob to win: 55.51%
Game ELO: 1839
-> 1896 (+57)
Netherlands win: expected
Niedersachsenstadion, Hanover Rinus Michels
France 1938 5-Jun-1938 1 Top 16
Prob to win: 63.07%
Game ELO: 1802
-> 1876 (+74)
3 - 0 (aet)
Prob to win: 36.93%
Game ELO: 1709
-> 1635 (-74)
Netherlands loss: expected
Le Havre  Bob Glendenning
Italy 1934 27-May-1934 1 Top 16
Prob to win: 62.40%
Game ELO: 1701
-> 1639 (-62)
2 - 3
Prob to win: 37.60%
Game ELO: 1613
-> 1675 (+62)
Netherlands loss: upset (win expected)
Milan  Bob Glendenning