Netherlands details

Netherlands

Statistics:
  • Games: 89
  • Expected results: 67 (75.28%)
  • Unexpected results: 22 (24.72%)
  • Unknown games: 0
  • Record: 49 Won, 27 Lost, 13 Drawn, 0 Unknown
  • Last five games: LWWWW
  • Expected wins: 46 (51.69%)
  • Expected losses: 21 (23.60%)
  • Unexpected wins: 3 (3.37%)
  • Unexpected losses: 6 (6.74%)
  • Unexpected draws: 13 (14.61%)
  • Wins (+1pt for expected, +3 for unexpected): 55
  • Losses (-1pt for expected, -3 for unexpected): -39
  • Draws (-1pt if fav, +1pt if underdog): 13
  • Total: 29

Tournament Game Time Round Group Name Score Odds Analysis Location Coach
Euro 2020 27-Jun-2021 18:00 2 Top 16 Netherlands
Prob to win: 54.02%
Game ELO: 1950 -> 1911 ( -39)
0 - 2
Czech Republic
Prob to win: 45.98%
Game ELO: 1768 -> 1910 ( + 142)
Netherlands loss: upset (win expected)
Puskás Aréna, Budapest
Euro 2020 21-Jun-2021 18:00 1 Group C North Macedonia
Prob to win: 9.73%
Game ELO: 1536 -> 1524 ( -12)
0 - 3
Netherlands
Prob to win: 90.27%
Game ELO: 2019 -> 2031 ( + 12)
Netherlands win: expected
Johan Cruyff Arena, Amsterdam
Euro 2020 17-Jun-2021 21:00 1 Group C Netherlands
Prob to win: 65.58%
Game ELO: 1981 -> 2019 ( + 38)
2 - 0
Austria
Prob to win: 34.42%
Game ELO: 1793 -> 1755 ( -38)
Netherlands win: expected
Johan Cruyff Arena, Amsterdam
Euro 2020 13-Jun-2021 21:00 1 Group C Netherlands
Prob to win: 71.05%
Game ELO: 1950 -> 1981 ( + 31)
3 - 2
Ukraine
Prob to win: 28.95%
Game ELO: 1814 -> 1783 ( -31)
Netherlands win: expected
Johan Cruyff Arena, Amsterdam
Brazil 2014 12-Jul-2014 2 3rd Place Brazil
Prob to win: 18.73%
Game ELO: 1955 -> 1958 ( + 3)
0 - 3
Netherlands
Prob to win: 81.27%
Game ELO: 2148 -> 2213 ( + 65)
Netherlands win: expected
Brazil 2014 09-Jul-2014 2 Semi Finals Netherlands
Prob to win: 52.44%
Game ELO: 2248 -> 2148 ( -100)
0 - 0 (aet)
2 - 4 (pen)
Argentina
Prob to win: 47.56%
Game ELO: 2126 -> 2226 ( + 100)
Netherlands loss: upset (win expected)
Brazil 2014 04-Jul-2014 2 Quarter Finals Netherlands
Prob to win: 84.07%
Game ELO: 2232 -> 2248 ( + 16)
0 - 0 (aet)
4 - 3 (pen)
Costa Rica
Prob to win: 15.93%
Game ELO: 1940 -> 1924 ( -16)
Netherlands win: expected
Brazil 2014 29-Jun-2014 2 Top 16 Netherlands
Prob to win: 83.45%
Game ELO: 2214 -> 2232 ( + 18)
2 - 1
Mexico
Prob to win: 16.55%
Game ELO: 1950 -> 1932 ( -18)
Netherlands win: expected
Brazil 2014 23-Jun-2014 1 Group B Netherlands
Prob to win: 83.04%
Game ELO: 2173 -> 2214 ( + 41)
2 - 0
Chile
Prob to win: 16.96%
Game ELO: 2006 -> 1965 ( -41)
Netherlands win: expected
Sao Paulo
Brazil 2014 18-Jun-2014 1 Group B Australia
Prob to win: 2.88%
Game ELO: 1676 -> 1670 ( -6)
2 - 3
Netherlands
Prob to win: 97.12%
Game ELO: 2167 -> 2173 ( + 6)
Netherlands win: expected
Porto Alegre
Brazil 2014 13-Jun-2014 1 Group B Spain
Prob to win: 11.30%
Game ELO: 2109 -> 1838 ( -271)
1 - 5
Netherlands
Prob to win: 88.70%
Game ELO: 1896 -> 2167 ( + 271)
Netherlands win: expected
Salvador
Euro 2012 17-Jun-2012 21:45 1 Group B Portugal
Prob to win: 72.45%
Game ELO: 1014 -> 1050 ( + 36)
2 - 1
Netherlands
Prob to win: 27.55%
Game ELO: 914 -> 878 ( -36)
Netherlands loss: expected
Metalist Stadium, Kharkiv
Euro 2012 13-Jun-2012 21:45 1 Group B Netherlands
Prob to win: 20.26%
Game ELO: 950 -> 914 ( -36)
1 - 2
Germany
Prob to win: 79.74%
Game ELO: 1050 -> 1086 ( + 36)
Netherlands loss: expected
Metalist Stadium, Kharkiv
Euro 2012 09-Jun-2012 19:00 1 Group B Netherlands
Prob to win: 39.78%
Game ELO: 0 -> 950 ( + 950)
0 - 1
Denmark
Prob to win: 60.22%
Game ELO: 0 -> 1050 ( + 1050)
Netherlands loss: expected
Metalist Stadium, Kharkiv
South Africa 2010 11-Jul-2010 20:30 2 Final Netherlands
Prob to win: 34.81%
Game ELO: 2211 -> 2138 ( -73)
0 - 1 (aet)
Spain
Prob to win: 65.19%
Game ELO: 2199 -> 2247 ( + 48)
Netherlands loss: expected
Johannesburg Bert van Marwijk
South Africa 2010 06-Jul-2010 20:30 2 Semi Finals Uruguay
Prob to win: 26.30%
Game ELO: 0 -> 1982 ( + 1982)
2 - 3
Netherlands
Prob to win: 73.70%
Game ELO: 2156 -> 2186 ( + 30)
Netherlands win: expected
Cape Town Bert van Marwijk
South Africa 2010 02-Jul-2010 20:30 2 Quarter Finals Netherlands
Prob to win: 56.16%
Game ELO: 2098 -> 2156 ( + 58)
2 - 1
Brazil
Prob to win: 43.84%
Game ELO: 2153 -> 2095 ( -58)
Netherlands win: expected
Johannesburg Bert van Marwijk
South Africa 2010 28-Jun-2010 16:00 2 Top 16 Netherlands
Prob to win: 93.35%
Game ELO: 2089 -> 2098 ( + 9)
2 - 1
Slovakia
Prob to win: 6.65%
Game ELO: 1688 -> 1679 ( -9)
Netherlands win: expected
Durban Bert van Marwijk
South Africa 2010 24-Jun-2010 20:30 1 Group E Cameroon
Prob to win: 4.42%
Game ELO: 1610 -> 1604 ( -6)
1 - 2
Netherlands
Prob to win: 95.58%
Game ELO: 2083 -> 2089 ( + 6)
Netherlands win: expected
Cape Town Bert van Marwijk
South Africa 2010 19-Jun-2010 13:30 1 Group E Netherlands
Prob to win: 91.14%
Game ELO: 2070 -> 2083 ( + 13)
1 - 0
Japan
Prob to win: 8.86%
Game ELO: 1733 -> 1720 ( -13)
Netherlands win: expected
Durban Bert van Marwijk
South Africa 2010 14-Jun-2010 13:30 1 Group E Netherlands
Prob to win: 92.64%
Game ELO: 2043 -> 2070 ( + 27)
2 - 0
Denmark
Prob to win: 7.36%
Game ELO: 1779 -> 1752 ( -27)
Netherlands win: expected
Johannesburg - JSC Bert van Marwijk
Euro 2008 21-Jun-2008 20:45 2 Quarter Finals Netherlands
Prob to win: 54.88%
Game ELO: 0 -> 1102 ( + 1102)
1 - 3 (aet)
Russia
Prob to win: 45.12%
Game ELO: 0 -> 1153 ( + 1153)
Netherlands loss: upset (win expected)
St. Jakob-Park, Basel
Euro 2008 17-Jun-2008 20:45 1 Group C Netherlands
Prob to win: 70.82%
Game ELO: 1172 -> 1210 ( + 38)
2 - 0
Romania
Prob to win: 29.18%
Game ELO: 986 -> 948 ( -38)
Netherlands win: expected
Stade de Suisse, Bern
Euro 2008 13-Jun-2008 20:45 1 Group C Netherlands
Prob to win: 81.01%
Game ELO: 1100 -> 1172 ( + 72)
4 - 1
France
Prob to win: 18.99%
Game ELO: 1000 -> 928 ( -72)
Netherlands win: expected
Stade de Suisse, Bern
Euro 2008 09-Jun-2008 20:45 1 Group C Netherlands
Prob to win: 70.46%
Game ELO: 0 -> 1100 ( + 1100)
3 - 0
Italy
Prob to win: 29.54%
Game ELO: 0 -> 900 ( + 900)
Netherlands win: expected
Stade de Suisse, Bern
Germany 2006 25-Jun-2006 2 Top 16 Portugal
Prob to win: 51.87%
Game ELO: 2002 -> 2057 ( + 55)
1 - 0
Netherlands
Prob to win: 48.13%
Game ELO: 2037 -> 1982 ( -55)
Netherlands loss: expected
Stuttgart Marco van Basten
Germany 2006 21-Jun-2006 1 Group C Netherlands
Prob to win: 48.27%
Game ELO: 2036 -> 2037 ( + 1)
0 - 0
Argentina
Prob to win: 51.73%
Game ELO: 2045 -> 2044 ( -1)
Netherlands draw: upset (loss expected)
Marco van Basten
Germany 2006 16-Jun-2006 1 Group C Netherlands
Prob to win: 77.62%
Game ELO: 2019 -> 2036 ( + 17)
2 - 1
Ivory Coast
Prob to win: 22.38%
Game ELO: 1739 -> 1722 ( -17)
Netherlands win: expected
Marco van Basten
Germany 2006 11-Jun-2006 1 Group C Serbia and Montenegro
Prob to win: 12.19%
Game ELO: 1799 -> 1775 ( -24)
0 - 1
Netherlands
Prob to win: 87.81%
Game ELO: 1995 -> 2019 ( + 24)
Netherlands win: expected
Marco van Basten
Euro 2004 30-Jun-2004 19:45 2 Semi Finals Portugal
Prob to win: 57.43%
Game ELO: 0 -> 1183 ( + 1183)
2 - 1
Netherlands
Prob to win: 42.57%
Game ELO: 0 -> 1071 ( + 1071)
Netherlands loss: expected
Estádio José Alvalade, Lisbon
Euro 2004 26-Jun-2004 19:45 2 Quarter Finals Sweden
Prob to win: 50.58%
Game ELO: 0 -> 1075 ( + 1075)
0 - 0 (aet)
4 - 5 (pen)
Netherlands
Prob to win: 49.42%
Game ELO: 0 -> 1118 ( + 1118)
Netherlands win: upset (loss expected)
Estádio Algarve, Faro/Loulé
Euro 2004 23-Jun-2004 19:45 1 Group D Netherlands
Prob to win: 77.41%
Game ELO: 0 -> 1057 ( + 1057)
3 - 0
Latvia
Prob to win: 22.59%
Game ELO: 957 -> 857 ( -100)
Netherlands win: expected
Estádio Municipal de Braga, Braga
Euro 2004 19-Jun-2004 19:45 1 Group D Netherlands
Prob to win: 40.75%
Game ELO: 1000 -> 957 ( -43)
2 - 3
Czech Republic
Prob to win: 59.25%
Game ELO: 1050 -> 1093 ( + 43)
Netherlands loss: expected
Estádio Municipal de Aveiro, Aveiro
Euro 2004 15-Jun-2004 19:45 1 Group D Germany
Prob to win: 34.16%
Game ELO: 0 -> 1000 ( + 1000)
1 - 1
Netherlands
Prob to win: 65.84%
Game ELO: 0 -> 1000 ( + 1000)
Netherlands draw: upset (win expected)
Estádio do Dragão, Porto
Euro 2000 29-Jun-2000 18:00 2 Semi Finals Italy
Prob to win: 57.15%
Game ELO: 0 -> 1287 ( + 1287)
0 - 0 (aet)
3 - 1 (pen)
Netherlands
Prob to win: 42.85%
Game ELO: 0 -> 1173 ( + 1173)
Netherlands loss: expected
Amsterdam Arena, Amsterdam
Euro 2000 25-Jun-2000 18:00 2 Quarter Finals Netherlands
Prob to win: 82.72%
Game ELO: 0 -> 1261 ( + 1261)
6 - 1
FR Yugoslavia
Prob to win: 17.28%
Game ELO: 0 -> 901 ( + 901)
Netherlands win: expected
Feijenoord Stadion, Rotterdam
Euro 2000 21-Jun-2000 20:45 1 Group D France
Prob to win: 60.90%
Game ELO: 1130 -> 1077 ( -53)
2 - 3
Netherlands
Prob to win: 39.10%
Game ELO: 1109 -> 1162 ( + 53)
Netherlands win: upset (loss expected)
Amsterdam Arena, Amsterdam
Euro 2000 16-Jun-2000 20:45 1 Group D Denmark
Prob to win: 9.58%
Game ELO: 900 -> 841 ( -59)
0 - 3
Netherlands
Prob to win: 90.42%
Game ELO: 1050 -> 1109 ( + 59)
Netherlands win: expected
Feijenoord Stadion, Rotterdam
Euro 2000 11-Jun-2000 20:45 1 Group D Netherlands
Prob to win: 75.45%
Game ELO: 0 -> 1050 ( + 1050)
1 - 0
Czech Republic
Prob to win: 24.55%
Game ELO: 0 -> 950 ( + 950)
Netherlands win: expected
Amsterdam Arena, Amsterdam
France 1998 11-Jul-1998 2 3rd Place Netherlands
Prob to win: 30.02%
Game ELO: 2031 -> 1990 ( -41)
1 - 2
Croatia
Prob to win: 69.98%
Game ELO: 2138 -> 2137 ( -1)
Netherlands loss: expected
Paris Guus Hiddink
France 1998 07-Jul-1998 2 Semi Finals Brazil
Prob to win: 63.61%
Game ELO: 2086 -> 2167 ( + 81)
1 - 1 (aet)
4 - 2 (pen)
Netherlands
Prob to win: 36.39%
Game ELO: 2112 -> 2031 ( -81)
Netherlands loss: expected
Marseille Guus Hiddink
France 1998 04-Jul-1998 2 Quarter Finals Netherlands
Prob to win: 43.70%
Game ELO: 2057 -> 2112 ( + 55)
2 - 1
Argentina
Prob to win: 56.30%
Game ELO: 2089 -> 2034 ( -55)
Netherlands win: upset (loss expected)
Marseille Guus Hiddink
France 1998 27-Jun-1998 2 Top 16 Netherlands
Prob to win: 55.73%
Game ELO: 2009 -> 2057 ( + 48)
2 - 1
Yugoslavia
Prob to win: 44.27%
Game ELO: 1998 -> 1950 ( -48)
Netherlands win: expected
Marseille Guus Hiddink
France 1998 25-Jun-1998 1 Group E Netherlands
Prob to win: 64.14%
Game ELO: 2026 -> 2009 ( -17)
2 - 2
Mexico
Prob to win: 35.86%
Game ELO: 1905 -> 1922 ( + 17)
Netherlands draw: upset (win expected)
Stade Geoffroy-Guichard, Saint-Étienne Guus Hiddink
France 1998 20-Jun-1998 1 Group E Netherlands
Prob to win: 87.69%
Game ELO: 1974 -> 2026 ( + 52)
5 - 0
South Korea
Prob to win: 12.31%
Game ELO: 1671 -> 1619 ( -52)
Netherlands win: expected
Stade Vélodrome, Marseille Guus Hiddink
France 1998 13-Jun-1998 1 Group E Netherlands
Prob to win: 71.88%
Game ELO: 1997 -> 1974 ( -23)
0 - 0
Belgium
Prob to win: 28.12%
Game ELO: 1825 -> 1848 ( + 23)
Netherlands draw: upset (win expected)
Stade de France, Saint-Denis Guus Hiddink
Euro 1996 22-Jun-1996 18:30 2 Quarter Finals France
Prob to win: 69.25%
Game ELO: 0 -> 1149 ( + 1149)
0 - 0 (aet)
5 - 4 (pen)
Netherlands
Prob to win: 30.75%
Game ELO: 0 -> 944 ( + 944)
Netherlands loss: expected
Anfield, Liverpool
Euro 1996 18-Jun-1996 19:30 1 Group A Netherlands
Prob to win: 22.09%
Game ELO: 1075 -> 975 ( -100)
1 - 4
England
Prob to win: 77.91%
Game ELO: 1075 -> 1175 ( + 100)
Netherlands loss: expected
Wembley Stadium, London
Euro 1996 13-Jun-1996 19:30 1 Group A Switzerland
Prob to win: 40.20%
Game ELO: 1000 -> 925 ( -75)
0 - 2
Netherlands
Prob to win: 59.80%
Game ELO: 1000 -> 1075 ( + 75)
Netherlands win: expected
Villa Park, Birmingham
Euro 1996 10-Jun-1996 16:30 1 Group A Netherlands
Prob to win: 45.55%
Game ELO: 0 -> 1000 ( + 1000)
0 - 0
Scotland
Prob to win: 54.45%
Game ELO: 0 -> 1000 ( + 1000)
Netherlands draw: upset (loss expected)
Villa Park, Birmingham
USA 1994 09-Jul-1994 2 Quarter Finals Brazil
Prob to win: 77.41%
Game ELO: 2044 -> 2089 ( + 45)
3 - 2
Netherlands
Prob to win: 22.59%
Game ELO: 2006 -> 1961 ( -45)
Netherlands loss: expected
Dallas Dick Advocaat
USA 1994 04-Jul-1994 2 Top 16 Netherlands
Prob to win: 69.98%
Game ELO: 1946 -> 2006 ( + 60)
2 - 0
Republic of Ireland
Prob to win: 30.02%
Game ELO: 1874 -> 1814 ( -60)
Netherlands win: expected
Orlando Dick Advocaat
USA 1994 29-Jun-1994 1 Group F Morocco
Prob to win: 9.93%
Game ELO: 1590 -> 1578 ( -12)
1 - 2
Netherlands
Prob to win: 90.07%
Game ELO: 1934 -> 1946 ( + 12)
Netherlands win: expected
Citrus Bowl, Orlando Dick Advocaat
USA 1994 25-Jun-1994 1 Group F Belgium
Prob to win: 30.27%
Game ELO: 1853 -> 1923 ( + 70)
1 - 0
Netherlands
Prob to win: 69.73%
Game ELO: 2004 -> 1934 ( -70)
Netherlands loss: upset (win expected)
Citrus Bowl, Orlando Dick Advocaat
USA 1994 20-Jun-1994 1 Group F Netherlands
Prob to win: 79.83%
Game ELO: 1992 -> 2004 ( + 12)
2 - 1
Saudi Arabia
Prob to win: 20.17%
Game ELO: 1639 -> 1627 ( -12)
Netherlands win: expected
RFK Stadium, Washington Dick Advocaat
Euro 1992 22-Jun-1992 20:15 2 Semi Finals Netherlands
Prob to win: 37.87%
Game ELO: 0 -> 1057 ( + 1057)
2 - 2 (aet)
4 - 5 (pen)
Denmark
Prob to win: 62.13%
Game ELO: 0 -> 1073 ( + 1073)
Netherlands loss: expected
Ullevi, Gothenburg
Euro 1992 18-Jun-1992 20:15 1 Group B Netherlands
Prob to win: 61.04%
Game ELO: 1043 -> 1123 ( + 80)
3 - 1
Germany
Prob to win: 38.96%
Game ELO: 1064 -> 984 ( -80)
Netherlands win: expected
Ullevi, Gothenburg
Euro 1992 15-Jun-1992 20:15 1 Group B Netherlands
Prob to win: 74.14%
Game ELO: 1050 -> 1043 ( -7)
0 - 0
CIS
Prob to win: 25.86%
Game ELO: 1000 -> 1007 ( + 7)
Netherlands draw: upset (win expected)
Ullevi, Gothenburg
Euro 1992 12-Jun-1992 17:15 1 Group B Netherlands
Prob to win: 55.45%
Game ELO: 0 -> 1050 ( + 1050)
1 - 0
Scotland
Prob to win: 44.55%
Game ELO: 0 -> 950 ( + 950)
Netherlands win: expected
Ullevi, Gothenburg
Italy 1990 24-Jun-1990 2 Top 16 West Germany
Prob to win: 81.27%
Game ELO: 2040 -> 2080 ( + 40)
2 - 1
Netherlands
Prob to win: 18.73%
Game ELO: 1968 -> 1928 ( -40)
Netherlands loss: expected
Milan Leo Beenhakker
Italy 1990 21-Jun-1990 1 Group F Republic of Ireland
Prob to win: 47.12%
Game ELO: 1871 -> 1887 ( + 16)
1 - 1
Netherlands
Prob to win: 52.88%
Game ELO: 1984 -> 1968 ( -16)
Netherlands draw: upset (win expected)
Stadio La Favorita, Palermo Leo Beenhakker
Italy 1990 16-Jun-1990 1 Group F England
Prob to win: 52.30%
Game ELO: 1936 -> 1944 ( + 8)
0 - 0
Netherlands
Prob to win: 47.70%
Game ELO: 1992 -> 1984 ( -8)
Netherlands draw: upset (loss expected)
Stadio Sant'Elia, Cagliari Leo Beenhakker
Italy 1990 12-Jun-1990 1 Group F Netherlands
Prob to win: 79.83%
Game ELO: 2032 -> 1992 ( -40)
1 - 1
Egypt
Prob to win: 20.17%
Game ELO: 1642 -> 1682 ( + 40)
Netherlands draw: upset (win expected)
Stadio La Favorita, Palermo Leo Beenhakker
Euro 1988 25-Jun-1988 15:30 2 Final Soviet Union
Prob to win: 50.00%
Game ELO: 0 -> 0 ( + 0)
0 - 2
Netherlands
Prob to win: 50.00%
Game ELO: 0 -> 0 ( + 0)
Netherlands win: expected
Olympiastadion, Munich
Euro 1988 21-Jun-1988 20:15 2 Semi Finals West Germany
Prob to win: 50.00%
Game ELO: 0 -> 0 ( + 0)
1 - 2
Netherlands
Prob to win: 50.00%
Game ELO: 0 -> 0 ( + 0)
Netherlands win: expected
Volksparkstadion, Hamburg
Euro 1988 18-Jun-1988 15:30 1 Group B Republic of Ireland
Prob to win: 50.00%
Game ELO: 0 -> 0 ( + 0)
0 - 1
Netherlands
Prob to win: 50.00%
Game ELO: 0 -> 0 ( + 0)
Netherlands win: expected
Parkstadion, Gelsenkirchen
Euro 1988 15-Jun-1988 17:15 1 Group B England
Prob to win: 50.00%
Game ELO: 0 -> 0 ( + 0)
1 - 3
Netherlands
Prob to win: 50.00%
Game ELO: 0 -> 0 ( + 0)
Netherlands win: expected
Rheinstadion, Düsseldorf
Euro 1988 12-Jun-1988 20:15 1 Group B Netherlands
Prob to win: 50.00%
Game ELO: 0 -> 0 ( + 0)
0 - 1
Soviet Union
Prob to win: 50.00%
Game ELO: 0 -> 0 ( + 0)
Netherlands loss: upset (win expected)
Müngersdorfer Stadion, Cologne
Euro 1980 17-Jun-1980 17:45 1 Group A Netherlands
Prob to win: 39.92%
Game ELO: 1000 -> 1004 ( + 4)
1 - 1
Czechoslovakia
Prob to win: 60.08%
Game ELO: 1025 -> 1021 ( -4)
Netherlands draw: upset (loss expected)
San Siro, Milan
Euro 1980 14-Jun-1980 17:45 1 Group A West Germany
Prob to win: 65.84%
Game ELO: 1050 -> 1100 ( + 50)
3 - 2
Netherlands
Prob to win: 34.16%
Game ELO: 1050 -> 1000 ( -50)
Netherlands loss: expected
Stadio San Paolo, Naples
Euro 1980 11-Jun-1980 20:30 1 Group A Netherlands
Prob to win: 64.01%
Game ELO: 0 -> 1050 ( + 1050)
1 - 0
Greece
Prob to win: 35.99%
Game ELO: 0 -> 950 ( + 950)
Netherlands win: expected
Stadio San Paolo, Naples
Argentina 1978 25-Jun-1978 3 Final Netherlands
Prob to win: 32.37%
Game ELO: 2173 -> 2090 ( -83)
1 - 3 (aet)
Argentina
Prob to win: 67.63%
Game ELO: 2135 -> 2218 ( + 83)
Netherlands loss: expected
Estadio Monumental, Buenos Aires Ernst Happel
Argentina 1978 21-Jun-1978 2 Group A Italy
Prob to win: 39.10%
Game ELO: 2092 -> 2047 ( -45)
1 - 2
Netherlands
Prob to win: 60.90%
Game ELO: 2128 -> 2173 ( + 45)
Netherlands win: expected
Estadio Monumental, Buenos Aires Ernst Happel
Argentina 1978 18-Jun-1978 2 Group A Netherlands
Prob to win: 63.34%
Game ELO: 2138 -> 2128 ( -10)
2 - 2
West Germany
Prob to win: 36.66%
Game ELO: 2071 -> 2081 ( + 10)
Netherlands draw: upset (win expected)
Estadio Chateau Carreras, Córdoba Ernst Happel
Argentina 1978 14-Jun-1978 2 Group A Austria
Prob to win: 20.73%
Game ELO: 1919 -> 1787 ( -132)
1 - 5
Netherlands
Prob to win: 79.27%
Game ELO: 2006 -> 2138 ( + 132)
Netherlands win: expected
Estadio Chateau Carreras, Córdoba Ernst Happel
Argentina 1978 11-Jun-1978 1 Group 4 Scotland
Prob to win: 25.20%
Game ELO: 1819 -> 1901 ( + 82)
3 - 2
Netherlands
Prob to win: 74.80%
Game ELO: 2088 -> 2006 ( -82)
Netherlands loss: upset (win expected)
Estadio Ciudad de Mendoza, Mendoza Ernst Happel
Argentina 1978 07-Jun-1978 1 Group 4 Netherlands
Prob to win: 86.72%
Game ELO: 2119 -> 2088 ( -31)
0 - 0
Peru
Prob to win: 13.28%
Game ELO: 1867 -> 1898 ( + 31)
Netherlands draw: upset (win expected)
Estadio Ciudad de Mendoza, Mendoza Ernst Happel
Argentina 1978 03-Jun-1978 1 Group 4 Netherlands
Prob to win: 90.67%
Game ELO: 2092 -> 2119 ( + 27)
3 - 0
Iran
Prob to win: 9.33%
Game ELO: 1771 -> 1744 ( -27)
Netherlands win: expected
Estadio Ciudad de Mendoza, Mendoza Ernst Happel
Euro 1976 19-Jun-1976 20:15 1 3rd Place Netherlands
Prob to win: 64.01%
Game ELO: 925 -> 975 ( + 50)
3 - 2 (aet)
Yugoslavia
Prob to win: 35.99%
Game ELO: 925 -> 875 ( -50)
Netherlands win: expected
Stadion Maksimir, Zagreb
Euro 1976 16-Jun-1976 20:15 1 Semi Finals Czechoslovakia
Prob to win: 73.25%
Game ELO: 0 -> 1075 ( + 1075)
3 - 1 (aet)
Netherlands
Prob to win: 26.75%
Game ELO: 0 -> 925 ( + 925)
Netherlands loss: expected
Stadion Maksimir, Zagreb
West Germany 1974 07-Jul-1974 3 Final Netherlands
Prob to win: 38.41%
Game ELO: 2228 -> 2175 ( -53)
1 - 2
West Germany
Prob to win: 61.59%
Game ELO: 2204 -> 2257 ( + 53)
Netherlands loss: expected
Olympiastadion, Munich Rinus Michels
West Germany 1974 03-Jul-1974 2 Group A Netherlands
Prob to win: 71.29%
Game ELO: 2159 -> 2228 ( + 69)
2 - 0
Brazil
Prob to win: 28.71%
Game ELO: 2133 -> 2064 ( -69)
Netherlands win: expected
Westfalenstadion, Dortmund Rinus Michels
West Germany 1974 30-Jun-1974 2 Group A East Germany
Prob to win: 17.53%
Game ELO: 1977 -> 1930 ( -47)
0 - 2
Netherlands
Prob to win: 82.47%
Game ELO: 2112 -> 2159 ( + 47)
Netherlands win: expected
Parkstadion, Gelsenkirchen Rinus Michels
West Germany 1974 26-Jun-1974 2 Group A Netherlands
Prob to win: 90.91%
Game ELO: 1970 -> 2112 ( + 142)
4 - 0
Argentina
Prob to win: 9.09%
Game ELO: 1904 -> 1762 ( -142)
Netherlands win: expected
Parkstadion, Gelsenkirchen Rinus Michels
West Germany 1974 23-Jun-1974 1 Group 3 Netherlands
Prob to win: 92.72%
Game ELO: 1893 -> 1970 ( + 77)
4 - 1
Bulgaria
Prob to win: 7.28%
Game ELO: 1810 -> 1733 ( -77)
Netherlands win: expected
Westfalenstadion, Dortmund Rinus Michels
West Germany 1974 19-Jun-1974 1 Group 3 Netherlands
Prob to win: 80.65%
Game ELO: 1896 -> 1893 ( -3)
0 - 0
Sweden
Prob to win: 19.35%
Game ELO: 1874 -> 1877 ( + 3)
Netherlands draw: upset (win expected)
Westfalenstadion, Dortmund Rinus Michels
West Germany 1974 15-Jun-1974 1 Group 3 Uruguay
Prob to win: 4.88%
Game ELO: 1755 -> 1698 ( -57)
0 - 2
Netherlands
Prob to win: 95.12%
Game ELO: 1839 -> 1896 ( + 57)
Netherlands win: expected
Niedersachsenstadion, Hanover Rinus Michels
France 1938 05-Jun-1938 1 Top 16 Czechoslovakia
Prob to win: 76.29%
Game ELO: 1802 -> 1876 ( + 74)
3 - 0 (aet)
Netherlands
Prob to win: 23.71%
Game ELO: 1709 -> 1635 ( -74)
Netherlands loss: expected
Le Havre  Bob Glendenning
Italy 1934 27-May-1934 1 Top 16 Netherlands
Prob to win: 48.42%
Game ELO: 1701 -> 1639 ( -62)
2 - 3
Switzerland
Prob to win: 51.58%
Game ELO: 1613 -> 1675 ( + 62)
Netherlands loss: expected
Milan  Bob Glendenning