Mexico details

Mexico

Statistics:
  • Games: 57
  • Expected results: 40 (70.18%)
  • Unexpected results: 17 (29.82%)
  • Unknown games: 0
  • Record: 16 Won, 29 Lost, 12 Drawn, 0 Unknown
  • Last five games: LLWWL
  • Expected wins: 12 (21.05%)
  • Expected losses: 28 (49.12%)
  • Unexpected wins: 4 (7.02%)
  • Unexpected losses: 1 (1.75%)
  • Unexpected draws: 12 (21.05%)
  • Wins (+1pt for expected, +3 for unexpected): 24
  • Losses (-1pt for expected, -3 for unexpected): -31
  • Draws (-1pt if fav, +1pt if underdog): 12
  • Total: 5

Tournament Game Time Round Group Name Score Odds Analysis Location Coach
Russia 2018 02-Jul-2018 18:00 2 Top 16 Brazil
Prob to win: 85.55%
Game ELO: 2142 -> 2162 ( + 20)
2 - 0
Mexico
Prob to win: 14.45%
Game ELO: 1850 -> 1790 ( -60)
Mexico loss: expected
Cosmos Arena, Samara
Russia 2018 27-Jun-2018 15:00 1 Group F Mexico
Prob to win: 32.12%
Game ELO: 1948 -> 1809 ( -139)
0 - 3
Sweden
Prob to win: 67.88%
Game ELO: 1806 -> 1945 ( + 139)
Mexico loss: expected
Central Stadium, Yekaterinburg
Russia 2018 23-Jun-2018 19:00 1 Group F South Korea
Prob to win: 50.00%
Game ELO: 1675 -> 1656 ( -19)
1 - 2
Mexico
Prob to win: 50.00%
Game ELO: 1929 -> 1948 ( + 19)
Mexico win: expected
Rostov Arena, Rostov-on-Don
Russia 2018 17-Jun-2018 16:00 1 Group F Germany
Prob to win: 64.27%
Game ELO: 2077 -> 1998 ( -79)
0 - 1
Mexico
Prob to win: 35.73%
Game ELO: 1850 -> 1929 ( + 79)
Mexico win: upset (loss expected)
Luzhniki Stadium, Moscow
Brazil 2014 29-Jun-2014 2 Top 16 Netherlands
Prob to win: 83.45%
Game ELO: 2214 -> 2232 ( + 18)
2 - 1
Mexico
Prob to win: 16.55%
Game ELO: 1950 -> 1932 ( -18)
Mexico loss: expected
Brazil 2014 23-Jun-2014 1 Group A Croatia
Prob to win: 32.12%
Game ELO: 1878 -> 1802 ( -76)
1 - 3
Mexico
Prob to win: 67.88%
Game ELO: 1874 -> 1950 ( + 76)
Mexico win: expected
Recife
Brazil 2014 17-Jun-2014 1 Group A Brazil
Prob to win: 53.73%
Game ELO: 2159 -> 2123 ( -36)
0 - 0
Mexico
Prob to win: 46.27%
Game ELO: 1838 -> 1874 ( + 36)
Mexico draw: upset (loss expected)
Fortaleza
Brazil 2014 13-Jun-2014 1 Group A Mexico
Prob to win: 92.32%
Game ELO: 1814 -> 1838 ( + 24)
1 - 0
Cameroon
Prob to win: 7.68%
Game ELO: 1610 -> 1586 ( -24)
Mexico win: expected
Natal
South Africa 2010 27-Jun-2010 16:00 2 Top 16 Argentina
Prob to win: 59.39%
Game ELO: 2037 -> 2081 ( + 44)
3 - 1
Mexico
Prob to win: 40.61%
Game ELO: 1882 -> 1838 ( -44)
Mexico loss: expected
Bloemfontein Javier Aguirre
South Africa 2010 22-Jun-2010 16:00 1 Group A Mexico
Prob to win: 33.26%
Game ELO: 1939 -> 1882 ( -57)
0 - 1
Uruguay
Prob to win: 66.74%
Game ELO: 1892 -> 1949 ( + 57)
Mexico loss: expected
Rustenburg Javier Aguirre
South Africa 2010 17-Jun-2010 20:30 1 Group A France
Prob to win: 32.24%
Game ELO: 1859 -> 1785 ( -74)
0 - 2
Mexico
Prob to win: 67.76%
Game ELO: 1865 -> 1939 ( + 74)
Mexico win: expected
Polokwane Javier Aguirre
South Africa 2010 11-Jun-2010 16:00 1 Group A South Africa
Prob to win: 26.52%
Game ELO: 1595 -> 1630 ( + 35)
1 - 1
Mexico
Prob to win: 73.48%
Game ELO: 1900 -> 1865 ( -35)
Mexico draw: upset (win expected)
Johannesburg - JSC Javier Aguirre
Germany 2006 24-Jun-2006 2 Top 16 Argentina
Prob to win: 74.25%
Game ELO: 2044 -> 2067 ( + 23)
2 - 1 (aet)
Mexico
Prob to win: 25.75%
Game ELO: 1833 -> 1810 ( -23)
Mexico loss: expected
Leipzig Ricardo Lavolpe
Germany 2006 21-Jun-2006 1 Group D Portugal
Prob to win: 74.36%
Game ELO: 1966 -> 2002 ( + 36)
2 - 1
Mexico
Prob to win: 25.64%
Game ELO: 1869 -> 1833 ( -36)
Mexico loss: expected
Ricardo Lavolpe
Germany 2006 16-Jun-2006 1 Group D Mexico
Prob to win: 76.18%
Game ELO: 1908 -> 1869 ( -39)
0 - 0
Angola
Prob to win: 23.82%
Game ELO: 1553 -> 1592 ( + 39)
Mexico draw: upset (win expected)
Ricardo Lavolpe
Germany 2006 11-Jun-2006 1 Group D Mexico
Prob to win: 66.87%
Game ELO: 1838 -> 1908 ( + 70)
3 - 1
Iran
Prob to win: 33.13%
Game ELO: 1813 -> 1743 ( -70)
Mexico win: expected
Ricardo Lavolpe
Korea/ Japan 2002 17-Jun-2002 2 Top 16 Mexico
Prob to win: 47.27%
Game ELO: 1920 -> 1810 ( -110)
0 - 2
USA
Prob to win: 52.73%
Game ELO: 1747 -> 1857 ( + 110)
Mexico loss: expected
Jeonju Javier Aguirre
Korea/ Japan 2002 13-Jun-2002 1 Group G Mexico
Prob to win: 38.41%
Game ELO: 1914 -> 1920 ( + 6)
1 - 1
Italy
Prob to win: 61.59%
Game ELO: 1957 -> 1951 ( -6)
Mexico draw: upset (loss expected)
Oita Stadium, Oita Javier Aguirre
Korea/ Japan 2002 09-Jun-2002 1 Group G Mexico
Prob to win: 57.85%
Game ELO: 1888 -> 1914 ( + 26)
2 - 1
Ecuador
Prob to win: 42.15%
Game ELO: 1702 -> 1676 ( -26)
Mexico win: expected
Miyagi Stadium, Miyagi Javier Aguirre
Korea/ Japan 2002 03-Jun-2002 1 Group G Croatia
Prob to win: 51.73%
Game ELO: 1881 -> 1824 ( -57)
0 - 1
Mexico
Prob to win: 48.27%
Game ELO: 1831 -> 1888 ( + 57)
Mexico win: upset (loss expected)
Niigata Stadium, Niigata Javier Aguirre
France 1998 29-Jun-1998 2 Top 16 Germany
Prob to win: 60.49%
Game ELO: 2047 -> 2080 ( + 33)
2 - 1
Mexico
Prob to win: 39.51%
Game ELO: 1922 -> 1889 ( -33)
Mexico loss: expected
Montpellier Manuel Lapuente
France 1998 25-Jun-1998 1 Group E Netherlands
Prob to win: 64.14%
Game ELO: 2026 -> 2009 ( -17)
2 - 2
Mexico
Prob to win: 35.86%
Game ELO: 1905 -> 1922 ( + 17)
Mexico draw: upset (loss expected)
Stade Geoffroy-Guichard, Saint-Étienne Manuel Lapuente
France 1998 20-Jun-1998 1 Group E Belgium
Prob to win: 41.17%
Game ELO: 1848 -> 1857 ( + 9)
2 - 2
Mexico
Prob to win: 58.83%
Game ELO: 1914 -> 1905 ( -9)
Mexico draw: upset (win expected)
Parc Lescure, Bordeaux Manuel Lapuente
France 1998 13-Jun-1998 1 Group E South Korea
Prob to win: 20.08%
Game ELO: 1715 -> 1671 ( -44)
1 - 3
Mexico
Prob to win: 79.92%
Game ELO: 1870 -> 1914 ( + 44)
Mexico win: expected
Stade Gerland, Lyon Manuel Lapuente
USA 1994 05-Jul-1994 2 Top 16 Mexico
Prob to win: 50.14%
Game ELO: 1885 -> 1819 ( -66)
1 - 1 (aet)
1 - 3 (pen)
Bulgaria
Prob to win: 49.86%
Game ELO: 1927 -> 1993 ( + 66)
Mexico loss: upset (win expected)
East Rutherford Miguel Mejía Barón
USA 1994 28-Jun-1994 1 Group E Italy
Prob to win: 78.79%
Game ELO: 1968 -> 1955 ( -13)
1 - 1
Mexico
Prob to win: 21.21%
Game ELO: 1872 -> 1885 ( + 13)
Mexico draw: upset (loss expected)
RFK Stadium, Washington Miguel Mejía Barón
USA 1994 24-Jun-1994 1 Group E Mexico
Prob to win: 50.72%
Game ELO: 1803 -> 1872 ( + 69)
2 - 1
Republic of Ireland
Prob to win: 49.28%
Game ELO: 1946 -> 1877 ( -69)
Mexico win: expected
Citrus Bowl, Orlando Miguel Mejía Barón
USA 1994 19-Jun-1994 1 Group E Norway
Prob to win: 55.59%
Game ELO: 1852 -> 1902 ( + 50)
1 - 0
Mexico
Prob to win: 44.41%
Game ELO: 1853 -> 1803 ( -50)
Mexico loss: expected
RFK Stadium, Washington Miguel Mejía Barón
Mexico 1986 21-Jun-1986 2 Quarter Finals West Germany
Prob to win: 80.11%
Game ELO: 1943 -> 2043 ( + 100)
0 - 0 (aet)
4 - 1 (pen)
Mexico
Prob to win: 19.89%
Game ELO: 1943 -> 1843 ( -100)
Mexico loss: expected
Monterrey
Mexico 1986 15-Jun-1986 2 Top 16 Mexico
Prob to win: 68.13%
Game ELO: 1896 -> 1943 ( + 47)
2 - 0
Bulgaria
Prob to win: 31.87%
Game ELO: 1758 -> 1711 ( -47)
Mexico win: expected
Mexico City
Mexico 1986 11-Jun-1986 1 Group B Mexico
Prob to win: 84.23%
Game ELO: 1882 -> 1896 ( + 14)
1 - 0
Iraq
Prob to win: 15.77%
Game ELO: 1566 -> 1552 ( -14)
Mexico win: expected
Estadio Azteca, Mexico City
Mexico 1986 07-Jun-1986 1 Group B Mexico
Prob to win: 59.66%
Game ELO: 1890 -> 1882 ( -8)
1 - 1
Paraguay
Prob to win: 40.34%
Game ELO: 1836 -> 1844 ( + 8)
Mexico draw: upset (win expected)
Estadio Azteca, Mexico City
Mexico 1986 03-Jun-1986 1 Group B Mexico
Prob to win: 46.41%
Game ELO: 1843 -> 1890 ( + 47)
2 - 1
Belgium
Prob to win: 53.59%
Game ELO: 1823 -> 1776 ( -47)
Mexico win: upset (loss expected)
Estadio Azteca, Mexico City
Argentina 1978 10-Jun-1978 1 Group 2 Poland
Prob to win: 83.37%
Game ELO: 1978 -> 1999 ( + 21)
3 - 1
Mexico
Prob to win: 16.63%
Game ELO: 1659 -> 1638 ( -21)
Mexico loss: expected
Estadio Gigante de Arroyito, Rosario José Antonio Roca
Argentina 1978 06-Jun-1978 1 Group 2 West Germany
Prob to win: 88.65%
Game ELO: 2074 -> 2109 ( + 35)
6 - 0
Mexico
Prob to win: 11.35%
Game ELO: 1694 -> 1659 ( -35)
Mexico loss: expected
Estadio Chateau Carreras, Córdoba José Antonio Roca
Argentina 1978 02-Jun-1978 1 Group 2 Tunisia
Prob to win: 70.70%
Game ELO: 1680 -> 1779 ( + 99)
3 - 1
Mexico
Prob to win: 29.30%
Game ELO: 1793 -> 1694 ( -99)
Mexico loss: expected
Estadio Gigante de Arroyito, Rosario José Antonio Roca
Mexico 1970 14-Jun-1970 2 Quarter Finals Italy
Prob to win: 80.83%
Game ELO: 1975 -> 2039 ( + 64)
4 - 1
Mexico
Prob to win: 19.17%
Game ELO: 1844 -> 1780 ( -64)
Mexico loss: expected
Toluca Raúl Cárdenas
Mexico 1970 11-Jun-1970 1 Group 1 Mexico
Prob to win: 60.49%
Game ELO: 1801 -> 1844 ( + 43)
1 - 0
Belgium
Prob to win: 39.51%
Game ELO: 1749 -> 1706 ( -43)
Mexico win: expected
Estadio Azteca, Mexico City Raúl Cárdenas
Mexico 1970 07-Jun-1970 1 Group 1 Mexico
Prob to win: 88.99%
Game ELO: 1729 -> 1801 ( + 72)
4 - 0
El Salvador
Prob to win: 11.01%
Game ELO: 1494 -> 1422 ( -72)
Mexico win: expected
Estadio Azteca, Mexico City Raúl Cárdenas
Mexico 1970 31-May-1970 1 Group 1 Mexico
Prob to win: 28.47%
Game ELO: 1696 -> 1729 ( + 33)
0 - 0
Soviet Union
Prob to win: 71.53%
Game ELO: 1977 -> 1944 ( -33)
Mexico draw: upset (loss expected)
Estadio Azteca, Mexico City Raúl Cárdenas
England 1966 19-Jul-1966 1 Group 1 Mexico
Prob to win: 54.59%
Game ELO: 1800 -> 1814 ( + 14)
0 - 0
Uruguay
Prob to win: 45.41%
Game ELO: 1903 -> 1889 ( -14)
Mexico draw: upset (win expected)
Wembley Stadium, London Ignacio Tréllez
England 1966 16-Jul-1966 1 Group 1 England
Prob to win: 91.46%
Game ELO: 1971 -> 2021 ( + 50)
2 - 0
Mexico
Prob to win: 8.54%
Game ELO: 1850 -> 1800 ( -50)
Mexico loss: expected
Wembley Stadium, London Ignacio Tréllez
England 1966 13-Jul-1966 1 Group 1 France
Prob to win: 35.46%
Game ELO: 1754 -> 1770 ( + 16)
1 - 1
Mexico
Prob to win: 64.54%
Game ELO: 1866 -> 1850 ( -16)
Mexico draw: upset (win expected)
Wembley Stadium, London Ignacio Tréllez
Chile 1962 07-Jun-1962 1 Group 3 Mexico
Prob to win: 30.51%
Game ELO: 1754 -> 1879 ( + 125)
3 - 1
Czechoslovakia
Prob to win: 69.49%
Game ELO: 2037 -> 1912 ( -125)
Mexico win: upset (loss expected)
Estadio Sausalito, Viña del Mar Ignacio Tréllez
Chile 1962 03-Jun-1962 1 Group 3 Spain
Prob to win: 55.45%
Game ELO: 1913 -> 1945 ( + 32)
1 - 0
Mexico
Prob to win: 44.55%
Game ELO: 1786 -> 1754 ( -32)
Mexico loss: expected
Estadio Sausalito, Viña del Mar Ignacio Tréllez
Chile 1962 30-May-1962 1 Group 3 Brazil
Prob to win: 89.49%
Game ELO: 2102 -> 2125 ( + 23)
2 - 0
Mexico
Prob to win: 10.51%
Game ELO: 1809 -> 1786 ( -23)
Mexico loss: expected
Estadio Sausalito, Viña del Mar Ignacio Tréllez
Sweden 1958 15-Jun-1958 1 Group 3 Hungary
Prob to win: 85.77%
Game ELO: 1968 -> 2028 ( + 60)
4 - 0
Mexico
Prob to win: 14.23%
Game ELO: 1694 -> 1634 ( -60)
Mexico loss: expected
Jernvallen, Sandviken  Antonio López Herranz
Sweden 1958 11-Jun-1958 1 Group 3 Mexico
Prob to win: 24.13%
Game ELO: 1684 -> 1694 ( + 10)
1 - 1
Wales
Prob to win: 75.87%
Game ELO: 1752 -> 1742 ( -10)
Mexico draw: upset (loss expected)
Råsunda Stadium, Solna  Antonio López Herranz
Sweden 1958 08-Jun-1958 1 Group 3 Sweden
Prob to win: 90.32%
Game ELO: 1800 -> 1894 ( + 94)
3 - 0
Mexico
Prob to win: 9.68%
Game ELO: 1778 -> 1684 ( -94)
Mexico loss: expected
Råsunda Stadium, Solna  Antonio López Herranz
Switzerland 1954 19-Jun-1954 1 Group 1 France
Prob to win: 71.88%
Game ELO: 1738 -> 1775 ( + 37)
3 - 2
Mexico
Prob to win: 28.12%
Game ELO: 1649 -> 1612 ( -37)
Mexico loss: expected
Charmilles Stadium, Geneva  Antonio López Herranz
Switzerland 1954 16-Jun-1954 1 Group 1 Brazil
Prob to win: 91.33%
Game ELO: 2031 -> 2075 ( + 44)
5 - 0
Mexico
Prob to win: 8.67%
Game ELO: 1693 -> 1649 ( -44)
Mexico loss: expected
Charmilles Stadium, Geneva  Antonio López Herranz
Brazil 1950 02-Jul-1950 1 Group 1 Mexico
Prob to win: 34.42%
Game ELO: 1664 -> 1617 ( -47)
1 - 2
Switzerland
Prob to win: 65.58%
Game ELO: 1682 -> 1729 ( + 47)
Mexico loss: expected
Estádio dos Eucaliptos, Porto Alegre Octavio Vial
Brazil 1950 28-Jun-1950 1 Group 1 Mexico
Prob to win: 17.45%
Game ELO: 1719 -> 1664 ( -55)
1 - 4
Yugoslavia
Prob to win: 82.55%
Game ELO: 1888 -> 1943 ( + 55)
Mexico loss: expected
Estádio dos Eucaliptos, Porto Alegre Octavio Vial
Brazil 1950 24-Jun-1950 1 Group 1 Brazil
Prob to win: 96.54%
Game ELO: 1969 -> 2076 ( + 107)
4 - 0
Mexico
Prob to win: 3.46%
Game ELO: 1826 -> 1719 ( -107)
Mexico loss: expected
Estádio do Maracanã, Rio de Janeiro Octavio Vial
Uruguay 1930 19-Jul-1930 1 Group 1 Argentina
Prob to win: 97.94%
Game ELO: 2085 -> 2089 ( + 4)
6 - 3
Mexico
Prob to win: 2.06%
Game ELO: 1413 -> 1409 ( -4)
Mexico loss: expected
Estadio Centenario, Montevideo Juan Luque de Serrallonga
Uruguay 1930 16-Jul-1930 1 Group 1 Chile
Prob to win: 83.13%
Game ELO: 1578 -> 1653 ( + 75)
3 - 0
Mexico
Prob to win: 16.87%
Game ELO: 1488 -> 1413 ( -75)
Mexico loss: expected
Estadio Parque Central, Montevideo Juan Luque de Serrallonga
Uruguay 1930 13-Jul-1930 1 Group 1 France
Prob to win: 74.14%
Game ELO: 1523 -> 1648 ( + 125)
4 - 1
Mexico
Prob to win: 25.86%
Game ELO: 1613 -> 1488 ( -125)
Mexico loss: expected
Estadio Pocitos, Montevideo Juan Luque de Serrallonga