West Germany details

West Germany

Statistics:
  • Games: 77
  • Expected results: 52 (67.53%)
  • Unexpected results: 25 (32.47%)
  • Unknown games: 0
  • Record: 48 Won, 15 Lost, 14 Drawn, 0 Unknown
  • Last five games: WWWWD
  • Expected wins: 45 (58.44%)
  • Expected losses: 7 (9.09%)
  • Unexpected wins: 3 (3.90%)
  • Unexpected losses: 8 (10.39%)
  • Unexpected draws: 14 (18.18%)
  • Wins (+1pt for expected, +3 for unexpected): 54
  • Losses (-1pt for expected, -3 for unexpected): -31
  • Draws (-1pt if fav, +1pt if underdog): 14
  • Total: 37

Tournament Game Time Round Group Name Score Odds Analysis Location Coach
Italy 1990 08-Jul-1990 2 Final Argentina
Prob to win: 26.52%
Game ELO: 2041 -> 2006 ( -35)
0 - 1
West Germany
Prob to win: 73.48%
Game ELO: 2148 -> 2183 ( + 35)
West Germany win: expected
Rome Franz Beckenbauer
Italy 1990 04-Jul-1990 2 Semi Finals West Germany
Prob to win: 79.83%
Game ELO: 2111 -> 2148 ( + 37)
1 - 1 (aet)
4 - 3 (pen)
England
Prob to win: 20.17%
Game ELO: 2022 -> 1985 ( -37)
West Germany win: expected
Turin Franz Beckenbauer
Italy 1990 01-Jul-1990 2 Quarter Finals West Germany
Prob to win: 82.80%
Game ELO: 2080 -> 2111 ( + 31)
1 - 0
Czechoslovakia
Prob to win: 17.20%
Game ELO: 1941 -> 1910 ( -31)
West Germany win: expected
Milan Franz Beckenbauer
Italy 1990 24-Jun-1990 2 Top 16 West Germany
Prob to win: 81.27%
Game ELO: 2040 -> 2080 ( + 40)
2 - 1
Netherlands
Prob to win: 18.73%
Game ELO: 1968 -> 1928 ( -40)
West Germany win: expected
Milan Franz Beckenbauer
Italy 1990 19-Jun-1990 1 Group D West Germany
Prob to win: 93.28%
Game ELO: 2075 -> 2040 ( -35)
1 - 1
Colombia
Prob to win: 6.72%
Game ELO: 1768 -> 1803 ( + 35)
West Germany draw: upset (win expected)
San Siro, Milan Franz Beckenbauer
Italy 1990 15-Jun-1990 1 Group D West Germany
Prob to win: 98.80%
Game ELO: 2066 -> 2075 ( + 9)
5 - 1
United Arab Emirates
Prob to win: 1.20%
Game ELO: 1441 -> 1432 ( -9)
West Germany win: expected
San Siro, Milan Franz Beckenbauer
Italy 1990 10-Jun-1990 1 Group D West Germany
Prob to win: 83.84%
Game ELO: 1994 -> 2066 ( + 72)
4 - 1
Yugoslavia
Prob to win: 16.16%
Game ELO: 1893 -> 1821 ( -72)
West Germany win: expected
San Siro, Milan Franz Beckenbauer
Euro 1988 21-Jun-1988 20:15 2 Semi Finals West Germany
Prob to win: 50.00%
Game ELO: 0 -> 0 ( + 0)
1 - 2
Netherlands
Prob to win: 50.00%
Game ELO: 0 -> 0 ( + 0)
West Germany loss: upset (win expected)
Volksparkstadion, Hamburg
Euro 1988 17-Jun-1988 20:15 1 Group A West Germany
Prob to win: 50.00%
Game ELO: 0 -> 0 ( + 0)
2 - 0
Spain
Prob to win: 50.00%
Game ELO: 0 -> 0 ( + 0)
West Germany win: expected
Olympiastadion, Munich
Euro 1988 14-Jun-1988 17:15 1 Group A West Germany
Prob to win: 50.00%
Game ELO: 0 -> 0 ( + 0)
2 - 0
Denmark
Prob to win: 50.00%
Game ELO: 0 -> 0 ( + 0)
West Germany win: expected
Parkstadion, Gelsenkirchen
Euro 1988 10-Jun-1988 20:15 1 Group A West Germany
Prob to win: 50.00%
Game ELO: 0 -> 0 ( + 0)
1 - 1
Italy
Prob to win: 50.00%
Game ELO: 0 -> 0 ( + 0)
West Germany draw: upset (win expected)
Rheinstadion, Düsseldorf
Mexico 1986 29-Jun-1986 2 Final West Germany
Prob to win: 40.20%
Game ELO: 2141 -> 2085 ( -56)
2 - 3
Argentina
Prob to win: 59.80%
Game ELO: 2098 -> 2154 ( + 56)
West Germany loss: expected
Mexico City Franz Beckenbauer
Mexico 1986 25-Jun-1986 2 Semi Finals France
Prob to win: 52.01%
Game ELO: 2151 -> 2053 ( -98)
0 - 2
West Germany
Prob to win: 47.99%
Game ELO: 2043 -> 2141 ( + 98)
West Germany win: upset (loss expected)
Guadalajara Franz Beckenbauer
Mexico 1986 21-Jun-1986 2 Quarter Finals West Germany
Prob to win: 80.11%
Game ELO: 1943 -> 2043 ( + 100)
0 - 0 (aet)
4 - 1 (pen)
Mexico
Prob to win: 19.89%
Game ELO: 1943 -> 1843 ( -100)
West Germany win: expected
Monterrey Franz Beckenbauer
Mexico 1986 17-Jun-1986 2 Top 16 Morocco
Prob to win: 13.48%
Game ELO: 1797 -> 1762 ( -35)
0 - 1
West Germany
Prob to win: 86.52%
Game ELO: 1908 -> 1943 ( + 35)
West Germany win: expected
Monterrey Franz Beckenbauer
Mexico 1986 13-Jun-1986 1 Group E West Germany
Prob to win: 78.60%
Game ELO: 1960 -> 1908 ( -52)
0 - 2
Denmark
Prob to win: 21.40%
Game ELO: 2068 -> 2120 ( + 52)
West Germany loss: upset (win expected)
Estadio La Corregidora, Querétaro Franz Beckenbauer
Mexico 1986 08-Jun-1986 1 Group E West Germany
Prob to win: 85.27%
Game ELO: 1924 -> 1960 ( + 36)
2 - 1
Scotland
Prob to win: 14.73%
Game ELO: 1826 -> 1790 ( -36)
West Germany win: expected
Estadio La Corregidora, Querétaro Franz Beckenbauer
Mexico 1986 04-Jun-1986 1 Group E West Germany
Prob to win: 89.86%
Game ELO: 1939 -> 1924 ( -15)
1 - 1
Uruguay
Prob to win: 10.14%
Game ELO: 1831 -> 1846 ( + 15)
West Germany draw: upset (win expected)
Estadio La Corregidora, Querétaro Franz Beckenbauer
Euro 1984 20-Jun-1984 20:30 1 Group B West Germany
Prob to win: 38.55%
Game ELO: 1050 -> 993 ( -57)
0 - 1
Spain
Prob to win: 61.45%
Game ELO: 1000 -> 1057 ( + 57)
West Germany loss: expected
Parc des Princes, Paris
Euro 1984 17-Jun-1984 17:15 1 Group B West Germany
Prob to win: 62.13%
Game ELO: 1000 -> 1050 ( + 50)
2 - 1
Romania
Prob to win: 37.87%
Game ELO: 1000 -> 950 ( -50)
West Germany win: expected
Stade Félix-Bollaert, Lens
Euro 1984 14-Jun-1984 17:15 1 Group B West Germany
Prob to win: 46.27%
Game ELO: 0 -> 1000 ( + 1000)
0 - 0
Portugal
Prob to win: 53.73%
Game ELO: 0 -> 1000 ( + 1000)
West Germany draw: upset (loss expected)
Stade de la Meinau, Strasbourg
Spain 1982 11-Jul-1982 3 Final Italy
Prob to win: 68.01%
Game ELO: 2105 -> 2188 ( + 83)
3 - 1
West Germany
Prob to win: 31.99%
Game ELO: 2140 -> 2057 ( -83)
West Germany loss: expected
Madrid Jupp Derwall
Spain 1982 08-Jul-1982 3 Semi Finals West Germany
Prob to win: 68.63%
Game ELO: 2105 -> 2140 ( + 35)
3 - 3 (aet)
5 - 4 (pen)
France
Prob to win: 31.37%
Game ELO: 2001 -> 1966 ( -35)
West Germany win: expected
Seville Jupp Derwall
Spain 1982 02-Jul-1982 2 Group B West Germany
Prob to win: 76.70%
Game ELO: 2086 -> 2105 ( + 19)
2 - 1
Spain
Prob to win: 23.30%
Game ELO: 1838 -> 1819 ( -19)
West Germany win: expected
Estadio Santiago Bernabéu, Madrid Jupp Derwall
Spain 1982 29-Jun-1982 2 Group B West Germany
Prob to win: 52.01%
Game ELO: 2089 -> 2086 ( -3)
0 - 0
England
Prob to win: 47.99%
Game ELO: 2071 -> 2074 ( + 3)
West Germany draw: upset (win expected)
Estadio Santiago Bernabéu, Madrid Jupp Derwall
Spain 1982 25-Jun-1982 1 Group 2 West Germany
Prob to win: 74.25%
Game ELO: 2049 -> 2089 ( + 40)
1 - 0
Austria
Prob to win: 25.75%
Game ELO: 1982 -> 1942 ( -40)
West Germany win: expected
El Molinón, Gijón Jupp Derwall
Spain 1982 20-Jun-1982 1 Group 2 West Germany
Prob to win: 90.91%
Game ELO: 2015 -> 2049 ( + 34)
4 - 1
Chile
Prob to win: 9.09%
Game ELO: 1741 -> 1707 ( -34)
West Germany win: expected
El Molinón, Gijón Jupp Derwall
Spain 1982 16-Jun-1982 1 Group 2 West Germany
Prob to win: 85.05%
Game ELO: 2108 -> 2015 ( -93)
1 - 2
Algeria
Prob to win: 14.95%
Game ELO: 1647 -> 1740 ( + 93)
West Germany loss: upset (win expected)
El Molinón, Gijón Jupp Derwall
Euro 1980 22-Jun-1980 20:30 2 Final Belgium
Prob to win: 34.03%
Game ELO: 0 -> 1003 ( + 1003)
1 - 2
West Germany
Prob to win: 65.97%
Game ELO: 0 -> 1118 ( + 1118)
West Germany win: expected
Stadio Olimpico, Rome
Euro 1980 17-Jun-1980 20:30 1 Group A Greece
Prob to win: 22.59%
Game ELO: 875 -> 904 ( + 29)
0 - 0
West Germany
Prob to win: 77.41%
Game ELO: 1100 -> 1071 ( -29)
West Germany draw: upset (win expected)
Stadio Comunale, Turin
Euro 1980 14-Jun-1980 17:45 1 Group A West Germany
Prob to win: 65.84%
Game ELO: 1050 -> 1100 ( + 50)
3 - 2
Netherlands
Prob to win: 34.16%
Game ELO: 1050 -> 1000 ( -50)
West Germany win: expected
Stadio San Paolo, Naples
Euro 1980 11-Jun-1980 17:45 1 Group A Czechoslovakia
Prob to win: 43.84%
Game ELO: 0 -> 950 ( + 950)
0 - 1
West Germany
Prob to win: 56.16%
Game ELO: 0 -> 1050 ( + 1050)
West Germany win: expected
Stadio Olimpico, Rome
Argentina 1978 21-Jun-1978 2 Group A Austria
Prob to win: 31.12%
Game ELO: 1771 -> 1857 ( + 86)
3 - 2
West Germany
Prob to win: 68.88%
Game ELO: 2081 -> 1995 ( -86)
West Germany loss: upset (win expected)
Estadio Chateau Carreras, Córdoba Helmut Schön
Argentina 1978 18-Jun-1978 2 Group A Netherlands
Prob to win: 63.34%
Game ELO: 2138 -> 2128 ( -10)
2 - 2
West Germany
Prob to win: 36.66%
Game ELO: 2071 -> 2081 ( + 10)
West Germany draw: upset (loss expected)
Estadio Chateau Carreras, Córdoba Helmut Schön
Argentina 1978 14-Jun-1978 2 Group A Italy
Prob to win: 52.59%
Game ELO: 2077 -> 2076 ( -1)
0 - 0
West Germany
Prob to win: 47.41%
Game ELO: 2070 -> 2071 ( + 1)
West Germany draw: upset (loss expected)
Estadio Monumental, Buenos Aires Helmut Schön
Argentina 1978 10-Jun-1978 1 Group 2 West Germany
Prob to win: 76.39%
Game ELO: 2109 -> 2070 ( -39)
0 - 0
Tunisia
Prob to win: 23.61%
Game ELO: 1752 -> 1791 ( + 39)
West Germany draw: upset (win expected)
Estadio Olímpico Chateau Carreras, Córdoba Helmut Schön
Argentina 1978 06-Jun-1978 1 Group 2 West Germany
Prob to win: 88.65%
Game ELO: 2074 -> 2109 ( + 35)
6 - 0
Mexico
Prob to win: 11.35%
Game ELO: 1694 -> 1659 ( -35)
West Germany win: expected
Estadio Chateau Carreras, Córdoba Helmut Schön
Argentina 1978 01-Jun-1978 1 Group 2 West Germany
Prob to win: 60.90%
Game ELO: 2096 -> 2074 ( -22)
0 - 0
Poland
Prob to win: 39.10%
Game ELO: 1929 -> 1951 ( + 22)
West Germany draw: upset (win expected)
Estadio Monumental, Buenos Aires Helmut Schön
Euro 1976 20-Jun-1976 20:15 1 Final Czechoslovakia
Prob to win: 70.34%
Game ELO: 1075 -> 1150 ( + 75)
2 - 2 (aet)
5 - 3 (pen)
West Germany
Prob to win: 29.66%
Game ELO: 1075 -> 1000 ( -75)
West Germany loss: expected
Red Star Stadium, Belgrade
Euro 1976 17-Jun-1976 20:15 1 Semi Finals Yugoslavia
Prob to win: 32.75%
Game ELO: 0 -> 925 ( + 925)
2 - 4 (aet)
West Germany
Prob to win: 67.25%
Game ELO: 0 -> 1075 ( + 1075)
West Germany win: expected
Red Star Stadium, Belgrade
West Germany 1974 07-Jul-1974 3 Final Netherlands
Prob to win: 38.41%
Game ELO: 2228 -> 2175 ( -53)
1 - 2
West Germany
Prob to win: 61.59%
Game ELO: 2204 -> 2257 ( + 53)
West Germany win: expected
Olympiastadion, Munich Helmut Schön
West Germany 1974 03-Jul-1974 2 Group B Poland
Prob to win: 33.13%
Game ELO: 2135 -> 2088 ( -47)
0 - 1
West Germany
Prob to win: 66.87%
Game ELO: 2157 -> 2204 ( + 47)
West Germany win: expected
Waldstadion, Frankfurt Helmut Schön
West Germany 1974 30-Jun-1974 2 Group B West Germany
Prob to win: 86.98%
Game ELO: 2124 -> 2157 ( + 33)
4 - 2
Sweden
Prob to win: 13.02%
Game ELO: 1903 -> 1870 ( -33)
West Germany win: expected
Rheinstadion, Düsseldorf Helmut Schön
West Germany 1974 26-Jun-1974 2 Group B Yugoslavia
Prob to win: 9.28%
Game ELO: 2011 -> 1947 ( -64)
0 - 2
West Germany
Prob to win: 90.72%
Game ELO: 2060 -> 2124 ( + 64)
West Germany win: expected
Rheinstadion, Düsseldorf Helmut Schön
West Germany 1974 22-Jun-1974 1 Group 1 East Germany
Prob to win: 11.71%
Game ELO: 1943 -> 2018 ( + 75)
1 - 0
West Germany
Prob to win: 88.29%
Game ELO: 2135 -> 2060 ( -75)
West Germany loss: upset (win expected)
Volksparkstadion, Hamburg Helmut Schön
West Germany 1974 18-Jun-1974 1 Group 1 Australia
Prob to win: 3.28%
Game ELO: 1663 -> 1650 ( -13)
0 - 3
West Germany
Prob to win: 96.72%
Game ELO: 2122 -> 2135 ( + 13)
West Germany win: expected
Volksparkstadion, Hamburg Helmut Schön
West Germany 1974 14-Jun-1974 1 Group 1 West Germany
Prob to win: 94.16%
Game ELO: 2109 -> 2122 ( + 13)
1 - 0
Chile
Prob to win: 5.84%
Game ELO: 1780 -> 1767 ( -13)
West Germany win: expected
Olympiastadion, West Berlin Helmut Schön
Euro 1972 18-Jun-1972 16:00 1 3rd Place West Germany
Prob to win: 50.00%
Game ELO: 0 -> 0 ( + 0)
3 - 0
Soviet Union
Prob to win: 50.00%
Game ELO: 0 -> 0 ( + 0)
West Germany win: expected
Heysel Stadium, Brussels
Euro 1972 14-Jun-1972 20:00 1 Semi Finals Belgium
Prob to win: 50.00%
Game ELO: 0 -> 0 ( + 0)
1 - 2
West Germany
Prob to win: 50.00%
Game ELO: 0 -> 0 ( + 0)
West Germany win: expected
Bosuilstadion, Antwerp
Mexico 1970 20-Jun-1970 2 3rd Place Uruguay
Prob to win: 20.92%
Game ELO: 1888 -> 1861 ( -27)
0 - 1
West Germany
Prob to win: 79.08%
Game ELO: 2065 -> 2092 ( + 27)
West Germany win: expected
Mexico City Helmut Schön
Mexico 1970 17-Jun-1970 2 Semi Finals Italy
Prob to win: 41.17%
Game ELO: 2039 -> 2101 ( + 62)
4 - 3 (aet)
West Germany
Prob to win: 58.83%
Game ELO: 2127 -> 2065 ( -62)
West Germany loss: upset (win expected)
Mexico City Helmut Schön
Mexico 1970 14-Jun-1970 2 Quarter Finals West Germany
Prob to win: 61.59%
Game ELO: 2080 -> 2127 ( + 47)
3 - 2 (aet)
England
Prob to win: 38.41%
Game ELO: 2057 -> 2010 ( -47)
West Germany win: expected
León Helmut Schön
Mexico 1970 10-Jun-1970 1 Group 4 West Germany
Prob to win: 84.98%
Game ELO: 2043 -> 2080 ( + 37)
3 - 1
Peru
Prob to win: 15.02%
Game ELO: 1846 -> 1809 ( -37)
West Germany win: expected
Estadio Nou Camp, León Helmut Schön
Mexico 1970 07-Jun-1970 1 Group 4 West Germany
Prob to win: 90.81%
Game ELO: 2006 -> 2043 ( + 37)
5 - 2
Bulgaria
Prob to win: 9.19%
Game ELO: 1746 -> 1709 ( -37)
West Germany win: expected
Estadio Nou Camp, León Helmut Schön
Mexico 1970 03-Jun-1970 1 Group 4 West Germany
Prob to win: 93.94%
Game ELO: 1991 -> 2006 ( + 15)
2 - 1
Morocco
Prob to win: 6.06%
Game ELO: 1687 -> 1672 ( -15)
West Germany win: expected
Estadio Nou Camp, León Helmut Schön
England 1966 30-Jul-1966 2 Final England
Prob to win: 66.87%
Game ELO: 2140 -> 2226 ( + 86)
4 - 2 (aet)
West Germany
Prob to win: 33.13%
Game ELO: 2190 -> 2104 ( -86)
West Germany loss: expected
London Helmut Schön
England 1966 25-Jul-1966 2 Semi Finals West Germany
Prob to win: 59.94%
Game ELO: 2139 -> 2190 ( + 51)
2 - 1
Soviet Union
Prob to win: 40.06%
Game ELO: 2143 -> 2092 ( -51)
West Germany win: expected
Liverpool Helmut Schön
England 1966 23-Jul-1966 2 Quarter Finals West Germany
Prob to win: 86.45%
Game ELO: 2032 -> 2139 ( + 107)
4 - 0
Uruguay
Prob to win: 13.55%
Game ELO: 1889 -> 1782 ( -107)
West Germany win: expected
Sheffield Helmut Schön
England 1966 20-Jul-1966 1 Group 2 West Germany
Prob to win: 82.22%
Game ELO: 2000 -> 2032 ( + 32)
2 - 1
Spain
Prob to win: 17.78%
Game ELO: 1870 -> 1838 ( -32)
West Germany win: expected
Villa Park, Birmingham Helmut Schön
England 1966 16-Jul-1966 1 Group 2 Argentina
Prob to win: 32.12%
Game ELO: 2011 -> 2009 ( -2)
0 - 0
West Germany
Prob to win: 67.88%
Game ELO: 1998 -> 2000 ( + 2)
West Germany draw: upset (win expected)
Villa Park, Birmingham Helmut Schön
England 1966 12-Jul-1966 1 Group 2 West Germany
Prob to win: 95.79%
Game ELO: 1946 -> 1998 ( + 52)
5 - 0
Switzerland
Prob to win: 4.21%
Game ELO: 1642 -> 1590 ( -52)
West Germany win: expected
Hillsborough Stadium, Sheffield Helmut Schön
Chile 1962 10-Jun-1962 2 Quarter Finals West Germany
Prob to win: 55.02%
Game ELO: 1980 -> 1933 ( -47)
0 - 1
Yugoslavia
Prob to win: 44.98%
Game ELO: 2003 -> 2050 ( + 47)
West Germany loss: upset (win expected)
Santiago Sepp Herberger
Chile 1962 06-Jun-1962 1 Group 2 West Germany
Prob to win: 48.99%
Game ELO: 1908 -> 1980 ( + 72)
2 - 0
Chile
Prob to win: 51.01%
Game ELO: 1895 -> 1823 ( -72)
West Germany win: upset (loss expected)
Estadio Nacional, Santiago Sepp Herberger
Chile 1962 03-Jun-1962 1 Group 2 West Germany
Prob to win: 89.27%
Game ELO: 1888 -> 1908 ( + 20)
2 - 1
Switzerland
Prob to win: 10.73%
Game ELO: 1645 -> 1625 ( -20)
West Germany win: expected
Estadio Nacional, Santiago Sepp Herberger
Chile 1962 31-May-1962 1 Group 2 West Germany
Prob to win: 64.01%
Game ELO: 1894 -> 1888 ( -6)
0 - 0
Italy
Prob to win: 35.99%
Game ELO: 1853 -> 1859 ( + 6)
West Germany draw: upset (win expected)
Estadio Nacional, Santiago Sepp Herberger
Sweden 1958 28-Jun-1958 2 3rd Place West Germany
Prob to win: 21.59%
Game ELO: 1932 -> 1849 ( -83)
3 - 6
France
Prob to win: 78.41%
Game ELO: 1990 -> 2073 ( + 83)
West Germany loss: expected
Gothenburg Sepp Herberger
Sweden 1958 24-Jun-1958 2 Semi Finals West Germany
Prob to win: 26.98%
Game ELO: 2004 -> 1932 ( -72)
1 - 3
Sweden
Prob to win: 73.02%
Game ELO: 2017 -> 2089 ( + 72)
West Germany loss: expected
Gothenburg Sepp Herberger
Sweden 1958 19-Jun-1958 2 Quarter Finals West Germany
Prob to win: 46.55%
Game ELO: 1960 -> 2004 ( + 44)
1 - 0
Yugoslavia
Prob to win: 53.45%
Game ELO: 1917 -> 1873 ( -44)
West Germany win: upset (loss expected)
Malmö Sepp Herberger
Sweden 1958 15-Jun-1958 19:00 1 Group 1 West Germany
Prob to win: 66.74%
Game ELO: 1989 -> 1960 ( -29)
2 - 2
Northern Ireland
Prob to win: 33.26%
Game ELO: 1756 -> 1785 ( + 29)
West Germany draw: upset (win expected)
Malmö Stadion, Malmö Sepp Herberger
Sweden 1958 11-Jun-1958 19:00 1 Group 1 West Germany
Prob to win: 29.42%
Game ELO: 2015 -> 1989 ( -26)
2 - 2
Czechoslovakia
Prob to win: 70.58%
Game ELO: 1816 -> 1842 ( + 26)
West Germany draw: upset (loss expected)
Olympiastadion, Helsingborg Sepp Herberger
Sweden 1958 08-Jun-1958 19:00 1 Group 1 West Germany
Prob to win: 64.80%
Game ELO: 1913 -> 2015 ( + 102)
3 - 1
Argentina
Prob to win: 35.20%
Game ELO: 2043 -> 1941 ( -102)
West Germany win: expected
Malmö Stadion, Malmö Sepp Herberger
Switzerland 1954 04-Jul-1954 2 Final Hungary
Prob to win: 44.84%
Game ELO: 2328 -> 2265 ( -63)
2 - 3
West Germany
Prob to win: 55.16%
Game ELO: 2238 -> 2301 ( + 63)
West Germany win: expected
Bern Sepp Herberger
Switzerland 1954 30-Jun-1954 2 Semi Finals West Germany
Prob to win: 84.90%
Game ELO: 2082 -> 2238 ( + 156)
6 - 1
Austria
Prob to win: 15.10%
Game ELO: 2044 -> 1888 ( -156)
West Germany win: expected
Basel Sepp Herberger
Switzerland 1954 27-Jun-1954 2 Quarter Finals Yugoslavia
Prob to win: 9.48%
Game ELO: 1976 -> 1909 ( -67)
0 - 2
West Germany
Prob to win: 90.52%
Game ELO: 2015 -> 2082 ( + 67)
West Germany win: expected
Geneva Sepp Herberger
Switzerland 1954 23-Jun-1954 1 Group 2 Playoff West Germany
Prob to win: 97.51%
Game ELO: 1881 -> 2015 ( + 134)
7 - 2
Turkey
Prob to win: 2.49%
Game ELO: 1798 -> 1664 ( -134)
West Germany win: expected
Hardturm Stadium, Zürich Sepp Herberger
Switzerland 1954 20-Jun-1954 1 Group 2 Hungary
Prob to win: 44.84%
Game ELO: 2164 -> 2248 ( + 84)
8 - 3
West Germany
Prob to win: 55.16%
Game ELO: 1965 -> 1881 ( -84)
West Germany loss: upset (win expected)
St. Jakob Stadium, Basel Sepp Herberger
Switzerland 1954 17-Jun-1954 1 Group 2 West Germany
Prob to win: 97.51%
Game ELO: 1938 -> 1965 ( + 27)
4 - 1
Turkey
Prob to win: 2.49%
Game ELO: 1618 -> 1591 ( -27)
West Germany win: expected
Wankdorf Stadium, Bern Sepp Herberger