Sweden details

Sweden

Statistics:
  • Games: 76
  • Expected results: 35 (50.72%)
  • Unexpected results: 34 (49.28%)
  • Unknown games: 7
  • Record: 25 Won, 26 Lost, 18 Drawn, 7 Unknown
  • Last five games: LWWDL
  • Expected wins: 16 (23.19%)
  • Expected losses: 19 (27.54%)
  • Unexpected wins: 9 (13.04%)
  • Unexpected losses: 7 (10.14%)
  • Unexpected draws: 18 (26.09%)
  • Wins (+1pt for expected, +3 for unexpected): 43
  • Losses (-1pt for expected, -3 for unexpected): -40
  • Draws (-1pt if fav, +1pt if underdog): 18
  • Total: 21

Tournament Game Time Round Group Name Score Odds Analysis Location Coach
Euro 2020 29-Jun-2021 21:00 2 Top 16
Prob to win: 55.02%
Game ELO: 1849
-> 1859 (+10)
1 - 2 (aet)
Prob to win: 44.98%
Game ELO: 1814
-> 1822 (+8)
Sweden loss: upset (win expected)
Hampden Park, Glasgow
Euro 2020 23-Jun-2021 18:00 1 Group E
Prob to win: 69.37%
Game ELO: 1903
-> 1934 (+31)
3 - 2
Prob to win: 30.63%
Game ELO: 1761
-> 1730 (-31)
Sweden win: expected
Krestovsky Stadium, Saint Petersburg
Euro 2020 18-Jun-2021 15:00 1 Group E
Prob to win: 70.10%
Game ELO: 1873
-> 1903 (+30)
1 - 0
Prob to win: 29.90%
Game ELO: 1725
-> 1695 (-30)
Sweden win: expected
Krestovsky Stadium, Saint Petersburg
Euro 2020 14-Jun-2021 21:00 1 Group E
Prob to win: 74.25%
Game ELO: 2033
-> 2009 (-24)
0 - 0
Prob to win: 25.75%
Game ELO: 1849
-> 1873 (+24)
Sweden draw: upset (loss expected)
La Cartuja, Seville
Russia 2018 7-Jul-2018 18:00 2 Quarter Finals
Prob to win: 61.99%
Game ELO: 1992
-> 1899 (-93)
0 - 2
Prob to win: 38.01%
Game ELO: 1907
-> 2000 (+93)
Sweden loss: upset (win expected)
Cosmos Arena, Samara
Russia 2018 3-Jul-2018 17:00 2 Top 16
Prob to win: 53.02%
Game ELO: 1945
-> 1992 (+47)
1 - 0
Prob to win: 46.98%
Game ELO: 1924
-> 1877 (-47)
Sweden win: expected
Krestovsky Stadium, Saint Petersburg
Russia 2018 27-Jun-2018 15:00 1 Group F
Prob to win: 69.37%
Game ELO: 1948
-> 1809 (-139)
0 - 3
Prob to win: 30.63%
Game ELO: 1806
-> 1945 (+139)
Sweden win: upset (loss expected)
Central Stadium, Yekaterinburg
Russia 2018 23-Jun-2018 16:00 1 Group F
Prob to win: 71.99%
Game ELO: 1998
-> 2026 (+28)
2 - 1
Prob to win: 28.01%
Game ELO: 1834
-> 1806 (-28)
Sweden loss: expected
Fisht Olympic Stadium, Sochi
Russia 2018 18-Jun-2018 13:00 1 Group F
Prob to win: 61.45%
Game ELO: 1795
-> 1834 (+39)
1 - 0
Prob to win: 38.55%
Game ELO: 1714
-> 1675 (-39)
Sweden win: expected
Nizhny Novgorod Stadium, Nizhny Novgorod
Euro 2016 22-Jun-2016 21:00 1 Group E
Prob to win: 26.52%
Game ELO: 1739
-> 1712 (-27)
0 - 1
Prob to win: 73.48%
Game ELO: 1916
-> 1943 (+27)
Sweden loss: expected
Stade de Nice, Nice
Euro 2016 17-Jun-2016 15:00 1 Group E
Prob to win: 75.66%
Game ELO: 1960
-> 1984 (+24)
1 - 0
Prob to win: 24.34%
Game ELO: 1763
-> 1739 (-24)
Sweden loss: expected
Stadium Municipal, Toulouse
Euro 2016 13-Jun-2016 18:00 1 Group E
Prob to win: 49.14%
Game ELO: 1758
-> 1759 (+1)
1 - 1
Prob to win: 50.86%
Game ELO: 1764
-> 1763 (-1)
Sweden draw: upset (win expected)
Stade de France, Saint-Denis
Euro 2012 19-Jun-2012 21:45 1 Group D
Prob to win: 26.30%
Game ELO: 907
-> 1018 (+111)
2 - 0
Prob to win: 73.70%
Game ELO: 1086
-> 975 (-111)
Sweden win: upset (loss expected)
Olympic Stadium, Kyiv
Euro 2012 15-Jun-2012 22:00 1 Group D
Prob to win: 42.85%
Game ELO: 950
-> 907 (-43)
2 - 3
Prob to win: 57.15%
Game ELO: 1000
-> 1043 (+43)
Sweden loss: expected
Olympic Stadium, Kyiv
Euro 2012 11-Jun-2012 21:45 1 Group D
Game ELO:
-> 1050 ()
2 - 1
Game ELO:
-> 950 ()
Olympic Stadium, Kyiv
Euro 2008 18-Jun-2008 20:45 1 Group D
Prob to win: 39.37%
Game ELO: 954
-> 1045 (+91)
2 - 0
Prob to win: 60.63%
Game ELO: 1029
-> 938 (-91)
Sweden loss: upset (win expected)
Tivoli-Neu, Innsbruck
Euro 2008 14-Jun-2008 18:00 1 Group D
Prob to win: 46.41%
Game ELO: 1075
-> 1029 (-46)
1 - 2
Prob to win: 53.59%
Game ELO: 1100
-> 1146 (+46)
Sweden loss: expected
Tivoli-Neu, Innsbruck
Euro 2008 10-Jun-2008 20:45 1 Group D
Game ELO:
-> 925 ()
0 - 2
Game ELO:
-> 1075 ()
Stadion Wals-Siezenheim, Salzburg
Germany 2006 24-Jun-2006 2 Top 16
Prob to win: 69.86%
Game ELO: 2033
-> 2078 (+45)
2 - 0
Prob to win: 30.14%
Game ELO: 1887
-> 1842 (-45)
Sweden loss: expected
Munich Lars Lagerbäck
Germany 2006 20-Jun-2006 1 Group B
Prob to win: 30.27%
Game ELO: 1867
-> 1887 (+20)
2 - 2
Prob to win: 69.73%
Game ELO: 2012
-> 1992 (-20)
Sweden draw: upset (loss expected)
Lars Lagerbäck
Germany 2006 15-Jun-2006 1 Group B
Prob to win: 60.35%
Game ELO: 1827
-> 1867 (+40)
1 - 0
Prob to win: 39.65%
Game ELO: 1754
-> 1714 (-40)
Sweden win: expected
Lars Lagerbäck
Germany 2006 10-Jun-2006 1 Group B
Prob to win: 15.55%
Game ELO: 1567
-> 1601 (+34)
0 - 0
Prob to win: 84.45%
Game ELO: 1861
-> 1827 (-34)
Sweden draw: upset (win expected)
Lars Lagerbäck
Euro 2004 26-Jun-2004 19:45 2 Quarter Finals
Game ELO:
-> 1075 ()
0 - 0 (aet)
4 - 5 (pen)
Game ELO:
-> 1118 ()
Estádio Algarve, Faro/Loulé
Euro 2004 22-Jun-2004 19:45 1 Group C
Prob to win: 34.42%
Game ELO: 1040
-> 1056 (+16)
2 - 2
Prob to win: 65.58%
Game ELO: 1152
-> 1136 (-16)
Sweden draw: upset (win expected)
Estádio do Bessa, Porto
Euro 2004 18-Jun-2004 19:45 1 Group C
Prob to win: 26.75%
Game ELO: 1000
-> 1023 (+23)
1 - 1
Prob to win: 73.25%
Game ELO: 1175
-> 1152 (-23)
Sweden draw: upset (win expected)
Estádio do Dragão, Porto
Euro 2004 14-Jun-2004 19:45 1 Group C
Game ELO:
-> 1175 ()
5 - 0
Game ELO:
-> 825 ()
Estádio José Alvalade, Lisbon
Korea/ Japan 2002 16-Jun-2002 2 Top 16
Prob to win: 64.67%
Game ELO: 1915
-> 1850 (-65)
1 - 2 (aet)
Prob to win: 35.33%
Game ELO: 1810
-> 1875 (+65)
Sweden loss: upset (win expected)
Oita Lars Lagerbäck and Tommy Söderberg
Korea/ Japan 2002 12-Jun-2002 1 Group F
Prob to win: 40.89%
Game ELO: 1906
-> 1915 (+9)
1 - 1
Prob to win: 59.11%
Game ELO: 1970
-> 1961 (-9)
Sweden draw: upset (loss expected)
Miyagi Stadium, Miyagi Lars Lagerbäck and Tommy Söderberg
Korea/ Japan 2002 7-Jun-2002 1 Group F
Prob to win: 67.00%
Game ELO: 1873
-> 1906 (+33)
2 - 1
Prob to win: 33.00%
Game ELO: 1750
-> 1717 (-33)
Sweden win: expected
Kobe Wing Stadium, Kobe Lars Lagerbäck and Tommy Söderberg
Korea/ Japan 2002 2-Jun-2002 1 Group F
Prob to win: 58.69%
Game ELO: 1925
-> 1916 (-9)
1 - 1
Prob to win: 41.31%
Game ELO: 1864
-> 1873 (+9)
Sweden draw: upset (loss expected)
Saitama Stadium, Saitama Lars Lagerbäck and Tommy Söderberg
Euro 2000 19-Jun-2000 20:45 1 Group B
Prob to win: 73.25%
Game ELO: 1125
-> 1152 (+27)
2 - 1
Prob to win: 26.75%
Game ELO: 950
-> 923 (-27)
Sweden loss: expected
Philips Stadion, Eindhoven
Euro 2000 15-Jun-2000 20:45 1 Group B
Prob to win: 50.00%
Game ELO: 950
-> 950 (+0)
0 - 0
Prob to win: 50.00%
Game ELO: 950
-> 950 (+0)
Sweden draw: upset (win expected)
Philips Stadion, Eindhoven
Euro 2000 10-Jun-2000 20:45 1 Group B
Game ELO:
-> 1050 ()
2 - 1
Game ELO:
-> 950 ()
King Baudouin Stadium, Brussels
USA 1994 16-Jul-1994 2 3rd Place
Prob to win: 48.99%
Game ELO: 1901
-> 2080 (+179)
4 - 0
Prob to win: 51.01%
Game ELO: 1908
-> 1729 (-179)
Sweden win: upset (loss expected)
Pasadena Tommy Svensson
USA 1994 13-Jul-1994 2 Semi Finals
Prob to win: 28.47%
Game ELO: 1929
-> 1901 (-28)
0 - 1
Prob to win: 71.53%
Game ELO: 2089
-> 2117 (+28)
Sweden loss: expected
Pasadena Tommy Svensson
USA 1994 10-Jul-1994 2 Quarter Finals
Prob to win: 37.46%
Game ELO: 1903
-> 1966 (+63)
2 - 2 (aet)
4 - 5 (pen)
Prob to win: 62.54%
Game ELO: 1992
-> 1929 (-63)
Sweden win: expected
Stanford Tommy Svensson
USA 1994 3-Jul-1994 2 Top 16
Prob to win: 24.45%
Game ELO: 1759
-> 1722 (-37)
1 - 3
Prob to win: 75.55%
Game ELO: 1955
-> 1992 (+37)
Sweden win: expected
Dallas Tommy Svensson
USA 1994 28-Jun-1994 1 Group B
Prob to win: 64.93%
Game ELO: 2047
-> 2032 (-15)
1 - 1
Prob to win: 35.07%
Game ELO: 1940
-> 1955 (+15)
Sweden draw: upset (loss expected)
Pontiac Silverdome, Pontiac Tommy Svensson
USA 1994 24-Jun-1994 1 Group B
Prob to win: 59.66%
Game ELO: 1879
-> 1940 (+61)
3 - 1
Prob to win: 40.34%
Game ELO: 1811
-> 1750 (-61)
Sweden win: expected
Pontiac Silverdome, Pontiac Tommy Svensson
USA 1994 19-Jun-1994 1 Group B
Prob to win: 21.79%
Game ELO: 1685
-> 1713 (+28)
2 - 2
Prob to win: 78.21%
Game ELO: 1907
-> 1879 (-28)
Sweden draw: upset (win expected)
Rose Bowl, Pasadena Tommy Svensson
Euro 1992 21-Jun-1992 20:15 2 Semi Finals
Game ELO:
-> 1028 ()
2 - 3
Game ELO:
-> 1049 ()
Råsunda Stadium, Solna
Euro 1992 17-Jun-1992 20:15 1 Group A
Prob to win: 57.15%
Game ELO: 1050
-> 1093 (+43)
2 - 1
Prob to win: 42.85%
Game ELO: 1000
-> 957 (-43)
Sweden win: expected
Råsunda Stadium, Solna
Euro 1992 14-Jun-1992 20:15 1 Group A
Prob to win: 50.00%
Game ELO: 1000
-> 1050 (+50)
1 - 0
Prob to win: 50.00%
Game ELO: 1000
-> 950 (-50)
Sweden win: expected
Råsunda Stadium, Solna
Euro 1992 10-Jun-1992 20:15 1 Group A
Game ELO:
-> 1000 ()
1 - 1
Game ELO:
-> 1000 ()
Råsunda Stadium, Solna
Italy 1990 20-Jun-1990 1 Group C
Prob to win: 71.64%
Game ELO: 1829
-> 1757 (-72)
1 - 2
Prob to win: 28.36%
Game ELO: 1668
-> 1740 (+72)
Sweden loss: upset (win expected)
Stadio Luigi Ferraris, Genoa Olle Nordin
Italy 1990 16-Jun-1990 1 Group C
Prob to win: 79.74%
Game ELO: 1909
-> 1829 (-80)
1 - 2
Prob to win: 20.26%
Game ELO: 1671
-> 1751 (+80)
Sweden loss: upset (win expected)
Stadio Luigi Ferraris, Genoa Olle Nordin
Italy 1990 10-Jun-1990 1 Group C
Prob to win: 55.16%
Game ELO: 1990
-> 2035 (+45)
2 - 1
Prob to win: 44.84%
Game ELO: 1954
-> 1909 (-45)
Sweden loss: expected
Stadio Delle Alpi, Turin Olle Nordin
Argentina 1978 11-Jun-1978 1 Group 3
Prob to win: 67.38%
Game ELO: 1915
-> 1948 (+33)
1 - 0
Prob to win: 32.62%
Game ELO: 1789
-> 1756 (-33)
Sweden loss: expected
Estadio José Amalfitani, Buenos Aires Georg Ericson
Argentina 1978 7-Jun-1978 1 Group 3
Prob to win: 63.87%
Game ELO: 1924
-> 1960 (+36)
1 - 0
Prob to win: 36.13%
Game ELO: 1825
-> 1789 (-36)
Sweden loss: expected
Estadio José Amalfitani, Buenos Aires Georg Ericson
Argentina 1978 3-Jun-1978 1 Group 3
Prob to win: 83.92%
Game ELO: 2078
-> 2044 (-34)
1 - 1
Prob to win: 16.08%
Game ELO: 1791
-> 1825 (+34)
Sweden draw: upset (loss expected)
Estadio José Maria Minella, Mar del Plata Georg Ericson
West Germany 1974 3-Jul-1974 2 Group B
Prob to win: 43.14%
Game ELO: 1870
-> 1927 (+57)
2 - 1
Prob to win: 56.86%
Game ELO: 1918
-> 1861 (-57)
Sweden win: upset (loss expected)
Rheinstadion, Düsseldorf Georg Ericson
West Germany 1974 30-Jun-1974 2 Group B
Prob to win: 78.11%
Game ELO: 2124
-> 2157 (+33)
4 - 2
Prob to win: 21.89%
Game ELO: 1903
-> 1870 (-33)
Sweden loss: expected
Rheinstadion, Düsseldorf Georg Ericson
West Germany 1974 26-Jun-1974 2 Group B
Prob to win: 30.75%
Game ELO: 1934
-> 1903 (-31)
0 - 1
Prob to win: 69.25%
Game ELO: 2075
-> 2106 (+31)
Sweden loss: expected
Neckarstadion, Stuttgart Georg Ericson
West Germany 1974 23-Jun-1974 1 Group 3
Prob to win: 71.64%
Game ELO: 1877
-> 1934 (+57)
3 - 0
Prob to win: 28.36%
Game ELO: 1716
-> 1659 (-57)
Sweden win: expected
Rheinstadion, Düsseldorf Georg Ericson
West Germany 1974 19-Jun-1974 1 Group 3
Prob to win: 53.16%
Game ELO: 1896
-> 1893 (-3)
0 - 0
Prob to win: 46.84%
Game ELO: 1874
-> 1877 (+3)
Sweden draw: upset (loss expected)
Westfalenstadion, Dortmund Georg Ericson
West Germany 1974 15-Jun-1974 1 Group 3
Prob to win: 59.11%
Game ELO: 1883
-> 1874 (-9)
0 - 0
Prob to win: 40.89%
Game ELO: 1819
-> 1828 (+9)
Sweden draw: upset (win expected)
Rheinstadion, Düsseldorf Georg Ericson
Mexico 1970 10-Jun-1970 1 Group 2
Prob to win: 33.64%
Game ELO: 1790
-> 1856 (+66)
1 - 0
Prob to win: 66.36%
Game ELO: 1908
-> 1842 (-66)
Sweden win: upset (loss expected)
Estadio Cuauhtémoc, Puebla Orvar Bergmark
Mexico 1970 7-Jun-1970 1 Group 2
Prob to win: 25.86%
Game ELO: 1631
-> 1655 (+24)
1 - 1
Prob to win: 74.14%
Game ELO: 1814
-> 1790 (-24)
Sweden draw: upset (win expected)
Estadio Luis Dosal, Toluca Orvar Bergmark
Mexico 1970 3-Jun-1970 1 Group 2
Prob to win: 71.99%
Game ELO: 2006
-> 2034 (+28)
1 - 0
Prob to win: 28.01%
Game ELO: 1842
-> 1814 (-28)
Sweden loss: expected
Estadio Luis Dosal, Toluca Orvar Bergmark
Sweden 1958 29-Jun-1958 2 Final
Prob to win: 33.51%
Game ELO: 2089
-> 2022 (-67)
2 - 5
Prob to win: 66.49%
Game ELO: 2208
-> 2275 (+67)
Sweden loss: expected
Solna  George Raynor
Sweden 1958 24-Jun-1958 2 Semi Finals
Prob to win: 48.13%
Game ELO: 2004
-> 1932 (-72)
1 - 3
Prob to win: 51.87%
Game ELO: 2017
-> 2089 (+72)
Sweden win: expected
Gothenburg  George Raynor
Sweden 1958 19-Jun-1958 2 Quarter Finals
Prob to win: 46.27%
Game ELO: 1936
-> 2017 (+81)
2 - 0
Prob to win: 53.73%
Game ELO: 1962
-> 1881 (-81)
Sweden win: upset (loss expected)
Solna  George Raynor
Sweden 1958 15-Jun-1958 1 Group 3
Prob to win: 78.21%
Game ELO: 1964
-> 1936 (-28)
0 - 0
Prob to win: 21.79%
Game ELO: 1742
-> 1770 (+28)
Sweden draw: upset (win expected)
Råsunda Stadium, Solna  George Raynor
Sweden 1958 12-Jun-1958 1 Group 3
Prob to win: 30.39%
Game ELO: 1894
-> 1964 (+70)
2 - 1
Prob to win: 69.61%
Game ELO: 2038
-> 1968 (-70)
Sweden win: upset (loss expected)
Råsunda Stadium, Solna  George Raynor
Sweden 1958 8-Jun-1958 1 Group 3
Prob to win: 53.16%
Game ELO: 1800
-> 1894 (+94)
3 - 0
Prob to win: 46.84%
Game ELO: 1778
-> 1684 (-94)
Sweden win: expected
Råsunda Stadium, Solna  George Raynor
Brazil 1950 16-Jul-1950 2 Group A
Prob to win: 37.20%
Game ELO: 1812
-> 1906 (+94)
3 - 1
Prob to win: 62.80%
Game ELO: 1903
-> 1809 (-94)
Sweden win: upset (loss expected)
Estádio do Pacaembu, São Paulo  George Raynor
Brazil 1950 13-Jul-1950 2 Group A
Prob to win: 42.57%
Game ELO: 1817
-> 1874 (+57)
3 - 2
Prob to win: 57.43%
Game ELO: 1869
-> 1812 (-57)
Sweden loss: upset (win expected)
Estádio do Pacaembu, São Paulo  George Raynor
Brazil 1950 9-Jul-1950 2 Group A
Prob to win: 62.40%
Game ELO: 2089
-> 2221 (+132)
7 - 1
Prob to win: 37.60%
Game ELO: 2001
-> 1869 (-132)
Sweden loss: expected
Estádio do Maracanã, Rio de Janeiro  George Raynor
Brazil 1950 29-Jun-1950 1 Group 3
Prob to win: 69.61%
Game ELO: 2021
-> 2001 (-20)
2 - 2
Prob to win: 30.39%
Game ELO: 1877
-> 1897 (+20)
Sweden draw: upset (win expected)
Estádio Durival Britto, Curitiba  George Raynor
Brazil 1950 25-Jun-1950 1 Group 3
Prob to win: 50.86%
Game ELO: 1972
-> 2021 (+49)
3 - 2
Prob to win: 49.14%
Game ELO: 1966
-> 1917 (-49)
Sweden win: expected
Estádio do Pacaembu, São Paulo  George Raynor
France 1938 19-Jun-1938 1 3rd Place
Prob to win: 77.62%
Game ELO: 1929
-> 1963 (+34)
4 - 2
Prob to win: 22.38%
Game ELO: 1713
-> 1679 (-34)
Sweden loss: expected
Bordeaux  József Nagy
France 1938 16-Jun-1938 1 Semi Finals
Prob to win: 74.58%
Game ELO: 1989
-> 2078 (+89)
5 - 1
Prob to win: 25.42%
Game ELO: 1802
-> 1713 (-89)
Sweden loss: expected
Paris  József Nagy
France 1938 12-Jun-1938 1 Quarter Finals
Prob to win: 57.85%
Game ELO: 1654
-> 1802 (+148)
8 - 0
Prob to win: 42.15%
Game ELO: 1599
-> 1451 (-148)
Sweden win: expected
Antibes  József Nagy
France 1938 5-Jun-1938 1 Top 16
Prob to win: 97.71%
Game ELO: 1652
-> 1654 (+2)
0 -
Prob to win: 2.29%
Game ELO: 1000
-> 998 (-2)
Sweden draw: upset (win expected)
Lyon  József Nagy
Italy 1934 31-May-1934 1 Quarter Finals
Prob to win: 52.73%
Game ELO: 1837
-> 1884 (+47)
2 - 1
Prob to win: 47.27%
Game ELO: 1818
-> 1771 (-47)
Sweden loss: expected
Milan  József Nagy
Italy 1934 27-May-1934 1 Top 16
Prob to win: 12.76%
Game ELO: 1731
-> 1818 (+87)
3 - 2
Prob to win: 87.24%
Game ELO: 2065
-> 1978 (-87)
Sweden win: upset (loss expected)
Bologna  József Nagy