Croatia details

Croatia

Statistics:
  • Games: 52
  • Expected results: 22 (50.00%)
  • Unexpected results: 22 (50.00%)
  • Unknown games: 8
  • Record: 23 Won, 14 Lost, 7 Drawn, 8 Unknown
  • Last five games: WLWWD
  • Expected wins: 15 (34.09%)
  • Expected losses: 7 (15.91%)
  • Unexpected wins: 8 (18.18%)
  • Unexpected losses: 7 (15.91%)
  • Unexpected draws: 7 (15.91%)
  • Wins (+1pt for expected, +3 for unexpected): 39
  • Losses (-1pt for expected, -3 for unexpected): -28
  • Draws (-1pt if fav, +1pt if underdog): 7
  • Total: 18

Tournament Game Time Round Group Name Score Odds Analysis Location Coach
Qatar 2022 17-Dec-2022 18:00 2 3rd Place
Prob to win: 51.44%
Game ELO: 1995
-> 2044 (+49)
2 - 1
Prob to win: 48.56%
Game ELO: 1985
-> 1936 (-49)
Croatia win: expected
Khalifa International Stadium, Al Rayyan
Qatar 2022 13-Dec-2022 22:00 2 Semi Finals
Prob to win: 64.93%
Game ELO: 2172
-> 2242 (+70)
3 - 0
Prob to win: 35.07%
Game ELO: 2065
-> 1995 (-70)
Croatia loss: expected
Lusail Iconic Stadium, Lusail
Qatar 2022 9-Dec-2022 18:00 2 Quarter Finals
Prob to win: 29.66%
Game ELO: 1995
-> 2065 (+70)
1 - 1 (aet)
4 - 2 (pen)
Prob to win: 70.34%
Game ELO: 2145
-> 2075 (-70)
Croatia win: upset (loss expected)
Education City Stadium, Al Rayyan
Qatar 2022 5-Dec-2022 18:00 2 Top 16
Prob to win: 39.10%
Game ELO: 1879
-> 1840 (-39)
1 - 1 (aet)
1 - 3 (pen)
Prob to win: 60.90%
Game ELO: 1956
-> 1995 (+39)
Croatia win: expected
Al Janoub Stadium, Al Wakrah
Qatar 2022 1-Dec-2022 18:00 1 Group F
Prob to win: 56.02%
Game ELO: 1962
-> 1956 (-6)
0 - 0
Prob to win: 43.98%
Game ELO: 1920
-> 1926 (+6)
Croatia draw: upset (win expected)
Ahmad bin Ali Stadium, Al Rayyan
Qatar 2022 27-Nov-2022 19:00 1 Group F
Prob to win: 71.17%
Game ELO: 1904
-> 1962 (+58)
4 - 1
Prob to win: 28.83%
Game ELO: 1747
-> 1689 (-58)
Croatia win: expected
Khalifa International Stadium, Al Rayyan
Qatar 2022 23-Nov-2022 13:00 1 Group F
Prob to win: 26.86%
Game ELO: 1753
-> 1776 (+23)
0 - 0
Prob to win: 73.14%
Game ELO: 1927
-> 1904 (-23)
Croatia draw: upset (win expected)
Al Bayt Stadium, Al Khor
Euro 2020 28-Jun-2021 18:00 2 Top 16
Prob to win: 23.19%
Game ELO: 1825
-> 1809 (-16)
3 - 5 (aet)
Prob to win: 76.81%
Game ELO: 2033
-> 2071 (+38)
Croatia loss: expected
Parken Stadium, Copenhagen
Euro 2020 22-Jun-2021 21:00 1 Group D
Prob to win: 68.88%
Game ELO: 1800
-> 1847 (+47)
3 - 1
Prob to win: 31.12%
Game ELO: 1662
-> 1615 (-47)
Croatia win: expected
Hampden Park, Glasgow
Euro 2020 18-Jun-2021 18:00 1 Group D
Prob to win: 45.98%
Game ELO: 1796
-> 1800 (+4)
1 - 1
Prob to win: 54.02%
Game ELO: 1824
-> 1820 (-4)
Croatia draw: upset (loss expected)
Hampden Park, Glasgow
Euro 2020 13-Jun-2021 15:00 1 Group D
Prob to win: 71.17%
Game ELO: 1982
-> 2011 (+29)
1 - 0
Prob to win: 28.83%
Game ELO: 1825
-> 1796 (-29)
Croatia loss: expected
Wembley Stadium, London
Russia 2018 15-Jul-2018 18:00 2 Final
Prob to win: 69.86%
Game ELO: 2173
-> 2218 (+45)
4 - 2
Prob to win: 30.14%
Game ELO: 2027
-> 1982 (-45)
Croatia loss: expected
Luzhniki Stadium, Moscow
Russia 2018 11-Jul-2018 21:00 2 Semi Finals
Prob to win: 46.12%
Game ELO: 1973
-> 2027 (+54)
2 - 1 (aet)
Prob to win: 53.88%
Game ELO: 2000
-> 1946 (-54)
Croatia win: upset (loss expected)
Luzhniki Stadium, Moscow
Russia 2018 7-Jul-2018 21:00 2 Quarter Finals
Prob to win: 14.45%
Game ELO: 1750
-> 1836 (+86)
2 - 2 (aet)
3 - 4 (pen)
Prob to win: 85.55%
Game ELO: 2059
-> 1973 (-86)
Croatia win: expected
Fisht Olympic Stadium, Sochi
Russia 2018 1-Jul-2018 21:00 2 Top 16
Prob to win: 66.10%
Game ELO: 2025
-> 2059 (+34)
1 - 1 (aet)
3 - 2 (pen)
Prob to win: 33.90%
Game ELO: 1909
-> 1875 (-34)
Croatia win: expected
Nizhny Novgorod Stadium, Nizhny Novgorod
Russia 2018 26-Jun-2018 19:00 1 Group D
Prob to win: 13.28%
Game ELO: 1686
-> 1673 (-13)
1 - 2
Prob to win: 86.72%
Game ELO: 2012
-> 2025 (+13)
Croatia win: expected
Rostov Arena, Rostov-on-Don
Russia 2018 21-Jun-2018 19:00 1 Group D
Prob to win: 59.11%
Game ELO: 1958
-> 1840 (-118)
0 - 3
Prob to win: 40.89%
Game ELO: 1894
-> 2012 (+118)
Croatia win: upset (loss expected)
Nizhny Novgorod Stadium, Nizhny Novgorod
Russia 2018 16-Jun-2018 20:00 1 Group D
Prob to win: 72.91%
Game ELO: 1853
-> 1894 (+41)
2 - 0
Prob to win: 27.09%
Game ELO: 1681
-> 1640 (-41)
Croatia win: expected
Kaliningrad Stadium, Kaliningrad
Euro 2016 25-Jun-2016 21:00 2 Top 16
Prob to win: 60.63%
Game ELO: 1927
-> 1866 (-61)
0 - 1 (aet)
Prob to win: 39.37%
Game ELO: 1852
-> 1913 (+61)
Croatia loss: upset (win expected)
Stade Bollaert-Delelis, Lens
Euro 2016 21-Jun-2016 21:00 1 Group D
Prob to win: 23.71%
Game ELO: 1851
-> 1927 (+76)
2 - 1
Prob to win: 76.29%
Game ELO: 2054
-> 1978 (-76)
Croatia win: upset (loss expected)
Nouveau Stade de Bordeaux, Bordeaux
Euro 2016 17-Jun-2016 18:00 1 Group D
Prob to win: 31.49%
Game ELO: 1735
-> 1754 (+19)
2 - 2
Prob to win: 68.51%
Game ELO: 1870
-> 1851 (-19)
Croatia draw: upset (win expected)
Stade Geoffroy-Guichard, Saint-Étienne
Euro 2016 12-Jun-2016 15:00 1 Group D
Prob to win: 51.58%
Game ELO: 1829
-> 1777 (-52)
0 - 1
Prob to win: 48.42%
Game ELO: 1818
-> 1870 (+52)
Croatia win: upset (loss expected)
Parc des Princes, Paris
Brazil 2014 23-Jun-2014 1 Group A
Prob to win: 50.58%
Game ELO: 1878
-> 1802 (-76)
1 - 3
Prob to win: 49.42%
Game ELO: 1874
-> 1950 (+76)
Croatia loss: upset (win expected)
Recife
Brazil 2014 18-Jun-2014 1 Group A
Prob to win: 22.79%
Game ELO: 1586
-> 1506 (-80)
0 - 4
Prob to win: 77.21%
Game ELO: 1798
-> 1878 (+80)
Croatia win: expected
Manaus
Brazil 2014 12-Jun-2014 1 Group A
Prob to win: 86.25%
Game ELO: 2138
-> 2159 (+21)
3 - 1
Prob to win: 13.75%
Game ELO: 1819
-> 1798 (-21)
Croatia loss: expected
Sao Paulo
Euro 2012 18-Jun-2012 20:45 1 Group C
Prob to win: 39.51%
Game ELO: 1064
-> 1024 (-40)
0 - 1
Prob to win: 60.49%
Game ELO: 1138
-> 1178 (+40)
Croatia loss: expected
PGE Arena, Gdansk
Euro 2012 14-Jun-2012 18:00 1 Group C
Prob to win: 39.37%
Game ELO: 1000
-> 1011 (+11)
1 - 1
Prob to win: 60.63%
Game ELO: 1075
-> 1064 (-11)
Croatia draw: upset (win expected)
Stadion Miejski, Poznan
Euro 2012 10-Jun-2012 20:45 1 Group C
Game ELO:
-> 925 ()
1 - 3
Game ELO:
-> 1075 ()
Stadion Miejski, Poznan
Euro 2008 20-Jun-2008 20:45 2 Quarter Finals
Game ELO:
-> 1035 ()
1 - 1 (aet)
1 - 3 (pen)
Game ELO:
-> 1125 ()
Ernst-Happel-Stadion, Vienna
Euro 2008 16-Jun-2008 20:45 1 Group B
Prob to win: 26.75%
Game ELO: 929
-> 902 (-27)
0 - 1
Prob to win: 73.25%
Game ELO: 1104
-> 1131 (+27)
Croatia win: expected
Wörthersee Stadion, Klagenfurt
Euro 2008 12-Jun-2008 18:00 1 Group B
Prob to win: 46.41%
Game ELO: 1050
-> 1104 (+54)
2 - 1
Prob to win: 53.59%
Game ELO: 1075
-> 1021 (-54)
Croatia win: upset (loss expected)
Wörthersee Stadion, Klagenfurt
Euro 2008 8-Jun-2008 18:00 1 Group B
Game ELO:
-> 950 ()
0 - 1
Game ELO:
-> 1050 ()
Ernst-Happel-Stadion, Vienna
Germany 2006 22-Jun-2006 1 Group F
Prob to win: 44.84%
Game ELO: 1800
-> 1805 (+5)
2 - 2
Prob to win: 55.16%
Game ELO: 1836
-> 1831 (-5)
Croatia draw: upset (loss expected)
Zlatko Kranjcar
Germany 2006 18-Jun-2006 1 Group F
Prob to win: 36.39%
Game ELO: 1717
-> 1731 (+14)
0 - 0
Prob to win: 63.61%
Game ELO: 1814
-> 1800 (-14)
Croatia draw: upset (win expected)
Zlatko Kranjcar
Germany 2006 13-Jun-2006 1 Group F
Prob to win: 75.76%
Game ELO: 2036
-> 2060 (+24)
1 - 0
Prob to win: 24.24%
Game ELO: 1838
-> 1814 (-24)
Croatia loss: expected
Zlatko Kranjcar
Euro 2004 21-Jun-2004 19:45 1 Group B
Game ELO:
-> 944 ()
2 - 4
Game ELO: 1064
-> 1127 (+63)
Estádio da Luz, Lisbon
Euro 2004 17-Jun-2004 19:45 1 Group B
Game ELO:
-> 1007 ()
2 - 2
Game ELO: 1050
-> 1043 (-7)
Estádio Dr. Magalhães Pessoa, Leiria
Euro 2004 13-Jun-2004 17:00 1 Group B
Game ELO:
-> 1000 ()
0 - 0
Game ELO:
-> 1000 ()
Estádio Dr. Magalhães Pessoa, Leiria
Korea/ Japan 2002 13-Jun-2002 1 Group G
Prob to win: 21.50%
Game ELO: 1676
-> 1755 (+79)
1 - 0
Prob to win: 78.50%
Game ELO: 1901
-> 1822 (-79)
Croatia loss: upset (win expected)
International Stadium Yokohama, Yokohama Mirko Jozic
Korea/ Japan 2002 8-Jun-2002 1 Group G
Prob to win: 77.01%
Game ELO: 2034
-> 1957 (-77)
1 - 2
Prob to win: 22.99%
Game ELO: 1824
-> 1901 (+77)
Croatia win: upset (loss expected)
Kashima Stadium, Ibaraki Mirko Jozic
Korea/ Japan 2002 3-Jun-2002 1 Group G
Prob to win: 57.15%
Game ELO: 1881
-> 1824 (-57)
0 - 1
Prob to win: 42.85%
Game ELO: 1831
-> 1888 (+57)
Croatia loss: upset (win expected)
Niigata Stadium, Niigata Mirko Jozic
France 1998 11-Jul-1998 2 3rd Place
Prob to win: 46.55%
Game ELO: 2058
-> 2011 (-47)
1 - 2
Prob to win: 53.45%
Game ELO: 2082
-> 2129 (+47)
Croatia win: expected
Paris Miroslav Blaževic
France 1998 8-Jul-1998 2 Semi Finals
Prob to win: 44.13%
Game ELO: 2097
-> 2153 (+56)
2 - 1
Prob to win: 55.87%
Game ELO: 2138
-> 2082 (-56)
Croatia loss: upset (win expected)
Saint-Denis Miroslav Blaževic
France 1998 4-Jul-1998 2 Quarter Finals
Prob to win: 58.41%
Game ELO: 2080
-> 1963 (-117)
0 - 3
Prob to win: 41.59%
Game ELO: 2021
-> 2138 (+117)
Croatia win: upset (loss expected)
Lyon Miroslav Blaževic
France 1998 30-Jun-1998 2 Top 16
Prob to win: 42.99%
Game ELO: 1929
-> 1886 (-43)
0 - 1
Prob to win: 57.01%
Game ELO: 1978
-> 2021 (+43)
Croatia win: expected
Bordeaux Miroslav Blaževic
France 1998 26-Jun-1998 1 Group H
Prob to win: 44.70%
Game ELO: 1996
-> 2051 (+55)
1 - 0
Prob to win: 55.30%
Game ELO: 2033
-> 1978 (-55)
Croatia loss: upset (win expected)
Parc Lescure, Bordeaux Miroslav Blaževic
France 1998 20-Jun-1998 1 Group H
Prob to win: 10.30%
Game ELO: 1647
-> 1637 (-10)
0 - 1
Prob to win: 89.70%
Game ELO: 2023
-> 2033 (+10)
Croatia win: expected
Stade de la Beaujoire, Nantes Miroslav Blaževic
France 1998 14-Jun-1998 1 Group H
Prob to win: 11.24%
Game ELO: 1647
-> 1630 (-17)
1 - 3
Prob to win: 88.76%
Game ELO: 2006
-> 2023 (+17)
Croatia win: expected
Stade Félix Bollaert, Lens Miroslav Blaževic
Euro 1996 23-Jun-1996 15:00 2 Quarter Finals
Game ELO:
-> 1154 ()
2 - 1
Game ELO:
-> 975 ()
Old Trafford, Manchester
Euro 1996 19-Jun-1996 16:30 1 Group D
Prob to win: 63.07%
Game ELO: 1136
-> 1010 (-126)
0 - 3
Prob to win: 36.93%
Game ELO: 1043
-> 1169 (+126)
Croatia loss: upset (win expected)
City Ground, Nottingham
Euro 1996 16-Jun-1996 18:00 1 Group D
Prob to win: 57.15%
Game ELO: 1050
-> 1136 (+86)
3 - 0
Prob to win: 42.85%
Game ELO: 1000
-> 914 (-86)
Croatia win: expected
Hillsborough, Sheffield
Euro 1996 11-Jun-1996 19:30 1 Group D
Game ELO:
-> 950 ()
0 - 1
Game ELO:
-> 1050 ()
City Ground, Nottingham