Argentina details

Argentina

Statistics:
  • Games: 88
  • Expected results: 53 (60.23%)
  • Unexpected results: 35 (39.77%)
  • Unknown games: 0
  • Record: 53 Won, 25 Lost, 10 Drawn, 0 Unknown
  • Last five games: WWWWW
  • Expected wins: 42 (47.73%)
  • Expected losses: 11 (12.50%)
  • Unexpected wins: 11 (12.50%)
  • Unexpected losses: 14 (15.91%)
  • Unexpected draws: 10 (11.36%)
  • Wins (+1pt for expected, +3 for unexpected): 75
  • Losses (-1pt for expected, -3 for unexpected): -53
  • Draws (-1pt if fav, +1pt if underdog): 10
  • Total: 32

Tournament Game Time Round Group Name Score Odds Analysis Location Coach
Qatar 2022 18-Dec-2022 18:00 2 Final
Prob to win: 58.18%
Game ELO: 2242
-> 2279 (+37)
3 - 3 (aet)
4 - 2 (pen)
Prob to win: 34.85%
Game ELO: 2153
-> 2116 (-37)
Argentina win: expected
Lusail Iconic Stadium, Lusail
Qatar 2022 13-Dec-2022 22:00 2 Semi Finals
Prob to win: 60.67%
Game ELO: 2172
-> 2242 (+70)
3 - 0
Prob to win: 32.77%
Game ELO: 2065
-> 1995 (-70)
Argentina win: expected
Lusail Iconic Stadium, Lusail
Qatar 2022 9-Dec-2022 22:00 2 Quarter Finals
Prob to win: 40.07%
Game ELO: 2083
-> 2039 (-44)
2 - 2 (aet)
3 - 4 (pen)
Prob to win: 51.92%
Game ELO: 2128
-> 2172 (+44)
Argentina win: expected
Lusail Iconic Stadium, Lusail
Qatar 2022 3-Dec-2022 22:00 2 Top 16
Prob to win: 82.25%
Game ELO: 2113
-> 2128 (+15)
2 - 1
Prob to win: 14.79%
Game ELO: 1815
-> 1800 (-15)
Argentina win: expected
Ahmad bin Ali Stadium, Al Rayyan
Qatar 2022 30-Nov-2022 22:00 1 Group C
Prob to win: 22.17%
Game ELO: 1870
-> 1835 (-35)
0 - 2
Prob to win: 73.40%
Game ELO: 2078
-> 2113 (+35)
Argentina win: expected
Stadium 974, Doha
Qatar 2022 26-Nov-2022 22:00 1 Group C
Prob to win: 76.63%
Game ELO: 2048
-> 2078 (+30)
2 - 0
Prob to win: 19.47%
Game ELO: 1810
-> 1780 (-30)
Argentina win: expected
Lusail Iconic Stadium, Lusail
Qatar 2022 22-Nov-2022 13:00 1 Group C
Prob to win: 93.95%
Game ELO: 2143
-> 2048 (-95)
1 - 2
Prob to win: 5.05%
Game ELO: 1635
-> 1730 (+95)
Argentina loss: upset (win expected)
Lusail Iconic Stadium, Lusail
Russia 2018 30-Jun-2018 17:00 2 Top 16
Prob to win: 65.10%
Game ELO: 2017
-> 2048 (+31)
4 - 3
Prob to win: 29.08%
Game ELO: 1877
-> 1846 (-31)
Argentina loss: expected
Kazan Arena, Kazan
Russia 2018 26-Jun-2018 19:00 1 Group D
Prob to win: 34.27%
Game ELO: 1746
-> 1709 (-37)
1 - 2
Prob to win: 58.87%
Game ELO: 1840
-> 1877 (+37)
Argentina win: expected
Krestovsky Stadium, Saint Petersburg
Russia 2018 21-Jun-2018 19:00 1 Group D
Prob to win: 54.64%
Game ELO: 1958
-> 1840 (-118)
0 - 3
Prob to win: 37.80%
Game ELO: 1894
-> 2012 (+118)
Argentina loss: upset (win expected)
Nizhny Novgorod Stadium, Nizhny Novgorod
Russia 2018 16-Jun-2018 14:00 1 Group D
Prob to win: 74.94%
Game ELO: 1986
-> 1958 (-28)
1 - 1
Prob to win: 20.88%
Game ELO: 1764
-> 1792 (+28)
Argentina draw: upset (win expected)
Otkrytie Arena, Moscow
Brazil 2014 13-Jul-2014 2 Final
Prob to win: 80.68%
Game ELO: 2373
-> 2390 (+17)
1 - 0 (aet)
Prob to win: 16.10%
Game ELO: 2093
-> 2076 (-17)
Argentina loss: expected
Brazil 2014 9-Jul-2014 2 Semi Finals
Prob to win: 62.44%
Game ELO: 2246
-> 2279 (+33)
0 - 0 (aet)
2 - 4 (pen)
Prob to win: 31.30%
Game ELO: 2126
-> 2093 (-33)
Argentina win: upset (loss expected)
Brazil 2014 5-Jul-2014 2 Quarter Finals
Prob to win: 62.71%
Game ELO: 2093
-> 2126 (+33)
1 - 0
Prob to win: 31.07%
Game ELO: 1971
-> 1938 (-33)
Argentina win: expected
Brazil 2014 1-Jul-2014 2 Top 16
Prob to win: 73.74%
Game ELO: 2070
-> 2093 (+23)
1 - 0 (aet)
Prob to win: 21.89%
Game ELO: 1859
-> 1836 (-23)
Argentina win: expected
Brazil 2014 25-Jun-2014 1 Group F
Prob to win: 16.48%
Game ELO: 1778
-> 1761 (-17)
2 - 3
Prob to win: 80.23%
Game ELO: 2053
-> 2070 (+17)
Argentina win: expected
Porto Alegre
Brazil 2014 21-Jun-2014 1 Group F
Prob to win: 84.40%
Game ELO: 2040
-> 2053 (+13)
1 - 0
Prob to win: 13.00%
Game ELO: 1715
-> 1702 (-13)
Argentina win: expected
Belo Horizonte
Brazil 2014 15-Jun-2014 1 Group F
Prob to win: 76.01%
Game ELO: 2019
-> 2040 (+21)
2 - 1
Prob to win: 19.99%
Game ELO: 1787
-> 1766 (-21)
Argentina win: expected
Rio De Janeiro
South Africa 2010 3-Jul-2010 16:00 2 Quarter Finals
Prob to win: 45.88%
Game ELO: 2081
-> 1904 (-177)
0 - 4
Prob to win: 45.10%
Game ELO: 2078
-> 2255 (+177)
Argentina loss: expected
Cape Town Diego Maradona
South Africa 2010 27-Jun-2010 16:00 2 Top 16
Prob to win: 67.04%
Game ELO: 2037
-> 2081 (+44)
3 - 1
Prob to win: 27.47%
Game ELO: 1882
-> 1838 (-44)
Argentina win: expected
Bloemfontein Diego Maradona
South Africa 2010 22-Jun-2010 20:30 1 Group B
Prob to win: 15.15%
Game ELO: 1721
-> 1698 (-23)
0 - 2
Prob to win: 81.82%
Game ELO: 2014
-> 2037 (+23)
Argentina win: expected
Polokwane Diego Maradona
South Africa 2010 17-Jun-2010 13:30 1 Group B
Prob to win: 61.09%
Game ELO: 1945
-> 2014 (+69)
4 - 1
Prob to win: 32.43%
Game ELO: 1835
-> 1766 (-69)
Argentina win: expected
Johannesburg - JSC Diego Maradona
South Africa 2010 12-Jun-2010 16:00 1 Group B
Prob to win: 73.06%
Game ELO: 1921
-> 1945 (+24)
1 - 0
Prob to win: 22.45%
Game ELO: 1716
-> 1692 (-24)
Argentina win: expected
Johannesburg - JEP Diego Maradona
Germany 2006 30-Jun-2006 2 Quarter Finals
Prob to win: 47.03%
Game ELO: 2078
-> 2126 (+48)
1 - 1 (aet)
4 - 2 (pen)
Prob to win: 44.14%
Game ELO: 2067
-> 2019 (-48)
Argentina loss: expected
Hamburg José Pekerman
Germany 2006 24-Jun-2006 2 Top 16
Prob to win: 73.74%
Game ELO: 2044
-> 2067 (+23)
2 - 1 (aet)
Prob to win: 21.89%
Game ELO: 1833
-> 1810 (-23)
Argentina win: expected
Leipzig José Pekerman
Germany 2006 21-Jun-2006 1 Group C
Prob to win: 44.38%
Game ELO: 2036
-> 2037 (+1)
0 - 0
Prob to win: 46.74%
Game ELO: 2045
-> 2044 (-1)
Argentina draw: upset (loss expected)
José Pekerman
Germany 2006 16-Jun-2006 1 Group C
Prob to win: 69.90%
Game ELO: 1953
-> 2045 (+92)
6 - 0
Prob to win: 25.09%
Game ELO: 1775
-> 1683 (-92)
Argentina win: expected
José Pekerman
Germany 2006 10-Jun-2006 1 Group C
Prob to win: 67.17%
Game ELO: 1924
-> 1953 (+29)
2 - 1
Prob to win: 27.36%
Game ELO: 1768
-> 1739 (-29)
Argentina win: expected
José Pekerman
Korea/ Japan 2002 12-Jun-2002 1 Group F
Prob to win: 37.80%
Game ELO: 1906
-> 1915 (+9)
1 - 1
Prob to win: 54.64%
Game ELO: 1970
-> 1961 (-9)
Argentina draw: upset (win expected)
Miyagi Stadium, Miyagi Marcelo Bielsa
Korea/ Japan 2002 7-Jun-2002 1 Group F
Prob to win: 62.58%
Game ELO: 2037
-> 1970 (-67)
0 - 1
Prob to win: 31.18%
Game ELO: 1916
-> 1983 (+67)
Argentina loss: upset (win expected)
Sapporo Dome, Sapporo Marcelo Bielsa
Korea/ Japan 2002 2-Jun-2002 1 Group F
Prob to win: 77.75%
Game ELO: 2018
-> 2037 (+19)
1 - 0
Prob to win: 18.54%
Game ELO: 1769
-> 1750 (-19)
Argentina win: expected
Kashima Stadium, Ibaraki Marcelo Bielsa
France 1998 4-Jul-1998 2 Quarter Finals
Prob to win: 41.63%
Game ELO: 2057
-> 2112 (+55)
2 - 1
Prob to win: 50.05%
Game ELO: 2089
-> 2034 (-55)
Argentina loss: upset (win expected)
Marseille Daniel Passarella
France 1998 28-Jun-1998 2 Top 16
Prob to win: 57.61%
Game ELO: 2051
-> 2089 (+38)
2 - 2 (aet)
4 - 3 (pen)
Prob to win: 35.32%
Game ELO: 1966
-> 1928 (-38)
Argentina win: expected
Lens Daniel Passarella
France 1998 26-Jun-1998 1 Group H
Prob to win: 41.03%
Game ELO: 1996
-> 2051 (+55)
1 - 0
Prob to win: 50.77%
Game ELO: 2033
-> 1978 (-55)
Argentina win: upset (loss expected)
Parc Lescure, Bordeaux Daniel Passarella
France 1998 21-Jun-1998 1 Group H
Prob to win: 83.87%
Game ELO: 1948
-> 1996 (+48)
5 - 0
Prob to win: 13.45%
Game ELO: 1630
-> 1582 (-48)
Argentina win: expected
Parc des Princes, Paris Daniel Passarella
France 1998 14-Jun-1998 1 Group H
Prob to win: 79.30%
Game ELO: 1930
-> 1948 (+18)
1 - 0
Prob to win: 17.25%
Game ELO: 1665
-> 1647 (-18)
Argentina win: expected
Stade de Toulouse, Toulouse Daniel Passarella
USA 1994 3-Jul-1994 2 Top 16
Prob to win: 38.04%
Game ELO: 1844
-> 1903 (+59)
3 - 2
Prob to win: 54.35%
Game ELO: 1906
-> 1847 (-59)
Argentina loss: upset (win expected)
Pasadena Alfio Basile
USA 1994 30-Jun-1994 1 Group D
Prob to win: 73.51%
Game ELO: 2021
-> 1906 (-115)
0 - 2
Prob to win: 22.07%
Game ELO: 1812
-> 1927 (+115)
Argentina loss: upset (win expected)
Cotton Bowl, Dallas Alfio Basile
USA 1994 25-Jun-1994 1 Group D
Prob to win: 65.10%
Game ELO: 1990
-> 2021 (+31)
2 - 1
Prob to win: 29.08%
Game ELO: 1850
-> 1819 (-31)
Argentina win: expected
Foxboro Stadium, Foxborough Alfio Basile
USA 1994 21-Jun-1994 1 Group D
Prob to win: 75.48%
Game ELO: 1915
-> 1990 (+75)
4 - 0
Prob to win: 20.43%
Game ELO: 1688
-> 1613 (-75)
Argentina win: expected
Foxboro Stadium, Foxborough Alfio Basile
Italy 1990 8-Jul-1990 2 Final
Prob to win: 14.79%
Game ELO: 1850
-> 1835 (-15)
0 - 1
Prob to win: 82.25%
Game ELO: 2148
-> 2163 (+15)
Argentina loss: expected
Rome Carlos Bilardo
Italy 1990 3-Jul-1990 2 Semi Finals
Prob to win: 77.04%
Game ELO: 2112
-> 2132 (+20)
1 - 1 (aet)
3 - 4 (pen)
Prob to win: 19.13%
Game ELO: 1870
-> 1850 (-20)
Argentina win: upset (loss expected)
Naples Carlos Bilardo
Italy 1990 30-Jun-1990 2 Quarter Finals
Prob to win: 51.05%
Game ELO: 1953
-> 1997 (+44)
0 - 0 (aet)
2 - 3 (pen)
Prob to win: 40.79%
Game ELO: 1914
-> 1870 (-44)
Argentina win: upset (loss expected)
Florence Carlos Bilardo
Italy 1990 24-Jun-1990 2 Top 16
Prob to win: 75.37%
Game ELO: 2061
-> 1982 (-79)
0 - 1
Prob to win: 20.52%
Game ELO: 1835
-> 1914 (+79)
Argentina win: upset (loss expected)
Turin Carlos Bilardo
Italy 1990 18-Jun-1990 1 Group B
Prob to win: 36.85%
Game ELO: 1825
-> 1835 (+10)
1 - 1
Prob to win: 55.78%
Game ELO: 1897
-> 1887 (-10)
Argentina draw: upset (loss expected)
Stadio San Paolo, Naples Carlos Bilardo
Italy 1990 13-Jun-1990 1 Group B
Prob to win: 29.52%
Game ELO: 1722
-> 1825 (+103)
2 - 0
Prob to win: 64.58%
Game ELO: 1858
-> 1755 (-103)
Argentina win: upset (loss expected)
Stadio San Paolo, Naples Carlos Bilardo
Italy 1990 8-Jun-1990 1 Group B
Prob to win: 67.80%
Game ELO: 1794
-> 1722 (-72)
0 - 1
Prob to win: 26.84%
Game ELO: 1633
-> 1705 (+72)
Argentina loss: upset (win expected)
San Siro, Milan Carlos Bilardo
Mexico 1986 29-Jun-1986 2 Final
Prob to win: 43.31%
Game ELO: 2080
-> 2033 (-47)
2 - 3
Prob to win: 48.03%
Game ELO: 2098
-> 2145 (+47)
Argentina win: upset (loss expected)
Mexico City Carlos Bilardo
Mexico 1986 25-Jun-1986 2 Semi Finals
Prob to win: 54.07%
Game ELO: 2036
-> 2098 (+62)
2 - 0
Prob to win: 38.28%
Game ELO: 1976
-> 1914 (-62)
Argentina win: expected
Mexico City Carlos Bilardo
Mexico 1986 22-Jun-1986 2 Quarter Finals
Prob to win: 38.28%
Game ELO: 1977
-> 2036 (+59)
2 - 1
Prob to win: 54.07%
Game ELO: 2037
-> 1978 (-59)
Argentina win: upset (loss expected)
Mexico City Carlos Bilardo
Mexico 1986 16-Jun-1986 2 Top 16
Prob to win: 75.69%
Game ELO: 1956
-> 1977 (+21)
1 - 0
Prob to win: 20.26%
Game ELO: 1727
-> 1706 (-21)
Argentina win: expected
Puebla Carlos Bilardo
Mexico 1986 10-Jun-1986 1 Group A
Prob to win: 57.19%
Game ELO: 1898
-> 1956 (+58)
2 - 0
Prob to win: 35.67%
Game ELO: 1816
-> 1758 (-58)
Argentina win: expected
Estadio Olímpico Universitario, Mexico City Carlos Bilardo
Mexico 1986 5-Jun-1986 1 Group A
Prob to win: 42.59%
Game ELO: 1877
-> 1880 (+3)
1 - 1
Prob to win: 48.90%
Game ELO: 1901
-> 1898 (-3)
Argentina draw: upset (loss expected)
Estadio Cuauhtémoc, Puebla Carlos Bilardo
Mexico 1986 2-Jun-1986 1 Group A
Prob to win: 77.65%
Game ELO: 1872
-> 1901 (+29)
3 - 1
Prob to win: 18.63%
Game ELO: 1624
-> 1595 (-29)
Argentina win: expected
Estadio Olímpico Universitario, Mexico City Carlos Bilardo
Spain 1982 2-Jul-1982 2 Group C
Prob to win: 21.33%
Game ELO: 1960
-> 1927 (-33)
1 - 3
Prob to win: 74.40%
Game ELO: 2177
-> 2210 (+33)
Argentina loss: expected
Estadio Sarriá, Barcelona César Luis Menotti
Spain 1982 29-Jun-1982 2 Group C
Prob to win: 69.65%
Game ELO: 2033
-> 1960 (-73)
1 - 2
Prob to win: 25.29%
Game ELO: 1857
-> 1930 (+73)
Argentina loss: upset (win expected)
Estadio Sarriá, Barcelona César Luis Menotti
Spain 1982 23-Jun-1982 1 Group 3
Prob to win: 94.01%
Game ELO: 2025
-> 2033 (+8)
2 - 0
Prob to win: 4.99%
Game ELO: 1515
-> 1507 (-8)
Argentina win: expected
Estadio José Rico Pérez, Alicante César Luis Menotti
Spain 1982 18-Jun-1982 1 Group 3
Prob to win: 53.07%
Game ELO: 1940
-> 2025 (+85)
4 - 1
Prob to win: 39.11%
Game ELO: 1887
-> 1802 (-85)
Argentina win: expected
Estadio José Rico Pérez, Alicante César Luis Menotti
Spain 1982 13-Jun-1982 1 Group 3
Prob to win: 58.18%
Game ELO: 2003
-> 1940 (-63)
0 - 1
Prob to win: 34.85%
Game ELO: 1914
-> 1977 (+63)
Argentina loss: upset (win expected)
Camp Nou, Barcelona César Luis Menotti
Argentina 1978 25-Jun-1978 3 Final
Prob to win: 50.91%
Game ELO: 2173
-> 2090 (-83)
1 - 3 (aet)
Prob to win: 40.91%
Game ELO: 2135
-> 2218 (+83)
Argentina win: upset (loss expected)
Estadio Monumental, Buenos Aires César Luis Menotti
Argentina 1978 21-Jun-1978 2 Group B
Prob to win: 73.96%
Game ELO: 2056
-> 2135 (+79)
6 - 0
Prob to win: 21.70%
Game ELO: 1843
-> 1764 (-79)
Argentina win: expected
Estadio Gigante de Arroyito, Rosario César Luis Menotti
Argentina 1978 18-Jun-1978 2 Group B
Prob to win: 34.50%
Game ELO: 2043
-> 2056 (+13)
0 - 0
Prob to win: 58.60%
Game ELO: 2135
-> 2122 (-13)
Argentina draw: upset (loss expected)
Estadio Gigante de Arroyito, Rosario César Luis Menotti
Argentina 1978 14-Jun-1978 2 Group B
Prob to win: 40.67%
Game ELO: 1959
-> 2043 (+84)
2 - 0
Prob to win: 51.20%
Game ELO: 1999
-> 1915 (-84)
Argentina win: upset (loss expected)
Estadio Gigante de Arroyito, Rosario César Luis Menotti
Argentina 1978 10-Jun-1978 1 Group 1
Prob to win: 42.59%
Game ELO: 2006
-> 1959 (-47)
0 - 1
Prob to win: 48.90%
Game ELO: 2030
-> 2077 (+47)
Argentina loss: expected
Estadio Monumental, Buenos Aires César Luis Menotti
Argentina 1978 6-Jun-1978 1 Group 1
Prob to win: 64.58%
Game ELO: 1975
-> 2006 (+31)
2 - 1
Prob to win: 29.52%
Game ELO: 1839
-> 1808 (-31)
Argentina win: expected
Estadio Monumental, Buenos Aires César Luis Menotti
Argentina 1978 2-Jun-1978 1 Group 1
Prob to win: 46.31%
Game ELO: 1926
-> 1975 (+49)
2 - 1
Prob to win: 44.74%
Game ELO: 1920
-> 1871 (-49)
Argentina win: upset (loss expected)
Estadio Monumental, Buenos Aires César Luis Menotti
West Germany 1974 3-Jul-1974 2 Group A
Prob to win: 24.99%
Game ELO: 1751
-> 1775 (+24)
1 - 1
Prob to win: 70.02%
Game ELO: 1930
-> 1906 (-24)
Argentina draw: upset (loss expected)
Parkstadion, Gelsenkirchen Vladislao Cap
West Germany 1974 30-Jun-1974 2 Group A
Prob to win: 10.94%
Game ELO: 1762
-> 1751 (-11)
1 - 2
Prob to win: 86.88%
Game ELO: 2122
-> 2133 (+11)
Argentina loss: expected
Niedersachsenstadion, Hanover Vladislao Cap
West Germany 1974 26-Jun-1974 2 Group A
Prob to win: 54.92%
Game ELO: 1970
-> 2112 (+142)
4 - 0
Prob to win: 37.56%
Game ELO: 1904
-> 1762 (-142)
Argentina loss: expected
Parkstadion, Gelsenkirchen Vladislao Cap
West Germany 1974 23-Jun-1974 1 Group 4
Prob to win: 83.31%
Game ELO: 1875
-> 1904 (+29)
4 - 1
Prob to win: 13.91%
Game ELO: 1564
-> 1535 (-29)
Argentina win: expected
Olympiastadion, Munich Vladislao Cap
West Germany 1974 19-Jun-1974 1 Group 4
Prob to win: 26.84%
Game ELO: 1853
-> 1875 (+22)
1 - 1
Prob to win: 67.80%
Game ELO: 2014
-> 1992 (-22)
Argentina draw: upset (loss expected)
Neckarstadion, Stuttgart Vladislao Cap
West Germany 1974 15-Jun-1974 1 Group 4
Prob to win: 54.78%
Game ELO: 1959
-> 2000 (+41)
3 - 2
Prob to win: 37.68%
Game ELO: 1894
-> 1853 (-41)
Argentina loss: expected
Neckarstadion, Stuttgart Vladislao Cap
England 1966 23-Jul-1966 2 Quarter Finals
Prob to win: 49.04%
Game ELO: 2045
-> 2091 (+46)
1 - 0
Prob to win: 42.47%
Game ELO: 2020
-> 1974 (-46)
Argentina loss: expected
London Juan Carlos Lorenzo
England 1966 19-Jul-1966 1 Group 2
Prob to win: 91.16%
Game ELO: 2009
-> 2020 (+11)
2 - 0
Prob to win: 7.37%
Game ELO: 1572
-> 1561 (-11)
Argentina win: expected
Hillsborough Stadium, Sheffield Juan Carlos Lorenzo
England 1966 16-Jul-1966 1 Group 2
Prob to win: 47.32%
Game ELO: 2011
-> 2009 (-2)
0 - 0
Prob to win: 43.90%
Game ELO: 1998
-> 2000 (+2)
Argentina draw: upset (loss expected)
Villa Park, Birmingham Juan Carlos Lorenzo
England 1966 13-Jul-1966 1 Group 2
Prob to win: 57.05%
Game ELO: 1972
-> 2011 (+39)
2 - 1
Prob to win: 35.79%
Game ELO: 1891
-> 1852 (-39)
Argentina win: expected
Villa Park, Birmingham Juan Carlos Lorenzo
Chile 1962 6-Jun-1962 1 Group 4
Prob to win: 67.92%
Game ELO: 2064
-> 2042 (-22)
0 - 0
Prob to win: 26.73%
Game ELO: 1902
-> 1924 (+22)
Argentina draw: upset (loss expected)
Estadio El Teniente, Rancagua Juan Carlos Lorenzo
Chile 1962 2-Jun-1962 1 Group 4
Prob to win: 31.97%
Game ELO: 1887
-> 1986 (+99)
3 - 1
Prob to win: 61.63%
Game ELO: 2001
-> 1902 (-99)
Argentina loss: upset (win expected)
Estadio El Teniente, Rancagua Juan Carlos Lorenzo
Chile 1962 30-May-1962 1 Group 4
Prob to win: 74.29%
Game ELO: 1979
-> 2001 (+22)
1 - 0
Prob to win: 21.43%
Game ELO: 1763
-> 1741 (-22)
Argentina win: expected
Estadio El Teniente, Rancagua Juan Carlos Lorenzo
Sweden 1958 15-Jun-1958 19:00 1 Group 1
Prob to win: 28.54%
Game ELO: 1842
-> 2086 (+244)
6 - 1
Prob to win: 65.75%
Game ELO: 1987
-> 1743 (-244)
Argentina loss: upset (win expected)
Olympiastadion, Helsingborg Guillermo Stábile
Sweden 1958 11-Jun-1958 19:00 1 Group 1
Prob to win: 64.97%
Game ELO: 1941
-> 1987 (+46)
3 - 1
Prob to win: 29.19%
Game ELO: 1802
-> 1756 (-46)
Argentina win: expected
Örjans Vall, Halmstad Guillermo Stábile
Sweden 1958 8-Jun-1958 19:00 1 Group 1
Prob to win: 30.18%
Game ELO: 1913
-> 2015 (+102)
3 - 1
Prob to win: 63.78%
Game ELO: 2043
-> 1941 (-102)
Argentina loss: upset (win expected)
Malmö Stadion, Malmö Guillermo Stábile
Italy 1934 27-May-1934 1 Top 16
Prob to win: 12.44%
Game ELO: 1731
-> 1818 (+87)
3 - 2
Prob to win: 85.07%
Game ELO: 2065
-> 1978 (-87)
Argentina loss: upset (win expected)
Bologna Felipe Pascucci
Uruguay 1930 30-Jul-1930 2 Final
Prob to win: 61.22%
Game ELO: 2178
-> 2080 (-98)
2 - 4
Prob to win: 32.32%
Game ELO: 2067
-> 2165 (+98)
Argentina loss: upset (win expected)
Montevideo Francisco Olazar and Juan José Tramutola
Uruguay 1930 26-Jul-1930 2 Semi Finals
Prob to win: 75.80%
Game ELO: 2104
-> 2178 (+74)
6 - 1
USA
Prob to win: 20.17%
Game ELO: 1874
-> 1800 (-74)
Argentina win: expected
Montevideo Francisco Olazar and Juan José Tramutola
Uruguay 1930 22-Jul-1930 1 Group 1
Prob to win: 88.61%
Game ELO: 2089
-> 2104 (+15)
3 - 1
Prob to win: 9.49%
Game ELO: 1701
-> 1686 (-15)
Argentina win: expected
Estadio Centenario, Montevideo Francisco Olazar and Juan José Tramutola
Uruguay 1930 19-Jul-1930 1 Group 1
Prob to win: 97.55%
Game ELO: 2085
-> 2089 (+4)
6 - 3
Prob to win: 2.04%
Game ELO: 1413
-> 1409 (-4)
Argentina win: expected
Estadio Centenario, Montevideo Francisco Olazar and Juan José Tramutola
Uruguay 1930 15-Jul-1930 1 Group 1
Prob to win: 90.78%
Game ELO: 2077
-> 2085 (+8)
1 - 0
Prob to win: 7.68%
Game ELO: 1648
-> 1640 (-8)
Argentina win: expected
Estadio Parque Central, Montevideo Francisco Olazar and Juan José Tramutola