Uruguay details

Uruguay

Statistics:
  • Games: 59
  • Expected results: 43 (74.14%)
  • Unexpected results: 15 (25.86%)
  • Unknown games: 0
  • Record: 25 Won, 21 Lost, 12 Drawn, 0 Unknown
  • Last five games: LDLWW
  • Expected wins: 23 (39.66%)
  • Expected losses: 20 (34.48%)
  • Unexpected wins: 2 (3.45%)
  • Unexpected losses: 1 (1.72%)
  • Unexpected draws: 12 (20.69%)
  • Wins (+1pt for expected, +3 for unexpected): 29
  • Losses (-1pt for expected, -3 for unexpected): -23
  • Draws (-1pt if fav, +1pt if underdog): 12
  • Total: 18

Tournament Game Time Round Group Name Score Odds Analysis Location Coach
Qatar 2022 02-Dec-2022 18:00 1 Group H Ghana
Prob to win: 19.71%
Pregame ELO: 1540
Uruguay
Prob to win: 80.29%
Pregame ELO: 1936
Al Janoub Stadium, Al Wakrah
Qatar 2022 28-Nov-2022 22:00 1 Group H Portugal
Prob to win: 76.39%
Game ELO: 2010 -> 2065 (+55)
2 - 0
Uruguay
Prob to win: 23.61%
Game ELO: 1916 -> 1861 (-55)
Uruguay loss: expected
Lusail Iconic Stadium, Lusail
Qatar 2022 24-Nov-2022 16:00 1 Group H Uruguay
Prob to win: 68.88%
Game ELO: 1936 -> 1916 (-20)
0 - 0
South Korea
Prob to win: 31.12%
Game ELO: 1786 -> 1806 (+20)
Uruguay draw: upset (win expected)
Education City Stadium, Al Rayyan
Russia 2018 06-Jul-2018 17:00 2 Quarter Finals Uruguay
Prob to win: 17.61%
Game ELO: 2046 -> 1971 (-75)
0 - 2
France
Prob to win: 82.39%
Game ELO: 2048 -> 2123 (+75)
Uruguay loss: expected
Nizhny Novgorod Stadium, Nizhny Novgorod
Russia 2018 30-Jun-2018 21:00 2 Top 16 Uruguay
Prob to win: 56.58%
Game ELO: 2000 -> 2046 (+46)
2 - 1
Portugal
Prob to win: 43.42%
Game ELO: 1971 -> 1925 (-46)
Uruguay win: expected
Fisht Olympic Stadium, Sochi
Russia 2018 25-Jun-2018 15:00 1 Group A Uruguay
Prob to win: 69.61%
Game ELO: 1920 -> 2000 (+80)
3 - 0
Russia
Prob to win: 30.39%
Game ELO: 1849 -> 1769 (-80)
Uruguay win: expected
Samara Arena, Samara
Russia 2018 20-Jun-2018 16:00 1 Group A Uruguay
Prob to win: 93.02%
Game ELO: 1913 -> 1920 (+7)
1 - 0
Saudi Arabia
Prob to win: 6.98%
Game ELO: 1459 -> 1452 (-7)
Uruguay win: expected
Rostov Arena, Rostov-on-Don
Russia 2018 15-Jun-2018 13:00 1 Group A Egypt
Prob to win: 6.90%
Game ELO: 1646 -> 1627 (-19)
0 - 1
Uruguay
Prob to win: 93.10%
Game ELO: 1894 -> 1913 (+19)
Uruguay win: expected
Central Stadium, Yekaterinburg
Brazil 2014 28-Jun-2014 2 Top 16 Colombia
Prob to win: 74.80%
Game ELO: 2055 -> 2101 (+46)
2 - 0
Uruguay
Prob to win: 25.20%
Game ELO: 1916 -> 1870 (-46)
Uruguay loss: expected
Brazil 2014 24-Jun-2014 1 Group D Italy
Prob to win: 43.70%
Game ELO: 1878 -> 1826 (-52)
0 - 1
Uruguay
Prob to win: 56.30%
Game ELO: 1864 -> 1916 (+52)
Uruguay win: expected
Natal
Brazil 2014 19-Jun-2014 1 Group D Uruguay
Prob to win: 56.16%
Game ELO: 1804 -> 1864 (+60)
2 - 1
England
Prob to win: 43.84%
Game ELO: 1876 -> 1816 (-60)
Uruguay win: expected
Sao Paulo
Brazil 2014 14-Jun-2014 1 Group D Uruguay
Prob to win: 42.29%
Game ELO: 1919 -> 1804 (-115)
1 - 3
Costa Rica
Prob to win: 57.71%
Game ELO: 1711 -> 1826 (+115)
Uruguay loss: expected
Fortaleza
South Africa 2010 10-Jul-2010 20:30 2 3rd Place Uruguay
Prob to win: 18.99%
Game ELO: 1973 -> 1959 (-14)
2 - 3
Germany
Prob to win: 81.01%
Game ELO: 2188 -> 2211 (+23)
Uruguay loss: expected
Port Elizabeth Oscar Tabárez
South Africa 2010 06-Jul-2010 20:30 2 Semi Finals Uruguay
Prob to win: 26.30%
Game ELO: 1845 -> 1982 (+137)
2 - 3
Netherlands
Prob to win: 73.70%
Game ELO: 2156 -> 2186 (+30)
Uruguay loss: expected
Cape Town Oscar Tabárez
South Africa 2010 02-Jul-2010 16:00 2 Quarter Finals Uruguay
Prob to win: 76.81%
Game ELO: 1973 -> 2012 (+39)
1 - 1 (aet)
4 - 2 (pen)
Ghana
Prob to win: 23.19%
Game ELO: 1790 -> 1751 (-39)
Uruguay win: expected
Port Elizabeth Oscar Tabárez
South Africa 2010 26-Jun-2010 16:00 2 Top 16 Uruguay
Prob to win: 79.46%
Game ELO: 1949 -> 1973 (+24)
2 - 1
South Korea
Prob to win: 20.54%
Game ELO: 1748 -> 1724 (-24)
Uruguay win: expected
Port Elizabeth Oscar Tabárez
South Africa 2010 22-Jun-2010 16:00 1 Group A Mexico
Prob to win: 33.26%
Game ELO: 1939 -> 1882 (-57)
0 - 1
Uruguay
Prob to win: 66.74%
Game ELO: 1892 -> 1949 (+57)
Uruguay win: expected
Rustenburg Oscar Tabárez
South Africa 2010 16-Jun-2010 20:30 1 Group A South Africa
Prob to win: 15.25%
Game ELO: 1630 -> 1585 (-45)
0 - 3
Uruguay
Prob to win: 84.75%
Game ELO: 1847 -> 1892 (+45)
Uruguay win: expected
Tshwane/Pretoria Oscar Tabárez
South Africa 2010 11-Jun-2010 20:30 1 Group A Uruguay
Prob to win: 80.83%
Game ELO: 1845 -> 1847 (+2)
0 - 0
France
Prob to win: 19.17%
Game ELO: 1861 -> 1859 (-2)
Uruguay draw: upset (win expected)
Cape Town Oscar Tabárez
Korea/ Japan 2002 11-Jun-2002 1 Group A Senegal
Prob to win: 53.02%
Game ELO: 1811 -> 1810 (-1)
3 - 3
Uruguay
Prob to win: 46.98%
Game ELO: 1801 -> 1802 (+1)
Uruguay draw: upset (loss expected)
Suwon World Cup Stadium, Suwon Víctor Púa
Korea/ Japan 2002 06-Jun-2002 1 Group A France
Prob to win: 61.86%
Game ELO: 2005 -> 1976 (-29)
0 - 0
Uruguay
Prob to win: 38.14%
Game ELO: 1772 -> 1801 (+29)
Uruguay draw: upset (loss expected)
Asiad Main Stadium, Busan Víctor Púa
Korea/ Japan 2002 01-Jun-2002 1 Group A Uruguay
Prob to win: 38.41%
Game ELO: 1812 -> 1772 (-40)
1 - 2
Denmark
Prob to win: 61.59%
Game ELO: 1885 -> 1925 (+40)
Uruguay loss: expected
Munsu Cup Stadium, Ulsan Víctor Púa
Italy 1990 25-Jun-1990 2 Top 16 Italy
Prob to win: 83.21%
Game ELO: 2058 -> 2093 (+35)
2 - 0
Uruguay
Prob to win: 16.79%
Game ELO: 1849 -> 1814 (-35)
Uruguay loss: expected
Rome Óscar Tabárez
Italy 1990 21-Jun-1990 1 Group E South Korea
Prob to win: 26.19%
Game ELO: 1663 -> 1634 (-29)
0 - 1
Uruguay
Prob to win: 73.81%
Game ELO: 1820 -> 1849 (+29)
Uruguay win: expected
Stadio Friuli, Udine Óscar Tabárez
Italy 1990 17-Jun-1990 1 Group E Belgium
Prob to win: 58.83%
Game ELO: 1899 -> 1973 (+74)
3 - 1
Uruguay
Prob to win: 41.17%
Game ELO: 1894 -> 1820 (-74)
Uruguay loss: expected
Stadio Marc'Antonio Bentegodi, Verona Óscar Tabárez
Italy 1990 13-Jun-1990 1 Group E Uruguay
Prob to win: 32.75%
Game ELO: 1889 -> 1894 (+5)
0 - 0
Spain
Prob to win: 67.25%
Game ELO: 1926 -> 1921 (-5)
Uruguay draw: upset (loss expected)
Stadio Friuli, Udine Óscar Tabárez
Mexico 1986 16-Jun-1986 2 Top 16 Argentina
Prob to win: 92.95%
Game ELO: 1956 -> 1977 (+21)
1 - 0
Uruguay
Prob to win: 7.05%
Game ELO: 1727 -> 1706 (-21)
Uruguay loss: expected
Puebla Omar Borrás
Mexico 1986 13-Jun-1986 1 Group E Uruguay
Prob to win: 39.51%
Game ELO: 1717 -> 1727 (+10)
0 - 0
Scotland
Prob to win: 60.49%
Game ELO: 1790 -> 1780 (-10)
Uruguay draw: upset (loss expected)
Estadio Neza 86, Nezahualcóyotl Omar Borrás
Mexico 1986 08-Jun-1986 1 Group E Uruguay
Prob to win: 29.30%
Game ELO: 1846 -> 1717 (-129)
1 - 6
Denmark
Prob to win: 70.70%
Game ELO: 1939 -> 2068 (+129)
Uruguay loss: expected
Estadio Neza 86, Nezahualcóyotl Omar Borrás
Mexico 1986 04-Jun-1986 1 Group E West Germany
Prob to win: 89.86%
Game ELO: 1939 -> 1924 (-15)
1 - 1
Uruguay
Prob to win: 10.14%
Game ELO: 1831 -> 1846 (+15)
Uruguay draw: upset (loss expected)
Estadio La Corregidora, Querétaro Omar Borrás
West Germany 1974 23-Jun-1974 1 Group 3 Sweden
Prob to win: 82.39%
Game ELO: 1877 -> 1934 (+57)
3 - 0
Uruguay
Prob to win: 17.61%
Game ELO: 1716 -> 1659 (-57)
Uruguay loss: expected
Rheinstadion, Düsseldorf Roberto Porta
West Germany 1974 19-Jun-1974 1 Group 3 Uruguay
Prob to win: 39.51%
Game ELO: 1698 -> 1716 (+18)
1 - 1
Bulgaria
Prob to win: 60.49%
Game ELO: 1828 -> 1810 (-18)
Uruguay draw: upset (loss expected)
Niedersachsenstadion, Hanover Roberto Porta
West Germany 1974 15-Jun-1974 1 Group 3 Uruguay
Prob to win: 4.88%
Game ELO: 1755 -> 1698 (-57)
0 - 2
Netherlands
Prob to win: 95.12%
Game ELO: 1839 -> 1896 (+57)
Uruguay loss: expected
Niedersachsenstadion, Hanover Roberto Porta
Mexico 1970 20-Jun-1970 2 3rd Place Uruguay
Prob to win: 20.92%
Game ELO: 1888 -> 1861 (-27)
0 - 1
West Germany
Prob to win: 79.08%
Game ELO: 2065 -> 2092 (+27)
Uruguay loss: expected
Mexico City Juan Hohberg
Mexico 1970 17-Jun-1970 2 Semi Finals Uruguay
Prob to win: 8.45%
Game ELO: 1915 -> 1888 (-27)
1 - 3
Brazil
Prob to win: 91.55%
Game ELO: 2177 -> 2204 (+27)
Uruguay loss: expected
Guadalajara Juan Hohberg
Mexico 1970 14-Jun-1970 2 Quarter Finals Soviet Union
Prob to win: 61.18%
Game ELO: 2013 -> 1940 (-73)
0 - 1 (aet)
Uruguay
Prob to win: 38.82%
Game ELO: 1842 -> 1915 (+73)
Uruguay win: upset (loss expected)
Mexico City Juan Hohberg
Mexico 1970 10-Jun-1970 1 Group 2 Sweden
Prob to win: 49.28%
Game ELO: 1790 -> 1856 (+66)
1 - 0
Uruguay
Prob to win: 50.72%
Game ELO: 1908 -> 1842 (-66)
Uruguay loss: upset (win expected)
Estadio Cuauhtémoc, Puebla Juan Hohberg
Mexico 1970 06-Jun-1970 1 Group 2 Uruguay
Prob to win: 27.43%
Game ELO: 1888 -> 1908 (+20)
0 - 0
Italy
Prob to win: 72.57%
Game ELO: 2034 -> 2014 (-20)
Uruguay draw: upset (loss expected)
Estadio Cuauhtémoc, Puebla Juan Hohberg
Mexico 1970 02-Jun-1970 1 Group 2 Uruguay
Prob to win: 72.34%
Game ELO: 1848 -> 1888 (+40)
2 - 0
Israel
Prob to win: 27.66%
Game ELO: 1671 -> 1631 (-40)
Uruguay win: expected
Estadio Cuauhtémoc, Puebla Juan Hohberg
England 1966 23-Jul-1966 2 Quarter Finals West Germany
Prob to win: 86.45%
Game ELO: 2032 -> 2139 (+107)
4 - 0
Uruguay
Prob to win: 13.55%
Game ELO: 1889 -> 1782 (-107)
Uruguay loss: expected
Sheffield Ondino Viera
England 1966 19-Jul-1966 1 Group 1 Mexico
Prob to win: 54.59%
Game ELO: 1800 -> 1814 (+14)
0 - 0
Uruguay
Prob to win: 45.41%
Game ELO: 1903 -> 1889 (-14)
Uruguay draw: upset (loss expected)
Wembley Stadium, London Ondino Viera
England 1966 15-Jul-1966 1 Group 1 Uruguay
Prob to win: 60.22%
Game ELO: 1867 -> 1903 (+36)
2 - 1
France
Prob to win: 39.78%
Game ELO: 1770 -> 1734 (-36)
Uruguay win: expected
White City Stadium, London Ondino Viera
England 1966 11-Jul-1966 1 Group 1 England
Prob to win: 92.80%
Game ELO: 1991 -> 1971 (-20)
0 - 0
Uruguay
Prob to win: 7.20%
Game ELO: 1847 -> 1867 (+20)
Uruguay draw: upset (loss expected)
Wembley Stadium, London Ondino Viera
Chile 1962 06-Jun-1962 1 Group 1 Soviet Union
Prob to win: 73.59%
Game ELO: 2049 -> 2072 (+23)
2 - 1
Uruguay
Prob to win: 26.41%
Game ELO: 1836 -> 1813 (-23)
Uruguay loss: expected
Estadio Carlos Dittborn, Arica Juan Carlos Corazzo
Chile 1962 02-Jun-1962 1 Group 1 Yugoslavia
Prob to win: 61.99%
Game ELO: 1910 -> 1985 (+75)
3 - 1
Uruguay
Prob to win: 38.01%
Game ELO: 1911 -> 1836 (-75)
Uruguay loss: expected
Estadio Carlos Dittborn, Arica Juan Carlos Corazzo
Chile 1962 30-May-1962 1 Group 1 Uruguay
Prob to win: 88.17%
Game ELO: 1904 -> 1911 (+7)
2 - 1
Colombia
Prob to win: 11.83%
Game ELO: 1441 -> 1434 (-7)
Uruguay win: expected
Estadio Carlos Dittborn, Arica Juan Carlos Corazzo
Switzerland 1954 03-Jul-1954 2 3rd Place Uruguay
Prob to win: 45.41%
Game ELO: 2082 -> 1969 (-113)
1 - 3
Austria
Prob to win: 54.59%
Game ELO: 1888 -> 2001 (+113)
Uruguay loss: expected
Zürich Juan López
Switzerland 1954 30-Jun-1954 2 Semi Finals Hungary
Prob to win: 84.60%
Game ELO: 2286 -> 2328 (+42)
4 - 2 (aet)
Uruguay
Prob to win: 15.40%
Game ELO: 2124 -> 2082 (-42)
Uruguay loss: expected
Lausanne Juan López
Switzerland 1954 26-Jun-1954 2 Quarter Finals Uruguay
Prob to win: 52.59%
Game ELO: 2057 -> 2124 (+67)
4 - 2
England
Prob to win: 47.41%
Game ELO: 2018 -> 1951 (-67)
Uruguay win: expected
Basel Juan López
Switzerland 1954 19-Jun-1954 1 Group 3 Uruguay
Prob to win: 82.05%
Game ELO: 1925 -> 2057 (+132)
7 - 0
Scotland
Prob to win: 17.95%
Game ELO: 1837 -> 1705 (-132)
Uruguay win: expected
St. Jakob Stadium, Basel Juan López
Switzerland 1954 16-Jun-1954 1 Group 3 Uruguay
Prob to win: 88.05%
Game ELO: 1876 -> 1925 (+49)
2 - 0
Czechoslovakia
Prob to win: 11.95%
Game ELO: 1748 -> 1699 (-49)
Uruguay win: expected
Wankdorf Stadium, Bern Juan López
Brazil 1950 16-Jul-1950 2 Group A Uruguay
Prob to win: 21.11%
Game ELO: 1874 -> 1966 (+92)
2 - 1
Brazil
Prob to win: 78.89%
Game ELO: 2287 -> 2195 (-92)
Uruguay win: upset (loss expected)
Estádio do Maracanã, Rio de Janeiro Juan López
Brazil 1950 13-Jul-1950 2 Group A Uruguay
Prob to win: 58.55%
Game ELO: 1817 -> 1874 (+57)
3 - 2
Sweden
Prob to win: 41.45%
Game ELO: 1869 -> 1812 (-57)
Uruguay win: expected
Estádio do Pacaembu, São Paulo Juan López
Brazil 1950 09-Jul-1950 2 Group A Uruguay
Prob to win: 71.17%
Game ELO: 1791 -> 1817 (+26)
2 - 2
Spain
Prob to win: 28.83%
Game ELO: 1995 -> 1969 (-26)
Uruguay draw: upset (win expected)
Estádio do Pacaembu, São Paulo Juan López
Brazil 1950 02-Jul-1950 1 Group 4 Uruguay
Prob to win: 96.50%
Game ELO: 1736 -> 1791 (+55)
8 - 0
Bolivia
Prob to win: 3.50%
Game ELO: 1445 -> 1390 (-55)
Uruguay win: expected
Estádio Independência, Belo Horizonte Juan López
Uruguay 1930 30-Jul-1930 2 Final Argentina
Prob to win: 38.01%
Game ELO: 2178 -> 2080 (-98)
2 - 4
Uruguay
Prob to win: 61.99%
Game ELO: 2067 -> 2165 (+98)
Uruguay win: expected
Montevideo Alberto Suppici
Uruguay 1930 27-Jul-1930 2 Semi Finals Uruguay
Prob to win: 95.15%
Game ELO: 2020 -> 2067 (+47)
6 - 1
Yugoslavia
Prob to win: 4.85%
Game ELO: 1695 -> 1648 (-47)
Uruguay win: expected
Montevideo Alberto Suppici
Uruguay 1930 21-Jul-1930 1 Group 3 Uruguay
Prob to win: 96.42%
Game ELO: 1977 -> 2020 (+43)
4 - 0
Romania
Prob to win: 3.58%
Game ELO: 1636 -> 1593 (-43)
Uruguay win: expected
Estadio Centenario, Montevideo Alberto Suppici
Uruguay 1930 18-Jul-1930 1 Group 3 Uruguay
Prob to win: 98.23%
Game ELO: 1972 -> 1977 (+5)
1 - 0
Peru
Prob to win: 1.77%
Game ELO: 1472 -> 1467 (-5)
Uruguay win: expected
Estadio Centenario, Montevideo Alberto Suppici