Wales details

Wales

Statistics:
  • Games: 15
  • Expected results: 8 (53.33%)
  • Unexpected results: 7 (46.67%)
  • Unknown games: 0
  • Record: 6 Won, 5 Lost, 4 Drawn, 0 Unknown
  • Last five games: LLWDL
  • Expected wins: 4 (26.67%)
  • Expected losses: 4 (26.67%)
  • Unexpected wins: 2 (13.33%)
  • Unexpected losses: 1 (6.67%)
  • Unexpected draws: 4 (26.67%)
  • Wins (+1pt for expected, +3 for unexpected): 10
  • Losses (-1pt for expected, -3 for unexpected): -7
  • Draws (-1pt if fav, +1pt if underdog): 4
  • Total: 7

Tournament Game Time Round Group Name Score Odds Analysis Location Coach
Euro 2020 26-Jun-2021 18:00 2 Top 16 Wales
Prob to win: 12.95%
Game ELO: 1833 -> 1734 ( -99)
0 - 4
Denmark
Prob to win: 87.05%
Game ELO: 1973 -> 2084 ( + 111)
Wales loss: expected
Johan Cruyff Arena, Amsterdam
Euro 2020 20-Jun-2021 18:00 1 Group A Italy
Prob to win: 96.30%
Game ELO: 2112 -> 2135 ( + 23)
1 - 0
Wales
Prob to win: 3.70%
Game ELO: 1898 -> 1875 ( -23)
Wales loss: expected
Stadio Olimpico, Rome
Euro 2020 16-Jun-2021 18:00 1 Group A Turkey
Prob to win: 38.14%
Game ELO: 1755 -> 1698 ( -57)
0 - 2
Wales
Prob to win: 61.86%
Game ELO: 1841 -> 1898 ( + 57)
Wales win: expected
Olympic Stadium, Baku
Euro 2020 12-Jun-2021 15:00 1 Group A Wales
Prob to win: 27.66%
Game ELO: 1833 -> 1841 ( + 8)
1 - 1
Switzerland
Prob to win: 72.34%
Game ELO: 1890 -> 1882 ( -8)
Wales draw: upset (loss expected)
Olympic Stadium, Baku
Euro 2016 06-Jul-2016 21:00 2 Semi Finals Portugal
Prob to win: 79.17%
Game ELO: 1986 -> 2055 ( + 69)
2 - 0
Wales
Prob to win: 20.83%
Game ELO: 1956 -> 1887 ( -69)
Wales loss: expected
Parc Olympique Lyonnais, Décines-Charpieu
Euro 2016 01-Jul-2016 21:00 2 Quarter Finals Wales
Prob to win: 43.28%
Game ELO: 1841 -> 1956 ( + 115)
3 - 1
Belgium
Prob to win: 56.72%
Game ELO: 2049 -> 1934 ( -115)
Wales win: upset (loss expected)
Stade Pierre-Mauroy, Villeneuve-d'Ascq
Euro 2016 25-Jun-2016 18:00 2 Top 16 Wales
Prob to win: 78.70%
Game ELO: 1806 -> 1841 ( + 35)
1 - 0
Northern Ireland
Prob to win: 21.30%
Game ELO: 1695 -> 1660 ( -35)
Wales win: expected
Parc des Princes, Paris
Euro 2016 20-Jun-2016 21:00 1 Group B Russia
Prob to win: 17.45%
Game ELO: 1725 -> 1617 ( -108)
0 - 3
Wales
Prob to win: 82.55%
Game ELO: 1698 -> 1806 ( + 108)
Wales win: expected
Stadium Municipal, Toulouse
Euro 2016 16-Jun-2016 15:00 1 Group B England
Prob to win: 47.99%
Game ELO: 1944 -> 1966 ( + 22)
2 - 1
Wales
Prob to win: 52.01%
Game ELO: 1720 -> 1698 ( -22)
Wales loss: upset (win expected)
Stade Bollaert-Delelis, Lens
Euro 2016 11-Jun-2016 18:00 1 Group B Wales
Prob to win: 68.38%
Game ELO: 1655 -> 1720 ( + 65)
2 - 1
Slovakia
Prob to win: 31.62%
Game ELO: 1766 -> 1701 ( -65)
Wales win: expected
Nouveau Stade de Bordeaux, Bordeaux
Sweden 1958 19-Jun-1958 2 Quarter Finals Brazil
Prob to win: 92.72%
Game ELO: 2101 -> 2120 ( + 19)
1 - 0
Wales
Prob to win: 7.28%
Game ELO: 1852 -> 1833 ( -19)
Wales loss: expected
Gothenburg Note: Swansea Town (now Swansea City) and Cardiff City are Welsh clubs that play in the English football league system.
Sweden 1958 17-Jun-1958 1 Group 3 Playoff Wales
Prob to win: 34.29%
Game ELO: 1770 -> 1852 ( + 82)
2 - 1
Hungary
Prob to win: 65.71%
Game ELO: 2028 -> 1946 ( -82)
Wales win: upset (loss expected)
Råsunda Stadium, Solna Note: Swansea Town (now Swansea City) and Cardiff City are Welsh clubs that play in the English football league system.
Sweden 1958 15-Jun-1958 1 Group 3 Sweden
Prob to win: 74.80%
Game ELO: 1964 -> 1936 ( -28)
0 - 0
Wales
Prob to win: 25.20%
Game ELO: 1742 -> 1770 ( + 28)
Wales draw: upset (loss expected)
Råsunda Stadium, Solna Note: Swansea Town (now Swansea City) and Cardiff City are Welsh clubs that play in the English football league system.
Sweden 1958 11-Jun-1958 1 Group 3 Mexico
Prob to win: 24.13%
Game ELO: 1684 -> 1694 ( + 10)
1 - 1
Wales
Prob to win: 75.87%
Game ELO: 1752 -> 1742 ( -10)
Wales draw: upset (win expected)
Råsunda Stadium, Solna Note: Swansea Town (now Swansea City) and Cardiff City are Welsh clubs that play in the English football league system.
Sweden 1958 08-Jun-1958 1 Group 3 Hungary
Prob to win: 65.71%
Game ELO: 2077 -> 2038 ( -39)
1 - 1
Wales
Prob to win: 34.29%
Game ELO: 1713 -> 1752 ( + 39)
Wales draw: upset (loss expected)
Jernvallen, Sandviken Note: Swansea Town (now Swansea City) and Cardiff City are Welsh clubs that play in the English football league system.