World Cup Analytics

Scotland details

Scotland

Statistics:

Games: 32
Expected results: 17 (53.13%)
Unexpected results: 15 (46.88%)
Unknown games: 0
Record: 6 Won, 17 Lost, 9 Drawn, 0 Unknown
Last five games: LDLLD

Expected wins: 4 (12.50%)
Expected losses: 13 (40.63%)
Unexpected wins: 2 (6.25%)
Unexpected losses: 4 (12.50%)
Unexpected draws: 9 (28.13%)

Wins (+1pt for expected, +3 for unexpected): 10
Losses (-1pt for expected, -3 for unexpected): -25
Draws (-1pt if fav, +1pt if underdog): 9
Total: -6

Tournament	Game Time	Round	Group Name		Score		Odds Analysis	Location	Coach
Euro 2020	22-Jun-2021 21:00	1	Group D	Croatia Prob to win: 75.34% Game ELO: 1800 -> 1847 ( + 47)	3 - 1	Scotland Prob to win: 24.66% Game ELO: 1662 -> 1615 ( -47)	Scotland loss: expected	Hampden Park, Glasgow
Euro 2020	18-Jun-2021 21:00	1	Group D	England Prob to win: 95.51% Game ELO: 2011 -> 1971 ( -40)	0 - 0	Scotland Prob to win: 4.49% Game ELO: 1622 -> 1662 ( + 40)	Scotland draw: upset (loss expected)	Wembley Stadium, London
Euro 2020	14-Jun-2021 15:00	1	Group D	Scotland Prob to win: 17.61% Game ELO: 1678 -> 1622 ( -56)	0 - 2	Czech Republic Prob to win: 82.39% Game ELO: 1768 -> 1824 ( + 56)	Scotland loss: expected	Hampden Park, Glasgow
France 1998	23-Jun-1998	1	Group A	Scotland Prob to win: 22.28% Game ELO: 1730 -> 1641 ( -89)	0 - 3	Morocco Prob to win: 77.72% Game ELO: 1769 -> 1858 ( + 89)	Scotland loss: expected	Stade Geoffroy-Guichard, Saint-Étienne	Craig Brown
France 1998	16-Jun-1998	1	Group A	Scotland Prob to win: 18.12% Game ELO: 1706 -> 1730 ( + 24)	1 - 1	Norway Prob to win: 81.88% Game ELO: 1887 -> 1863 ( -24)	Scotland draw: upset (loss expected)	Parc Lescure, Bordeaux	Craig Brown
France 1998	10-Jun-1998	1	Group A	Brazil Prob to win: 92.87% Game ELO: 2047 -> 2060 ( + 13)	2 - 1	Scotland Prob to win: 7.13% Game ELO: 1719 -> 1706 ( -13)	Scotland loss: expected	Stade de France, Saint-Denis	Craig Brown
Euro 1996	18-Jun-1996 19:30	1	Group A	Scotland Prob to win: 64.01% Game ELO: 925 -> 975 ( + 50)	1 - 0	Switzerland Prob to win: 35.99% Game ELO: 925 -> 875 ( -50)	Scotland win: expected	Villa Park, Birmingham
Euro 1996	15-Jun-1996 15:00	1	Group A	Scotland Prob to win: 25.31% Game ELO: 1000 -> 925 ( -75)	0 - 2	England Prob to win: 74.69% Game ELO: 1000 -> 1075 ( + 75)	Scotland loss: expected	Wembley Stadium, London
Euro 1996	10-Jun-1996 16:30	1	Group A	Netherlands Prob to win: 45.55% Game ELO: 0 -> 1000 ( + 1000)	0 - 0	Scotland Prob to win: 54.45% Game ELO: 0 -> 1000 ( + 1000)	Scotland draw: upset (win expected)	Villa Park, Birmingham
Euro 1992	18-Jun-1992 20:15	1	Group B	Scotland Prob to win: 69.73% Game ELO: 886 -> 1019 ( + 133)	3 - 0	CIS Prob to win: 30.27% Game ELO: 1007 -> 874 ( -133)	Scotland win: expected	Idrottsparken, Norrköping
Euro 1992	15-Jun-1992 17:15	1	Group B	Scotland Prob to win: 55.73% Game ELO: 950 -> 886 ( -64)	0 - 2	Germany Prob to win: 44.27% Game ELO: 1000 -> 1064 ( + 64)	Scotland loss: upset (win expected)	Idrottsparken, Norrköping
Euro 1992	12-Jun-1992 17:15	1	Group B	Netherlands Prob to win: 55.45% Game ELO: 0 -> 1050 ( + 1050)	1 - 0	Scotland Prob to win: 44.55% Game ELO: 0 -> 950 ( + 950)	Scotland loss: expected	Ullevi, Gothenburg
Italy 1990	20-Jun-1990	1	Group C	Brazil Prob to win: 80.47% Game ELO: 2046 -> 2061 ( + 15)	1 - 0	Scotland Prob to win: 19.53% Game ELO: 1751 -> 1736 ( -15)	Scotland loss: expected	Stadio Delle Alpi, Turin	Andy Roxburgh
Italy 1990	16-Jun-1990	1	Group C	Sweden Prob to win: 53.02% Game ELO: 1909 -> 1829 ( -80)	1 - 2	Scotland Prob to win: 46.98% Game ELO: 1671 -> 1751 ( + 80)	Scotland win: upset (loss expected)	Stadio Luigi Ferraris, Genoa	Andy Roxburgh
Italy 1990	11-Jun-1990	1	Group C	Costa Rica Prob to win: 41.73% Game ELO: 1611 -> 1679 ( + 68)	1 - 0	Scotland Prob to win: 58.27% Game ELO: 1739 -> 1671 ( -68)	Scotland loss: upset (win expected)	Stadio Luigi Ferraris, Genoa	Andy Roxburgh
Mexico 1986	13-Jun-1986	1	Group E	Uruguay Prob to win: 39.51% Game ELO: 1717 -> 1727 ( + 10)	0 - 0	Scotland Prob to win: 60.49% Game ELO: 1790 -> 1780 ( -10)	Scotland draw: upset (win expected)	Estadio Neza 86, Nezahualcóyotl	Alex Ferguson
Mexico 1986	08-Jun-1986	1	Group E	West Germany Prob to win: 85.27% Game ELO: 1924 -> 1960 ( + 36)	2 - 1	Scotland Prob to win: 14.73% Game ELO: 1826 -> 1790 ( -36)	Scotland loss: expected	Estadio La Corregidora, Querétaro	Alex Ferguson
Mexico 1986	04-Jun-1986	1	Group E	Scotland Prob to win: 38.82% Game ELO: 1874 -> 1826 ( -48)	0 - 1	Denmark Prob to win: 61.18% Game ELO: 1891 -> 1939 ( + 48)	Scotland loss: expected	Estadio Neza 86, Nezahualcóyotl	Alex Ferguson
Spain 1982	22-Jun-1982	1	Group 6	Soviet Union Prob to win: 71.53% Game ELO: 1989 -> 1969 ( -20)	2 - 2	Scotland Prob to win: 28.47% Game ELO: 1840 -> 1860 ( + 20)	Scotland draw: upset (loss expected)	Estadio La Rosaleda, Málaga	Jock Stein
Spain 1982	18-Jun-1982	1	Group 6	Brazil Prob to win: 82.30% Game ELO: 2130 -> 2168 ( + 38)	4 - 1	Scotland Prob to win: 17.70% Game ELO: 1878 -> 1840 ( -38)	Scotland loss: expected	Estadio Benito Villamarín, Seville	Jock Stein
Spain 1982	15-Jun-1982	1	Group 6	Scotland Prob to win: 86.85% Game ELO: 1837 -> 1878 ( + 41)	5 - 2	New Zealand Prob to win: 13.15% Game ELO: 1599 -> 1558 ( -41)	Scotland win: expected	Estadio La Rosaleda, Málaga	Jock Stein
Argentina 1978	11-Jun-1978	1	Group 4	Scotland Prob to win: 25.20% Game ELO: 1819 -> 1901 ( + 82)	3 - 2	Netherlands Prob to win: 74.80% Game ELO: 2088 -> 2006 ( -82)	Scotland win: upset (loss expected)	Estadio Ciudad de Mendoza, Mendoza	Ally MacLeod
Argentina 1978	07-Jun-1978	1	Group 4	Scotland Prob to win: 76.60% Game ELO: 1831 -> 1819 ( -12)	1 - 1	Iran Prob to win: 23.40% Game ELO: 1744 -> 1756 ( + 12)	Scotland draw: upset (win expected)	Estadio Chateau Carreras, Córdoba	Ally MacLeod
Argentina 1978	03-Jun-1978	1	Group 4	Peru Prob to win: 31.25% Game ELO: 1755 -> 1867 ( + 112)	3 - 1	Scotland Prob to win: 68.75% Game ELO: 1943 -> 1831 ( -112)	Scotland loss: upset (win expected)	Estadio Chateau Carreras, Córdoba	Ally MacLeod
West Germany 1974	22-Jun-1974	1	Group 2	Scotland Prob to win: 59.66% Game ELO: 1913 -> 1929 ( + 16)	1 - 1	Yugoslavia Prob to win: 40.34% Game ELO: 2027 -> 2011 ( -16)	Scotland draw: upset (win expected)	Waldstadion, Frankfurt	Willie Ormond
West Germany 1974	18-Jun-1974	1	Group 2	Scotland Prob to win: 37.60% Game ELO: 1887 -> 1913 ( + 26)	0 - 0	Brazil Prob to win: 62.40% Game ELO: 2091 -> 2065 ( -26)	Scotland draw: upset (loss expected)	Waldstadion, Frankfurt	Willie Ormond
West Germany 1974	14-Jun-1974	1	Group 2	Zaire Prob to win: 15.17% Game ELO: 1782 -> 1715 ( -67)	0 - 2	Scotland Prob to win: 84.83% Game ELO: 1820 -> 1887 ( + 67)	Scotland win: expected	Westfalenstadion, Dortmund	Willie Ormond
Sweden 1958	15-Jun-1958	1	Group 2	France Prob to win: 88.05% Game ELO: 1906 -> 1936 ( + 30)	2 - 1	Scotland Prob to win: 11.95% Game ELO: 1756 -> 1726 ( -30)	Scotland loss: expected	Eyravallen, Örebro	Dawson Walker
Sweden 1958	11-Jun-1958	1	Group 2	Paraguay Prob to win: 50.00% Game ELO: 1617 -> 1695 ( + 78)	3 - 2	Scotland Prob to win: 50.00% Game ELO: 1834 -> 1756 ( -78)	Scotland loss: upset (win expected)	Idrottsparken, Norrköping	Dawson Walker
Sweden 1958	08-Jun-1958	1	Group 2	Yugoslavia Prob to win: 69.98% Game ELO: 1896 -> 1886 ( -10)	1 - 1	Scotland Prob to win: 30.02% Game ELO: 1824 -> 1834 ( + 10)	Scotland draw: upset (loss expected)	Arosvallen, Västerås	Dawson Walker
Switzerland 1954	19-Jun-1954	1	Group 3	Uruguay Prob to win: 82.05% Game ELO: 1925 -> 2057 ( + 132)	7 - 0	Scotland Prob to win: 17.95% Game ELO: 1837 -> 1705 ( -132)	Scotland loss: expected	St. Jakob Stadium, Basel	Andy Beattie (quit after first match; remaining match was managed by a selection committee)
Switzerland 1954	16-Jun-1954	1	Group 3	Austria Prob to win: 84.60% Game ELO: 1864 -> 1918 ( + 54)	1 - 0	Scotland Prob to win: 15.40% Game ELO: 1891 -> 1837 ( -54)	Scotland loss: expected	Hardturm Stadium, Zürich	Andy Beattie (quit after first match; remaining match was managed by a selection committee)